Try the model
UTAH

Utah 45 at Colorado State 10

CSU
2014 · Royal Purple Las Vegas Bowl · Dec 20, 2014 · Sam Boyd Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · CSU
modelCSU aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playCSU scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:54 · Tom Hackett punt for 39 yds , Preston Hodges returns for a loss of 2 yards to the ColSt 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 76Home team on offense−13.5Score differential−6.7Garbage-time factor−3.0Pregame prior−6.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:42: Charles Lovett pass complete to Garrett Grayson for 39 yds for a TD, (Jared Roberts KICK) — CSU win probability +3.4 pts (now 40%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 5:30: Devontae Booker run for 60 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +4.6 pts (now 66%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 8:25: Andy Phillips 38 yd FG GOOD — UTAH win probability +4.7 pts (now 73%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:12: Travis Wilson run for 15 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +9.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:23: Travis Wilson run for 12 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +2.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8UTAH made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 13:33CSU 4th & 8 at CSU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:24CSU 4th & 8 at CSU 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.6%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:09CSU 4th & 7 at UTAH 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.7%
    68% to make
    Punt
    32.7%−3.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:43CSU 4th & 16 at CSU 13, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%−1.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:25UTAH 4th & 6 at CSU 21, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.5%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.7%
    74% to make
    Punt
    61.4%−4.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:44CSU 4th & 16 at CSU 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%−1.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:54UTAH 4th & 3 at UTAH 23, up 14
    Close callPunted · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:04UTAH 4th & 8 at UTAH 40, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.6%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:58CSU 4th & 14 at UTAH 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%−1.4
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.9%
    62% to make
    Punt
    15.7%−4.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:03CSU 4th & 8 at CSU 38, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:13UTAH 4th & 3 at UTAH 49, up 21
    Close callPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:53CSU 4th & 17 at CSU 31, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:26UTAH 4th & 6 at CSU 41, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−<0.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UTAH made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 12:37UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:29UTAH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:42CSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 5:30UTAH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:12UTAH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:23UTAH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:28UTAH Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CSUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:2739% → 40%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
39.2%
COLORADO ST Penalty, False Start (Nolan Peralta) to the ColSt 15Similar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+7
39.2%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Nolan Peralta for 7 yds to the ColSt 22Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
39.4%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Joe Hansley for no gain to the ColSt 22Similar
Q1 13:39
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
39.6%
Garrett Grayson pass incomplete to Rashard HigginsSimilar
Q1 13:33
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
39.6%
Hayden Hunt punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2TD
3 plays · 53 yds · 0:3660% → 61%
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+36
39.6%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kaelin Clay for 36 yds to the ColSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
39.6%
Devontae Booker run for 9 yds to the ColSt 8Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 1
OPP 8
+8
38.9%
Travis Wilson run for 8 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:4239% → 39%
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
39.2%
Dee Hart run for no gain to the ColSt 25Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
39.1%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Steven Walker for 2 yds to the ColSt 27Similar
Q1 11:33
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
39.0%
Garrett Grayson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:24
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
39.0%
Hayden Hunt punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4TD
7 plays · 71 yds · 2:2361% → 64%
Q1 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
39.0%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd to the Utah 30Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 9
OWN 30
-10
39.0%
Wilson, Travis rush for 3 yards to the UTAH33, PENALTY UTAH holding (Poutasi, Jeremiah) 10 yards to the UTAH20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 19
OWN 20
+49
39.1%
Troy McCormick run for 49 yds to the ColSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
38.5%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Westlee Tonga for 9 yds to the ColSt 22Similar
Q1 9:24
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+3
38.5%
Kaelin Clay run for 3 yds to the ColSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
38.2%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the ColSt 16Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+16
35.8%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Delshawn McClellon for 16 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 5TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 2:1237% → 40%
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
36.5%
Treyous Jarrells run for 7 yds to the ColSt 30Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+20
36.7%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
50
+1
36.9%
Treyous Jarrells run for 1 yd to the Utah 49Similar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
36.8%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Rashard Higgins for no gain to the Utah 49Similar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+10
36.5%
Grayson, Garrett pass incomplete to Higgins, Rashard (Hatfield, Dominique), PENALTY UTAH pass interference (Hatfield, Dominique) 10 yards to the UTAH39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN COLOST. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
39.8%
Charles Lovett pass complete to Garrett Grayson for 39 yds for a TD, (Jared Roberts KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6TD
2 plays · 60 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
34.2%
Devontae Booker run for 60 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 7FG
10 plays · 54 yds · 3:1636% → 36%
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-11
35.6%
COLORADO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Brandon Henrie) to the ColSt 11Similar
Q1 5:10
1ST & 21
OWN 11
+3
35.4%
Dee Hart run for 3 yds to the ColSt 14Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 18
OWN 14
+59
35.2%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 59 yds to the Utah 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-10
36.5%
Grayson, Garrett pass complete to Hansley, Joe for 9 yards to the UTAH18, PENALTY COLOST holding (Carlson, Sam) 10 yards to the UTAH37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 20
OPP 37
+1
34.8%
Dee Hart run for 1 yd to the Utah 36Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 19
OPP 36
+12
34.5%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Xavier Williams for 12 yds to the Utah 24Similar
Q1 2:15
3RD & 7
OPP 24
0
34.1%
Garrett Grayson pass incomplete, broken up by Nate OrchardSimilar
Q1 2:09
4TH & 7
OPP 24
+41
36.2%
Jared Roberts 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8INT
10 plays · 9 yds · 2:1864% → 65%
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
36.0%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kaelin ClaySimilar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+4
36.1%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the Utah 36Similar
Q1 1:12
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+7
35.7%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kaelin Clay for 7 yds to the Utah 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
35.0%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Troy McCormick for 3 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q1 0:28
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+3
34.8%
Travis Wilson run for 3 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+7
34.5%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kaelin Clay for 7 yds to the ColSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-15
34.2%
UTAH Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Kaelin Clay) to the Utah 41Similar
Q2 14:40
1ST & 25
OWN 41
0
34.7%
Travis Wilson pass intercepted for a 1ST down DeAndre Elliott return for no gain to the ColSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:5735% → 33%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-12
34.6%
COLORADO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Terry Jackson) to the ColSt 7Similar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 22
OWN 7
+3
34.2%
Treyous Jarrells run for 3 yds to the ColSt 10Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 19
OWN 10
0
34.3%
Treyous Jarrells run for no gain to the ColSt 10Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 19
OWN 10
+3
33.5%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Charles Lovett for 3 yds to the ColSt 13Similar
Q2 12:43
4TH & 16
OWN 13
0
33.1%
Hayden Hunt punt for 45 yds , Kaelin Clay returns for no gain to the Utah 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10FG
9 plays · 37 yds · 3:5568% → 73%
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+18
32.4%
Travis Wilson run for 18 yds to the ColSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
32.0%
Devontae Booker run for a loss of 2 yards to the ColSt 42Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 12
OPP 42
0
31.9%
Travis Wilson run for no gain to the ColSt 42Similar
Q2 10:42
3RD & 12
OPP 42
+17
32.0%
Travis Wilson run for 17 yds to the ColSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
31.3%
Devontae Booker run for 5 yds to the ColSt 20Similar
Q2 9:53
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+2
31.3%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the ColSt 18Similar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+2
31.4%
Travis Wilson run for 2 yds to the ColSt 16Similar
Q2 8:47
4TH & 1
OPP 16
-5
31.7%
UTAH Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the ColSt 21Similar
Q2 8:25
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+38
27.1%
Andy Phillips 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:2328% → 22%
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
27.9%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Joe Hansley for 4 yds to the ColSt 30Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+13
27.8%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Charles Lovett for 13 yds to the ColSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-10
24.0%
Garrett Grayson sacked by Jason Fanaika for a loss of 10 yards to the ColSt 33Similar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 20
OWN 33
0
22.0%
Garrett Grayson pass incomplete to Joe Hansley COLORADO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Mason Myers) declinedSimilar
Q2 6:06
3RD & 20
OWN 33
+4
21.6%
Dee Hart run for 4 yds to the ColSt 37Similar
Q2 5:44
4TH & 16
OWN 37
0
21.5%
Hayden Hunt punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Kaelin Clay at the Utah 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:2474% → 73%
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
26.0%
Devontae Booker run for 7 yds to the Utah 23Similar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 3
OWN 23
0
25.8%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kaelin ClaySimilar
Q2 5:05
3RD & 3
OWN 23
0
26.2%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Siale FakailoatongaSimilar
Q2 4:54
4TH & 3
OWN 23
-2
26.6%
Tom Hackett punt for 39 yds , Preston Hodges returns for a loss of 2 yards to the ColSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:2122% → 22%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
21.6%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 4 yds to the ColSt 40Similar
Q2 4:19
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
21.8%
Garrett Grayson pass incomplete to Nolan PeraltaSimilar
Q2 4:06
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+12
21.4%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Joe Hansley for 12 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
22.6%
Treyous Jarrells run for 2 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q2 3:09
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
22.2%
Garrett Grayson pass incomplete to Rashard HigginsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14DOWNS
12 plays · 60 yds · 2:3076% → 81%
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
24.5%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 3 yds to the Utah 23Similar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+3
24.3%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Utah 26Similar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+6
23.4%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 6 yds to the Utah 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
22.8%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 6 yds to the Utah 38Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+6
21.8%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Delshawn McClellon for 6 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
21.3%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 14 yds to the ColSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
20.5%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+11
20.4%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 11 yds to the ColSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
19.9%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kaelin ClaySimilar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+11
19.2%
Travis Wilson run for 11 yds to the ColSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+38
18.6%
Andy Phillips 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 2:3677% → 79%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
22.8%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 5 yds to the Utah 19Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+6
22.5%
Devontae Booker run for 6 yds to the Utah 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
21.6%
Troy McCormick run for 5 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
21.1%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 8 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
19.9%
Travis Wilson run for 2 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
19.8%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Devontae Booker, broken up by Cory JamesSimilar
Q3 12:11
3RD & 8
OWN 40
0
20.2%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kenneth ScottSimilar
Q3 12:04
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
21.2%
Tom Hackett punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Joe Hansley at the ColSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 16MISSED FG
9 plays · 53 yds · 3:4322% → 19%
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
21.7%
Dee Hart run for 3 yds to the ColSt 23Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+9
21.3%
Dee Hart run for 9 yds to the ColSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
21.3%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 8 yds to the ColSt 40Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+15
21.6%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 15 yds to the Utah 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+22
22.4%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Xavier Williams for 22 yds to the Utah 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
23.0%
Dee Hart run for 1 yd to the Utah 22Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 9
OPP 22
0
23.0%
Garrett Grayson pass incomplete to Rashard HigginsSimilar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 9
OPP 22
-5
20.9%
Garrett Grayson sacked by Nate Orchard for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 27 Garrett Grayson fumbled, forced by Nate Orchard, recovered by ColSt Fred Zerblis , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 7:58
4TH & 14
OPP 27
+44
19.0%
Jared Roberts 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17TD
12 plays · 73 yds · 3:2383% → 96%
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+19
16.7%
Devontae Booker run for 19 yds to the Utah 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
14.6%
Devontae Booker run for 6 yds to the ColSt 48Similar
Q3 6:56
2ND & 4
OPP 48
0
14.2%
Jason Thompson pass incomplete to Delshawn McClellonSimilar
Q3 6:47
3RD & 4
OPP 48
-9
14.6%
Wilson, Travis rush for 6 yards to the COLOST42, PENALTY UTAH holding (Poutasi, Jeremiah) 10 yards to the UTAH42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:45
3RD & 14
OWN 42
+14
15.3%
COLORADO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the ColSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
14.3%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the ColSt 39Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 6
OPP 39
0
13.9%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kaelin ClaySimilar
Q3 6:05
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+13
14.3%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kaelin Clay for 13 yds to the ColSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
13.6%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the ColSt 22Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+8
13.4%
Jason Thompson run for 8 yds to the ColSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
13.2%
Devontae Booker run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 15Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+15
3.8%
Travis Wilson run for 15 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:586% → 6%
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
6.4%
Garrett Grayson pass incomplete to Treyous JarrellsSimilar
Q3 3:21
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
5.7%
Treyous Jarrells run for no gain to the ColSt 38Similar
Q3 3:12
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
5.7%
Garrett Grayson pass incomplete to Xavier WilliamsSimilar
Q3 3:03
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
5.6%
Hayden Hunt punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 3:4296% → 97%
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
3.6%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 1 yd to the Utah 22Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+3
3.5%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Utah 25Similar
Q3 1:30
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+7
3.2%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 7 yds to the Utah 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
3.1%
Troy McCormick run for 10 yds to the Utah 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
2.9%
Troy McCormick run for 3 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+3
2.7%
Travis Wilson run for 3 yds to the Utah 48Similar
Q4 14:37
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+1
2.7%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd to the Utah 49Similar
Q4 14:13
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
2.9%
Tom Hackett punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Preston Hodges at the ColSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 20FUMBLE
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:224% → 3%
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+12
3.5%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Deionte Gaines for 12 yds to the ColSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
3.5%
Garrett Grayson pass incomplete to Charles LovettSimilar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-13
3.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 13 yards to the ColSt 12 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Utah Filipo MokofisiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 21TD
1 play · 12 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
0.7%
Travis Wilson run for 12 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 22INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:081% → 1%
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
0.8%
Garrett Grayson pass incomplete to Dee HartSimilar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+13
0.7%
Garrett Grayson pass intercepted Jacoby Hale return for 13 yds to the ColSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 23TD
2 plays · 29 yds · 0:1499% → 100%
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+19
0.6%
Troy McCormick run for 19 yds to the ColSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
0.5%
Bubba Poole run for 10 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 24PUNT
10 plays · 14 yds · 2:350% → 0%
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-5
0.4%
COLORADO ST Penalty, False Start (Sam Carlson) to the ColSt 12Similar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 15
OWN 12
0
0.3%
Garrett Grayson pass incomplete to Jordon VadenSimilar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 15
OWN 12
+15
0.3%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Xavier Williams for 15 yds to the ColSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
0.3%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Treyous Jarrells for 11 yds to the ColSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-15
0.3%
COLORADO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Jordon Vaden) to the ColSt 23Similar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 25
OWN 23
+3
0.3%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 3 yds to the ColSt 26Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 22
OWN 26
+5
0.3%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Dee Hart for 5 yds to the ColSt 31Similar
Q4 10:13
3RD & 17
OWN 31
0
0.3%
Garrett Grayson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:53
4TH & 17
OWN 31
-8
0.2%
Hayden Hunt punt for 56 yds , Kaelin Clay returns for a loss of 8 yards to the Utah 23 UTAH Penalty, Illegal Block (Davion Orphey) to the Utah 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 25DOWNS
13 plays · 58 yds · 8:11100% → 100%
Q4 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
0.4%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Utah 5Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+3
0.4%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Utah 8Similar
Q4 7:44
3RD & 4
OWN 8
+24
0.3%
Adam Schulz pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 24 yds to the Utah 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
0.3%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+4
0.2%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the Utah 38Similar
Q4 6:08
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+7
0.2%
Adam Schulz pass complete to Siale Fakailoatonga for 7 yds to the Utah 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
0.2%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+4
0.2%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the ColSt 47Similar
Q4 3:43
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+2
0.2%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the ColSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
0.1%
Devontae Booker run for 6 yds to the ColSt 39Similar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+1
0.1%
Bubba Poole run for 1 yd to the ColSt 38Similar
Q4 1:57
3RD & 3
OPP 38
-3
0.1%
Jason Thompson run for a loss of 3 yards to the ColSt 41Similar
Q4 1:26
4TH & 6
OPP 41
+1
0.1%
Bubba Poole run for 1 yd to the ColSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · 4 yds · 1:060% → 0%
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
0.1%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 12 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-8
0.1%
Garrett Grayson sacked by Sese Ianu for a loss of 8 yards to the ColSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:12
Travis Wilson run for 15 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)
-9.4
FG · Q2 8:25
Andy Phillips 38 yd FG GOOD
-4.7
TD · Q1 5:30
Devontae Booker run for 60 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)
-4.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com