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GASO

Georgia Southern 17 at Georgia 23

UGA
2015 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2015 · Sanford Stadium
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadGASO aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreGASO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDFUMBLETDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:28 · Brice Ramsey punt for 29 yds, downed at the GeoSo 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorTime remaining
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 132Pregame prior+3.3Home team on offense+1.5Score differential−1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8Garbage-time factor−1.6Time remaining−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. FUMBLE · Q3 12:02: Isaiah McKenzie run for a loss of 1 yard Isaiah McKenzie fumbled, forced by Antwione Williams, recovered by GeoSo Caleb Williams , return for 62 yds, (Younghoe Koo KICK) — GASO win probability +17.1 pts (now 41%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:23: Greyson Lambert pass complete to Terry Godwin for 12 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK) — UGA win probability +21.7 pts (now 66%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  3. FG · Q4 9:21: Younghoe Koo 48 yd FG GOOD — GASO win probability +16.9 pts (now 58%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · OT 0:00: LA Ramsby run for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 29 — GASO win probability +19.7 pts (now 60%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Sony Michel run for 25 yds for a TD — UGA win probability +29.9 pts (now 86%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 5 of 6GASO made the numbers' call on 2 of 9
  1. Q1 11:02GASO 4th & 12 at UGA 31, down 7
    Close callPunted · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    14.8%
    54% to make
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:07UGA 4th & 20 at UGA 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.6%−0.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:13GASO 4th & 4 at UGA 7, down 7
    Close callPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    15.6%−<0.1
    91% to make
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:28GASO 4th & 14 at UGA 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%−0.8
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.3%
    84% to make
    Punt
    13.9%−2.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:47UGA 4th & 7 at UGA 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.3%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:47GASO 4th & 5 at UGA 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    28.8%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    28.3%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:55GASO 4th & 2 at UGA 28, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 6.3 ptsPunted · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    27.4%−1.3
    60% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.4%−6.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:55UGA 4th & 10 at UGA 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%−1.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:15GASO 4th & 5 at UGA 29, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 7.2 ptsPunted · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    47.3%−0.1
    58% to make
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%−7.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:40UGA 4th & 2 at UGA 38, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.1%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:09UGA 4th & 1 at UGA 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    46.1%−3.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:21GASO 4th & 10 at UGA 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%−1.7
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.3%
    54% to make
    Punt
    35.7%−3.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:59GASO 4th & 6 at UGA 28, tied
    Numbers favored field goal by 19.0 ptsPunted · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    45.4%
    60% to make
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%−19.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:28UGA 4th & 4 at UGA 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.3%−0.5
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:39GASO 4th & 6 at UGA 40, tied
    Numbers favored field goal by 5.8 ptsPunted · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    52.6%
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.8%−5.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2GASO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:08UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:47GASO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:23UGA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UGADrive 1TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 3:5287% → 86%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
86.6%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 9 yds to the Geo 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+4
86.6%
Sony Michel run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
86.6%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Michael Chigbu for 7 yds to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+5
86.6%
Sony Michel run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
86.6%
Sony Michel run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+8
86.6%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 8 yds to the GeoSo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+23
86.2%
Isaiah McKenzie run for 23 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
85.8%
Matt Breida run for no gain to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+1
85.8%
Kevin Ellison run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q1 11:02
3RD & 9
OPP 34
-3
85.9%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Matt Breida for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q1 11:02
4TH & 12
OPP 31
0
86.1%
Ryan Nowicki punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Isaiah McKenzie at the Geo 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 3 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
86.2%
Sony Michel run for 5 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 5
OWN 43
0
86.3%
Greyson Lambert pass incomplete to Terry Godwin, broken up by Darrius WhiteSimilar
Q1 9:07
3RD & 5
OWN 43
-5
86.1%
GEORGIA Penalty, false start (John Theus) to the Geo 38Similar
Q1 9:07
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+13
86.0%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 13 yds to the GeoSo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
86.3%
Greyson Lambert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+3
86.2%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q1 9:07
3RD & 7
OWN 46
-13
86.1%
Greyson Lambert sacked by Jamal Johnson for a loss of 13 yards to the Geo 41Similar
Q1 9:07
4TH & 20
OWN 41
0
85.8%
Brice Ramsey punt for 58 yds, downed at the GeoSo 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 6:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
84.8%
Kevin Ellison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+5
84.8%
Kevin Ellison run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 6Similar
Q1 6:13
3RD & 5
OPP 6
+1
85.1%
Wesley Fields run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 7Similar
Q1 6:13
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+1
85.3%
Ryan Nowicki punt for 33 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for 1 yd to the GeoSo 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 5FUMBLE
4 plays · 31 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
85.7%
Sony Michel run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+4
85.7%
Sony Michel run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+6
85.5%
Sony Michel run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+16
85.5%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 16 yds Malcolm Mitchell fumbled, forced by Darrius White, recovered by GeoSo Darrius WhiteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6MISSED FG
11 plays · 78 yds · 5:2016% → 15%
Q1 2:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
84.0%
Matt Breida run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 15Similar
Q1 2:17
2ND & 3
OPP 15
-4
84.2%
Matt Breida run for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSo 11Similar
Q1 2:17
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+28
84.6%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to Bj Johnson for 28 yds to the GeoSo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
84.5%
Wesley Fields run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q1 2:17
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+3
84.5%
LA Ramsby run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+48
84.3%
Favian Upshaw run for 48 yds to the Geo 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
83.7%
Matt Breida run for 2 yds to the Geo 7Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
83.7%
Favian Upshaw run for 1 yd to the Geo 6Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-8
84.2%
Favian Upshaw sacked by Davin Bellamy for a loss of 8 yards to the Geo 14Similar
Q2 12:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+31
85.0%
Younghoe Koo 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 7MISSED FG
6 plays · 49 yds · 2:1185% → 84%
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+24
84.9%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Jordan Davis for 24 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+27
85.6%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 27 yds to the GeoSo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-2
85.0%
Brendan Douglas run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 12
OWN 31
0
84.9%
Greyson Lambert pass incomplete to Isaiah McKenzieSimilar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 12
OWN 31
0
84.6%
Greyson Lambert pass incomplete to Terry GodwinSimilar
Q2 10:17
4TH & 12
OWN 31
+48
83.9%
Marshall Morgan 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8TD
12 plays · 69 yds · 6:3017% → 28%
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
82.8%
Kevin Ellison run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+2
83.2%
Kevin Ellison run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
83.3%
Matt Breida run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+4
83.3%
Kevin Ellison run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q2 10:17
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+20
83.4%
Kevin Ellison run for 20 yds to the Geo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
82.8%
LA Ramsby run for 5 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+2
82.7%
Kevin Ellison run for 2 yds to the Geo 26Similar
Q2 10:17
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+4
83.3%
Wesley Fields run for 4 yds to the Geo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
82.7%
Matt Breida run for 3 yds to the Geo 19Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 7
OPP 19
-5
82.7%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (Darien Foreman) to the Geo 24Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 12
OPP 24
+23
82.8%
Matt Breida run for 23 yds to the Geo 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
72.4%
LA Ramsby run for 1 yd for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
78.0%
Sony Michel run for 4 yds to the Geo 29Similar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-1
78.3%
Sony Michel run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 28Similar
Q2 3:47
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
77.2%
Greyson Lambert pass incomplete to Isaiah McKenzieSimilar
Q2 3:47
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
76.7%
Brice Ramsey punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Derek Keaton at the GeoSo 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3128% → 29%
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
71.9%
LA Ramsby run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 6
OPP 40
-5
71.9%
LA Ramsby run for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q2 2:18
3RD & 11
OPP 35
+6
72.7%
Malik Henry run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q2 0:47
4TH & 5
OPP 41
+2
71.4%
Ryan Nowicki punt for 37 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for 2 yds to the Geo 43 GEORGIA Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Geo 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
75.2%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0031% → 29%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
68.8%
Matt Breida run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 22Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+4
68.8%
Matt Breida run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+2
69.8%
Kevin Ellison run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 2
OPP 28
+6
71.3%
Ryan Nowicki punt for 35 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for 6 yds to the Geo 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13FUMBLE TD
2 plays · 19 yds · 0:4976% → 59%
Q3 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+23
76.1%
Sony Michel run for 23 yds to the GeoSo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+62
59.1%
Isaiah McKenzie run for a loss of 1 yard Isaiah McKenzie fumbled, forced by Antwione Williams, recovered by GeoSo Caleb Williams , return for 62 yds, (Younghoe Koo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:0059% → 57%
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
58.8%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Sony Michel for 12 yds to the Geo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
60.5%
Sony Michel run for a loss of 3 yards to the Geo 37Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 13
OWN 37
-7
58.4%
Greyson Lambert sacked by Bernard Dawson for a loss of 7 yards to the Geo 30Similar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 20
OWN 30
+10
56.8%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Terry Godwin for 10 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q3 11:55
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
56.8%
Brice Ramsey punt for 48 yds, downed at the GeoSo 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:0050% → 47%
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
49.9%
LA Ramsby run for 11 yds to the GeoSo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
49.9%
Matt Breida run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 9
OPP 25
0
50.0%
Matt Breida run for no gain to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q3 9:15
3RD & 9
OPP 25
+4
51.1%
Matt Breida run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q3 9:15
4TH & 5
OPP 29
0
53.1%
Ryan Nowicki punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Terry Godwin at the Geo 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0053% → 52%
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
52.9%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the Geo 33Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+5
53.3%
Sony Michel run for 5 yds to the Geo 38Similar
Q3 6:40
3RD & 2
OWN 38
0
54.5%
Greyson Lambert pass incomplete to Malcolm Mitchell, broken up by Darrius WhiteSimilar
Q3 6:40
4TH & 2
OWN 38
0
52.1%
Brice Ramsey punt for 33 yds , Derek Keaton returns for no gain to the GeoSo 29 Derek Keaton fumbled, recovered by Geo Kenneth TownsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17TD
8 plays · 29 yds · 3:4651% → 66%
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
51.0%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+3
50.9%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q3 5:09
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+3
49.1%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q3 5:09
4TH & 1
OWN 20
+3
48.2%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
50.4%
Sony Michel rush right for 3 yards to the GS14 (A. Glover;J. Johnson), PENALTY GS offside defense 5 yards to the GS12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 5
OWN 12
0
44.7%
Sony Michel run for no gain to the GeoSo 12Similar
Q3 1:23
2ND & 5
OWN 12
+12
66.4%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Terry Godwin for 12 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 18FG
15 plays · 44 yds · 7:0244% → 58%
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
55.9%
Matt Breida run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q3 1:23
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+4
55.9%
Matt Breida run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
55.2%
Wesley Fields run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+2
57.2%
Matt Breida run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+17
57.6%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to Myles Campbell for 17 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
57.0%
Favian Upshaw run for 9 yds to the Geo 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 35
-13
54.6%
Favian Upshaw run for 2 yds to the Geo 33 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Geo 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 48
+6
60.0%
Wesley Fields run for 6 yds to the Geo 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+11
57.6%
LA Ramsby run for 11 yds to the Geo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
55.2%
LA Ramsby run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 32
+1
55.4%
Favian Upshaw run for 1 yd to the Geo 31Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 31
0
57.5%
Favian Upshaw pass incomplete to Myles Campbell, broken up by Malkom ParrishSimilar
Q4 9:21
4TH & 10
OPP 31
+48
41.8%
Younghoe Koo 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19FG
9 plays · 49 yds · 3:1546% → 57%
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
45.7%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 9 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q4 9:21
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
49.0%
Sony Michel run for 5 yds to the Geo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+20
47.7%
Sony Michel run for 20 yds to the GeoSo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
49.5%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Jay Rome for 13 yds to the GeoSo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
46.1%
Brendan Douglas run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q4 9:21
2ND & 8
OWN 26
0
46.0%
Greyson Lambert pass incomplete to Sony MichelSimilar
Q4 9:21
3RD & 8
OWN 26
0
43.4%
Greyson Lambert pass incomplete to Malcolm MitchellSimilar
Q4 6:06
4TH & 8
OWN 26
+43
56.5%
Marshall Morgan 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0055% → 48%
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
45.1%
Matt Breida run for no gain to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+4
46.1%
LA Ramsby run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 6
OPP 28
0
47.8%
Favian Upshaw pass incomplete to Ryan LongoriaSimilar
Q4 5:59
4TH & 6
OPP 28
0
52.3%
Ryan Nowicki punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Terry Godwin at the Geo 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0060% → 57%
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
59.8%
Sony Michel run for 2 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+4
59.7%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Jay Rome for 4 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q4 4:28
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
58.8%
Greyson Lambert pass incomplete to Malcolm MitchellSimilar
Q4 4:28
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
57.3%
Brice Ramsey punt for 29 yds, downed at the GeoSo 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:0955% → 56%
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
44.9%
Matt Breida run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+10
44.2%
LA Ramsby run for 10 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
44.9%
Matt Breida run for 2 yds to the Geo 42Similar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 8
OPP 42
0
45.2%
Matt Breida run for no gain to the Geo 42Similar
Q4 2:48
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+2
45.9%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to LA Ramsby for 2 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q4 0:39
4TH & 6
OPP 40
0
44.0%
Ryan Nowicki punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 23END OF GAME
3 plays · 19 yds · 0:0055% → 60%
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
55.3%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Jeb Blazevich for 13 yds to the Geo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
56.3%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Michael Chigbu for 5 yds to the Geo 38Similar
Q4 0:33
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+1
60.2%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Sony Michel for 1 yd to the Geo 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 24DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0060% → 52%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-4
40.5%
LA Ramsby run for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 29Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 14
OPP 29
-1
43.4%
Matt Breida run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 30Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 15
OPP 30
+14
47.4%
Favian Upshaw run for 14 yds to the Geo 16Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 16
-3
47.8%
LA Ramsby run for a loss of 3 yards to the Geo 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 25TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
86.3%
Sony Michel run for 25 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT 0:00
Sony Michel run for 25 yds for a TD
+29.9
TD · Q3 1:23
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Terry Godwin for 12 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)
+21.7
KEY PLAY · OT 0:00
LA Ramsby run for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 29
-19.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com