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ND

Notre Dame 31 at LSU 28

LSU
2014 · Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl · Dec 30, 2014 · Nissan Stadium
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Win probability · LSU
modelLSU aheadND aheadconfidence bandkey playLSU scoreND score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:07 · Brad Kragthorpe run for 1 yd to the NDame 1
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 79Pregame prior+9.3Home team on offense−5.8Score differential−2.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5Garbage-time factor−2.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:12: Tarean Folston 6 Yd Run (Kyle Brindza Kick) — ND win probability +9.5 pts (now 49%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 14:46: John Diarse 75 Yd pass from Anthony Jennings (Trent Domingue Kick) — LSU win probability +17.9 pts (now 64%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:14: Leonard Fournette 89 Yd Run (Trent Domingue Kick) — LSU win probability +19.8 pts (now 79%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:15: C.J. Prosise run for 50 yds for a TD, (Kyle Brindza KICK) — ND win probability +19.8 pts (now 47%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Kyle Brindza 32 yd FG GOOD — ND win probability +32.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5ND made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 8:48ND 4th & 9 at LSU 28, tied
    Close callWent for it · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.8%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    30.8%
    60% to make
    Punt
    30.2%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:35LSU 4th & 4 at LSU 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.4%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:41ND 4th & 1 at LSU 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    36.2%−0.7
    75% to make
    Punt
    33.9%−3.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:07LSU 4th & 2 at ND 2, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    50.4%−1.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    44.1%−8.0
    average punt
  5. Q3 10:23ND 4th & 5 at LSU 40, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    39.3%−1.5
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    39.8%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q3 6:26ND 4th & 7 at ND 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 3:12LSU 4th & 18 at LSU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%−5.6
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:55ND 4th & 13 at ND 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%−4.0
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.3%
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:56LSU 4th & 2 at ND 23, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 62.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.0%−2.7
    70% to make
    Punt
    45.3%−17.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:49ND 4th & 4 at ND 39, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.9%−1.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:41LSU 4th & 1 at LSU 40, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 5.6 ptsPunted · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.9%−5.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ND made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 7:04ND Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:05LSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:04ND Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:52LSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:12ND Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 14:46LSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:14LSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 4:15ND Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NDDrive 1TD
17 plays · 66 yds · 7:1932% → 36%
Q1 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
68.5%
Malik Zaire run for no gain to the NDame 34Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+4
68.5%
Malik Zaire pass complete to Chris Brown for 4 yds to the NDame 38Similar
Q1 13:42
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+7
68.5%
Malik Zaire pass complete to C.J. Prosise for 7 yds to the NDame 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
68.2%
Tarean Folston run for 9 yds to the LSU 46Similar
Q1 12:48
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+6
68.2%
Malik Zaire run for 6 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
68.0%
Tarean Folston run for no gain to the LSU 40Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+8
67.9%
Malik Zaire pass complete to Amir Carlisle for 8 yds to the LSU 32Similar
Q1 10:48
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+3
67.7%
Tarean Folston run for 3 yds to the LSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
67.4%
Tarean Folston run for 3 yds to the LSU 26Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 7
OPP 26
0
67.4%
Malik Zaire pass incomplete to Corey RobinsonSimilar
Q1 9:28
3RD & 7
OPP 26
-2
67.5%
C.J. Prosise run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 28Similar
Q1 8:48
4TH & 9
OPP 28
+10
67.6%
Malik Zaire run for 10 yds to the LSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
67.0%
Tarean Folston run for 3 yds to the LSU 15Similar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+3
66.6%
Malik Zaire pass complete to William Fuller for 3 yds to the LSU 12Similar
Q1 7:04
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+12
64.0%
William Fuller 12 Yd pass from Malik Zaire (Kyle Brindza Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:5565% → 64%
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
64.8%
Leonard Fournette run for 4 yds to the LSU 31Similar
Q1 6:07
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+2
64.6%
Terrence Magee run for 2 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q1 5:45
3RD & 4
OWN 33
0
64.2%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Travin DuralSimilar
Q1 5:35
4TH & 4
OWN 33
0
64.0%
Jamie Keehn punt for 49 yds , William Fuller returns for no gain to the NDame 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 3DOWNS
6 plays · 58 yds · 2:2936% → 38%
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+26
63.9%
Malik Zaire run for 26 yds to the NDame 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+27
62.8%
C.J. Prosise run for 27 yds to the LSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
62.2%
Tarean Folston run for 3 yds to the LSU 26Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 7
OPP 26
-2
61.6%
Malik Zaire run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 28Similar
Q1 2:55
3RD & 9
OPP 28
+8
61.6%
Malik Zaire run for 8 yds to the LSU 20Similar
Q1 2:41
4TH & 1
OPP 20
-4
61.9%
Malik Zaire run for a loss of 4 yards to the LSU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 2:2562% → 69%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
62.4%
Anthony Jennings run for 5 yds to the LSU 29Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+13
62.4%
Darrel Williams run for 13 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
62.8%
Darrel Williams run for 3 yds to the LSU 45Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+24
62.7%
Travin Dural run for 24 yds to the NDame 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+18
63.8%
Leonard Fournette run for 18 yds to the NDame 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
63.7%
Leonard Fournette run for 5 yds to the NDame 8Similar
Q1 0:05
3RD & 5
OPP 8
+8
68.6%
Leonard Fournette 8 Yd Run (Trent Domingue Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 5TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:5734% → 43%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
66.0%
Tarean Folston run for 7 yds to the NDame 32Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
65.2%
Tarean Folston run for 3 yds to the NDame 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
65.5%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to Chris BrownSimilar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+11
65.7%
Tarean Folston run for 11 yds to the NDame 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
64.3%
Tarean Folston run for 2 yds to the NDame 48Similar
Q2 13:11
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
64.2%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to William FullerSimilar
Q2 12:48
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+29
64.6%
Everett Golson pass complete to Chris Brown for 29 yds to the LSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
63.2%
Everett Golson run for 6 yds to the LSU 17Similar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+2
63.0%
Greg Bryant run for 2 yds to the LSU 15Similar
Q2 11:11
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+8
63.4%
Malik Zaire run for 8 yds to the LSU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
56.6%
Malik Zaire 7 Yd Run (Kyle Brindza Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 7TD
12 plays · 59 yds · 4:0436% → 49%
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
63.7%
Tarean Folston run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 39Similar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+21
64.3%
Malik Zaire pass complete to C.J. Prosise for 21 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
62.6%
Tarean Folston run for 3 yds to the LSU 37Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 7
OPP 37
0
62.6%
Malik Zaire pass incomplete to Corey RobinsonSimilar
Q2 8:50
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+11
62.7%
Everett Golson pass complete to William Fuller for 11 yds to the LSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-2
61.9%
Malik Zaire run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 28Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 12
OPP 28
+1
60.9%
Tarean Folston run for 1 yd to the LSU 27Similar
Q2 7:30
3RD & 11
OPP 27
+17
61.6%
Malik Zaire pass complete to William Fuller for 17 yds to the LSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
60.3%
Malik Zaire run for 4 yds to the LSU 6Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
50.8%
Tarean Folston 6 Yd Run (Kyle Brindza Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 8DOWNS
19 plays · 74 yds · 5:5355% → 51%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
55.2%
Travin Dural run for 9 yds to the LSU 34Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
56.7%
Leonard Fournette run for 4 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
55.6%
Anthony Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+17
55.3%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to DeSean Smith for 17 yds to the NDame 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
57.0%
John Diarse run for 8 yds to the NDame 37Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+1
56.9%
Terrence Magee run for 1 yd to the NDame 36Similar
Q2 2:58
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+6
56.6%
Terrence Magee run for 6 yds to the NDame 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+14
57.7%
Terrence Magee run for 14 yds to the NDame 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
57.0%
Anthony Jennings run for 3 yds to the NDame 13Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+2
56.6%
Leonard Fournette run for 2 yds to the NDame 11Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 5
OPP 11
+6
54.5%
Darrel Williams run for 6 yds to the NDame 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
55.5%
Anthony Jennings sacked by Jaylon Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 7Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
54.5%
Anthony Jennings run for 4 yds to the NDame 3Similar
Q2 0:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
52.4%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to John Diarse for 1 yd to the NDame 2Similar
Q2 0:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
50.5%
Brad Kragthorpe run for 1 yd to the NDame 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 9END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
47.3%
Malik Zaire run for no gain to the NDame 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 10TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
64.0%
John Diarse 75 Yd pass from Anthony Jennings (Trent Domingue Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 32 yds · 4:0540% → 42%
Q3 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
60.0%
Malik Zaire run for 2 yds to the NDame 30Similar
Q3 13:58
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+4
59.8%
Malik Zaire run for 4 yds to the NDame 34Similar
Q3 13:15
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+8
59.9%
Malik Zaire pass complete to Chris Brown for 8 yds to the NDame 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
57.7%
Tarean Folston run for 4 yds to the NDame 46Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+9
57.0%
Tarean Folston run for 9 yds to the LSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-4
56.7%
Malik Zaire pass complete to Tarean Folston for a loss of 4 yards to the LSU 49Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 14
OPP 49
+5
58.3%
Malik Zaire pass complete to Amir Carlisle for 5 yds to the LSU 44Similar
Q3 10:50
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+4
57.2%
Cam McDaniel run for 4 yds to the LSU 40Similar
Q3 10:23
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
58.2%
Kyle Brindza punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Tre'Davious White at the LSU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 12FUMBLE
7 plays · 46 yds · 2:5362% → 66%
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
62.2%
Anthony Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+5
62.1%
Leonard Fournette run for 5 yds to the LSU 14Similar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 5
OWN 14
+15
60.7%
Travin Dural run for 15 yds to the LSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
62.9%
Terrence Magee run for 1 yd to the LSU 30Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+21
62.7%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to DeSean Smith for 21 yds to the NDame 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
66.1%
Anthony Jennings run for 5 yds to the NDame 44Similar
Q3 7:21
2ND & 5
OPP 44
-1
66.3%
Anthony Jennings run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 45 Anthony Jennings fumbled, recovered by NDame Sheldon DaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:3444% → 41%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
55.8%
Tarean Folston run for 3 yds to the NDame 48Similar
Q3 6:43
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
55.3%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to Chris BrownSimilar
Q3 6:37
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
56.1%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to William FullerSimilar
Q3 6:26
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
59.0%
Kyle Brindza punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 14TD
1 play · 89 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+89
78.7%
Leonard Fournette 89 Yd Run (Trent Domingue Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 15TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 1:3626% → 47%
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
74.3%
Malik Zaire run for 7 yds to the NDame 40Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+6
72.6%
Tarean Folston run for 6 yds to the NDame 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
73.2%
Tarean Folston run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 6
50
+50
53.4%
C.J. Prosise run for 50 yds for a TD, (Kyle Brindza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:4861% → 58%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
61.3%
Anthony Jennings sacked by TEAM for a loss of 8 yards to the LSU 17Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 18
OWN 17
0
60.6%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Colin JeterSimilar
Q3 3:23
3RD & 18
OWN 17
0
58.9%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Travin DuralSimilar
Q3 3:12
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
57.9%
Jamie Keehn punt for 35 yds, downed at the NDame 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 2:0547% → 41%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-10
53.4%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NDame 38Similar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 20
OWN 38
-4
56.2%
Tarean Folston run for a loss of 4 yards to the NDame 34 Tarean Folston fumbled, recovered by NDameSimilar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 24
OWN 34
+4
58.2%
Malik Zaire run for 4 yds to the NDame 38Similar
Q3 1:31
3RD & 20
OWN 38
+7
57.9%
Amir Carlisle run for 7 yds to the NDame 45Similar
Q3 0:55
4TH & 13
OWN 45
+9
59.2%
Kyle Brindza punt for 45 yds , Tre'Davious White returns for 9 yds to the LSU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 18MISSED FG
9 plays · 58 yds · 3:3462% → 65%
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
62.1%
Kenny Hilliard run for 5 yds to the LSU 24Similar
Q3 0:05
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+13
62.8%
Travin Dural run for 13 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+21
63.8%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to DeSean Smith for 21 yds to the NDame 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
67.0%
Kenny Hilliard run for 7 yds to the NDame 35Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+4
68.6%
Kenny Hilliard run for 4 yds to the NDame 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
68.6%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Travin DuralSimilar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-1
68.4%
Leonard Fournette run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 32Similar
Q4 12:35
3RD & 11
OPP 32
+9
65.5%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Terrence Magee for 9 yds to the NDame 23Similar
Q4 11:56
4TH & 2
OPP 23
+40
64.5%
Trent Domingue 40 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Isaac Rochell Cole Luke return for 3 yds to the NDame 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4045% → 44%
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
55.0%
Malik Zaire run for no gain to the NDame 33Similar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+6
55.5%
Malik Zaire pass complete to C.J. Prosise for 6 yds to the NDame 39Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 4
OWN 39
0
53.0%
Malik Zaire run for no gain to the NDame 39Similar
Q4 9:49
4TH & 4
OWN 39
0
56.5%
Kyle Brindza punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 3:5961% → 61%
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
60.7%
Leonard Fournette run for 1 yd to the LSU 21Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+8
60.4%
Leonard Fournette run for 8 yds to the LSU 29Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
60.1%
Terrence Magee run for 2 yds to the LSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
61.3%
Terrence Magee run for no gain to the LSU 31Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+7
60.5%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to DeSean Smith for 7 yds to the LSU 38Similar
Q4 6:06
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+2
62.1%
Anthony Jennings run for 2 yds to the LSU 40Similar
Q4 5:41
4TH & 1
OWN 40
+44
60.7%
Jamie Keehn punt for 44 yds , Greg Bryant returns for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 21END OF GAME
19 plays · 71 yds · 5:1047% → 95%
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
53.4%
Malik Zaire pass complete to Amir Carlisle for 9 yds to the NDame 24Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 2
OWN 24
-1
51.3%
Tarean Folston run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 23Similar
Q4 4:10
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+7
54.5%
Malik Zaire run for 7 yds to the NDame 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
53.3%
Greg Bryant run for no gain to the NDame 30Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-5
53.5%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Mike McGlinchey) to the NDame 25Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 15
OWN 25
+14
54.3%
Everett Golson pass complete to William Fuller for 14 yds to the NDame 39Similar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+3
48.0%
Malik Zaire run for 3 yds to the NDame 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
48.3%
Malik Zaire pass incomplete to William FullerSimilar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
49.5%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to William FullerSimilar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+12
51.3%
Everett Golson pass complete to Ben Koyack for 12 yds to the LSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+16
44.5%
Everett Golson pass complete to Tarean Folston for 16 yds to the LSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
42.0%
Everett Golson pass complete to Chris Brown for 8 yds to the LSU 22Similar
Q4 0:23
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+8
38.6%
Malik Zaire run for 8 yds to the LSU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
38.4%
Malik Zaire run for no gain to the LSU 14Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+32
4.8%
Kyle Brindza 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Kyle Brindza 32 yd FG GOOD
-32.7
TD · Q3 6:14
Leonard Fournette 89 Yd Run (Trent Domingue Kick)
+19.8
TD · Q3 4:15
C.J. Prosise run for 50 yds for a TD, (Kyle Brindza KICK)
-19.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com