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UGA

Georgia 31 at Vanderbilt 14

VAN
2015 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2015 · FirstBank Stadium
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Win probability · VAN
modelVAN aheadUGA aheadconfidence bandkey playVAN scoreUGA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Johnny McCrary pass complete to Dallas Rivers for 6 yds to the Geo 4
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+50.5+25.30−25.3−50.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:34: Sony Michel run for 31 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK) — UGA win probability +4.4 pts (now 83%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:47: Greyson Lambert run for 5 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK) — UGA win probability +9.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 4:33: Johnny McCrary pass complete to Latevius Rayford for 7 yds for a TD, (J. McCrary Run For Two-point Conversion) — VAN win probability +10.7 pts (now 13%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:00: Nick Chubb run for 29 yds to the Geo 49 for a 1ST down — UGA win probability +5.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:11: Johnny McCrary pass intercepted for a TD Dominick Sanders return for 88 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK) — UGA win probability +2.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VAN made the numbers' call on 8 of 13UGA made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 13:04VAN 4th & 6 at VAN 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:27UGA 4th & 9 at UGA 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.9%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:23VAN 4th & 10 at VAN 37, tied
    Close callWent for it · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    16.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:54VAN 4th & 16 at UGA 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    18.0%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:18UGA 4th & 6 at VAN 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.1%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.2%
    77% to make
    Punt
    80.4%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:33VAN 4th & 3 at VAN 27, tied
    Close callPunted · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q1 1:20VAN 4th & 1 at UGA 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    18.0%−0.8
    64% to make
    Punt
    15.9%−2.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:14VAN 4th & 15 at UGA 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.5%
    58% to make
    Punt
    16.5%−1.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 12:37UGA 4th & 6 at UGA 39, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 10:48VAN 4th & 4 at VAN 20, down 4
    Close callPunted · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.5%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:05VAN 4th & 8 at UGA 23, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    14.8%−2.4
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:50UGA 4th & 12 at VAN 48, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.6%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.1%
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:05VAN 4th & 10 at UGA 25, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.2%
    66% to make
    Punt
    14.1%−5.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:49UGA 4th & 8 at UGA 35, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.0%−1.0
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.9%
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:47UGA 4th & 3 at VAN 3, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.0%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.0%−1.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    75.1%−6.9
    average punt
  16. Q3 5:18VAN 4th & 9 at VAN 26, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.3%
    average punt
  17. Q3 0:14VAN 4th & 2 at VAN 33, down 18
    Close callPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:25UGA 4th & 8 at VAN 25, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    94.4%−2.5
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:46VAN 4th & 8 at UGA 8, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.9%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    4.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    1.5%−2.5
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:19UGA 4th & 5 at UGA 9, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:35UGA 4th & 4 at VAN 45, up 10
    Close callPunted · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    91.7%−1.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.2%−0.9
    average punt
  22. Q4 0:03VAN 4th & 6 at VAN 46, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VAN made the numbers' call on 0 of 1UGA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 9:34UGA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 1:47UGA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 4:33VAN Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    8.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    7.6%−0.5
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 1:11UGA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VANDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:4115% → 16%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
15.0%
Ralph Webb run for 7 yds to the Vandy 32Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
15.2%
Ralph Webb run for no gain to the Vandy 32Similar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-3
15.5%
Ralph Webb run for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 29Similar
Q1 13:04
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
15.7%
Tommy Openshaw punt for 48 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for no gain to the Geo 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:2384% → 84%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
15.9%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the Geo 24Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 9
OWN 24
0
15.9%
Greyson Lambert pass incomplete to Nick ChubbSimilar
Q1 12:36
3RD & 9
OWN 24
0
16.0%
Greyson Lambert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:27
4TH & 9
OWN 24
+8
16.2%
Collin Barber punt for 47 yds , Trey Ellis returns for 8 yds to the Vandy 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 3PUNT
12 plays · 23 yds · 4:3316% → 18%
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
16.1%
VANDERBILT Penalty, False Start (Barrett Gouger) to the Vandy 32Similar
Q1 12:23
1ST & 15
OWN 32
0
16.1%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Ralph WebbSimilar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 15
OWN 32
+5
16.1%
Ralph Webb run for 5 yds to the Vandy 37Similar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
16.3%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to DeAndre WoodsSimilar
Q1 11:23
4TH & 10
OWN 37
+13
16.4%
Tommy Openshaw run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
50
+2
17.1%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the Geo 48Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 8
OPP 48
-1
17.5%
Ralph Webb run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 49Similar
Q1 9:56
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+15
17.4%
McCrary, Johnny pass incomplete to Woods, DeAndre, PENALTY GEORGIA personal foul (Carter, Lorenzo) 15 yards to the GEORGIA34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VANDERBILT.Similar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
17.9%
Johnny McCrary run for 1 yd to the Geo 33Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 9
OPP 33
-1
18.1%
Ralph Webb run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 34Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 10
OPP 34
-6
18.6%
Johnny McCrary sacked by Leonard Floyd for a loss of 6 yards to the Geo 40Similar
Q1 7:54
4TH & 16
OPP 40
0
18.1%
Tommy Openshaw punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Reggie Davis at the Geo 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4MISSED FG
6 plays · 72 yds · 1:2282% → 81%
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+68
18.3%
Nick Chubb run for 68 yds to the Vandy 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
17.6%
Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the Vandy 20Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+1
17.9%
Sony Michel run for 1 yd to the Vandy 19Similar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 6
OPP 19
0
18.3%
Greyson Lambert pass incomplete to Terry GodwinSimilar
Q1 6:18
4TH & 6
OPP 19
+37
18.8%
Marshall Morgan 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 5PUNT RETURN TD
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2719% → 17%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
19.3%
Dallas Rivers run for no gain to the Vandy 20Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
19.8%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Latevius Rayford for 7 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q1 4:54
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
19.7%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Trent SherfieldSimilar
Q1 4:33
4TH & 3
OWN 27
+77
17.2%
Tommy Openshaw punt for 50 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for 77 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 6FG
13 plays · 38 yds · 5:0918% → 21%
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
17.6%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Trent SherfieldSimilar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+4
17.6%
Ralph Webb run for 4 yds to the Vandy 37Similar
Q1 3:46
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+13
17.7%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Latevius Rayford for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
50
+15
18.7%
GEORGIA Penalty, Personal Foul (Leonard Floyd) to the Geo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
19.2%
Ralph Webb run for 4 yds to the Geo 31Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+4
19.2%
Ralph Webb run for 4 yds to the Geo 27Similar
Q1 1:35
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+1
19.0%
Ralph Webb run for 1 yd to the Geo 26Similar
Q1 1:20
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+2
18.7%
Dallas Rivers run for 2 yds to the Geo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
19.8%
Darrius Sims run for no gain to the Geo 24Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+2
20.0%
Dallas Rivers run for 2 yds to the Geo 22Similar
Q2 14:20
3RD & 8
OPP 22
-7
19.7%
Johnny McCrary sacked by Jordan Jenkins for a loss of 7 yards to the Geo 29Similar
Q2 14:14
4TH & 15
OPP 29
+47
20.7%
Tommy Openshaw 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 1:2379% → 78%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
21.4%
Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the Geo 25Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+5
21.2%
Nick Chubb run for 5 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+5
21.1%
VANDERBILT Penalty, Defensive Offside (TEAM) to the Geo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
21.2%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the Geo 36Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+3
21.1%
Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the Geo 39Similar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
21.0%
Greyson Lambert pass incomplete to Reggie DavisSimilar
Q2 12:37
4TH & 6
OWN 39
-2
21.8%
Collin Barber punt for 45 yds , Trey Ellis returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2222% → 22%
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
21.9%
Ralph Webb run for 4 yds to the Vandy 18Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+2
22.2%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the Vandy 20Similar
Q2 11:06
3RD & 4
OWN 20
0
21.9%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Kris KenteraSimilar
Q2 10:48
4TH & 4
OWN 20
+12
21.8%
Tommy Openshaw punt for 56 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for 12 yds to the Geo 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 9TD
5 plays · 64 yds · 0:5978% → 83%
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+17
21.9%
Nick Chubb run for 17 yds to the Vandy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+21
21.4%
Nick Chubb run for 21 yds to the Vandy 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-5
21.2%
Nick Chubb run for 5 yds to the Vandy 21 GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jeb Blazevich) to the Vandy 31Similar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 15
OPP 31
0
21.2%
Greyson Lambert pass incomplete to Reggie DavisSimilar
Q2 9:34
2ND & 15
OPP 31
+31
16.7%
Sony Michel run for 31 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 10FG
13 plays · 55 yds · 4:4517% → 19%
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-8
17.3%
Johnny McCrary sacked by Jordan Jenkins for a loss of 8 yards to the Vandy 14Similar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 18
OWN 14
+6
16.8%
Ralph Webb run for 6 yds to the Vandy 20Similar
Q2 7:40
3RD & 12
OWN 20
+24
16.1%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Steven Scheu for 24 yds to the Vandy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
17.4%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Trent SherfieldSimilar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+12
17.3%
Ralph Webb run for 12 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
18.0%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Steven ScheuSimilar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+1
18.0%
Ralph Webb run for 1 yd to the Geo 43Similar
Q2 5:44
3RD & 9
OPP 43
+18
17.7%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Caleb Scott for 18 yds to the Geo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
18.9%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Dallas RiversSimilar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+4
18.9%
Ralph Webb run for 4 yds to the Geo 21Similar
Q2 4:10
3RD & 6
OPP 21
-2
18.2%
Ralph Webb run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 23Similar
Q2 4:05
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+41
19.2%
Tommy Openshaw 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 1:5082% → 81%
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
18.4%
Brice Ramsey pass complete to Sony Michel for 15 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
17.6%
Brice Ramsey pass complete to Jackson Harris for 10 yds to the Vandy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
17.0%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the Vandy 43Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 7
OPP 43
-5
17.1%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (John Theus) to the Vandy 48Similar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 12
OPP 48
0
17.4%
Brice Ramsey pass incomplete to Reggie DavisSimilar
Q2 1:59
3RD & 12
OPP 48
0
17.8%
Brice Ramsey pass incomplete to Malcolm MitchellSimilar
Q2 1:50
4TH & 12
OPP 48
0
19.0%
Collin Barber punt for 37 yds, downed at the Vandy 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 12MISSED FG
14 plays · 51 yds · 1:2218% → 20%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
18.3%
Dallas Rivers run for 3 yds to the Vandy 14Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+3
18.4%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the Vandy 17Similar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 4
OWN 17
+6
18.7%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Latevius Rayford for 6 yds to the Vandy 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
19.3%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Latevius Rayford for 6 yds to the Vandy 29Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+9
19.7%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Latevius Rayford for 9 yds to the Vandy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
21.7%
McCrary, Johnny pass incomplete to Rayford, Latevius, PENALTY GEORGIA pass interference (Sanders, Dominick) 0 yards to the GEORGIA49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VANDERBILT.Similar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
21.6%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Steven ScheuSimilar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
21.1%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Kris KenteraSimilar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+24
20.1%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to DeAndre Woods for 24 yds to the Geo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
23.1%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Steven ScheuSimilar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
23.0%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Steven ScheuSimilar
Q2 0:09
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
21.5%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Steven ScheuSimilar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+43
20.1%
Tommy Openshaw 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
18.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14PUNT
12 plays · 22 yds · 4:0182% → 80%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
18.5%
Greyson Lambert pass incomplete to Malcolm MitchellSimilar
Q3 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
18.7%
Greyson Lambert pass incomplete to Jeb BlazevichSimilar
Q3 14:25
3RD & 10
OWN 13
+10
19.3%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Nick Chubb for 10 yds to the Geo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
18.6%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Geo 25Similar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+8
18.4%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Reggie Davis for 8 yds to the Geo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
17.9%
Nick Chubb run for 5 yds to the Geo 38Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 5
OWN 38
-5
17.3%
GEORGIA Penalty, Illegal Shift (-5 Yards) to the Geo 33Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
18.4%
Greyson Lambert pass incomplete to Isaiah McKenzieSimilar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+5
19.4%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Sony Michel for 15 yds to the Geo 48 GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Terry Godwin) to the Geo 38Similar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 5
OWN 38
-3
17.7%
Greyson Lambert sacked by TEAM for a loss of 3 yards to the Geo 35 Greyson Lambert fumbled, recovered by Geo Thomas Swilley , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 10:49
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
20.0%
Collin Barber punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tre Herndon at the Vandy 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 15INT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:4820% → 19%
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
20.1%
Ralph Webb run for 1 yd to the Vandy 30Similar
Q3 10:11
2ND & 9
OWN 30
-5
20.1%
VANDERBILT Penalty, False Start (Justin Skule) to the Vandy 25Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 14
OWN 25
0
19.7%
Johnny McCrary pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:45
3RD & 14
OWN 25
0
18.9%
Johnny McCrary pass intercepted Reggie Wilkerson return for no gain to the Vandy 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16FG
8 plays · 39 yds · 2:4383% → 84%
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
17.1%
Sony Michel run for 1 yd to the Vandy 41Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+10
17.0%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Terry Godwin for 10 yds to the Vandy 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
16.7%
Sony Michel run for 2 yds to the Vandy 29Similar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+19
16.6%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Jeb Blazevich for 19 yds to the Vandy 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
16.7%
Sony Michel run for 1 yd to the Vandy 9Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
16.7%
Greyson Lambert pass incomplete to Reggie DavisSimilar
Q3 6:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
17.4%
Sony Michel run for 6 yds to the Vandy 3Similar
Q3 6:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
15.9%
Marshall Morgan 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:2017% → 15%
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
16.5%
Ralph Webb run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 24Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+2
16.4%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the Vandy 26Similar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
15.6%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Steven ScheuSimilar
Q3 5:18
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
15.2%
Tommy Openshaw punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Isaiah McKenzie at the Geo 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 3:1184% → 96%
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+24
15.7%
Isaiah McKenzie run for 24 yds to the Vandy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
14.3%
Nick Chubb run for 5 yds to the Vandy 37Similar
Q3 4:08
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+13
14.2%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 13 yds to the Vandy 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-3
13.9%
Nick Chubb run for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 27Similar
Q3 3:08
2ND & 13
OPP 27
+3
14.0%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Nick Chubb for 3 yds to the Vandy 24Similar
Q3 2:20
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+15
14.4%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 15 yds to the Vandy 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
13.7%
Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the Vandy 5Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
4.2%
Greyson Lambert run for 5 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:267% → 7%
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
6.9%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Latevius RayfordSimilar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
6.8%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q3 0:23
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+5
6.3%
Johnny McCrary run for 5 yds to the Vandy 33Similar
Q3 0:14
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
6.7%
Tommy Openshaw punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Reggie Davis at the Geo 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 20MISSED FG
14 plays · 53 yds · 5:3596% → 98%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
3.7%
Keith Marshall run for 1 yd to the Geo 23Similar
Q4 14:37
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+6
3.6%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 6 yds to the Geo 29Similar
Q4 14:15
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+5
3.8%
Keith Marshall run for 5 yds to the Geo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
3.5%
Keith Marshall run for 3 yds to the Geo 37Similar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
3.4%
Greyson Lambert pass incomplete to Jeb BlazevichSimilar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+11
2.5%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 11 yds to the Geo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
2.3%
Nick Chubb run for 15 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
2.1%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 6 yds to the Vandy 31Similar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+4
1.8%
Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the Vandy 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
1.9%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the Vandy 27Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-4
1.8%
Keith Marshall run for a loss of 4 yards to the Vandy 31Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 14
OPP 31
+6
1.8%
Keith Marshall run for 6 yds to the Vandy 25Similar
Q4 9:25
4TH & 8
OPP 25
+43
1.9%
Marshall Morgan 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 21DOWNS
11 plays · 71 yds · 2:244% → 4%
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
3.8%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Ralph Webb for 7 yds to the Vandy 32Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+19
4.0%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Steven Scheu for 19 yds to the Geo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
4.1%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Ralph Webb for 6 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+3
4.4%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Ralph Webb for 3 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+18
4.4%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Ralph Webb for 18 yds to the Geo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+15
4.7%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to DeAndre Woods for 15 yds to the Geo 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
4.7%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Caleb Scott for 4 yds to the Geo 3Similar
Q4 6:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
4.7%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to DeAndre WoodsSimilar
Q4 6:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
4.5%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Latevius RayfordSimilar
Q4 6:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
4.4%
VANDERBILT Penalty, False Start (Nathan Marcus) to the Geo 8Similar
Q4 6:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
4.1%
Johnny McCrary run for 4 yds to the Geo 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1898% → 98%
Q4 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
2.1%
Sony Michel run for no gain to the Geo 4Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 4
0
1.8%
Sony Michel run for no gain to the Geo 4Similar
Q4 5:35
3RD & 10
OWN 4
+5
1.9%
Sony Michel run for 5 yds to the Geo 9Similar
Q4 5:19
4TH & 5
OWN 9
0
1.6%
Collin Barber punt for 33 yds, downed at the Geo 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 23TD
6 plays · 42 yds · 0:462% → 13%
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
2.4%
GEORGIA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Geo 37Similar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 5
OPP 37
0
2.6%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Darrius SimsSimilar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+8
2.4%
Ralph Webb run for 8 yds to the Geo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
2.7%
Johnny McCrary run for 4 yds to the Geo 25Similar
Q4 4:40
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+18
2.7%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to DeAndre Woods for 18 yds to the Geo 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
13.4%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Latevius Rayford for 7 yds for a TD, (J. McCrary Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 24FUMBLE
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1513% → 13%
Q4 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
13.4%
GEORGIA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (TEAM) to the Geo 8Similar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 1
OPP 8
0
12.7%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Darrius SimsSimilar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 1
OPP 8
0
13.1%
Johnny McCrary pass intercepted, touchback. Jake Ganus return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 35 yds · 1:2593% → 96%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+29
7.2%
Nick Chubb run for 29 yds to the Geo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
5.2%
Sony Michel run for 5 yds to the Vandy 46Similar
Q4 2:52
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+1
4.8%
Sony Michel run for 1 yd to the Vandy 45Similar
Q4 2:42
3RD & 4
OPP 45
0
4.3%
Greyson Lambert run for no gain to the Vandy 45Similar
Q4 2:35
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
4.3%
Collin Barber punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 26INT TD
5 plays · 52 yds · 1:044% → 1%
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
3.9%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Ralph Webb for 9 yds to the Vandy 29Similar
Q4 2:06
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+10
4.3%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Ralph Webb for 10 yds to the Vandy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
3.5%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Kris Kentera for 9 yds to the Vandy 48Similar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+24
3.6%
Johnny McCrary run for 24 yds to the Geo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+88
1.1%
Johnny McCrary pass intercepted for a TD Dominick Sanders return for 88 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 27END OF GAME
9 plays · 66 yds · 1:001% → 1%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
0.8%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Latevius Rayford for 9 yds to the Vandy 39Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 1
OWN 39
0
0.8%
Johnny McCrary pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:45
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+3
0.8%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the Vandy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
0.9%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Ralph Webb for 4 yds to the Vandy 46Similar
Q4 0:19
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
0.9%
Johnny McCrary pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:13
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
0.9%
Johnny McCrary pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:03
4TH & 6
OWN 46
+44
0.8%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 44 yds to the Geo 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
1.1%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Dallas Rivers for 6 yds to the Geo 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:33
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Latevius Rayford for 7 yds for a TD, (J. McCrary Run For Two-point Conversion)
+10.7
TD · Q3 1:47
Greyson Lambert run for 5 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)
-9.4
KEY PLAY · Q4 4:00
Nick Chubb run for 29 yds to the Geo 49 for a 1ST down
-5.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com