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TENN

Tennessee 14 at Alabama 19

ALA
2015 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2015 · Bryant-Denny Stadium
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Win probability · ALA
modelALA aheadTENN aheadconfidence bandkey playALA scoreTENN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:12 · JK Scott punt for 46 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 43Pregame prior+23.2Home team on offense+0.2Garbage-time factor−0.2Score differential−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Blowout margin−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q4 7:08: Adam Griffith 28 yd FG GOOD — ALA win probability +10.0 pts (now 87%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 5:49: Jalen Hurd run for 12 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK) — TENN win probability +37.5 pts (now 64%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  3. SACK · Q4 5:25: Jake Coker sacked by Owen Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 27 — ALA win probability +9.3 pts (now 51%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:25: Derrick Henry run for 2 yds to the Tenn 42 — ALA win probability +7.3 pts (now 57%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  5. TD · Q4 2:24: Derrick Henry run for 14 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — ALA win probability +31.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ALA made the numbers' call on 5 of 6TENN made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 11:04TENN 4th & 16 at ALA 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.5%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    17.2%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:12ALA 4th & 20 at TENN 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.0%−0.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    78.2%−0.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:23TENN 4th & 16 at TENN 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%−1.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:56ALA 4th & 17 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.8%−0.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:23TENN 4th & 15 at TENN 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−1.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:41TENN 4th & 10 at TENN 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:50ALA 4th & 18 at ALA 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%−2.7
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:00ALA 4th & 2 at TENN 2, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.8%−2.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    60.6%−11.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:00TENN 4th & 9 at TENN 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−1.8
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:15ALA 4th & 17 at ALA 34, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.9%−4.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:06TENN 4th & 10 at ALA 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.1%
    49% to make
    Punt
    24.3%−1.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:08ALA 4th & 6 at TENN 11, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.3%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.5%
    87% to make
    Punt
    57.1%−17.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ALA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2TENN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 7:14ALA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:00TENN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 5:49TENN Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.2%−2.7
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:24ALA Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    81.8%−1.3
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    83.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TENNDrive 1MISSED FG
12 plays · 50 yds · 3:4820% → 21%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
79.9%
Jalen Hurd run for 2 yds to the Tenn 27Similar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
79.8%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Von Pearson for 10 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+17
79.7%
Joshua Dobbs run for 17 yds to the Alab 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
79.6%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Von Pearson for 5 yds to the Alab 41Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+8
79.5%
Joshua Dobbs run for 8 yds to the Alab 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-6
79.3%
Joshua Dobbs sacked by D.J. Pettway for a loss of 6 yards to the Alab 39Similar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 16
OPP 39
+20
79.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Alvin Kamara for 20 yds to the Alab 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
79.0%
Alvin Kamara run for no gain to the Alab 19Similar
Q1 11:53
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
78.9%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Marquez NorthSimilar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 10
OPP 19
-6
78.9%
Joshua Dobbs sacked by Reuben Foster for a loss of 6 yards to the Alab 25Similar
Q1 11:04
4TH & 16
OPP 25
+43
79.0%
Aaron Medley 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 2TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:4679% → 80%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
78.9%
Derrick Henry run for 1 yd to the Alab 26Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
78.8%
Jake Coker pass complete to O.J. Howard for 4 yds to the Alab 30Similar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
78.6%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Defensive Holding (Emmanuel Moseley) to the Alab 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
78.9%
Derrick Henry run for 12 yds to the Tenn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-3
79.0%
ArDarius Stewart run for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 49Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 13
OWN 49
+15
78.6%
Jake Coker pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 15 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-4
78.7%
Kenyan Drake run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tenn 40Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 14
OPP 40
+13
78.4%
Jake Coker pass complete to O.J. Howard for 13 yds to the Tenn 27Similar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+7
78.4%
Kenyan Drake run for 7 yds to the Tenn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
80.4%
Derrick Henry run for 20 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 3TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:0520% → 25%
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
79.8%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Alvin Kamara for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 23Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+10
79.8%
Jalen Hurd run for 10 yds to the Tenn 33Similar
Q1 6:20
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+11
79.7%
Jalen Hurd run for 11 yds to the Tenn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
79.3%
Jalen Hurd run for 2 yds to the Tenn 46Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+18
79.2%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 18 yds to the Alab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
79.0%
Joshua Dobbs run for 11 yds to the Alab 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
78.6%
Joshua Dobbs run for 1 yd to the Alab 24Similar
Q1 4:03
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+11
78.5%
ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Ronnie Harrison) to the Alab 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
78.4%
Jalen Hurd run for 2 yds to the Alab 11Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 8
OPP 11
0
78.4%
Jalen Hurd run for no gain to the Alab 11Similar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 8
OPP 11
+11
75.4%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Smith for 11 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 2:3377% → 75%
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+16
76.6%
Jake Coker pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 16 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
77.3%
Derrick Henry run for 5 yds to the Tenn 46Similar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+10
77.4%
Jake Coker pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 10 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-2
77.3%
Derrick Henry run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 38Similar
Q1 0:51
2ND & 12
OPP 38
-8
77.0%
Jake Coker sacked by Jalen Reeves-Maybin for a loss of 8 yards to the Tenn 46Similar
Q1 0:20
3RD & 20
OPP 46
0
75.7%
Jake Coker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:12
4TH & 20
OPP 46
0
75.1%
JK Scott punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:4925% → 25%
Q1 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
74.8%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Dylan Wiesman) to the Tenn 15Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+3
74.8%
Jalen Hurd run for 3 yds to the Tenn 18Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 12
OWN 18
-7
74.9%
Joshua Dobbs sacked by A'Shawn Robinson and Daron Payne for a loss of 7 yards to the Tenn 11Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 19
OWN 11
+3
75.1%
Joshua Dobbs run for 3 yds to the Tenn 14Similar
Q2 13:23
4TH & 16
OWN 14
0
75.2%
Trevor Daniel punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 3:2275% → 73%
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
75.2%
Jake Coker pass complete to O.J. Howard for 5 yds to the Alab 38Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+8
75.9%
Derrick Henry run for 8 yds to the Alab 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
76.0%
Jake Coker pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 6 yds to the Tenn 48Similar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+1
76.1%
Derrick Henry run for 1 yd to the Tenn 47Similar
Q2 11:23
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+4
75.6%
Derrick Henry run for 4 yds to the Tenn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-7
75.9%
Jake Coker sacked by Corey Vereen for a loss of 7 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 17
50
0
74.6%
Jake Coker pass incomplete to Calvin RidleySimilar
Q2 10:07
3RD & 17
50
0
73.8%
Jake Coker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:56
4TH & 17
50
+3
73.3%
JK Scott punt for 41 yds , Cameron Sutton returns for 3 yds to the Tenn 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:2527% → 27%
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+12
72.6%
Alvin Kamara run for 12 yds to the Tenn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
72.3%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 19Similar
Q2 9:05
1ST & 15
OWN 19
0
72.3%
Alvin Kamara run for no gain to the Tenn 19Similar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 15
OWN 19
0
72.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Jauan JenningsSimilar
Q2 8:34
3RD & 15
OWN 19
0
72.9%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Josh SmithSimilar
Q2 8:23
4TH & 15
OWN 19
0
73.4%
Trevor Daniel punt for 41 yds, downed at the Alab 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 8INT
5 plays · 20 yds · 2:0975% → 73%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
74.7%
Derrick Henry run for 4 yds to the Alab 44Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+18
74.8%
Jake Coker pass complete to O.J. Howard for 18 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
75.0%
Jake Coker pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 3 yds to the Tenn 35Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 7
OPP 35
-5
75.3%
Jake Coker sacked by Derek Barnett for a loss of 5 yards to the Tenn 40Similar
Q2 6:06
3RD & 12
OPP 40
+1
73.2%
Jake Coker pass intercepted Brian Randolph return for 1 yd to the Tenn 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:1930% → 30%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
69.9%
Jalen Hurd run for 5 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
68.9%
Jalen Hurd run for no gain to the Tenn 30Similar
Q2 4:53
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
69.3%
Joshua Dobbs run for 6 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
68.2%
Joshua Dobbs run for no gain to the Tenn 36Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
68.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:48
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
69.4%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Jalen HurdSimilar
Q2 3:41
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
70.1%
Trevor Daniel punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Cyrus Jones at the Alab 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:4072% → 69%
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
71.6%
Kenyan Drake run for 7 yds to the Alab 28Similar
Q2 3:12
2ND & 3
OWN 28
-5
72.4%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Alab 23Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 8
OWN 23
0
70.9%
Jake Coker run for no gain to the Alab 23Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 8
OWN 23
-10
69.5%
Jake Coker pass complete to Kenyan Drake for 3 yds to the Alab 26 ALABAMA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Kenyan Drake) to the Alab 13Similar
Q2 1:50
4TH & 18
OWN 13
0
68.6%
JK Scott punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Alvin Kamara at the Tenn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 11DOWNS
11 plays · 36 yds · 1:4233% → 38%
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
67.0%
Jalen Hurd run for 1 yd to the Tenn 32Similar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 9
OWN 32
-5
67.2%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Chance Hall) to the Tenn 27Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 14
OWN 27
-2
67.8%
Joshua Dobbs run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 25Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 16
OWN 25
+29
68.3%
Jalen Hurd run for 29 yds to the Alab 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
63.6%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Ethan Wolf for 5 yds to the Alab 41Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 5
OPP 41
0
63.2%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Illegal Touching (Ethan Wolf) to the Alab 41Similar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+8
64.0%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Marquez North for 8 yds to the Alab 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+51
62.2%
Aaron Medley 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 12FG
14 plays · 73 yds · 5:5571% → 74%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
70.6%
Derrick Henry run for 4 yds to the Alab 29Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+12
70.8%
Derrick Henry run for 12 yds to the Alab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
72.0%
Derrick Henry run for 1 yd to the Alab 42Similar
Q3 13:10
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+4
71.2%
Derrick Henry run for 4 yds to the Alab 46Similar
Q3 12:25
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+11
70.9%
Jake Coker pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 11 yds to the Tenn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
72.2%
Jake Coker pass complete to Richard Mullaney for 13 yds to the Tenn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
72.9%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Ross Pierschbacher) to the Tenn 35Similar
Q3 11:19
1ST & 15
OPP 35
+1
71.5%
Jake Coker pass complete to O.J. Howard for 1 yd to the Tenn 34Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 14
OPP 34
+26
71.0%
Jake Coker pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 26 yds to the Tenn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
72.6%
Jake Coker pass complete to O.J. Howard for 7 yds to the Tenn 1Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
72.6%
Derrick Henry run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 2Similar
Q3 9:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
71.1%
Jake Coker pass incomplete to Calvin RidleySimilar
Q3 9:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
74.1%
Adam Griffith 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5029% → 27%
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
70.9%
Jalen Hurd run for 1 yd to the Tenn 34Similar
Q3 8:16
2ND & 9
OWN 34
0
70.7%
Joshua Dobbs pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:07
3RD & 9
OWN 34
0
72.2%
Joshua Dobbs pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:00
4TH & 9
OWN 34
0
73.1%
Trevor Daniel punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Cyrus Jones at the Alab 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 3:4073% → 70%
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
73.4%
Derrick Henry run for 3 yds to the Alab 34Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+7
73.4%
Derrick Henry run for 7 yds to the Alab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
74.7%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Brandon Greene) to the Alab 36Similar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 15
OWN 36
0
73.0%
Derrick Henry run for no gain to the Alab 36Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 15
OWN 36
-5
72.6%
Jake Coker sacked by Corey Vereen for a loss of 5 yards to the Alab 31Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 20
OWN 31
+3
70.5%
Derrick Henry run for 3 yds to the Alab 34Similar
Q3 4:15
4TH & 17
OWN 34
0
69.6%
JK Scott punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Cameron Sutton at the Tenn 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 15MISSED FG
13 plays · 57 yds · 4:5929% → 28%
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
71.2%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Alvin Kamara for 8 yds to the Tenn 18Similar
Q3 3:35
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+7
70.6%
Alvin Kamara run for 7 yds to the Tenn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
71.7%
Jalen Hurd run for 7 yds to the Tenn 32Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
69.1%
Jalen Hurd run for 2 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q3 2:18
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
70.3%
Jalen Hurd run for 2 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
70.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
70.5%
Joshua Dobbs run for 4 yds to the Tenn 40Similar
Q3 1:14
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+9
69.7%
Joshua Dobbs run for 9 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+18
66.8%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Alvin Kamara for 18 yds to the Alab 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
64.8%
Jalen Hurd run for 2 yds to the Alab 31Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 8
OPP 31
-2
64.6%
Joshua Dobbs run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 33Similar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 10
OPP 33
0
67.7%
Joshua Dobbs pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:06
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+51
71.8%
Aaron Medley 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 16FG
14 plays · 56 yds · 6:5275% → 87%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
74.7%
Jake Coker pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 4 yds to the Alab 37Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+7
76.0%
Jake Coker pass complete to O.J. Howard for 7 yds to the Alab 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
76.6%
Jake Coker run for 1 yd to the Alab 45Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+10
76.3%
Derrick Henry run for 10 yds to the Tenn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
77.6%
Derrick Henry run for 4 yds to the Tenn 41Similar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 6
OPP 41
-15
77.5%
ALABAMA Penalty, Illegal Block (Cam Robinson) to the Alab 44Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 21
OWN 44
+10
74.5%
Derrick Henry run for 10 yds to the Tenn 46Similar
Q4 10:10
3RD & 11
OPP 46
+15
75.5%
Jake Coker pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 15 yds to the Tenn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-10
78.9%
ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Tenn 41Similar
Q4 9:06
1ST & 20
OPP 41
+26
76.4%
Jake Coker pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 26 yds to the Tenn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
78.9%
Derrick Henry run for 5 yds to the Tenn 10Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 5
OPP 10
-1
78.9%
Derrick Henry run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 11Similar
Q4 7:13
3RD & 6
OPP 11
0
77.1%
Jake Coker pass incomplete to Richard MullaneySimilar
Q4 7:08
4TH & 6
OPP 11
+28
87.1%
Adam Griffith 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 17TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:1222% → 64%
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
78.5%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Smith for 27 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
73.5%
Alvin Kamara run for 2 yds to the Alab 46Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+34
73.7%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Malone for 34 yds to the Alab 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
36.2%
Jalen Hurd run for 12 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 18TD
10 plays · 71 yds · 3:0151% → 92%
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-2
51.3%
Jake Coker sacked by Owen Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 27Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 12
OWN 27
+29
49.8%
Jake Coker pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 29 yds to the Tenn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
57.1%
Derrick Henry run for 2 yds to the Tenn 42Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+2
56.7%
Derrick Henry run for 2 yds to the Tenn 40Similar
Q4 3:22
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+15
55.6%
Jake Coker pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 15 yds to the Tenn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
57.5%
Derrick Henry run for 6 yds to the Tenn 19Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+5
60.4%
Derrick Henry run for 5 yds to the Tenn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
92.1%
Derrick Henry run for 14 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 19FUMBLE
7 plays · -12 yds · 0:5815% → 11%
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
84.9%
Jalen Hurd run for 1 yd to the Tenn 26Similar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+9
84.9%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Malone for 9 yds to the Tenn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
83.3%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 30Similar
Q4 1:27
1ST & 15
OWN 30
-9
86.0%
Joshua Dobbs sacked by Jonathan Allen for a loss of 9 yards to the Tenn 21Similar
Q4 1:18
2ND & 24
OWN 21
+9
88.8%
Joshua Dobbs sacked by Ryan Anderson for a loss of 8 yards to the Tenn 4 Joshua Dobbs fumbled, forced by Ryan Anderson, recovered by Alab Ryan Anderson , return for 0 yards , return for 9 yds to the Tenn 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 20END OF GAME
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:4595% → 96%
Q4 1:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
95.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 5Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-4
95.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tenn 9Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
95.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:49
Jalen Hurd run for 12 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)
-37.5
TD · Q4 2:24
Derrick Henry run for 14 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+31.6
FG · Q4 7:08
Adam Griffith 28 yd FG GOOD
+10
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com