Try the model
UK

Kentucky 3 at Georgia 27

UGA
2015 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2015 · Sanford Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadUK aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreUK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:40 · Brice Ramsey punt for 48 yds , Ryan Timmons returns for a loss of 5 yards to the Kent 25 Ryan Timmons fumbled, recovered by Geo Nathan Theus
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 29Pregame prior+31.1Home team on offense+1.8Score differential+0.4Garbage-time factor+0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 1:12: Austin MacGinnis 32 Yd Field Goal — UK win probability +2.6 pts (now 18%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 1:10: KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive Offside (-5 Yards) to the Kent 30 — UGA win probability +1.8 pts (now 84%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 12:27: Sony Michel run for 13 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST down — UGA win probability +3.0 pts (now 84%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:28: Sony Michel 1 Yd Run (Marshall Morgan Kick) — UGA win probability +6.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:36: Keith Marshall 10 Yd pass from Greyson Lambert (Marshall Morgan Kick) — UGA win probability +4.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 5 of 8UK made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 12:45UGA 4th & 15 at UGA 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.0%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:55UK 4th & 14 at UK 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:42UK 4th & 3 at UK 47, down 7
    Close callPunted · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.3%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:40UGA 4th & 8 at UGA 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.1%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:03UGA 4th & 1 at UK 6, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%
    69% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.8%−0.6
    91% to make
    Punt
    83.2%−2.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:28UK 4th & 5 at UK 36, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:47UGA 4th & 12 at UGA 47, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.8%−0.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:51UK 4th & 21 at UK 44, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−1.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:12UK 4th & 5 at UGA 15, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    11.3%−3.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:37UK 4th & 2 at UGA 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    17.7%−1.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:06UK 4th & 10 at UK 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−1.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:48UK 4th & 10 at UK 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:45UGA 4th & 6 at UK 44, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    98.1%−0.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:47UGA 4th & 8 at UK 10, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.9%
    88% to make
    Punt
    97.9%−0.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:54UK 4th & 1 at UK 15, down 24
    Close callPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:45UGA 4th & 1 at UK 34, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:43UGA 4th & 16 at UK 20, up 24
    Close callWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%
    75% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:57UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 6:28UGA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:36UGA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UGADrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 2:0286% → 86%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-14
86.2%
Isaiah McKenzie run for 1 yd to the Geo 36 GEORGIA Penalty, Clipping (-15 Yards) to the Geo 21Similar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 24
OWN 21
+6
85.9%
Terry Godwin run for 6 yds to the Geo 27Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 18
OWN 27
+3
85.8%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q1 12:57
3RD & 15
OWN 30
0
85.6%
Greyson Lambert pass incomplete to Terry GodwinSimilar
Q1 12:45
4TH & 15
OWN 30
+12
85.5%
Brice Ramsey punt for 53 yds , Ryan Timmons returns for 12 yds to the Kent 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:2515% → 15%
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-4
85.4%
Mikel Horton run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kent 25Similar
Q1 12:09
2ND & 14
OWN 25
0
85.4%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Garrett JohnsonSimilar
Q1 12:04
3RD & 14
OWN 25
0
85.4%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Sihiem KingSimilar
Q1 11:55
4TH & 14
OWN 25
+20
85.4%
Landon Foster punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Reggie Davis at the GEORGIA 40 KENTUCKY Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the Kent 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 3TD
6 plays · 45 yds · 2:3386% → 86%
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
85.5%
Keith Marshall run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 47Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 12
OPP 47
+10
85.2%
Keith Marshall run for 10 yds to the Kent 37Similar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+2
85.1%
Terry Godwin run for 2 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
85.1%
Greyson Lambert pass incomplete to Jordan DavisSimilar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+7
85.1%
Sony Michel run for 7 yds to the Kent 28Similar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+28
85.8%
Terry Godwin fumble, recovered by Terry Godwin, 28 Yd Run (Marshall Morgan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 40 yds · 3:0914% → 15%
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+18
85.6%
Mikel Horton run for 18 yds to the Kent 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.5%
Mikel Horton run for no gain to the Kent 25Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
85.4%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:09
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+15
85.5%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 15 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
85.1%
Jojo Kemp run for 6 yds to the Kent 46Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+1
84.9%
Jojo Kemp run for 1 yd to the Kent 47Similar
Q1 5:51
3RD & 3
OWN 47
0
84.8%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Ryan TimmonsSimilar
Q1 5:42
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
85.2%
Landon Foster punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 5FUMBLE
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5785% → 85%
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
85.3%
Greyson Lambert pass incomplete to Isaiah McKenzieSimilar
Q1 5:23
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
85.2%
Keith Marshall run for 2 yds to the Geo 22Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
85.0%
Greyson Lambert pass incomplete to Malcolm MitchellSimilar
Q1 4:40
4TH & 8
OWN 22
-5
84.7%
Brice Ramsey punt for 48 yds , Ryan Timmons returns for a loss of 5 yards to the Kent 25 Ryan Timmons fumbled, recovered by Geo Nathan TheusSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6FG
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:2786% → 85%
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
85.7%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 10 yds to the Kent 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
85.7%
Sony Michel run for 5 yds to the Kent 10Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+3
85.6%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the Kent 7Similar
Q1 2:25
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+1
85.1%
Sony Michel run for 1 yd to the Kent 6Similar
Q1 2:03
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+22
85.0%
Marshall Morgan 22 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1215% → 15%
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
84.7%
Mikel Horton run for 2 yds to the Kent 33Similar
Q1 1:12
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+3
84.7%
Mikel Horton run for 3 yds to the Kent 36Similar
Q1 0:39
3RD & 5
OWN 36
0
84.7%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Dorian BakerSimilar
Q1 0:28
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
85.0%
Landon Foster punt for 41 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for no gain to the Geo 36 GEORGIA Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Geo 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8PUNT
12 plays · 34 yds · 5:1385% → 84%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
84.6%
Keith Marshall run for 1 yd to the Geo 14Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 9
OWN 14
0
84.5%
Brice Ramsey pass incomplete to Isaiah McKenzieSimilar
Q2 14:30
3RD & 9
OWN 14
+13
84.1%
Brice Ramsey pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 13 yds to the Geo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
84.6%
Michel, Sony rush for 11 yards to the GEORGIA38, PENALTY GEORGIA illegal formation 5 yards to the GEORGIA22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:18
1ST & 15
OWN 22
+6
84.4%
Brice Ramsey pass complete to Jay Rome for 6 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+11
84.4%
Sony Michel run for 11 yds to the Geo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
84.9%
Sony Michel run for 7 yds to the Geo 46Similar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+3
85.0%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the Geo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
85.0%
Brice Ramsey pass incomplete to Sony MichelSimilar
Q2 10:46
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+8
85.0%
Sony Michel run for 8 yds to the Kent 43Similar
Q2 10:07
3RD & 2
OPP 43
-10
84.8%
Terry Godwin run for a loss of 10 yards to the Geo 47Similar
Q2 9:47
4TH & 12
OWN 47
0
83.5%
Brice Ramsey punt for 42 yds, downed at the Kent 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 9INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+24
84.7%
Patrick Towles pass intercepted Dominick Sanders return for 24 yds to the Kent 6 Dominick Sanders fumbled, recovered by Kent Jojo KempSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 10PUNT
16 plays · 38 yds · 6:0315% → 15%
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+9
84.8%
Jojo Kemp run for 9 yds to the Kent 15Similar
Q2 8:33
2ND & 1
OWN 15
+8
84.6%
Jojo Kemp run for 8 yds to the Kent 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
84.7%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+16
84.8%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Jeff Badet for 16 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
83.9%
Jojo Kemp run for 6 yds to the Kent 45Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+2
83.6%
Jojo Kemp run for 2 yds to the Kent 47Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+8
83.6%
Jojo Kemp run for 8 yds to the Geo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-15
83.2%
Horton, Mikel rush for 3 yards to the GEORGIA42, PENALTY KENTUCKY personal foul 15 yards to the KENTUCKY40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 25
OWN 40
+4
84.3%
Mikel Horton run for 4 yds to the Kent 44Similar
Q2 5:08
2ND & 21
OWN 44
0
84.4%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Jeff BadetSimilar
Q2 5:03
3RD & 21
OWN 44
0
84.7%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Garrett JohnsonSimilar
Q2 4:51
4TH & 21
OWN 44
+48
85.2%
Landon Foster punt for 38 yds, downed at the GEORGIA 18 GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Geo 8Similar
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
83.8%
Keith Marshall run for 5 yds to the Geo 13Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+7
84.0%
Brice Ramsey pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 7 yds to the Geo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
84.8%
Keith Marshall run for no gain to the Geo 20Similar
Q2 2:49
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
84.6%
Brice Ramsey pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for no gain Isaiah McKenzie fumbled, recovered by Kent Kendall RandolphSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 11FG
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:3518% → 16%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
82.3%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to C.J. ConradSimilar
Q2 2:12
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-2
82.5%
Jojo Kemp run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 22Similar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 12
OPP 22
+7
84.7%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Dorian Baker for 7 yds to the Geo 15Similar
Q2 1:12
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+32
82.1%
Austin MacGinnis 32 Yd Field Goal Similar
Q2 1:10
4TH & 5
OWN 35
-5
83.9%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive Offside (-5 Yards) to the Kent 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12DOWNS
11 plays · 45 yds · 0:5083% → 85%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
83.4%
Sony Michel run for 8 yds to the Geo 42Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+4
84.5%
Brendan Douglas run for 4 yds to the Geo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
85.1%
Greyson Lambert pass incomplete to Malcolm MitchellSimilar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+24
84.5%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 24 yds to the Kent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
85.8%
Brendan Douglas run for 5 yds to the Kent 25Similar
Q2 0:02
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+4
85.0%
Greyson Lambert run for 4 yds to the Kent 21Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+38
84.5%
Marshall Morgan 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 13DOWNS
6 plays · 27 yds · 2:1617% → 19%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
82.6%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Dorian Baker for 19 yds to the Kent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
81.3%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Sihiem King for no gain to the Kent 44Similar
Q3 13:55
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+1
81.6%
Sihiem King run for 1 yd to the Kent 45Similar
Q3 12:51
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+7
81.8%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 7 yds to the Geo 48Similar
Q3 12:37
4TH & 2
OPP 48
0
81.3%
Jojo Kemp run for no gain to the Geo 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14TD
11 plays · 52 yds · 5:5984% → 93%
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
84.3%
Sony Michel run for 13 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
84.7%
Sony Michel run for 5 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q3 11:14
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+2
84.9%
Sony Michel run for 2 yds to the Kent 32Similar
Q3 10:35
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+4
84.1%
Sony Michel run for 4 yds to the Kent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
85.8%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Kent 23Similar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 5
OPP 23
-2
85.8%
Sony Michel run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 25Similar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+5
85.8%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Jackson Harris for 5 yds to the Kent 20Similar
Q3 7:50
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+3
85.7%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the Kent 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
86.5%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Brendan Douglas for 7 yds to the Kent 10Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+9
86.5%
Brendan Douglas run for 9 yds to the Kent 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.6%
Sony Michel 1 Yd Run (Marshall Morgan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:1810% → 9%
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.3%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Dorian BakerSimilar
Q3 6:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
90.5%
Jojo Kemp run for 5 yds to the Kent 30Similar
Q3 5:38
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
90.1%
KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Kent 25Similar
Q3 5:18
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
90.7%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Dorian BakerSimilar
Q3 5:06
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+9
91.2%
Landon Foster punt for 52 yds , Terry Godwin returns for 9 yds to the Geo 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 2:2492% → 98%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
92.4%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the Geo 35Similar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+8
92.6%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 8 yds to the Geo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+45
93.1%
Sony Michel run for 45 yds to the Kent 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
93.3%
Keith Marshall run for 2 yds to the Kent 10Similar
Q3 2:36
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+10
98.1%
Keith Marshall 10 Yd pass from Greyson Lambert (Marshall Morgan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:292% → 2%
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.8%
Mikel Horton run for 5 yds to the Kent 30Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
97.8%
Mikel Horton run for 3 yds to the Kent 33Similar
Q3 1:01
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-8
98.1%
Patrick Towles sacked by Malkom Parrish for a loss of 8 yards to the Kent 25Similar
Q3 0:48
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
98.3%
Landon Foster punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:4599% → 99%
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
98.6%
Isaiah McKenzie run for 13 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
98.7%
Sony Michel run for 4 yds to the Kent 44Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 6
OPP 44
0
98.7%
Greyson Lambert pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 6
OPP 44
0
98.6%
Greyson Lambert pass incomplete to Isaiah McKenzieSimilar
Q4 14:45
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
98.5%
Collin Barber punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 19INT
5 plays · 37 yds · 1:472% → 1%
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+27
98.5%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 27 yds to the Kent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
98.6%
Jojo Kemp run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 7
50
+5
98.7%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Blake Bone for 5 yds to the Geo 45Similar
Q4 12:59
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+2
98.7%
Jojo Kemp run for 2 yds to the Geo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+38
98.7%
Patrick Towles pass intercepted Dominick Sanders return for 38 yds to the Kent 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 20FG
7 plays · 28 yds · 3:2399% → 99%
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
99.0%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the Kent 35Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+23
99.0%
Sony Michel run for 23 yds to the Kent 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
99.0%
Sony Michel run for 2 yds to the Kent 10Similar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 8
OPP 10
-5
99.0%
GEORGIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Kent 15Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 13
OPP 15
+3
99.0%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the Kent 12Similar
Q4 9:08
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+2
99.1%
Keith Marshall run for 2 yds to the Kent 10Similar
Q4 8:47
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+27
99.1%
Marshall Morgan 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:361% → 1%
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
99.1%
Drew Barker pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+4
99.2%
Mikel Horton run for 4 yds to the Kent 10Similar
Q4 7:25
3RD & 6
OWN 10
+5
99.3%
Drew Barker pass complete to Dorian Baker for 5 yds to the Kent 15Similar
Q4 6:54
4TH & 1
OWN 15
0
99.4%
Landon Foster punt for 41 yds, downed at the Geo 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 22DOWNS
12 plays · 38 yds · 6:0699% → 100%
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
99.3%
Keith Marshall run for 13 yds to the Kent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
99.4%
Brendan Douglas run for 2 yds to the Kent 41Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+4
99.4%
Brendan Douglas run for 4 yds to the Kent 37Similar
Q4 4:22
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+3
99.4%
Keith Marshall run for 3 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q4 3:45
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+4
99.6%
Quayvon Hicks run for 4 yds to the Kent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+16
99.7%
Keith Marshall run for 16 yds to the Kent 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
99.8%
Keith Marshall run for 4 yds to the Kent 10Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 6
OPP 10
-15
99.8%
GEORGIA Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Kent 25Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 21
OPP 25
+4
99.8%
Keith Marshall run for 4 yds to the Kent 21Similar
Q4 0:59
3RD & 17
OPP 21
+1
99.8%
Brendan Douglas run for 1 yd to the Kent 20Similar
Q4 0:43
4TH & 16
OPP 20
+2
99.8%
Brendan Douglas run for 2 yds to the Kent 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
99.4%
Sihiem King run for 3 yds to the Kent 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:28
Sony Michel 1 Yd Run (Marshall Morgan Kick)
+6.1
TD · Q3 2:36
Keith Marshall 10 Yd pass from Greyson Lambert (Marshall Morgan Kick)
+4.8
KEY PLAY · Q3 12:27
Sony Michel run for 13 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST down
+3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com