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SC

South Carolina 28 at Texas A&M 35

TA&M
2015 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2015 · Kyle Field
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Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadSC aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:13 · Sean Kelly punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Christian Kirk at the TexAM 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 151Pregame prior+9.4Home team on offense+9.3Garbage-time factor+2.8Score differential+2.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.4Blowout margin+1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:04: Brandon Wilds run for 3 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK) — SC win probability +9.0 pts (now 35%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:00: James White run for 2 yds for a TD, (Taylor Bertolet KICK) — TA&M win probability +9.8 pts (now 81%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:58: Kyler Murray run for 1 yd for a TD, (Taylor Bertolet KICK) — TA&M win probability +10.6 pts (now 86%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:08: Perry Orth pass intercepted for a TD Donovan Wilson return for 60 yds for a TD, (Taylor Bertolet KICK) — TA&M win probability +9.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:42: Brandon Wilds run for 33 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK) — SC win probability +12.3 pts (now 21%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 5 of 7SC made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 11:50TA&M 4th & 2 at SC 7, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.7%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    84.2%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:06SC 4th & 10 at SC 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.7%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:37TA&M 4th & 20 at TA&M 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.1%−0.7
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:12TA&M 4th & 6 at SC 40, down 7
    Close callPunted · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    72.2%−0.9
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    72.6%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:50SC 4th & 4 at SC 13, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%−0.3
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:10SC 4th & 15 at SC 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%−2.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:46SC 4th & 17 at TA&M 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.8%−2.0
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    29.8%−1.0
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    30.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:58TA&M 4th & 1 at SC 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    66.9%−3.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    57.0%−13.6
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:46TA&M 4th & 6 at TA&M 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.9%−0.8
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.7%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:13SC 4th & 5 at TA&M 48, down 7
    Close callPunted · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.7%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:57TA&M 4th & 14 at TA&M 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%−3.0
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:27SC 4th & 8 at SC 47, down 7
    Close callPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:28TA&M 4th & 9 at midfield, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:46SC 4th & 13 at SC 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.3%
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.5%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 5 of 5SC made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 6:42TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:52SC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:50SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:17TA&M Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:04SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:00TA&M Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:58TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 4:08TA&M Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 0:42SC Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TA&MDrive 1MISSED FG
11 plays · 68 yds · 3:0388% → 88%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
88.3%
Tra Carson run for 4 yds to the TexAM 29Similar
Q1 14:33
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+14
88.2%
Kyler Murray run for 14 yds to the TexAM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
88.1%
Tra Carson run for 12 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+13
88.1%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 13 yds to the SCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
88.1%
Tra Carson run for 3 yds to the SCaro 29Similar
Q1 13:18
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+14
87.9%
Kyler Murray run for 14 yds to the SCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
87.9%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Edward PopeSimilar
Q1 12:57
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+4
87.9%
Tra Carson run for 4 yds to the SCaro 11Similar
Q1 12:21
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+4
87.7%
Kyler Murray run for 4 yds to the SCaro 7Similar
Q1 11:50
4TH & 2
OPP 7
+25
87.5%
Taylor Bertolet 25 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:3413% → 13%
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
87.3%
David Williams run for 5 yds to the SCaro 25Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+1
87.2%
David Williams run for 1 yd to the SCaro 26Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 4
OWN 26
-6
87.2%
Perry Orth sacked by Julien Obioha for a loss of 6 yards to the SCaro 20 Perry Orth fumbled, forced by Julien Obioha, recovered by SCaro Perry Orth , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 10:06
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
87.0%
Sean Kelly punt for 54 yds, downed at the TexAM 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 3TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 3:1187% → 88%
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
86.8%
Kyler Murray run for 5 yds to the TexAM 31Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+3
86.8%
Tra Carson run for 3 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+9
86.6%
Kyler Murray run for 9 yds to the TexAM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
86.7%
Tra Carson run for 2 yds to the TexAM 45Similar
Q1 8:17
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+25
86.6%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 25 yds to the SCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
86.7%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Christian Kirk for 11 yds to the SCaro 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
86.5%
Kyler Murray run for 1 yd to the SCaro 18Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+8
86.4%
James White run for 8 yds to the SCaro 10Similar
Q1 6:42
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+10
87.5%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 10 yds for a TD, (Taylor Bertolet KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 4TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:3513% → 18%
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
87.2%
Perry Orth pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 11 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
87.0%
Perry Orth run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 35Similar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+7
87.0%
Perry Orth pass complete to Shamier Jeffery for 7 yds to the SCaro 42Similar
Q1 5:03
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+6
86.7%
Perry Orth pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 6 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
86.5%
Pharoh Cooper run for 1 yd to the SCaro 49Similar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+19
86.5%
Perry Orth pass complete to David Williams for 19 yds to the TexAM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
86.0%
David Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 31Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 9
OPP 31
-5
85.9%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Mason Zandi) to the TexAM 36Similar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 14
OPP 36
+14
86.4%
Perry Orth pass complete to D.J. Neal for 14 yds to the TexAM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+13
85.6%
David Williams run for 13 yds to the TexAM 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
85.4%
David Williams run for 2 yds to the TexAM 7Similar
Q1 1:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
82.5%
Lorenzo Nunez run for 7 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 20 yds · 3:0884% → 82%
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
84.1%
Kyler Murray run for 1 yd to the TexAM 26Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
83.9%
Tra Carson run for 3 yds to the TexAM 29Similar
Q1 0:36
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+10
83.4%
Tra Carson run for 10 yds to the TexAM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
83.9%
Tra Carson run for 16 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-15
84.3%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Ricky Seals-Jones) to the TexAM 40Similar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 25
OWN 40
+1
83.5%
Kyler Murray run for 1 yd to the TexAM 41Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 24
OWN 41
+4
83.3%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Christian Kirk for 4 yds to the TexAM 45Similar
Q2 13:46
3RD & 20
OWN 45
0
82.8%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Christian KirkSimilar
Q2 13:37
4TH & 20
OWN 45
0
82.3%
Drew Kaser punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 6TD
7 plays · 88 yds · 1:1718% → 24%
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
82.1%
Brandon Wilds run for 2 yds to the SCaro 14Similar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 8
OWN 14
0
82.1%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Pharoh CooperSimilar
Q2 12:47
3RD & 8
OWN 14
+66
82.4%
Perry Orth run for 66 yds to the TexAM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+14
80.4%
Brandon Wilds run for 14 yds to the TexAM 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
80.2%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to D.J. NealSimilar
Q2 11:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
75.9%
Perry Orth run for 6 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 35 yds · 1:2878% → 77%
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
77.5%
Tra Carson run for 5 yds to the TexAM 30Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+26
77.5%
Tra Carson run for 26 yds to the SCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
78.3%
Kwame Etwi run for 4 yds to the SCaro 40Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 6
OPP 40
0
78.2%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Christian KirkSimilar
Q2 10:22
3RD & 6
OPP 40
0
78.0%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Speedy NoilSimilar
Q2 10:12
4TH & 6
OPP 40
0
77.1%
Drew Kaser punt for 33 yds, downed at the SCaro 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2223% → 24%
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-3
76.7%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Mason Zandi) to the SCaro 4Similar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 13
OWN 4
+3
76.7%
Brandon Wilds run for 3 yds to the SCaro 7Similar
Q2 9:34
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+6
76.1%
David Williams run for 6 yds to the SCaro 13Similar
Q2 9:02
3RD & 4
OWN 13
0
75.6%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Pharoh CooperSimilar
Q2 8:50
4TH & 4
OWN 13
0
75.9%
Sean Kelly punt for 54 yds, downed at the TexAM 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 9TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 2:2675% → 82%
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+22
75.1%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 22 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
76.5%
James White run for 7 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+25
75.7%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 25 yds to the SCaro 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
76.2%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Christian Kirk for 11 yds to the SCaro 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
76.0%
James White run for no gain to the SCaro 2Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
75.6%
Kyler Murray run for 1 yd to the SCaro 1Similar
Q2 6:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
82.1%
Tra Carson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Taylor Bertolet KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10TD
9 plays · 81 yds · 2:4922% → 35%
Q2 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
78.1%
Shon Carson run for 8 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+12
77.3%
Perry Orth run for 12 yds to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
76.6%
Perry Orth pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
76.7%
David Williams run for no gain to the SCaro 39Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+47
77.1%
Perry Orth pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 47 yds to the TexAM 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
74.3%
Perry Orth pass complete to Brandon Wilds for 7 yds to the TexAM 7Similar
Q2 3:14
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+4
73.8%
Perry Orth run for 4 yds to the TexAM 3 Perry Orth fumbled, forced by A.J. Hilliard, recovered by SCaro Perry Orth for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
64.7%
Brandon Wilds run for 3 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 11TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 1:5469% → 81%
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
68.5%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 6 yds to the TexAM 31Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
69.1%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Christian Kirk for 8 yds to the TexAM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
68.8%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Tra Carson for 7 yds to the TexAM 46Similar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+4
69.9%
Kyler Murray run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
50
+11
70.0%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Tra Carson for 11 yds to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
70.1%
James White run for 4 yds to the SCaro 35Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
71.3%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Speedy NoilSimilar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+28
69.5%
Kyler Murray run for 28 yds to the SCaro 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
71.2%
Murray, Kyler pass incomplete to Noil, Speedy, PENALTY SOCAROLINA pass interference (Harris Jr., Al) 5 yards to the SOCAROLINA2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASAM.Similar
Q2 1:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
81.0%
James White run for 2 yds for a TD, (Taylor Bertolet KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · -5 yds · 0:4525% → 25%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
75.1%
Brandon Wilds run for no gain to the SCaro 25Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
74.9%
Brandon Wilds run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 24Similar
Q2 0:16
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-4
75.0%
Perry Orth run for a loss of 4 yards to the SCaro 20Similar
Q2 0:10
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
75.5%
Sean Kelly punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 34 yds · 0:0278% → 78%
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
78.4%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Christian Kirk for no gain to the TexAM 49Similar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+34
77.8%
Kyler Murray run for 34 yds to the SCaro 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14PUNT
12 plays · 33 yds · 5:0626% → 28%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
73.9%
Brandon Wilds run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 24Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
73.6%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Pharoh CooperSimilar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+16
74.5%
Perry Orth pass complete to Shamier Jeffery for 16 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
71.6%
Brandon Wilds run for 8 yds to the SCaro 48Similar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+7
70.1%
Brandon Wilds run for 7 yds to the TexAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
70.0%
Brandon Wilds run for 4 yds to the TexAM 41Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+6
69.4%
Brandon Wilds run for 6 yds to the TexAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
68.5%
Perry Orth pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for no gain to the TexAM 35Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+4
68.1%
Brandon Wilds run for 4 yds to the TexAM 31Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 6
OPP 31
-11
68.4%
Perry Orth sacked by Daeshon Hall for a loss of 11 yards to the TexAM 42Similar
Q3 9:46
4TH & 17
OPP 42
0
72.1%
Sean Kelly punt for 23 yds, downed at the TexAM 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 15TD
11 plays · 81 yds · 3:3373% → 86%
Q3 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+20
73.4%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 20 yds to the TexAM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
74.5%
Kyler Murray run for 5 yds to the TexAM 44Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 5
OWN 44
-4
75.8%
Tra Carson run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line TEXAS A&M Penalty, Offensive Holding (Keaton Sutherland) to the TexAM 40Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+15
74.1%
James White run for 15 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
76.0%
James White run for 1 yd to the SCaro 44Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+17
75.7%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 17 yds to the SCaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+21
76.6%
Kyler Murray run for 21 yds to the SCaro 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
76.5%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Josh ReynoldsSimilar
Q3 7:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
76.4%
Kyler Murray run for 2 yds to the SCaro 4Similar
Q3 6:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
75.0%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Christian Kirk for 3 yds to the SCaro 1Similar
Q3 5:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
85.6%
Kyler Murray run for 1 yd for a TD, (Taylor Bertolet KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16INT TD
5 plays · 48 yds · 1:3717% → 10%
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+43
82.7%
Brandon Wilds run for 43 yds to the TexAM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
79.6%
Brandon Wilds run for no gain to the TexAM 48Similar
Q3 4:53
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+5
80.5%
Perry Orth pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 5 yds to the TexAM 43Similar
Q3 4:08
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+60
90.3%
Perry Orth pass intercepted for a TD Donovan Wilson return for 60 yds for a TD, (Taylor Bertolet KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:269% → 21%
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
91.4%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 20Similar
Q3 3:59
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+5
92.0%
David Williams run for 5 yds to the SCaro 25Similar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
92.1%
Pharoh Cooper run for 15 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
91.1%
David Williams run for a loss of 5 yards to the SCaro 35Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 15
OWN 35
+21
92.2%
Perry Orth pass complete to David Williams for 21 yds to the TexAM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
90.7%
Brandon Wilds run for no gain to the TexAM 44Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+8
90.9%
Perry Orth pass complete to Brandon Wilds for 8 yds to the TexAM 36Similar
Q3 1:00
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+3
90.9%
Brandon Wilds run for 3 yds to the TexAM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
78.6%
Brandon Wilds run for 33 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4887% → 86%
Q3 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
87.2%
Tra Carson run for 3 yds to the TexAM 28Similar
Q3 0:12
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
87.9%
Tra Carson run for 1 yd to the TexAM 29Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
87.3%
Kyler Murray pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:46
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
86.3%
Drew Kaser punt for 71 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 32 yds · 2:1717% → 16%
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+27
83.0%
Perry Orth pass complete to Kyle Markway for 27 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
80.6%
Shon Carson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:28
2ND & 7
50
+1
81.7%
Perry Orth pass complete to Jerell Adams for 1 yd to the TexAM 49Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+1
82.0%
Perry Orth run for 1 yd to the TexAM 48Similar
Q4 12:13
4TH & 5
OPP 48
0
84.4%
Sean Kelly punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Christian Kirk at the TexAM 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 4:0888% → 88%
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
88.1%
Kyler Murray run for 6 yds to the TexAM 20Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+5
88.1%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 5 yds to the TexAM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
88.1%
Tra Carson run for 5 yds to the TexAM 30Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
88.3%
Tra Carson run for 2 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
Q4 10:14
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+12
88.1%
Tra Carson run for 12 yds to the TexAM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
89.8%
James White run for 3 yds to the TexAM 47Similar
Q4 8:38
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+3
89.8%
James White run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:25
3RD & 4
50
-10
89.3%
Kyler Murray sacked by Darius English for a loss of 10 yards to the TexAM 40Similar
Q4 7:57
4TH & 14
OWN 40
0
87.8%
Drew Kaser punt for 15 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2217% → 13%
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
82.7%
David Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 44Similar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 11
OWN 44
0
85.1%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Shamier JefferySimilar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 11
OWN 44
+3
86.5%
Perry Orth pass complete to David Williams for 3 yds to the SCaro 47Similar
Q4 6:27
4TH & 8
OWN 47
0
86.9%
Sean Kelly punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Christian Kirk at the TexAM 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 22PUNT
12 plays · 35 yds · 4:5590% → 96%
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
89.8%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Christian KirkSimilar
Q4 6:13
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+10
90.1%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 10 yds to the TexAM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
91.0%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 9 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+1
91.4%
James White run for 1 yd to the TexAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
91.2%
Kyler Murray run for 8 yds to the TexAM 43Similar
Q4 4:09
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+6
93.8%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Speedy Noil for 6 yds to the TexAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
93.8%
Tra Carson run for 6 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 4
OPP 45
-3
94.3%
Kyler Murray run for 7 yds to the SCaro 38 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Offensive Holding (Speedy Noil) to the SCaro 48Similar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
94.8%
Tra Carson run for no gain to the SCaro 48Similar
Q4 2:14
3RD & 7
OPP 48
-2
95.4%
Tra Carson run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:28
4TH & 9
50
0
95.8%
Drew Kaser punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 23INT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:369% → 6%
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-4
91.1%
Perry Orth sacked by Noel Ellis for a loss of 4 yards to the SCaro 16Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 14
OWN 16
-5
92.6%
Perry Orth sacked by Myles Garrett for a loss of 5 yards to the SCaro 17 Perry Orth fumbled, recovered by SCaro David Williams , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:50
3RD & 13
OWN 17
0
93.1%
Perry Orth pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:46
4TH & 13
OWN 17
+9
93.6%
Perry Orth pass intercepted Donovan Wilson return for 9 yds to the SCaro 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:2597% → 97%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-3
97.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 23Similar
Q4 0:05
2ND & 13
OPP 23
-2
97.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:42
Brandon Wilds run for 33 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)
-12.3
TD · Q3 5:58
Kyler Murray run for 1 yd for a TD, (Taylor Bertolet KICK)
+10.6
TD · Q2 1:00
James White run for 2 yds for a TD, (Taylor Bertolet KICK)
+9.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com