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VAN

Vanderbilt 17 at Middle Tennessee 13

MTSU
2015 · Week 5 · Oct 3, 2015 · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
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Win probability · MTSU
modelMTSU aheadVAN aheadconfidence bandkey playMTSU scoreVAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:51 · Trevor Owens punt for 33 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 26Pregame prior+8.0Home team on offense+0.3Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 12:26: Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 18 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK) — MTSU win probability +15.5 pts (now 86%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 6:14: Johnny McCrary run for 29 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK) — VAN win probability +24.0 pts (now 37%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 1:12: Ralph Webb run for 39 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK) — VAN win probability +58.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:12: Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Shane Tucker, broken up by Zach Cunningham — MTSU win probability +13.0 pts (now 23%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:37: TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the MTnSt 32 — VAN win probability +15.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MTSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10VAN made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 12:57MTSU 4th & 10 at VAN 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.3%
    62% to make
    Punt
    62.9%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:50VAN 4th & 5 at MTSU 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.4%
    72% to make
    Punt
    35.4%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:51MTSU 4th & 1 at MTSU 32, up 3
    Close callPunted · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.3%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:44VAN 4th & 2 at VAN 43, down 3
    Close callPunted · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.3%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:50MTSU 4th & 11 at MTSU 18, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.6%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.1%
    average punt
  6. Q1 5:09VAN 4th & 5 at MTSU 40, down 3
    Close callPunted · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    36.2%−0.3
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    36.3%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q1 3:27MTSU 4th & 10 at MTSU 12, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.4%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.2%
    average punt
  8. Q1 0:45VAN 4th & 3 at MTSU 22, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.6%−0.3
    72% to make
    Punt
    34.1%−2.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 12:42MTSU 4th & 8 at VAN 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.5%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.8%
    87% to make
    Punt
    60.3%−2.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 8:46MTSU 4th & 1 at VAN 1, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    62.3%−1.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    58.0%−6.0
    average punt
  11. Q2 6:09VAN 4th & 4 at MTSU 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    35.4%−1.5
    34% to make
    Punt
    35.6%−1.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:28MTSU 4th & 4 at VAN 49, up 3
    Close callPunted · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.2%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:58VAN 4th & 7 at MTSU 42, down 3
    Close callPunted · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    35.1%−1.5
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    36.2%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:19VAN 4th & 8 at VAN 38, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.1%−1.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:26VAN 4th & 9 at VAN 45, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:38MTSU 4th & 13 at MTSU 19, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%−2.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:24MTSU 4th & 2 at VAN 48, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.0 ptsPunted · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.6%−3.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:12MTSU 4th & 6 at MTSU 29, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.0%
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.9%−3.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MTSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1VAN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q4 12:26MTSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 6:14VAN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.6%−1.0
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 1:12VAN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.8%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MTSUDrive 1FG
9 plays · 48 yds · 2:0359% → 59%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
59.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 24 yds to the MTnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
59.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 11 yds to the Vandy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
59.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 7 yds to the Vandy 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+6
59.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Shane Tucker for 6 yds to the Vandy 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
59.1%
Shane Tucker run for no gain to the Vandy 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
59.1%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ed'Marques Batties, broken up by Tre HerndonSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 27
0
59.1%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:57
4TH & 10
OPP 27
+44
59.4%
Cody Clark 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 2MISSED FG
12 plays · 59 yds · 4:0741% → 40%
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
59.4%
Johnny McCrary pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:57
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+3
59.4%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the Vandy 22Similar
Q1 12:57
3RD & 7
OWN 22
+12
59.5%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 12 yds to the Vandy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
59.3%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Ralph Webb for 7 yds to the Vandy 41Similar
Q1 12:57
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+21
59.2%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 21 yds to the MTnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
59.2%
Ralph Webb run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 37Similar
Q1 12:57
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+10
59.2%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Chandler Dorrell for 10 yds to the MTnSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
59.1%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Ronald Monroe for 4 yds to the MTnSt 23Similar
Q1 12:57
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+1
59.1%
Johnny McCrary run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 22Similar
Q1 12:57
3RD & 5
OPP 22
0
59.2%
Johnny McCrary pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:50
4TH & 5
OPP 22
+40
59.7%
Tommy Openshaw 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:5960% → 60%
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
59.7%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ed'Marques BattiesSimilar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+8
59.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Derek Barnes for 8 yds to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+1
59.6%
Jordan Parker run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 32Similar
Q1 7:51
4TH & 1
OWN 32
0
59.5%
Trevor Owens punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
59.8%
VANDERBILT Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Vandy 30Similar
Q1 7:44
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+3
60.0%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Steven Scheu for 3 yds to the Vandy 33Similar
Q1 7:44
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+9
60.1%
Ralph Webb run for 9 yds to the Vandy 42Similar
Q1 7:44
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+1
59.4%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Latevius Rayford for 1 yd to the Vandy 43Similar
Q1 7:44
4TH & 2
OWN 43
-2
59.8%
Tommy Openshaw punt for 36 yds , Ed'Marques Batties returns for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0060% → 59%
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
59.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 4 yds to the MTnSt 23Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 6
OWN 23
0
59.9%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ed'Marques Batties, broken up by Nehemiah MitchellSimilar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 6
OWN 23
-5
59.4%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 18Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 11
OWN 18
0
59.3%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:50
4TH & 11
OWN 18
+12
59.1%
Trevor Owens punt for 39 yds , Ryan White returns for 12 yds to the MTnSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0041% → 40%
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
59.2%
Dallas Rivers run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 37Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+1
59.0%
Dallas Rivers run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 36Similar
Q1 5:09
3RD & 1
OPP 36
-4
59.1%
VANDERBILT Penalty, IS (-4 Yards) to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q1 5:09
3RD & 5
OPP 40
0
59.3%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Dallas RiversSimilar
Q1 5:09
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
59.7%
Tommy Openshaw punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0060% → 59%
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
60.0%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 15Similar
Q1 3:27
2ND & 7
OWN 15
0
59.9%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Shane TuckerSimilar
Q1 3:27
3RD & 7
OWN 15
-5
59.4%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 10Similar
Q1 3:27
3RD & 12
OWN 10
+2
59.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 2 yds to the MTnSt 12Similar
Q1 3:27
4TH & 10
OWN 12
0
59.1%
Trevor Owens punt for 17 yds, downed at the MTnSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 8FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2842% → 43%
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
58.0%
Ralph Webb run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 25Similar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+3
58.0%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 22Similar
Q1 2:13
3RD & 3
OPP 22
0
58.5%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Steven ScheuSimilar
Q1 0:45
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+40
57.1%
Tommy Openshaw 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 9FG
13 plays · 64 yds · 3:0359% → 61%
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
59.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 15 yds to the MTnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
60.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 12 yds to the Vandy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
60.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Shane Tucker for 6 yds to the Vandy 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+9
60.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 9 yds to the Vandy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
61.1%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Shane Tucker, broken up by Zach CunninghamSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
61.1%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ed'Marques BattiesSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+20
60.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 20 yds to the Vandy 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
61.1%
Shane Tucker run for 7 yds to the Vandy 6Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 6
-5
61.1%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Vandy 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 11
0
61.1%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie JamesSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 11
0
60.6%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ed'Marques BattiesSimilar
Q2 12:42
4TH & 8
OPP 11
+28
60.7%
Cody Clark 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 10INT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0040% → 39%
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
60.4%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
60.3%
Ralph Webb run for no gain to the Vandy 27Similar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
61.1%
Johnny McCrary pass intercepted Alex Dale return for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 11FUMBLE
13 plays · 48 yds · 2:3362% → 62%
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
50
+6
62.2%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Rod Ducksworth for 6 yds to the Vandy 44Similar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 4
OPP 44
-1
62.3%
Shane Tucker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 45Similar
Q2 11:19
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+13
61.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Rod Ducksworth for 13 yds to the Vandy 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
62.7%
Shane Tucker run for 1 yd to the Vandy 31Similar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+8
62.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 8 yds to the Vandy 23Similar
Q2 8:46
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+2
62.8%
Shane Tucker run for 2 yds to the Vandy 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
63.6%
Shane Tucker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 22Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 11
OPP 22
+17
63.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terry Pettis for 17 yds to the Vandy 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
63.6%
Shane Tucker run for 1 yd to the Vandy 4Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
63.6%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Shane Tucker, broken up by Torren McGasterSimilar
Q2 8:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
62.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 3 yds to the Vandy 1Similar
Q2 8:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
61.7%
Brent Stockstill run for no gain to the Vandy 1 Brent Stockstill fumbled, forced by Zach Cunningham, recovered by Vandy Ryan White VANDERBILT Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Torren McGaster) to the Vandy 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 12FUMBLE
15 plays · 83 yds · 0:0038% → 42%
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
62.2%
Dallas Rivers run for 1 yd to the Vandy 2Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+3
62.5%
Dallas Rivers run for 3 yds to the Vandy 5Similar
Q2 6:09
3RD & 6
OWN 5
+10
63.3%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 10 yds to the Vandy 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
62.0%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 3 yds to the Vandy 18Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+10
62.0%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 10 yds to the Vandy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
61.4%
Dallas Rivers run for 3 yds to the Vandy 31Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+9
61.2%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Caleb Scott for 9 yds to the Vandy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
60.2%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the Vandy 43Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+6
59.7%
Ralph Webb run for 6 yds to the Vandy 49Similar
Q2 6:09
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+5
59.6%
Ralph Webb run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
59.2%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+3
59.3%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q2 6:09
3RD & 4
OPP 40
0
59.5%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Trent SherfieldSimilar
Q2 6:09
4TH & 4
OPP 40
+10
60.7%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Kris Kentera for 10 yds to the MTnSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
58.3%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Caleb Scott for 10 yds Caleb Scott fumbled, forced by Michael Minter, recovered by MTnSt Cavellis LuckettSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-5
62.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the MTnSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 14INT
8 plays · 29 yds · 0:0038% → 40%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
62.1%
Ralph Webb run for 15 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
61.1%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the Vandy 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+5
60.0%
Ralph Webb run for 5 yds to the Vandy 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+5
59.8%
Ralph Webb run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+6
59.0%
Dallas Rivers run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 44
-5
58.6%
Dallas Rivers run for a loss of 5 yards to the MTnSt 49Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+25
60.2%
Johnny McCrary pass intercepted Kevin Byard return for 25 yds to the MTnSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0066% → 64%
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
65.9%
Shane Tucker run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q3 11:28
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+5
65.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Shane Tucker for 5 yds to the Vandy 49Similar
Q3 11:28
3RD & 4
OPP 49
0
66.0%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Shane Tucker, broken up by Darreon HerringSimilar
Q3 11:28
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
64.1%
Trevor Owens punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ryan White at the Vandy 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 49 yds · 0:0037% → 38%
Q3 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
63.3%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the Vandy 12Similar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+9
63.3%
Ralph Webb run for 9 yds to the Vandy 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+34
62.8%
Trent Sherfield run for 34 yds to the MTnSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
59.1%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 7 yds to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 3
OPP 38
0
58.7%
Johnny McCrary pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:58
3RD & 3
OPP 38
-4
59.1%
Johnny McCrary sacked by T.T. Barber for a loss of 4 yards to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q3 9:58
4TH & 7
OPP 42
0
61.9%
Tommy Openshaw punt for 23 yds, fair catch by Ed'Marques Batties at the MTnSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 17FUMBLE
8 plays · 45 yds · 0:0065% → 69%
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+24
64.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Derek Barnes for 24 yds to the MTnSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
67.2%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Jordan Parker for 4 yds to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+1
67.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 1 yd to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q3 7:12
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+8
66.7%
Brent Stockstill run for 8 yds to the Vandy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
68.4%
Jordan Parker run for 1 yd to the Vandy 43Similar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 9
OPP 43
0
68.2%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Derek Barnes, broken up by Torren McGasterSimilar
Q3 7:12
3RD & 9
OPP 43
+10
67.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terry Pettis for 10 yds to the Vandy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-7
69.3%
Shane Tucker run for a loss of 7 yards to the Vandy 36 Shane Tucker fumbled, recovered by Vandy Torren McGasterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0038% → 35%
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
62.5%
Johnny McCrary sacked by Michael Minter for a loss of 5 yards to the Vandy 31Similar
Q3 4:19
2ND & 15
OWN 31
0
64.2%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Caleb ScottSimilar
Q3 4:19
3RD & 15
OWN 31
+7
65.8%
Ralph Webb run for 7 yds to the Vandy 38Similar
Q3 4:19
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
65.5%
Tommy Openshaw punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MTnSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 19TD
12 plays · 63 yds · 5:1366% → 86%
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
66.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Shane Tucker for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 36Similar
Q3 2:39
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+8
65.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Demetrius Frazier for 8 yds to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q3 2:39
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+4
66.9%
Brent Stockstill run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
68.3%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 5 yds to the Vandy 47Similar
Q3 2:39
2ND & 5
OPP 47
0
69.1%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Rod DucksworthSimilar
Q3 2:39
3RD & 5
OPP 47
0
68.2%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ed'Marques BattiesSimilar
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
70.1%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 2 yds to the Vandy 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+7
70.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 7 yds to the Vandy 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+4
69.1%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 4 yds to the Vandy 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
70.7%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 4 yds to the Vandy 15Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 15
-3
70.7%
Jeremiah Bryson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 18Similar
Q4 12:26
3RD & 9
OPP 18
+18
86.2%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 18 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
83.9%
Ralph Webb run for 7 yds to the Vandy 36Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+8
82.4%
Ralph Webb run for 8 yds to the Vandy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
82.3%
Ralph Webb run for no gain to the Vandy 44Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+1
82.7%
Dallas Rivers run for 1 yd to the Vandy 45Similar
Q4 12:26
3RD & 9
OWN 45
0
83.6%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Ronald Monroe, broken up by Kevin ByardSimilar
Q4 12:26
4TH & 9
OWN 45
+7
85.3%
Tommy Openshaw punt for 45 yds , Ed'Marques Batties returns for 7 yds to the MIDDLETENN 48 VANDERBILT Penalty, IF (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:0786% → 88%
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
86.4%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 8
OWN 24
-5
86.3%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 19Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 13
OWN 19
-2
86.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Jeremiah Bryson for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 17Similar
Q4 8:38
3RD & 15
OWN 17
+2
88.7%
Shane Tucker run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 19Similar
Q4 8:38
4TH & 13
OWN 19
0
88.0%
Trevor Owens punt for 32 yds, downed at the Vandy 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 22TD
6 plays · 51 yds · 1:3812% → 37%
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
88.1%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Trent SherfieldSimilar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+6
88.3%
Ralph Webb run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 45Similar
Q4 7:52
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+10
88.2%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Kris Kentera for 10 yds to the MTnSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
86.9%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Caleb Scott, broken up by Jeremy CutrerSimilar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+6
87.0%
Ralph Webb run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q4 6:14
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+29
63.0%
Johnny McCrary run for 29 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 23PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 2:5075% → 80%
Q4 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
75.0%
STOCKSTILL, B. rush for 7 yards to the MT32, out-of-bounds, PENALTY MT holding (CHESTER, Josh) 10 yards to the MT15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:14
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+8
74.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 8 yds to the MTnSt 23Similar
Q4 6:14
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+21
74.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 21 yds to the MTnSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
77.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 3 yds to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q4 6:14
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
77.9%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ed'Marques Batties, broken up by Torren McGasterSimilar
Q4 6:14
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+5
76.2%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Derek Barnes for 5 yds to the Vandy 48Similar
Q4 3:24
4TH & 2
OPP 48
0
80.1%
Trevor Owens punt for 35 yds, downed at the Vandy 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 24TD
7 plays · 87 yds · 2:0130% → 93%
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+14
70.0%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Ralph Webb for 14 yds to the Vandy 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
68.3%
Johnny McCrary run for 5 yds to the Vandy 32Similar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+20
66.6%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Caleb Scott for 20 yds to the MTnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
61.9%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Trent SherfieldSimilar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-3
63.3%
Johnny McCrary run for 7 yds to the Vandy 41 VANDERBILT Penalty, Offensive holding (Caleb Scott) to the Vandy 49Similar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 13
OWN 49
+12
66.0%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Kris Kentera for 12 yds to the MTnSt 39Similar
Q4 1:12
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+39
7.1%
Ralph Webb run for 39 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 25DOWNS
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0023% → 20%
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
23.2%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Shane Tucker, broken up by Zach CunninghamSimilar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
22.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 4 yds to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q4 1:12
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
22.3%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie James, broken up by Oren BurksSimilar
Q4 1:12
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
19.9%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Shane TuckerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-3
4.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the MTnSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:12
Ralph Webb run for 39 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)
-58.9
TD · Q4 6:14
Johnny McCrary run for 29 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)
-24
TD · Q4 12:26
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 18 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)
+15.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com