Try the model
TA&M

Texas A&M 3 at Ole Miss 23

MISS
2015 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2015 · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MISS
modelMISS aheadTA&M aheadconfidence bandkey playMISS scoreTA&M score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Akeem Judd run for no gain to the TexAM 1 OLE MISS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the TexAM 16
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:33: Chad Kelly pass complete to Evan Engram for 7 yds for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK) — MISS win probability +3.8 pts (now 69%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 7:05: Gary Wunderlich 30 yd FG GOOD — MISS win probability +5.1 pts (now 78%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 4:03: Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Josh Reynolds — TA&M win probability +4.3 pts (now 24%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: Gary Wunderlich 22 yd FG GOOD — MISS win probability +4.4 pts (now 80%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:16: Chad Kelly pass complete to Laquon Treadwell for 58 yds for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK) — MISS win probability +9.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MISS made the numbers' call on 5 of 9TA&M made the numbers' call on 10 of 13
  1. Q1 10:11TA&M 4th & 29 at MISS 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:45MISS 4th & 1 at TA&M 27, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.8%−0.5
    62% to make
    Punt
    64.7%−1.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:30TA&M 4th & 5 at TA&M 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:54TA&M 4th & 1 at midfield, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.9%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:36MISS 4th & 3 at TA&M 24, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 70.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.6%−0.5
    68% to make
    Punt
    67.7%−3.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:05MISS 4th & 9 at TA&M 14, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.6%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.2%
    84% to make
    Punt
    68.4%−4.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:08TA&M 4th & 10 at MISS 44, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    20.4%−0.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    21.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:27TA&M 4th & 3 at MISS 26, down 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.5%−0.4
    64% to make
    Punt
    16.6%−3.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00MISS 4th & 1 at TA&M 4, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.9%
    65% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.4%−2.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    70.7%−9.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:00MISS 4th & 5 at MISS 30, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.3%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:24TA&M 4th & 6 at TA&M 42, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.5%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:26MISS 4th & 7 at MISS 25, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.3%−0.9
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:59TA&M 4th & 10 at TA&M 2, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−1.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:26TA&M 4th & 9 at TA&M 25, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:31MISS 4th & 3 at MISS 49, up 20
    Close callPunted · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.8%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q3 5:40TA&M 4th & 8 at TA&M 11, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  17. Q3 2:59TA&M 4th & 10 at TA&M 36, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  18. Q3 0:30MISS 4th & 11 at MISS 37, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%
    average punt
  19. Q4 13:52TA&M 4th & 12 at TA&M 24, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  20. Q4 10:38MISS 4th & 10 at MISS 43, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%
    average punt
  21. Q4 6:51TA&M 4th & 1 at MISS 49, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.8%−0.2
    average punt
  22. Q4 5:35TA&M 4th & 15 at TA&M 42, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MISS made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 2:33MISS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 9:16MISS Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TA&MDrive 1PUNT
16 plays · 27 yds · 4:4435% → 36%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
64.6%
Tra Carson run for 8 yds to the TexAM 33Similar
Q1 14:31
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
64.6%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Ricky Seals-JonesSimilar
Q1 14:26
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
64.6%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (Germain Ifedi) to the TexAM 28Similar
Q1 14:18
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+3
64.6%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 3 yds to the TexAM 31Similar
Q1 13:41
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+15
64.6%
OLE MISS Penalty, Roughing the Kicker (Carlos Davis) to the TexAM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
64.4%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 3 yds to the TexAM 49Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+6
64.3%
Tra Carson run for 6 yds to the Miss 45Similar
Q1 12:37
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+2
64.2%
Tra Carson run for 2 yds to the Miss 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
64.1%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Damion Ratley for 9 yds to the Miss 34Similar
Q1 11:59
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+5
64.0%
Tra Carson run for 5 yds to the Miss 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-10
63.9%
Carson, Tra rush for 5 yards to the OLEMISS24, PENALTY TEXASAM holding (Sutherland, Keaton) 10 yards to the OLEMISS39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 20
OPP 39
-11
64.1%
Kyle Allen sacked by Marquis Haynes for a loss of 11 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 31
50
+2
64.1%
James White run for 2 yds to the Miss 48Similar
Q1 10:23
3RD & 29
OPP 48
0
64.2%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Speedy NoilSimilar
Q1 10:11
4TH & 29
OPP 48
0
64.4%
Drew Kaser punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Collins Moore at the Miss 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 2MISSED FG
15 plays · 67 yds · 4:2664% → 64%
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-3
64.3%
OLE MISS Penalty, False Start (Aaron Morris) to the Miss 3Similar
Q1 10:09
1ST & 13
OWN 3
-1
64.2%
Chad Kelly run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 2Similar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 14
OWN 2
+10
64.2%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Evan Engram for 10 yds to the Miss 12Similar
Q1 9:21
3RD & 4
OWN 12
+9
63.9%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Damore'ea Stringfellow for 9 yds to the Miss 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
64.1%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Quincy Adeboyejo for 5 yds to the Miss 26Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+4
64.2%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Damore'ea Stringfellow for 4 yds to the Miss 30Similar
Q1 8:23
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+9
64.1%
Jordan Wilkins run for 9 yds to the Miss 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
64.4%
Kelly, Chad pass incomplete to Treadwell, Laquon, PENALTY TEXASAM pass interference (Harris, De'Vante) 15 yards to the TEXASAM46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OLEMISS.Similar
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
64.8%
Jaylen Walton run for no gain to the TexAM 46Similar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+10
64.7%
Kelly, Chad pass incomplete to Pack, Markell, PENALTY TEXASAM holding (Wilson, Donovan) 10 yards to the TEXASAM36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OLEMISS.Similar
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
64.7%
Jaylen Walton run for no gain to the TexAM 36Similar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-5
64.7%
OLE MISS Penalty, False Start (Aaron Morris) to the TexAM 41Similar
Q1 6:49
2ND & 15
OPP 41
+7
64.4%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Quincy Adeboyejo for 7 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q1 6:17
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+7
64.6%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Quincy Adeboyejo for 7 yds to the TexAM 27Similar
Q1 5:45
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+44
64.2%
Gary Wunderlich 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1437% → 36%
Q1 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
63.5%
Christian Kirk run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 25Similar
Q1 5:17
2ND & 12
OWN 25
+5
63.6%
Tra Carson run for 5 yds to the TexAM 30Similar
Q1 4:47
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+2
63.7%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Tra Carson for 2 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
Q1 4:30
4TH & 5
OWN 32
0
64.1%
Drew Kaser punt for 47 yds , Collins Moore returns for no gain to the Miss 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 4TD
6 plays · 79 yds · 1:5664% → 69%
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+44
63.6%
Jaylen Walton run for 29 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down TEXAS A&M Penalty, Personal Foul (Armani Watts) to the TexAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
65.0%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Laquon Treadwell for 6 yds to the TexAM 29Similar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+3
65.0%
Jaylen Walton run for 3 yds to the TexAM 26Similar
Q1 3:33
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+15
64.6%
Chad Kelly run for 3 yds to the TexAM 23 for a 1ST down TEXAS A&M Penalty, Face Mask (12 yards) (Daeshon Hall) to the TexAM 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
65.1%
Chad Kelly run for 4 yds to the TexAM 7Similar
Q1 2:33
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+7
68.9%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Evan Engram for 7 yds for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 2:3933% → 33%
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
67.4%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 20Similar
Q1 2:31
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+9
67.5%
James White run for 9 yds to the TexAM 29Similar
Q1 1:59
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
67.2%
Kyle Allen run for 1 yd to the TexAM 30Similar
Q1 1:39
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+11
67.7%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 11 yds to the TexAM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
67.0%
James White run for 2 yds to the TexAM 43Similar
Q1 0:41
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+7
67.2%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Tra Carson for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
50
0
66.7%
Tra Carson run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 1
50
0
67.3%
Drew Kaser punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Collins Moore at the Miss 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 6FG
13 plays · 69 yds · 3:1568% → 70%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+13
68.3%
Akeem Judd run for 13 yds to the Miss 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
68.5%
Kelly, Chad pass incomplete to Core, Cody, PENALTY OLEMISS holding (Tunsil, Laremy) 10 yards to the OLEMISS10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:27
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+8
68.4%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Jaylen Walton for 8 yds to the Miss 18Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+22
68.4%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Laquon Treadwell for 22 yds to the Miss 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
69.6%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Markell Pack for 7 yds to the Miss 47Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+8
69.9%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Markell Pack for 8 yds to the TexAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
70.1%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Defensive Offside (Daylon Mack) to the TexAM 40Similar
Q2 13:08
1ST & 5
OPP 40
0
70.1%
Chad Kelly pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+9
70.2%
Jordan Wilkins run for 9 yds to the TexAM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
70.4%
Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Damore'ea StringfellowSimilar
Q2 12:31
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-6
70.4%
Chad Kelly sacked by Zaycoven Henderson for a loss of 6 yards to the TexAM 37Similar
Q2 12:06
3RD & 16
OPP 37
+13
69.2%
Chad Kelly run for 13 yds to the TexAM 24Similar
Q2 11:36
4TH & 3
OPP 24
+41
70.2%
Gary Wunderlich 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 7FUMBLE
6 plays · 13 yds · 2:0530% → 30%
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
70.5%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Tra Carson for 1 yd to the TexAM 26Similar
Q2 10:59
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-2
70.7%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Tra Carson for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 24Similar
Q2 10:29
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+13
71.7%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 13 yds to the TexAM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
70.4%
Tra Carson run for 3 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+5
70.5%
Tra Carson run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 33 Tra Carson fumbled, recovered by Miss C.J. Johnson , return for 5 yds to the TexAM 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 8FG
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:2673% → 78%
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
72.5%
Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Quincy AdeboyejoSimilar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+1
72.5%
Jaylen Walton run for 1 yd to the TexAM 32Similar
Q2 8:51
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+17
71.9%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Laquon Treadwell for 17 yds to the TexAM 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
72.8%
Jaylen Walton run for no gain to the TexAM 15Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+1
73.4%
Jaylen Walton run for 1 yd to the TexAM 14Similar
Q2 7:43
3RD & 9
OPP 14
0
73.0%
Chad Kelly run for no gain to the TexAM 14Similar
Q2 7:05
4TH & 9
OPP 14
+30
78.2%
Gary Wunderlich 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 44 yds · 0:5223% → 23%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+44
77.2%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 44 yds to the Miss 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
76.0%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to James WhiteSimilar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
76.4%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Damion RatleySimilar
Q2 6:19
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
76.9%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Ricky Seals-JonesSimilar
Q2 6:08
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
77.5%
Drew Kaser punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Collins Moore at the Miss 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 10INT
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:0479% → 80%
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
78.9%
Jaylen Walton run for 6 yds to the Miss 20Similar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+10
79.1%
Jaylen Walton run for 10 yds to the Miss 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
79.3%
Jaylen Walton run for 1 yd to the Miss 31Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+10
79.5%
Kelly, Chad pass incomplete to Pack, Markell, PENALTY TEXASAM holding (Harris, De'Vante) 10 yards to the OLEMISS41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OLEMISS.Similar
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
80.4%
Akeem Judd run for 14 yds to the TexAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
80.7%
Akeem Judd run for 2 yds to the TexAM 43Similar
Q2 4:19
2ND & 8
OPP 43
-15
80.8%
Kelly, Chad pass complete to Adeboyejo, Quincy for 43 yards to the TEXASAM0, PENALTY OLEMISS personal foul (Still, Ben) 15 yards to the OLEMISS42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 23
OWN 42
+4
80.4%
Chad Kelly pass intercepted Myles Garrett return for 4 yds to the Miss 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 11FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3624% → 26%
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
76.2%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Josh ReynoldsSimilar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+8
76.3%
James White run for 8 yds to the Miss 25Similar
Q2 3:31
3RD & 2
OPP 25
-1
77.0%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Speedy Noil for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 26Similar
Q2 2:27
4TH & 3
OPP 26
+44
74.0%
Taylor Bertolet 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 12FUMBLE
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:3675% → 74%
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
75.3%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Quincy Adeboyejo for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 24Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
75.2%
Chad Kelly pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
74.2%
Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Evan EngramSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 13FUMBLE
1 play · 10 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+10
77.5%
Jordan Wilkins run for 10 yds to the TexAM 14 Jordan Wilkins fumbled, forced by Armani Watts, recovered by TexAM Armani WattsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 14INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-2
75.3%
Kyle Allen pass intercepted Kendarius Webster return for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 15END OF HALF
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:1278% → 80%
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
77.9%
Jaylen Walton run for 11 yds to the TexAM 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
78.1%
Jaylen Walton run for 8 yds to the TexAM 5Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+1
78.2%
Jaylen Walton run for 1 yd to the TexAM 4Similar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 1
OPP 4
0
76.3%
Chad Kelly run for no gain to the TexAM 4Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 4
+22
79.8%
Gary Wunderlich 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:0082% → 81%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
81.8%
Jaylen Walton run for a loss of 10 yards to the Miss 15 Jaylen Walton fumbled, forced by Myles Garrett, recovered by Miss Jaylen WaltonSimilar
Q3 14:31
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+15
81.6%
Jaylen Walton run for 15 yds to the Miss 30Similar
Q3 14:13
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
81.6%
Chad Kelly pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
81.3%
Will Gleeson punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:3619% → 18%
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
80.6%
Tra Carson run for 9 yds to the TexAM 36Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 1
OWN 36
0
79.7%
Kyle Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:29
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+2
80.1%
Tra Carson run for 2 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
80.3%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Speedy NoilSimilar
Q3 12:59
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+4
80.7%
Tra Carson run for 4 yds to the TexAM 42Similar
Q3 12:37
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
81.0%
Kyle Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:24
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
81.7%
Drew Kaser punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Miss 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:5884% → 84%
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
83.7%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Evan Engram for 9 yds to the Miss 31Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 1
OWN 31
0
84.3%
Jaylen Walton run for no gain to the Miss 31Similar
Q3 11:17
3RD & 1
OWN 31
-6
83.7%
Jordan Wilkins run for a loss of 6 yards to the Miss 25Similar
Q3 10:26
4TH & 7
OWN 25
0
83.7%
Gary Wunderlich punt for 73 yds, downed at the TexAM 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2716% → 15%
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
84.2%
Kyle Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 10
OWN 2
0
84.4%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Christian KirkSimilar
Q3 10:15
3RD & 10
OWN 2
0
84.7%
Kyle Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:59
4TH & 10
OWN 2
+6
85.1%
Drew Kaser punt for 64 yds , Collins Moore returns for 6 yds to the Miss 8 OLE MISS Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Miss 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 20TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 0:4385% → 95%
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
85.3%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Evan Engram for 9 yds to the Miss 39Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+3
86.1%
Akeem Judd run for 3 yds to the Miss 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
86.2%
Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Damore'ea StringfellowSimilar
Q3 9:16
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+58
95.4%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Laquon Treadwell for 58 yds for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:496% → 5%
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
94.3%
James White run for 1 yd to the TexAM 25Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 9
OWN 25
0
94.5%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Christian KirkSimilar
Q3 8:41
3RD & 9
OWN 25
0
94.6%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Josh ReynoldsSimilar
Q3 8:26
4TH & 9
OWN 25
+2
94.9%
Drew Kaser punt for 49 yds , Collins Moore returns for 2 yds to the Miss 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:5396% → 96%
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
95.7%
Akeem Judd run for 6 yds to the Miss 34Similar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+8
95.6%
Akeem Judd run for 8 yds to the Miss 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
95.8%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Quincy Adeboyejo for 3 yds to the Miss 45Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+4
96.1%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Markell Pack for 4 yds to the Miss 49Similar
Q3 6:41
3RD & 3
OWN 49
0
96.1%
Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Cody CoreSimilar
Q3 6:31
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
95.9%
Will Gleeson punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Christian Kirk at the TexAM 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:515% → 4%
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
95.5%
Tra Carson run for 2 yds to the TexAM 11Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 8
OWN 11
0
95.5%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Ricky Seals-JonesSimilar
Q3 5:51
3RD & 8
OWN 11
0
95.6%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Damion RatleySimilar
Q3 5:40
4TH & 8
OWN 11
0
95.7%
Drew Kaser punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Miss 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 24INT
10 plays · 25 yds · 2:1696% → 97%
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
96.4%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Damore'ea Stringfellow for 9 yds to the Miss 47Similar
Q3 5:29
2ND & 1
OWN 47
-5
96.5%
OLE MISS Penalty, False Start (Aaron Morris) to the Miss 42Similar
Q3 5:18
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+2
96.5%
Jaylen Walton run for 2 yds to the Miss 44Similar
Q3 4:53
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+6
96.7%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Markell Pack for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
50
+8
96.7%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Quincy Adeboyejo for 8 yds to the TexAM 42Similar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+5
96.9%
Jaylen Walton run for 5 yds to the TexAM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
96.9%
Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Quincy AdeboyejoSimilar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
96.9%
Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Damore'ea StringfellowSimilar
Q3 3:24
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+10
96.9%
Chad Kelly pass intercepted Armani Watts return for 10 yds to the TexAM 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:254% → 3%
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
96.0%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Christian KirkSimilar
Q3 3:17
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
96.1%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Damion RatleySimilar
Q3 3:11
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
96.7%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Ricky Seals-JonesSimilar
Q3 2:59
4TH & 10
OWN 36
+3
96.8%
Drew Kaser punt for 57 yds , Collins Moore returns for 3 yds to the Miss 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 27 yds · 2:2997% → 98%
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
96.9%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Quincy Adeboyejo for 6 yds to the Miss 16Similar
Q3 2:29
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+22
97.2%
Jordan Wilkins run for 22 yds to the Miss 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
96.5%
Jordan Wilkins run for 3 yds to the Miss 41Similar
Q3 1:14
2ND & 7
OWN 41
-4
98.0%
Jordan Wilkins run for a loss of 4 yards to the Miss 37Similar
Q3 0:41
3RD & 11
OWN 37
0
98.0%
Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Markell PackSimilar
Q3 0:30
4TH & 11
OWN 37
0
97.8%
Gary Wunderlich punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Christian Kirk at the TexAM 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 1:382% → 2%
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
97.6%
James White run for 5 yds to the TexAM 21Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+4
97.8%
James White run for 4 yds to the TexAM 25Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+1
97.7%
Tra Carson run for 1 yd to the TexAM 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
97.8%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Tra Carson for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 24Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 12
OWN 24
0
98.1%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Speedy NoilSimilar
Q4 14:03
3RD & 12
OWN 24
0
98.4%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Speedy NoilSimilar
Q4 13:52
4TH & 12
OWN 24
+8
98.4%
Drew Kaser punt for 60 yds , Collins Moore returns for 8 yds to the Miss 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 28PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 3:1498% → 99%
Q4 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
98.4%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Laquon Treadwell for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 23Similar
Q4 13:04
2ND & 11
OWN 23
+8
98.5%
Chad Kelly run for 8 yds to the Miss 31Similar
Q4 12:37
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+12
98.6%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Jaylen Walton for 12 yds to the Miss 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
98.8%
Jaylen Walton run for 1 yd to the Miss 44Similar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 9
OWN 44
-1
98.8%
Jordan Wilkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 43Similar
Q4 10:59
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
98.9%
Chad Kelly pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:38
4TH & 10
OWN 43
0
98.8%
Gary Wunderlich punt for 49 yds, downed at the TexAM 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 29DOWNS
11 plays · 43 yds · 3:471% → 1%
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
98.8%
Jake Hubenak pass complete to Tra Carson for 1 yd to the TexAM 9Similar
Q4 10:13
2ND & 9
OWN 9
-4
98.9%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the TexAM 5Similar
Q4 10:01
2ND & 13
OWN 5
-2
98.9%
Hubenak, Jake pass complete to Seals-Jones, Ricky for 4 yards to the TEXASAM9, PENALTY TEXASAM personal foul (Gennesy, Avery) 2 yards to the TEXASAM3, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:49
2ND & 15
OWN 3
+7
98.9%
Jake Hubenak pass complete to Christian Kirk for 7 yds to the TexAM 10Similar
Q4 9:29
3RD & 8
OWN 10
+9
98.9%
Jake Hubenak pass complete to Christian Kirk for 9 yds to the TexAM 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
98.9%
Tra Carson run for 3 yds to the TexAM 22Similar
Q4 8:41
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+20
98.9%
Jake Hubenak pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 20 yds to the TexAM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
98.8%
Jake Hubenak pass complete to Tra Carson for 2 yds to the TexAM 44Similar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+7
98.9%
Jake Hubenak pass complete to Speedy Noil for 7 yds to the Miss 49Similar
Q4 7:26
3RD & 1
OPP 49
0
98.9%
James White run for no gain to the Miss 49Similar
Q4 6:51
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
99.0%
James White run for no gain to the Miss 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 30INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.2%
Chad Kelly pass intercepted Donovan Wilson return for no gain to the TexAM 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 31DOWNS
8 plays · 16 yds · 1:071% → 1%
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
99.1%
Jake Hubenak sacked by Marquis Haynes for a loss of 9 yards to the TexAM 17 Jake Hubenak fumbled, forced by Marquis Haynes, recovered by TexAM James White , return for 0 yards, OLE MISS Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the TexAM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.3%
Jake Hubenak pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+15
99.3%
Hubenak, Jake pass incomplete to Noil, Speedy, PENALTY OLEMISS face mask 15 yards to the TEXASAM47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASAM.Similar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.3%
Jake Hubenak pass incomplete to Christian KirkSimilar
Q4 5:49
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
99.3%
Jake Hubenak pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:48
3RD & 10
OWN 47
-5
99.3%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 42Similar
Q4 5:43
3RD & 15
OWN 42
0
99.3%
Jake Hubenak pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:35
4TH & 15
OWN 42
0
99.4%
Jake Hubenak pass incomplete to Ricky Seals-JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 32END OF GAME
13 plays · 26 yds · 5:3599% → 100%
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
99.4%
Akeem Judd run for 3 yds to the TexAM 39Similar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+6
99.4%
Akeem Judd run for 6 yds to the TexAM 33Similar
Q4 4:21
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+7
99.4%
Akeem Judd run for 7 yds to the TexAM 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
99.5%
Akeem Judd run for 4 yds to the TexAM 22Similar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+2
99.5%
Akeem Judd run for 2 yds to the TexAM 20Similar
Q4 2:59
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+13
99.5%
Jaylen Walton run for 13 yds to the TexAM 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
99.6%
Chad Kelly run for 2 yds to the TexAM 5Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
99.7%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Markell Pack for 2 yds to the TexAM 3 for a 1ST down TEXAS A&M Penalty, Personal Foul (2 Yards) to the TexAM 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.7%
Jaylen Walton run for no gain to the TexAM 1Similar
Q4 0:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.7%
Jaylen Walton run for no gain to the TexAM 1Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-15
99.7%
Akeem Judd run for no gain to the TexAM 1 OLE MISS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the TexAM 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:16
Chad Kelly pass complete to Laquon Treadwell for 58 yds for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK)
+9.2
FG · Q2 7:05
Gary Wunderlich 30 yd FG GOOD
+5.1
FG · Q2 0:00
Gary Wunderlich 22 yd FG GOOD
+4.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com