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CMU

Central Michigan 48 at Western Kentucky 49

WKU
2014 · Popeyes Bahamas Bowl · Dec 24, 2014 · Thomas A. Robinson National Stadium
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Win probability · WKU
modelWKU aheadCMU aheadconfidence bandkey playWKU scoreCMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:00 · Joseph Occhipinti punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Titus Davis at the CMich 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame prior
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 172Home team on offense+28.4Score differential+13.3Garbage-time factor+15.1Blowout margin−1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.5Pregame prior+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:03: Brandon Doughty pass complete to Mitchell Henry for 16 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +11.5 pts (now 84%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:55: Cooper Rush pass complete to Courtney Williams for 30 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK) — CMU win probability +11.4 pts (now 24%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:41: Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 55 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +12.4 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:09: Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Garland for 7 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK) — CMU win probability +13.0 pts (now 16%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:00: Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 48 yds to the WKent 27 (caught at the WKent 29), lateral to Deon Butler for 10 yds to the WKent 17, lateral to Courtney Williams for 2 yds to the WKent 15, lateral to Titus Davis for 15 yds for a TD (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — CMU win probability +16.7 pts (now 21%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WKU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4CMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q2 13:26CMU 4th & 1 at WKU 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    31.2%−1.7
    77% to make
    Punt
    26.1%−6.8
    average punt
  2. Q2 2:55CMU 4th & 15 at WKU 30, down 21
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.1 ptsWent for it · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.6%−1.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    11.6%
    56% to make
    Punt
    10.3%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 0:48CMU 4th & 4 at CMU 48, down 21
    Close callPunted · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:04WKU 4th & 1 at CMU 1, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    89.2%−3.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    82.2%−10.4
    average punt
  5. Q3 13:53CMU 4th & 23 at CMU 12, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−2.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:02CMU 4th & 13 at CMU 23, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:36CMU 4th & 10 at CMU 45, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:19WKU 4th & 19 at CMU 19, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    77% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:07WKU 4th & 2 at WKU 33, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 2:00WKU 4th & 16 at WKU 29, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.5
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WKU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7CMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 11:23WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:07WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:13WKU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:03WKU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:55CMU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:41WKU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:04WKU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 8:55WKU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 11:37CMU Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:03CMU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 3:06CMU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.7%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.7%
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 1:09CMU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 0:00CMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Numbers favored kick by 1.9 ptsWent for two · failed
    Kick
    41.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    39.4%−1.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:2755% → 57%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.7%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete, broken up by Blake SerpaSimilar
Q1 14:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
54.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for 11 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
54.8%
Leon Allen run for 3 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+2
54.8%
Leon Allen run for 2 yds to the WKent 41Similar
Q1 13:32
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+9
54.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
50
0
55.0%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Mitchell HenrySimilar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 10
50
+7
55.0%
Anthony Wales run for 7 yds to the CMich 43Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+18
55.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 18 yds to the CMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+9
55.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for 9 yds to the CMich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
56.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 14 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 2TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:0044% → 46%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+45
56.4%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Titus Davis for 45 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
56.0%
Saylor Lavallii run for 9 yds to the WKent 21Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+21
54.3%
Titus Davis 21 Yd pass from Cooper Rush (Brian Eavey Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:3355% → 59%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
55.2%
Leon Allen run for 9 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
55.6%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Antwane GrantSimilar
Q1 9:20
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+29
55.3%
Leon Allen run for 29 yds to the CMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
55.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 8 yds to the CMich 29Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+17
56.2%
Anthony Wales run for 17 yds to the CMich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
58.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Joel German for 12 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 4INT
9 plays · 46 yds · 3:0442% → 42%
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-4
57.6%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Saylor Lavallii for a loss of 4 yards to the CMich 34Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 14
OWN 34
0
58.2%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete, broken up by Terran WilliamsSimilar
Q1 7:07
3RD & 14
OWN 34
+19
58.6%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 19 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
57.6%
Devon Spalding run for 2 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+14
57.8%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Titus Davis for 14 yds to the WKent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
57.5%
Rush, Cooper pass deep middle incomplete to Rice, Anthony thrown to the WESTERNKY0 (Iworah, Prince Charles), PENALTY WESTERNKY player disqualification (Williams, Terran) 15 yards to the WESTERNKY16, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CENTMICH. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
57.5%
Saylor Lavallii run for no gain to the WKent 16Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
57.6%
Cooper Rush pass intercepted Cam Thomas return for 16 yds to the WKent 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5TD
10 plays · 84 yds · 3:0760% → 68%
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
59.7%
Kylen Towner run for 1 yd to the WKent 17Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+26
59.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 11 yds to the WKent 28 for a 1ST down CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Roughing Passer (Louis Palmer) to the WKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
60.8%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+28
60.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 28 yds to the CMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
61.5%
Leon Allen run for 4 yds to the CMich 25Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 6
OPP 25
0
61.4%
Leon Allen run for no gain to the CMich 25Similar
Q1 2:10
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+11
61.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 11 yds to the CMich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
61.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for 5 yds to the CMich 9Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 5
OPP 9
-10
62.0%
Doughty, Brandon rush quarterback scramble for 5 yards to the CENTMICH4, PENALTY WESTERNKY holding (Liebert, Scott) 10 yards to the CENTMICH19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 15
OPP 19
+19
67.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 19 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 6DOWNS
9 plays · 34 yds · 2:1935% → 34%
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-4
65.1%
Cooper Rush sacked by Gavin Rocker for a loss of 4 yards to the CMich 43 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 0:25
2ND & 14
OWN 43
+7
66.0%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Titus Davis for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
50
-5
65.8%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, False Start (Deon Butler) to the CMich 45Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 12
OWN 45
+27
66.2%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Deon Butler for 27 yds to the WKent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
64.7%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Titus DavisSimilar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+9
65.2%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Saylor Lavallii for 9 yds to the WKent 19Similar
Q2 13:31
3RD & 1
OPP 19
0
66.1%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Courtney Williams, broken up by Wonderful TerrySimilar
Q2 13:26
4TH & 1
OPP 19
0
66.5%
Saylor Lavallii run for no gain to the WKent 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7TD
10 plays · 81 yds · 3:1769% → 84%
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
69.2%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 19
-1
69.4%
Leon Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 18Similar
Q2 12:34
3RD & 11
OWN 18
+27
69.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 27 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
71.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Joel German for 3 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+23
71.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 23 yds to the CMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
72.0%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Willie McNealSimilar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
72.0%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+11
71.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for 11 yds to the CMich 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
72.6%
Leon Allen run for 2 yds to the CMich 16Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+16
84.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Mitchell Henry for 16 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 8TD
16 plays · 79 yds · 6:5018% → 24%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
81.7%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Deon Butler for 6 yds to the CMich 27Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 4
OWN 27
-14
82.0%
Devon Spalding run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 25 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Personal Foul (Joe Bacci) to the CMich 13Similar
Q2 8:55
3RD & 18
OWN 13
+15
82.9%
Rush, Cooper pass crossing incomplete to Rice, Anthony thrown to the CENTMICH28 (Ward, Marcus), PENALTY WESTERNKY pass interference (Ward, Marcus) 15 yards to the CENTMICH28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+8
82.6%
Devon Spalding run for 8 yds to the CMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
82.2%
Devon Spalding run for 2 yds to the CMich 38Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+23
82.8%
Cooper Rush run for 23 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
82.8%
Martez Walker run for 2 yds to the WKent 37Similar
Q2 6:01
2ND & 8
OPP 37
0
83.3%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Titus Davis, broken up by Cam ThomasSimilar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+12
84.0%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Deon Butler for 12 yds to the WKent 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
83.1%
Saylor Lavallii run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 26Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 11
OPP 26
0
83.8%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Courtney Williams, broken up by Wonderful TerrySimilar
Q2 4:26
3RD & 11
OPP 26
-10
85.7%
Rush, Cooper pass right sideline complete to Kinville, Mike for 19 yards to the WESTERNKY7 (caught at the WESTERNKY10), PENALTY CENTMICH holding (Henry, Kevin) 10 yards to the WESTERNKY36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 21
OPP 36
-5
86.7%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, False Start (Titus Davis) to the WKent 41Similar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 26
OPP 41
+11
87.1%
Cooper Rush run for 11 yds to the WKent 30Similar
Q2 2:55
4TH & 15
OPP 30
+30
75.7%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Courtney Williams for 30 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9TD
4 plays · 69 yds · 0:5977% → 91%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
76.9%
Taywan Taylor run for 11 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
78.6%
Leon Allen run for 3 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+55
91.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 55 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 0:4212% → 13%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
88.4%
Cooper Rush run for 6 yds to the CMich 31Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+11
88.1%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Devon Spalding for 11 yds to the CMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
87.2%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Titus DavisSimilar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+6
87.4%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Devon Spalding for 6 yds to the CMich 48Similar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 4
OWN 48
0
86.8%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Corey Willis, broken up by Cam ThomasSimilar
Q2 0:48
4TH & 4
OWN 48
0
87.5%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 14 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11TD
8 plays · 62 yds · 0:3792% → 97%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+20
91.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Mitchell Henry for 20 yds to the CMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+35
92.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 35 yds to the CMich 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
91.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Joel German for 3 yds to the CMich 4Similar
Q2 0:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
90.6%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared DangerfieldSimilar
Q2 0:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
90.1%
Brandon Doughty run for 3 yds to the CMich 1Similar
Q2 0:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.0%
Leon Allen run for 1 yd for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -13 yds · 0:5214% → 2%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
86.0%
Cooper Rush sacked by Derik Overstreet for a loss of 5 yards to the CMich 20Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
95.8%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Titus DavisSimilar
Q3 14:08
3RD & 15
OWN 20
-8
97.7%
Cooper Rush sacked by Derik Overstreet for a loss of 8 yards to the CMich 12 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Kenny Rogers) declinedSimilar
Q3 13:53
4TH & 23
OWN 12
+35
97.8%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Willie McNeal at the CMich 37 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive Holding (Joe Brown) to the CMich 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 14FUMBLE
5 plays · 31 yds · 1:4298% → 99%
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
98.0%
Anthony Wales run for 5 yds to the CMich 42Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+1
98.2%
Anthony Wales run for 1 yd to the CMich 41Similar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+12
98.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Anthony Wales for 12 yds to the CMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
98.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Mitchell Henry for 11 yds to the CMich 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
98.5%
Anthony Wales run for 2 yds to the CMich 16 Anthony Wales fumbled, recovered by CMich Justin CherocciSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:282% → 1%
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
98.3%
Devon Spalding run for no gain to the CMich 16Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+10
98.5%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 10 yds to the CMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
98.6%
Devon Spalding run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 25Similar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 11
OWN 25
0
98.6%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 11
OWN 25
-2
98.8%
Cooper Rush sacked by Tanner Reeves for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 23 Cooper Rush fumbled, forced by Tanner Reeves, recovered by CMich Cooper Rush , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 9:02
4TH & 13
OWN 23
-2
98.8%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 13 yds, fair catch by Willie McNeal at the CMich 36 for a 1ST down CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Stefon Armstead) to the CMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 16TD
1 play · 21 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
99.1%
Anthony Wales run for 21 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:541% → 1%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.0%
Devon Spalding run for 3 yds to the CMich 28Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+17
99.2%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 17 yds to the CMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.3%
Devon Spalding run for no gain to the CMich 45Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
99.3%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:43
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
99.3%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Titus DavisSimilar
Q3 6:36
4TH & 10
OWN 45
0
99.4%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 18MISSED FG
12 plays · 51 yds · 4:4199% → 100%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
99.3%
Anthony Wales run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 28Similar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 12
OWN 28
+1
99.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 16 yds to the WKent 44 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the WKent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+30
99.4%
Anthony Wales run for 30 yds to the CMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
99.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 4 yds to the CMich 37Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+18
99.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tim Gorski for 18 yds to the CMich 19 for a 1ST down CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Defensive Offside (Blake Serpa) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
99.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Joel German for 9 yds to the CMich 10Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 1
OPP 10
-2
99.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 12 TEAM fumbled, recovered by WKent Anthony WalesSimilar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+6
99.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 6 yds to the CMich 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
99.6%
Anthony Wales run for 1 yd to the CMich 5Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.6%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Mitchell HenrySimilar
Q3 1:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-14
99.6%
Brandon Doughty run for 1 yd to the CMich 4 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Brandon Doughty) to the CMich 19Similar
Q3 1:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 19
+36
99.6%
Garrett Schwettman 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 19TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 4:030% → 0%
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.7%
Martez Walker run for no gain to the CMich 20Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
99.8%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Titus DavisSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+12
99.8%
Martez Walker run for 12 yds to the CMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+21
99.8%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Joe Bacci for 21 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.8%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Titus DavisSimilar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+5
99.8%
Cooper Rush run for 5 yds to the WKent 42Similar
Q4 13:26
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+8
99.8%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 8 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+22
99.8%
Martez Walker run for 22 yds to the WKent 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
99.8%
Martez Walker run for no gain to the WKent 12Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.8%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Titus Davis for 12 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:53100% → 100%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.8%
Anthony Wales run for 4 yds to the WKent 29Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
99.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 4 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q4 10:18
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
99.8%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete, broken up by Blake SerpaSimilar
Q4 10:07
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
99.8%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 17 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 21TD
5 plays · 50 yds · 1:420% → 1%
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
50
+2
99.9%
Martez Walker run for 2 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q4 9:22
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+14
99.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mike Kinville for 14 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
99.9%
Martez Walker run for 11 yds to the WKent 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
99.9%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:03
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+23
98.6%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Titus Davis for 23 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 22FUMBLE
4 plays · 66 yds · 1:3499% → 99%
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
98.8%
Anthony Wales run for 10 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.0%
Anthony Wales run for no gain to the WKent 35Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+56
99.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 56 yds Willie McNeal fumbled, forced by Joe Ostman, recovered by CMich Tony Annese , return for 27 yds to the CMich 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 23TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 2:581% → 6%
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
99.2%
Martez Walker run for 9 yds to the CMich 45Similar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+10
99.2%
Martez Walker run for 10 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.2%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Titus DavisSimilar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
99.2%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 5 yds to the WKent 40Similar
Q4 4:21
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+28
99.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Courtney Williams for 28 yds to the WKent 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-10
99.2%
Kater, Cody pass short middle crossing complete to Kroll, Jesse for 12 yards to the WESTERNKY0 (caught at the WESTERNKY6), PENALTY CENTMICH holding (Lavallii, Saylor) 10 yards to the WESTERNKY22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 20
OPP 22
+12
99.2%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mike Kinville for 12 yds to the WKent 10Similar
Q4 3:06
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+10
94.0%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Courtney Williams for 10 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · -6 yds · 0:3097% → 98%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
97.3%
Anthony Wales run for no gain to the WKent 35Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-1
97.3%
Anthony Wales run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 34Similar
Q4 2:08
3RD & 11
OWN 34
0
97.9%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared DangerfieldSimilar
Q4 2:08
4TH & 11
OWN 34
-5
97.7%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Forrest Coleman) to the WKent 29Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 16
OWN 29
0
98.0%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Titus Davis at the CMich 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 25TD
4 plays · 55 yds · 0:423% → 16%
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+13
97.4%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Deon Butler for 13 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+35
97.1%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 35 yds to the WKent 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
96.7%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
83.6%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Garland for 7 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · -1 yds · 0:5297% → 97%
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
96.8%
Leon Allen run for no gain to the CMich 41Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
96.8%
Leon Allen run for no gain to the CMich 41Similar
Q4 0:10
3RD & 10
OPP 41
-1
96.9%
Leon Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 27TD
1 play · 75 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
79.5%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 48 yds to the WKent 27 (caught at the WKent 29), lateral to Deon Butler for 10 yds to the WKent 17, lateral to Courtney Williams for 2 yds to the WKent 15, lateral to Titus Davis for 15 yds for a TD (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+20.5
TD · Q4 0:00
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 48 yds to the WKent 27 (caught at the WKent 29), lateral to Deon Butler for 10 yds to the WKent 17, lateral to Courtney Williams for 2 yds to the WKent 15, lateral to Titus Davis for 15 yds for a TD (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-16.7
TD · Q4 1:09
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Garland for 7 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)
-13
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com