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CLT

Charlotte 10 at Kentucky 58

UK
2015 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2015 · Kroger Field
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Win probability · UK
modelUK aheadCLT aheadconfidence bandkey playUK scoreCLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-0.6UK 91.2%Blake Brewer 23 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 10 · Q2 13:04
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:04 · Blake Brewer 23 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 53Pregame prior+36.7Home team on offense+1.6Score differential+0.6Blowout margin+0.4Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 0:15: Miles Butler 21 yd FG GOOD — CLT win probability +0.9 pts (now 7%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:53: Jojo Kemp run for 18 yds for a TD, (Miles Butler KICK) — UK win probability +1.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 2:46: Miles Butler 46 yd FG GOOD — UK win probability +1.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:05: Stanley Williams run for 20 yds for a TD, (Miles Butler KICK) — UK win probability +3.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:17: Stanley Williams run for 53 yds for a TD, (Miles Butler KICK) — UK win probability +1.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UK made the numbers' call on 6 of 8CLT made the numbers' call on 6 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00UK 4th & 13 at UK 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 15:00CLT 4th & 10 at CLT 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:04UK 4th & 9 at CLT 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.9%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    92.9%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    92.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:08CLT 4th & 3 at CLT 38, down 7
    Close callPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:15UK 4th & 4 at CLT 4, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.2%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    90.0%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:04CLT 4th & 6 at UK 6, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    7.3%−1.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:53UK 4th & 1 at CLT 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    89.7%−0.6
    79% to make
    Punt
    88.0%−2.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:46CLT 4th & 12 at CLT 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−0.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:46UK 4th & 14 at CLT 28, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%−0.6
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.4%
    60% to make
    Punt
    90.8%−1.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:07CLT 4th & 13 at CLT 22, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−0.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:53UK 4th & 8 at CLT 45, up 17
    Close callPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    94.1%−0.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 14:54CLT 4th & 9 at CLT 32, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.4%−0.7
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:05CLT 4th & 17 at CLT 42, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:39UK 4th & 3 at UK 32, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%
    average punt
  15. Q3 8:47CLT 4th & 1 at CLT 23, down 24
    Close callPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:39UK 4th & 10 at CLT 15, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    83% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.4
    average punt
  17. Q3 2:34CLT 4th & 6 at UK 48, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 13:02CLT 4th & 3 at CLT 26, down 48
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 10:16CLT 4th & 5 at UK 17, down 55
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    80% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  20. Q4 10:16CLT 4th & 6 at UK 6, down 55
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UK made the numbers' call on 7 of 7CLT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:14UK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:53UK Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:05UK Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:17UK Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:20UK Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:08UK Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:22UK Touchdown, up 54 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:54CLT Touchdown, down 49 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UKDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
94.7%
Stanley Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-2
94.7%
Drew Barker pass complete to Garrett Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 21Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+1
94.7%
Drew Barker pass complete to Ryan Timmons for 1 yd to the Kent 22Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
94.7%
Landon Foster punt for 31 yds, downed at the Charl 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
94.7%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Austin Duke for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+1
94.7%
Andrew Buie run for 1 yd to the Charl 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
94.7%
Brooks Barden pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 48
+11
94.7%
Arthur Hart punt for 48 yds , Charles Walker returns for 11 yds to the Kent 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 3TD
10 plays · 85 yds · 3:5094% → 94%
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+26
94.0%
Stanley Williams run for 26 yds to the Kent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
94.1%
Drew Barker pass complete to Jeff Badet for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 1
50
0
94.1%
Drew Barker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:04
3RD & 1
50
+13
94.1%
Jojo Kemp run for 13 yds to the Charl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
94.1%
Stanley Williams run for 1 yd to the Charl 36Similar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 9
OPP 36
-4
94.1%
Drew Barker pass complete to Garrett Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the Charl 40Similar
Q1 12:04
3RD & 13
OPP 40
+4
94.1%
Drew Barker run for 4 yds to the Charl 36Similar
Q1 12:04
4TH & 9
OPP 36
+15
94.0%
Drew Barker pass complete to Jeff Badet for 15 yds to the Charl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+15
94.2%
Jojo Kemp run for 15 yds to the Charl 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
93.9%
Jojo Kemp run for 6 yds for a TD, (Miles Butler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
93.7%
Brooks Barden pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
93.7%
Brooks Barden run for 9 yds to the Charl 29Similar
Q1 8:08
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
93.7%
Matt Johnson run for 2 yds to the Charl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
93.7%
Matt Johnson run for 2 yds to the Charl 33Similar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 8
OWN 33
0
93.7%
Matt Johnson run for no gain to the Charl 33Similar
Q1 8:08
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+5
93.7%
Matt Johnson run for 5 yds to the Charl 38Similar
Q1 8:08
4TH & 3
OWN 38
0
93.7%
Arthur Hart punt for 42 yds, downed at the Kent 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 5FG
14 plays · 76 yds · 5:3593% → 93%
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-4
93.4%
Stanley Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kent 16Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 14
OWN 16
0
93.3%
Drew Barker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 14
OWN 16
+22
93.2%
Drew Barker pass complete to Stanley Williams for 22 yds to the Kent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
93.5%
Stanley Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 37Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+4
93.4%
Jojo Kemp run for 4 yds to the Kent 41Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+11
93.4%
Drew Barker pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 11 yds to the Charl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
93.6%
Drew Barker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+11
93.6%
Jojo Kemp run for 11 yds to the Charl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
93.6%
Stanley Williams run for 3 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+24
93.6%
Stanley Williams run for 24 yds to the Charl 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
93.6%
Jojo Kemp run for no gain to the Charl 10Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
93.6%
Drew Barker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
93.5%
Drew Barker pass complete to Mikel Horton for 6 yds to the Charl 4Similar
Q1 0:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
92.6%
Miles Butler 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 6FG
12 plays · 66 yds · 2:068% → 9%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+31
92.5%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Kyle Hoffman for 31 yds to the Kent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
92.2%
Brooks Barden pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
92.2%
Kalif Phillips run for no gain to the Kent 41Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+14
92.3%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Andrew Buie for 14 yds to the Kent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
91.9%
Andrew Buie run for 7 yds to the Kent 20Similar
Q2 13:51
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+15
91.6%
[SHOT], BARDEN, Brooks pass incomplete to BOSTICK, Trent, PENALTY UK pass interference (A.J. Stamps) 15 yards to the UK5, 1ST DOWN CHA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
91.6%
Andrew Buie run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 6Similar
Q2 13:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
91.6%
Brooks Barden pass incomplete, broken up by Khalid HendersonSimilar
Q2 13:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
91.8%
Brooks Barden pass incomplete to Austin DukeSimilar
Q2 13:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
91.2%
Blake Brewer 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 7TD
13 plays · 74 yds · 5:0492% → 93%
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
91.8%
Drew Barker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+6
91.6%
Stanley Williams run for 6 yds to the Kent 32Similar
Q2 12:57
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+12
91.6%
Drew Barker pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 12 yds to the Kent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
92.2%
Drew Barker run for no gain to the Kent 44Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+15
92.0%
Mikel Horton run for 15 yds to the Charl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
92.3%
Drew Barker pass complete to Jeff Badet for 3 yds to the Charl 38Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+5
92.2%
Mikel Horton run for 5 yds to the Charl 33Similar
Q2 12:57
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+6
92.1%
Jojo Kemp run for 6 yds to the Charl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-3
92.3%
Stanley Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 30Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 13
OPP 30
0
92.2%
Stanley Williams run for no gain to the Charl 30Similar
Q2 12:57
3RD & 13
OPP 30
+12
91.9%
Drew Barker pass complete to Jeff Badet for 12 yds to the Charl 18Similar
Q2 7:53
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+18
93.0%
Jojo Kemp run for 18 yds for a TD, (Miles Butler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
93.0%
Austin Duke run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 23Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
93.0%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Austin Duke for no gain to the Charl 23Similar
Q2 7:46
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
93.2%
Brooks Barden pass incomplete to Andrew BuieSimilar
Q2 7:46
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
93.2%
Arthur Hart punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Charles Walker at the Kent 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 9FG
9 plays · 30 yds · 3:5393% → 95%
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
93.2%
Stanley Williams run for 4 yds to the Kent 46Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
93.2%
Drew Barker pass incomplete to Garrett JohnsonSimilar
Q2 6:39
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+9
93.0%
Drew Barker pass complete to Blake Bone for 9 yds to the Charl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
93.3%
Stanley Williams run for 6 yds to the Charl 39Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+15
93.3%
Drew Barker pass complete to Blake Bone for 15 yds to the Charl 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
93.3%
Drew Barker pass incomplete to C.J. ConradSimilar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+2
93.3%
Drew Barker pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 2 yds to the Charl 22Similar
Q2 6:39
3RD & 8
OPP 22
-6
93.1%
Drew Barker sacked by Devon Johnson for a loss of 6 yards to the Charl 28Similar
Q2 2:46
4TH & 14
OPP 28
+46
94.6%
Miles Butler 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:396% → 5%
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
94.3%
Andrew Buie run for 4 yds to the Charl 29Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
94.0%
Brooks Barden pass incomplete to Kyle HoffmanSimilar
Q2 2:46
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-7
94.2%
Brooks Barden sacked by Farrington Huguenin for a loss of 7 yards to the Charl 22Similar
Q2 2:07
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
94.6%
Arthur Hart punt for 41 yds, downed at the Kent 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
95.7%
Drew Barker pass incomplete to Ryan Timmons, broken up by Daquan LucasSimilar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+16
95.7%
Drew Barker pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 16 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
95.9%
Drew Barker pass incomplete to Jeff Badet, broken up by Tank NormanSimilar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
95.9%
Drew Barker pass incomplete to Stanley WilliamsSimilar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+2
95.7%
Drew Barker pass complete to Ryan Timmons for 2 yds to the Charl 45Similar
Q2 1:53
4TH & 8
OPP 45
+1
95.5%
Landon Foster punt for 34 yds , Ardy Holmes returns for 1 yd to the Charl 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 33 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+8
94.3%
Andrew Buie run for 8 yds to the Charl 20Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 2
OWN 20
+7
94.1%
Andrew Buie run for 7 yds to the Charl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+18
94.2%
Andrew Buie run for 3 yds to the Charl 30 for a 1ST down KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Charl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13FUMBLE
7 plays · -1 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
94.6%
Andrew Buie run for 4 yds to the Charl 25Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+6
94.5%
Andrew Buie run for 6 yds to the Charl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
94.4%
Andrew Buie run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 30Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+2
94.7%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Richard Murphy for 2 yds to the Charl 32Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 9
OWN 32
0
94.7%
Brooks Barden pass incomplete to T.L. Ford, broken up by Chris WestrySimilar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 9
OWN 32
-14
94.8%
Arthur Hart run for a loss of 14 yards to the Charl 20 Arthur Hart fumbled, recovered by Kent Denzil WareSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 14TD
1 play · 20 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
97.9%
Stanley Williams run for 20 yds for a TD, (Miles Butler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.5%
Brooks Barden run for no gain to the Charl 25Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
97.5%
Andrew Buie run for 12 yds to the Charl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
97.4%
Andrew Buie run for 4 yds to the Charl 41Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+8
97.3%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Trent Bostick for 8 yds to the Charl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
97.3%
Brooks Barden pass incomplete to T.L. FordSimilar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-2
97.4%
Garrison Duncan run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 47Similar
Q3 13:05
3RD & 12
OWN 47
-5
97.5%
Brooks Barden sacked by Farrington Huguenin and Josh Allen for a loss of 5 yards to the Charl 42Similar
Q3 13:05
4TH & 17
OWN 42
0
97.5%
Arthur Hart punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kent 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.9%
Stanley Williams run for 3 yds to the Kent 28Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
97.9%
Drew Barker sacked by Zach Duncan for a loss of 5 yards to the Kent 23Similar
Q3 10:39
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+9
97.9%
Drew Barker run for 9 yds to the Kent 32Similar
Q3 10:39
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-5
97.8%
Landon Foster punt for 49 yds , Ardy Holmes returns for a loss of 5 yards to the Charl 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
98.0%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Trent Bostick for 6 yds to the Charl 20Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+3
97.9%
Andrew Buie run for 3 yds to the Charl 23Similar
Q3 8:47
3RD & 1
OWN 23
0
97.9%
Jalen Holt run for no gain to the Charl 23Similar
Q3 8:47
4TH & 1
OWN 23
0
98.0%
Arthur Hart punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Charles Walker at the Kent 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 18TD
2 plays · 57 yds · 0:5398% → 100%
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
98.2%
Stanley Williams run for 4 yds to the Kent 47Similar
Q3 6:17
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+53
99.8%
Stanley Williams run for 53 yds for a TD, (Miles Butler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 19INT
8 plays · 11 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
99.6%
Andrew Buie run for 1 yd to the Charl 11Similar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 9
OWN 11
0
99.6%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Austin Duke for no gain to the Charl 11Similar
Q3 6:11
3RD & 9
OWN 11
+15
99.6%
Brooks Barden pass complete to T.L. Ford for 15 yds to the Charl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-4
99.6%
Brooks Barden sacked by Jason Hatcher for a loss of 4 yards to the Charl 22Similar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 14
OWN 22
+4
99.6%
Andrew Buie run for 4 yds to the Charl 26Similar
Q3 6:11
3RD & 10
OWN 26
-5
99.6%
[SHOT], PENALTY CHA false start (MURPHY, Richard) 5 yards to the CHA21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:11
3RD & 15
OWN 21
0
99.6%
Brooks Barden pass intercepted Cory Johnson return for no gain to the Charl 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 20FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:52100% → 100%
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.8%
Drew Barker run for no gain to the Charl 15Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
99.8%
Drew Barker pass incomplete to Jeff BadetSimilar
Q3 3:31
3RD & 10
OPP 15
0
99.8%
Drew Barker pass incomplete to Charles Walker, broken up by Daquan LucasSimilar
Q3 2:39
4TH & 10
OPP 15
+32
99.8%
Miles Butler 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
99.8%
Andrew Buie run for 2 yds to the Charl 23Similar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+25
99.8%
Brooks Barden run for 25 yds to the Charl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
99.8%
Andrew Buie run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 8
50
0
99.8%
Brooks Barden pass incomplete to Austin DukeSimilar
Q3 2:34
3RD & 8
50
+2
99.8%
Andrew Buie run for 2 yds to the Kent 48Similar
Q3 2:34
4TH & 6
OPP 48
0
99.8%
Arthur Hart punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Charles Walker at the Kent 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 22TD
4 plays · 92 yds · 1:09100% → 100%
Q3 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+40
99.8%
Jojo Kemp run for 40 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.8%
Drew Barker pass incomplete, broken up by Markevis DavisSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+5
99.8%
Jojo Kemp run for 5 yds to the Charl 47Similar
Q4 14:20
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+47
99.9%
Jojo Kemp run for 47 yds for a TD, (Miles Butler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 23INT TD
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:060% → 0%
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
99.9%
Andrew Buie run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 18Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+3
99.9%
Andrew Buie run for 3 yds to the Charl 21Similar
Q4 13:08
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+20
99.9%
Brooks Barden pass intercepted for a TD Mike Edwards return for 20 yds for a TD, (Miles Butler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
99.9%
Andrew Buie run for 4 yds to the Charl 23Similar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+1
99.9%
Andrew Buie run for 1 yd to the Charl 24Similar
Q4 13:02
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+2
99.9%
Andrew Buie run for 2 yds to the Charl 26Similar
Q4 13:02
4TH & 3
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Arthur Hart punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Charles Walker at the Kent 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 25TD
2 plays · 66 yds · 1:02100% → 100%
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
99.9%
Mikel Horton run for 4 yds to the Kent 38Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+62
99.9%
Sihiem King run for 62 yds for a TD, (Miles Butler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 26DOWNS
13 plays · 62 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Garrison Duncan run for 1 yd to the Charl 26Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+31
100.0%
Brooks Barden run for 31 yds to the Kent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
100.0%
Garrison Duncan run for 1 yd to the Kent 42Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+20
100.0%
Corey Nesmith Jr. run for 20 yds to the Kent 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.9%
Brooks Barden pass incomplete to Corey Nesmith Jr.Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+2
99.9%
Brooks Barden run for 2 yds to the Kent 20Similar
Q4 10:16
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+3
100.0%
Brooks Barden run for 3 yds to the Kent 17Similar
Q4 10:16
4TH & 5
OPP 17
+9
99.9%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 9 yds to the Kent 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
99.9%
Corey Nesmith Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 6Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.9%
Corey Nesmith Jr. run for no gain to the Kent 6Similar
Q4 10:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.9%
Brooks Barden pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
-7
99.9%
Brooks Barden sacked by Khalid Henderson for a loss of 7 yards to the Kent 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 27FUMBLE
1 play · -4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-4
99.9%
Mikel Horton run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kent 9 Mikel Horton fumbled, recovered by Charl Daquan LucasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 28TD
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:370% → 0%
Q4 5:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
100.0%
Garrison Duncan run for 3 yds to the Kent 3 Garrison Duncan fumbled, recovered by Charl Garrison DuncanSimilar
Q4 4:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Zach Bumgarner for 3 yds for a TD, (Blake Brewer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 29END OF GAME
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
100.0%
Sihiem King run for 13 yds to the Kent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
100.0%
Sihiem King run for 6 yds to the Charl 48Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+4
100.0%
Sihiem King run for 4 yds to the Charl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
100.0%
Sihiem King run for 6 yds to the Charl 38Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 4
OPP 38
-3
100.0%
Team run for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 41Similar
Q4 4:44
3RD & 7
OPP 41
0
100.0%
Team run for no gain to the Charl 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 13:05
Stanley Williams run for 20 yds for a TD, (Miles Butler KICK)
+3.1
TD · Q3 6:17
Stanley Williams run for 53 yds for a TD, (Miles Butler KICK)
+1.6
FG · Q2 2:46
Miles Butler 46 yd FG GOOD
+1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com