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MTSU

Middle Tennessee 10 at Alabama 37

ALA
2015 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2015 · Bryant-Denny Stadium
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Win probability · ALA
modelALA aheadMTSU aheadconfidence bandkey playALA scoreMTSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:50 · JK Scott punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Bryson at the MTnSt 22
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 137Pregame prior+27.4Home team on offense+30.7Score differential+24.5Garbage-time factor+9.8Blowout margin+10.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 13:00: Cody Clark 20 yd FG Good — MTSU win probability +0.5 pts (now 5%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:14: Derrick Henry run for 2 yds for a TD (Adam Griffith Kick) — ALA win probability +1.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:54: Derrick Henry run for 1 yd for a TD (Adam Griffith Kick) — ALA win probability +1.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  4. PUNT · Q2 2:39: Trevor Owens punt blocked by Ronnie Harrison for a SAFETY — ALA win probability +1.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:54: Cooper Bateman pass complete to Kenyan Drake for 14 yds for a TD (Adam Griffith Kick) — ALA win probability +1.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ALA made the numbers' call on 9 of 9MTSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 14:21ALA 4th & 6 at ALA 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:50MTSU 4th & 6 at ALA 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.9%
    58% to make
    Punt
    2.6%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:27ALA 4th & 5 at MTSU 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    96.7%−0.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    96.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:03MTSU 4th & 1 at ALA 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    3.4%−0.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    3.4%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:14ALA 4th & 15 at ALA 11, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%−0.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:00MTSU 4th & 3 at ALA 3, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.9%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    4.0%−1.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:49MTSU 4th & 7 at MTSU 34, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:39MTSU 4th & 3 at MTSU 8, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−<0.1
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:57ALA 4th & 4 at MTSU 33, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    98.3%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    98.1%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:27ALA 4th & 13 at MTSU 32, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.2%
    51% to make
    Punt
    98.0%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:20MTSU 4th & 21 at MTSU 21, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.7
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:05MTSU 4th & 5 at MTSU 35, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:50ALA 4th & 6 at ALA 36, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:09MTSU 4th & 6 at ALA 46, down 27
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:00MTSU 4th & 1 at MTSU 25, down 34
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:07ALA 4th & 6 at ALA 32, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:38MTSU 4th & 10 at MTSU 40, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:39ALA 4th & 9 at ALA 46, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:39MTSU 4th & 3 at MTSU 18, down 34
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:36ALA 4th & 1 at MTSU 39, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.2
    36% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ALA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5MTSU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 12:28ALA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:14ALA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:54ALA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:54ALA Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:33ALA Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:11MTSU Touchdown, down 28 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ALADrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:2598% → 98%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
97.6%
Jake Coker pass incomplete to Derrick HenrySimilar
Q1 14:39
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+4
97.6%
Jake Coker pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 4 yds to the Alab 47Similar
Q1 14:32
3RD & 6
OWN 47
0
97.6%
Jake Coker pass incomplete to ArDarius StewartSimilar
Q1 14:21
4TH & 6
OWN 47
+5
97.6%
JK Scott punt for 35 yds , Ed'Marques Batties returns for 5 yds to the MTnSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 2FUMBLE
1 play · 9 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
97.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Christian Collis for 9 yds Christian Collis fumbled, forced by Marlon Humphrey, recovered by Alab Geno Matias-SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 3TD
4 plays · 32 yds · 1:3498% → 98%
Q1 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
97.6%
Jake Coker pass complete to Kenyan Drake for 3 yds to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+3
97.5%
Derrick Henry run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q1 12:53
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+7
97.4%
Jake Coker pass complete to Richard Mullaney for 7 yds to the MTnSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
97.5%
Jake Coker pass complete to Robert Foster for 19 yds for a TD (Adam Griffith Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 4MISSED FG
11 plays · 46 yds · 2:213% → 3%
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.4%
Jordan Parker run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+10
97.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 10 yds to the MTnSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
97.3%
Jordan Parker run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+15
97.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 15 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
97.2%
Jordan Parker run for 3 yds to the Alab 42Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+9
97.2%
Jordan Parker run for 9 yds to the Alab 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
97.1%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ed'Marques BattiesSimilar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+4
97.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 4 yds to the Alab 29Similar
Q1 9:56
3RD & 6
OPP 29
0
97.1%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ed'Marques BattiesSimilar
Q1 9:50
4TH & 6
OPP 29
+46
97.1%
Cody Clark 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 5DOWNS
7 plays · 30 yds · 2:1797% → 97%
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
97.1%
Jake Coker pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 8 yds to the Alab 37Similar
Q1 9:32
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+5
97.2%
Derrick Henry run for 5 yds to the Alab 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
97.1%
Jake Coker pass complete to O.J. Howard for 12 yds to the MTnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
97.1%
Jake Coker pass incomplete to O.J. HowardSimilar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+6
97.1%
Jake Coker pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 6 yds to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q1 8:02
3RD & 4
OPP 40
-1
97.0%
Kenyan Drake run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q1 7:27
4TH & 5
OPP 41
0
96.9%
Jake Coker pass incomplete to Kenyan DrakeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 6FUMBLE
15 plays · 43 yds · 4:443% → 4%
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
96.8%
Shane Tucker run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q1 6:49
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
96.7%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ed'Marques BattiesSimilar
Q1 6:40
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+9
96.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Christian Collis for 9 yds to the Alab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
96.6%
Tucker, Shane rush for 13 yards to the ALABAMA34, PENALTY MIDDLETENN illegal formation 5 yards to the MIDDLETENN48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 15
OWN 48
+4
96.6%
Brent Stockstill run for 4 yds to the Alab 48Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+8
96.5%
Shane Tucker run for 8 yds to the Alab 40Similar
Q1 5:25
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+2
96.4%
Shane Tucker run for 2 yds to the Alab 38Similar
Q1 5:03
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+2
96.5%
Shane Tucker run for 2 yds to the Alab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
96.4%
Shane Tucker run for 4 yds to the Alab 32Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 6
OPP 32
0
96.2%
Shane Tucker run for no gain to the Alab 32Similar
Q1 3:48
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+10
96.2%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 10 yds to the Alab 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
96.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 9 yds to the Alab 13Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 1
OPP 13
0
96.0%
Jeremiah Bryson run for no gain to the Alab 13Similar
Q1 2:33
3RD & 1
OPP 13
-3
96.0%
Shane Tucker run for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 16 Shane Tucker fumbled, forced by Reggie Ragland, recovered by Alab Jarran ReedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:1996% → 96%
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-5
96.3%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (ArDarius Stewart) to the Alab 11Similar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 15
OWN 11
-5
96.2%
Derrick Henry run for a loss of 5 yards to the Alab 6Similar
Q1 1:46
2ND & 20
OWN 6
+5
96.1%
Jake Coker run for 5 yds to the Alab 11Similar
Q1 1:23
3RD & 15
OWN 11
0
96.0%
Jake Coker pass incomplete to ArDarius Stewart ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Dominick Jackson) declinedSimilar
Q1 1:14
4TH & 15
OWN 11
0
95.9%
JK Scott punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Bryson at the Alab 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 8FG
12 plays · 45 yds · 3:084% → 5%
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
95.8%
Brent Stockstill run for 9 yds to the Alab 39Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+3
95.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 3 yds to the Alab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
95.6%
Jordan Parker run for 5 yds to the Alab 31Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 31
0
95.4%
Jordan Parker run for no gain to the Alab 31Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+9
95.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terry Pettis for 9 yds to the Alab 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-1
95.3%
Shane Tucker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 23Similar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 11
OPP 23
0
95.2%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ed'Marques Batties MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 13:59
3RD & 11
OPP 23
+21
95.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 21 yds to the Alab 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
95.2%
Shane Tucker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 3Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
95.1%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Shane TuckerSimilar
Q2 13:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
95.2%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie JamesSimilar
Q2 13:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
94.7%
Cody Clark 20 yd FG GoodSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 9TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:2895% → 96%
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+42
94.7%
Jake Coker pass complete to O.J. Howard for 42 yds to the MTnSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
95.0%
Jake Coker pass incomplete to ArDarius StewartSimilar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+12
95.0%
Derrick Henry run for 12 yds to the MTnSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
94.9%
Derrick Henry run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 15Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+3
94.8%
Derrick Henry run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 12Similar
Q2 10:45
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+1
94.6%
Derrick Henry run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
94.6%
Jake Coker pass incomplete to ArDarius StewartSimilar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
94.6%
Jake Coker pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for no gain to the MTnSt 11Similar
Q2 9:33
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+7
94.3%
Coker, Jake pass incomplete to Mullaney, Richard, PENALTY MIDDLETENN pass interference (Singletary, Jared) 7 yards to the MIDDLETENN4, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMA.Similar
Q2 9:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
94.5%
Derrick Henry run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 2Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.1%
Derrick Henry run for 2 yds for a TD (Adam Griffith Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 10INT
9 plays · 23 yds · 2:464% → 5%
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
95.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 9 yds to the MTnSt 34Similar
Q2 8:38
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+1
95.4%
Jordan Parker run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
95.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Jordan Parker for 2 yds to the MTnSt 37Similar
Q2 7:49
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
95.4%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie JamesSimilar
Q2 7:40
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+9
95.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 9 yds to the MTnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
95.1%
Jordan Parker run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
95.0%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:18
3RD & 8
OWN 48
0
95.1%
Brent Stockstill pass intercepted Cyrus Jones return for no gain to the Alab 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 11TD
2 plays · 70 yds · 0:1196% → 97%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+69
95.5%
Jake Coker pass complete to Kenyan Drake for 69 yds to the MTnSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.2%
Derrick Henry run for 1 yd for a TD (Adam Griffith Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:533% → 3%
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
96.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Christian Collis for 3 yds to the MTnSt 34Similar
Q2 5:08
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
96.6%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Terry PettisSimilar
Q2 5:02
3RD & 7
OWN 34
0
96.7%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Rod DucksworthSimilar
Q2 4:49
4TH & 7
OWN 34
+21
96.8%
Trevor Owens punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Cyrus Jones at the ALABAMA 30, MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Personal Foul (Derious Bennett) to the Alab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 13INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
97.0%
Jake Coker pass intercepted Kevin Byard return for no gain to the MTnSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 14SF
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:563% → 2%
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
96.7%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, False Start (Jaylen Hunter) to the MTnSt 1Similar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+7
96.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Rod Ducksworth for 7 yds to the MTnSt 8Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 3
OWN 8
0
96.8%
Shane Tucker run for no gain to the MTnSt 8 MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 3:23
3RD & 3
OWN 8
0
96.9%
Shane Tucker run for no gain to the MTnSt 8Similar
Q2 2:39
4TH & 3
OWN 8
0
98.2%
Trevor Owens punt blocked by Ronnie Harrison for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 15DOWNS
15 plays · 40 yds · 2:2599% → 98%
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
50
+6
98.6%
Jake Coker pass complete to Robert Foster for 6 yds to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+5
98.6%
Kenyan Drake run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
98.6%
Jake Coker pass incomplete to Kenyan DrakeSimilar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
98.6%
Jake Coker pass incomplete to ArDarius StewartSimilar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+6
98.6%
Jake Coker pass complete to O.J. Howard for 6 yds to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q2 0:57
4TH & 4
OPP 33
+9
98.8%
Jake Coker pass complete to Robert Foster for 9 yds to the MTnSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
99.0%
Coker, Jake pass complete to Stewart, ArDarius for 4 yards to the MIDDLETENN20, PENALTY MIDDLETENN 12 men on the field 1 yards to the MIDDLETENN19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 5
OPP 19
-10
98.9%
ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Dominick Jackson) to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 15
OPP 29
0
98.9%
Jake Coker pass incomplete to Robert FosterSimilar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 15
OPP 29
+15
98.9%
Jake Coker pass complete to Robert Foster for 15 yds to the MTnSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
98.8%
Jake Coker pass complete to Kenyan Drake for 8 yds to the MTnSt 6Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 6
+24
98.4%
Adam Griffith 24 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 16FUMBLE
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.2%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 4 yds Ed'Marques Batties fumbled, forced by Eddie Jackson, recovered by Alab Eddie JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 17MISSED FG
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:1399% → 99%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
98.7%
Derrick Henry run for no gain to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-3
98.7%
Cooper Bateman pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for a loss of 3 yards to the MTnSt 32Similar
Q3 13:34
3RD & 13
OPP 32
0
98.6%
Cooper Bateman pass incomplete to Kenyan DrakeSimilar
Q3 13:27
4TH & 13
OPP 32
+49
98.5%
Adam Griffith 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · -11 yds · 1:002% → 2%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-8
98.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 2 yds to the MTnSt 34 MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ed'Marques Batties) to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 18
OWN 24
-12
98.4%
Stockstill, Brent pass complete to Batties, Ed'Marques for 28 yards to the ALABAMA48, PENALTY MIDDLETENN pass interference (Batties, Ed'Marques) 12 yards to the MIDDLETENN12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 30
OWN 12
+9
98.3%
Brent Stockstill run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 21Similar
Q3 12:36
2ND & 21
OWN 21
0
98.2%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Jordan ParkerSimilar
Q3 12:32
3RD & 21
OWN 21
0
98.2%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie JamesSimilar
Q3 12:20
4TH & 21
OWN 21
+5
98.2%
Trevor Owens punt for 39 yds , Cyrus Jones returns for 5 yds to the Alab 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 19TD
4 plays · 55 yds · 1:2099% → 100%
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+13
98.6%
Kenyan Drake run for 13 yds to the MTnSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
98.6%
Kenyan Drake run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q3 11:21
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+19
98.6%
Cooper Bateman run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 27 for a 1ST down MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Personal Foul (Kevin Byard) to the MTnSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
99.7%
Cooper Bateman pass complete to Kenyan Drake for 14 yds for a TD (Adam Griffith Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:350% → 0%
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
99.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terry Pettis for 11 yds to the MTnSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
99.7%
Brent Stockstill run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 35Similar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
99.7%
Shane Tucker run for no gain to the MTnSt 35Similar
Q3 9:14
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
99.7%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Demetrius FrazierSimilar
Q3 9:05
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
99.7%
Trevor Owens punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Cyrus Jones at the Alab 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:10100% → 100%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-3
99.7%
Cooper Bateman pass complete to Kenyan Drake for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 29Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 13
OWN 29
+7
99.7%
Kenyan Drake run for 7 yds to the Alab 36Similar
Q3 7:59
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
99.8%
Cooper Bateman pass incomplete to Chris BlackSimilar
Q3 7:50
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
99.8%
JK Scott punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Bryson at the MTnSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 32 yds · 1:350% → 0%
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+18
99.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 18 yds to the MTnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
99.7%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 45Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+5
99.7%
Bryson, Jeremiah rush for 1 yard to the MIDDLETENN46, PENALTY ALABAMA 12 men on the field 5 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MIDDLETENN.Similar
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
50
+4
99.8%
Shane Tucker run for 4 yds to the Alab 46Similar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
99.7%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Shane TuckerSimilar
Q3 6:18
3RD & 6
OPP 46
0
99.8%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Rod DucksworthSimilar
Q3 6:09
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
99.8%
Trevor Owens punt for 44 yds, downed at the Alab 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 23TD
11 plays · 97 yds · 4:27100% → 100%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
99.8%
Derrick Henry run for 2 yds to the Alab 5Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+8
99.8%
Cooper Bateman pass complete to O.J. Howard for 8 yds to the Alab 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
99.8%
Kenyan Drake run for 7 yds to the Alab 20Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+1
99.8%
Derrick Henry run for 1 yd to the Alab 21Similar
Q3 3:55
3RD & 2
OWN 21
+4
99.8%
Derrick Henry run for 4 yds to the Alab 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
Derrick Henry run for 3 yds to the Alab 28Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
99.9%
Derrick Henry run for 9 yds to the Alab 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+19
99.9%
Derrick Henry run for 19 yds to the MTnSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Cooper Bateman pass incomplete to Calvin RidleySimilar
Q3 1:52
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+16
99.9%
Cooper Bateman pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 16 yds to the MTnSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
99.9%
Derrick Henry run for 28 yds for a TD (Adam Griffith Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:230% → 0%
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
99.9%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Terry PettisSimilar
Q3 1:10
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+4
99.9%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 20Similar
Q3 0:45
3RD & 6
OWN 20
+5
99.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 5 yds to the MTnSt 25Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 1
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Trevor Owens punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Cyrus Jones at the Alab 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:48100% → 100%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Cooper Bateman pass incomplete to Calvin RidleySimilar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+4
99.9%
Damien Harris run for 4 yds to the Alab 32Similar
Q4 14:19
3RD & 6
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Cooper Bateman pass incomplete to Calvin RidleySimilar
Q4 14:07
4TH & 6
OWN 32
+28
99.9%
JK Scott punt for 43 yds, downed at the ALABAMA 25, ALABAMA Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Bradley Sylve) to the MTnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:220% → 0%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Jordan ParkerSimilar
Q4 13:55
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Terry PettisSimilar
Q4 13:49
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ed'Marques BattiesSimilar
Q4 13:38
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Trevor Owens punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 27PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 2:51100% → 100%
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
99.9%
Cooper Bateman pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 11 yds to the Alab 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
99.9%
Cooper Bateman pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 6 yds to the Alab 39Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+6
99.9%
Cooper Bateman pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 6 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
99.9%
Damien Harris run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 5
50
+4
99.9%
Cooper Bateman pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 4 yds to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q4 11:34
3RD & 1
OPP 46
-3
99.9%
Damien Harris run for a loss of 3 yards to the MTnSt 49Similar
Q4 10:50
4TH & 4
OPP 49
-5
99.9%
ALABAMA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Alab 46Similar
Q4 10:39
4TH & 9
OWN 46
+1
99.9%
JK Scott punt for 44 yds , Ed'Marques Batties returns for 1 yd to the MTnSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:510% → 0%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
99.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 4 yds to the MTnSt 15Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+1
99.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Tyler Barron for 1 yd to the MTnSt 16Similar
Q4 9:32
3RD & 5
OWN 16
+2
99.9%
Brent Stockstill run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 18Similar
Q4 8:39
4TH & 3
OWN 18
+22
99.9%
Trevor Owens punt for 49 yds , Richard Mullaney returns for 22 yds to the MTnSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 29INT
3 plays · 37 yds · 1:03100% → 100%
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+31
99.9%
Cooper Bateman pass complete to Ty Flournoy-Smith for 31 yds to the MTnSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
99.9%
Damien Harris run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 8Similar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+77
99.9%
Cooper Bateman pass intercepted Jeremy Cutrer return for 77 yds to the Alab 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 30TD
3 plays · 20 yds · 1:090% → 0%
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
99.9%
Austin Grammer run for 2 yds to the Alab 18Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+3
99.9%
Austin Grammer run for 3 yds to the Alab 15Similar
Q4 6:11
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+15
99.9%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Rod Ducksworth for 15 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 31END OF GAME
11 plays · 69 yds · 5:47100% → 100%
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-2
99.9%
Damien Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 11Similar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 12
OWN 11
+41
99.9%
Damien Harris run for 41 yds to the MTnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Cooper Bateman run for no gain to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+1
99.9%
Damien Harris run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 9
OPP 47
+8
100.0%
Cooper Bateman pass complete to Damien Harris for 8 yds to the MTnSt 39Similar
Q4 2:36
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+3
99.9%
Damien Harris run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
100.0%
Derrick Gore run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+1
100.0%
Derrick Gore run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q4 0:50
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+4
100.0%
Ronnie Clark run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
100.0%
Ronnie Clark run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:14
Derrick Henry run for 2 yds for a TD (Adam Griffith Kick)
+1.6
TD · Q2 5:54
Derrick Henry run for 1 yd for a TD (Adam Griffith Kick)
+1.6
PUNT · Q2 2:39
Trevor Owens punt blocked by Ronnie Harrison for a SAFETY
+1.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com