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MD

Maryland 21 at Stanford 45

STAN
2014 · Foster Farms Bowl · Dec 30, 2014 · Levi's Stadium
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Win probability · STAN
modelSTAN aheadMD aheadconfidence bandkey playSTAN scoreMD score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:31 · Jordan Williamson 37 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 108Home team on offense+32.2Pregame prior+12.5Score differential+26.1Garbage-time factor+9.9Blowout margin+10.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:19: Wes Brown 1 Yd Run (Brad Craddock Kick) — MD win probability +4.1 pts (now 24%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:46: Remound Wright 3 Yd Run (Jordan Williamson Kick) — STAN win probability +3.6 pts (now 83%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:44: Remound Wright 1 Yd Run (Jordan Williamson Kick) — STAN win probability +4.6 pts (now 88%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:17: Devon Cajuste 8 Yd pass from Kevin Hogan (Jordan Williamson Kick) — STAN win probability +8.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:18: Devon Cajuste 9 Yd pass from Kevin Hogan (Jordan Williamson Kick) — STAN win probability +2.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
STAN made the numbers' call on 5 of 5MD made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 3:17MD 4th & 5 at MD 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:46STAN 4th & 15 at STAN 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.2%−0.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:22MD 4th & 2 at MD 33, down 7
    Close callPunted · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:14MD 4th & 6 at MD 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:40STAN 4th & 1 at MD 45, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    83.6%−2.4
    25% to make
    Punt
    84.2%−1.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:04MD 4th & 6 at STAN 33, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    6.1%−0.3
    49% to make
    Punt
    5.8%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:01MD 4th & 7 at MD 28, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:04MD 4th & 22 at MD 35, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.7
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:31STAN 4th & 6 at MD 20, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%
    75% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:56MD 4th & 8 at MD 22, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:56STAN 4th & 5 at STAN 35, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:18MD 4th & 11 at MD 32, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:16STAN 4th & 6 at MD 12, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    86% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
STAN made the numbers' call on 6 of 6MD made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:03STAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:19MD Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:46STAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:44STAN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:17STAN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:18STAN Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:52STAN Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:39MD Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:12MD Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:2783% → 83%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
83.0%
Remound Wright run for 2 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+15
82.9%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Michael Rector for 15 yds to the Stanf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
82.8%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Austin Hooper for 4 yds to the Stanf 46Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+1
82.8%
Patrick Skov run for 1 yd to the Stanf 47Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+6
82.6%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Jordan Pratt for 6 yds to the Mary 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
82.6%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Jordan Pratt for 11 yds to the Mary 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
82.4%
Kelsey Young run for 2 yds to the Mary 34Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+19
82.3%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Austin Hooper for 19 yds to the Mary 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+11
82.2%
Kelsey Young run for 11 yds to the Mary 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
82.0%
Christian McCaffrey run for no gain to the Mary 4Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
81.9%
Kevin Hogan run for 3 yds to the Mary 1Similar
Q1 8:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
83.1%
Remound Wright 1 Yd Run (Jordan Williamson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 2PUNT
11 plays · 35 yds · 4:2317% → 18%
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
82.7%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Stefon Diggs for 5 yds to the Mary 11Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 5
OWN 11
+2
82.7%
Brandon Ross run for 2 yds to the Mary 13Similar
Q1 6:55
3RD & 3
OWN 13
+12
82.8%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Deon Long for 12 yds to the Mary 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
82.5%
Brandon Ross run for 3 yds to the Mary 28Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
82.4%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Stefon Diggs for 6 yds to the Mary 34Similar
Q1 5:20
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
82.3%
Wes Brown run for 2 yds to the Mary 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
82.2%
C.J. Brown run for 3 yds to the Mary 39Similar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+2
82.0%
C.J. Brown run for 2 yds to the Mary 41Similar
Q1 3:33
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
82.1%
C.J. Brown pass incomplete to Amba Etta-TawoSimilar
Q1 3:17
4TH & 5
OWN 41
+11
82.4%
Nathan Renfro punt for 48 yds , Christian McCaffrey returns for 11 yds to the Stanf 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:2683% → 82%
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
82.5%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Eric Cotton, broken up by William LikelySimilar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
82.4%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for no gain to the Stanf 22Similar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 10
OWN 22
-5
81.9%
Kevin Hogan sacked by Andre Monroe for a loss of 5 yards to the Stanf 17Similar
Q1 1:46
4TH & 15
OWN 17
0
81.5%
Ben Rhyne punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mary 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 4TD
7 plays · 52 yds · 2:0119% → 24%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+26
81.2%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Stefon Diggs for 26 yds to the Stanf 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
80.4%
Brandon Ross run for 7 yds to the Stanf 19Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+6
80.3%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Stefon Diggs for 6 yds to the Stanf 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
80.2%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Brandon Ross for 9 yds to the Stanf 4Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+2
80.2%
Brown, C.J. pass incomplete to Diggs, Stefon, PENALTY STANFORD offside declined, NO PLAY, PENALTY STANFORD holding (Martinez, Blake) 2 yards to the STANFORD2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MARYLAND. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
80.1%
Wes Brown run for 1 yd to the Stanf 1Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
76.0%
Wes Brown 1 Yd Run (Brad Craddock Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5TD
6 plays · 49 yds · 2:0479% → 83%
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+28
79.3%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Greg Taboada for 28 yds to the Mary 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
79.6%
Christian McCaffrey run for 9 yds to the Mary 12Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 1
OPP 12
+3
79.4%
Christian McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the Mary 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
79.2%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Remound Wright for 6 yds to the Mary 3Similar
Q2 11:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
82.8%
Remound Wright 3 Yd Run (Jordan Williamson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:0319% → 19%
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
81.4%
Wes Brown run for 5 yds to the Mary 30Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
81.0%
Wes Brown run for 3 yds to the Mary 33Similar
Q2 10:32
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
81.1%
C.J. Brown pass incomplete to Daniel AdamsSimilar
Q2 10:22
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+10
81.5%
Nathan Renfro punt for 47 yds , Christian McCaffrey returns for 10 yds to the Stanf 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 7TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 1:1682% → 88%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+30
81.7%
Kevin Hogan run for 30 yds to the Mary 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
82.8%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Austin HooperSimilar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+37
82.7%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Austin Hooper for 37 yds to the Mary 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
82.9%
Remound Wright run for 2 yds to the Mary 1Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
87.5%
Remound Wright 1 Yd Run (Jordan Williamson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:0614% → 13%
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
85.9%
C.J. Brown sacked by Henry Anderson and Harrison Phillips for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 24Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+2
86.2%
Brandon Ross run for 2 yds to the Mary 26Similar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+3
86.4%
C.J. Brown run for 3 yds to the Mary 29Similar
Q2 6:14
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+29
86.6%
Nathan Renfro punt for 54 yds , Christian McCaffrey returns for 29 yds to the Stanf 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 9TD
11 plays · 54 yds · 4:5087% → 96%
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
87.3%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Michael RectorSimilar
Q2 5:50
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+1
87.2%
Barry Sanders run for 1 yd to the Stanf 47Similar
Q2 5:10
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+8
86.9%
Kevin Hogan run for 8 yds to the Mary 45Similar
Q2 4:40
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+3
86.7%
Remound Wright run for 3 yds to the Mary 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+22
87.9%
Christian McCaffrey run for 22 yds to the Mary 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
88.1%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Devon Cajuste for 9 yds to the Mary 11Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+3
88.3%
Kelsey Young run for 3 yds to the Mary 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
88.9%
Kelsey Young run for no gain to the Mary 8Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
89.0%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Greg Taboada, broken up by Anthony NixonSimilar
Q2 1:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
95.5%
Devon Cajuste 8 Yd pass from Kevin Hogan (Jordan Williamson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 10DOWNS
13 plays · 42 yds · 0:566% → 4%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
93.9%
Brandon Ross run for 4 yds to the Mary 29Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+22
93.6%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Stefon Diggs for 22 yds to the Stanf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-6
93.3%
C.J. Brown sacked by James Vaughters for a loss of 6 yards to the Mary 45Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 16
OWN 45
0
94.5%
C.J. Brown pass incomplete to Brandon RossSimilar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 16
OWN 45
+18
94.4%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 18 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-10
93.6%
C.J. Brown sacked by Henry Anderson and David Parry for a loss of 10 yards to the Stanf 47 MARYLAND Penalty, Intentional Grounding (C.J. Brown) to the Stanf 47Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 20
OPP 47
+14
96.6%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Juwann Winfree for 14 yds to the Stanf 33Similar
Q2 0:09
3RD & 6
OPP 33
0
95.8%
C.J. Brown pass incomplete to Juwann WinfreeSimilar
Q2 0:04
4TH & 6
OPP 33
0
96.3%
C.J. Brown pass incomplete to Deon LongSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
96.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:555% → 5%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.6%
C.J. Brown pass incomplete to Kenneth Goins Jr.Similar
Q3 14:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
94.7%
Brandon Ross run for 3 yds to the Mary 28Similar
Q3 14:12
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
94.8%
C.J. Brown pass incomplete to Brandon RossSimilar
Q3 14:01
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
94.9%
Nathan Renfro punt for 47 yds, downed at the Stanf 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 13FUMBLE
4 plays · 48 yds · 1:4896% → 96%
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.7%
Remound Wright run for 2 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+14
95.9%
Kevin Hogan run for 14 yds to the Stanf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+35
96.2%
Remound Wright run for 35 yds to the Mary 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-4
96.4%
Kevin Hogan run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 27 Kevin Hogan fumbled, recovered by Mary Darius KilgoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 14INT
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:185% → 4%
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
95.5%
C.J. Brown run for 1 yd to the Mary 28Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+18
95.6%
C.J. Brown pass intercepted Kyle Olugbode return for 18 yds to the Mary 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 15TD
4 plays · 34 yds · 0:4997% → 99%
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
96.6%
Hogan, Kevin pass incomplete to Rector, Michael, PENALTY MARYLAND pass interference (Johnson, Jeremiah) 9 yards to the MARYLAND25, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN STANFORD. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
96.6%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Austin HooperSimilar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+16
96.6%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Austin Hooper for 16 yds to the Mary 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.3%
Devon Cajuste 9 Yd pass from Kevin Hogan (Jordan Williamson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 0 yds · 2:511% → 1%
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
99.2%
C.J. Brown run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 32Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+4
99.3%
C.J. Brown run for 4 yds to the Mary 36Similar
Q3 8:55
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+11
99.4%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Stefon Diggs for 11 yds to the Mary 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
99.4%
Brandon Ross run for 3 yds to the Mary 49 Brandon Ross fumbled, forced by James Vaughters, recovered by Mary Silvano AltamiranoSimilar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 8
OWN 49
-14
99.4%
C.J. Brown sacked by Harrison Phillips for a loss of 14 yards to the Mary 35Similar
Q3 7:12
3RD & 22
OWN 35
0
99.5%
C.J. Brown pass incomplete to Daniel AdamsSimilar
Q3 7:04
4TH & 22
OWN 35
0
99.5%
TEAM punt blocked by Dallas Lloyd, recovered by Stanford Francis Owusu at Mary 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 17MISSED FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:14100% → 100%
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
99.6%
Daniel Marx run for 1 yd to the Mary 23Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+3
99.6%
Christian McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the Mary 20Similar
Q3 5:36
3RD & 6
OPP 20
0
99.7%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Jordan Pratt, broken up by Jarrett RossSimilar
Q3 5:31
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+37
99.6%
Jordan Williamson 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:290% → 0%
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.6%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Stefon Diggs for 2 yds to the Mary 22Similar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
99.6%
C.J. Brown pass incomplete to Deon Long, broken up by Alex CarterSimilar
Q3 5:05
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
99.6%
C.J. Brown pass incomplete to Daniel AdamsSimilar
Q3 4:56
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
99.6%
Nathan Renfro punt for 44 yds, downed at the Stanf 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 19TD
10 plays · 66 yds · 4:48100% → 100%
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
99.7%
Barry Sanders run for 4 yds to the Stanf 38Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+15
99.7%
Christian McCaffrey run for 15 yds to the Mary 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
99.7%
Ricky Seale run for 7 yds to the Mary 40Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+15
99.7%
Hogan, Kevin pass incomplete to Cajuste, Devon, PENALTY MARYLAND pass interference (Davis, Sean) 15 yards to the MARYLAND25, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN STANFORD. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
99.8%
Kevin Hogan run for 3 yds to the Mary 22Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
-3
99.8%
Francis Owusu run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 25Similar
Q3 1:20
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+21
99.8%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Devon Cajuste for 21 yds to the Mary 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
99.8%
Ricky Seale run for 2 yds to the Mary 2Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.7%
Ricky Seale run for 1 yd to the Mary 1Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Ricky Seale 1 Yd Run (Jordan Williamson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:19100% → 100%
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.8%
Barry Sanders run for no gain to the Stanf 30Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
99.8%
Daniel Marx run for 5 yds to the Stanf 35Similar
Q4 13:05
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
99.8%
Evan Crower pass incomplete to Francis OwusuSimilar
Q4 12:56
4TH & 5
OWN 35
+7
99.8%
Ben Rhyne punt for 39 yds , William Likely returns for 7 yds to the Mary 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:020% → 0%
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-4
99.9%
C.J. Brown sacked by Henry Anderson and James Vaughters for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 29Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 14
OWN 29
+3
99.9%
Wes Brown run for 3 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 11
OWN 32
0
99.9%
C.J. Brown pass incomplete to Stefon Diggs, broken up by Blake MartinezSimilar
Q4 11:18
4TH & 11
OWN 32
+31
99.9%
Nathan Renfro punt for 44 yds , Christian McCaffrey returns for 31 yds to the Mary 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 23FG
12 plays · 33 yds · 5:44100% → 100%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
99.9%
Evan Crower pass complete to Austin Hooper for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 15
50
+2
99.9%
Kelsey Young run for 2 yds to the Mary 48Similar
Q4 9:30
3RD & 13
OPP 48
-5
99.9%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (Andrus Peat) to the Stanf 47Similar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 18
OWN 47
+16
99.9%
Evan Crower pass complete to Barry Sanders for 16 yds to the Mary 37Similar
Q4 8:48
4TH & 2
OPP 37
+10
99.9%
Crower, Evan pass incomplete to Rector, Michael, PENALTY MARYLAND pass interference (Johnson, Jeremiah) 10 yards to the MARYLAND27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN STANFORD. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
99.9%
Barry Sanders run for 3 yds to the Mary 24Similar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+3
99.9%
Evan Crower pass complete to Eric Cotton for 3 yds to the Mary 21Similar
Q4 7:10
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+5
99.9%
Christian McCaffrey run for 5 yds to the Mary 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.9%
Kelsey Young run for no gain to the Mary 16Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
99.9%
Evan Crower pass incomplete to Francis OwusuSimilar
Q4 5:50
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+4
99.9%
Kelsey Young run for 4 yds to the Mary 12Similar
Q4 5:16
4TH & 6
OPP 12
+29
99.9%
Jordan Williamson 29 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 24TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 2:480% → 1%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
99.9%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Stefon Diggs for 12 yds to the Mary 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+16
99.9%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Stefon Diggs for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
50
+9
99.9%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Deon Long for 9 yds to the Stanf 41Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 1
OPP 41
-7
99.9%
C.J. Brown sacked by Torsten Rotto for a loss of 7 yards to the Stanf 48Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+14
100.0%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Wes Brown for 14 yds to the Stanf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+32
99.9%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Stefon Diggs for 32 yds to the Stanf 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.3%
C.J. Brown 2 Yd Run (Brad Craddock Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 25END OF GAME
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:50100% → 100%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
99.6%
Kelsey Young run for 2 yds to the Mary 41Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+3
99.6%
Barry Sanders run for 3 yds to the Mary 38Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+5
99.6%
Evan Crower pass complete to Dontonio Jordan for 5 yds to the Mary 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
99.7%
Kelsey Young run for 1 yd to the Mary 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:17
Devon Cajuste 8 Yd pass from Kevin Hogan (Jordan Williamson Kick)
+8
TD · Q2 8:44
Remound Wright 1 Yd Run (Jordan Williamson Kick)
+4.6
TD · Q2 14:19
Wes Brown 1 Yd Run (Brad Craddock Kick)
-4.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com