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EKU

Eastern Kentucky 27 at Kentucky 34

UK
2015 · Week 5 · Oct 3, 2015 · Kroger Field
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Win probability · UK
modelUK aheadEKU aheadconfidence bandkey playUK scoreEKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:06 · Keith Wrzuszczak punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kent 12
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 136Pregame prior+24.8Home team on offense−3.3Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−3.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 12:50: Dy'Shawn Mobley run for 6 yds for a TD, (Lucas Williams KICK) — EKU win probability +28.0 pts (now 60%) (top driver: EKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 7:39: Bennie Coney pass complete to Devin Borders for 15 yds for a TD, (Lucas Williams KICK) — EKU win probability +25.6 pts (now 90%) (top driver: EKU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 4:59: Jojo Kemp run for 7 yds for a TD, (Miles Butler KICK) — UK win probability +14.7 pts (now 26%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:52: Patrick Towles pass complete to Dorian Baker for 5 yds for a TD, (Miles Butler KICK) — UK win probability +37.9 pts (now 50%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Arien Beasley sacked by Cory Johnson for a loss of 8 yards to the Kent 21 — EKU win probability +35.1 pts (now 46%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UK made the numbers' call on 6 of 8EKU made the numbers' call on 3 of 8
  1. Q1 13:35EKU 4th & 2 at UK 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    3.3%−0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    2.8%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:45UK 4th & 3 at UK 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.5%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:26EKU 4th & 5 at UK 22, tied
    Close callPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    4.1%
    72% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:56UK 4th & 15 at UK 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:34EKU 4th & 1 at UK 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:49UK 4th & 17 at UK 29, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.1%−0.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:31EKU 4th & 8 at UK 30, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.8%
    56% to make
    Punt
    11.1%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:52EKU 4th & 6 at UK 35, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    12.3%−0.4
    45% to make
    Punt
    11.9%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:59UK 4th & 2 at UK 40, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    75.5%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:18EKU 4th & 13 at UK 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%−1.0
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    18.7%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    17.9%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:50UK 4th & 16 at UK 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.1%−2.8
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:06EKU 4th & 7 at UK 39, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    24.0%−1.2
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.1%−1.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00UK 4th & 10 at UK 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%−2.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:38UK 4th & 3 at UK 15, down 7
    Close callPunted · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.2%−0.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:59EKU 4th & 8 at UK 20, up 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 8.7 ptsPunted · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−1.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    82.3%
    75% to make
    PuntTheir call
    73.6%−8.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:52UK 4th & 3 at UK 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.1%−1.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UK made the numbers' call on 4 of 4EKU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 0:51UK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:49EKU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    8.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:59EKU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:23UK Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    81.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:50EKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:39EKU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−0.9
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:59UK Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:52UK Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.4%−5.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UKDrive 1FUMBLE
4 plays · 27 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.1%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Mikel Horton for 9 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+9
98.1%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 9 yds to the Kent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
98.1%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Jeff Badet for 9 yds Jeff Badet fumbled, forced by Trey Thomas, recovered by EKent Kobie Grace , return for 24 yds to the Kent 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 2DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
97.9%
EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Kent 33Similar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 15
OPP 33
0
97.9%
Bennie Coney pass incomplete to Ethan ThomasSimilar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 15
OPP 33
0
97.9%
Ethan Thomas run for no gain to the Kent 33Similar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 15
OPP 33
+13
97.9%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Ethan Thomas for 13 yds to the Kent 20Similar
Q1 13:35
4TH & 2
OPP 20
0
97.9%
Ethan Thomas run for no gain to the Kent 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
97.8%
Jojo Kemp run for 2 yds to the Kent 22Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
97.8%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Garrett JohnsonSimilar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+7
97.8%
[SHOT], Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Dorian Baker, PENALTY EKU pass interference (GRACE, Kobie) 7 yards to the UK29, 1ST DOWN UK, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
97.8%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Garrett JohnsonSimilar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+2
97.8%
Jojo Kemp run for 2 yds to the Kent 31Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+11
97.8%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Blake Bone for 11 yds to the Kent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
97.8%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+7
97.8%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 7 yds to the Kent 49Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 3
OWN 49
0
97.8%
Mikel Horton run for no gain to the Kent 49Similar
Q1 12:45
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
97.8%
Landon Foster punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
97.3%
Dy'Shawn Mobley run for 2 yds to the EKent 19Similar
Q1 9:26
2ND & 8
OPP 19
0
97.3%
Bennie Coney pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:26
3RD & 8
OPP 19
-5
97.3%
[SHOT], PENALTY EKU false start 5 yards to the EKU14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:26
3RD & 13
OPP 14
+8
97.3%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Dy'Shawn Mobley for 8 yds to the EKent 22Similar
Q1 9:26
4TH & 5
OPP 22
0
97.3%
Keith Wrzuszczak punt for 49 yds, downed at the Kent 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
97.1%
Patrick Towles run for 3 yds to the Kent 32Similar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 7
OWN 32
-8
97.1%
Patrick Towles sacked by Chris Kelly and Noah Spence for a loss of 8 yards to the Kent 24Similar
Q1 7:56
3RD & 15
OWN 24
0
97.1%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Garrett Johnson, broken up by Kobie GraceSimilar
Q1 7:56
4TH & 15
OWN 24
0
97.1%
Landon Foster punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
96.8%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Arien Beasley for no gain to the EKent 42Similar
Q1 6:34
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+9
96.8%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Devin Borders for 9 yds to the Kent 49Similar
Q1 6:34
3RD & 1
OPP 49
0
96.8%
Dy'Shawn Mobley run for no gain to the Kent 49Similar
Q1 6:34
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
96.8%
Keith Wrzuszczak punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 7TD
13 plays · 81 yds · 3:4997% → 96%
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
96.5%
Mikel Horton run for 1 yd to the Kent 20Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 9
OWN 20
0
96.5%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Jeff BadetSimilar
Q1 4:40
3RD & 9
OWN 20
+11
96.4%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Jeff Badet for 11 yds to the Kent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
96.5%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Jeff Badet for 3 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+9
96.5%
Jojo Kemp run for 9 yds to the Kent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
96.6%
[SHOT], Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Dorian Baker, PENALTY EKU pass interference (ABSANON, Stanle) 15 yards to the EKU42, 1ST DOWN UK, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
96.6%
Mikel Horton run for 1 yd to the EKent 41Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+40
96.6%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Blake Bone for 40 yds to the EKent 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 1
OWN 1
-1
96.5%
Mikel Horton run for a loss of 1 yard to the EKent 2Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 2
OWN 2
+1
95.7%
Jojo Kemp run for 1 yd to the EKent 1Similar
Q1 0:51
3RD & 1
OWN 1
+1
96.4%
Patrick Towles run for 1 yd for a TD, (Miles Butler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 8FUMBLE
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:454% → 4%
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
96.1%
Bennie Coney pass incomplete, broken up by Jason HatcherSimilar
Q1 0:45
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+10
96.1%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Dy'Shawn Mobley for 10 yds to the EKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
96.2%
Dy'Shawn Mobley run for 4 yds to the EKent 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+8
96.1%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Devin Borders for 8 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
96.1%
Dy'Shawn Mobley run for 4 yds to the Kent 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+1
96.1%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Ben Madon for 1 yd to the Kent 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 43
-8
96.1%
Bennie Coney sacked by Josh Forrest for a loss of 8 yards to the 50 yard line Bennie Coney fumbled, recovered by Kent Farrington Huguenin , return for 0 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 9INT
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
50
+9
96.4%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 9 yds to the EKent 41Similar
Q2 13:48
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+22
96.4%
Patrick Towles pass intercepted Stanley Absanon return for 22 yds to the EKent 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 10TD
13 plays · 71 yds · 4:135% → 7%
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+13
95.5%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Ethan Thomas for 13 yds to the EKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
95.7%
Ethan Thomas run for 5 yds to the EKent 47Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+10
95.7%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Arien Beasley for 10 yds to the Kent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
95.7%
Ethan Thomas run for 4 yds to the Kent 39Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+5
95.7%
Ethan Thomas run for 5 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q2 13:02
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+5
95.7%
THOMAS, Ethan rush for no gain to the UK34 (Ryan Flannigan;Melvin Lewis), PENALTY UK substitution infraction 5 yards to the UK29, 1ST DOWN EKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
95.5%
Ethan Thomas run for 6 yds to the Kent 23Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+3
95.5%
Ethan Thomas run for 3 yds to the Kent 20Similar
Q2 13:02
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+11
95.7%
Ethan Thomas run for 11 yds to the Kent 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
95.5%
Bennie Coney run for 3 yds to the Kent 6Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
95.5%
Bennie Coney pass incomplete to Ethan ThomasSimilar
Q2 8:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
93.3%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Devin Borders for 6 yds for a TD, (Lucas Williams PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
94.3%
Mikel Horton run for 7 yds to the Kent 32Similar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
94.6%
Mikel Horton run for 4 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
94.5%
Mikel Horton run for no gain to the Kent 36Similar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-1
94.4%
Mikel Horton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 35Similar
Q2 8:49
3RD & 11
OWN 35
-6
94.2%
Patrick Towles sacked by Noah Spence for a loss of 6 yards to the Kent 29Similar
Q2 8:49
4TH & 17
OWN 29
0
94.0%
Landon Foster punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Stanley Absanon at the EKent 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 12MISSED FG
12 plays · 46 yds · 4:288% → 9%
Q2 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
92.0%
Dy'Shawn Mobley run for 7 yds to the EKent 31Similar
Q2 5:59
2ND & 3
OPP 31
-5
92.0%
EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Ben Madon) to the EKent 26Similar
Q2 5:59
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+31
92.0%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Dy'Shawn Mobley for 31 yds to the Kent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
92.3%
Ethan Thomas run for 3 yds to the Kent 40Similar
Q2 5:59
2ND & 7
OPP 40
-2
92.3%
Bennie Coney run for 8 yds to the Kent 32 EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive holding (Devin Borders) to the Kent 42Similar
Q2 5:59
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+1
92.4%
Bennie Coney run for 1 yd to the Kent 41Similar
Q2 5:59
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+9
92.5%
Bennie Coney run for 9 yds to the Kent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
92.0%
Ethan Thomas run for 1 yd to the Kent 31Similar
Q2 5:59
2ND & 9
OPP 31
0
92.1%
Bennie Coney pass incomplete to Ethan ThomasSimilar
Q2 2:21
3RD & 9
OPP 31
+1
91.0%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Dy'Shawn Mobley for 1 yd to the Kent 30Similar
Q2 1:31
4TH & 8
OPP 30
+47
91.0%
Lucas Williams 47 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Farrington Huguenin N/A return for no gain to the Kent 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 13INT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
91.9%
Jojo Kemp run for 4 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 6
OWN 34
0
92.1%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Garrett Johnson, broken up by Tyrell CurrySimilar
Q2 1:31
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+13
91.7%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Dorian Baker for 13 yds to the Kent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
92.5%
Patrick Towles run for 4 yds to the EKent 49Similar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
92.6%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:31
3RD & 6
OWN 49
0
92.3%
Patrick Towles pass intercepted Kiante Northington return for no gain to the EKent 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
88.8%
Ethan Thomas run for 3 yds to the EKent 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 15TD
12 plays · 54 yds · 3:5311% → 25%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
89.2%
Ethan Thomas run for 9 yds to the Kent 45Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+6
89.1%
Ethan Thomas run for 6 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
89.2%
Bennie Coney run for 1 yd to the Kent 38Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+3
89.2%
Ethan Thomas run for 3 yds to the Kent 35Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 6
OPP 35
0
89.3%
Bennie Coney pass incomplete to Ben MadonSimilar
Q3 14:52
4TH & 6
OPP 35
+7
90.0%
Bennie Coney run for 7 yds to the Kent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+10
88.7%
Ethan Thomas run for 10 yds to the Kent 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+13
88.7%
Dy'Shawn Mobley run for 13 yds to the Kent 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
88.7%
Dy'Shawn Mobley run for 3 yds to the Kent 2Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
88.7%
[SHOT], MOBLEY, Dy'Shaw rush for 1 yard to the UK1 (Melvin Lewis), PENALTY UK substitution infraction 1 yards to the UK1, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
75.0%
Bennie Coney run for 1 yd for a TD, (Lucas Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 16TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:3680% → 85%
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
79.5%
[SHOT], Patrick Towles pass incomplete, QB hurry by SPENCE, Noah, PENALTY UK ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the UK20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:59
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+32
79.3%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Dorian Baker for 32 yds to the EKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
81.5%
Jojo Kemp run for 3 yds to the EKent 45Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+6
81.3%
Patrick Towles run for 6 yds to the EKent 39Similar
Q3 10:59
3RD & 1
OWN 39
-1
80.7%
Jojo Kemp run for a loss of 1 yard to the EKent 40Similar
Q3 10:59
4TH & 2
OWN 40
+4
79.8%
Patrick Towles run for 4 yds to the EKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 0
+36
85.1%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Jeff Badet for 36 yds for a TD EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the EKent 0, (Miles Butler PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 8 yds · 0:0020% → 16%
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
79.9%
Dy'Shawn Mobley run for 6 yds to the EKent 32Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+3
79.9%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Joel Brown for 3 yds to the EKent 35Similar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+2
80.8%
Dy'Shawn Mobley run for 2 yds to the EKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
80.9%
Bennie Coney pass incomplete to Devin BordersSimilar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
80.9%
Bennie Coney pass incomplete to Dy'Shawn MobleySimilar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 10
OPP 37
-15
81.5%
[SHOT], CONEY, Bennie pass complete to BROWN, Joel for 18 yards to the UK45 (J.D. Harmon), PENALTY EKU pass interference (BROWN, Joel) 15 yards to the EKU22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 22
+12
82.2%
Dy'Shawn Mobley run for 12 yds to the EKent 34Similar
Q3 8:18
4TH & 13
OPP 34
0
84.0%
Keith Wrzuszczak punt for 41 yds, downed at the Kent 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
83.0%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Mikel Horton for 18 yds to the Kent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
84.7%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Dorian Baker, broken up by Stanley AbsanonSimilar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-5
84.1%
[SHOT], PENALTY UK false start 5 yards to the UK38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 15
OWN 38
+3
83.3%
Patrick Towles run for 3 yds to the Kent 41Similar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 12
OWN 41
-4
82.4%
Patrick Towles sacked by Floyd Coffey for a loss of 4 yards to the Kent 37Similar
Q3 5:50
4TH & 16
OWN 37
0
81.5%
Landon Foster punt for 36 yds , Stanley Absanon returns for no gain to the EKent 24 Stanley Absanon fumbled, recovered by EKent Tre' MooreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0026% → 22%
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
74.4%
Ethan Thomas run for 6 yds to the EKent 30Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 4
OPP 30
-1
74.4%
Ethan Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the EKent 29Similar
Q3 4:06
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+7
75.7%
Bennie Coney run for 7 yds to the EKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
75.7%
Ethan Thomas run for 3 yds to the EKent 39Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 7
OPP 39
0
75.6%
Bennie Coney pass incomplete, broken up by Josh ForrestSimilar
Q3 4:06
3RD & 7
OPP 39
0
76.1%
Bennie Coney pass incomplete to Ben MadonSimilar
Q3 4:06
4TH & 7
OPP 39
0
77.9%
Keith Wrzuszczak punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kent 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:5979% → 75%
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
78.9%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Mikel Horton for 2 yds to the Kent 14Similar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+10
78.8%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Blake Bone for 10 yds to the Kent 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-15
79.2%
Patrick Towles sacked by Marquise Piton for a loss of 15 yards to the Kent 9Similar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 25
OWN 9
+15
78.4%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Dorian Baker for 15 yds to the Kent 24Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 24
0
75.5%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete, broken up by Kiante NorthingtonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 24
+19
74.5%
Bryan Kirshe punt for 21 yds , Stanley Absanon returns for 19 yds to the Kent 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 21TD
5 plays · 26 yds · 1:5032% → 60%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
68.2%
Dy'Shawn Mobley run for 5 yds to the Kent 21Similar
Q4 14:40
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+6
68.2%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Taylor Miller for 6 yds to the Kent 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
68.2%
Dy'Shawn Mobley run for 6 yds to the Kent 9Similar
Q4 14:40
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+3
68.2%
Dy'Shawn Mobley run for 3 yds to the Kent 6Similar
Q4 12:50
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+6
40.1%
Dy'Shawn Mobley run for 6 yds for a TD, (Lucas Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0048% → 46%
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
48.1%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Blake Bone for 5 yds to the Kent 13Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+4
48.6%
Jojo Kemp run for 4 yds to the Kent 17Similar
Q4 12:38
3RD & 1
OWN 17
-2
47.0%
Jojo Kemp run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 15Similar
Q4 12:38
4TH & 3
OWN 15
-2
45.6%
Landon Foster punt for 51 yds , Stanley Absanon returns for a loss of 2 yards to the EKent 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 23TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 3:2165% → 90%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
35.5%
Ethan Thomas run for 4 yds to the EKent 36Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+27
36.1%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Ben Madon for 27 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
36.4%
Ethan Thomas run for 3 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 7
OPP 34
0
35.3%
Bennie Coney pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+12
36.9%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Joel Brown for 12 yds to the Kent 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
35.3%
Dy'Shawn Mobley run for 5 yds to the Kent 17Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+2
35.3%
Dy'Shawn Mobley run for 2 yds to the Kent 15Similar
Q4 7:39
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+15
9.8%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Devin Borders for 15 yds for a TD, (Lucas Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 24TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:4012% → 26%
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
11.8%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Mikel Horton for 22 yds to the Kent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
13.3%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Ryan TimmonsSimilar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+12
13.2%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Charles Walker for 12 yds to the EKent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
13.1%
Jojo Kemp run for 8 yds to the EKent 33Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+9
12.7%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Jojo Kemp for 9 yds to the EKent 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
11.8%
Mikel Horton run for 2 yds to the EKent 22Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
11.6%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Dorian BakerSimilar
Q4 7:39
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+9
11.4%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Blake Bone for 9 yds to the EKent 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
11.7%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Dorian Baker for 6 yds to the EKent 7Similar
Q4 4:59
2ND & 4
OWN 7
+7
26.4%
Jojo Kemp run for 7 yds for a TD, (Miles Butler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:5385% → 84%
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
15.4%
Dy'Shawn Mobley run for 2 yds to the EKent 20Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 8
OPP 20
0
15.4%
Bennie Coney pass incomplete to Ben Madon, broken up by A.J. StampsSimilar
Q4 4:52
3RD & 8
OPP 20
0
16.6%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Dy'Shawn Mobley for no gain to the EKent 20Similar
Q4 3:59
4TH & 8
OPP 20
+19
16.5%
Keith Wrzuszczak punt for 38 yds , Ryan Timmons returns for 19 yds to the EKent 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 26TD
9 plays · 39 yds · 2:5727% → 50%
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
26.9%
Patrick Towles run for 5 yds to the EKent 34Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+2
26.6%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Alexander Montgomery for 2 yds to the EKent 32Similar
Q4 3:49
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
24.8%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Blake Bone for 5 yds to the EKent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
24.9%
[SHOT], Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Dorian Baker, PENALTY EKU pass interference (ABSANON, Stanle) 15 yards to the EKU12, 1ST DOWN UK, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
24.1%
Patrick Towles run for 2 yds to the EKent 10Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 8
OWN 10
0
23.6%
Jojo Kemp run for no gain to the EKent 10Similar
Q4 3:49
3RD & 8
OWN 10
+5
22.5%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Blake Bone for 5 yds to the EKent 5Similar
Q4 0:52
4TH & 3
OWN 5
+5
49.9%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Dorian Baker for 5 yds for a TD, (Miles Butler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 27END OF HALF TD
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
37.8%
Dy'Shawn Mobley run for 3 yds to the EKent 31Similar
Q4 0:47
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+2
37.8%
Dy'Shawn Mobley run for 2 yds to the EKent 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 28TD
12 plays · 0 yds · 0:0013% → 46%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
86.9%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Dorian Baker for 5 yds to the EKent 20Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+7
86.5%
Jojo Kemp run for 7 yds to the EKent 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
87.1%
Jojo Kemp run for 2 yds to the EKent 11Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+1
86.8%
Patrick Towles run for 1 yd to the EKent 10Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 10
+7
86.1%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Dorian Baker for 7 yds to the EKent 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
80.4%
Dy'Shawn Mobley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 26Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+15
83.3%
[SHOT], CONEY, Bennie pass incomplete to BORDERS, Devin (Cody Quinn), PENALTY UK pass interference 15 yards to the UK11, 1ST DOWN EKU, NO PLAY.Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-12
80.4%
Dy'Shawn Mobley run for a loss of 12 yards to the Kent 23Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 22
OPP 23
0
83.8%
Bennie Coney pass incomplete to Devin Borders, broken up by J.D. HarmonSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 22
OPP 23
+10
89.0%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Arien Beasley for 10 yds to the Kent 13Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 12
OPP 13
-8
53.9%
Arien Beasley sacked by Cory Johnson for a loss of 8 yards to the Kent 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+46.1
TD · Q4 0:52
Patrick Towles pass complete to Dorian Baker for 5 yds for a TD, (Miles Butler KICK)
+37.9
TD · OT 0:00
Arien Beasley sacked by Cory Johnson for a loss of 8 yards to the Kent 21
-35.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com