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FRES

Fresno State 6 at Rice 30

RICE
2014 · Hawai'i Bowl · Dec 24, 2014 · Aloha Stadium
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Win probability · RICE
modelRICE aheadFRES aheadconfidence bandkey playRICE scoreFRES score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:17 · James Farrimond punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Derron Smith at the FrsSt 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 96Home team on offense+9.0Score differential+1.1Garbage-time factor+3.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.6Pregame prior−2.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:23: Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jordan Taylor for 14 yds for a TD, (James Hairston PAT MISSED) — RICE win probability +4.1 pts (now 55%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:04: Driphus Jackson pass complete to Mario Hull for 69 yds for a TD, (James Hairston KICK) — RICE win probability +8.5 pts (now 61%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 8:53: Kody Kroening 40 yd FG GOOD — FRES win probability +3.3 pts (now 41%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:01: Timeout FRESNO ST, clock 01:01 — RICE win probability +4.6 pts (now 69%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:18: Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 40 yds for a TD, (James Hairston KICK) — RICE win probability +12.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RICE made the numbers' call on 6 of 10FRES made the numbers' call on 8 of 13
  1. Q1 10:32RICE 4th & 4 at FRES 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.6%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    46.9%−0.8
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:20FRES 4th & 16 at FRES 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%−0.8
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:27RICE 4th & 2 at FRES 36, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    49.2%−0.6
    42% to make
    Punt
    49.0%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:16FRES 4th & 12 at RICE 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.5%
    64% to make
    Punt
    47.2%−2.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:14FRES 4th & 3 at FRES 37, down 13
    Close callPunted · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.1%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:36RICE 4th & 7 at RICE 26, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.2%−1.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:53FRES 4th & 7 at RICE 23, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.4%
    70% to make
    Punt
    30.0%−4.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:52RICE 4th & 17 at RICE 18, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−2.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:49FRES 4th & 1 at RICE 18, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    34.5%−2.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    28.7%−7.9
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:17RICE 4th & 21 at RICE 21, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%−4.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.6%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:30FRES 4th & 11 at RICE 45, down 10
    Close callPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.7%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    31.9%
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.7%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:18FRES 4th & 14 at FRES 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.0%−3.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:55RICE 4th & 16 at RICE 24, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%−4.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.0%
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:06FRES 4th & 13 at RICE 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%−2.2
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.5%
    62% to make
    Punt
    18.4%−7.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:57RICE 4th & 6 at RICE 28, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:53FRES 4th & 4 at FRES 45, down 17
    Close callPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:27RICE 4th & 2 at RICE 27, up 17
    Close callPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.2%−0.6
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:34FRES 4th & 4 at RICE 41, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    3.4%−1.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    3.7%−0.8
    average punt
  19. Q4 9:34FRES 4th & 8 at FRES 27, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:28RICE 4th & 6 at RICE 47, up 24
    Close callPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 3:19FRES 4th & 5 at FRES 37, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%
    average punt
  22. Q4 1:33RICE 4th & 11 at FRES 38, up 24
    Close callPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  23. Q4 0:15FRES 4th & 13 at FRES 46, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RICE made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 0:23RICE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    54.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:04RICE Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:18RICE Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:07RICE Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RICEDrive 1FG
15 plays · 71 yds · 4:0846% → 48%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
46.1%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Mario Hull for 6 yds to the Rice 31Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+11
46.2%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jordan Taylor for 11 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+24
46.3%
Jowan Davis run for 24 yds to the FrsSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
46.6%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+15
46.8%
Driphus Jackson run for 15 yds to the FrsSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
46.9%
Luke Turner pass complete to Dennis Parks for 8 yds to the FrsSt 11Similar
Q1 12:28
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+2
47.1%
Luke Turner run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-10
47.3%
Jackson, Driphus pass incomplete, PENALTY RICE holding 10 yards to the FRESNOST19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 19
-15
47.2%
RICE Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the FrsSt 34Similar
Q1 11:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 34
+17
47.3%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Zach Wright for 17 yds to the FrsSt 17Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 17
+13
47.4%
Driphus Jackson run for 13 yds to the FrsSt 4Similar
Q1 10:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
47.5%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
47.7%
James Hairston 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 2:5052% → 51%
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
47.6%
Marteze Waller run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 27Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 9
OWN 27
0
48.0%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Marteze Waller for no gain to the FrsSt 27Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 9
OWN 27
+10
48.3%
RICE Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the FrsSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
48.1%
Marteze Waller run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 36Similar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 11
OWN 36
-5
48.5%
Marteze Waller run for a loss of 5 yards to the FrsSt 31Similar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 16
OWN 31
0
49.0%
Brian Burrell pass incomplete to Marteze WallerSimilar
Q1 7:20
4TH & 16
OWN 31
+6
49.3%
Garrett Swanson punt for 36 yds , Bryce Callahan returns for 6 yds to the Rice 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 3DOWNS
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:4649% → 49%
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
48.8%
Luke Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+17
48.8%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jordan Taylor for 17 yds to the FrsSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
49.8%
Jowan Davis run for no gain to the FrsSt 44Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
49.8%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+8
49.3%
Driphus Jackson run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 36Similar
Q1 5:27
4TH & 2
OPP 36
0
49.3%
Driphus Jackson run for no gain to the FrsSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 4FG
12 plays · 38 yds · 2:5951% → 52%
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
49.0%
Marteze Waller run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 42Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 4
OWN 42
-1
48.6%
Marteze Waller run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 41Similar
Q1 4:30
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+7
48.9%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Josh Harper for 7 yds to the FrsSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
48.4%
RICE Penalty, Offside Defense (5 Yards) to the Rice 47Similar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 5
OPP 47
+1
48.2%
Josh Quezada run for 1 yd to the Rice 46Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+2
48.2%
Brian Burrell run for 2 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+20
48.4%
Josh Quezada run for 20 yds to the Rice 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-2
47.7%
Josh Quezada run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 26Similar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 12
OPP 26
0
47.7%
Brian Burrell pass incomplete to Josh QuezadaSimilar
Q1 2:21
3RD & 12
OPP 26
0
48.6%
Brian Burrell pass incomplete to Greg WatsonSimilar
Q1 2:16
4TH & 12
OPP 26
+44
47.6%
Kody Kroening 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 5TD
6 plays · 78 yds · 1:1749% → 55%
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
48.9%
Jowan Davis run for 6 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+2
49.3%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q1 0:54
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+53
48.8%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 53 yds to the FrsSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
51.1%
Driphus Jackson run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 14Similar
Q1 0:23
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+14
55.1%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jordan Taylor for 14 yds for a TD, (James Hairston PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 6INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
52.4%
Brian Burrell pass intercepted J.T. Blasingame return for no gain to the Rice 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 7TD
1 play · 69 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q1 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+69
60.9%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Mario Hull for 69 yds for a TD, (James Hairston KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2641% → 40%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
58.8%
Dillon Root run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 31Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+3
59.1%
Marteze Waller run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 34Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+3
59.9%
Marteze Waller run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 37Similar
Q2 13:14
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
60.4%
Garrett Swanson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Mario Hull at the Rice 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1463% → 63%
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
62.8%
Darrion Pollard run for 3 yds to the Rice 26Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 7
OWN 26
0
63.4%
Jowan Davis run for no gain to the Rice 26Similar
Q2 11:42
3RD & 7
OWN 26
0
63.0%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:36
4TH & 7
OWN 26
0
62.5%
James Farrimond punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Derron Smith at the FrsSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 10FG
11 plays · 51 yds · 2:2238% → 41%
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
62.0%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Greg Watson for 7 yds to the FrsSt 33Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+7
61.5%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Chad Olsen for 7 yds to the FrsSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+21
61.7%
Josh Quezada run for 21 yds to the Rice 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
60.6%
Brian Burrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+3
61.0%
Josh Quezada run for 3 yds to the Rice 36Similar
Q2 9:58
3RD & 7
OPP 36
0
61.6%
Brian Burrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:53
4TH & 7
OPP 36
+10
62.6%
Burrell, Brian pass incomplete to Olsen, Chad, PENALTY RICE holding 10 yards to the RICE26, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FRESNOST. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
61.0%
Josh Quezada run for 5 yds to the Rice 21Similar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 5
OPP 21
-2
61.4%
Josh Quezada run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 23Similar
Q2 8:58
3RD & 7
OPP 23
0
62.4%
Brian Burrell pass incomplete to Greg WatsonSimilar
Q2 8:53
4TH & 7
OPP 23
+40
59.1%
Kody Kroening 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 11FUMBLE
6 plays · -7 yds · 1:3860% → 60%
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
59.5%
Jowan Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 23Similar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
60.6%
Driphus Jackson run for no gain to the Rice 23Similar
Q2 7:14
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
59.9%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:14
4TH & 12
OWN 23
-5
59.3%
RICE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 18Similar
Q2 6:52
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
59.6%
James Farrimond punt for 40 yds , Derron Smith returns for no gain to the FrsSt 42 Derron Smith fumbled, recovered by FrsStSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 12DOWNS
10 plays · 37 yds · 2:4140% → 38%
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
60.3%
Josh Quezada run for no gain to the FrsSt 42Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
60.8%
Brian Burrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+21
61.7%
Brian Burrell run for 21 yds to the Rice 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
59.6%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Greg Watson for 4 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+2
58.5%
Brian Burrell run for 2 yds to the Rice 31Similar
Q2 5:10
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+4
59.7%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Josh Harper for 4 yds to the Rice 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
58.9%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Greg Watson for 6 yds to the Rice 21Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+3
59.1%
Josh Quezada run for 3 yds to the Rice 18Similar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 1
OPP 18
0
60.7%
Brian Burrell run for no gain to the Rice 18Similar
Q2 3:49
4TH & 1
OPP 18
-3
62.0%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Greg Watson for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 0 yds · 2:2464% → 68%
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
63.5%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jordan Taylor for 9 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 1
OWN 30
0
65.4%
Driphus Jackson run for no gain to the Rice 30Similar
Q2 2:25
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+2
69.9%
Brandon Hamilton run for 2 yds to the Rice 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
69.9%
Jowan Davis run for a loss of 5 yards to the Rice 27Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 15
OWN 27
0
68.9%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Mario HullSimilar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 15
OWN 27
-1
68.1%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Darik Dillard for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 26Similar
Q2 1:25
4TH & 16
OWN 26
-5
68.3%
RICE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 21Similar
Q2 1:17
4TH & 21
OWN 21
0
68.4%
James Farrimond punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Derron Smith at the FrsSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:4033% → 31%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+19
66.7%
Brian Burrell run for 19 yds to the Rice 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-9
64.5%
Brian Burrell sacked by Zach Patt for a loss of 9 yards to the FrsSt 47Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 19
OWN 47
+8
69.2%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Josh Harper for 8 yds to the Rice 45Similar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 11
OPP 45
0
68.1%
Brian Burrell pass incomplete to Greg WatsonSimilar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 11
OPP 45
0
69.3%
Garrett Swanson punt for 39 yds, downed at the Rice 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-2
69.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:2232% → 28%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
67.7%
Josh Quezada run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 28Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
67.5%
Josh Quezada run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 30Similar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-9
68.4%
Brian Burrell sacked by Alex Lyons for a loss of 9 yards to the FrsSt 21Similar
Q3 13:18
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+2
72.2%
Garrett Swanson punt for 51 yds , Mario Hull returns for 2 yds to the Rice 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:5571% → 69%
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
71.4%
Driphus Jackson run for 1 yd to the Rice 31Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
71.4%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 9
OWN 31
-7
70.5%
Driphus Jackson sacked by Karl Mickelsen for a loss of 7 yards to the Rice 24Similar
Q3 11:55
4TH & 16
OWN 24
0
69.4%
James Farrimond punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Derron Smith at the FrsSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 18MISSED FG
6 plays · 38 yds · 2:2929% → 26%
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
70.7%
Marteze Waller run for no gain to the FrsSt 35Similar
Q3 11:17
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+41
71.2%
Marteze Waller run for 41 yds to the Rice 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-6
67.6%
Josh Harper run for a loss of 6 yards to the Rice 30Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 16
OPP 30
-1
70.4%
Brian Burrell sacked by Dylan Klare for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 31Similar
Q3 9:30
3RD & 17
OPP 31
+4
72.4%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Josh Quezada for 4 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q3 9:06
4TH & 13
OPP 27
+44
74.3%
Kody Kroening 44 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Brian NordstromSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 2:2274% → 90%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
74.2%
Brandon Hamilton run for 3 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+10
74.5%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jordan Taylor for 10 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
76.0%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 3 yds to the Rice 43Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+9
76.3%
Driphus Jackson run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
77.9%
Jowan Davis run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 47Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+7
78.1%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Mario Hull for 7 yds to the FrsSt 40Similar
Q3 6:18
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+40
90.1%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 40 yds for a TD, (James Hairston KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 20INT
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:0011% → 10%
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
88.6%
Marteze Waller run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 27Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
88.7%
Brian Burrell run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 34Similar
Q3 5:10
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
88.4%
Marteze Waller run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
89.4%
Marteze Waller run for 16 yds to the Rice 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
89.4%
Marteze Waller run for 2 yds to the Rice 46Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
89.7%
Brian Burrell pass intercepted Bryce Callahan return for no gain to the Rice 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 2:3391% → 92%
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+12
91.0%
Luke Turner run for 12 yds to the Rice 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
91.5%
Luke Turner run for 6 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 4
OWN 30
0
92.3%
Darik Dillard run for no gain to the Rice 30Similar
Q3 1:20
3RD & 4
OWN 30
-2
92.6%
Driphus Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 28Similar
Q3 0:57
4TH & 6
OWN 28
+3
92.0%
James Farrimond punt for 36 yds , Derron Smith returns for 3 yds to the FrsSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:428% → 8%
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
92.0%
Marteze Waller run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 45Similar
Q3 0:15
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+2
92.2%
Marteze Waller run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 47Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 47
-2
92.3%
Josh Quezada run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 45Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
92.5%
Garrett Swanson punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Bryce Callahan at the Rice 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 23PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 3:0394% → 95%
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
93.5%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the Rice 11Similar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+5
94.0%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 5 yds to the Rice 16Similar
Q4 13:46
3RD & 3
OWN 16
-5
94.4%
RICE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 11Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 8
OWN 11
-7
94.6%
Driphus Jackson sacked by Tyeler Davison and Tobenna Okeke for a loss of 7 yards to the Rice 4Similar
Q4 12:35
4TH & 15
OWN 4
+15
94.3%
FRESNO ST Penalty, Roughing the Kicker (15 Yards) to the Rice 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
94.9%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+8
95.4%
Driphus Jackson run for 8 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q4 11:38
3RD & 2
OWN 27
0
95.6%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:27
4TH & 2
OWN 27
+20
95.4%
James Farrimond punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Derron Smith at the RICE 38 RICE Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the Rice 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 24DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:466% → 5%
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
94.1%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+6
94.3%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Josh Harper for 6 yds to the Rice 41Similar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 4
OPP 41
0
94.7%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:34
4TH & 4
OPP 41
0
94.8%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 25TD
2 plays · 59 yds · 0:1396% → 99%
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+58
96.3%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Darik Dillard for 58 yds to the FrsSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.2%
Darik Dillard run for 1 yd for a TD, (James Hairston KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:272% → 2%
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.4%
Zack Greenlee run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 27Similar
Q4 9:46
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
98.4%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
98.5%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:34
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
98.5%
Garrett Swanson punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Mario Hull at the Rice 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 27PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 3:3299% → 100%
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
99.2%
Luke Turner run for 2 yds to the Rice 26Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+17
99.3%
Luke Turner run for 17 yds to the Rice 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-10
99.4%
RICE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Rice 33Similar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 20
OWN 33
+3
99.3%
Luke Turner run for 3 yds to the Rice 36Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 17
OWN 36
+3
99.5%
Jowan Davis run for 3 yds to the Rice 39Similar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 14
OWN 39
+13
99.5%
Jowan Davis run for 13 yds to the FrsSt 48Similar
Q4 5:45
4TH & 1
OPP 48
-5
99.5%
RICE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Rice 47Similar
Q4 5:28
4TH & 6
OWN 47
+6
99.5%
James Farrimond punt for 44 yds , Derron Smith returns for 6 yds to the FrsSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 28DOWNS
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:411% → 1%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
99.2%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Brandon Connette for 4 yds to the FrsSt 19Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+5
99.2%
Zack Greenlee run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 24Similar
Q4 4:10
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+8
99.2%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Justin Johnson for 8 yds to the FrsSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.2%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:56
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
99.2%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:46
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+5
99.3%
Zack Greenlee run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 37Similar
Q4 3:19
4TH & 5
OWN 37
0
99.3%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:17100% → 100%
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.7%
Jowan Davis run for no gain to the FrsSt 37Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+2
99.8%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 35Similar
Q4 1:43
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+2
99.7%
Jayson Carter run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 33Similar
Q4 1:40
4TH & 6
OPP 33
-5
99.7%
RICE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 38Similar
Q4 1:33
4TH & 11
OPP 38
0
99.7%
James Farrimond punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 30DOWNS
8 plays · 26 yds · 1:151% → 1%
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.4%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
99.4%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Delvon Hardaway for 8 yds to the FrsSt 28Similar
Q4 0:55
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+7
99.3%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Justin Johnson for 7 yds to the FrsSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
99.3%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Aaron Peck for 14 yds to the FrsSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
99.4%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Josh Quezada for 2 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 8
OPP 49
-5
99.4%
Zack Greenlee sacked by Dylan Klare for a loss of 5 yards to the FrsSt 46Similar
Q4 0:20
3RD & 13
OWN 46
0
99.5%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:15
4TH & 13
OWN 46
0
99.5%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 31END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:18
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 40 yds for a TD, (James Hairston KICK)
+12
TD · Q1 0:04
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Mario Hull for 69 yds for a TD, (James Hairston KICK)
+8.5
KEY PLAY · Q2 1:01
Timeout FRESNO ST, clock 01:01
+4.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com