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USA

South Alabama 28 at Bowling Green 33

BGSU
2014 · Raycom Media Camellia Bowl · Dec 20, 2014 · Cramton Bowl
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Win probability · BGSU
modelBGSU aheadUSA aheadconfidence bandkey playBGSU scoreUSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:13 · Joe Davidson punt for 58 yds, downed at the SAlab 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorBlowout margin
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 189Home team on offense+16.5Garbage-time factor+12.2Score differential+2.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.0Pregame prior+0.2Blowout margin−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 6:00: Brandon Bridge run for 15 yds for a TD, (Aleem Sunanon KICK) — USA win probability +20.2 pts (now 39%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:33: Travis Greene run for 17 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK) — BGSU win probability +13.7 pts (now 88%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:23: Brandon Bridge pass complete to DeMarrion Buford-Hughes for 18 yds for a TD, (Aleem Sunanon KICK) — USA win probability +22.9 pts (now 36%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:20: Terrance Timmons run for 3 yds for a TD, (Aleem Sunanon KICK) — USA win probability +48.3 pts (now 81%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:04: James Knapke pass complete to Roger Lewis for 78 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — BGSU win probability +68.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BGSU made the numbers' call on 10 of 12USA made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 14:20USA 4th & 10 at USA 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:59BGSU 4th & 2 at USA 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    55.9%−0.2
    27% to make
    Punt
    56.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:14USA 4th & 6 at BGSU 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:41BGSU 4th & 13 at BGSU 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%−1.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:59BGSU 4th & 14 at BGSU 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%−1.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:52USA 4th & 3 at USA 40, down 7
    Close callPunted · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.1%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:22BGSU 4th & 5 at BGSU 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.5%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:58USA 4th & 17 at USA 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%−1.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:00BGSU 4th & 2 at USA 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    65.2%−0.9
    60% to make
    Punt
    62.0%−4.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:49BGSU 4th & 6 at USA 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.8%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.0%
    74% to make
    Punt
    61.9%−4.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:51USA 4th & 7 at USA 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%−1.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:53BGSU 4th & 4 at USA 4, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.9%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    65.2%−7.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:10BGSU 4th & 6 at BGSU 37, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:13BGSU 4th & 26 at BGSU 13, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.4%−4.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.6%
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:29USA 4th & 8 at BGSU 46, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    12.1%−1.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:09BGSU 4th & 11 at BGSU 31, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%−2.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:25BGSU 4th & 1 at USA 1, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.5%−4.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    69.0%−14.6
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:20USA 4th & 10 at USA 37, down 6
    Close callPunted · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.9%−0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:13BGSU 4th & 7 at BGSU 15, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.0%−2.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BGSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3USA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 7:17BGSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:42USA Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:00USA Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:33BGSU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:23USA Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.9%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.3%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:20USA Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.7%−4.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:04BGSU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    82.6%−1.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    83.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USADrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2247% → 47%
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
53.4%
Brandon Bridge pass incomplete to Shavarez SmithSimilar
Q1 14:36
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
53.4%
Brandon Bridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:31
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
53.4%
Brandon Bridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:20
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
53.5%
Brandon McKee punt for 45 yds , Ryan Burbrink returns for no gain to the BwGrn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 2TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:1253% → 55%
Q1 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
53.4%
Travis Greene run for no gain to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
53.5%
James Knapke pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 7 yds to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+6
53.6%
James Knapke pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 6 yds to the BwGrn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
53.8%
James Knapke pass complete to Roger Lewis for 1 yd to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+5
53.8%
James Knapke run for 5 yds to the SAlab 46Similar
Q1 12:27
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+2
53.9%
Travis Greene run for 2 yds to the SAlab 44Similar
Q1 11:59
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+44
54.9%
Roger Lewis 44 Yd pass from James Knapke (Tyler Tate Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 1:2945% → 45%
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+13
54.9%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Shavarez Smith for 13 yds to the SAlab 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
54.8%
Brandon Bridge run for 11 yds to the SAlab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
54.8%
Terrance Timmons run for a loss of 5 yards to the SAlab 43Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 14
OWN 43
+8
55.3%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Danny Woodson for 8 yds to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q1 10:22
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
55.1%
Brandon Bridge pass incomplete to Shavarez SmithSimilar
Q1 10:14
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
55.5%
Brandon McKee punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Ryan Burbrink at the BwGrn 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 4TD
10 plays · 93 yds · 2:4556% → 61%
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+7
55.8%
Travis Greene run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 14Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 3
OWN 14
+4
56.1%
Fred Coppet run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
56.3%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Ryan BurbrinkSimilar
Q1 9:08
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
56.3%
Ronnie Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:56
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+23
55.6%
James Knapke pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 23 yds to the BwGrn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
56.5%
Travis Greene run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+53
57.1%
James Knapke pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 53 yds to the SAlab 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
57.7%
Travis Greene run for 3 yds to the SAlab 1Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
61.2%
Travis Greene 1 Yd Run (Tyler Tate Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 5TD
7 plays · 89 yds · 1:2040% → 43%
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
60.0%
Xavier Johnson run for 4 yds to the SAlab 15Similar
Q1 6:47
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+9
60.3%
Xavier Johnson run for 9 yds to the SAlab 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
60.3%
Brandon Bridge run for 14 yds to the SAlab 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
60.2%
Bridge, Brandon pass incomplete to Smith, Shavarez, PENALTY BOWLGREEN pass interference (Adjei-Barimah, Jude) 15 yards to the BOWLGREEN47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOUTHALA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
59.8%
Kendall Houston run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+44
56.6%
Kendall Houston run for 44 yds for a TD, (Aleem Sunanon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:3458% → 58%
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-7
57.8%
Cody Callaway run for a loss of 7 yards to the BwGrn 12 Cody Callaway fumbled, recovered by BwGrn Cody CallawaySimilar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 17
OWN 12
+3
57.8%
Fred Coppet run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 15Similar
Q1 4:10
3RD & 14
OWN 15
+1
57.7%
Cody Callaway pass complete to Trenton Greene for 1 yd to the BwGrn 16Similar
Q1 3:41
4TH & 13
OWN 16
0
57.6%
Joe Davidson punt for 38 yds, downed at the SAlab 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 7INT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:1743% → 42%
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+28
57.4%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Terrance Timmons for 28 yds to the BwGrn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-5
56.5%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Ucambre Williams) to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q1 2:59
1ST & 15
OPP 31
-4
57.2%
Brandon Bridge sacked by Bryan Thomas for a loss of 4 yards to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q1 2:27
2ND & 19
OPP 35
0
57.2%
Brandon Bridge pass incomplete to Jereme JonesSimilar
Q1 2:17
3RD & 19
OPP 35
0
58.3%
Brandon Bridge pass intercepted, touchback. Ryland Ward return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:0659% → 58%
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-4
59.0%
Travis Greene run for a loss of 4 yards to the BwGrn 16Similar
Q1 1:41
2ND & 14
OWN 16
0
58.9%
James Knapke run for no gain to the BwGrn 16Similar
Q1 1:07
3RD & 14
OWN 16
0
58.7%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Ryan BurbrinkSimilar
Q1 0:59
4TH & 14
OWN 16
0
58.3%
Joe Davidson punt for 51 yds, fair catch by T.J. Glover at the SAlab 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:5741% → 41%
Q1 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
58.7%
Xavier Johnson run for no gain to the SAlab 33Similar
Q1 0:16
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
59.2%
Brandon Bridge pass incomplete to Claude GarrettSimilar
Q1 0:03
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+7
60.1%
Brandon Bridge run for 7 yds to the SAlab 40Similar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 3
OWN 40
0
59.5%
Brandon McKee punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1860% → 59%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
60.0%
Travis Greene run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+2
60.1%
Travis Greene run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 25Similar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
60.0%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Gehrig DieterSimilar
Q2 13:22
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+7
59.3%
Joe Davidson punt for 48 yds , Jereme Jones returns for 7 yds to the SAlab 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:1640% → 38%
Q2 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
59.6%
Brandon Bridge run for 4 yds to the SAlab 38Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 6
OWN 38
-11
59.3%
Brandon Bridge sacked by Charlie Walker for a loss of 11 yards to the SAlab 27Similar
Q2 12:13
3RD & 17
OWN 27
0
61.5%
Brandon Bridge pass incomplete to Terrance TimmonsSimilar
Q2 11:58
4TH & 17
OWN 27
+8
62.0%
Brandon McKee punt for 48 yds , Ryan Burbrink returns for 8 yds to the BwGrn 35 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the BwGrn 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 12FG
15 plays · 56 yds · 5:0061% → 66%
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
61.3%
James Knapke pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 7 yds to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+4
62.1%
James Knapke pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 4 yds to the BwGrn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
61.9%
Fred Coppet run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 37Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
62.7%
James Knapke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:21
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+15
61.7%
James Knapke run for 15 yds to the SAlab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
64.2%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Roger LewisSimilar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+12
64.0%
Knapke, James pass incomplete to Lewis, Roger, PENALTY SOUTHALA pass interference (Garner, Montell) 12 yards to the SOUTHALA36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOWLGREEN. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
64.3%
Fred Coppet run for 2 yds to the SAlab 34Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+1
64.6%
Fred Coppet run for 1 yd to the SAlab 33Similar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+5
64.3%
James Knapke run for 5 yds to the SAlab 28Similar
Q2 8:00
4TH & 2
OPP 28
+3
64.4%
Fred Coppet run for 3 yds to the SAlab 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
66.2%
Travis Greene run for 2 yds to the SAlab 23Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+2
66.4%
James Knapke pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 2 yds to the SAlab 21Similar
Q2 6:57
3RD & 6
OPP 21
0
65.9%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Travis GreeneSimilar
Q2 6:49
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+39
65.7%
Tyler Tate 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:4335% → 32%
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
65.5%
Brandon Bridge pass incomplete to Wes SaxtonSimilar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+2
66.2%
Terrance Timmons run for 2 yds to the SAlab 32Similar
Q2 6:02
3RD & 8
OWN 32
0
66.9%
Brandon Bridge pass incomplete to Danny WoodsonSimilar
Q2 5:51
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
67.6%
Brandon McKee punt for 54 yds , Ryan Burbrink returns for no gain to the BwGrn 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 14FUMBLE
8 plays · 37 yds · 1:4966% → 67%
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+14
66.1%
James Knapke pass complete to Roger Lewis for 14 yds to the BwGrn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
66.5%
Travis Greene run for no gain to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+42
66.3%
James Knapke pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 42 yds to the SAlab 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
68.8%
Greene, Travis rush for 5 yards to the SOUTHALA25, PENALTY SOUTHALA substitution infraction 5 yards to the SOUTHALA25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 5
OPP 25
-15
68.8%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (J.J. Beggan) to the SAlab 40Similar
Q2 4:37
1ST & 20
OPP 40
-1
68.4%
James Knapke pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 41Similar
Q2 4:17
2ND & 21
OPP 41
0
68.1%
James Knapke pass complete to Travis Greene for no gain to the SAlab 41Similar
Q2 3:51
3RD & 21
OPP 41
-8
67.3%
James Knapke sacked by Qudarius Ford for a loss of 8 yards to the SAlab 49 James Knapke fumbled, forced by Qudarius Ford, recovered by SAlab Davin Hawkins , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 15FUMBLE
3 plays · -9 yds · 1:0334% → 33%
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
65.8%
Kendall Houston run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 6
OPP 47
0
65.8%
Kendall Houston run for no gain to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q2 2:34
3RD & 6
OPP 47
-13
66.8%
Brandon Bridge run for a loss of 13 yards to the SAlab 40 Brandon Bridge fumbled, recovered by BwGrnSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16FG
8 plays · 36 yds · 1:1871% → 77%
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
71.3%
James Knapke pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 12 yds to the SAlab 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
71.6%
Fred Coppet run for 6 yds to the SAlab 22Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 4
OPP 22
-3
71.8%
Fred Coppet run for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 25Similar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+16
70.9%
James Knapke pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 16 yds to the SAlab 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
72.0%
Fred Coppet run for 5 yds to the SAlab 4Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
72.7%
Fred Coppet run for no gain to the SAlab 4Similar
Q2 0:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
71.7%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Gehrig DieterSimilar
Q2 0:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
77.0%
Tyler Tate 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 17END OF HALF
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:2925% → 25%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
75.0%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Danny Woodson for 5 yds to the SAlab 30Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-5
74.0%
Brandon Bridge sacked by Taylor Royster for a loss of 5 yards to the SAlab 25Similar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+1
75.4%
Terrance Timmons run for 1 yd to the SAlab 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 1:3578% → 79%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
78.2%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Ryan BurbrinkSimilar
Q3 14:35
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+1
78.3%
James Knapke pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 1 yd to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q3 14:05
3RD & 9
OWN 23
+10
77.8%
James Knapke pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 10 yds to the BwGrn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
79.7%
Travis Greene run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 37Similar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 6
OWN 37
0
80.3%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Ronnie MooreSimilar
Q3 13:21
3RD & 6
OWN 37
0
79.6%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Ryan BurbrinkSimilar
Q3 13:10
4TH & 6
OWN 37
+30
78.6%
Joe Davidson punt for 45 yds, downed at the BOWLGREEN 18 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Personal Foul (Ronnie Moore) to the SAlab 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 19FUMBLE
6 plays · 52 yds · 1:1523% → 25%
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
77.0%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Shavarez Smith for 6 yds to the SAlab 39Similar
Q3 12:51
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+5
76.4%
Xavier Johnson run for 5 yds to the SAlab 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
77.1%
Brandon Bridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+17
77.3%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Jereme Jones for 17 yds to the BwGrn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+25
76.8%
Brandon Bridge run for 25 yds to the BwGrn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
75.5%
Brandon Bridge run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 15 Brandon Bridge fumbled, recovered by BwGrn Kendall MontgomerySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 2:2181% → 81%
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
81.2%
Fred Coppet run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q3 11:07
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+2
81.0%
James Knapke run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q3 10:40
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+6
81.4%
Fred Coppet run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-14
82.3%
James Knapke sacked by Maleki Harris for a loss of 14 yards to the BwGrn 15 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Intentional Grounding (James Knapke) to the BwGrn 15Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 24
OWN 15
-2
82.4%
Fred Coppet run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 13Similar
Q3 9:28
3RD & 26
OWN 13
0
81.9%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Gehrig DieterSimilar
Q3 9:13
4TH & 26
OWN 13
+7
81.3%
Joe Davidson punt for 46 yds , Jereme Jones returns for 7 yds to the SAlab 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 21TD
9 plays · 52 yds · 3:0520% → 39%
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
80.0%
Brandon Bridge run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 8
50
+10
79.7%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Jereme Jones for 10 yds to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
79.9%
Brandon Bridge run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 9
OPP 39
-2
80.1%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Terrance Timmons for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q3 7:16
3RD & 11
OPP 41
+15
81.5%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Jereme Jones for 15 yds to the BwGrn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
79.1%
Brandon Bridge run for no gain to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q3 6:29
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
79.7%
Brandon Bridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:12
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+11
81.1%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Danny Woodson for 11 yds to the BwGrn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
60.9%
Brandon Bridge run for 15 yds for a TD, (Aleem Sunanon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 22TD
6 plays · 47 yds · 1:0373% → 88%
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
73.0%
James Knapke pass complete to Heath Jackson for 9 yds to the SAlab 38Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+6
73.3%
James Knapke pass complete to Heath Jackson for 6 yds to the SAlab 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
74.3%
James Knapke pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 4 yds to the SAlab 28Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+11
74.4%
James Knapke pass complete to Heath Jackson for 11 yds to the SAlab 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
88.1%
Travis Greene run for 17 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 23PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 2:4216% → 14%
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
84.1%
Terrance Timmons run for 2 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+9
84.1%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Danny Woodson for 9 yds to the SAlab 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
83.6%
Xavier Johnson run for 1 yd to the SAlab 41Similar
Q3 2:53
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
84.0%
Brandon Bridge pass incomplete to Shavarez SmithSimilar
Q3 2:49
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+11
84.6%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Ryan Onkka for 11 yds to the BwGrn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
83.1%
Xavier Johnson run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q3 2:11
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
83.8%
Xavier Johnson run for no gain to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q3 1:39
3RD & 8
OPP 46
0
84.7%
Brandon Bridge pass incomplete to Shavarez SmithSimilar
Q3 1:29
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
86.3%
Brandon McKee punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BwGrn 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 24PUNT
10 plays · 24 yds · 3:2089% → 92%
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-4
88.5%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, False Start (Logan Dietz) to the BwGrn 3Similar
Q3 1:20
1ST & 14
OWN 3
+1
88.6%
Travis Greene run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 4Similar
Q3 0:48
2ND & 13
OWN 4
+18
88.8%
James Knapke pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 18 yds to the BwGrn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-3
89.3%
Travis Greene run for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 19Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 13
OWN 19
0
90.8%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Gehrig DieterSimilar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 13
OWN 19
+13
90.6%
James Knapke run for 13 yds to the BwGrn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
91.8%
Travis Greene run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q4 13:54
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
92.0%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Gehrig DieterSimilar
Q4 13:38
3RD & 8
OWN 34
-3
91.9%
James Knapke pass complete to Travis Greene for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q4 13:09
4TH & 11
OWN 31
-2
91.5%
Joe Davidson punt for 44 yds , Jereme Jones returns for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 25TD
5 plays · 77 yds · 1:2910% → 36%
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+45
89.8%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Danny Woodson for 45 yds to the BwGrn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
87.1%
Terrance Timmons run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+10
86.9%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Jake Howton for 10 yds to the BwGrn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
87.2%
Terrance Timmons run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 18Similar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+18
64.3%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to DeMarrion Buford-Hughes for 18 yds for a TD, (Aleem Sunanon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 26MISSED FG
10 plays · 50 yds · 2:3584% → 84%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+31
84.2%
Fred Coppet run for 31 yds to the SAlab 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
85.0%
James Knapke pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 4 yds to the SAlab 16Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+3
85.1%
Fred Coppet run for 3 yds to the SAlab 13Similar
Q4 10:09
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+11
84.0%
Burbrink, Ryan pass incomplete to Lewis, Roger, PENALTY SOUTHALA pass interference (Garner, Montell) 11 yards to the SOUTHALA2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOWLGREEN. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
85.1%
Travis Greene run for 1 yd to the SAlab 1Similar
Q4 9:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
85.5%
Travis Greene run for no gain to the SAlab 1Similar
Q4 9:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
84.9%
Travis Greene run for no gain to the SAlab 1Similar
Q4 8:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+18
83.7%
Tyler Tate 18 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:5326% → 23%
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-4
74.0%
Brandon Bridge sacked by Bryan Thomas for a loss of 4 yards to the SAlab 16Similar
Q4 7:41
2ND & 14
OWN 16
+8
75.0%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Shavarez Smith for 8 yds to the SAlab 24Similar
Q4 7:20
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+13
76.1%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Ryan Onkka for 13 yds to the SAlab 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
72.4%
Terrance Timmons run for no gain to the SAlab 37Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
73.2%
Brandon Bridge pass incomplete to Jereme JonesSimilar
Q4 6:28
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
76.2%
Brandon Bridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:20
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
77.3%
Brandon McKee punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Ryan Burbrink at the BwGrn 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:5885% → 86%
Q4 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
84.8%
Fred Coppet run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 14Similar
Q4 5:31
2ND & 8
OWN 14
-5
86.1%
Knapke, James pass complete to Lewis, Roger for 5 yards to the BOWLGREEN19, PENALTY BOWLGREEN ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the BOWLGREEN9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:14
2ND & 13
OWN 9
0
85.8%
James Knapke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:50
3RD & 13
OWN 9
+6
85.1%
James Knapke run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 15Similar
Q4 4:13
4TH & 7
OWN 15
0
85.9%
Joe Davidson punt for 58 yds, downed at the SAlab 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 29TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 2:4023% → 81%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+44
77.1%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Danny Woodson for 44 yds to the BwGrn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
67.8%
Kendall Houston run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+9
68.2%
Terrance Timmons run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
68.3%
Brandon Bridge run for no gain to the BwGrn 18Similar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+7
70.2%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Shavarez Smith for 7 yds to the BwGrn 11Similar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+5
68.0%
Terrance Timmons run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
67.4%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Jereme Jones for 3 yds to the BwGrn 3Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
19.0%
Terrance Timmons run for 3 yds for a TD, (Aleem Sunanon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 30TD
2 plays · 78 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+78
93.4%
James Knapke pass complete to Roger Lewis for 78 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 31INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
78.2%
Brandon Bridge pass intercepted Jude Adjei-Barimah return for no gain to the SAlab 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 32END OF GAME
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:4295% → 97%
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
94.8%
Travis Greene run for 1 yd to the SAlab 43Similar
Q4 0:37
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+3
95.6%
Andre Givens run for 3 yds to the SAlab 40Similar
Q4 0:31
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+2
96.2%
Andre Givens run for 2 yds to the SAlab 38Similar
Q4 0:25
4TH & 4
OPP 38
+15
95.6%
Davidson, Joe punt 20 yards to the SOUTHALA18, out-of-bounds, PENALTY SOUTHALA roughing the kicker 15 yards to the SOUTHALA23, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOWLGREEN. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-2
96.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:04
James Knapke pass complete to Roger Lewis for 78 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+68.8
TD · Q4 1:20
Terrance Timmons run for 3 yds for a TD, (Aleem Sunanon KICK)
-48.3
TD · Q4 11:23
Brandon Bridge pass complete to DeMarrion Buford-Hughes for 18 yds for a TD, (Aleem Sunanon KICK)
-22.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com