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UGA

Georgia 20 at Auburn 13

AUB
2015 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2015 · Jordan-Hare Stadium
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Win probability · AUB
modelAUB aheadUGA aheadconfidence bandkey playAUB scoreUGA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:13 · Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 0:34: Daniel Carlson 42 yd FG GOOD — AUB win probability +4.1 pts (now 63%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:20: Isaiah McKenzie run for 4 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK) — UGA win probability +18.2 pts (now 55%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. PUNT · Q4 9:28: Kevin Phillips punt for 46 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for 53 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK) — UGA win probability +30.2 pts (now 76%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 6:49: Marshall Morgan 38 yd FG GOOD — UGA win probability +4.3 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 1:14: Daniel Carlson 38 yd FG GOOD — AUB win probability +8.4 pts (now 14%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AUB made the numbers' call on 6 of 8UGA made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 10:15UGA 4th & 8 at AUB 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    50.8%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    51.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:15AUB 4th & 6 at AUB 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.9%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:29UGA 4th & 4 at AUB 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    46.2%−0.7
    42% to make
    Punt
    46.0%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00UGA 4th & 1 at AUB 2, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.6%
    60% to convert
    Field goal
    45.2%−1.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    41.6%−5.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:00UGA 4th & 12 at AUB 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.4%−1.5
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    32.2%−5.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:34AUB 4th & 13 at UGA 25, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%−1.6
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.2%
    66% to make
    Punt
    53.1%−4.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00UGA 4th & 5 at UGA 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:24AUB 4th & 6 at AUB 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:18UGA 4th & 1 at AUB 47, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.6 ptsPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.1%−3.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:33AUB 4th & 3 at AUB 19, up 7
    Close callPunted · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.4%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:14AUB 4th & 10 at AUB 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.1%−2.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00UGA 4th & 21 at UGA 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%−6.5
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:28AUB 4th & 10 at AUB 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%−5.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:49UGA 4th & 14 at AUB 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.2%−3.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.3%
    74% to make
    Punt
    69.7%−9.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:41AUB 4th & 8 at AUB 44, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.6%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:09UGA 4th & 6 at UGA 5, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%−2.0
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:14AUB 4th & 6 at UGA 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−1.4
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    5.0%−3.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AUB made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UGA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:24AUB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 1:20UGA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AUBDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:3642% → 45%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
41.5%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Peyton Barber for 6 yds to the Aub 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
41.5%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Marcus Davis for 3 yds to the Aub 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
41.5%
Peyton Barber run for 5 yds to the Aub 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
41.5%
Jovon Robinson run for no gain to the Aub 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+9
41.5%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Ricardo Louis for 9 yds to the Aub 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+6
41.5%
Peyton Barber run for 6 yds to the Geo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+23
41.5%
Jovon Robinson run for 23 yds to the Geo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
41.5%
Jovon Robinson run for 5 yds to the Geo 18Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+10
41.5%
Ricardo Louis run for 10 yds to the Geo 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
41.5%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Ricardo Louis for 1 yd to the Geo 7Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
45.3%
Kerryon Johnson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
44.6%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Jeb Blazevich for 9 yds to the Geo 36Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+3
44.3%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the Geo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
44.4%
Isaiah McKenzie run for 6 yds to the Geo 45Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+7
44.2%
Terry Godwin run for 7 yds to the Aub 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
44.2%
Greyson Lambert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+1
44.2%
Sony Michel run for 1 yd to the Aub 47Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 9
OPP 47
+1
44.4%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Sony Michel for 1 yd to the Aub 46Similar
Q1 10:15
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
44.7%
Collin Barber punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Aub 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0048% → 47%
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
47.6%
Jeremy Johnson pass incomplete to Kerryon JohnsonSimilar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 10
OWN 16
-4
47.5%
Jeremy Johnson sacked by Leonard Floyd for a loss of 4 yards to the Aub 12Similar
Q1 6:15
3RD & 14
OWN 12
+8
47.2%
Jeremy Johnson run for 8 yds to the Aub 20Similar
Q1 6:15
4TH & 6
OWN 20
0
46.9%
Kevin Phillips punt for 46 yds, downed at the Geo 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4DOWNS
13 plays · 64 yds · 4:3252% → 49%
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
48.3%
Sony Michel run for 1 yd to the Geo 35Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+12
48.3%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Sony Michel for 12 yds to the Geo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
47.7%
Isaiah McKenzie run for 11 yds to the Aub 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
47.5%
Sony Michel run for 4 yds to the Aub 38Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+1
47.4%
Sony Michel run for 1 yd to the Aub 37Similar
Q1 1:29
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+1
49.7%
Sony Michel run for 1 yd to the Aub 36Similar
Q1 1:29
4TH & 4
OPP 36
+5
50.3%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 5 yds to the Aub 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+20
48.9%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Christian Payne for 20 yds to the Aub 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
49.6%
Sony Michel run for 9 yds to the Aub 2Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 2
0
49.6%
Sony Michel run for no gain to the Aub 2 Sony Michel fumbled, recovered by Geo Sony MichelSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 2
0
50.4%
Sony Michel run for no gain to the Aub 2Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 2
0
51.1%
Greyson Lambert pass incomplete to Malcolm MitchellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 5INT
5 plays · 48 yds · 0:0054% → 55%
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+33
53.8%
Jovon Robinson run for 33 yds to the Aub 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
54.3%
Jeremy Johnson run for 10 yds to the Aub 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
55.3%
Jovon Robinson run for 2 yds to the Aub 47Similar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+3
55.4%
Jovon Robinson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:39
3RD & 5
50
0
54.9%
Jeremy Johnson pass intercepted Malkom Parrish return for no gain to the Geo 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6FG
13 plays · 37 yds · 6:2646% → 42%
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
54.1%
Sony Michel run for 5 yds to the Geo 45Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+10
53.4%
Sony Michel run for 10 yds to the Aub 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
53.0%
Greyson Lambert pass incomplete to Malcolm MitchellSimilar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
53.2%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Jeb Blazevich for 5 yds to the Aub 40Similar
Q2 10:26
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+5
53.3%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 5 yds to the Aub 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
52.1%
Isaiah McKenzie run for 5 yds to the Aub 30Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+3
52.0%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the Aub 27Similar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+6
57.3%
Quayvon Hicks run for 6 yds to the Aub 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
56.1%
Quayvon Hicks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 22Similar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 11
OPP 22
+10
56.4%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 10 yds to the Aub 12Similar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 1
OPP 12
-11
57.2%
Greyson Lambert sacked by Cassanova McKinzy for a loss of 11 yards to the Aub 23Similar
Q2 4:00
4TH & 12
OPP 23
+40
57.7%
Marshall Morgan 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 7FG
16 plays · 53 yds · 3:1955% → 63%
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
55.3%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Ricardo Louis for 3 yds to the Aub 25Similar
Q2 3:53
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+18
55.5%
Peyton Barber run for 18 yds to the Aub 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
57.0%
Peyton Barber run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 3:53
2ND & 3
50
+4
57.7%
Peyton Barber run for 4 yds to the Geo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
57.8%
Jeremy Johnson pass incomplete to Kerryon JohnsonSimilar
Q2 3:53
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+14
57.6%
Jeremy Johnson run for 14 yds to the Geo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
58.8%
Jovon Robinson run for 9 yds to the Geo 23Similar
Q2 3:53
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+1
58.8%
Jovon Robinson run for 1 yd to the Geo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
59.9%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Marcus Davis for 1 yd to the Geo 21Similar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 9
OPP 21
-5
59.9%
Ricardo Louis rush around left end for 3 yards to the UGA18 (Quincy Mauger;Malkom Parrish), PENALTY AU illegal formation 5 yards to the UGA26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 14
OPP 26
+1
58.7%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Tony Stevens for 1 yd to the Geo 25Similar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 13
OPP 25
0
58.5%
Jeremy Johnson pass incomplete to Tony Stevens, broken up by Sterling BaileySimilar
Q2 0:34
4TH & 13
OPP 25
+42
62.6%
Daniel Carlson 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
64.8%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0039% → 37%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
61.4%
Greyson Lambert run for no gain to the Geo 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
61.6%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Jeb Blazevich for 5 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
61.7%
Greyson Lambert pass incomplete to Isaiah McKenzieSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+10
63.1%
Brice Ramsey punt for 48 yds , Marcus Davis returns for 10 yds to the Aub 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0064% → 63%
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
64.0%
Jovon Robinson run for 1 yd to the Aub 33Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+9
63.8%
Jovon Robinson run for 9 yds to the Aub 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
65.8%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Marcus Davis for 3 yds to the Aub 45Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+1
66.0%
Peyton Barber run for 1 yd to the Aub 46Similar
Q3 13:24
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
64.7%
Jeremy Johnson pass incomplete to Ricardo LouisSimilar
Q3 13:24
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
62.5%
Kevin Phillips punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 22 yds · 0:0037% → 38%
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
63.2%
Sony Michel run for 13 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
61.7%
Sony Michel run for no gain to the Geo 44Similar
Q3 11:18
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+9
62.4%
Sony Michel run for 9 yds to the Aub 47Similar
Q3 11:18
3RD & 1
OPP 47
0
60.5%
Sony Michel run for no gain to the Aub 47Similar
Q3 11:18
4TH & 1
OPP 47
0
62.3%
Collin Barber punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Marcus Davis at the Aub 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0069% → 66%
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
68.5%
Kerryon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Aub 15Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+4
68.5%
Peyton Barber run for 4 yds to the Aub 19Similar
Q3 8:33
3RD & 3
OWN 19
0
67.3%
Sean White pass incomplete to Kerryon JohnsonSimilar
Q3 8:33
4TH & 3
OWN 19
0
66.4%
Kevin Phillips punt for 48 yds, downed at the Geo 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13TD
11 plays · 67 yds · 5:4835% → 55%
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
65.5%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 15 yds to the Geo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
63.3%
Terry Godwin run for 7 yds to the Aub 45Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 3
OPP 45
0
62.1%
Sony Michel run for no gain to the Aub 45Similar
Q3 5:09
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+13
66.4%
Greyson Lambert run for 13 yds to the Aub 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
64.1%
Sony Michel run for 2 yds to the Aub 30Similar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+7
63.8%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Jay Rome for 7 yds to the Aub 23Similar
Q3 5:09
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+11
65.7%
Terry Godwin rush around left end for loss of 5 yards to the AU28 (Carl Lawson), PENALTY AU face mask (Johnathan Ford) 11 yards to the AU12, 1ST DOWN UGA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
63.8%
Sony Michel run for 2 yds to the Aub 10Similar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+6
63.8%
Sony Michel run for 6 yds to the Aub 4Similar
Q3 1:20
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+4
45.5%
Isaiah McKenzie run for 4 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0055% → 52%
Q3 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
54.9%
Sean White pass incomplete to Ricardo Louis, broken up by Sterling BaileySimilar
Q3 1:14
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
54.7%
Sean White pass incomplete to Ricardo LouisSimilar
Q3 1:14
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
52.7%
Sean White pass incomplete to Ricardo LouisSimilar
Q3 1:14
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
51.9%
Kevin Phillips punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Isaiah McKenzie at the Geo 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15PUNT
11 plays · 0 yds · 0:5054% → 48%
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
46.5%
Sony Michel run for 6 yds to the Aub 49Similar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+2
45.5%
Sony Michel run for 2 yds to the Aub 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+3
46.2%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Brendan Douglas for 3 yds to the Aub 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-15
45.5%
Greyson Lambert left deep sideline pass incomplete to M. Mitchell (Jonathan Jones), PENALTY UGA pass interference (M. Mitchell) 15 yards to the UGA41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 25
OWN 41
0
48.8%
Greyson Lambert pass incomplete to Sony MichelSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 25
OWN 41
-5
49.1%
GEORGIA Penalty, false start (Isaiah Wynn) to the Geo 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 30
OWN 36
-7
50.5%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the Geo 39 GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Geo 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 37
OWN 29
+1
51.0%
Brendan Douglas run for 1 yd to the Geo 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 36
OWN 30
-5
52.2%
GEORGIA Penalty, delay of game (Greyson Lambert) to the Geo 25Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 41
OWN 25
+20
51.9%
Brendan Douglas run for 20 yds to the Geo 45Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 21
OWN 45
0
52.4%
Brice Ramsey punt for 48 yds, downed at the Aub 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 16PUNT RETURN TD
4 plays · 0 yds · 2:2455% → 24%
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
55.4%
Jovon Robinson run for 2 yds to the Aub 9Similar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+5
55.1%
Jovon Robinson run for 5 yds to the Aub 14Similar
Q4 11:52
3RD & 3
OWN 14
-7
54.0%
Jeremy Johnson run for a loss of 7 yards to the Aub 7Similar
Q4 9:28
4TH & 10
OWN 7
+53
23.8%
Kevin Phillips punt for 46 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for 53 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 17FUMBLE
3 plays · -6 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q4 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
26.9%
Sean White pass complete to Marcus Davis for 1 yd to the Aub 24Similar
Q4 9:22
2ND & 9
OWN 24
-7
26.7%
Sean White sacked by Jordan Jenkins for a loss of 7 yards to the Aub 17 Sean White fumbled, recovered by Geo Aaron Davis , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18FG
4 plays · -4 yds · 2:0083% → 87%
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-3
16.8%
Sony Michel run for a loss of 3 yards to the Aub 20Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 13
OPP 20
0
16.9%
Sony Michel run for no gain to the Aub 20Similar
Q4 8:49
3RD & 13
OPP 20
-1
17.7%
Sony Michel run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 21Similar
Q4 6:49
4TH & 14
OPP 21
+38
13.4%
Marshall Morgan 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 19FUMBLE
14 plays · 72 yds · 0:0013% → 17%
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
13.2%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Marcus Davis for 15 yds to the Aub 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
14.7%
Jeremy Johnson pass incomplete to Kerryon JohnsonSimilar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+2
13.8%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Marcus Davis for 2 yds to the Aub 44Similar
Q4 6:41
3RD & 8
OWN 44
0
13.4%
Jeremy Johnson pass incomplete to Tony StevensSimilar
Q4 6:41
4TH & 8
OWN 44
+8
12.9%
Jeremy Johnson run for 8 yds to the Geo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
15.8%
Peyton Barber run for 8 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+1
16.5%
Peyton Barber run for 1 yd to the Geo 39Similar
Q4 6:41
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+11
16.5%
Peyton Barber run for 11 yds to the Geo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
18.3%
Peyton Barber run for 2 yds to the Geo 26Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+13
18.3%
GEORGIA Penalty, face mask (13 yards) (Leonard Floyd) to the Geo 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
18.3%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Marcus Davis for 6 yds to the Geo 7Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+2
18.3%
Peyton Barber run for 2 yds to the Geo 5Similar
Q4 6:41
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+4
16.9%
Ricardo Louis run for 4 yds to the Geo 1 Ricardo Louis fumbled, forced by Lorenzo Carter, recovered by Geo Aaron DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:1392% → 93%
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
8.5%
Greyson Lambert run for no gain to the Geo 1Similar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+1
8.1%
Brendan Douglas run for 1 yd to the Geo 2Similar
Q4 3:13
3RD & 9
OWN 2
+3
7.8%
Brendan Douglas run for 3 yds to the Geo 5Similar
Q4 3:09
4TH & 6
OWN 5
+10
7.5%
Brice Ramsey punt for 42 yds , Marcus Davis returns for 10 yds to the Geo 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 21FG
8 plays · 16 yds · 1:425% → 14%
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
5.1%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Ricardo Louis for 9 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 1
OPP 28
0
6.3%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Marcus Davis for no gain to the Geo 28Similar
Q4 2:56
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+3
5.4%
Peyton Barber run for 3 yds to the Geo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
6.3%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Peyton Barber for 2 yds to the Geo 23Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+2
6.3%
Jeremy Johnson run for 2 yds to the Geo 21Similar
Q4 2:56
3RD & 6
OPP 21
0
5.6%
Jeremy Johnson pass incomplete to Tony StevensSimilar
Q4 1:14
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+38
14.0%
Daniel Carlson 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 22END OF GAME
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
4.4%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 44Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 11
OPP 44
-1
4.5%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
PUNT · Q4 9:28
Kevin Phillips punt for 46 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for 53 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)
-30.2
TD · Q3 1:20
Isaiah McKenzie run for 4 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)
-18.2
FG · Q4 1:14
Daniel Carlson 38 yd FG GOOD
+8.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com