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SC

South Carolina 24 at Tennessee 27

TENN
2015 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2015 · Neyland Stadium
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Win probability · TENN
modelTENN aheadSC aheadconfidence bandkey playTENN scoreSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG-0.8TENN 90.1%Elliott Fry 43 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 17 · Q2 1:03
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:03 · Elliott Fry 43 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 83Pregame prior+22.7Home team on offense+10.6Score differential+4.1Garbage-time factor+1.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.8Time remaining+1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:10: Perry Orth pass complete to Jonathan Walton for 10 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK) — SC win probability +9.9 pts (now 21%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:29: Perry Orth pass complete to Jerell Adams for 7 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK) — SC win probability +13.8 pts (now 30%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:25: Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Alvin Kamara for 11 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK) — TENN win probability +9.0 pts (now 88%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:48: Perry Orth pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 5 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK) — SC win probability +20.5 pts (now 39%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 9:14: Aaron Medley 27 yd FG GOOD — TENN win probability +7.1 pts (now 80%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TENN made the numbers' call on 5 of 8SC made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 11:52SC 4th & 8 at SC 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:56SC 4th & 13 at SC 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%−0.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:56SC 4th & 21 at TENN 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−0.9
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.3%
    60% to make
    Punt
    12.5%−1.8
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:56TENN 4th & 5 at SC 38, up 14
    Close callPunted · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    86.0%−0.3
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.0%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00SC 4th & 4 at TENN 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    14.3%−0.2
    58% to make
    Punt
    12.1%−2.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:51TENN 4th & 1 at SC 37, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    85.2%−1.6
    40% to make
    Punt
    85.1%−1.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:00TENN 4th & 9 at SC 26, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.6%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    84.0%−3.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:03SC 4th & 10 at TENN 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    6.4%−3.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00SC 4th & 10 at SC 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:24TENN 4th & 9 at TENN 42, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.7%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:29SC 4th & 7 at TENN 7, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.8%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    19.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    11.8%−7.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00TENN 4th & 2 at TENN 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.5%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:16SC 4th & 17 at SC 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%−5.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:14TENN 4th & 6 at SC 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.2%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.6%
    89% to make
    Punt
    43.6%−20.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:09SC 4th & 2 at SC 23, down 3
    Close callPunted · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.5%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:44TENN 4th & 9 at midfield, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.7%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:02SC 4th & 12 at SC 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%−1.9
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:23TENN 4th & 1 at TENN 18, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.6 ptsPunted · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.0%−3.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TENN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3SC made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:57TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:56TENN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:10SC Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:29SC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:25TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:48SC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TENNDrive 1TD
9 plays · 67 yds · 3:0389% → 88%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
88.6%
Jalen Hurd run for 5 yds to the Tenn 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+20
88.6%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Alvin Kamara for 20 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
88.6%
Jalen Hurd run for 4 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+9
88.6%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 9 yds to the SCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+23
88.6%
Alvin Kamara run for 23 yds to the SCaro 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
88.6%
Jalen Hurd run for 4 yds to the SCaro 2Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
88.6%
Jalen Hurd run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 4Similar
Q1 11:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
88.3%
Alvin Kamara run for 4 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
88.2%
Brandon Wilds run for 4 yds to the SCaro 23Similar
Q1 11:52
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+7
88.1%
Brandon Wilds run for 7 yds to the SCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
88.1%
Brandon Wilds run for 2 yds to the SCaro 32Similar
Q1 11:52
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
88.1%
Perry Orth pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:52
3RD & 8
OWN 32
0
88.2%
Perry Orth run for no gain to the SCaro 32Similar
Q1 11:52
4TH & 8
OWN 32
0
88.2%
Sean Kelly punt for 43 yds, downed at the Tenn 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 3TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:2688% → 89%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
87.9%
Jalen Hurd run for 20 yds to the Tenn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
88.1%
Jalen Hurd run for 2 yds to the Tenn 47Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 8
OWN 47
0
88.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Josh SmithSimilar
Q1 9:22
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+13
88.0%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Smith for 13 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
88.2%
Jalen Hurd run for 3 yds to the SCaro 37Similar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+37
89.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Von Pearson for 37 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.8%
Perry Orth pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
88.8%
David Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 24Similar
Q1 7:56
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-2
88.9%
Perry Orth pass complete to Brandon Wilds for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 22Similar
Q1 7:56
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
88.9%
Sean Kelly punt for 48 yds, downed at the Tenn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 5FUMBLE
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q1 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
89.3%
Joshua Dobbs run for 2 yds to the Tenn 32 Joshua Dobbs fumbled, forced by T.J. Gurley, recovered by SCaro Marquavius LewisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 6MISSED FG
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:0712% → 11%
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
88.4%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to T.J. Holloman, broken up by Justin Martin for a 1ST down TENNESSEE Penalty, personal foul (Brian Randolph) to the Tenn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-2
88.3%
Lorenzo Nunez run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 19Similar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 12
OPP 19
-1
88.4%
Brandon Wilds run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 20Similar
Q1 6:03
3RD & 13
OPP 20
-8
88.7%
Perry Orth sacked by Derek Barnett for a loss of 8 yards to the Tenn 28Similar
Q1 3:56
4TH & 21
OPP 28
+46
89.0%
Elliott Fry 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
89.4%
Jalen Hurd run for 15 yds to the Tenn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
89.7%
Jalen Hurd run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:56
2ND & 4
50
+3
89.7%
Jalen Hurd run for 3 yds to the SCaro 47Similar
Q1 3:56
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+4
89.5%
Joshua Dobbs run for 4 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
89.7%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Josh SmithSimilar
Q1 3:56
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
89.7%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Von PearsonSimilar
Q1 3:56
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+5
89.5%
Joshua Dobbs run for 5 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q1 3:56
4TH & 5
OPP 38
0
89.4%
Trevor Daniel punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Pharoh Cooper at the SCaro 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 8DOWNS
12 plays · 60 yds · 1:3711% → 11%
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+19
88.8%
Shon Carson run for 19 yds to the SCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
88.7%
Shon Carson run for 1 yd to the SCaro 30Similar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+6
88.7%
Perry Orth run for 6 yds to the SCaro 36Similar
Q1 1:37
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+3
88.7%
Shon Carson run for 3 yds to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
88.6%
Pharoh Cooper run for 1 yd to the SCaro 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+3
88.6%
Brandon Wilds run for 3 yds to the SCaro 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+22
88.7%
Perry Orth pass complete to D.J. Neal for 22 yds to the Tenn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
88.1%
Perry Orth run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 36
-5
88.5%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Brandon Shell) to the Tenn 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 16
OPP 41
+14
88.7%
Perry Orth pass complete to Terry Googer for 14 yds to the Tenn 27Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 27
-2
88.3%
Brandon Wilds run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 29Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 29
-1
88.6%
Brandon Wilds run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 9FG
18 plays · 44 yds · 6:1590% → 93%
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
89.7%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Von Pearson for 6 yds to the Tenn 36Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 4
OWN 0
0
89.6%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the Tenn 36Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+4
89.9%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 4 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
90.1%
Alvin Kamara run for no gain to the Tenn 40Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
90.0%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Josh Smith, broken up by Chris LammonsSimilar
Q2 11:15
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+14
89.7%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Smith for 14 yds to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
90.2%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 5 yds to the SCaro 41Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+3
90.2%
Alvin Kamara run for 3 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q2 11:15
3RD & 2
OPP 38
-5
90.0%
TENNESSEE Penalty, false start (Jauan Jennings) to the SCaro 43Similar
Q2 11:15
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+6
90.0%
Joshua Dobbs run for 6 yds to the SCaro 37Similar
Q2 7:51
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+10
90.0%
Jalen Hurd run for 10 yds to the SCaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-2
90.6%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Von Pearson for 8 yds to the SCaro 19 TENNESSEE Penalty, Offensive holding (Josh Smith) to the SCaro 29Similar
Q2 7:51
1ST & 12
OPP 29
-5
90.6%
Dobbs, J. pass incomplete to Malone, J. (Lammons, C.), PENALTY UT ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the SC34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:51
1ST & 17
OPP 34
0
90.5%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jalen Hurd for no gain to the SCaro 34Similar
Q2 7:51
2ND & 17
OPP 34
+1
90.4%
Jalen Hurd run for 1 yd to the SCaro 33Similar
Q2 7:51
3RD & 16
OPP 33
+7
90.2%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Von Pearson for 7 yds to the SCaro 26Similar
Q2 5:00
4TH & 9
OPP 26
+44
92.7%
Aaron Medley 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10FG
12 plays · 50 yds · 3:579% → 10%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
91.5%
David Williams run for 4 yds to the SCaro 29Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
91.3%
Lorenzo Nunez run for 2 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+17
91.4%
Perry Orth pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 17 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
91.0%
Perry Orth run for no gain to the SCaro 48Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+12
91.2%
Brandon Wilds run for 12 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
90.7%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to D.J. NealSimilar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+15
90.8%
Perry Orth run for 15 yds to the Tenn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
90.3%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Pharoh CooperSimilar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
90.4%
Brandon Wilds run for no gain to the Tenn 25Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
90.9%
Perry Orth pass incomplete, broken up by LaTroy LewisSimilar
Q2 1:03
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+43
90.1%
Elliott Fry 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 11INT
10 plays · 23 yds · 0:4691% → 92%
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
91.3%
Joshua Dobbs run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 34 Joshua Dobbs fumbled, forced by Darius English, recovered by Tenn Chance HallSimilar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+3
91.3%
Jalen Hurd run for 3 yds to the Tenn 37Similar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+5
91.2%
Jalen Hurd run for 5 yds to the Tenn 42Similar
Q2 0:17
4TH & 2
OWN 42
+5
91.0%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Tenn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
91.8%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Von PearsonSimilar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+10
91.7%
Joshua Dobbs run for 10 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
91.8%
Joshua Dobbs pass intercepted Isaiah Johnson return for no gain to the SCaro 0Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0010% → 9%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
90.4%
David Williams run for 1 yd to the SCaro 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
90.4%
Perry Orth pass complete to David Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 25Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
90.6%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Shamier JefferySimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+22
90.8%
Sean Kelly punt for 56 yds , Cameron Sutton returns for 22 yds to the Tenn 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-4
91.4%
Jalen Hurd run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tenn 37Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 14
OWN 37
+5
91.0%
Joshua Dobbs run for 5 yds to the Tenn 42Similar
Q3 13:24
3RD & 9
OWN 42
0
90.9%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Ethan Wolf TENNESSEE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 13:24
4TH & 9
OWN 42
0
90.3%
Trevor Daniel punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 2:529% → 21%
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
90.7%
Perry Orth pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 14 yds to the SCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
90.2%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Pharoh CooperSimilar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+13
90.4%
Perry Orth pass complete to Brandon Wilds for 13 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
89.7%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Pharoh CooperSimilar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+17
89.9%
Perry Orth run for 17 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
89.5%
Brandon Wilds run for 1 yd to the Tenn 35Similar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+12
89.0%
Perry Orth pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 12 yds to the Tenn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
88.7%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to D.J. Neal, broken up by Justin MartinSimilar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+9
89.0%
Brandon Wilds run for 9 yds to the Tenn 14Similar
Q3 12:02
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+4
89.3%
Brandon Wilds run for 4 yds to the Tenn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
79.4%
Perry Orth pass complete to Jonathan Walton for 10 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 15FUMBLE
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-4
84.9%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Alvin Kamara for a loss of 4 yards Alvin Kamara fumbled, forced by Phillip Dukes, recovered by SCaro T.J. HollomanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16TD
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:3521% → 30%
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
79.3%
TENNESSEE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Dylan Wiesman) to the Tenn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
79.3%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Jerell AdamsSimilar
Q3 9:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
79.3%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to D.J. NealSimilar
Q3 8:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
81.9%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Jerell AdamsSimilar
Q3 8:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
70.3%
Perry Orth pass complete to Jerell Adams for 7 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 17TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:0475% → 88%
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
74.9%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Josh SmithSimilar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
74.7%
Jalen Hurd run for no gain to the Tenn 25Similar
Q3 8:29
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+15
73.8%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Smith for 15 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
76.6%
Joshua Dobbs run for 3 yds to the Tenn 43Similar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+18
77.2%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Von Pearson for 18 yds to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
77.9%
Jalen Hurd run for 1 yd to the SCaro 38Similar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 9
OPP 38
0
77.8%
Joshua Dobbs pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:29
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+23
77.2%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Ethan Wolf for 23 yds to the SCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
79.1%
Jalen Hurd run for 3 yds to the SCaro 12Similar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+1
79.1%
Jalen Hurd run for 1 yd to the SCaro 11Similar
Q3 4:25
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+11
88.2%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Alvin Kamara for 11 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 18TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:3714% → 39%
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
85.8%
Brandon Wilds run for 15 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
84.8%
Brandon Wilds run for 4 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+11
83.9%
Perry Orth pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 11 yds to the Tenn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
83.3%
Brandon Wilds run for 4 yds to the Tenn 41Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+18
83.4%
Perry Orth pass complete to Matrick Belton for 18 yds to the Tenn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
82.0%
Brandon Wilds run for 12 yds to the Tenn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
82.0%
Brandon Wilds run for 3 yds to the Tenn 8Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+3
82.0%
David Williams run for 3 yds to the Tenn 5Similar
Q3 0:48
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+5
61.5%
Perry Orth pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 5 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:4871% → 69%
Q3 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
70.6%
Joshua Dobbs sacked by Marquavius Lewis for a loss of 7 yards to the Tenn 18Similar
Q3 0:48
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+10
70.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Von Pearson for 10 yds to the Tenn 28Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+5
68.8%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Von Pearson for 5 yds to the Tenn 33Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
69.1%
Trevor Daniel punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Pharoh Cooper at the SCaro 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:0035% → 31%
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
65.3%
Brandon Wilds run for no gain to the SCaro 27Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-5
65.7%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 22Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 15
OWN 22
-9
66.2%
Wilds, B. rush for 1 yard to the SC23 (Reeves-Maybin), PENALTY SC holding (Shell, B.) 9 yards to the SC13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 24
OWN 13
+2
66.5%
Perry Orth pass complete to David Williams for 2 yds to the SCaro 15Similar
Q4 14:16
3RD & 22
OWN 15
+5
67.7%
Perry Orth run for 5 yds to the SCaro 20Similar
Q4 14:16
4TH & 17
OWN 20
0
68.8%
Sean Kelly punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Cameron Sutton at the Tenn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 21FG
10 plays · 61 yds · 2:4869% → 80%
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
69.2%
Jalen Hurd run for 5 yds to the Tenn 35Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 5
OWN 35
-2
70.7%
Joshua Dobbs sacked by Skai Moore for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 33Similar
Q4 12:02
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+24
68.0%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 24 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
73.0%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Josh MaloneSimilar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
72.7%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Jalen HurdSimilar
Q4 12:02
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+30
71.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Von Pearson for 30 yds to the SCaro 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
74.8%
Jalen Hurd run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 14Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 11
OPP 14
+5
74.6%
Joshua Dobbs run for 5 yds to the SCaro 9Similar
Q4 12:02
3RD & 6
OPP 9
0
73.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Jalen HurdSimilar
Q4 9:14
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+27
80.2%
Aaron Medley 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0023% → 21%
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
77.4%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Pharoh CooperSimilar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+8
77.7%
Perry Orth pass complete to Brandon Wilds for 8 yds to the SCaro 23Similar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 2
OWN 23
0
77.5%
Brandon Wilds run for no gain to the SCaro 23Similar
Q4 9:09
4TH & 2
OWN 23
+26
78.9%
Sean Kelly punt for 54 yds , Cameron Sutton returns for 26 yds to the Tenn 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0081% → 78%
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
81.0%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete, broken up by Dante SawyerSimilar
Q4 7:44
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+1
80.5%
Joshua Dobbs run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:44
3RD & 9
50
0
79.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Jalen HurdSimilar
Q4 7:44
4TH & 9
50
0
78.0%
Trevor Daniel punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 24PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 0:5123% → 22%
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
76.6%
Perry Orth pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:53
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
76.8%
Perry Orth run for 8 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q4 6:02
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+3
76.0%
Brandon Wilds run for 3 yds to the SCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+16
75.3%
Perry Orth pass complete to David Williams for 16 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
72.1%
David Williams run for no gain to the SCaro 47Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+4
73.4%
Perry Orth pass complete to Shamier Jeffery for 4 yds to the Tenn 49Similar
Q4 6:02
3RD & 6
OPP 49
-6
71.3%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Mason Zandi) to the SCaro 45Similar
Q4 6:02
3RD & 12
OWN 45
0
76.6%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Pharoh Cooper, broken up by Malik ForemanSimilar
Q4 6:02
4TH & 12
OWN 45
+1
78.1%
Sean Kelly punt for 47 yds , Cameron Sutton returns for 1 yd to the Tenn 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:4385% → 88%
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
84.6%
Jalen Hurd run for 3 yds to the Tenn 12Similar
Q4 3:06
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+3
84.5%
Jalen Hurd run for 3 yds to the Tenn 15Similar
Q4 3:06
3RD & 4
OWN 15
+3
83.5%
Joshua Dobbs run for 3 yds to the Tenn 18Similar
Q4 1:23
4TH & 1
OWN 18
-3
87.9%
Trevor Daniel punt for 45 yds , Pharoh Cooper returns for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 24 Pharoh Cooper fumbled, forced by Jalen Reeves-Maybin, recovered by SCaro SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, illegal batting (Pharoh Cooper) to the SCaro 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 26FUMBLE
6 plays · 63 yds · 0:0013% → 17%
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+16
86.7%
Perry Orth pass complete to Matrick Belton for 16 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
83.8%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Brandon WildsSimilar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+17
84.8%
Perry Orth pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 17 yds to the Tenn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
80.7%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Brandon WildsSimilar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
81.7%
Perry Orth pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:14
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+25
83.0%
Perry Orth pass complete to Jerell Adams for 25 yds Jerell Adams fumbled, forced by Malik Foreman, recovered by Tenn Jalen Reeves-MaybinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · -8 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-6
93.4%
TENNESSEE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Darrin Kirkland Jr.) to the Tenn 7Similar
Q4 0:32
1ST & 16
OWN 7
-2
93.4%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:48
Perry Orth pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 5 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)
-20.5
TD · Q3 8:29
Perry Orth pass complete to Jerell Adams for 7 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)
-13.8
TD · Q3 9:10
Perry Orth pass complete to Jonathan Walton for 10 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)
-9.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com