Try the model
JXST

Jacksonville State 20 at Auburn 27

AUB
2015 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2015 · Jordan-Hare Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · AUB
modelAUB aheadJXST aheadconfidence bandkey playAUB scoreJXST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGFGFGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:36 · Hamish MacInnes punt for 42 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remainingScore differential
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 102Pregame prior+37.0Home team on offense−4.8Garbage-time factor−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.3Time remaining−0.8Score differential−2.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:27: Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Roc Thomas for 51 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +4.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 10:43: Connor Rouleau 26 yd FG GOOD — JXST win probability +8.9 pts (now 27%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 5:38: Troymaine Pope run for 5 yds for a TD, (Connor Rouleau KICK) — JXST win probability +36.1 pts (now 77%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:39: Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Melvin Ray for 10 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +40.6 pts (now 65%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Peyton Barber run for 4 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +20.0 pts (now 82%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AUB made the numbers' call on 1 of 5JXST made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 13:00AUB 4th & 6 at JXST 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:40JXST 4th & 19 at AUB 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:06AUB 4th & 9 at JXST 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.5%
    88% to make
    Punt
    98.0%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:29JXST 4th & 5 at AUB 15, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:55AUB 4th & 7 at JXST 32, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.2%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    97.1%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:11JXST 4th & 9 at AUB 33, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.5%
    49% to make
    Punt
    6.1%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:50AUB 4th & 3 at AUB 40, down 4
    Close callPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.4%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:36JXST 4th & 11 at AUB 42, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    10.9%−0.5
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:41AUB 4th & 6 at JXST 47, up 3
    Close callPunted · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.3%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:43JXST 4th & 8 at AUB 9, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%−2.4
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    9.1%−10.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:15JXST 4th & 2 at AUB 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    27.9%−6.0
    45% to make
    Punt
    25.4%−8.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:01JXST 4th & 3 at JXST 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.7%−0.4
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AUB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2JXST made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 5:31JXST Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 8:27AUB Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 5:38JXST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.7%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.7%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 0:39AUB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.5%−7.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AUBDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 1:55100% → 100%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
99.6%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Ricardo Louis for 7 yds to the Aub 42Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+12
99.5%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Ricardo Louis for 12 yds to the JaxSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
99.5%
Peyton Barber run for 7 yds to the JaxSt 39Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 3
OPP 39
-3
99.5%
Peyton Barber run for a loss of 3 yards to the JaxSt 42Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 6
OPP 42
0
99.5%
Jeremy Johnson pass incomplete to Peyton BarberSimilar
Q1 13:00
4TH & 6
OPP 42
0
99.5%
Kevin Phillips punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Josh Barge at the JaxSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 2MISSED FG
13 plays · 69 yds · 5:151% → 1%
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+13
99.5%
Eli Jenkins pass complete to Ruben Gonzalez for 13 yds to the JaxSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
99.5%
Eli Jenkins pass complete to Josh Barge for 5 yds to the JaxSt 27Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+5
99.4%
Eli Jenkins pass complete to Josh Barge for 5 yds to the JaxSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
99.4%
Troymaine Pope run for 14 yds to the JaxSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.4%
Eli Jenkins pass incomplete to Dalton ScrewsSimilar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
99.4%
Eli Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:58
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+11
99.4%
Eli Jenkins pass complete to Ruben Gonzalez for 11 yds to the Aub 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
99.4%
Troymaine Pope run for 5 yds to the Aub 38Similar
Q1 10:08
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+25
99.3%
Eli Jenkins pass complete to Ruben Gonzalez for 25 yds to the Aub 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
99.3%
Troymaine Pope run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 14Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 11
OPP 14
-2
99.3%
Eli Jenkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 16Similar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 13
OPP 16
-6
99.2%
Eli Jenkins sacked by Cassanova McKinzy for a loss of 6 yards to the Aub 22Similar
Q1 7:40
4TH & 19
OPP 22
+39
99.2%
Connor Rouleau 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 3FG
15 plays · 68 yds · 4:2499% → 99%
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
99.2%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Marcus Davis for 11 yds to the Aub 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
99.2%
Peyton Barber run for 3 yds to the Aub 36Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+11
99.2%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Ricardo Louis for 11 yds to the Aub 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
99.2%
Peyton Barber run for 2 yds to the Aub 49Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+7
99.1%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Kerryon Johnson for 7 yds to the JaxSt 44Similar
Q1 5:48
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+8
99.1%
Peyton Barber run for 8 yds to the JaxSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
99.1%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Ricardo Louis for 8 yds to the JaxSt 28Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+6
99.1%
Peyton Barber run for 6 yds to the JaxSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
99.1%
Peyton Barber run for 3 yds to the JaxSt 19Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+3
99.0%
Peyton Barber run for 3 yds to the JaxSt 16Similar
Q1 3:55
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+5
99.0%
Peyton Barber run for 5 yds to the JaxSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
99.0%
Peyton Barber run for 1 yd to the JaxSt 10Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 9
OPP 10
0
98.9%
Jeremy Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:10
3RD & 9
OPP 10
0
98.9%
Jeremy Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:06
4TH & 9
OPP 10
+27
98.9%
Daniel Carlson 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 4FG
13 plays · 60 yds · 4:311% → 2%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.9%
Eli Jenkins pass complete to Josh Barge for 9 yds to the JaxSt 34Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
98.8%
Eli Jenkins run for no gain to the JaxSt 34Similar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
98.8%
Miles Jones run for 1 yd to the JaxSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
98.7%
Eli Jenkins pass complete to Ruben Gonzalez for 8 yds to the JaxSt 43Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+2
98.6%
Eli Jenkins pass complete to Ruben Gonzalez for 2 yds to the JaxSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
98.5%
Eli Jenkins run for no gain to the JaxSt 45Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+6
98.5%
Miles Jones run for 6 yds to the Aub 49Similar
Q2 14:36
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+29
98.4%
Eli Jenkins pass complete to Josh Barge for 29 yds to the Aub 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
98.3%
Eli Jenkins pass complete to Josh Barge for 5 yds to the Aub 15Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 5
OPP 15
0
98.3%
Eli Jenkins pass incomplete to Ruben GonzalezSimilar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 5
OPP 15
0
98.3%
Eli Jenkins pass incomplete to Ruben GonzalezSimilar
Q2 13:29
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+32
98.2%
Connor Rouleau 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 5FG
12 plays · 43 yds · 3:3098% → 98%
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.3%
Roc Thomas run for 2 yds to the Aub 27Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+12
98.2%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Melvin Ray for 12 yds to the Aub 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
98.2%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Ricardo Louis for 13 yds to the JaxSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
98.2%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Ricardo Louis for a loss of 2 yards Ricardo Louis fumbled, recovered by AubSimilar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 12
50
+5
98.1%
JACKSONVILLE ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Dalton Campbell) to the JaxSt 45Similar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 7
OPP 45
0
98.2%
Jeremy Johnson pass incomplete to Melvin RaySimilar
Q2 11:26
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+10
98.1%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Melvin Ray for 10 yds to the JaxSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
98.1%
Peyton Barber run for 4 yds to the JaxSt 31Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 6
OPP 31
-1
98.0%
Roc Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the JaxSt 32Similar
Q2 10:01
3RD & 7
OPP 32
0
97.9%
Jeremy Johnson pass incomplete to D'haquille WilliamsSimilar
Q2 9:55
4TH & 7
OPP 32
+49
97.9%
Daniel Carlson 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 6TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:192% → 5%
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
97.8%
Eli Jenkins run for a loss of 5 yards to the JaxSt 20 Eli Jenkins fumbled, recovered by JaxSt Josh ClemonsSimilar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+11
97.8%
Eli Jenkins pass complete to Spencer Goffigan for 11 yds to the JaxSt 31Similar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+26
97.6%
Eli Jenkins pass complete to Ruben Gonzalez for 26 yds to the Aub 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
97.3%
Eli Jenkins pass incomplete to Josh ClemonsSimilar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+4
97.2%
Josh Clemons run for 4 yds to the Aub 39 Josh Clemons fumbled, recovered by JaxSt Blake BurksSimilar
Q2 7:25
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+14
97.3%
Eli Jenkins pass complete to Josh Barge for 14 yds to the Aub 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
97.0%
Eli Jenkins pass complete to Josh Barge for 8 yds to the Aub 17Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+2
96.9%
Troymaine Pope run for 2 yds to the Aub 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
96.8%
Eli Jenkins run for 4 yds to the Aub 11Similar
Q2 5:31
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+11
95.3%
Eli Jenkins pass complete to Josh Barge for 11 yds for a TD, (Connor Rouleau KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 7INT
4 plays · 16 yds · 0:3696% → 96%
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
95.9%
Peyton Barber run for 2 yds to the Aub 37Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+11
95.8%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Ricardo Louis for 11 yds to the Aub 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
96.0%
Peyton Barber run for 3 yds to the JaxSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 8MISSED FG
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:525% → 6%
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
94.7%
Eli Jenkins pass incomplete to Josh BargeSimilar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+1
94.6%
Eli Jenkins run for 1 yd to the Aub 33 Eli Jenkins fumbled, recovered by JaxSt Eli JenkinsSimilar
Q2 3:17
3RD & 9
OPP 33
0
94.2%
Eli Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:11
4TH & 9
OPP 33
+50
94.5%
Connor Rouleau 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:1595% → 94%
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
95.0%
Roc Thomas run for 6 yds to the Aub 39Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+1
95.0%
Jeremy Johnson run for 1 yd to the Aub 40Similar
Q2 1:59
3RD & 3
OWN 40
0
94.4%
Jeremy Johnson pass incomplete to Ricardo LouisSimilar
Q2 1:50
4TH & 3
OWN 40
0
93.9%
Kevin Phillips punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Josh Barge at the JaxSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 10END OF HALF
6 plays · 35 yds · 1:196% → 8%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+21
93.7%
Eli Jenkins run for 6 yds to the JaxSt 14 for a 1ST down AUBURN Penalty, Personal Foul (Blake Countess) to the JaxSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
93.2%
Troymaine Pope run for 4 yds to the JaxSt 33Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 6
OWN 33
0
92.7%
Eli Jenkins pass incomplete to Ruben GonzalezSimilar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+12
92.8%
Eli Jenkins run for 12 yds to the JaxSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
92.2%
Eli Jenkins pass incomplete to Josh BargeSimilar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-2
92.2%
Troymaine Pope run for a loss of 2 yards to the JaxSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 33 yds · 3:188% → 10%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.5%
Eli Jenkins pass incomplete to Josh BargeSimilar
Q3 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
92.4%
Troymaine Pope run for 6 yds to the JaxSt 31Similar
Q3 14:15
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+16
92.0%
Eli Jenkins pass complete to Josh Barge for 16 yds to the JaxSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
90.8%
Eli Jenkins pass complete to Dalton Screws for 8 yds to the Aub 45Similar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+4
90.1%
Troymaine Pope run for 4 yds to the Aub 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
89.8%
Troymaine Pope run for 4 yds to the Aub 37Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 6
OPP 37
0
89.0%
Eli Jenkins pass incomplete to Josh BargeSimilar
Q3 11:52
3RD & 6
OPP 37
-5
89.2%
JACKSONVILLE ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Aub 42Similar
Q3 11:45
3RD & 11
OPP 42
0
89.5%
Eli Jenkins pass incomplete to Ruben GonzalezSimilar
Q3 11:36
4TH & 11
OPP 42
0
90.2%
Hamish MacInnes punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 12TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:5390% → 94%
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
90.1%
Jeremy Johnson run for 2 yds to the Aub 22Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+11
89.7%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Ricardo Louis for 11 yds to the Aub 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
89.7%
Roc Thomas run for 2 yds to the Aub 35Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 8
OWN 35
-1
89.3%
Roc Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 34Similar
Q3 9:25
3RD & 9
OWN 34
+13
88.0%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to D'haquille Williams for 13 yds to the Aub 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
89.5%
Roc Thomas run for 2 yds to the Aub 49Similar
Q3 8:27
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+51
93.8%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Roc Thomas for 51 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 13INT
10 plays · 33 yds · 4:408% → 12%
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
92.1%
Eli Jenkins run for 5 yds to the JaxSt 37Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+6
91.2%
Eli Jenkins pass complete to Ruben Gonzalez for 6 yds to the JaxSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
90.6%
Eli Jenkins pass complete to Dalton Screws for 11 yds to the Aub 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+12
89.8%
Eli Jenkins run for 12 yds to the Aub 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-10
88.9%
Jenkins, Eli rush for 1 yard to the AUBURN33, PENALTY JAXVILLEST holding (Lea, Justin) 10 yards to the AUBURN44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:26
1ST & 20
OPP 44
-10
89.5%
Jenkins, Eli pass complete to Screws, Dalton for 5 yards to the AUBURN39, PENALTY JAXVILLEST holding (Burks, Blake) 10 yards to the JAXVILLEST46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 30
OWN 46
+9
89.3%
Troymaine Pope run for 9 yds to the Aub 45Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 21
OPP 45
+10
89.1%
Eli Jenkins run for 10 yds to the Aub 35Similar
Q3 3:35
3RD & 11
OPP 35
0
88.2%
Eli Jenkins pass intercepted, touchback. Johnathan Ford return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 2:3990% → 88%
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
89.7%
Ricardo Louis run for 3 yds to the Aub 23Similar
Q3 2:56
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-10
89.4%
Barber, Peyton rush for 15 yards to the AUBURN38, PENALTY AUBURN holding (Smith, Braden) 10 yards to the AUBURN13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:32
2ND & 17
OWN 13
+22
88.9%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Roc Thomas for 22 yds to the Aub 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
89.1%
Roc Thomas run for 5 yds to the Aub 40Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+9
89.8%
Peyton Barber run for 9 yds to the Aub 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
89.8%
Jeremy Johnson pass incomplete to Ricardo LouisSimilar
Q3 1:11
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+4
89.4%
Jeremy Johnson run for 4 yds to the JaxSt 47Similar
Q3 0:49
3RD & 6
OPP 47
0
89.1%
Jeremy Johnson pass incomplete to D'haquille WilliamsSimilar
Q3 0:41
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
87.8%
Kevin Phillips punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Josh Barge at the JaxSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 15FG
13 plays · 74 yds · 4:4113% → 27%
Q3 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
87.3%
Eli Jenkins pass complete to Josh Barge for 6 yds to the JaxSt 23Similar
Q3 0:12
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+18
86.8%
Josh Clemons run for 18 yds to the JaxSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
85.6%
Josh Clemons run for 6 yds to the JaxSt 47Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+8
84.6%
Josh Clemons run for 8 yds to the Aub 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
84.4%
Eli Jenkins pass complete to Josh Barge for 6 yds to the Aub 39Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+10
83.3%
Eli Jenkins pass complete to Ruben Gonzalez for 10 yds to the Aub 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
83.2%
Eli Jenkins run for 4 yds to the Aub 25Similar
Q4 12:46
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+14
82.4%
Eli Jenkins pass complete to Spencer Goffigan for 14 yds to the Aub 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
81.7%
Eli Jenkins pass incomplete to Ruben GonzalezSimilar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+1
81.6%
Eli Jenkins run for 1 yd to the Aub 10Similar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 9
OPP 10
+1
82.1%
Eli Jenkins pass complete to Josh Barge for 1 yd to the Aub 9Similar
Q4 10:43
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+26
73.1%
Connor Rouleau 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 16INT
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:3281% → 79%
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
81.1%
Kerryon Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 45Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 11
OWN 45
0
78.7%
Jeremy Johnson pass intercepted Dawson Wells return for no gain to the JaxSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 17TD
12 plays · 56 yds · 4:0431% → 77%
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
69.3%
Troymaine Pope run for 13 yds to the Aub 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
67.5%
Troymaine Pope run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 44Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 11
OPP 44
0
67.2%
Eli Jenkins pass incomplete to Markis MerrillSimilar
Q4 8:43
3RD & 11
OPP 44
+9
68.8%
Eli Jenkins pass complete to Josh Barge for 9 yds to the Aub 35Similar
Q4 8:15
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+2
68.8%
Eli Jenkins run for 2 yds to the Aub 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
63.4%
Eli Jenkins pass complete to Josh Barge for 8 yds to the Aub 25Similar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+5
60.9%
Troymaine Pope run for 5 yds to the Aub 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
59.8%
Eli Jenkins run for 5 yds to the Aub 15Similar
Q4 6:33
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+4
59.0%
Eli Jenkins run for 4 yds to the Aub 11Similar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+6
59.5%
Troymaine Pope run for 6 yds to the Aub 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
23.4%
Troymaine Pope run for 5 yds for a TD, (Connor Rouleau KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 18FUMBLE
9 plays · 71 yds · 2:2532% → 38%
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
32.3%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to D'haquille Williams for 9 yds to the Aub 25Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+4
34.2%
Peyton Barber run for 4 yds to the Aub 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+18
31.3%
Peyton Barber run for 18 yds to the Aub 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+21
34.8%
Peyton Barber run for 21 yds to the JaxSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
39.9%
Peyton Barber run for 5 yds to the JaxSt 27Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+2
39.3%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Ricardo Louis for 2 yds to the JaxSt 25Similar
Q4 3:20
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+5
35.6%
Peyton Barber run for 5 yds to the JaxSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+13
37.6%
Roc Thomas run for 7 yds to the JaxSt 7 Roc Thomas fumbled, forced by Brandon Bender, recovered by JaxSt Randy Robinson JACKSONVILLE ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (6 Yards) to the JaxSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:5981% → 83%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
18.7%
Troymaine Pope run for 3 yds to the JaxSt 10Similar
Q4 2:52
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+3
16.3%
Troymaine Pope run for 3 yds to the JaxSt 13Similar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 4
OWN 13
+1
16.0%
Troymaine Pope run for 1 yd to the JaxSt 14Similar
Q4 2:01
4TH & 3
OWN 14
0
16.7%
Hamish MacInnes punt for 17 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the JaxSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 20TD
5 plays · 31 yds · 1:1627% → 65%
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
26.6%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Chandler Cox for 6 yds to the JaxSt 25Similar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+12
26.6%
Peyton Barber run for 12 yds to the JaxSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
27.2%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Ricardo Louis for 3 yds to the JaxSt 10Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 7
OPP 10
0
24.0%
Jeremy Johnson pass incomplete to Ricardo LouisSimilar
Q4 0:39
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+10
64.6%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Melvin Ray for 10 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 21END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
50.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the JaxSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 22TD
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0065% → 82%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
64.7%
Kerryon Johnson run for 9 yds to the JaxSt 16Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+2
64.7%
Peyton Barber run for 2 yds to the JaxSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
64.7%
Peyton Barber run for 1 yd to the JaxSt 13Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 13
0
64.7%
Jeremy Johnson run for no gain to the JaxSt 13Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 13
+9
62.4%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Peyton Barber for 9 yds to the JaxSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
82.3%
Peyton Barber run for 4 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 23Uncategorized
8 plays · 4 yds · 0:0020% → 8%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
80.4%
Troymaine Pope run for 2 yds to the Aub 23Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
80.4%
Eli Jenkins pass incomplete to Ruben GonzalezSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+15
87.6%
Jenkins, Eli pass incomplete to Barge, Josh, PENALTY AUBURN pass interference (Davis, Carlton) 15 yards to the AUBURN8, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN JAXVILLEST.Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
79.3%
Troymaine Pope run for 3 yds to the Aub 5Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
79.3%
Troymaine Pope run for no gain to the Aub 5Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-16
84.9%
Eli Jenkins sacked by Cassanova McKinzy for a loss of 16 yards to the Aub 21Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 21
0
92.4%
Eli Jenkins pass incomplete to Josh BargeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:39
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Melvin Ray for 10 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)
+40.6
TD · Q4 5:38
Troymaine Pope run for 5 yds for a TD, (Connor Rouleau KICK)
-36.1
TD · OT 0:00
Peyton Barber run for 4 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)
+20
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com