Try the model
LT

Louisiana Tech 23 at Marshall 26

MRSH
2014 · Week 15 · Dec 6, 2014 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MRSH
modelMRSH aheadLT aheadconfidence bandkey playMRSH scoreLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGFGFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:01 · Kyle Fischer 49 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 182Pregame prior+3.5Home team on offense−20.3Garbage-time factor−5.2Score differential−4.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−5.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:57: Deon-Tay McManus 6 Yd pass from Rakeem Cato (Justin Haig Kick) — MRSH win probability +4.4 pts (now 81%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q2 7:41: Kenneth Dixon 30 Yd Run (Jonathan Barnes Kick) — LT win probability +8.2 pts (now 34%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:18: Kenneth Dixon 19 Yd Run (Jonathan Barnes PAT failed) — LT win probability +24.3 pts (now 67%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 8:34: Justin Haig 24 yd FG GOOD — MRSH win probability +13.4 pts (now 43%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:50: Rakeem Cato pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 5 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK) — MRSH win probability +42.6 pts (now 90%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MRSH made the numbers' call on 9 of 11LT made the numbers' call on 7 of 12
  1. Q1 13:23MRSH 4th & 11 at MRSH 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.8%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:54LT 4th & 9 at MRSH 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.8%
    89% to make
    Punt
    18.1%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:56MRSH 4th & 9 at MRSH 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:28LT 4th & 4 at MRSH 42, up 3
    Close callPunted · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    20.8%−0.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    21.0%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:35LT 4th & 14 at LT 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.8%−1.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:22MRSH 4th & 18 at MRSH 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.2%−1.6
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:33LT 4th & 16 at LT 34, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−1.9
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:03MRSH 4th & 6 at LT 39, down 10
    Close callPunted · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    62.1%−0.7
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.1%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:27LT 4th & 9 at LT 3, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%−1.8
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:52MRSH 4th & 10 at LT 23, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.9%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.7%
    70% to make
    Punt
    55.4%−4.3
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:19LT 4th & 9 at LT 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:24LT 4th & 11 at LT 34, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.4%−2.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:26MRSH 4th & 5 at LT 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.0%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.3%
    70% to make
    Punt
    55.0%−8.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:20LT 4th & 1 at LT 15, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.6%−2.2
    average punt
  15. Q3 7:12MRSH 4th & 7 at LT 34, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    66.2%−0.4
    47% to make
    Punt
    65.0%−1.6
    average punt
  16. Q3 5:21LT 4th & 12 at LT 44, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−3.0
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.0%
    average punt
  17. Q3 2:43LT 4th & 3 at MRSH 44, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.6 ptsPunted · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    37.0%−5.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    39.6%−2.6
    average punt
  18. Q3 0:27MRSH 4th & 4 at MRSH 31, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−1.6
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.8%
    average punt
  19. Q4 14:13MRSH 4th & 15 at MRSH 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−5.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%
    average punt
  20. Q4 10:08LT 4th & 4 at LT 17, up 7
    Close callPunted · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.0%−0.3
    average punt
  21. Q4 8:34MRSH 4th & 6 at LT 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%−2.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    17.7%−16.3
    average punt
  22. Q4 5:01LT 4th & 6 at MRSH 32, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 71.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.3%−1.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    65.8%−4.5
    average punt
  23. Q4 0:00MRSH 4th & 15 at LT 35, up 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 6.5 ptsWent for it · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.3%−6.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    93.8%
    45% to make
    Punt
    87.6%−6.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MRSH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2LT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 2:53LT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:57MRSH Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:41LT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:18LT Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    62.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:50MRSH Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.0%−2.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MRSHDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:2686% → 85%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
85.8%
Rakeem Cato run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 24Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+13
85.7%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 13 yds to the Marsh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
85.6%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Eric FrohnapfelSimilar
Q1 14:04
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-1
85.6%
Steward Butler run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 36Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 11
OWN 36
0
85.4%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Davonte AllenSimilar
Q1 13:23
4TH & 11
OWN 36
0
85.3%
Tyler Williams punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Trent Taylor at the LaTch 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 2FG
13 plays · 58 yds · 5:0615% → 17%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
85.2%
Jarred Craft run for 3 yds to the LaTch 36Similar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+5
85.1%
Jarred Craft run for 5 yds to the LaTch 41Similar
Q1 11:58
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+5
84.9%
MARSHALL Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the LaTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
84.7%
Cody Sokol pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+8
84.7%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Hunter Lee for 8 yds to the Marsh 46Similar
Q1 10:52
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+15
84.4%
Kenneth Dixon run for 15 yds to the Marsh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+10
84.1%
Sokol, Cody pass incomplete, PENALTY MARSHALL holding (Roberts, Darryl) 10 yards to the MARSHALL21, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LATECH. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
84.0%
Kenneth Dixon run for 4 yds to the Marsh 17Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+7
83.9%
Kenneth Dixon run for 7 yds to the Marsh 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
83.7%
Jarred Craft run for 3 yds to the Marsh 7Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
83.3%
Jarred Craft run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 9Similar
Q1 7:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
83.3%
Cody Sokol pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
83.3%
Jonathan Barnes 26 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:3784% → 83%
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
83.5%
Remi Watson run for 1 yd to the Marsh 46Similar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
83.4%
Rakeem Cato pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:08
3RD & 9
OWN 46
0
83.0%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Hyleck FosterSimilar
Q1 6:56
4TH & 9
OWN 46
+11
82.7%
Tyler Williams punt for 42 yds , Trent Taylor returns for 11 yds to the LaTch 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 35 yds · 3:1817% → 19%
Q1 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+18
82.9%
Carlos Henderson run for 18 yds to the LaTch 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
82.2%
Kenneth Dixon run for 3 yds to the LaTch 44Similar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+5
82.0%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Hunter Lee for 5 yds to the LaTch 49Similar
Q1 4:56
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+3
81.7%
Jarred Craft run for 3 yds to the Marsh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
81.4%
Cody Sokol pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-3
81.2%
Jarred Craft run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 49Similar
Q1 3:49
3RD & 13
OWN 49
+9
81.5%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Jarred Craft for 9 yds to the Marsh 42Similar
Q1 3:28
4TH & 4
OPP 42
0
81.3%
Logan McPherson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Tommy Shuler at the Marsh 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 5FUMBLE
3 plays · 26 yds · 0:1481% → 81%
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+28
81.0%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Davonte Allen for 28 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
81.1%
Rakeem Cato pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-2
81.0%
Steward Butler run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 33 Steward Butler fumbled, recovered by LaTch DeAngelo BrooksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 6TD
1 play · 33 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
77.6%
Kenneth Dixon 33 Yd Run (Jonathan Barnes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 7TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:3277% → 81%
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
77.2%
Remi Watson run for 3 yds to the Marsh 28Similar
Q1 2:12
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+40
77.1%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Davonte Allen for 40 yds to the LaTch 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
77.9%
Rakeem Cato sacked by Nick Thomason and Mitch Villemez for a loss of 5 yards to the LaTch 37Similar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 15
OPP 37
+4
76.8%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 4 yds to the LaTch 33Similar
Q1 0:45
3RD & 11
OPP 33
+25
76.4%
Rakeem Cato run for 25 yds to the LaTch 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
76.6%
Remi Watson run for 2 yds to the LaTch 6Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
81.1%
Deon-Tay McManus 6 Yd pass from Rakeem Cato (Justin Haig Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · -4 yds · 2:1721% → 21%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
78.9%
Dixon, Kenneth rush for 14 yards to the LATECH49, PENALTY LATECH holding 10 yards to the LATECH25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 20
OWN 25
-2
78.9%
Kenneth Dixon run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 23Similar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 22
OWN 23
+6
78.6%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 6 yds to the LaTch 29Similar
Q2 13:43
3RD & 16
OWN 29
-5
79.0%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LaTch 24Similar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 21
OWN 24
+7
78.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for 7 yds to the LaTch 31Similar
Q2 12:35
4TH & 14
OWN 31
+1
79.0%
Logan McPherson punt for 39 yds , Tommy Shuler returns for 1 yd to the Marsh 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:0479% → 77%
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
78.9%
Remi Watson run for 3 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
78.8%
Rakeem Cato pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:05
3RD & 7
OWN 34
-5
78.3%
MARSHALL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 29Similar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 12
OWN 29
-6
77.7%
Rakeem Cato sacked by Houston Bates for a loss of 6 yards to the Marsh 23Similar
Q2 11:22
4TH & 18
OWN 23
0
77.3%
Tyler Williams punt for 48 yds, downed at the LaTch 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 10FUMBLE
7 plays · 5 yds · 2:3223% → 23%
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
77.4%
Cody Sokol run for 4 yds to the LaTch 33Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+4
76.8%
Carlos Henderson run for 4 yds to the LaTch 37Similar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+3
76.4%
Jarred Craft run for 3 yds to the LaTch 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
75.5%
Cody Sokol pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
75.5%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 4 yds to the LaTch 44Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 6
OWN 44
-10
75.3%
Cody Sokol sacked by Raheim Huskey for a loss of 10 yards to the LaTch 34 Cody Sokol fumbled, recovered by LaTch Carlos Henderson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 8:33
4TH & 16
OWN 34
0
76.9%
Logan McPherson punt for 26 yds , Michael Johnson returns for no gain to the Marsh 40 Michael Johnson fumbled, recovered by LaTch Darrell TravisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 11TD
5 plays · 40 yds · 0:1827% → 34%
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
73.3%
Kenneth Dixon run for 5 yds to the Marsh 35Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 5
OPP 35
0
72.6%
Cody Sokol pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:50
3RD & 5
OPP 35
0
73.4%
Cody Sokol pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:50
4TH & 5
OPP 35
+5
74.5%
MARSHALL Penalty, Defensive Offside (Gary Thompson) to the Marsh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
66.3%
Kenneth Dixon 30 Yd Run (Jonathan Barnes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:1368% → 66%
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
67.9%
Rakeem Cato run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 38Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+19
67.4%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 19 yds to the LaTch 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
68.4%
Rakeem Cato pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:37
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+4
68.1%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 4 yds to the LaTch 39Similar
Q2 6:17
3RD & 6
OPP 39
0
67.7%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Tommy ShulerSimilar
Q2 6:03
4TH & 6
OPP 39
0
66.4%
Tyler Williams punt for 37 yds, downed at the LaTch 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2433% → 34%
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
66.6%
Jarred Craft run for no gain to the LaTch 2Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+1
65.9%
Ricky Jones run for 1 yd to the LaTch 3Similar
Q2 4:38
3RD & 9
OWN 3
0
65.9%
Cody Sokol pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:27
4TH & 9
OWN 3
+6
66.2%
Logan McPherson punt for 37 yds , Tommy Shuler returns for 6 yds to the LaTch 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14FG
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:2367% → 68%
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
67.1%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 11 yds to the LaTch 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
67.1%
Rakeem Cato pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
66.9%
Rakeem Cato pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:57
3RD & 10
OPP 23
0
65.4%
Rakeem Cato pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:52
4TH & 10
OPP 23
+40
67.8%
Justin Haig 40 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 3:1834% → 40%
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
65.7%
Kenneth Dixon run for 4 yds to the LaTch 35Similar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
63.6%
Kenneth Dixon run for no gain to the LaTch 35Similar
Q2 2:30
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+10
63.3%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Paul Turner for 10 yds to the LaTch 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
60.9%
Kenneth Dixon run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 43Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 12
OWN 43
+1
60.9%
Jarred Craft run for 1 yd to the LaTch 44Similar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 11
OWN 44
+2
60.4%
Cody Sokol run for 2 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q2 0:19
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
60.3%
Logan McPherson punt for 22 yds, downed at the Marsh 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 16END OF HALF
6 plays · 40 yds · 0:1262% → 70%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
61.5%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Craig Wilkins for 11 yds to the Marsh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+29
62.5%
Remi Watson run for 29 yds to the LaTch 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+46
70.1%
Justin Haig 46 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:2534% → 33%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
65.9%
Cody Sokol pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:27
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
66.0%
Kenneth Dixon run for 4 yds to the LaTch 39Similar
Q3 13:41
3RD & 6
OWN 39
-5
64.8%
Cody Sokol sacked by Raheim Huskey for a loss of 5 yards to the LaTch 34Similar
Q3 13:24
4TH & 11
OWN 34
0
67.2%
Logan McPherson punt for 31 yds, downed at the Marsh 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 18FG
12 plays · 42 yds · 2:4267% → 70%
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
67.0%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 11 yds to the Marsh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-10
69.0%
Cato, Rakeem pass incomplete, PENALTY MARSHALL holding 10 yards to the MARSHALL36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 20
OWN 36
+8
66.2%
Devon Johnson run for 8 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q3 12:21
2ND & 12
OWN 44
0
66.5%
Rakeem Cato pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:21
3RD & 12
OWN 44
-5
65.2%
MARSHALL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 39Similar
Q3 12:12
3RD & 17
OWN 39
+17
64.9%
Devon Johnson run for 17 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
68.8%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 7 yds to the LaTch 37Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+9
68.7%
Devon Johnson run for 9 yds to the LaTch 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
69.9%
Rakeem Cato pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:52
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+5
69.7%
Rakeem Cato run for 5 yds to the LaTch 23Similar
Q3 10:31
3RD & 5
OPP 23
0
67.8%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Tommy ShulerSimilar
Q3 10:26
4TH & 5
OPP 23
+40
70.1%
Justin Haig 40 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:4032% → 32%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
67.6%
Hunter Lee run for 4 yds to the LaTch 10Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 6
OWN 10
+4
67.2%
Hunter Lee run for 4 yds to the LaTch 14Similar
Q3 8:56
3RD & 2
OWN 14
+1
67.7%
Hunter Lee run for 1 yd to the LaTch 15Similar
Q3 8:20
4TH & 1
OWN 15
0
68.3%
Logan McPherson punt for 22 yds, downed at the LaTch 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 20DOWNS
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:0271% → 67%
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
71.2%
Devon Johnson run for no gain to the LaTch 37Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
70.8%
Rakeem Cato pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+3
69.1%
Remi Watson run for 3 yds to the LaTch 34Similar
Q3 7:12
4TH & 7
OPP 34
0
67.4%
Rakeem Cato pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:3937% → 35%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
62.9%
Kenneth Dixon run for 9 yds to the LaTch 43Similar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+3
60.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for 3 yds to the LaTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
60.3%
Cody Sokol pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-2
60.8%
Carlos Henderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 44Similar
Q3 5:28
3RD & 12
OWN 44
0
62.8%
Cody Sokol pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:21
4TH & 12
OWN 44
0
64.9%
Logan McPherson punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 22INT
4 plays · 21 yds · 1:0465% → 68%
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
64.7%
Remi Watson run for 3 yds to the Marsh 32Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+17
64.2%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 17 yds to the Marsh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
67.6%
Remi Watson run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 9
50
0
67.5%
Rakeem Cato pass intercepted Nick Thomason return for no gain to the LaTch 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:0243% → 42%
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
57.2%
Cody Sokol run for 2 yds to the Marsh 49Similar
Q3 3:26
2ND & 8
OPP 49
0
56.9%
Cody Sokol pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:13
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+5
57.6%
Carlos Henderson run for 5 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q3 2:43
4TH & 3
OPP 44
0
58.2%
Logan McPherson punt for 37 yds, downed at the Marsh 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:4361% → 57%
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
60.7%
Steward Butler run for 1 yd to the Marsh 8Similar
Q3 1:54
2ND & 9
OWN 8
+17
58.9%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 17 yds to the Marsh 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
60.2%
Steward Butler run for 1 yd to the Marsh 26Similar
Q3 1:08
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
59.5%
Rakeem Cato pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:56
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
57.4%
Steward Butler run for 5 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q3 0:27
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+20
57.3%
TEAM punt blocked by Le'Vander Liggins blocked by Le'Vander Liggins Le'Vander Liggins return for 20 yds to the Marsh 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 25TD
1 play · 19 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q3 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
33.0%
Kenneth Dixon 19 Yd Run (Jonathan Barnes PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:4739% → 36%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
39.2%
Remi Watson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Marsh 16 Remi Watson fumbled, recovered by Marsh Remi WatsonSimilar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 15
OWN 16
0
38.6%
Rakeem Cato pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:30
3RD & 15
OWN 16
0
37.0%
Rakeem Cato run for no gain to the Marsh 16Similar
Q4 14:13
4TH & 15
OWN 16
0
36.2%
Tyler Williams punt for 35 yds, downed at the LaTch 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 27FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
30.5%
Cody Sokol run for no gain to the LaTch 49 Cody Sokol fumbled, recovered by Marsh Gary ThompsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 28FUMBLE
5 plays · 38 yds · 1:4943% → 41%
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
42.7%
Steward Butler run for 6 yds to the LaTch 43Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+11
42.5%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Eric Frohnapfel for 11 yds to the LaTch 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
44.2%
Steward Butler run for 2 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+4
43.7%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Eric Frohnapfel for 4 yds to the LaTch 26Similar
Q4 11:56
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+15
41.3%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 15 yds Tommy Shuler fumbled, forced by Xavier Woods, recovered by LaTch Secdrick CooperSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:3768% → 70%
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
31.7%
Kenneth Dixon run for 6 yds to the LaTch 17Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 4
OWN 17
-5
31.9%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LaTch 12Similar
Q4 10:56
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+5
30.7%
Kenneth Dixon run for 5 yds to the LaTch 17Similar
Q4 10:19
3RD & 4
OWN 17
0
28.7%
Cody Sokol pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:08
4TH & 4
OWN 17
+10
30.0%
Logan McPherson punt for 25 yds , Hyleck Foster returns for 10 yds to the LaTch 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 30FG
7 plays · 25 yds · 1:2340% → 43%
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+21
39.6%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 21 yds to the LaTch 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
39.0%
Steward Butler run for 1 yd to the LaTch 10Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 9
OPP 10
-5
38.7%
MARSHALL Penalty, False Start (Chris Jasperse) to the LaTch 15Similar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 14
OPP 15
0
37.0%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManusSimilar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 14
OPP 15
+8
29.5%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Remi Watson for 8 yds to the LaTch 7Similar
Q4 8:34
4TH & 6
OPP 7
+24
42.9%
Justin Haig 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 31MISSED FG
8 plays · 35 yds · 3:1968% → 75%
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
32.1%
Kenneth Dixon run for 1 yd to the LaTch 34Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+30
31.9%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Sterling Griffin for 30 yds to the Marsh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
26.0%
Kenneth Dixon run for 5 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+3
23.7%
Jarred Craft run for 3 yds to the Marsh 28Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 2
OPP 28
-4
22.6%
Jarred Craft run for a loss of 4 yards to the Marsh 32Similar
Q4 5:01
4TH & 6
OPP 32
+49
25.0%
Kyle Fischer 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 32TD
11 plays · 68 yds · 2:5042% → 90%
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
42.0%
Steward Butler run for 3 yds to the Marsh 35Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+17
41.7%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 17 yds to the LaTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
47.6%
Steward Butler run for 2 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+9
47.3%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 9 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
47.5%
Rakeem Cato pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:42
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+7
47.0%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 7 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q4 3:27
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+10
46.2%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 10 yds to the LaTch 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
47.4%
Rakeem Cato run for 6 yds to the LaTch 14Similar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+4
48.9%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 4 yds to the LaTch 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
47.0%
Rakeem Cato run for 5 yds to the LaTch 5Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
89.7%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 5 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 33INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
78.4%
Cody Sokol pass intercepted Evan McKelvey return for 2 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 34FUMBLE
6 plays · -5 yds · 1:3590% → 93%
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-15
89.7%
MARSHALL Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the LaTch 45Similar
Q4 1:32
1ST & 25
OPP 45
-1
88.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 46Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 26
OPP 46
+2
90.3%
Steward Butler run for 2 yds to the LaTch 44Similar
Q4 0:45
3RD & 24
OPP 44
+9
93.2%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 9 yds to the LaTch 35Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 15
OPP 35
0
92.5%
TEAM run for no gain to the LaTch 35 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Marsh Rakeem CatoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:50
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 5 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)
+42.6
TD · Q3 0:18
Kenneth Dixon 19 Yd Run (Jonathan Barnes PAT failed)
-24.3
FG · Q4 8:34
Justin Haig 24 yd FG GOOD
+13.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com