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South Carolina 24 at LSU 45

LSU
2015 · Week 6 · Oct 10, 2015 · Tiger Stadium (LA)
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Win probability · LSU
modelLSU aheadSC aheadconfidence bandkey playLSU scoreSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+3.7LSU 53.9%Trent Domingue 29 yd FG GOODAWAY 10 - HOME 17 · Q2 0:00
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:00 · Trent Domingue 29 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 88Pregame prior−12.3Home team on offense+7.3Score differential+1.6Garbage-time factor+1.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:41: Brandon Harris pass complete to Malachi Dupre for 10 yds for a TD SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Trent Domingue KICK) — LSU win probability +13.7 pts (now 53%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 14:01: Leonard Fournette run for 87 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK) — LSU win probability +14.7 pts (now 70%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:29: Brandon Harris pass complete to Travin Dural for 62 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK) — LSU win probability +20.5 pts (now 93%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:02: Perry Orth pass complete to Jerell Adams for 36 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK) — SC win probability +13.6 pts (now 22%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:55: Darrel Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK) — LSU win probability +13.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6SC made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 11:02SC 4th & 3 at LSU 3, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.3%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.2%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    76.7%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:15SC 4th & 2 at SC 44, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    72.9%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:37LSU 4th & 1 at SC 34, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    28.1%−0.9
    47% to make
    Punt
    27.8%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00LSU 4th & 14 at SC 36, up 4
    Close callPunted · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    30.0%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:40SC 4th & 4 at SC 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.6%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:27LSU 4th & 8 at SC 42, up 4
    Close callPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    36.2%−0.6
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    36.6%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00LSU 4th & 10 at SC 12, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%−0.9
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.2%
    86% to make
    Punt
    36.9%−6.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:59SC 4th & 8 at SC 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.6%−1.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:02SC 4th & 8 at LSU 36, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.5%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    7.3%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    6.9%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:08SC 4th & 13 at SC 49, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.6
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:33LSU 4th & 11 at LSU 47, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:18SC 4th & 1 at SC 25, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%−<0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:30LSU 4th & 3 at SC 18, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%−0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6SC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 5:15LSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:41LSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 14:01LSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:29LSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:02SC Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:55LSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:39SC Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:15LSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1FG
15 plays · 62 yds · 3:5873% → 71%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
27.1%
Perry Orth pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 3 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
27.1%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Terry GoogerSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+8
27.1%
Perry Orth pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 8 yds to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
27.1%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Terry GoogerSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-1
27.1%
David Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 45
+42
27.1%
Perry Orth pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 42 yds to the LSU 13 for a 1ST down LSU Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
27.1%
Perry Orth pass complete to David Williams for 4 yds to the LSU 9Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 9
-5
27.1%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the LSU 14Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 14
0
27.1%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Pharoh CooperSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 14
+11
27.1%
Perry Orth run for 11 yds to the LSU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
27.1%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Pharoh Cooper, broken up by Dwayne ThomasSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
27.1%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Matrick BeltonSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
27.1%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Matrick BeltonSimilar
Q1 11:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
28.6%
Elliott Fry 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 2TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 5:4729% → 34%
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
28.7%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Leonard Fournette for 9 yds to the LSU 34Similar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
28.9%
Leonard Fournette run for 3 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
28.8%
Leonard Fournette run for 2 yds to the LSU 39Similar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
29.0%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Travin DuralSimilar
Q1 11:02
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+17
28.7%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Travin Dural for 17 yds to the SCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
29.1%
Leonard Fournette run for 6 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+1
29.1%
Brandon Harris pass complete to John David Moore for 1 yd to the SCaro 37Similar
Q1 11:02
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+5
29.1%
Brandon Harris run for 5 yds to the SCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
29.2%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Malachi DupreSimilar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+16
30.9%
Derrius Guice run for 16 yds to the SCaro 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
31.0%
Derrius Guice run for 1 yd to the SCaro 15Similar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+11
31.0%
Leonard Fournette run for 11 yds to the SCaro 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
34.0%
Darrel Williams run for 4 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3DOWNS
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
32.9%
David Williams run for 11 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
32.6%
Perry Orth pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 3 yds to the SCaro 39Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
32.2%
Pharoh Cooper run for no gain to the SCaro 39Similar
Q1 5:15
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+5
32.6%
Perry Orth pass complete to Shamier Jeffery for 5 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q1 5:15
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
32.6%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Pharoh CooperSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 7 yds · 2:3736% → 36%
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
35.6%
Leonard Fournette run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 44Similar
Q1 2:37
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+10
35.4%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Travin Dural for 10 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q1 2:37
3RD & 1
OPP 34
0
35.3%
Leonard Fournette run for no gain to the SCaro 34Similar
Q1 2:37
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+2
34.9%
Darrel Williams run for 2 yds to the SCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-4
38.0%
Leonard Fournette run for a loss of 4 yards to the SCaro 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 36
0
37.4%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Travin DuralSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 36
0
36.8%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Leonard FournetteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 14
OPP 36
0
35.9%
Jamie Keehn punt for 36 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0064% → 63%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
35.8%
David Williams run for 5 yds to the SCaro 25Similar
Q2 14:40
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+1
35.4%
David Williams run for 1 yd to the SCaro 26Similar
Q2 14:40
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
36.0%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Terry Googer, broken up by Tre'Davious WhiteSimilar
Q2 14:40
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+40
36.8%
Sean Kelly punt for 40 yds , Tre'Davious White returns for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 6TD
11 plays · 67 yds · 5:4238% → 53%
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
37.7%
Leonard Fournette run for 4 yds to the LSU 37Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+7
38.3%
Leonard Fournette run for 7 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
38.9%
Leonard Fournette run for 7 yds to the SCaro 49Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+2
39.2%
Leonard Fournette run for 2 yds to the SCaro 47Similar
Q2 13:23
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+1
38.6%
Leonard Fournette run for 1 yd to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
39.3%
Darrel Williams run for 5 yds to the SCaro 41Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 5
OPP 41
0
39.2%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Malachi DupreSimilar
Q2 13:23
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+14
38.6%
Brandon Harris run for 14 yds to the SCaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
39.3%
Brandon Harris run for 2 yds to the SCaro 25 for a 1ST down SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, face mask (13 yards) (Jordan Diggs) to the SCaro 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
39.3%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Derrius Guice for 2 yds to the SCaro 10Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+10
53.0%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Malachi Dupre for 10 yds for a TD SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Trent Domingue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 33 yds · 0:0043% → 42%
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
42.5%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Travin Dural for 20 yds to the LSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
44.6%
Leonard Fournette run for 6 yds to the SCaro 49Similar
Q2 7:27
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+2
44.9%
Leonard Fournette run for 2 yds to the SCaro 47Similar
Q2 7:27
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+3
44.1%
Leonard Fournette run for 3 yds to the SCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-9
45.1%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Leonard Fournette for 1 yd to the LSU 43 LSU Penalty, illegal block (Bry'Kiethon Mouton) to the LSU 47Similar
Q2 7:27
1ST & 19
OWN 47
0
43.8%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete, broken up by Gerald Dixon Jr.Similar
Q2 7:27
2ND & 19
OWN 47
+5
43.4%
Brandon Harris run for 5 yds to the SCaro 48Similar
Q2 7:27
3RD & 14
OPP 48
+11
42.6%
Brandon Harris pass complete to DeSean Smith for 11 yds to the SCaro 37Similar
Q2 7:27
4TH & 3
OPP 37
-5
43.2%
LSU Penalty, delay of game (Brandon Harris) to the SCaro 42Similar
Q2 7:27
4TH & 8
OPP 42
0
42.4%
Jamie Keehn punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9INT
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:0057% → 59%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
43.2%
Perry Orth pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 7 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+10
42.1%
Shon Carson run for 10 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
42.1%
Perry Orth pass complete to Shamier Jeffery for 8 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+5
40.5%
Shon Carson run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
50
0
40.0%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Pharoh CooperSimilar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 10
50
0
40.6%
Perry Orth pass intercepted John Battle return for no gain to the LSU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 10FG
10 plays · 54 yds · 1:1948% → 54%
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
47.5%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Leonard Fournette for 15 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
50.0%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Leonard FournetteSimilar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+28
49.5%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Malachi Dupre for 28 yds to the SCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
50.8%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Malachi Dupre for 3 yds to the SCaro 20Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 7
OPP 20
0
50.8%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Malachi Dupre, broken up by D.J. SmithSimilar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+8
49.6%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 8 yds to the SCaro 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
50.8%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
50.8%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Malachi DupreSimilar
Q2 0:08
3RD & 10
OPP 12
0
50.3%
Brandon Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 12
+29
53.9%
Trent Domingue 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 11TD
3 plays · 90 yds · 0:5155% → 70%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
54.7%
Leonard Fournette run for 3 yds to the LSU 13Similar
Q3 14:01
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+87
69.5%
Leonard Fournette run for 87 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0032% → 31%
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
67.9%
Perry Orth pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 32Similar
Q3 13:59
2ND & 11
OWN 32
0
68.7%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Matrick BeltonSimilar
Q3 13:59
3RD & 11
OWN 32
+3
69.2%
David Williams run for 3 yds to the SCaro 35Similar
Q3 13:59
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
69.4%
Sean Kelly punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 13TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 6:1172% → 93%
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
71.6%
Leonard Fournette run for 4 yds to the LSU 24Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+7
71.5%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Malachi Dupre for 7 yds to the LSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
71.7%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Trey Quinn for 16 yards to the LSU47, PENALTY LSU illegal shift (Trey Quinn) 5 yards to the LSU26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+8
71.6%
Leonard Fournette run for 8 yds to the LSU 34Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+7
71.6%
Leonard Fournette run for 7 yds to the LSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-3
72.7%
Brandon Harris run for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 38 Brandon Harris fumbled, recovered by LSU Brandon HarrisSimilar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 13
OWN 38
-5
72.2%
LSU Penalty, false start (Maea Teuhema) to the LSU 33Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 18
OWN 33
+17
71.5%
Derrius Guice run for 17 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 1
50
+2
71.8%
Darrel Williams run for 2 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-12
72.7%
Brandon Harris sacked by Marquavius Lewis for a loss of 12 yards to the LSU 40Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 22
OWN 40
-2
72.2%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Tyron Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 38Similar
Q3 6:29
3RD & 24
OWN 38
+62
92.7%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Travin Dural for 62 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 1:219% → 22%
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+22
91.5%
Perry Orth pass complete to Shamier Jeffery for 22 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST down LSU Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
91.5%
Pharoh Cooper run for 7 yds to the LSU 31Similar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 3
OPP 31
-5
90.4%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the LSU 36Similar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 8
OPP 36
0
91.5%
Terry Googer pass incomplete to Jacob AugustSimilar
Q3 6:23
3RD & 8
OPP 36
0
91.6%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Shamier JefferySimilar
Q3 5:02
4TH & 8
OPP 36
+36
78.0%
Perry Orth pass complete to Jerell Adams for 36 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 15TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:0782% → 97%
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
82.0%
Derrius Guice run for 13 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
82.8%
Derrius Guice run for 1 yd to the LSU 39Similar
Q3 5:02
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+25
82.7%
Derrius Guice run for 25 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
83.2%
Darrel Williams run for 8 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q3 5:02
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+27
83.3%
Darrel Williams run for 27 yds to the SCaro 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.6%
Darrel Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16TD
4 plays · 61 yds · 1:145% → 17%
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
95.3%
Perry Orth pass complete to Matrick Belton for 15 yds to the LSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
95.3%
Shon Carson run for 3 yds to the LSU 43Similar
Q3 0:39
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+43
82.6%
Perry Orth pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 43 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 17TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 2:1390% → 98%
Q3 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+20
89.5%
Derrius Guice run for 20 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
90.1%
Derrius Guice run for 1 yd to the SCaro 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+8
90.4%
Derrius Guice run for 8 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+3
90.2%
Darrel Williams run for 3 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+27
90.5%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Malachi Dupre for 27 yds to the SCaro 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
90.5%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, offside defense (Kelsey Griffin) to the SCaro 4Similar
Q4 13:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.0%
Derrius Guice run for 4 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 18PUNT
11 plays · 24 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.8%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to D.J. NealSimilar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
97.8%
Perry Orth run for 9 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q4 13:08
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+7
97.7%
David Williams run for 7 yds to the SCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
97.6%
Perry Orth pass complete to David Williams for 5 yds to the SCaro 46Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+4
97.7%
Shon Carson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:08
3RD & 1
50
+2
97.6%
Perry Orth run for 2 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
97.6%
Shon Carson run for 3 yds to the LSU 45Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 7
OPP 45
0
97.6%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Shon CarsonSimilar
Q4 13:08
3RD & 7
OPP 45
-6
97.7%
Perry Orth sacked by Lewis Neal for a loss of 6 yards to the SCaro 49Similar
Q4 13:08
4TH & 13
OWN 49
0
97.8%
Sean Kelly punt for 48 yds, downed at the LSU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 44 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
98.5%
Nick Brossette run for 5 yds to the LSU 9 Nick Brossette fumbled, forced by Gerald Dixon, recovered by LSU Jerald HawkinsSimilar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 4
OWN 9
+39
98.5%
Derrius Guice run for 39 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
98.7%
Derrius Guice run for 5 yds to the SCaro 47Similar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 5
OPP 47
-7
98.7%
Darrel Williams run for 3 yds to the LSU 44 LSU Penalty, Offensive holding (Ethan Pocic) to the LSU 46Similar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 12
OWN 46
-1
98.6%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Malachi Dupre for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 45Similar
Q4 8:33
3RD & 13
OWN 45
+2
98.6%
Derrius Guice run for 2 yds to the LSU 47Similar
Q4 8:33
4TH & 11
OWN 47
0
98.5%
Jamie Keehn punt for 37 yds, downed at the SCaro 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 20DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
99.3%
David Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 15Similar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 11
OWN 15
+9
99.3%
Michael Scarnecchia pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 9 yds to the SCaro 24Similar
Q4 4:18
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+1
99.2%
Shon Carson run for 1 yd to the SCaro 25Similar
Q4 4:18
4TH & 1
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Michael Scarnecchia run for no gain to the SCaro 25 Michael Scarnecchia fumbled, recovered by SCaro Michael ScarnecchiaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 21END OF GAME
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.4%
Derrius Guice run for no gain to the SCaro 25Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+6
99.4%
Darrel Williams run for 6 yds to the SCaro 19Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+1
99.4%
Derrius Guice run for 1 yd to the SCaro 18Similar
Q4 2:30
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+8
99.4%
Derrius Guice run for 8 yds to the SCaro 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
99.4%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:29
Brandon Harris pass complete to Travin Dural for 62 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK)
+20.5
TD · Q3 14:01
Leonard Fournette run for 87 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK)
+14.7
TD · Q2 7:41
Brandon Harris pass complete to Malachi Dupre for 10 yds for a TD SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Trent Domingue KICK)
+13.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com