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TA&M

Texas A&M 25 at Vanderbilt 0

VAN
2015 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2015 · FirstBank Stadium
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Win probability · VAN
modelVAN aheadTA&M aheadconfidence bandkey playVAN scoreTA&M score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGFGFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:58 · Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Trent Sherfield, broken up by Nick Harvey
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.0+27.50−27.5−55.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 65Home team on offense−2.7Score differential−0.7Pregame prior−14.3Garbage-time factor−1.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:11: Kyle Allen pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 95 yds for a TD, (Taylor Bertolet KICK) — TA&M win probability +8.1 pts (now 77%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Taylor Bertolet 46 yd FG GOOD — TA&M win probability +3.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 7:15: Taylor Bertolet 46 yd FG GOOD — TA&M win probability +5.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 2:12: Taylor Bertolet 41 yd FG GOOD — TA&M win probability +3.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 12:30: Taylor Bertolet 23 yd FG GOOD — TA&M win probability +1.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VAN made the numbers' call on 9 of 12TA&M made the numbers' call on 6 of 11
  1. Q1 13:29TA&M 4th & 7 at VAN 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    66.6%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:42VAN 4th & 25 at TA&M 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    33.3%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    33.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:56TA&M 4th & 6 at TA&M 41, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:47VAN 4th & 9 at VAN 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.4%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:32TA&M 4th & 4 at VAN 7, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.2%−0.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    62.0%−2.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00VAN 4th & 1 at VAN 47, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.6%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:43TA&M 4th & 3 at TA&M 45, up 6
    Close callPunted · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.0%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:58VAN 4th & 4 at TA&M 26, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    34.9%−0.4
    64% to make
    Punt
    30.8%−4.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:36TA&M 4th & 1 at VAN 38, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    65.3%−1.8
    38% to make
    Punt
    65.3%−1.9
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:59VAN 4th & 3 at VAN 45, down 6
    Close callPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.9%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:29TA&M 4th & 11 at VAN 17, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.2%−1.4
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.6%
    80% to make
    Punt
    70.2%−6.3
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:39VAN 4th & 2 at VAN 28, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.9%−0.3
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 14:56VAN 4th & 1 at VAN 30, down 16
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.3%−2.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 12:55TA&M 4th & 6 at VAN 44, up 16
    Close callPunted · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    82.2%−1.5
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    83.4%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q3 11:14VAN 4th & 5 at VAN 19, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.5%
    average punt
  16. Q3 7:15TA&M 4th & 6 at VAN 28, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.3%
    60% to make
    Punt
    79.9%−5.5
    average punt
  17. Q3 7:06VAN 4th & 13 at VAN 20, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%−2.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%
    average punt
  18. Q3 2:12TA&M 4th & 3 at VAN 23, up 19
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.6%−0.6
    70% to make
    Punt
    89.6%−5.5
    average punt
  19. Q3 2:06VAN 4th & 6 at TA&M 35, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    4.3%−0.6
    45% to make
    Punt
    3.5%−1.3
    average punt
  20. Q4 12:30TA&M 4th & 5 at VAN 5, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.3%
    92% to make
    Punt
    95.0%−2.2
    average punt
  21. Q4 9:09VAN 4th & 15 at VAN 45, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  22. Q4 6:16TA&M 4th & 1 at TA&M 37, up 25
    Close callPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%−0.2
    average punt
  23. Q4 6:05VAN 4th & 8 at VAN 10, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 2:11TA&M Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TA&MDrive 1FG
7 plays · 52 yds · 1:3170% → 69%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+21
30.0%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Speedy Noil for 21 yds to the Vandy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+28
30.0%
Kyle Allen run for 13 yds to the Vandy 31 for a 1ST down VANDERBILT Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Vandy 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
30.0%
Kyle Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+3
30.0%
Kyle Allen run for 3 yds to the Vandy 13Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 13
0
30.0%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete, broken up by Torren McGasterSimilar
Q1 13:29
4TH & 7
OPP 13
+31
30.6%
Taylor Bertolet 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 2PUNT
17 plays · 27 yds · 1:4231% → 31%
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
30.6%
Ralph Webb run for 8 yds to the Vandy 42Similar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+3
30.8%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the Vandy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
30.7%
Darrius Sims run for 2 yds to the Vandy 47Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+7
31.4%
Ralph Webb run for 7 yds to the TexAM 46Similar
Q1 11:42
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+2
31.4%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the TexAM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
31.5%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the TexAM 41Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+7
31.5%
Ralph Webb run for 7 yds to the TexAM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
31.6%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the TexAM 29Similar
Q1 11:42
1ST & 5
OPP 29
0
31.6%
Kyle Shurmur pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+5
31.6%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the TexAM 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-10
31.6%
Kyle Shurmur sacked by Daeshon Hall for a loss of 10 yards to the TexAM 34Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 20
OPP 34
-5
31.4%
VANDERBILT Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 39Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 25
OPP 39
+5
31.3%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 5 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q1 11:42
3RD & 20
OPP 34
0
31.2%
TEAM run for no gain to the TexAM 39 TEAM fumbled,Similar
Q1 11:42
4TH & 25
OPP 39
0
31.0%
Tommy Openshaw punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
32.9%
Kyle Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+9
32.9%
Tra Carson run for 9 yds to the TexAM 16Similar
Q1 6:56
3RD & 1
OWN 16
+1
33.0%
Kyle Allen run for 1 yd to the TexAM 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+20
32.7%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Speedy Noil for 20 yds to the TexAM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
32.4%
Tra Carson run for 4 yds to the TexAM 41Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
32.1%
Kyle Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:56
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
32.3%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete, broken up by Tre HerndonSimilar
Q1 6:56
4TH & 6
OWN 41
+9
32.8%
Drew Kaser punt for 45 yds , Ryan White returns for 9 yds to the Vandy 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0033% → 32%
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
32.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Ralph WebbSimilar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+1
32.7%
Ralph Webb run for 1 yd to the Vandy 24Similar
Q1 4:47
3RD & 9
OWN 24
0
32.3%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Trent SherfieldSimilar
Q1 4:47
4TH & 9
OWN 24
0
32.1%
TEAM punt blocked by Sam Moeller blocked by Sam MoellerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 5FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2368% → 69%
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
32.2%
Tra Carson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 14Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 11
OPP 14
+10
32.4%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Christian Kirk for 10 yds to the Vandy 4Similar
Q1 3:55
3RD & 1
OPP 4
-3
32.6%
Tra Carson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 7Similar
Q1 2:32
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+25
31.2%
Taylor Bertolet 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:2732% → 33%
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
31.8%
Ralph Webb run for 5 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q1 2:27
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+11
31.9%
Ralph Webb run for 11 yds to the Vandy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
32.3%
Ralph Webb run for 1 yd to the Vandy 39Similar
Q1 2:27
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+3
32.3%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the Vandy 42Similar
Q1 2:27
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
32.3%
Kyle Shurmur pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 42
+5
31.9%
Tommy Openshaw punt 21 yards to the TAMU37, out-of-bounds, PENALTY TAMU roughing the kicker (Myles Garrett) 5 yards to the VANDY47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
32.8%
Tommy Openshaw punt for 15 yds, downed at the TexAM 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0069% → 68%
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
31.2%
Tra Carson run for 9 yds to the TexAM 47Similar
Q2 14:43
2ND & 1
OWN 47
-5
30.9%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 42Similar
Q2 14:43
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+3
31.1%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 3 yds to the TexAM 45Similar
Q2 14:43
3RD & 3
OWN 45
0
31.2%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Josh Reynolds, broken up by Stephen WeatherlySimilar
Q2 14:43
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
31.8%
Drew Kaser punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 8DOWNS
12 plays · 54 yds · 2:2832% → 33%
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
32.1%
Johnny McCrary run for 10 yds to the Vandy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
32.3%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the Vandy 32Similar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+6
32.3%
Ralph Webb run for 6 yds to the Vandy 38Similar
Q2 13:26
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+14
32.9%
Dallas Rivers run for 14 yds to the TexAM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+16
33.6%
Dallas Rivers run for 16 yds to the TexAM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
34.4%
VANDERBILT Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 37Similar
Q2 10:58
1ST & 15
OPP 37
-5
32.8%
VANDERBILT Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 42Similar
Q2 10:58
1ST & 20
OPP 42
+6
32.7%
Johnny McCrary run for 6 yds to the TexAM 36Similar
Q2 10:58
2ND & 14
OPP 36
0
32.7%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Trent SherfieldSimilar
Q2 10:58
3RD & 14
OPP 36
+10
32.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Steven Scheu for 10 yds to the TexAM 26Similar
Q2 10:58
4TH & 4
OPP 26
0
32.6%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Trent Sherfield, broken up by Nick HarveySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 9DOWNS
8 plays · 36 yds · 0:0069% → 70%
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-9
30.9%
Kyle Allen sacked by Zach Cunningham for a loss of 9 yards to the TexAM 16 Kyle Allen fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 8:36
2ND & 20
OWN 16
0
31.7%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Tra Carson for no gain to the TexAM 16Similar
Q2 8:36
3RD & 20
OWN 16
+15
32.2%
[SH], Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Christian Kirk (A. Williamson), PENALTY VANDY pass interference (A. Williamson) 15 yards to the TAMU31, 1ST DOWN TAMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+22
30.5%
Kyle Allen run for 7 yds to the Vandy 38 for a 1ST down VANDERBILT Penalty, personal foul (Landon Stokes) to the Vandy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
29.3%
James White run for 7 yds to the Vandy 40Similar
Q2 8:36
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+1
28.9%
James White run for 1 yd to the Vandy 39Similar
Q2 8:36
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+1
29.1%
Tra Carson run for 1 yd to the Vandy 38Similar
Q2 8:36
4TH & 1
OPP 38
0
30.1%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Christian KirkSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0032% → 31%
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
31.7%
Darrius Sims run for 9 yds to the Vandy 47Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 1
OWN 47
0
33.1%
Ralph Webb run for no gain to the Vandy 47Similar
Q2 4:59
3RD & 1
OWN 47
-2
32.5%
Josh Crawford run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 45Similar
Q2 4:59
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
31.2%
Tommy Openshaw punt for 51 yds, downed at the TexAM 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 11TD
4 plays · 96 yds · 0:5670% → 77%
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
30.5%
Tra Carson run for 1 yd to the TexAM 5Similar
Q2 3:07
2ND & 9
OWN 5
0
30.7%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Christian Kirk, broken up by Arnold TarpleySimilar
Q2 2:11
3RD & 9
OWN 5
+95
23.1%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 95 yds for a TD, (Taylor Bertolet KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 12INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
18.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass intercepted De'Vante Harris return for 3 yds to the Vandy 28 TEXAS A&M Penalty, personal foul (Zaycoven Henderson) to the Vandy 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 13MISSED FG
6 plays · 31 yds · 0:2980% → 79%
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+32
20.0%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Speedy Noil for 32 yds to the Vandy 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-3
19.5%
Tra Carson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 19Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 13
OPP 19
0
19.7%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Speedy Noil, broken up by Andrew WilliamsonSimilar
Q2 1:58
3RD & 13
OPP 19
-5
19.9%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Vandy 24Similar
Q2 1:58
3RD & 18
OPP 24
+7
20.1%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Christian Kirk for 7 yds to the Vandy 17Similar
Q2 1:29
4TH & 11
OPP 17
+35
20.8%
Taylor Bertolet 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:5019% → 19%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
18.8%
Ralph Webb run for 4 yds to the Vandy 24Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+4
18.9%
Ralph Webb run for 4 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 2
OWN 28
0
18.9%
Dallas Rivers run for no gain to the Vandy 28Similar
Q2 0:39
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
19.2%
Tommy Openshaw punt for 43 yds, downed at the TexAM 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 15FG
6 plays · 43 yds · 0:3181% → 86%
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+20
19.4%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Damion Ratley for 20 yds to the TexAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
18.5%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Damion Ratley, broken up by Torren McGasterSimilar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+14
18.6%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 14 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
17.6%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 9 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+46
13.7%
Taylor Bertolet 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
19.0%
Darrius Sims run for 3 yds to the Vandy 24Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+2
19.0%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the Vandy 26Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+4
18.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Steven Scheu for 4 yds to the Vandy 30Similar
Q3 14:56
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
19.1%
Tommy Openshaw punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Christian Kirk at the TexAM 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 34 yds · 0:0084% → 85%
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
15.6%
Kyle Allen run for no gain to the TexAM 22Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
15.7%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Josh ReynoldsSimilar
Q3 12:55
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+30
16.1%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 30 yds to the Vandy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
14.5%
Tra Carson run for 4 yds to the Vandy 44Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 6
OPP 44
0
14.4%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Speedy Noil, broken up by Tre HerndonSimilar
Q3 12:55
3RD & 6
OPP 44
0
14.7%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Ricky Seals-Jones, broken up by Donovan SheffieldSimilar
Q3 12:55
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
15.5%
Drew Kaser punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Ryan White at the Vandy 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0017% → 16%
Q3 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
16.6%
Ralph Webb run for no gain to the Vandy 14Similar
Q3 11:14
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+5
16.5%
Kyle Shurmur run for 5 yds to the Vandy 19Similar
Q3 11:14
3RD & 5
OWN 19
0
16.4%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Ralph Webb, broken up by Daeshon HallSimilar
Q3 11:14
4TH & 5
OWN 19
+23
16.4%
Tommy Openshaw punt for 58 yds , Christian Kirk returns for 23 yds to the TexAM 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 19FG
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:2387% → 92%
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
13.1%
Tra Carson run for 11 yds to the Vandy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
13.0%
Tra Carson run for 3 yds to the Vandy 40Similar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+8
13.0%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Christian Kirk for 8 yds to the Vandy 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
12.8%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 7 yds to the Vandy 25Similar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 3
OPP 25
0
12.6%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Jeremy TabuyoSimilar
Q3 9:38
3RD & 3
OPP 25
-3
12.9%
Tra Carson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 28Similar
Q3 7:15
4TH & 6
OPP 28
+46
7.8%
Taylor Bertolet 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
11.9%
Darrius Sims run for no gain to the Vandy 23Similar
Q3 7:06
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-1
11.8%
Kyle Shurmur sacked by Alonzo Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 20 Kyle Shurmur fumbled, recovered by Vandy Bruno Reagan , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 7:06
3RD & 13
OWN 20
0
11.7%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Sam Dobbs, broken up by Donovan WilsonSimilar
Q3 7:06
4TH & 13
OWN 20
0
11.7%
Tommy Openshaw punt for 39 yds, downed at the TexAM 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 21FG
10 plays · 36 yds · 3:1294% → 97%
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-6
6.4%
Kyle Allen sacked by Caleb Azubike for a loss of 6 yards to the TexAM 35Similar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 16
OWN 35
+10
6.8%
Tra Carson run for 10 yds to the TexAM 45Similar
Q3 5:24
3RD & 6
OWN 45
-5
6.4%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, false start (Germain Ifedi) to the TexAM 40Similar
Q3 5:24
3RD & 11
OWN 40
+18
6.6%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Christian Kirk for 18 yds to the Vandy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
6.3%
James White run for 5 yds to the Vandy 37Similar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+7
6.1%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Speedy Noil for 7 yds to the Vandy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
6.2%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Christian Kirk, broken up by Donovan SheffieldSimilar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+7
6.2%
James White run for 7 yds to the Vandy 23Similar
Q3 5:24
3RD & 3
OPP 23
0
6.2%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Josh ReynoldsSimilar
Q3 2:12
4TH & 3
OPP 23
+41
3.2%
Taylor Bertolet 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 22DOWNS
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
4.1%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the Vandy 43Similar
Q3 2:06
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
4.1%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Ronald Monroe for no gain to the Vandy 43Similar
Q3 2:06
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+18
4.1%
Johnny McCrary run for 3 yds to the TexAM 46 for a 1ST down TEXAS A&M Penalty, personal foul (Richard Moore) to the TexAM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
4.4%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Latevius RayfordSimilar
Q3 2:06
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+4
4.3%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Ronald Monroe for 4 yds to the TexAM 35Similar
Q3 2:06
3RD & 6
OPP 35
0
4.4%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Ronald MonroeSimilar
Q3 2:06
4TH & 6
OPP 35
-10
4.3%
Johnny McCrary sacked by Shaan Washington for a loss of 10 yards to the TexAM 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 23FG
10 plays · 50 yds · 2:3698% → 99%
Q3 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
2.4%
Tra Carson run for 6 yds to the Vandy 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+4
2.3%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Boone Niederhofer for 4 yds to the Vandy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
2.3%
Kyle Allen sacked by Stephen Weatherly for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+31
2.3%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Tra Carson for 31 yds to the Vandy 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+14
2.3%
Tra Carson run for 14 yds to the Vandy 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
2.2%
Tra Carson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Vandy 5Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
2.3%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Christian KirkSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
2.3%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Ricky Seals-JonesSimilar
Q4 12:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
0.7%
Taylor Bertolet 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
-5
0.7%
Taylor Bertolet kickoff 65 yards to the VANDY0, Dallas Rivers return to the VANDY18 (Sam Moeller), PENALTY TAMU offside 5 yards to the TAMU30, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 24PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 3:081% → 0%
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
0.6%
Ralph Webb run for 5 yds to the Vandy 37Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 5
OWN 37
0
0.7%
Ralph Webb run for no gain to the Vandy 37Similar
Q4 12:17
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+13
0.6%
Johnny McCrary run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
50
-1
0.7%
Ralph Webb run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 49Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+1
0.7%
Ralph Webb run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:17
3RD & 10
50
-5
0.6%
Johnny McCrary sacked by Richard Moore for a loss of 5 yards to the Vandy 45Similar
Q4 9:09
4TH & 15
OWN 45
0
0.4%
Tommy Openshaw punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Christian Kirk at the TexAM 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:46100% → 100%
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+10
0.3%
Tra Carson run for 10 yds to the TexAM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-6
0.3%
James White run for a loss of 6 yards to the TexAM 22Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 16
OWN 22
-5
0.3%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, false start (Joseph Cheek) to the TexAM 17Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 21
OWN 17
+2
0.3%
James White run for 2 yds to the TexAM 19Similar
Q4 9:02
3RD & 19
OWN 19
+18
0.3%
Tra Carson run for 18 yds to the TexAM 37Similar
Q4 6:16
4TH & 1
OWN 37
+7
0.2%
Drew Kaser punt for 54 yds , Ryan White returns for 7 yds to the Vandy 44 VANDERBILT Penalty, illegal block (Andrew Rector) to the Vandy 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
0.3%
Ralph Webb run for 7 yds to the Vandy 15Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 3
OWN 15
0
0.3%
Johnny McCrary run for no gain to the Vandy 15Similar
Q4 6:05
3RD & 3
OWN 15
-5
0.3%
Ralph Webb run for a loss of 5 yards to the Vandy 10Similar
Q4 6:05
4TH & 8
OWN 10
0
0.3%
Tommy Openshaw punt for 53 yds, downed at the TexAM 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 27END OF GAME
6 plays · 41 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
0.2%
James White run for no gain to the TexAM 37Similar
Q4 4:09
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
0.2%
Tra Carson run for 3 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q4 4:09
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+17
0.2%
Tra Carson run for 17 yds to the Vandy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
0.2%
James White run for 1 yd to the Vandy 42Similar
Q4 4:09
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+5
0.2%
Tra Carson run for 5 yds to the Vandy 37Similar
Q4 4:09
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+15
0.2%
Tra Carson run for 15 yds to the Vandy 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:11
Kyle Allen pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 95 yds for a TD, (Taylor Bertolet KICK)
-8.1
FG · Q3 7:15
Taylor Bertolet 46 yd FG GOOD
-5.1
FG · Q2 0:00
Taylor Bertolet 46 yd FG GOOD
-3.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com