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UGA

Georgia 13 at Georgia Tech 7

GT
2015 · Week 13 · Nov 28, 2015 · Bobby Dodd Stadium
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Win probability · GT
modelGT aheadUGA aheadconfidence bandkey playGT scoreUGA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDEnd of GameTD-1.2GT 34.0%Sony Michel run for 34 yds for a TD,(Marshall Morgan KICK)AWAY 7 - HOME 0 · Q1 10:19
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:19 · Sony Michel run for 34 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 9Home team on offense−1.2Pregame prior−15.0Garbage-time factor−0.3Score differential−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q4 14:10: Marshall Morgan 37 yd FG GOOD — UGA win probability +6.1 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 3:24: Justin Thomas pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 15 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK) — GT win probability +26.1 pts (now 33%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:24: Harrison Butker kickoff for 58 yds — UGA win probability +8.9 pts (now 76%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:17: Greyson Lambert pass complete to Jeb Blazevich for 25 yds to the Geo 32 for a 1ST down — UGA win probability +13.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:10: Justin Thomas pass incomplete — GT win probability +8.1 pts (now 12%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GT made the numbers' call on 5 of 7UGA made the numbers' call on 4 of 10
  1. Q1 10:19UGA 4th & 1 at GT 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    58.7%−0.3
    47% to make
    Punt
    58.6%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:19GT 4th & 10 at UGA 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    39.1%−0.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:53UGA 4th & 10 at UGA 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:59GT 4th & 1 at UGA 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    38.2%−1.7
    32% to make
    Punt
    38.4%−1.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:09UGA 4th & 1 at GT 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    61.5%−1.0
    86% to make
    Punt
    58.0%−4.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:26UGA 4th & 9 at UGA 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.8%−1.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:21GT 4th & 7 at UGA 45, down 7
    Close callPunted · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    34.9%−1.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    35.5%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:19UGA 4th & 15 at GT 41, up 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.1 ptsPunted · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%−1.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    67.7%
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    66.6%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:55UGA 4th & 2 at GT 2, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.7%−2.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    60.2%−11.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:01GT 4th & 1 at UGA 33, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    21.4%−3.8
    49% to make
    Punt
    20.2%−5.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:09GT 4th & 17 at UGA 38, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%−1.4
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.9%
    38% to make
    Punt
    21.8%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:10UGA 4th & 1 at GT 20, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.7%−2.2
    75% to make
    Punt
    67.4%−9.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:02GT 4th & 8 at GT 17, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:00UGA 4th & 3 at GT 22, up 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.8%−0.5
    72% to make
    Punt
    86.3%−6.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:52GT 4th & 8 at GT 25, down 13
    Close callPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:10UGA 4th & 1 at UGA 30, up 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.3%−1.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:17UGA 4th & 9 at GT 45, up 6
    Close callPunted · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.6%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    89.9%
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GT made the numbers' call on 0 of 1UGA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:19UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 3:24GT Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UGADrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:3166% → 66%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
34.0%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Terry Godwin for 18 yds to the Geo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
34.1%
Sony Michel run for 4 yds to the Geo 47Similar
Q1 13:43
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+3
34.3%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Terry Godwin for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:05
3RD & 3
50
+7
34.5%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Michael Chigbu for 7 yds to the GTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
34.7%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the GTech 40Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
34.9%
Brendan Douglas run for no gain to the GTech 40Similar
Q1 10:56
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+6
35.2%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Terry Godwin for 6 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q1 10:19
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+34
34.0%
Sony Michel run for 34 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 2:5234% → 34%
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
34.3%
Clinton Lynch run for 19 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
34.7%
Isiah Willis run for 11 yds to the Geo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
34.8%
Lynn Griffin run for 3 yds to the Geo 42Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
35.0%
Justin Thomas run for no gain to the Geo 42Similar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 7
OPP 42
-3
34.9%
Matthew Jordan sacked by Aaron Davis for a loss of 3 yards to the Geo 45Similar
Q1 7:19
4TH & 10
OPP 45
0
34.2%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 41 yds, downed at the Geo 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 2:1766% → 65%
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
34.2%
Sony Michel run for 5 yds to the Geo 9Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 5
OWN 9
+13
34.2%
Sony Michel run for 13 yds to the Geo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
34.1%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Christian Payne for 12 yds to the Geo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
33.8%
Greyson Lambert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:44
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
33.9%
Sony Michel run for no gain to the Geo 34Similar
Q1 5:01
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
34.3%
Greyson Lambert pass incomplete to Malcolm MitchellSimilar
Q1 4:53
4TH & 10
OWN 34
0
34.6%
Brice Ramsey punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Jamal Golden at the GTech 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 4DOWNS
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:4635% → 35%
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
34.6%
Lynn Griffin run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
50
+9
35.4%
Mikell Lands-Davis run for 9 yds to the Geo 41Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 1
OPP 41
0
35.6%
Justin Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:32
3RD & 1
OPP 41
0
35.6%
Marcus Marshall run for no gain to the Geo 41Similar
Q1 2:59
4TH & 1
OPP 41
-2
35.1%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 5DOWNS
7 plays · 44 yds · 3:3667% → 67%
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
33.2%
Sony Michel run for 1 yd to the Geo 45Similar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+4
33.0%
Reggie Davis run for 4 yds to the Geo 49Similar
Q1 1:27
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+30
32.9%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Terry Godwin for 30 yds to the GTech 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-3
32.4%
Reggie Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 24Similar
Q1 0:14
2ND & 13
OPP 24
+12
32.4%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Sony Michel for 12 yds to the GTech 12Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 12
0
32.6%
Sony Michel run for no gain to the GTech 12Similar
Q2 14:09
4TH & 1
OPP 12
0
33.1%
Quayvon Hicks run for no gain to the GTech 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 6INT
12 plays · 74 yds · 6:0634% → 35%
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
34.0%
Marcus Marshall run for 2 yds to the GTech 14Similar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+28
33.9%
Clinton Lynch run for 28 yds to the GTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
35.2%
Lynn Griffin run for 7 yds to the GTech 49Similar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+9
35.8%
Marcus Marshall run for 9 yds to the Geo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-3
36.1%
Clinton Lynch run for a loss of 3 yards to the Geo 45Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 13
OPP 45
+8
35.2%
Lynn Griffin run for 8 yds to the Geo 37Similar
Q2 10:22
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+2
36.0%
Clinton Lynch run for 2 yds to the Geo 35Similar
Q2 9:46
4TH & 3
OPP 35
+5
34.7%
GEORGIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Geo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+14
36.8%
Marcus Marshall run for 14 yds to the Geo 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
36.9%
Justin Thomas run for no gain to the Geo 16Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+2
37.0%
Justin Thomas run for 2 yds to the Geo 14Similar
Q2 7:31
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+22
35.1%
Justin Thomas pass intercepted Dominick Sanders return for 22 yds to the Geo 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:5568% → 66%
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
32.3%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Sony Michel for 5 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q2 7:14
2ND & 5
OWN 28
-5
31.6%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Geo 23Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-5
32.4%
GEORGIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Geo 18Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 15
OWN 18
+6
32.5%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Terry Godwin for 6 yds to the Geo 24Similar
Q2 5:38
3RD & 9
OWN 24
0
32.9%
Greyson Lambert pass incomplete to Malcolm MitchellSimilar
Q2 5:26
4TH & 9
OWN 24
0
33.6%
Brice Ramsey punt for 41 yds, downed at the GTech 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:4633% → 33%
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
33.0%
Clinton Lynch run for 17 yds to the Geo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
35.3%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the GTech 47Similar
Q2 4:19
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+3
33.7%
Marcus Marshall run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 3:53
2ND & 12
50
0
34.0%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Clinton LynchSimilar
Q2 3:47
3RD & 12
50
+5
33.3%
Marcus Marshall run for 5 yds to the Geo 45Similar
Q2 3:21
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
32.6%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Terry Godwin at the Geo 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 43 yds · 2:5369% → 69%
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
31.1%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Terry Godwin for 8 yds to the Geo 24Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+4
29.7%
Sony Michel run for 4 yds to the Geo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
30.0%
Sony Michel run for 2 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+34
31.1%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 34 yds to the GTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
28.2%
Greyson Lambert pass incomplete to Sony MichelSimilar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-5
28.1%
Greyson Lambert sacked by Brant Mitchell for a loss of 5 yards to the GTech 41Similar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 15
OPP 41
0
29.8%
Greyson Lambert pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:19
4TH & 15
OPP 41
0
31.1%
Collin Barber punt for 39 yds, downed at the GTech 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
32.0%
Justin Thomas run for 1 yd to the GTech 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 11FUMBLE
10 plays · 38 yds · 4:1532% → 32%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
32.0%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Brad Stewart for 4 yds to the GTech 33Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+2
32.2%
Marcus Marshall run for 2 yds to the GTech 35Similar
Q3 13:39
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+5
31.5%
Justin Thomas run for 5 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
33.3%
Marcus Marshall run for 5 yds to the GTech 45Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
33.9%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Ricky JeuneSimilar
Q3 12:31
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+11
32.6%
Clinton Lynch run for 11 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
34.6%
Lynn Griffin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 45 Lynn Griffin fumbled, recovered by GTech Lynn GriffinSimilar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 11
OPP 45
-2
33.9%
Mikell Lands-Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 47Similar
Q3 10:29
3RD & 13
OPP 47
+14
31.5%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 14 yds Ricky Jeune fumbled, forced by Lorenzo Carter, recovered by Geo James DeLoachSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12FG
11 plays · 65 yds · 4:2771% → 76%
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
28.8%
Greyson Lambert pass incomplete to Malcolm MitchellSimilar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+2
29.2%
Sony Michel run for 2 yds to the Geo 35Similar
Q3 9:32
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+21
29.8%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Sony Michel for 21 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+13
26.9%
Keith Marshall run for 13 yds to the GTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
26.3%
Keith Marshall run for 9 yds to the GTech 22Similar
Q3 7:58
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+6
25.3%
Keith Marshall run for 6 yds to the GTech 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
25.3%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (8 Yards) to the GTech 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
25.3%
Sony Michel run for 2 yds to the GTech 6Similar
Q3 7:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
25.2%
Sony Michel run for 4 yds to the GTech 2Similar
Q3 6:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
25.5%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Terry Godwin for no gain to the GTech 2Similar
Q3 5:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
23.7%
Marshall Morgan 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 13MISSED FG
12 plays · 40 yds · 4:3623% → 22%
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+21
23.0%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Clinton Lynch for 21 yds to the GTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
24.5%
Lynn Griffin run for 15 yds to the Geo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
25.3%
Patrick Skov run for 4 yds to the Geo 38Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+3
25.2%
Patrick Skov run for 3 yds to the Geo 35Similar
Q3 3:38
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+2
24.9%
Patrick Skov run for 2 yds to the Geo 33Similar
Q3 3:01
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+2
23.2%
Patrick Skov run for 2 yds to the Geo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
25.9%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 32Similar
Q3 1:46
2ND & 11
OPP 32
-6
25.6%
Justin Thomas sacked by Natrez Patrick for a loss of 6 yards to the Geo 38Similar
Q3 1:14
3RD & 17
OPP 38
0
22.1%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Ricky JeuneSimilar
Q3 1:09
4TH & 17
OPP 38
+55
21.5%
Harrison Butker 55 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14FG
5 plays · 42 yds · 1:5080% → 87%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+33
20.5%
Sony Michel run for 33 yds to the GTech 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
18.9%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 2 yds to the GTech 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 27
0
18.9%
Greyson Lambert pass incomplete to Jay RomeSimilar
Q4 14:41
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+7
19.6%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Terry Godwin for 7 yds to the GTech 20Similar
Q4 14:10
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+37
13.4%
Marshall Morgan 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5816% → 15%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
16.0%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Marcus MarshallSimilar
Q4 13:51
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+2
15.9%
Clinton Lynch run for 2 yds to the GTech 17Similar
Q4 13:14
3RD & 8
OWN 17
0
15.1%
Justin Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:02
4TH & 8
OWN 17
0
15.1%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 43 yds, downed at the Geo 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16MISSED FG
8 plays · 38 yds · 3:5590% → 94%
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
9.8%
Sony Michel run for 6 yds to the Geo 46Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+2
9.4%
Sony Michel run for 2 yds to the Geo 48Similar
Q4 11:10
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+23
6.2%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Christian Payne for 23 yds to the GTech 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
5.6%
Sony Michel run for 4 yds to the GTech 25Similar
Q4 10:09
2ND & 6
OPP 25
0
5.2%
Sony Michel run for no gain to the GTech 25Similar
Q4 9:26
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+3
5.1%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the GTech 22Similar
Q4 9:00
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+40
5.6%
Marshall Morgan 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0311% → 9%
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
11.4%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Lynn GriffinSimilar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+2
10.7%
Clinton Lynch run for 2 yds to the GTech 25Similar
Q4 8:14
3RD & 8
OWN 25
0
9.6%
Justin Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:52
4TH & 8
OWN 25
0
9.4%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 54 yds, downed at the Geo 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:3195% → 98%
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
4.9%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 5 yds to the Geo 26Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+3
4.7%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the Geo 29Similar
Q4 6:23
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+1
2.4%
Sony Michel run for 1 yd to the Geo 30Similar
Q4 6:10
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
2.5%
Brice Ramsey punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jamal Golden at the GTech 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 19TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 2:378% → 33%
Q4 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
7.6%
Patrick Skov run for 3 yds to the GTech 39Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+11
7.5%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
50
-2
7.5%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 48 Justin Thomas fumbled, recovered by GTech Justin ThomasSimilar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 12
OWN 48
+5
6.2%
Marcus Marshall run for 5 yds to the Geo 47Similar
Q4 3:54
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
5.2%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Ricky JeuneSimilar
Q4 3:53
4TH & 7
OPP 47
+15
4.8%
GEORGIA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Geo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+17
7.1%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Marcus Marshall for 17 yds to the Geo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
33.2%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 15 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 20PUNT
10 plays · 48 yds · 3:0089% → 96%
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+25
11.2%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Jeb Blazevich for 25 yds to the Geo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
9.5%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the Geo 35Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+19
8.7%
Sony Michel run for 19 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
6.5%
Keith Marshall run for 3 yds to the GTech 43Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+1
5.0%
Sony Michel run for 1 yd to the GTech 42Similar
Q4 1:06
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+2
3.4%
Keith Marshall run for 2 yds to the GTech 40Similar
Q4 0:28
4TH & 4
OPP 40
-5
3.9%
GEORGIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the GTech 45Similar
Q4 0:17
4TH & 9
OPP 45
+12
4.0%
Collin Barber punt for 41 yds , Jamal Golden returns for 12 yds to the GTech 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 21INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:1012% → 12%
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
12.1%
Justin Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+27
11.7%
Justin Thomas pass intercepted Malkom Parrish return for 27 yds to the GTech 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:24
Justin Thomas pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 15 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)
+26.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 3:17
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Jeb Blazevich for 25 yds to the Geo 32 for a 1ST down
-13.1
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-11.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com