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WCU

Western Carolina 17 at Texas A&M 41

TA&M
2015 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2015 · Kyle Field
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Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadWCU aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreWCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:43 · Ian Berryman punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Christian Kirk at the TexAM 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 145Pregame prior+27.2Home team on offense+18.9Score differential+7.3Garbage-time factor+5.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:07: Troy Mitchell pass complete to Detrez Newsome for 17 yds for a TD, (Logan Howard KICK) — WCU win probability +1.2 pts (now 4%) (top driver: WCU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 11:09: Taylor Bertolet 47 yd FG GOOD — TA&M win probability +1.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:43: Kyler Murray pass complete to Damion Ratley for 16 yds for a TD, (Taylor Bertolet KICK) — TA&M win probability +2.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 0:24: Taylor Bertolet 52 yd FG GOOD — TA&M win probability +1.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 11:18: Logan Howard 24 yd FG GOOD — WCU win probability +1.5 pts (now 2%) (top driver: WCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 7 of 8WCU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00WCU 4th & 4 at WCU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:47WCU 4th & 2 at TA&M 44, down 7
    Close callPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    2.9%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:14TA&M 4th & 10 at WCU 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.3%
    49% to make
    Punt
    96.2%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00WCU 4th & 16 at WCU 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:06WCU 4th & 10 at WCU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:37TA&M 4th & 7 at TA&M 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:36WCU 4th & 2 at WCU 46, down 7
    Close callPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:29TA&M 4th & 15 at TA&M 5, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%−1.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:05WCU 4th & 12 at TA&M 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    6.4%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:07TA&M 4th & 4 at TA&M 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    93.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00TA&M 4th & 2 at TA&M 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    93.2%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:09TA&M 4th & 8 at WCU 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.1%
    58% to make
    Punt
    89.7%−2.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:09WCU 4th & 2 at WCU 49, down 10
    Close callPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:05TA&M 4th & 1 at TA&M 39, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    92.7%−0.7
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:43WCU 4th & 3 at WCU 32, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:24TA&M 4th & 7 at WCU 34, up 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.2%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    97.0%−0.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:18WCU 4th & 5 at TA&M 7, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−1.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:09WCU 4th & 25 at WCU 44, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 4 of 5WCU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 5:47TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:41TA&M Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:07WCU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:58WCU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:06TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:43TA&M Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:19TA&M Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WCUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
98.7%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Steffon Hill for 8 yds to the WCaro 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+1
98.7%
Detrez Newsome run for 1 yd to the WCaro 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 26
-3
98.7%
Detrez Newsome run for a loss of 3 yards to the WCaro 23Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 23
0
98.7%
Ian Berryman punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 2INT
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
98.5%
Tra Carson run for 15 yds to the WCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+24
98.6%
Kyler Murray pass intercepted Daniel Riddle return for 24 yds to the TexAM 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 3INT
10 plays · 21 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
98.5%
Troy Mitchell pass incomplete to Detrez NewsomeSimilar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
98.5%
Troy Mitchell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+15
98.5%
Troy Mitchell pass incomplete to K. Benson (Nick Harvey), PENALTY TAMU pass interference (Nick Harvey) 15 yards to the TAMU15, 1ST DOWN WCU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
98.5%
Troy Mitchell run for no gain to the TexAM 15Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
98.5%
Troy Mitchell pass incomplete, broken up by De'Vante HarrisSimilar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+11
98.5%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Detrez Newsome for 11 yds to the TexAM 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
98.5%
WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 9Similar
Q1 12:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
98.5%
Troy Mitchell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
98.5%
Detrez Newsome run for no gain to the TexAM 9Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
98.5%
Troy Mitchell pass intercepted Justin Dunning return for 7 yds to the TexAM 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 4TD
14 plays · 93 yds · 4:1898% → 98%
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+10
98.2%
Tra Carson run for 10 yds to the TexAM 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
98.2%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Damion Ratley for 8 yds to the TexAM 25Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 2
OWN 25
0
98.2%
Tra Carson run for no gain to the TexAM 25Similar
Q1 10:05
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+7
98.2%
Tra Carson run for 7 yds to the TexAM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
98.2%
Kyler Murray pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+24
98.2%
James White run for 24 yds to the WCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
98.3%
Kyler Murray pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+5
98.3%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 5 yds to the WCaro 39Similar
Q1 10:05
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+9
98.3%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Jeremy Tabuyo for 9 yds to the WCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+19
98.3%
Tra Carson run for 19 yds to the WCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
98.3%
Tra Carson run for 2 yds to the WCaro 9Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+8
98.3%
Tra Carson run for 8 yds to the WCaro 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
98.3%
Tra Carson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 2Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.0%
Tra Carson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Taylor Bertolet KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 32 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
97.9%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Steffon Hill for 6 yds to the WCaro 30Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+18
97.9%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Tyler Sexton for 18 yds to the WCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
97.9%
Troy Mitchell run for 4 yds to the TexAM 48Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 6
OPP 48
0
97.9%
Troy Mitchell pass incomplete, broken up by Brandon WilliamsSimilar
Q1 5:47
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+4
97.9%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Detrez Newsome for 4 yds to the TexAM 44Similar
Q1 5:47
4TH & 2
OPP 44
0
97.9%
Troy Mitchell punt for 15 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6MISSED FG
8 plays · 38 yds · 2:3798% → 97%
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
97.8%
James White run for 6 yds to the TexAM 35Similar
Q1 3:51
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+10
97.8%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 10 yds to the TexAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
97.8%
Tra Carson run for 3 yds to the TexAM 48Similar
Q1 3:51
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+19
97.8%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 19 yds to the WCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
97.9%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Tra CarsonSimilar
Q1 3:51
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
97.8%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Christian Kirk for no gain to the WCaro 33Similar
Q1 3:51
3RD & 10
OPP 33
0
97.8%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Ricky Seals-JonesSimilar
Q1 1:14
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+51
97.4%
Taylor Bertolet 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:143% → 3%
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
97.3%
Troy Mitchell sacked by Qualen Cunningham for a loss of 5 yards to the WCaro 28Similar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 15
OWN 28
-3
97.4%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Detrez Newsome for a loss of 3 yards to the WCaro 25Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 25
+2
97.3%
Detrez Newsome run for 2 yds to the WCaro 27Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 27
+46
97.3%
Ian Berryman punt for 50 yds , Christian Kirk returns for 46 yds to the WCaro 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 8TD
4 plays · 31 yds · 1:2797% → 98%
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+16
97.3%
Kyler Murray run for 16 yds to the WCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-15
97.3%
Tra Carson rush for 1 yard to the WCU14 (Helva Matungulu), PENALTY TAMU personal foul (Koda Martin) 15 yards to the WCU30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:08
1ST & 25
OPP 30
+4
97.3%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Damion Ratley for 4 yds to the WCaro 26Similar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 21
OPP 26
+26
97.9%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Jeremy Tabuyo for 26 yds for a TD, (Taylor Bertolet KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 9TD
3 plays · 82 yds · 0:342% → 4%
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+65
97.6%
Detrez Newsome run for 65 yds to the TexAM 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
96.4%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Detrez Newsome for 17 yds for a TD, (Logan Howard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 10FUMBLE RETURN TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 11:58
1ST & 0
OPP 35
-11
96.3%
Avery Worsham 11 Yd Fumble Return (Logan Howard Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 11TD
8 plays · 58 yds · 2:5296% → 97%
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
96.1%
Tra Carson run for 9 yds to the WCaro 49Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 1
OPP 49
0
96.2%
Tra Carson run for no gain to the WCaro 49Similar
Q2 11:58
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+12
96.1%
Tra Carson run for 12 yds to the WCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
96.2%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Jeremy Tabuyo for 7 yds to the WCaro 30Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+2
96.3%
Tra Carson run for 2 yds to the WCaro 28Similar
Q2 11:58
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+14
96.1%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Christian Kirk for 14 yds to the WCaro 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
96.6%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Christian Kirk for 14 yds for a TD, (Taylor Bertolet KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
96.3%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Steffon Hill for 9 yds to the WCaro 34Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-15
96.0%
WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the WCaro 19Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 16
OWN 19
0
96.3%
Troy Mitchell pass incomplete to Steffon HillSimilar
Q2 9:06
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+6
96.4%
Troy Mitchell run for 6 yds to the WCaro 25Similar
Q2 9:06
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.5%
Ian Berryman punt for 47 yds , Nick Harvey returns for 2 yds to the TexAM 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:1996% → 96%
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
96.3%
Tra Carson run for 6 yds to the TexAM 36Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+6
96.4%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Edward Pope for 6 yds to the TexAM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
96.5%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Boone Niederhofer for 3 yds to the TexAM 45Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
96.5%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Christian KirkSimilar
Q2 6:37
3RD & 7
OWN 45
0
96.0%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Jeremy Tabuyo, broken up by Jaleel LorquetSimilar
Q2 6:37
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
95.8%
Drew Kaser punt for 46 yds, downed at the WCaro 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 37 yds · 2:464% → 5%
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
95.8%
Troy Mitchell pass incomplete to Tyler Sexton, broken up by Armani WattsSimilar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+2
95.8%
Detrez Newsome run for 2 yds to the WCaro 11Similar
Q2 6:22
3RD & 8
OWN 11
+27
95.9%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Spearman Robinson for 27 yds to the WCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
95.5%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Detrez Newsome for 1 yd to the WCaro 39Similar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 9
OWN 39
-3
95.5%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Detrez Newsome for a loss of 3 yards to the WCaro 36Similar
Q2 6:22
3RD & 12
OWN 36
+10
95.8%
Troy Mitchell run for 10 yds to the WCaro 46Similar
Q2 3:36
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
95.3%
Ian Berryman punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Christian Kirk at the TexAM 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
95.4%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Christian Kirk for no gain to the TexAM 10Similar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
95.3%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Christian KirkSimilar
Q2 3:29
3RD & 10
OWN 10
-5
95.1%
Kyler Murray sacked by Fred Payne for a loss of 5 yards to the TexAM 5Similar
Q2 3:29
4TH & 15
OWN 5
0
94.9%
Drew Kaser punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:586% → 5%
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
94.4%
Detrez Newsome run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 44Similar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+4
94.6%
Detrez Newsome run for 4 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q2 2:03
3RD & 7
OPP 40
0
94.5%
Troy Mitchell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:05
4TH & 7
OPP 40
-5
95.0%
WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 45Similar
Q2 1:05
4TH & 12
OPP 45
0
95.2%
Ian Berryman punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 17INT
9 plays · 41 yds · 0:5195% → 95%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
94.9%
Tra Carson run for 8 yds to the TexAM 16Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 2
OWN 16
0
94.9%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Ricky Seals-JonesSimilar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 2
OWN 16
+7
94.8%
Tra Carson run for 7 yds to the TexAM 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+20
95.0%
Kyler Murray run for 20 yds to the TexAM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
95.3%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Jeremy TabuyoSimilar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+6
95.2%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Edward Pope for 6 yds to the TexAM 49Similar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 4
OWN 49
0
94.5%
Kyler Murray pass intercepted, touchback. Marvin Tillman return for no gainSimilar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 4
OWN 49
0
94.8%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Edward Pope, PENALTY TAMU illegal touching (Edward Pope) 0 yards to the TAMU49, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18FG
15 plays · 37 yds · 3:5195% → 95%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
94.6%
James White run for 2 yds to the TexAM 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+1
94.7%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Christian Kirk for 1 yd to the TexAM 37Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+5
94.5%
Kyler Murray run for 5 yds to the TexAM 42Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 42
+5
94.4%
James White run for 5 yds to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
95.0%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Ricky Seals-JonesSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+5
94.9%
James White run for 5 yds to the WCaro 48Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 48
0
94.9%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete, broken up by Trey MorganSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 48
+5
94.5%
Drew Kaser punt 45 yards to the WCU3, downed, PENALTY WCU roughing the kicker (C. Cunningham) 5 yards to the WCU43, 1ST DOWN TAMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
95.1%
James White run for 2 yds to the WCaro 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+10
95.0%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Christian Kirk for 10 yds to the WCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
95.1%
James White run for 2 yds to the WCaro 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 29
0
95.1%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Jeremy TabuyoSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 29
0
94.9%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete, broken up by Fred PayneSimilar
Q3 11:09
4TH & 8
OPP 29
+47
95.3%
Taylor Bertolet 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 33 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+14
95.3%
Detrez Newsome run for 14 yds to the WCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
95.2%
Detrez Newsome run for 11 yds to the WCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
95.0%
Detrez Newsome run for 7 yds to the WCaro 48Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+2
94.8%
Steffon Hill run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:09
3RD & 1
50
-1
94.8%
Troy Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 49Similar
Q3 11:09
4TH & 2
OWN 49
0
95.1%
Ian Berryman punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 3:2295% → 98%
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
94.7%
Kyler Murray run for 5 yds to the TexAM 25Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+5
94.8%
Brice Dolezal run for 5 yds to the TexAM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
94.8%
Brice Dolezal run for 5 yds to the TexAM 35Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
94.9%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Damion Ratley, broken up by Fred PayneSimilar
Q3 8:05
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+4
94.6%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Jeremy Tabuyo for 4 yds to the TexAM 39Similar
Q3 8:05
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+4
94.7%
Brice Dolezal run for 4 yds to the TexAM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
95.1%
Kyler Murray run for 15 yds to the WCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
95.2%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Christian Kirk, QB hurry by Daniel Riddle, PENALTY WCU personal foul (Damian Whitaker) 15 yards to the WCU27, 1ST DOWN TAMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
94.7%
PENALTY TAMU unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY WCU personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
95.4%
Brice Dolezal run for 5 yds to the WCaro 22Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+6
95.4%
Brice Dolezal run for 6 yds to the WCaro 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
98.1%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Damion Ratley for 16 yds for a TD, (Taylor Bertolet KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
97.5%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Steffon Hill for 7 yds to the WCaro 32Similar
Q3 4:43
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
97.4%
Detrez Newsome run for 2 yds to the WCaro 34Similar
Q3 4:43
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-2
97.4%
Detrez Newsome run for a loss of 2 yards to the WCaro 32Similar
Q3 4:43
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
97.5%
Ian Berryman punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Christian Kirk at the TexAM 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 22FG
9 plays · 39 yds · 2:4798% → 99%
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
97.9%
Brice Dolezal run for 7 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 3
OWN 34
0
98.0%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Jeremy TabuyoSimilar
Q3 3:11
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+18
97.9%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Christian Kirk for 18 yds to the WCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
98.1%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Damion Ratley for 5 yds to the WCaro 43Similar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+6
98.1%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Brice Dolezal for 6 yds to the WCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
98.1%
Brice Dolezal run for 8 yds to the WCaro 29Similar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+1
98.1%
Brice Dolezal run for 1 yd to the WCaro 28Similar
Q3 3:11
3RD & 1
OPP 28
-6
98.1%
Kyler Murray sacked by Tyson Dickson for a loss of 6 yards to the WCaro 34Similar
Q3 0:24
4TH & 7
OPP 34
+52
99.2%
Taylor Bertolet 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 23FG
14 plays · 78 yds · 4:061% → 2%
Q3 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
99.1%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Detrez Newsome for 4 yds to the WCaro 19Similar
Q3 0:24
2ND & 6
OWN 19
0
99.1%
Troy Mitchell pass incomplete to Detrez NewsomeSimilar
Q3 0:24
3RD & 6
OWN 19
+20
99.1%
Troy Mitchell run for 20 yds to the WCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.1%
Troy Mitchell pass incomplete to Spearman RobinsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+4
99.1%
Detrez Newsome run for 4 yds to the WCaro 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+8
99.1%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Spearman Robinson for 8 yds to the TexAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
99.0%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Michael Helms Jr. for 7 yds to the TexAM 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+15
99.0%
Troy Mitchell pass incomplete to S. Robinson, PENALTY TAMU pass interference (B. Williams) 15 yards to the TAMU27, 1ST DOWN WCU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
98.9%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Karnorris Benson for 15 yds to the TexAM 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
98.9%
Detrez Newsome run for 6 yds to the TexAM 6Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 6
0
99.0%
Troy Mitchell pass incomplete to Steffon HillSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 6
-1
99.1%
Steffon Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 7Similar
Q4 11:18
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+24
97.6%
Logan Howard 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 24TD
4 plays · 68 yds · 0:5998% → 100%
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+43
98.2%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Christian Kirk for 43 yds to the WCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
98.4%
Brice Dolezal run for 3 yds to the WCaro 22Similar
Q4 10:19
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+22
99.5%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Christian Kirk for 22 yds for a TD, (Taylor Bertolet KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 25PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 2:101% → 1%
Q4 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.4%
Detrez Newsome run for 5 yds to the WCaro 30Similar
Q4 10:19
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
99.4%
Troy Mitchell pass incomplete to Karnorris BensonSimilar
Q4 10:19
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+29
99.4%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Spearman Robinson for 29 yds to the TexAM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-6
99.4%
Detrez Newsome run for a loss of 6 yards to the TexAM 47Similar
Q4 10:19
2ND & 16
OPP 47
0
99.4%
Troy Mitchell pass incomplete to Spearman Robinson, broken up by Victor DavisSimilar
Q4 10:19
3RD & 16
OPP 47
-9
99.4%
Troy Mitchell sacked by Zaycoven Henderson for a loss of 9 yards to the WCaro 44Similar
Q4 8:09
4TH & 25
OWN 44
0
99.5%
Ian Berryman punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Nick Harvey at the TexAM 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 26END OF GAME
16 plays · 78 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
99.7%
Brice Dolezal run for 9 yds to the TexAM 28Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+1
99.7%
Brice Dolezal run for 1 yd to the TexAM 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
99.7%
Brice Dolezal run for no gain to the TexAM 29Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+4
99.7%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Jordan Davis for 4 yds to the TexAM 33Similar
Q4 8:02
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+7
99.7%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Jeremy Tabuyo for 7 yds to the TexAM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
99.7%
Brice Dolezal run for 5 yds to the TexAM 45Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+9
99.7%
Kwame Etwi run for 9 yds to the WCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
99.7%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Sabian Holmes for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 47Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 11
OPP 47
+5
99.7%
Kwame Etwi run for 5 yds to the WCaro 42Similar
Q4 8:02
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+13
99.7%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Edward Pope for 13 yds to the WCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
99.7%
Brice Dolezal run for 8 yds to the WCaro 21Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+1
99.7%
Kyle Allen run for 1 yd to the WCaro 20 Kyle Allen fumbled,Similar
Q4 8:02
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+5
99.7%
Brice Dolezal run for 5 yds to the WCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
99.7%
Brice Dolezal run for 1 yd to the WCaro 14Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+7
99.7%
Brice Dolezal run for 7 yds to the WCaro 7Similar
Q4 8:02
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+4
99.7%
Brice Dolezal run for 4 yds to the WCaro 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:43
Kyler Murray pass complete to Damion Ratley for 16 yds for a TD, (Taylor Bertolet KICK)
+2.7
FG · Q4 11:18
Logan Howard 24 yd FG GOOD
-1.5
TD · Q2 12:07
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Detrez Newsome for 17 yds for a TD, (Logan Howard KICK)
-1.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com