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EMU

Eastern Michigan 22 at LSU 44

LSU
2015 · Week 5 · Oct 3, 2015 · Tiger Stadium (LA)
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Win probability · LSU
modelLSU aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playLSU scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:48 · Dylan Mulder 53 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 97Pregame prior+36.5Home team on offense+10.1Score differential+5.3Garbage-time factor+0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:10: Darius Jackson 1 Yd Run (Dylan Mulder Kick) — EMU win probability +1.7 pts (now 5%) (top driver: Scoring-chance index: 80%).
  2. TD · Q3 14:48: Leonard Fournette 75 Yd Run (Trent Domingue Kick) — LSU win probability +2.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:52: Dustin Creel 12 Yd pass from Brogan Roback (Eddie Daugherty Pass to Brogan Roback for Two-Point Conversion) — EMU win probability +4.8 pts (now 8%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:09: Leonard Fournette 11 Yd Run (Trent Domingue Kick) — LSU win probability +2.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:37: Deion Jones 26 Yd Interception Return (Trent Domingue Kick) — LSU win probability +2.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5EMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 13:22EMU 4th & 4 at EMU 29, tied
    Close callPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:54EMU 4th & 10 at EMU 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:08LSU 4th & 21 at LSU 18, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:45LSU 4th & 7 at EMU 9, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.9%
    89% to make
    Punt
    97.3%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:10LSU 4th & 10 at EMU 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.1%
    60% to make
    Punt
    93.3%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:48EMU 4th & 4 at LSU 36, down 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.1%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    3.0%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:25LSU 4th & 22 at LSU 39, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%−0.7
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:44EMU 4th & 17 at EMU 20, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:17LSU 4th & 5 at EMU 5, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.4%
    92% to make
    Punt
    93.8%−2.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5EMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 10:40LSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:18LSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:48EMU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:10EMU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 14:48LSU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:52EMU Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    6.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    6.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:09LSU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:37LSU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:171% → 1%
Q1 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
99.4%
Darius Jackson run for 3 yds to the EMich 26Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+3
99.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Cody Tuttle for 3 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 4
OWN 29
0
99.4%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Eddie DaughertySimilar
Q1 13:22
4TH & 4
OWN 29
0
99.4%
Austin Barnes punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 2TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 2:3099% → 99%
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+19
99.4%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Malachi Dupre for 19 yds to the LSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
99.4%
Leonard Fournette run for 3 yds to the LSU 49Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+9
99.3%
Leonard Fournette run for 9 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
99.3%
Leonard Fournette run for 5 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+7
99.3%
Leonard Fournette run for 7 yds to the EMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.3%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Travin DuralSimilar
Q1 11:03
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+27
99.3%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Travin Dural for 27 yds to the EMich 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.3%
Leonard Fournette 3 Yd Run (Trent Domingue Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:311% → 1%
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
99.3%
Darius Jackson run for 3 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+2
99.2%
Darius Jackson run for 2 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q1 9:34
3RD & 5
OWN 31
-5
99.2%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Cole Gardner) to the EMich 26Similar
Q1 9:05
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
99.2%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Kris StrangeSimilar
Q1 8:54
4TH & 10
OWN 26
0
99.2%
Austin Barnes punt for 40 yds, downed at the LSU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 4TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 1:3299% → 99%
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
99.2%
Harris, Brandon pass incomplete to Dural, Travin, PENALTY EASTMICH pass interference (Pace, DaQuan) 15 yards to the LSU49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LSU.Similar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
99.2%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Derrius Guice for 6 yds to the EMich 45Similar
Q1 7:48
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+9
99.2%
Leonard Fournette run for 9 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+15
99.2%
Harris, Brandon pass incomplete, PENALTY EASTMICH pass interference (Pace, DaQuan) 15 yards to the EASTMICH21, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LSU.Similar
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
99.2%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Tyron JohnsonSimilar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+21
99.3%
Brandon Harris 21 Yd Run (Trent Domingue Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5INT
14 plays · 35 yds · 7:061% → 1%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.2%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sam Browning for 1 yd to the EMich 26Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
99.2%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q1 5:48
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
99.2%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 8 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
99.2%
Shaq Vann run for 11 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
99.1%
Darius Jackson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 7
50
+6
99.1%
Darius Jackson run for 6 yds to the LSU 44Similar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+2
99.0%
Brogan Roback run for 2 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
99.0%
Brogan Roback run for 2 yds to the LSU 40Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+7
99.0%
Darius Jackson run for 7 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q1 1:20
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+2
98.9%
Darius Jackson run for 2 yds to the LSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-9
98.9%
Brogan Roback sacked by Lewis Neal for a loss of 9 yards to the LSU 40Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 19
OPP 40
0
98.9%
Brogan Roback pass intercepted Jamal Adams return for no gain to the LSU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 6FUMBLE
5 plays · -11 yds · 0:5799% → 99%
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
98.9%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Malachi DupreSimilar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+1
98.9%
Leonard Fournette run for 1 yd to the LSU 30Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 9
OWN 30
-7
98.9%
Brandon Harris sacked by Clay Dawson for a loss of 7 yards to the LSU 23Similar
Q2 13:08
4TH & 16
OWN 23
-5
98.9%
LSU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LSU 18Similar
Q2 13:08
4TH & 21
OWN 18
0
98.9%
Jamie Keehn punt for 40 yds , Blake Banham returns for no gain to the EMich 42 Blake Banham fumbled, recovered by EMich Blake BanhamSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 2:041% → 1%
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
98.8%
Darius Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 41Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 11
OWN 41
-2
98.7%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Dustin Creel for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 39Similar
Q2 11:38
2ND & 12
OWN 39
-2
98.7%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Shaq Vann for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 37Similar
Q2 11:03
3RD & 14
OWN 37
-5
98.7%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Anthony Zappone) to the EMich 32Similar
Q2 10:36
3RD & 19
OWN 32
+43
98.7%
Austin Barnes punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 47 LSU Penalty, Illegal Block (22 Yards) to the LSU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 8FG
9 plays · 66 yds · 3:1599% → 99%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
98.7%
Leonard Fournette run for 23 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
98.8%
Leonard Fournette run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 46Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 12
OWN 46
+2
98.7%
Leonard Fournette run for 2 yds to the LSU 48Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+28
98.7%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Colin Jeter for 28 yds to the EMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
98.7%
Brandon Harris run for 12 yds to the EMich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
98.6%
Brandon Harris run for no gain to the EMich 12Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+3
98.6%
Darrel Williams run for 3 yds to the EMich 9Similar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 7
OPP 9
0
98.6%
Brandon Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:45
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+26
98.9%
Trent Domingue 26 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9TD
10 plays · 59 yds · 3:171% → 3%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
98.6%
Darius Jackson run for 3 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+6
98.6%
Brogan Roback run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:19
3RD & 1
50
+2
98.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Cody Tuttle for 2 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
98.4%
LSU Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the LSU 43Similar
Q2 4:20
1ST & 5
OPP 43
+2
98.4%
Darius Jackson run for 2 yds to the LSU 41Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+5
98.3%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sam Browning for 5 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+30
98.3%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sam Browning for 30 yds to the LSU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
98.2%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
97.3%
Shaq Vann 6 Yd Run (Dylan Mulder Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 10INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0898% → 98%
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.6%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Leonard FournetteSimilar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
97.6%
Brandon Harris pass intercepted Luke Maclean return for 13 yds to the LSU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11TD
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:033% → 5%
Q2 2:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
97.2%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Cody Tuttle for 2 yds to the LSU 1Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.3%
Darius Jackson 1 Yd Run (Dylan Mulder Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 12FG
10 plays · 48 yds · 1:4896% → 97%
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
95.8%
Leonard Fournette run for 15 yds to the LSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
95.8%
Leonard Fournette run for 2 yds to the LSU 41Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+15
95.8%
Harris, Brandon pass incomplete, PENALTY EASTMICH pass interference (Tillman, Ray) 15 yards to the EASTMICH44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LSU.Similar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
96.0%
Leonard Fournette run for 3 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+13
95.9%
Leonard Fournette run for 13 yds to the EMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
96.0%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Travin DuralSimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
96.0%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Travin DuralSimilar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 10
OPP 28
0
95.7%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Travin DuralSimilar
Q2 0:10
4TH & 10
OPP 28
+45
96.5%
Trent Domingue 45 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
96.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 14TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
97.8%
Leonard Fournette 75 Yd Run (Trent Domingue Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15MISSED FG
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:423% → 3%
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
97.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Cody Tuttle for 6 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+5
97.3%
Jackson, Darius rush for 2 yards to the EASTMICH43, PENALTY LSU offside (Key, Arden) 5 yards to the EASTMICH46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN EASTMICH.Similar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
97.3%
Darius Jackson run for 12 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
97.1%
Brogan Roback run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 43Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+7
97.2%
Darius Jackson run for 7 yds to the LSU 36Similar
Q3 11:54
3RD & 4
OPP 36
0
97.0%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Eddie DaughertySimilar
Q3 11:48
4TH & 4
OPP 36
+53
97.1%
Dylan Mulder 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 2:1698% → 97%
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
97.7%
Leonard Fournette run for 9 yds to the LSU 45Similar
Q3 11:28
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+6
97.8%
Leonard Fournette run for 6 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
97.6%
LSU Penalty, False Start (Maea Teuhema) to the LSU 46Similar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+2
97.5%
Leonard Fournette run for a loss of 7 yards to the LSU 41 Brandon HarrisSimilar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 20
OWN 41
0
97.6%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Tyron JohnsonSimilar
Q3 9:45
3RD & 20
OWN 41
-2
97.5%
Brandon Harris sacked by Luke Maclean and Anthony Brown for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 39Similar
Q3 9:25
4TH & 22
OWN 39
0
97.2%
Jamie Keehn punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMich 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17FUMBLE
8 plays · 8 yds · 3:113% → 3%
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
97.2%
Darius Jackson run for 2 yds to the EMich 14Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+4
97.2%
Roback, Brogan pass incomplete, PENALTY LSU offside (Beckwith, Kendell) 4 yards to the EASTMICH18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+9
97.1%
Brogan Roback run for 9 yds to the EMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-7
96.9%
Brogan Roback run for a loss of 7 yards to the EMich 20 Brogan Roback fumbled, recovered by EMich Brandon BossardSimilar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 17
OWN 20
+2
97.3%
Darius Jackson run for 2 yds to the EMich 22Similar
Q3 6:15
3RD & 15
OWN 22
-2
97.3%
Brogan Roback sacked by Lewis Neal for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 20Similar
Q3 5:44
4TH & 17
OWN 20
0
97.3%
Austin Barnes punt for 41 yds , Tre'Davious White returns for no gain to the LSU 39 Tre'Davious White fumbled, recovered by LSU Tre'Davious WhiteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 18FG
9 plays · 56 yds · 2:4398% → 98%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
97.7%
Leonard Fournette run for 4 yds to the LSU 43Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+7
97.7%
Leonard Fournette run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
50
+3
97.7%
Leonard Fournette run for 3 yds to the EMich 47Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+40
97.6%
Darrel Williams run for 40 yds to the EMich 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
97.7%
Darrel Williams run for 4 yds to the EMich 3Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
97.7%
Darrel Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 5Similar
Q3 2:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
97.5%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Malachi DupreSimilar
Q3 2:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
98.1%
Trent Domingue 22 Yd Field Goal Similar
Q3 2:17
4TH & 8
OWN 35
-5
97.9%
LSU Penalty, Delay of Game (Cameron Gamble) to the LSU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19TD
5 plays · 66 yds · 0:563% → 8%
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
97.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Cody Tuttle for 13 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
97.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sam Browning for 8 yds to the LSU 45Similar
Q3 1:03
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+33
97.3%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Shaq Vann for 33 yds to the LSU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
92.5%
Dustin Creel 12 Yd pass from Brogan Roback (Eddie Daugherty Pass to Brogan Roback for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 20TD
6 plays · 43 yds · 1:1696% → 98%
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+18
95.9%
Leonard Fournette run for 18 yds to the EMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
96.0%
Leonard Fournette run for 8 yds to the EMich 17Similar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+2
96.0%
Leonard Fournette run for 2 yds to the EMich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:24
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
95.9%
Leonard Fournette run for 4 yds to the EMich 11Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+11
98.2%
Leonard Fournette 11 Yd Run (Trent Domingue Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 21INT TD
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:083% → 1%
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
97.4%
Darius Jackson run for 1 yd to the EMich 25Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 9
OWN 25
-2
97.4%
Cody Tuttle run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 23Similar
Q4 12:37
3RD & 11
OWN 23
+26
99.5%
Deion Jones 26 Yd Interception Return (Trent Domingue Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22INT
10 plays · 51 yds · 3:531% → 1%
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
99.5%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Darien Terrell) to the EMich 18Similar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 15
OWN 18
+14
99.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sam Browning for 14 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+4
99.4%
Darius Jackson run for 4 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
99.4%
Darius Jackson run for 5 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+2
99.4%
Darius Jackson run for 2 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q4 9:52
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+13
99.4%
Shaq Vann run for 13 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
99.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Shaq Vann for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 45Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+19
99.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sam Browning for 29 yds to the LSU 16 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the LSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
99.3%
Brogan Roback pass intercepted Kevin Toliver II return for no gain to the LSU 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 23END OF GAME
14 plays · 95 yds · 8:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+9
99.5%
Darrel Williams run for 9 yds to the LSU 11Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 1
OWN 11
+9
99.5%
Darrel Williams run for 9 yds to the LSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.5%
Darrel Williams run for 1 yd to the LSU 21Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+11
99.6%
Derrius Guice run for 11 yds to the LSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+18
99.6%
Derrius Guice run for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
50
+5
99.6%
Derrius Guice run for 5 yds to the EMich 45Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+7
99.6%
Nick Brossette run for 7 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
99.7%
Nick Brossette run for 1 yd to the EMich 37Similar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+10
99.7%
Nick Brossette run for 10 yds to the EMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
99.7%
Darrel Williams run for 7 yds to the EMich 20Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+4
99.7%
Darrel Williams run for 4 yds to the EMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+9
99.7%
Darrel Williams run for 9 yds to the EMich 7Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 1
OPP 7
+5
99.7%
Darrel Williams run for 5 yds to the EMich 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:52
Dustin Creel 12 Yd pass from Brogan Roback (Eddie Daugherty Pass to Brogan Roback for Two-Point Conversion)
-4.8
TD · Q4 14:09
Leonard Fournette 11 Yd Run (Trent Domingue Kick)
+2.3
TD · Q3 14:48
Leonard Fournette 75 Yd Run (Trent Domingue Kick)
+2.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com