Try the model
WKU

Western Kentucky 20 at LSU 48

LSU
2015 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2015 · Tiger Stadium (LA)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · LSU
modelLSU aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playLSU scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 14:17 · Jake Collins punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Donte Jackson at the LSU 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Pregame prior+38.7Home team on offense+0.0Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Blowout margin+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:25: Darrel Williams 2 Yd Run (Trent Domingue Kick) — LSU win probability +5.7 pts (now 88%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:36: Antwane Grant 39 Yd pass from Brandon Doughty (Garrett Schwettman PAT failed) — WKU win probability +9.0 pts (now 24%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q3 5:54: Leonard Fournette 1 Yd Run (Trent Domingue Kick) — LSU win probability +5.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:06: Tyron Johnson 61 Yd pass from Brandon Harris (Trent Domingue Kick) — LSU win probability +4.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:04: Taywan Taylor 9 Yd pass from Brandon Doughty (Garrett Schwettman Kick) — WKU win probability +5.3 pts (now 7%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6WKU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 14:17WKU 4th & 5 at WKU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:06WKU 4th & 24 at WKU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:53LSU 4th & 4 at LSU 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.9%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:53WKU 4th & 18 at LSU 30, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.9%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    14.2%
    56% to make
    Punt
    14.0%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:28LSU 4th & 24 at LSU 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.0%−0.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.9%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:43WKU 4th & 10 at WKU 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:22LSU 4th & 6 at LSU 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.2%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:22LSU 4th & 21 at WKU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.1%−0.9
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    78.5%−0.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    79.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:31WKU 4th & 5 at LSU 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.8%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:26LSU 4th & 8 at WKU 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.5%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.1%
    80% to make
    Punt
    78.6%−4.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:42LSU 4th & 4 at WKU 26, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 79.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.9%−0.4
    64% to make
    Punt
    73.3%−6.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:00WKU 4th & 2 at LSU 28, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%−0.3
    60% to make
    Punt
    -0.4%−1.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:45WKU 4th & 6 at midfield, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.9%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:39WKU 4th & 10 at LSU 26, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6WKU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:13LSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:55WKU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:25LSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:36WKU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    22.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:54LSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:06LSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:04WKU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:46LSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:49LSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:3311% → 11%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
89.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 5 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q1 14:35
2ND & 5
OWN 27
0
88.9%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
Q1 14:30
3RD & 5
OWN 27
0
88.9%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Nicholas NorrisSimilar
Q1 14:17
4TH & 5
OWN 27
0
88.9%
Jake Collins punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Donte Jackson at the LSU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 2TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:0489% → 89%
Q1 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
88.9%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Illegal Formation (5 Yards) to the LSU 30Similar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
88.8%
Leonard Fournette run for 9 yds to the LSU 39Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 1
OWN 39
0
88.7%
Leonard Fournette run for no gain to the LSU 39Similar
Q1 13:15
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+3
88.6%
Leonard Fournette run for 3 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
88.5%
Leonard Fournette run for 3 yds to the LSU 45Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+55
88.8%
Malachi Dupre 55 Yd pass from Brandon Harris (Trent Domingue Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 2:0411% → 12%
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
88.7%
Anthony Wales run for 8 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+6
88.5%
Anthony Wales run for 6 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-4
88.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for a loss of 4 yards to the WKent 41Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 14
OWN 41
0
88.5%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 14
OWN 41
-10
88.5%
Brandon Doughty sacked by Deion Jones for a loss of 10 yards to the WKent 31Similar
Q1 10:06
4TH & 24
OWN 31
0
88.5%
Jake Collins punt for 49 yds, downed at the LSU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:1389% → 88%
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
88.5%
LSU Penalty, False Start (Jerald Hawkins) to the LSU 15Similar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+1
88.5%
Leonard Fournette run for 1 yd to the LSU 16Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 14
OWN 16
+10
88.2%
Leonard Fournette run for 10 yds to the LSU 26Similar
Q1 8:45
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
88.2%
Leonard Fournette run for no gain to the LSU 26Similar
Q1 7:53
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
87.9%
Jamie Keehn punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5DOWNS
10 plays · 51 yds · 2:4212% → 12%
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+17
88.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
50
+9
87.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 9 yds to the LSU 41Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+8
87.6%
D'Andre Ferby run for 8 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
87.3%
D'Andre Ferby run for 1 yd to the LSU 32Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+10
87.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 10 yds to the LSU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
87.1%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared DangerfieldSimilar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
87.2%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared DangerfieldSimilar
Q1 5:05
3RD & 10
OPP 22
-8
87.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Anthony Wales for a loss of 8 yards Anthony Wales fumbled, forced by Kendell Beckwith, recovered by WKent Anthony WalesSimilar
Q1 4:53
4TH & 18
OPP 30
+14
87.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 14 yds to the LSU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 3:1788% → 87%
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
87.9%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Malachi DupreSimilar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+4
87.8%
Leonard Fournette run for 4 yds to the LSU 20Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 6
OWN 20
+8
87.7%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Travin Dural for 8 yds to the LSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
87.8%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Malachi Dupre for 6 yds to the LSU 34Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+5
87.9%
Darrel Williams run for 5 yds to the LSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
87.8%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Travin DuralSimilar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
87.7%
Brandon Harris run for 1 yd to the LSU 40Similar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 9
OWN 40
-15
87.5%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Tyron Johnson, broken up by Prince Charles Iworah LSU Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Ethan Pocic) to the LSU 25Similar
Q1 1:28
4TH & 24
OWN 25
0
87.0%
Jamie Keehn punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:4213% → 13%
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
87.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 11 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
86.7%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:56
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
86.8%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Antwane Grant, broken up by Dwayne ThomasSimilar
Q1 0:52
3RD & 10
OWN 46
0
87.0%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared DangerfieldSimilar
Q1 0:43
4TH & 10
OWN 46
0
87.4%
Jake Collins punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Donte Jackson at the LSU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:1387% → 87%
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+18
87.2%
Leonard Fournette run for 18 yds to the LSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-4
87.3%
Leonard Fournette run for a loss of 4 yards to the LSU 22Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 14
OWN 22
+12
87.3%
Leonard Fournette run for 12 yds to the LSU 34Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+1
87.4%
Darrel Williams run for 1 yd to the LSU 35Similar
Q2 13:31
4TH & 1
OWN 35
-5
87.0%
LSU Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the LSU 30Similar
Q2 13:22
4TH & 6
OWN 30
+8
86.7%
Jamie Keehn punt for 40 yds , Kylen Towner returns for 8 yds to the WKent 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9TD
10 plays · 62 yds · 2:0513% → 19%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
87.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 9 yds to the WKent 47Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+3
86.5%
Anthony Wales run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
50
0
86.3%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Antwane GrantSimilar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 10
50
0
86.7%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Nicholas Norris, broken up by Jalen MillsSimilar
Q2 12:18
3RD & 10
50
+12
86.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 12 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
86.1%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+35
86.0%
D'Andre Ferby run for 35 yds to the LSU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-4
85.4%
D'Andre Ferby run for a loss of 4 yards to the LSU 7Similar
Q2 10:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
81.3%
Anthony Wales 7 Yd pass from Brandon Doughty (Garrett Schwettman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 2:2384% → 82%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
84.1%
LSU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LSU 38Similar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+6
83.4%
Leonard Fournette run for 6 yds to the LSU 44Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+7
83.8%
Leonard Fournette run for 7 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q2 9:30
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+15
83.9%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Leverick Johnson) to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-11
84.4%
Brandon Harris sacked by Tj McCollum for a loss of 11 yards to the WKent 45Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 21
OPP 45
0
83.3%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Derrius GuiceSimilar
Q2 8:29
3RD & 21
OPP 45
0
82.8%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Malachi DupreSimilar
Q2 8:22
4TH & 21
OPP 45
0
82.1%
Jamie Keehn punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 46 yds · 3:4118% → 22%
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
81.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 3 yds to the WKent 9Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 7
OWN 9
+1
81.7%
D'Andre Ferby run for 1 yd to the WKent 10Similar
Q2 7:16
3RD & 6
OWN 10
+9
81.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 9 yds to the WKent 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
80.7%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Tim GorskiSimilar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+10
80.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 10 yds to the WKent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+18
80.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 18 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
78.7%
D'Andre Ferby run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 46Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 11
OWN 46
0
79.1%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
Q2 5:18
3RD & 11
OWN 46
+6
79.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Anthony Wales for 6 yds to the LSU 48Similar
Q2 4:31
4TH & 5
OPP 48
0
77.8%
Jake Collins punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 12TD
8 plays · 96 yds · 2:4280% → 88%
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
80.4%
Leonard Fournette run for 3 yds to the LSU 7Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+67
80.2%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Travin Dural for 67 yds to the WKent 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
82.7%
Leonard Fournette run for 3 yds to the WKent 23Similar
Q2 2:38
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+11
82.4%
Leonard Fournette run for 11 yds to the WKent 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
81.9%
Brandon Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 13 Brandon Harris fumbled, recovered by LSU Brandon HarrisSimilar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 11
OPP 13
+11
81.8%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Prince Charles Iworah) to the WKent 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
87.5%
Darrel Williams 2 Yd Run (Trent Domingue Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:1613% → 13%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
86.7%
Anthony Wales run for 5 yds to the WKent 25Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
86.4%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Anthony WalesSimilar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+1
86.9%
Anthony Wales run for 1 yd to the WKent 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
86.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 15FG
11 plays · 44 yds · 4:1986% → 87%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
85.7%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Leonard FournetteSimilar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+3
85.4%
Leonard Fournette run for 3 yds to the LSU 42Similar
Q3 13:35
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+28
85.0%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Travin Dural for 28 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
86.1%
Brandon Harris run for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 35Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 15
OPP 35
+12
85.3%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Travin Dural for 12 yds to the WKent 23Similar
Q3 11:45
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+4
85.7%
Leonard Fournette run for 4 yds to the WKent 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
86.3%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Bry'Kiethon Mouton for 5 yds to the WKent 14Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 5
OPP 14
-3
86.3%
Derrius Guice run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 17 Derrius Guice fumbled, recovered by LSU Derrius GuiceSimilar
Q3 10:55
3RD & 8
OPP 17
0
85.6%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Travin DuralSimilar
Q3 10:26
4TH & 8
OPP 17
+34
87.4%
Trent Domingue 34 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 16TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 1:4913% → 24%
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
86.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 7 yds to the WKent 41Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+5
86.2%
Anthony Wales run for 5 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
86.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 9 yds to the LSU 45Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+6
85.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 6 yds to the LSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
76.4%
Antwane Grant 39 Yd pass from Brandon Doughty (Garrett Schwettman PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 17FUMBLE
7 plays · 38 yds · 1:1781% → 86%
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
81.2%
Leonard Fournette run for 6 yds to the LSU 42Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+26
82.6%
Leonard Fournette run for 11 yds to the WESTERNKY 47 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul (Branden Leston) to the WKent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
83.1%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Colin JeterSimilar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+6
83.0%
Darrel Williams run for 6 yds to the WKent 26Similar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 4
OPP 26
0
82.1%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Travin DuralSimilar
Q3 6:42
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+43
85.9%
Trent Domingue 43 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 18TD
4 plays · 24 yds · 0:2188% → 93%
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-3
87.6%
Leonard Fournette run for 7 yds to the WKent 17 LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the WKent 27Similar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 13
OPP 27
+26
87.5%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Malachi Dupre for 25 yds to the WKent 2 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul (Dejon Brown) to the WKent 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.3%
Leonard Fournette 1 Yd Run (Trent Domingue Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19INT
8 plays · 39 yds · 1:529% → 9%
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
91.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 7 yds to the WKent 25Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+2
90.9%
Anthony Wales run for 2 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q3 4:20
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+14
91.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tim Gorski for 14 yds to the WKent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+16
91.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 16 yds to the LSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
90.8%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
91.0%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Antwane GrantSimilar
Q3 3:43
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+7
91.3%
Brandon Doughty pass intercepted Jamal Adams return for 7 yds to the LSU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 20TD
3 plays · 55 yds · 1:2494% → 98%
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
93.7%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Leonard Fournette for 2 yds to the LSU 47Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 8
OWN 47
-8
93.7%
Brandon Harris run for a loss of 8 yards to the LSU 39Similar
Q3 2:06
3RD & 16
OWN 39
+61
98.2%
Tyron Johnson 61 Yd pass from Brandon Harris (Trent Domingue Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21TD
13 plays · 65 yds · 3:562% → 7%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
98.0%
Anthony Wales run for 9 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+9
97.9%
Anthony Wales run for 9 yds to the LSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
98.1%
Anthony Wales run for 1 yd to the LSU 46Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+10
98.2%
LSU Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the LSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
98.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 6 yds to the LSU 30Similar
Q3 0:01
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+3
98.2%
Anthony Wales run for 3 yds to the LSU 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 27
-1
98.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to D'Andre Ferby for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 28Similar
Q4 14:00
4TH & 2
OPP 28
+4
98.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 4 yds to the LSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
98.6%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+15
98.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 15 yds to the LSU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
93.4%
Taywan Taylor 9 Yd pass from Brandon Doughty (Garrett Schwettman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 22DOWNS
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:156% → 5%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-14
94.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nacarius Fant for a loss of 9 yards to the WKent 37 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (Nacarius Fant) to the WKent 32Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 24
OWN 32
+16
94.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 16 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+2
94.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:45
4TH & 6
50
0
94.9%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared DangerfieldSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 23TD
6 plays · 50 yds · 2:3996% → 99%
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
50
+6
96.3%
Leonard Fournette run for 6 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+10
96.6%
Leonard Fournette run for 10 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
96.6%
Leonard Fournette run for 15 yds to the WKent 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
96.9%
Leonard Fournette run for 1 yd to the WKent 18Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+1
96.9%
Darrel Williams run for 1 yd to the WKent 17Similar
Q4 8:46
3RD & 8
OPP 17
+17
99.3%
Travin Dural 17 Yd pass from Brandon Harris (Trent Domingue Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 24DOWNS
14 plays · 49 yds · 4:011% → 1%
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 6 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
99.1%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+12
99.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 12 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-10
99.1%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive Holding (Joe Manley) to the WKent 33Similar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 20
OWN 33
+2
99.2%
Anthony Wales run for 2 yds to the WKent 35Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 18
OWN 35
+13
99.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 13 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q4 6:10
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+6
99.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 6 yds to the LSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
99.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tim Gorski for 5 yds to the LSU 41Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+15
99.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 15 yds to the LSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
99.3%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Nicholas NorrisSimilar
Q4 4:51
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
99.3%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared DangerfieldSimilar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 10
OPP 26
0
99.4%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Nicholas NorrisSimilar
Q4 4:39
4TH & 10
OPP 26
0
99.4%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 25TD
5 plays · 74 yds · 2:31100% → 100%
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
99.5%
Nick Brossette run for 10 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
99.5%
Nick Brossette run for 7 yds to the LSU 43Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+6
99.6%
Nick Brossette run for 6 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
99.6%
Derrius Guice run for 4 yds to the WKent 47Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+47
100.0%
Derrius Guice 47 Yd Run (Trent Domingue Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 26END OF GAME
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:440% → 0%
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
100.0%
Anthony Davis run for 9 yds to the WKent 28 Anthony Davis fumbled, recovered by WKentSimilar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+6
100.0%
Darmontre Warr run for 6 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
100.0%
Darmontre Warr run for 2 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+2
100.0%
Darmontre Warr run for 2 yds to the WKent 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:36
Antwane Grant 39 Yd pass from Brandon Doughty (Garrett Schwettman PAT failed)
-9
TD · Q2 1:25
Darrel Williams 2 Yd Run (Trent Domingue Kick)
+5.7
TD · Q3 5:54
Leonard Fournette 1 Yd Run (Trent Domingue Kick)
+5.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com