Try the model
UNT

North Texas 0 at Tennessee 24

TENN
2015 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2015 · Neyland Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · TENN
modelTENN aheadUNT aheadconfidence bandkey playTENN scoreUNT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:29 · Joshua Dobbs run for 2 yds to the NoTex 30 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 19Pregame prior+48.5Home team on offense+0.6Score differential+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q1 2:29: Alvin Kamara run for 5 yds to the Tenn 34 — UNT win probability +0.5 pts (now 2%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 2:41: Antoinne Jimmerson run for 2 yds to the NoTex 37 — UNT win probability +0.4 pts (now 2%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:35: Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Malone for 15 yds to the NoTex 30 for a 1ST down — TENN win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:38: Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 5 — UNT win probability +0.6 pts (now 2%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:47: Alvin Kamara run for 15 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK) — TENN win probability +1.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TENN made the numbers' call on 5 of 8UNT made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 13:46UNT 4th & 10 at UNT 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:29TENN 4th & 1 at UNT 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.5%−0.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:29TENN 4th & 15 at UNT 35, up 7
    Close callPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    98.7%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:35UNT 4th & 12 at TENN 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:57UNT 4th & 12 at UNT 39, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:15TENN 4th & 10 at UNT 43, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    97.6%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:14UNT 4th & 1 at UNT 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.7%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:45UNT 4th & 18 at UNT 27, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.4
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00UNT 4th & 6 at midfield, down 17
    Close callPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:27TENN 4th & 1 at TENN 44, up 17
    Close callPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:24UNT 4th & 5 at TENN 45, down 17
    Close callPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    2.3%−0.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00TENN 4th & 2 at UNT 34, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    97.4%−0.4
    47% to make
    Punt
    97.2%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:19UNT 4th & 8 at UNT 27, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:15TENN 4th & 3 at TENN 43, up 24
    Close callPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:58UNT 4th & 8 at UNT 31, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:22TENN 4th & 13 at TENN 25, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:36UNT 4th & 9 at TENN 47, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:49TENN 4th & 1 at UNT 27, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TENN made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 13:51TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:57TENN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 13:47TENN Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TENNDrive 1TD
6 plays · 56 yds · 1:0999% → 99%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
99.2%
Jalen Hurd run for 2 yds to the Tenn 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+14
99.2%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 14 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+13
99.2%
Jalen Hurd run for 13 yds to the NoTex 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.2%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Josh SmithSimilar
Q1 13:51
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+27
99.2%
Alvin Kamara run for 27 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
99.1%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Marcus Smith, broken up by LaDarrell McNeilSimilar
Q1 13:46
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+5
99.1%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 5 yds to the NoTex 36Similar
Q1 13:46
3RD & 5
OWN 36
0
99.1%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Marcus SmithSimilar
Q1 13:46
4TH & 5
OWN 36
-5
99.1%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the NoTex 31Similar
Q1 13:46
4TH & 10
OWN 31
0
99.1%
Eric Keena punt for 43 yds, downed at the Tenn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 3PUNT
12 plays · 39 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+18
99.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Von Pearson for 18 yds to the Tenn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
99.1%
Alvin Kamara run for 9 yds to the NoTex 47Similar
Q1 12:29
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+6
99.1%
Jalen Hurd run for 6 yds to the NoTex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
99.1%
Joshua Dobbs run for 7 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q1 12:29
2ND & 3
OPP 34
-3
99.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Von Pearson for a loss of 3 yards to the NoTex 37Similar
Q1 12:29
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+5
99.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Alex Ellis for 5 yds to the NoTex 32Similar
Q1 12:29
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+2
99.1%
Joshua Dobbs run for 2 yds to the NoTex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:29
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
99.1%
Jalen Hurd run for no gain to the NoTex 30Similar
Q1 12:29
3RD & 10
OPP 30
-5
99.1%
TENNESSEE Penalty, false start (Chance Hall) to the NoTex 35Similar
Q1 12:29
3RD & 15
OPP 35
0
99.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Ethan WolfSimilar
Q1 12:29
4TH & 15
OPP 35
0
99.1%
Trevor Daniel punt for 31 yds, downed at the NoTex 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4PUNT
11 plays · 48 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+11
98.8%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Turner Smiley for 11 yds to the NoTex 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
98.8%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 3 yds to the NoTex 18Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+3
98.8%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 3 yds to the NoTex 21Similar
Q1 8:35
3RD & 4
OWN 21
+4
98.9%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Marcus Smith for 4 yds to the NoTex 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.8%
DaMarcus Smith run for 6 yds to the NoTex 31Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
98.8%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 7 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+16
98.8%
Willy Ivery run for 16 yds to the Tenn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-7
98.8%
DaMarcus Smith sacked by Derek Barnett for a loss of 7 yards to the NoTex 47Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 17
OWN 47
+5
98.8%
DaMarcus Smith run for 5 yds to the Tenn 48Similar
Q1 8:35
3RD & 12
OPP 48
0
98.8%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Turner SmileySimilar
Q1 8:35
4TH & 12
OPP 48
0
98.9%
Eric Keena punt for 19 yds, fair catch by Justin Martin at the Tenn 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 5TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 2:3298% → 99%
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
98.4%
Alvin Kamara run for 5 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q1 2:29
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+20
98.4%
Alvin Kamara run for 20 yds to the NoTex 42 Alvin Kamara fumbled, forced by Zac Whitfield, recovered by Tenn Alvin Kamara for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
98.4%
Alvin Kamara run for 5 yds to the NoTex 37Similar
Q1 2:29
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+2
98.4%
Jalen Hurd run for 2 yds to the NoTex 35Similar
Q1 2:29
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+6
98.4%
Jalen Hurd run for 6 yds to the NoTex 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
98.4%
Jalen Hurd run for 2 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q1 2:29
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+26
98.4%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 26 yds to the NoTex 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.6%
Jalen Hurd run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 6DOWNS
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
98.5%
DaMarcus Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoTex 22Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+7
98.5%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 7 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
Q2 14:57
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+12
98.5%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Carlos Harris for 12 yds to the NoTex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
98.4%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Turner Smiley for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 40Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 11
OWN 40
-1
98.4%
Jeffrey Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 39Similar
Q2 14:57
3RD & 12
OWN 39
0
98.5%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
Q2 14:57
4TH & 12
OWN 39
+4
98.5%
Eric Keena pass complete to Andrew Tucker for 4 yds to the NoTex 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
98.4%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Josh SmithSimilar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
98.4%
Jalen Hurd run for no gain to the NoTex 43Similar
Q2 11:15
3RD & 10
OPP 43
0
98.4%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Jauan JenningsSimilar
Q2 11:15
4TH & 10
OPP 43
0
98.3%
Trevor Daniel punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Tre Johnson at the NoTex 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8DOWNS
9 plays · 39 yds · 4:072% → 2%
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
98.2%
DaMarcus Smith run for 5 yds to the NoTex 12 DaMarcus Smith fumbled, forced by Brian Randolph, recovered by NoTex Chris MilesSimilar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+12
98.1%
Willy Ivery run for 12 yds to the NoTex 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
98.1%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Marcus Smith for 5 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+9
98.1%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to O'Keeron Rutherford for 9 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
98.1%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 1 yd to the NoTex 39Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
98.1%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Turner SmileySimilar
Q2 10:21
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+8
98.1%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Carlos Harris for 8 yds to the NoTex 47Similar
Q2 6:14
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
97.8%
DaMarcus Smith run for no gain to the NoTex 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 9FG
8 plays · 30 yds · 3:2698% → 98%
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
98.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Malone for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 47Similar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 11
OPP 47
+9
98.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 9 yds to the NoTex 38Similar
Q2 6:07
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+10
98.1%
Jalen Hurd run for 10 yds to the NoTex 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+19
98.1%
Jalen Hurd run for 19 yds to the NoTex 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
98.1%
Joshua Dobbs run for 3 yds to the NoTex 6Similar
Q2 6:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
98.1%
Jalen Hurd run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 7Similar
Q2 6:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-9
98.1%
Joshua Dobbs sacked by Jarrian Roberts for a loss of 9 yards to the NoTex 16Similar
Q2 2:41
4TH & 0
OPP 16
+34
98.4%
Aaron Medley 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · -8 yds · 0:562% → 2%
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
98.0%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 2 yds to the NoTex 37Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+1
98.0%
DaMarcus Smith run for 1 yd to the NoTex 38Similar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 7
OWN 38
-11
97.9%
DaMarcus Smith sacked by Chris Weatherd for a loss of 11 yards to the NoTex 27Similar
Q2 1:45
4TH & 18
OWN 27
+22
98.0%
Eric Keena punt for 40 yds , Cameron Sutton returns for 22 yds to the NoTex 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 11INT
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
98.5%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Malone for 15 yds to the NoTex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
98.5%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Ethan Wolf, broken up by Cortney FinneySimilar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+3
98.5%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Ethan Wolf for 3 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+7
98.5%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Smith for 7 yds to the NoTex 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
98.5%
Joshua Dobbs pass intercepted Chad Davis return for no gain to the NoTex 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-1
97.9%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
97.9%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 9 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
97.7%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 2 yds to the NoTex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
97.8%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 3 yds to the NoTex 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+7
97.8%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Jeffrey Wilson for 7 yds to the NoTex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
97.7%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Turner Smiley, broken up by Malik ForemanSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+9
97.8%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Marcus Smith for 9 yds to the Tenn 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 45
0
97.6%
DaMarcus Smith run for no gain to the Tenn 45 DaMarcus Smith fumbled, recovered by NoTex DaMarcus SmithSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 45
-5
97.7%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, delay of game (DaMarcus Smith) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
50
+6
97.8%
Eric Keena punt for 33 yds , Cameron Sutton returns for 6 yds to the Tenn 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
98.1%
Alvin Kamara run for 5 yds to the Tenn 28Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+2
98.1%
Alvin Kamara run for 2 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q3 10:27
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+5
98.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Alvin Kamara for 5 yds to the Tenn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
98.1%
Von Pearson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 32Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+11
98.1%
Jalen Hurd run for 11 yds to the Tenn 43Similar
Q3 10:27
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+1
98.1%
Jalen Hurd run for 1 yd to the Tenn 44Similar
Q3 10:27
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
98.0%
Trevor Daniel punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoTex 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 43 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
97.8%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 6 yds to the NoTex 18Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+4
97.8%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 4 yds to the NoTex 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
97.8%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Marcus Smith for 15 yds to the NoTex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
97.7%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Marcus Smith for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
50
-2
97.6%
DaMarcus Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 48Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 12
OWN 48
+5
97.7%
Smith, DaM. rush for 8 yards to the UT44 (Reeves-Maybin;Vereen, C.), PENALTY UT offside defense (O'Brien, D.) 5 yards to the UT47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+2
97.6%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 2 yds to the Tenn 45Similar
Q3 7:24
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
97.6%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
Q3 7:24
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
97.7%
Eric Keena punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 16TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 4:1498% → 99%
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
97.9%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Tenn 25Similar
Q3 3:01
1ST & 5
OWN 25
+2
98.0%
Alvin Kamara run for 2 yds to the Tenn 27Similar
Q3 3:01
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+6
98.0%
Alvin Kamara run for 6 yds to the Tenn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
98.0%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 3 yds to the Tenn 36Similar
Q3 3:01
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
98.0%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Josh MaloneSimilar
Q3 3:01
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+22
98.0%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Malone for 22 yds to the NoTex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
98.1%
Alvin Kamara run for 6 yds to the NoTex 36Similar
Q3 3:01
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+2
98.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Malone for 2 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q3 3:01
3RD & 2
OPP 34
0
98.1%
Jalen Hurd run for no gain to the NoTex 34Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+11
97.9%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 11 yds to the NoTex 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
98.1%
Alvin Kamara run for 3 yds to the NoTex 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+5
98.1%
Alvin Kamara run for 5 yds to the NoTex 15Similar
Q4 13:47
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+15
99.4%
Alvin Kamara run for 15 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 1:231% → 1%
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
99.4%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+11
99.4%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Turner Smiley for 11 yds to the NoTex 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.4%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 2 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.4%
Jeffrey Wilson run for no gain to the NoTex 27Similar
Q4 12:19
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
99.5%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Turner Smiley, broken up by Malik ForemanSimilar
Q4 12:19
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.5%
Eric Keena punt for 62 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
99.5%
Alvin Kamara run for 2 yds to the Tenn 13Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+11
99.5%
Alvin Kamara run for 11 yds to the Tenn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.5%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Josh SmithSimilar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+3
99.5%
John Kelly run for 3 yds to the Tenn 27Similar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+9
99.5%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Von Pearson for 9 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.5%
Quinten Dormady run for 4 yds to the Tenn 40Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
99.5%
Quinten Dormady pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+3
99.5%
Quinten Dormady run for 3 yds to the Tenn 43Similar
Q4 11:15
4TH & 3
OWN 43
+4
99.5%
Trevor Daniel punt for 46 yds , Tre Johnson returns for 4 yds to the NoTex 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+14
99.5%
Willy Ivery run for 14 yds to the NoTex 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
99.5%
Willy Ivery run for 2 yds to the NoTex 31Similar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
99.4%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Chris LovingSimilar
Q4 7:58
3RD & 8
OWN 31
0
99.5%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Tee GoreeSimilar
Q4 7:58
4TH & 8
OWN 31
0
99.5%
Eric Keena punt for 41 yds, downed at the Tenn 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
99.6%
John Kelly run for 2 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q4 6:22
2ND & 8
OWN 30
-1
99.6%
John Kelly run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 29Similar
Q4 6:22
3RD & 9
OWN 29
-4
99.6%
Quinten Dormady sacked by Brandon Garner for a loss of 4 yards to the Tenn 25Similar
Q4 6:22
4TH & 13
OWN 25
0
99.6%
TEAM puntSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.6%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Thaddeous ThompsonSimilar
Q4 4:36
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+1
99.6%
DaMarcus Smith run for 1 yd to the Tenn 47 NORTH TEXAS Penalty, illegal motion ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 4:36
3RD & 9
OPP 47
0
99.6%
DaMarcus Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:36
4TH & 9
OPP 47
+19
99.6%
Eric Keena punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Josh Smith at the Tenn 13 NORTH TEXAS Penalty, kick catching interference (Willy Ivery) to the Tenn 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 22END OF GAME
9 plays · 58 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+21
99.6%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Josh Smith for 21 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
99.6%
Joe Young run for 9 yds to the NoTex 42Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+6
99.6%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 6 yds to the NoTex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
99.6%
Joe Young run for 4 yds to the NoTex 32Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+3
99.6%
Quinten Dormady run for 3 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
Q4 3:49
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+2
99.6%
Joe Young run for 2 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q4 3:49
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+2
99.6%
Joe Young run for 2 yds to the NoTex 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
99.6%
John Kelly run for 9 yds to the NoTex 16Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+2
99.6%
John Kelly run for 2 yds to the NoTex 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:47
Alvin Kamara run for 15 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)
+1.3
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:38
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 5
-0.6
KEY PLAY · Q1 2:29
Alvin Kamara run for 5 yds to the Tenn 34
-0.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com