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MISS

Ole Miss 3 at TCU 42

TCU
2014 · Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl · Dec 31, 2014 · Georgia Dome
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Win probability · TCU
modelTCU aheadMISS aheadconfidence bandkey playTCU scoreMISS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Kyle Hicks run for 2 yds to the Miss 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame prior
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 14:00: Aaron Green 31 Yd pass from Kolby Listenbee (Jaden Oberkrom Kick) — TCU win probability +0.5 pts (now 56%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 6:23: Aaron Green 15 Yd Run (Jaden Oberkrom Kick) — TCU win probability +4.4 pts (now 64%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q1 3:56: Bo Wallace run for 1 yd to the TCU 33 — MISS win probability +3.2 pts (now 38%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 11:00: Josh Doctson 12 Yd pass from Trevone Boykin (Jaden Oberkrom Kick) — TCU win probability +10.3 pts (now 84%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 2:00: James McFarland 0 Yd Interception Return (Jaden Oberkrom Kick) — TCU win probability +9.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TCU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6MISS made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 12:19MISS 4th & 16 at MISS 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:15TCU 4th & 1 at MISS 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    61.7%−0.6
    42% to make
    Punt
    61.6%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:55MISS 4th & 4 at MISS 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.1%−0.3
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:10TCU 4th & 16 at TCU 6, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%−1.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:14MISS 4th & 10 at TCU 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.5%
    47% to make
    Punt
    31.0%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:50MISS 4th & 15 at MISS 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.8%−1.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:13MISS 4th & 12 at MISS 13, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%−1.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:57TCU 4th & 9 at MISS 40, up 21
    Close callPunted · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.9%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    86.6%−0.3
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.6%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:16MISS 4th & 6 at MISS 14, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%−0.9
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:25MISS 4th & 9 at MISS 26, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:37TCU 4th & 1 at TCU 42, up 42
    Close callPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:19MISS 4th & 7 at TCU 7, down 42
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:00TCU 4th & 18 at midfield, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:41MISS 4th & 9 at MISS 15, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:41TCU 4th & 2 at MISS 23, up 42
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:13MISS 4th & 4 at MISS 30, down 42
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:18MISS 4th & 9 at TCU 10, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    88% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TCU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 14:00TCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:23TCU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:00TCU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:00TCU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 13:37TCU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 13:09TCU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MISSDrive 1INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2345% → 45%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
55.3%
Bo Wallace pass incomplete to Jeremy LigginsSimilar
Q1 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
55.3%
Bo Wallace pass incomplete to Cody CoreSimilar
Q1 14:37
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
55.3%
Bo Wallace pass intercepted Chris Hackett return for no gain to the Miss 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 2TD
2 plays · 35 yds · 0:3755% → 56%
Q1 14:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
55.4%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 4 yds to the Miss 31Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+31
55.8%
Aaron Green 31 Yd pass from Kolby Listenbee (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:4144% → 43%
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
55.7%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 11 yds to the Miss 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
55.8%
I'Tavius Mathers run for no gain to the Miss 40Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-6
56.1%
Jaylen Walton run for a loss of 6 yards to the Miss 34Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 16
OWN 34
0
56.5%
Bo Wallace pass incomplete to Markell PackSimilar
Q1 12:19
4TH & 16
OWN 34
0
56.6%
Will Gleeson punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Cameron Echols-Luper at the TCU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 4TD
16 plays · 78 yds · 5:5657% → 64%
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
56.5%
Aaron Green run for 1 yd to the TCU 23Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+3
56.8%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 3 yds to the TCU 26Similar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+7
56.9%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 7 yds to the TCU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-4
57.3%
Aaron Green run for a loss of 4 yards to the TCU 29Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 14
OWN 29
+15
57.3%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Aaron Green for 15 yds to the TCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
57.9%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Ty Slanina for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 4
50
+5
58.3%
Aaron Green run for 5 yds to the Miss 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
58.5%
Aaron Green run for 3 yds to the Miss 42Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+6
58.6%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Ty Slanina for 6 yds to the Miss 36Similar
Q1 8:26
3RD & 1
OPP 36
0
58.7%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Josh DoctsonSimilar
Q1 8:15
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+9
58.5%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Emanuel Porter for 9 yds to the Miss 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
59.2%
Trevorris Johnson run for 2 yds to the Miss 25Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+4
59.3%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Ty Slanina for 4 yds to the Miss 21Similar
Q1 7:00
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+6
59.3%
Aaron Green run for 6 yds to the Miss 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
63.7%
Aaron Green 15 Yd Run (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2038% → 37%
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
62.1%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Markell Pack for 7 yds to the Miss 24Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+1
62.0%
Jaylen Walton run for 1 yd to the Miss 25Similar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 2
OWN 25
-2
62.3%
Jordan Wilkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 23Similar
Q1 4:55
4TH & 4
OWN 23
0
63.4%
Will Gleeson punt for 65 yds, downed at the TCU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:4564% → 64%
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
64.1%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Kyle HicksSimilar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 12
-6
64.2%
Trevone Boykin sacked by C.J. Johnson for a loss of 6 yards to the TCU 6Similar
Q1 4:20
3RD & 16
OWN 6
0
63.7%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Kolby ListenbeeSimilar
Q1 4:10
4TH & 16
OWN 6
0
63.6%
Ethan Perry punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Markell Pack at the Miss 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 7INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
63.0%
Bo Wallace pass intercepted Derrick Kindred return for 1 yd to the TCU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 8FUMBLE
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
65.4%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to David Porter for a loss of 2 yards David Porter fumbled, recovered by Miss C.J. JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 9MISSED FG
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:4238% → 36%
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
62.2%
Bo Wallace run for 1 yd to the TCU 33Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 9
OPP 33
0
62.8%
Bo Wallace pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:05
3RD & 9
OPP 33
-5
63.6%
OLE MISS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TCU 38Similar
Q1 2:50
3RD & 14
OPP 38
+4
64.6%
Bo Wallace run for 4 yds to the TCU 34Similar
Q1 2:14
4TH & 10
OPP 34
+37
64.3%
Gary Wunderlich 52 yd FG MISSED OLE MISS Penalty, Personal Foul (Justin Bell) to the TCU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 10INT
3 plays · 19 yds · 0:5366% → 67%
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
66.4%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Kolby Listenbee for 5 yds to the Miss 46Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+14
66.7%
Trevone Boykin run for 14 yds to the Miss 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
67.2%
Trevone Boykin pass intercepted Keith Lewis return for 3 yds to the Miss 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:3135% → 33%
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
64.8%
Jaylen Walton run for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 28Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 12
OWN 28
+3
65.8%
Bo Wallace run for 3 yds to the Miss 31Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 31
-6
66.4%
Bo Wallace sacked by Chris Bradley and Chucky Hunter for a loss of 6 yards to the Miss 25Similar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 15
OWN 25
+2
66.7%
Will Gleeson punt for 40 yds , Cameron Echols-Luper returns for 2 yds to the TCU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 12TD
12 plays · 63 yds · 3:5068% → 84%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
67.7%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Deante' Gray for 8 yds to the TCU 45Similar
Q2 14:30
2ND & 2
OWN 45
-1
68.5%
Aaron Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 44Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+8
68.3%
Trevone Boykin run for 8 yds to the Miss 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
69.5%
Trevone Boykin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+17
69.6%
Aaron Green run for 17 yds to the Miss 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
69.9%
Trevone Boykin run for 2 yds to the Miss 29Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+6
70.3%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 6 yds to the Miss 23Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+3
70.2%
Cameron Echols-Luper run for 3 yds to the Miss 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
70.9%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Emanuel Porter for 11 yds to the Miss 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-3
71.1%
Kyle Hicks run for a loss of 3 yards to the Miss 12Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
83.5%
Josh Doctson 12 Yd pass from Trevone Boykin (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:4719% → 17%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
81.2%
Jaylen Walton run for 3 yds to the Miss 18Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 7
OWN 18
0
82.0%
Bo Wallace run for no gain to the Miss 18Similar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 7
OWN 18
-5
82.6%
Bo Wallace sacked by Tevin Lawson for a loss of 5 yards to the Miss 13Similar
Q2 9:13
4TH & 12
OWN 13
0
83.2%
Will Gleeson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Cameron Echols-Luper at the TCU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 3:1686% → 88%
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
86.4%
Aaron Green run for 6 yds to the Miss 48Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 4
OPP 48
-15
86.5%
Listenbee, Kolby rush for 2 yards to the OLEMISS46, PENALTY TCU personal foul 15 yards to the TCU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 19
OWN 37
+10
86.3%
Trevone Boykin run for 10 yds to the TCU 47Similar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+12
86.1%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to David Porter for 12 yds to the Miss 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
86.8%
Aaron Green run for 5 yds to the Miss 36Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 5
OPP 36
-2
87.6%
Trevone Boykin sacked by Serderius Bryant for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 38Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 7
OPP 38
-2
87.8%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Trevone Boykin for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 40Similar
Q2 5:57
4TH & 9
OPP 40
0
87.5%
Ethan Perry punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Markell Pack at the Miss 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:4115% → 13%
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-8
85.0%
Bo Wallace sacked by Paul Dawson for a loss of 8 yards to the Miss 2Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 18
OWN 2
+4
85.9%
Jordan Wilkins run for 4 yds to the Miss 6Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 14
OWN 6
+8
86.4%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Cody Core for 8 yds to the Miss 14Similar
Q2 4:16
4TH & 6
OWN 14
+4
87.1%
Will Gleeson punt for 37 yds , Cameron Echols-Luper returns for 4 yds to the TCU 18 TCU Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the TCU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 16INT
4 plays · 16 yds · 1:3490% → 91%
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
89.8%
Trevorris Johnson run for no gain to the TCU 43Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+12
90.4%
Trevone Boykin run for 12 yds to the Miss 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
90.8%
Aaron Green run for 4 yds to the Miss 41Similar
Q2 2:42
2ND & 6
OPP 41
0
91.0%
Trevone Boykin pass intercepted Cody Prewitt return for no gain to the Miss 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 17INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:4212% → 3%
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
88.4%
Bo Wallace run for no gain to the Miss 2Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 2
0
97.4%
James McFarland 0 Yd Interception Return (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 18END OF HALF
13 plays · 46 yds · 2:003% → 3%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
97.3%
Jaylen Walton run for 5 yds to the Miss 14Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+28
97.0%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Markell Pack for 28 yds to the Miss 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
96.8%
Bo Wallace run for 2 yds to the Miss 44Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+4
96.9%
Bo Wallace run for 4 yds to the Miss 48Similar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+5
97.3%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Jaylen Walton for 5 yds to the TCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-4
97.4%
Bo Wallace sacked by James McFarland for a loss of 4 yards to the Miss 49Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 14
OWN 49
0
97.9%
Bo Wallace pass incomplete to Quincy AdeboyejoSimilar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 14
OWN 49
+15
97.9%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Markell Pack for 15 yds to the TCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
97.3%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-9
97.4%
Bo Wallace sacked by Terrell Lathan for a loss of 9 yards to the TCU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 19TD
4 plays · 34 yds · 1:1498% → 98%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
97.8%
Aaron Green run for 3 yds to the Miss 31Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 7
OPP 31
-4
97.9%
Aaron Green run for a loss of 4 yards to the Miss 35Similar
Q3 13:37
3RD & 11
OPP 35
+35
97.9%
Kolby Listenbee 35 Yd pass from Trevone Boykin (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 20FUMBLE
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:122% → 2%
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
98.1%
OLE MISS Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Miss 27Similar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 15
OWN 27
0
98.2%
Bo Wallace pass incomplete to Jaylen WaltonSimilar
Q3 13:17
2ND & 15
OWN 27
0
98.3%
Bo Wallace run for no gain to the Miss 27 Bo Wallace fumbled, forced by Marcus Mallet, recovered by TCU Marcus MalletSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 21TD
1 play · 27 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
98.6%
Josh Doctson 27 Yd pass from Trevone Boykin (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:442% → 1%
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.4%
Jaylen Walton run for 1 yd to the Miss 26Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
98.6%
Bo Wallace pass incomplete to Jaylen WaltonSimilar
Q3 12:35
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
98.6%
Bo Wallace pass incomplete to Cody CoreSimilar
Q3 12:25
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
98.6%
Will Gleeson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Cameron Echols-Luper at the TCU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4899% → 99%
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
98.6%
Aaron Green run for 2 yds to the TCU 35Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 8
OWN 35
-1
98.7%
Aaron Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 34Similar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 9
OWN 34
+8
98.8%
Trevone Boykin run for 8 yds to the TCU 42Similar
Q3 10:37
4TH & 1
OWN 42
0
98.9%
Ethan Perry punt for 55 yds, downed at the Miss 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 24FUMBLE
15 plays · 71 yds · 6:181% → 1%
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
99.0%
Jaylen Walton run for no gain to the Miss 3Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+20
99.1%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 5 yds to the Miss 8 for a 1ST down TCU Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Miss 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
99.1%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 1 yd to the Miss 24Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+20
99.2%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Cody Core for 20 yds to the Miss 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
99.2%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Markell Pack for 5 yds to the Miss 49Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 5
OWN 49
0
99.2%
I'Tavius Mathers run for no gain to the Miss 49Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+10
99.2%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Quincy Adeboyejo for 10 yds to the TCU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
99.3%
DeVante Kincade pass complete to I'Tavius Mathers for 11 yds to the TCU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+12
99.3%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 12 yds to the TCU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
99.3%
DeVante Kincade run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 19Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 11
OPP 19
+11
99.4%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Evan Engram for 11 yds to the TCU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
99.4%
Jaylen Walton run for 1 yd to the TCU 7Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.5%
Bo Wallace pass complete to Cody Core for no gain to the TCU 7Similar
Q3 4:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.5%
Bo Wallace pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
99.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 14 yards to the TCU 26 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Miss Bo Wallace Jordan Wilkins run for a loss of 5 yards to the TCU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 25PUNT
13 plays · 24 yds · 4:19100% → 100%
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.5%
Trevone Boykin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+11
99.5%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to David Porter for 11 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.6%
Aaron Green run for 4 yds to the TCU 41Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
99.6%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Kolby ListenbeeSimilar
Q3 3:15
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+5
99.6%
OLE MISS Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (5 Yards) to the TCU 46Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+2
99.6%
Trevorris Johnson run for 2 yds to the TCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
99.6%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Deante' Gray for 10 yds to the Miss 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
99.7%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Ja'Juan Story for 2 yds to the Miss 40Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+7
99.7%
Trevorris Johnson run for 7 yds to the Miss 33Similar
Q3 1:15
3RD & 1
OPP 33
-10
99.7%
Boykin, Trevone rush for 2 yards to the OLEMISS31, PENALTY TCU holding (Vaitai, Halapoulivaati) 10 yards to the OLEMISS43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:45
3RD & 11
OPP 43
-2
99.7%
Trevone Boykin sacked by Issac Gross for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 45Similar
Q3 0:10
4TH & 13
OPP 45
-5
99.7%
TCU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 18
50
0
99.7%
Ethan Perry punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Markell Pack at the Miss 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:190% → 0%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
99.8%
Bo Wallace pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 14
-3
99.8%
I'Tavius Mathers run for a loss of 3 yards to the Miss 11Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 13
OWN 11
+4
99.8%
Bo Wallace run for 4 yds to the Miss 15Similar
Q4 13:41
4TH & 9
OWN 15
0
99.8%
Will Gleeson punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Cameron Echols-Luper at the TCU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 27MISSED FG
6 plays · 34 yds · 2:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
99.8%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Kolby Listenbee for 5 yds to the TCU 48Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+21
99.8%
Trevone Boykin run for 21 yds to the Miss 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
99.8%
Aaron Green run for 4 yds to the Miss 27Similar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+4
99.8%
Kyle Hicks run for 4 yds to the Miss 23Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 2
OPP 23
0
99.8%
Bram Kohlhausen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:41
4TH & 2
OPP 23
+41
99.8%
Jaden Oberkrom 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:280% → 0%
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.9%
DeVante Kincade pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+3
99.9%
DeVante Kincade run for 3 yds to the Miss 27Similar
Q4 10:45
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+3
99.9%
DeVante Kincade run for 3 yds to the Miss 30Similar
Q4 10:13
4TH & 4
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Will Gleeson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Cameron Echols-Luper at the TCU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 29INT
2 plays · 2 yds · 1:05100% → 100%
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.9%
Aaron Green run for 2 yds to the TCU 37Similar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+36
99.9%
Trevone Boykin pass intercepted Senquez Golson return for 36 yds to the TCU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 30FG
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:500% → 0%
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
99.9%
Jordan Wilkins run for 5 yds to the TCU 6Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+1
99.9%
Jordan Wilkins run for 1 yd to the TCU 5Similar
Q4 7:50
3RD & 4
OPP 5
-5
99.9%
OLE MISS Penalty, Delay of Game (DeVante Kincade) to the TCU 10Similar
Q4 7:30
3RD & 9
OPP 10
0
99.9%
DeVante Kincade pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:18
4TH & 9
OPP 10
+27
99.9%
Gary Wunderlich 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 31END OF GAME
12 plays · 57 yds · 7:18100% → 100%
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
99.9%
Bram Kohlhausen pass complete to Jordan Moore for 6 yds to the TCU 29Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+6
99.9%
Bram Kohlhausen pass complete to Jordan Moore for 6 yds to the TCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.9%
Trevorris Johnson run for 5 yds to the TCU 40Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+8
99.9%
Bram Kohlhausen pass complete to Desmon White for 8 yds to the TCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
99.9%
Trevorris Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 46Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 12
OWN 46
+6
99.9%
Trevorris Johnson run for 6 yds to the Miss 48Similar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+11
99.9%
Trevorris Johnson run for 11 yds to the Miss 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
100.0%
Kyle Hicks run for 3 yds to the Miss 34Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+8
100.0%
Bram Kohlhausen pass complete to Griffin Gilbert for 8 yds to the Miss 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
100.0%
Cliff Murphy run for 4 yds to the Miss 22Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+2
100.0%
Kyle Hicks run for 2 yds to the Miss 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:00
Josh Doctson 12 Yd pass from Trevone Boykin (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)
+10.3
TD · Q2 2:00
James McFarland 0 Yd Interception Return (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)
+9
TD · Q1 6:23
Aaron Green 15 Yd Run (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)
+4.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com