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BOIS

Boise State 38 at Arizona 30

ARIZ
2014 · Postseason · Dec 31, 2014 · State Farm Stadium
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Win probability · ARIZ
modelARIZ aheadBOIS aheadconfidence bandkey playARIZ scoreBOIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Anu Solomon sacked by Kamalei Correa for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:23: Anu Solomon 1 Yd Run (Casey Skowron Kick) — ARIZ win probability +7.1 pts (now 52%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:56: Jay Ajayi 1 Yd Run (Dan Goodale Kick) — BOIS win probability +9.1 pts (now 64%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:03: Nick Wilson 1 Yd Run (Casey Skowron Kick) — ARIZ win probability +9.6 pts (now 43%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:57: Donte Deayon 16 Yd Interception Return (Dan Goodale Kick) — BOIS win probability +14.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:41: Samajie Grant 51 Yd pass from Anu Solomon (Casey Skowron Kick) — ARIZ win probability +14.9 pts (now 28%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 11 of 13BOIS made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 11:47ARIZ 4th & 3 at ARIZ 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:23ARIZ 4th & 6 at ARIZ 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:48BOIS 4th & 14 at BOIS 20, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.3%−1.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:25BOIS 4th & 8 at BOIS 34, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%−1.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:00ARIZ 4th & 10 at ARIZ 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.7%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:30ARIZ 4th & 5 at BOIS 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−1.0
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.7%
    66% to make
    Punt
    31.8%−3.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:18ARIZ 4th & 5 at ARIZ 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:29BOIS 4th & 10 at BOIS 14, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%−2.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:30ARIZ 4th & 1 at BOIS 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    29.0%−3.0
    47% to make
    Punt
    28.2%−3.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:11ARIZ 4th & 7 at BOIS 7, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    21.3%−6.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:05BOIS 4th & 9 at BOIS 9, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%−1.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:23ARIZ 4th & 24 at BOIS 49, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%−3.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:46BOIS 4th & 8 at BOIS 13, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.0%−2.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:03ARIZ 4th & 21 at ARIZ 21, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%−4.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.2%
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:33BOIS 4th & 10 at ARIZ 38, up 11
    Close callPunted · 72.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.2%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    72.0%−0.2
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.9%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:12BOIS 4th & 17 at BOIS 29, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.0%−3.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:55ARIZ 4th & 10 at ARIZ 31, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:11ARIZ 4th & 4 at BOIS 15, down 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.0%−1.6
    83% to make
    Punt
    8.1%−5.5
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:36BOIS 4th & 1 at BOIS 31, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.6%−1.5
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:20ARIZ 4th & 10 at BOIS 35, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.2%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    11.9%−0.3
    45% to make
    Punt
    8.9%−3.3
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:53BOIS 4th & 6 at BOIS 39, up 8
    Close callPunted · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.3%−0.1
    average punt
  22. Q4 2:00ARIZ 4th & 1 at ARIZ 29, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.4%−2.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 3 of 3BOIS made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 13:18BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:17BOIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:12BOIS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:23ARIZ Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 11:56BOIS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 8:03ARIZ Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:57BOIS Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:41ARIZ Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BOISDrive 1TD
4 plays · 78 yds · 1:3239% → 40%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+14
60.9%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 14 yds to the BoiSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
60.8%
Grant Hedrick run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 42Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+2
60.7%
Shane Williams-Rhodes run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 44Similar
Q1 13:18
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+56
60.1%
Jay Ajayi 56 Yd Run (Dan Goodale Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:3160% → 60%
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
60.3%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Samajie Grant for 4 yds to the Ariz 29Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
60.2%
Anu Solomon pass complete to DaVonte' Neal for 7 yds to the Ariz 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
60.1%
Nick Wilson run for 4 yds to the Ariz 40Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+3
60.0%
Anu Solomon run for 3 yds to the Ariz 43Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
60.0%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Samajie GrantSimilar
Q1 11:47
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
59.7%
Drew Riggleman punt for 45 yds , Donte Deayon returns for no gain to the BoiSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 3TD
6 plays · 88 yds · 2:3040% → 44%
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
59.7%
Jay Ajayi run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 16Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+16
59.5%
Jay Ajayi run for 16 yds to the BoiSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
59.2%
Jeremy McNichols run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+5
58.8%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Jake Roh for 5 yds to the BoiSt 40Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+3
58.5%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 3 yds to the BoiSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
56.3%
Chaz Anderson 57 Yd pass from Grant Hedrick (Dan Goodale Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 1:4757% → 55%
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
56.7%
Nick Wilson run for 2 yds to the Ariz 26Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+5
56.1%
BOISE ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Ariz 31Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+5
56.2%
Nick Wilson run for 5 yds to the Ariz 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
56.0%
Nick Wilson run for 4 yds to the Ariz 40Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
56.0%
Anu Solomon run for no gain to the Ariz 40Similar
Q1 7:30
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
55.7%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to DaVonte' NealSimilar
Q1 7:23
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
55.4%
Drew Riggleman punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Donte Deayon at the BoiSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 5TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:1146% → 54%
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
54.3%
Jay Ajayi run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 24Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+11
53.9%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 11 yds to the BoiSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+36
53.5%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 36 yds to the Ariz 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-7
52.4%
Shane Williams-Rhodes run for a loss of 7 yards to the Ariz 36Similar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 17
OPP 36
+20
52.4%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 20 yds to the Ariz 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
46.5%
Jay Ajayi 16 Yd Run (Dan Goodale Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 6TD
13 plays · 65 yds · 3:4947% → 52%
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
47.4%
Nick Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 34Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+14
46.3%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Austin Hill for 14 yds to the Ariz 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
47.2%
Nick Wilson run for no gain to the Ariz 48Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+8
46.6%
Anu Solomon run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 44Similar
Q1 3:30
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+18
46.3%
Nick Wilson run for 18 yds to the BoiSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
46.5%
Anu Solomon run for 12 yds to the BoiSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
45.9%
Nick Wilson run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 9Similar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+6
45.2%
Anu Solomon run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
44.9%
Nick Wilson run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 2Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
44.1%
Nick Wilson run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 1Similar
Q1 1:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
51.5%
Anu Solomon 1 Yd Run (Casey Skowron Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:2951% → 52%
Q1 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
49.2%
Jay Ajayi run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 5
OWN 29
0
48.4%
Jay Ajayi run for no gain to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 29
-9
48.1%
Grant Hedrick sacked by Tra'Mayne Bondurant for a loss of 9 yards to the BoiSt 20Similar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 14
OWN 20
0
48.5%
Sean Wale punt for 59 yds, downed at the Ariz 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 8INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q2 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+19
49.0%
Anu Solomon pass intercepted Cleshawn Page return for 19 yds to the Ariz 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 9TD
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:4053% → 64%
Q2 14:36
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
46.8%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Jake Roh for 4 yds to the Ariz 18Similar
Q2 13:51
2ND & 6
OPP 18
-15
45.9%
Ajayi, Jay rush for 5 yards to the ARIZONA13, PENALTY BOISEST personal foul 15 yards to the ARIZONA33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 21
OPP 33
+31
45.5%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 31 yds to the Ariz 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
45.0%
Jay Ajayi run for no gain to the Ariz 2Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
44.7%
Jay Ajayi run for 1 yd to the Ariz 1Similar
Q2 11:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
35.6%
Jay Ajayi 1 Yd Run (Dan Goodale Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 10TD
14 plays · 83 yds · 3:5336% → 43%
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
35.9%
Nick Wilson run for 5 yds to the Ariz 22Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+9
35.5%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Trey Griffey for 9 yds to the Ariz 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
35.0%
Nick Wilson run for 7 yds to the Ariz 38Similar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+3
35.5%
Nick Wilson run for 3 yds to the Ariz 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
35.5%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Trey GriffeySimilar
Q2 10:29
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+14
35.0%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Cayleb Jones for 14 yds to the BoiSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
35.4%
Nick Wilson run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 41Similar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+11
35.4%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Samajie Grant for 11 yds to the BoiSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
35.3%
Anu Solomon run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 24Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+18
35.2%
Nick Wilson run for 18 yds to the BoiSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
34.8%
Nick Wilson run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 1Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
33.8%
Anu Solomon run for no gain to the BoiSt 1Similar
Q2 8:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
43.4%
Nick Wilson 1 Yd Run (Casey Skowron Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 3:3059% → 62%
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+8
41.5%
Grant Hedrick run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 15Similar
Q2 7:31
2ND & 2
OWN 15
+3
40.5%
Jay Ajayi run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+14
39.8%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 14 yds to the BoiSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
39.3%
Grant Hedrick run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 33Similar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+1
38.6%
Jay Ajayi run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q2 5:11
3RD & 8
OWN 34
0
38.2%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Jay Ajayi for no gain to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q2 4:25
4TH & 8
OWN 34
+2
37.9%
Sean Wale punt for 48 yds , DaVonte' Neal returns for 2 yds to the Ariz 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 1:2538% → 36%
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
38.0%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Cayleb Jones for 14 yds to the Ariz 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
38.0%
Nick Wilson run for 3 yds to the Ariz 37Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
38.6%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Cayleb JonesSimilar
Q2 3:31
3RD & 7
OWN 37
-3
37.4%
Anu Solomon sacked by Kamalei Correa for a loss of 3 yards to the Ariz 34Similar
Q2 3:00
4TH & 10
OWN 34
+8
36.4%
Drew Riggleman punt for 40 yds , Donte Deayon returns for 8 yds to the BoiSt 42 BOISE ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Charles Bertoli) to the BoiSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 13INT
5 plays · 34 yds · 2:0764% → 69%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+15
36.0%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 15 yds to the BoiSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
35.1%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 3 yds to the BoiSt 37Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+14
33.2%
Grant Hedrick run for 14 yds to the Ariz 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
31.8%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Jay Ajayi for 2 yds to the Ariz 47Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+31
30.8%
Grant Hedrick pass intercepted Cam Denson return for 31 yds to the BoiSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 14FG
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:2338% → 40%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
37.8%
Nick Wilson run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 9
OPP 29
0
36.0%
Anu Solomon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 9
OPP 29
+4
35.0%
Anu Solomon run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 25Similar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+42
39.6%
Casey Skowron 42 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 15DOWNS
7 plays · 57 yds · 0:2762% → 73%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+25
37.8%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 25 yds to the BoiSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
35.4%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 15 yds to the Ariz 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+17
34.3%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Troy Ware for 17 yds to the Ariz 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+36
26.9%
Dan Goodale 36 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:3732% → 31%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
32.4%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Cayleb Jones for 5 yds to the Ariz 30Similar
Q3 14:40
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
33.1%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Cayleb JonesSimilar
Q3 14:30
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
32.0%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Samajie GrantSimilar
Q3 14:18
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+1
31.4%
Drew Riggleman punt for 57 yds , Donte Deayon returns for 1 yd to the BoiSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4969% → 69%
Q3 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
31.1%
Jay Ajayi run for no gain to the BoiSt 14Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 10
OWN 14
0
30.6%
Grant Hedrick pass incomplete to Thomas SperbeckSimilar
Q3 13:35
3RD & 10
OWN 14
0
31.0%
Grant Hedrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:29
4TH & 10
OWN 14
0
31.3%
Sean Wale punt for 43 yds, fair catch by DaVonte' Neal at the Ariz 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 19FG
14 plays · 50 yds · 4:1834% → 33%
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
33.5%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 6 yds to the Ariz 49Similar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+3
33.4%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Terris Jones-Grigsby for 3 yds to the BoiSt 48Similar
Q3 12:57
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+5
32.5%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
32.2%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Austin Hill for 7 yds to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q3 12:01
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+1
32.1%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+1
31.8%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q3 11:30
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+6
31.1%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
32.1%
Anu Solomon run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 22Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 4
OPP 22
0
31.9%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for no gain to the BoiSt 22Similar
Q3 10:47
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+13
30.8%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Cayleb Jones for 13 yds to the BoiSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
31.4%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for no gain to the BoiSt 9Similar
Q3 9:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
30.6%
Anu Solomon run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 5Similar
Q3 9:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
29.4%
Anu Solomon sacked by Sam McCaskill for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 7Similar
Q3 9:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
32.7%
Casey Skowron 24 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:5068% → 66%
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
32.2%
Jeremy McNichols run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 9Similar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 9
OWN 9
0
33.0%
Grant Hedrick pass incomplete to Chaz AndersonSimilar
Q3 8:11
3RD & 9
OWN 9
0
33.4%
Grant Hedrick pass incomplete to Chaz AndersonSimilar
Q3 8:05
4TH & 9
OWN 9
0
34.0%
Sean Wale punt for 52 yds, fair catch by DaVonte' Neal at the Ariz 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:4234% → 31%
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
33.8%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 5 yds to the Ariz 44Similar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+21
34.5%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Tyrell Johnson for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down BOISE ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the BoiSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
37.0%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 11
OPP 36
-12
34.6%
Anu Solomon sacked by Ben Weaver for a loss of 12 yards to the BoiSt 48 ARIZONA Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Anu Solomon) to the BoiSt 48Similar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 23
OPP 48
-1
32.0%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Cayleb Jones for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q3 6:23
4TH & 24
OPP 49
0
30.7%
Drew Riggleman punt for 38 yds, downed at the BoiSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:3769% → 70%
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
30.6%
Grant Hedrick pass incomplete to Chaz AndersonSimilar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 10
OWN 11
-3
30.6%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Jay Ajayi for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 8Similar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 13
OWN 8
+5
31.6%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Holden Huff for 5 yds to the BoiSt 13Similar
Q3 4:46
4TH & 8
OWN 13
0
30.5%
Sean Wale punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ariz 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 0:4330% → 26%
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
29.6%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Terris Jones-GrigsbySimilar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-15
29.4%
Solomon, Anu pass incomplete, PENALTY ARIZONA personal foul (Grant, Samajie) 15 yards to the ARIZONA17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 25
OWN 17
+4
28.4%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Austin Hill for 4 yds to the Ariz 21Similar
Q3 4:10
3RD & 21
OWN 21
0
27.0%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Cayleb JonesSimilar
Q3 4:03
4TH & 21
OWN 21
0
26.3%
Drew Riggleman punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BoiSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:3073% → 73%
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
26.6%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Jay Ajayi for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 38Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+10
26.7%
Hedrick, Grant pass incomplete to Sperbeck, Thomas, PENALTY ARIZONA holding 10 yards to the BOISEST48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOISEST. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
25.8%
Jay Ajayi run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 47 for a 1ST down ARIZONA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Ariz 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
25.4%
Grant Hedrick pass incomplete to Chaz AndersonSimilar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
25.3%
Grant Hedrick pass incomplete to Jay AjayiSimilar
Q3 2:50
3RD & 10
OPP 38
0
25.5%
Grant Hedrick pass incomplete to Jake RohSimilar
Q3 2:33
4TH & 10
OPP 38
0
27.5%
Grant Hedrick punt for 32 yds, downed at the Ariz 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 25INT TD
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:3627% → 12%
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
26.8%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to David RichardsSimilar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+6
26.7%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 6 yds to the Ariz 12Similar
Q3 1:57
3RD & 4
OWN 12
+16
12.4%
Donte Deayon 16 Yd Interception Return (Dan Goodale Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 26TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:1613% → 28%
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
12.7%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Terris Jones-Grigsby for 12 yds to the Ariz 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
12.7%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Terris Jones-Grigsby for 5 yds to the Ariz 42Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+2
13.1%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 2 yds to the Ariz 44Similar
Q3 0:59
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+5
12.9%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Austin Hill for 5 yds to the Ariz 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
27.8%
Samajie Grant 51 Yd pass from Anu Solomon (Casey Skowron Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 27PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 2:5777% → 79%
Q3 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
23.4%
Jay Ajayi run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 22Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
23.3%
Thomas Sperbeck pass incomplete to Jake RohSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+14
23.9%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 14 yds to the BoiSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
22.9%
Jay Ajayi run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 38Similar
Q4 13:55
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+2
20.9%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Jay Ajayi for 2 yds to the BoiSt 40Similar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 6
OWN 40
-15
19.8%
Hedrick, Grant pass complete to Huff, Holden for 25 yards to the ARIZONA35, PENALTY BOISEST pass interference (Sperbeck, Thomas) 15 yards to the BOISEST25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:51
3RD & 21
OWN 25
+4
21.1%
Grant Hedrick run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q4 12:12
4TH & 17
OWN 29
0
21.2%
Sean Wale punt for 40 yds, fair catch by DaVonte' Neal at the Ariz 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1721% → 18%
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
20.5%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Samajie Grant for 3 yds to the Ariz 34Similar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 7
OWN 34
-3
20.1%
Anu Solomon sacked by Tanner Vallejo for a loss of 3 yards to the Ariz 31Similar
Q4 11:10
3RD & 10
OWN 31
0
18.3%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Trey GriffeySimilar
Q4 10:55
4TH & 10
OWN 31
+2
17.5%
Drew Riggleman punt for 43 yds , Donte Deayon returns for 2 yds to the BoiSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 29FUMBLE
5 plays · 37 yds · 1:3384% → 88%
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
15.8%
Jay Ajayi run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+3
15.1%
Jay Ajayi run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 37Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+3
14.6%
Jay Ajayi run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
12.9%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 13 yds to the Ariz 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
12.5%
Jay Ajayi run for 12 yds to the Ariz 35 Jay Ajayi fumbled, forced by Tra'Mayne Bondurant, recovered by Ariz Tra'Mayne BondurantSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 30FG
11 plays · 50 yds · 3:0616% → 19%
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
16.1%
Anu Solomon sacked by Tanner Vallejo and Sam McCaskill for a loss of 4 yards to the Ariz 31Similar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 14
OWN 31
+20
14.9%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Terris Jones-Grigsby for 20 yds to the BoiSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
17.7%
Anu Solomon run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 48Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+9
17.5%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Trey Griffey for 9 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
17.9%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Austin HillSimilar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+18
17.4%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Trey Griffey for 18 yds to the BoiSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
19.7%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Trey Griffey for 3 yds to the BoiSt 18Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 7
OPP 18
-1
19.4%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 19Similar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 8
OPP 19
-5
17.1%
ARIZONA Penalty, False Start (Mickey Baucus) to the BoiSt 24Similar
Q4 6:40
3RD & 13
OPP 24
+9
15.1%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Trey Griffey for 9 yds to the BoiSt 15Similar
Q4 6:11
4TH & 4
OPP 15
+32
19.4%
Casey Skowron 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 31PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3588% → 88%
Q4 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
12.2%
Grant Hedrick pass incomplete to Jake RohSimilar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+1
12.0%
Jay Ajayi run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 23Similar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 9
OWN 23
+8
12.4%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 8 yds to the BoiSt 31Similar
Q4 4:36
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
11.7%
Sean Wale punt for 38 yds, fair catch by DaVonte' Neal at the Ariz 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 32DOWNS
8 plays · 34 yds · 1:1615% → 13%
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+18
15.0%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Trey Griffey for 18 yds to the Ariz 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
17.3%
Anu Solomon run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 43Similar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 2
OPP 43
0
19.0%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Trey GriffeySimilar
Q4 3:55
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+8
19.0%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
20.8%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Cayleb JonesSimilar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
20.5%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Cayleb JonesSimilar
Q4 3:29
3RD & 10
OPP 35
0
16.5%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Samajie GrantSimilar
Q4 3:20
4TH & 10
OPP 35
0
13.4%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Cayleb JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 33PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:2791% → 93%
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
8.6%
Jay Ajayi run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+1
7.4%
Grant Hedrick run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+4
7.4%
Grant Hedrick run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 39Similar
Q4 2:53
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
6.9%
Sean Wale punt for 61 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 34END OF GAME
12 plays · 70 yds · 2:538% → 6%
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
8.3%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Austin HillSimilar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-3
5.3%
Anu Solomon sacked by Beau Martin for a loss of 3 yards to the Ariz 17Similar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+12
4.8%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Cayleb Jones for 12 yds to the Ariz 29Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+1
4.6%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 1 yd to the Ariz 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+17
5.1%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Cayleb Jones for 17 yds to the Ariz 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
5.6%
Anu Solomon run for no gain to the Ariz 47Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+11
5.5%
Anu Solomon run for 11 yds to the BoiSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-9
5.5%
Anu Solomon sacked by Rondell McNair for a loss of 9 yards to the Ariz 49Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 19
OWN 49
+43
4.2%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Cayleb Jones for 43 yds to the BoiSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
7.5%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
7.4%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to David RichardsSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
6.4%
Anu Solomon sacked by Kamalei Correa for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:41
Samajie Grant 51 Yd pass from Anu Solomon (Casey Skowron Kick)
+14.9
TD · Q3 1:57
Donte Deayon 16 Yd Interception Return (Dan Goodale Kick)
-14.3
TD · Q2 8:03
Nick Wilson 1 Yd Run (Casey Skowron Kick)
+9.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com