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WIS

Wisconsin 0 at Ohio State 59

OSU
2014 · Week 15 · Dec 6, 2014 · Lucas Oil Stadium
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Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadWIS aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scoreWIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:48 · Drew Meyer punt for 57 yds, downed at the OhSt 7
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 28Home team on offense+1.8Score differential+0.4Blowout margin+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:06: Ezekiel Elliott 81 Yd Run (Sean Nuernberger Kick) — OSU win probability +5.6 pts (now 60%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 14:14: Sean Nuernberger 23 Yd Field Goal — OSU win probability +4.2 pts (now 69%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:09: Devin Smith 44 Yd pass from Cardale Jones (Sean Nuernberger Kick) — OSU win probability +9.3 pts (now 82%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 6:36: Ezekiel Elliott 14 Yd Run (Sean Nuernberger Kick) — OSU win probability +5.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:36: Joey Bosa 4 Yd Fumble Return (Sean Nuernberger Kick) — OSU win probability +1.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5WIS made the numbers' call on 9 of 12
  1. Q1 11:08WIS 4th & 5 at WIS 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:19OSU 4th & 19 at OSU 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.7%−0.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:48WIS 4th & 8 at WIS 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:14OSU 4th & 6 at WIS 6, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    53.1%−7.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:26WIS 4th & 17 at WIS 23, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.3%−4.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:28WIS 4th & 6 at WIS 29, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.1%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:18WIS 4th & 12 at WIS 15, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:11WIS 4th & 10 at WIS 41, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:37WIS 4th & 3 at WIS 24, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:16OSU 4th & 16 at OSU 34, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:09WIS 4th & 6 at OSU 33, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:32OSU 4th & 15 at OSU 28, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:49OSU 4th & 6 at WIS 13, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    85% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:13WIS 4th & 3 at WIS 23, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:45WIS 4th & 4 at WIS 46, down 52
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:00WIS 4th & 3 at WIS 42, down 59
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:00WIS 4th & 10 at OSU 33, down 59
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 13:01OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:06OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:09OSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:36OSU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:36OSU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:24OSU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:39OSU Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:25OSU Touchdown, up 58 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OSUDrive 1TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 1:5449% → 50%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
48.9%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Michael Thomas for 8 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+4
49.0%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 4 yds to the OhSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
49.1%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
50
+2
49.2%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 2 yds to the Wisc 48Similar
Q1 13:38
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+9
49.4%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Corey Smith for 9 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
50.3%
Devin Smith 39 Yd pass from Cardale Jones (Sean Nuernberger Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3750% → 49%
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
50.1%
Melvin Gordon run for 2 yds to the Wisc 30Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+4
50.5%
Joel Stave pass complete to Austin Traylor for 4 yds Austin Traylor fumbled, forced by Darron Lee, recovered by WiscSimilar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 4
OWN 34
-1
50.7%
Melvin Gordon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 33Similar
Q1 11:08
4TH & 5
OWN 33
0
51.2%
Drew Meyer punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Evan Spencer at the OhSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 1:4951% → 52%
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
51.2%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Taylor Decker) to the OhSt 29Similar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 15
OWN 29
-4
51.2%
Cardale Jones run for a loss of 4 yards to the OhSt 25Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 19
OWN 25
+5
51.7%
Cardale Jones run for 5 yds to the OhSt 30Similar
Q1 9:32
3RD & 14
OWN 30
0
51.9%
Cardale Jones pass incomplete to Jalin MarshallSimilar
Q1 9:32
4TH & 14
OWN 30
-5
51.7%
OHIO ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 25Similar
Q1 9:19
4TH & 19
OWN 25
0
51.8%
Cameron Johnston punt for 73 yds, downed at the Wisc 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 4:2448% → 45%
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+8
52.3%
Melvin Gordon run for 8 yds to the Wisc 10Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 2
OWN 10
0
52.4%
Melvin Gordon run for no gain to the Wisc 10Similar
Q1 8:20
3RD & 2
OWN 10
+10
53.0%
Joel Stave pass complete to Sam Arneson for 10 yds to the Wisc 20 for a 1ST down OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Joey Bosa) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
53.0%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Alex EricksonSimilar
Q1 7:29
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
53.2%
Melvin Gordon run for 8 yds to the Wisc 28Similar
Q1 7:03
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+6
53.4%
Melvin Gordon run for 6 yds to the Wisc 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
53.5%
Melvin Gordon run for 1 yd to the Wisc 35Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+1
53.9%
Corey Clement run for 1 yd to the Wisc 36Similar
Q1 5:02
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
54.5%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Kenzel DoeSimilar
Q1 4:48
4TH & 8
OWN 36
0
55.1%
Drew Meyer punt for 57 yds, downed at the OhSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 5TD
3 plays · 93 yds · 0:3454% → 60%
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+12
54.1%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 12 yds to the OhSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+81
59.8%
Ezekiel Elliott 81 Yd Run (Sean Nuernberger Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 6INT
6 plays · 38 yds · 1:5041% → 41%
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
58.6%
Melvin Gordon run for 4 yds to the Wisc 24Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+10
59.4%
Melvin Gordon run for 10 yds to the Wisc 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
59.2%
Melvin Gordon run for 13 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
58.7%
Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 11 yds to the OhSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
58.9%
Joel Stave pass intercepted Vonn Bell return for 7 yds to the OhSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 7FG
8 plays · 53 yds · 2:3162% → 69%
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-4
62.1%
Cardale Jones run for a loss of 4 yards to the OhSt 37Similar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 14
OWN 37
+23
61.8%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Michael Thomas for 23 yds to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+32
63.4%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Jalin Marshall for 32 yds to the Wisc 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
63.7%
Cardale Jones run for 2 yds to the Wisc 6Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
64.1%
Curtis Samuel run for 5 yds to the Wisc 1Similar
Q2 14:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
64.0%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Taylor Decker) to the Wisc 6Similar
Q2 14:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
64.2%
Cardale Jones pass incomplete to Ezekiel ElliottSimilar
Q2 14:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
68.5%
Sean Nuernberger 23 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:3433% → 31%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
66.7%
Melvin Gordon run for no gain to the Wisc 30Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-7
68.3%
Joel Stave sacked by Michael Bennett for a loss of 7 yards to the Wisc 23Similar
Q2 12:33
3RD & 17
OWN 23
0
69.2%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Sam ArnesonSimilar
Q2 12:26
4TH & 17
OWN 23
0
69.4%
Drew Meyer punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jalin Marshall at the OhSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 9TD
3 plays · 63 yds · 0:5672% → 82%
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
71.5%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Michael Thomas for 10 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
72.8%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 9 yds to the Wisc 44Similar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+44
82.1%
Devin Smith 44 Yd pass from Cardale Jones (Sean Nuernberger Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:3222% → 20%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
78.2%
Corey Clement run for 2 yds to the Wisc 27Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
79.3%
Tanner McEvoy run for 2 yds to the Wisc 29Similar
Q2 9:38
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
79.5%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Alex EricksonSimilar
Q2 9:28
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
80.2%
Drew Meyer punt for 40 yds , Jalin Marshall returns for no gain to the OhSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 11TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 2:4284% → 92%
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
83.8%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 1 yd to the OhSt 32Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+13
84.5%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Evan Spencer for 13 yds to the OhSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+21
85.8%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Corey Smith for 21 yds to the Wisc 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
85.7%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Devin Smith for 12 yds to the Wisc 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
86.4%
Cardale Jones run for 8 yds to the Wisc 14Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+14
91.6%
Ezekiel Elliott 14 Yd Run (Sean Nuernberger Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:0510% → 6%
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
90.5%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Alex EricksonSimilar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 10
OWN 17
-2
93.1%
Melvin Gordon run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 15Similar
Q2 5:31
3RD & 12
OWN 15
0
93.5%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Sam ArnesonSimilar
Q2 5:18
4TH & 12
OWN 15
+1
93.6%
Drew Meyer punt for 38 yds , Jalin Marshall returns for 1 yd to the OhSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · -11 yds · 2:5393% → 96%
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
93.1%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 3 yds to the Wisc 49Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+5
94.5%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 5 yds to the Wisc 44Similar
Q2 4:31
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+4
94.5%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 4 yds to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
95.1%
Cardale Jones pass incomplete to Evan SpencerSimilar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-14
95.1%
Jones, Cardale rush for 6 yards to the WISCONSIN34, PENALTY OHIOST personal foul (Smith, Corey) 14 yards to the OHIOST46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 24
OWN 46
0
95.3%
Ezekiel Elliott run for no gain to the OhSt 46Similar
Q2 2:35
3RD & 24
OWN 46
-9
95.6%
Cardale Jones run for a loss of 9 yards to the OhSt 37 Cardale Jones fumbled, recovered by OhSt Cardale JonesSimilar
Q2 2:16
4TH & 33
OWN 37
0
95.5%
Cameron Johnston punt for 58 yds, downed at the Wisc 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14FUMBLE RETURN TD
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:144% → 3%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
96.5%
Melvin Gordon run for 2 yds to the Wisc 7Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+13
96.6%
Joel Stave pass complete to Sam Arneson for 13 yds to the Wisc 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-8
96.4%
Joel Stave sacked by Rashad Frazier for a loss of 8 yards to the Wisc 12Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 18
OWN 12
-4
97.3%
Joey Bosa 4 Yd Fumble Return (Sean Nuernberger Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 15END OF HALF
6 plays · 35 yds · 0:203% → 3%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
97.2%
Stave, Joel pass sacked for loss of 6 yards to the WISCONSIN21 (Miller, Steve), PENALTY OHIOST personal foul (Washington, Adolphus) 15 yards to the WISCONSIN42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WISCONSIN. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
97.1%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Kenzel DoeSimilar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+20
97.3%
Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 20 yds to the OhSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
97.1%
Joel Stave pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 2:372% → 2%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
97.6%
Melvin Gordon run for 9 yds to the Wisc 26Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+3
97.7%
Melvin Gordon run for 3 yds to the Wisc 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
97.8%
Melvin Gordon run for 8 yds to the Wisc 37Similar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+4
97.8%
Alex Erickson run for 4 yds to the Wisc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
98.1%
Melvin Gordon run for no gain to the Wisc 41Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
98.3%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Troy FumagalliSimilar
Q3 12:17
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
98.3%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Alex EricksonSimilar
Q3 12:11
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
98.5%
Drew Meyer punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jalin Marshall at the OhSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 17TD
5 plays · 77 yds · 2:2699% → 99%
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
98.6%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 6 yds to the OhSt 29Similar
Q3 11:19
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+5
98.7%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 5 yds to the OhSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
98.8%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 4 yds to the OhSt 38Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+20
99.0%
Cardale Jones run for 20 yds to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
99.1%
Devin Smith 42 Yd pass from Cardale Jones (Sean Nuernberger Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:331% → 1%
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
99.2%
Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 5 yds to the Wisc 22Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+3
99.3%
Melvin Gordon run for 3 yds to the Wisc 25Similar
Q3 7:49
3RD & 2
OWN 25
-1
99.3%
Melvin Gordon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 24 WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 7:37
4TH & 3
OWN 24
0
99.4%
Drew Meyer punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jalin Marshall at the OhSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:1999% → 99%
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
99.3%
Ezekiel Elliott run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 39Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 11
OWN 39
0
99.3%
Cardale Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:47
3RD & 11
OWN 39
-5
99.3%
Ezekiel Elliott run for a loss of 5 yards to the OhSt 34Similar
Q3 6:16
4TH & 16
OWN 34
0
99.3%
Cameron Johnston punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 20DOWNS
8 plays · 35 yds · 3:021% → 1%
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+16
99.4%
Joel Stave pass complete to Kenzel Doe for 16 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.5%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Melvin GordonSimilar
Q3 5:26
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+8
99.5%
Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 8 yds to the OhSt 44Similar
Q3 4:52
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+7
99.5%
Melvin Gordon run for 7 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
99.5%
Kenzel Doe run for 6 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 4
OPP 31
-2
99.5%
Melvin Gordon run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 33Similar
Q3 3:18
3RD & 6
OPP 33
0
99.6%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Alex EricksonSimilar
Q3 3:09
4TH & 6
OPP 33
0
99.5%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Alex EricksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:26100% → 100%
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
99.6%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 2 yds to the OhSt 35Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+2
99.6%
Jalin Marshall run for 2 yds to the OhSt 37Similar
Q3 1:50
3RD & 6
OWN 37
-9
99.6%
Cardale Jones sacked by Derek Landisch for a loss of 9 yards to the OhSt 28Similar
Q3 1:32
4TH & 15
OWN 28
0
99.6%
Cameron Johnston punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Kenzel Doe at the Wisc 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 22INT
5 plays · 14 yds · 1:150% → 0%
Q3 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Melvin GordonSimilar
Q3 1:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.7%
Melvin Gordon run for 8 yds to the Wisc 33Similar
Q3 0:50
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
99.7%
Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 6 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Troy FumagalliSimilar
Q3 0:11
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+23
99.8%
Joel Stave pass intercepted Doran Grant return for 23 yds to the Wisc 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 23MISSED FG
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:11100% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
99.7%
Ezekiel Elliott run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 32
+15
99.7%
Jones, Cardale pass incomplete to Thomas, Michael (Hillary, Darius), PENALTY WISCONSIN pass interference (Hillary, Darius) 15 yards to the WISCONSIN17, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
99.8%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Jalin Marshall for 4 yds to the Wisc 13Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 6
OPP 13
0
99.8%
Jalin Marshall pass incomplete to Cardale JonesSimilar
Q4 13:55
3RD & 6
OPP 13
0
99.8%
Cardale Jones pass incomplete to Evan SpencerSimilar
Q4 13:49
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+29
99.8%
Sean Nuernberger 29 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Jake KeeferSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:170% → 0%
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
99.8%
Melvin Gordon run for 1 yd to the Wisc 17Similar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+6
99.9%
Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 6 yds to the Wisc 23Similar
Q4 12:19
3RD & 3
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Troy Fumagalli, broken up by Gareon ConleySimilar
Q4 12:13
4TH & 3
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Drew Meyer punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Jalin Marshall at the OhSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 25TD
2 plays · 72 yds · 0:21100% → 100%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+60
99.8%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 60 yds to the Wisc 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.9%
Curtis Samuel 12 Yd Run (Sean Nuernberger Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 26INT
12 plays · 36 yds · 4:350% → 0%
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
99.9%
Melvin Gordon run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wisc 21Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Derek WattSimilar
Q4 10:38
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+19
99.9%
Joel Stave pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 19 yds to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
99.9%
Melvin Gordon run for 1 yd to the Wisc 41Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+5
99.9%
Joel Stave pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 5 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
Q4 8:56
3RD & 4
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Derek WattSimilar
Q4 8:45
4TH & 4
OWN 46
+27
99.9%
Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 27 yds to the OhSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-16
100.0%
Joel Stave sacked by Michael Bennett for a loss of 16 yards to the OhSt 43 Joel Stave fumbled, forced by Michael Bennett, recovered by Wisc Kyle Costigan , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 26
OPP 43
+4
100.0%
Corey Clement run for 4 yds to the OhSt 39Similar
Q4 6:40
3RD & 22
OPP 39
0
100.0%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Troy FumagalliSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 27TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 3:30100% → 100%
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
99.9%
Bri'onte Dunn run for 1 yd to the OhSt 40Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+8
100.0%
Bri'onte Dunn run for 8 yds to the OhSt 48Similar
Q4 4:54
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+5
100.0%
Bri'onte Dunn run for 5 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
100.0%
Bri'onte Dunn run for 5 yds to the Wisc 42Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+35
100.0%
Bri'onte Dunn run for 28 yds to the Wisc 14 for a 1ST down WISCONSIN Penalty, Personal Foul (7 Yards) to the Wisc 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
100.0%
Curtis Samuel run for 5 yds to the Wisc 2Similar
Q4 2:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
100.0%
WISCONSIN Penalty, Defensive Offside (Warren Herring) to the Wisc 1Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
100.0%
Curtis Samuel 1 Yd Run (Sean Nuernberger Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 28END OF GAME
12 plays · 44 yds · 2:100% → 0%
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
100.0%
Corey Clement run for 4 yds to the Wisc 39Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
100.0%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Alex EricksonSimilar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+3
100.0%
Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the Wisc 42Similar
Q4 1:00
4TH & 3
OWN 42
+11
100.0%
Joel Stave pass complete to Kenzel Doe for 11 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
100.0%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Alex Erickson, broken up by Cam BurrowsSimilar
Q4 0:42
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+14
100.0%
Joel Stave pass complete to Kenzel Doe for 14 yds to the OhSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
100.0%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Corey ClementSimilar
Q4 0:31
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
100.0%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Alex EricksonSimilar
Q4 0:12
3RD & 10
OPP 33
0
100.0%
Joel Stave pass complete to Corey Clement for no gain to the OhSt 33Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+12
100.0%
Joel Stave pass complete to Corey Clement for 12 yds to the OhSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:09
Devin Smith 44 Yd pass from Cardale Jones (Sean Nuernberger Kick)
+9.3
TD · Q1 4:06
Ezekiel Elliott 81 Yd Run (Sean Nuernberger Kick)
+5.6
TD · Q2 6:36
Ezekiel Elliott 14 Yd Run (Sean Nuernberger Kick)
+5.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com