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WCU

Western Carolina 10 at Tennessee 55

TENN
2015 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2015 · Neyland Stadium
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Win probability · TENN
modelTENN aheadWCU aheadconfidence bandkey playTENN scoreWCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Joe Young run for 8 yds to the Tenn 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:06: Jalen Hurd 5 Yd pass from Joshua Dobbs (Aaron Medley Kick) — TENN win probability +1.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 5:12: Aaron Medley 31 yd FG GOOD — TENN win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:20: Jalen Hurd run for 8 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK) — TENN win probability +1.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 1:00: Logan Howard 32 yd FG GOOD — WCU win probability +0.4 pts (now 1%) (top driver: WCU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:45: Blake Metcalf kickoff for 53 yds , Evan Berry return for 88 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK) — TENN win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TENN made the numbers' call on 5 of 9WCU made the numbers' call on 5 of 11
  1. Q1 10:06WCU 4th & 1 at WCU 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:23TENN 4th & 1 at WCU 1, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.6%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    96.1%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:43WCU 4th & 9 at WCU 8, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:46TENN 4th & 1 at WCU 46, up 10
    Close callPunted · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    96.1%−0.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.3%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:36WCU 4th & 11 at WCU 11, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:24WCU 4th & 3 at WCU 47, down 17
    Close callPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:51TENN 4th & 4 at TENN 38, up 17
    Close callPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:45WCU 4th & 3 at WCU 16, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:12TENN 4th & 5 at WCU 13, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.8%
    85% to make
    Punt
    95.3%−1.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:00WCU 4th & 3 at TENN 14, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.9%
    84% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:29TENN 4th & 8 at WCU 44, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:23WCU 4th & 4 at WCU 9, down 38
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:50WCU 4th & 2 at WCU 31, down 45
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:33WCU 4th & 3 at TENN 48, down 52
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:04TENN 4th & 4 at TENN 43, up 52
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:44WCU 4th & 7 at WCU 17, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:39TENN 4th & 11 at TENN 43, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:30TENN 4th & 1 at WCU 46, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.3
    23% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:05TENN 4th & 4 at WCU 38, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:00WCU 4th & 5 at TENN 32, down 45
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    51% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TENN made the numbers' call on 5 of 5WCU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:53TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:06TENN Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:20TENN Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:53TENN Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:45TENN Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:59WCU Touchdown, down 46 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WCUDrive 1FUMBLE
6 plays · 26 yds · 1:112% → 2%
Q1 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.4%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Darius Ramsey for 9 yds to the WCaro 34Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
98.4%
Darius Ramsey run for 4 yds to the WCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
98.4%
WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Tyler Philpott) to the WCaro 33Similar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 15
OWN 33
0
98.3%
Troy Mitchell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:17
2ND & 15
OWN 33
+18
98.3%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Karnorris Benson for 18 yds Karnorris Benson fumbled, recovered by Tenn Derek BarnettSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 2TD
5 plays · 51 yds · 1:1798% → 98%
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
98.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Malone for 5 yds to the WCaro 46Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+7
98.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Malone for 7 yds to the WCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
98.3%
Jalen Hurd run for 10 yds to the WCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
98.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Ethan Wolf for 4 yds to the WCaro 25Similar
Q1 11:53
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+25
98.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Preston Williams for 25 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:192% → 2%
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.2%
Detrez Newsome run for 2 yds to the WCaro 27Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
98.2%
Troy Mitchell pass incomplete to Spearman RobinsonSimilar
Q1 11:08
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
98.2%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Defensive Offside (Kyle Phillips) to the WCaro 32Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
98.1%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Detrez Newsome for 2 yds to the WCaro 34Similar
Q1 10:06
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-2
98.1%
Ian Berryman punt for 51 yds , Cameron Sutton returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 4FG
13 plays · 84 yds · 3:3598% → 98%
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+13
98.1%
Jalen Hurd run for 13 yds to the Tenn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
98.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 7 yds to the Tenn 33Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+9
98.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Von Pearson for 9 yds to the Tenn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
98.0%
Alvin Kamara run for 13 yds to the WCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
98.0%
Jalen Hurd run for 6 yds to the WCaro 39Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 4
OPP 39
-13
98.0%
Joshua Dobbs sacked by TEAM for a loss of 12 yards to the TENNESSEE 49 TENNESSEE Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Joshua Dobbs) to the Tenn 49Similar
Q1 8:21
3RD & 16
OPP 49
+14
97.9%
WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jaleel Lorquet) to the WCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
98.0%
Alvin Kamara run for 5 yds to the WCaro 31Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+23
97.9%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Ethan Wolf for 23 yds to the WCaro 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
97.9%
Jalen Hurd run for 3 yds to the WCaro 5Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
97.9%
Jalen Hurd run for 4 yds to the WCaro 1Similar
Q1 6:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.8%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Marquez NorthSimilar
Q1 6:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+20
97.8%
Aaron Medley 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:172% → 2%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
97.7%
Detrez Newsome run for 1 yd to the WCaro 8Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 9
OWN 8
0
97.6%
Troy Mitchell run for no gain to the WCaro 8Similar
Q1 4:52
3RD & 9
OWN 8
0
97.6%
Troy Mitchell pass incomplete to Steffon HillSimilar
Q1 4:43
4TH & 9
OWN 8
0
97.6%
Ian Berryman punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3998% → 97%
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
97.7%
Pig Howard run for 1 yd to the Tenn 46Similar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+4
97.6%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Ethan Wolf for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:17
3RD & 5
50
+4
97.5%
Joshua Dobbs run for 4 yds to the WCaro 46Similar
Q1 2:46
4TH & 1
OPP 46
0
97.4%
Trevor Daniel punt for 34 yds, fair catch by C.J. Goodman at the WCaro 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:413% → 3%
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-10
97.3%
Troy Mitchell run for a loss of 10 yards to the WCaro 2 Troy Mitchell fumbled, recovered by WCaro Troy MitchellSimilar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 20
OWN 2
+5
97.3%
Darius Ramsey run for 5 yds to the WCaro 7Similar
Q1 1:21
3RD & 15
OWN 7
+4
97.3%
Darius Ramsey run for 4 yds to the WCaro 11Similar
Q1 0:36
4TH & 11
OWN 11
0
97.2%
Ian Berryman punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WCaro 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 8TD
7 plays · 44 yds · 2:1597% → 98%
Q1 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
97.2%
Jalen Hurd run for 7 yds to the WCaro 37Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+5
97.2%
Jalen Hurd run for 5 yds to the WCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
97.2%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Marquez North for 9 yds to the WCaro 23Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+12
97.1%
Jauan Jennings run for 12 yds to the WCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
97.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Smith for 3 yds to the WCaro 8Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+3
97.0%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 3 yds to the WCaro 5Similar
Q2 13:06
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+5
98.1%
Jalen Hurd 5 Yd pass from Joshua Dobbs (Aaron Medley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:212% → 2%
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
97.8%
Corey Holloway run for 2 yds to the WCaro 42Similar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
97.8%
Troy Mitchell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:55
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+5
97.8%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Corey Holloway for 5 yds to the WCaro 47Similar
Q2 11:24
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
97.7%
Ian Berryman punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 1:2898% → 98%
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
98.0%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Preston WilliamsSimilar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+2
98.0%
Jalen Hurd run for 2 yds to the Tenn 13Similar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 8
OWN 13
+19
97.9%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Malone for 19 yds to the Tenn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
98.0%
Jalen Hurd run for 6 yds to the Tenn 38Similar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 4
OWN 38
0
98.0%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Josh MaloneSimilar
Q2 10:02
3RD & 4
OWN 38
0
98.0%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Josh SmithSimilar
Q2 9:51
4TH & 4
OWN 38
0
97.9%
Trevor Daniel punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WCaro 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:012% → 2%
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
97.8%
Troy Mitchell pass incomplete to Tyler SextonSimilar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 10
OWN 9
0
97.8%
Troy Mitchell pass incomplete to Tyler SextonSimilar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 10
OWN 9
+7
97.8%
Troy Mitchell run for 7 yds to the WCaro 16Similar
Q2 8:45
4TH & 3
OWN 16
0
97.7%
Ian Berryman punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 12FG
12 plays · 54 yds · 3:2498% → 99%
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
97.9%
Joshua Dobbs run for 11 yds to the Tenn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
97.9%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Smith for 5 yds to the Tenn 49Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+6
97.8%
Alvin Kamara run for 6 yds to the WCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
97.8%
Alvin Kamara run for 8 yds to the WCaro 37Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 2
OPP 37
0
97.8%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Alvin KamaraSimilar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+3
97.8%
Joshua Dobbs run for 3 yds to the WCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+16
97.8%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Marquez North for 16 yds to the WCaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
98.0%
Jalen Hurd run for 4 yds to the WCaro 14Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+1
98.0%
Jauan Jennings run for 1 yd to the WCaro 13Similar
Q2 5:17
3RD & 5
OPP 13
0
97.9%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Marquez NorthSimilar
Q2 5:12
4TH & 5
OPP 13
+31
98.7%
Aaron Medley 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 13INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:302% → 2%
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
98.4%
Darius Ramsey run for 2 yds to the WCaro 37Similar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+57
98.4%
Troy Mitchell pass intercepted LaDarrell McNeil return for 57 yds to the WCaro 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 14TD
1 play · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 4:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.5%
Jalen Hurd run for 8 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 15FUMBLE
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:150% → 0%
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
99.7%
Corey Holloway run for 2 yds to the WCaro 18Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+4
99.7%
Corey Holloway run for 4 yds to the WCaro 22 Corey Holloway fumbled, recovered by Tenn Shy TuttleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 16TD
3 plays · 21 yds · 0:14100% → 100%
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+12
99.5%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 12 yds to the WCaro 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
99.5%
Alvin Kamara run for 7 yds to the WCaro 2Similar
Q2 2:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.6%
Alvin Kamara run for 2 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 17FG
6 plays · 51 yds · 1:360% → 1%
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+44
99.7%
Detrez Newsome run for 44 yds to the Tenn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
99.6%
Detrez Newsome run for 6 yds to the Tenn 15Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+1
99.6%
Detrez Newsome run for 1 yd to the Tenn 14Similar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 3
OPP 14
0
99.6%
Darius Ramsey run for no gain to the Tenn 14Similar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 3
OPP 14
+32
99.3%
Logan Howard 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 19END OF HALF
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:240% → 0%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.7%
Detrez Newsome run for 5 yds to the WCaro 30Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
99.8%
Detrez Newsome run for 5 yds to the WCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:21100% → 100%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+19
99.7%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Marquez North for 4 yds to the WCaro 39 for a 1ST down WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the WCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.8%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Alex EllisSimilar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+6
99.8%
Alvin Kamara run for 6 yds to the WCaro 40Similar
Q3 13:38
3RD & 4
OPP 40
-4
99.8%
Quinten Dormady sacked by Tyson Dickson for a loss of 4 yards to the WCaro 44Similar
Q3 13:29
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
99.7%
Trevor Daniel punt for 41 yds, downed at the WCaro 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 21PUNT RETURN TD
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:520% → 0%
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+9
99.7%
Wes Holcombe run for 9 yds to the WCaro 12Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 1
OWN 12
0
99.8%
Detrez Newsome run for no gain to the WCaro 12Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 1
OWN 12
-3
99.8%
Wes Holcombe run for a loss of 3 yards to the WCaro 9Similar
Q3 11:23
4TH & 4
OWN 9
+50
99.8%
Ian Berryman punt for 41 yds , Alvin Kamara returns for 50 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:050% → 0%
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
99.8%
Darius Ramsey run for 2 yds to the WCaro 25Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 8
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Wes Holcombe pass incomplete to Karnorris BensonSimilar
Q3 10:30
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+6
99.8%
Wes Holcombe pass complete to Darius Ramsey for 6 yds to the WCaro 31Similar
Q3 9:50
4TH & 2
OWN 31
+6
99.8%
Ian Berryman punt for 55 yds , Alvin Kamara returns for 6 yds to the Tenn 37 TENNESSEE Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Tenn 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 23TD
6 plays · 90 yds · 1:57100% → 100%
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+49
99.8%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Preston Williams for 49 yds to the WCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
99.8%
John Kelly run for 7 yds to the WCaro 34Similar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+2
99.8%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Alex Ellis for 2 yds to the WCaro 32Similar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+6
99.8%
John Kelly run for 6 yds to the WCaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
99.8%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Josh Malone for 2 yds to the WCaro 24Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+24
99.9%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Preston Williams for 24 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 24PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 4:000% → 0%
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Troy Mitchell run for no gain to the WCaro 21Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Corey Holloway for no gain to the WCaro 21Similar
Q3 6:08
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+11
99.9%
Troy Mitchell run for 11 yds to the WCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+13
99.9%
Troy Mitchell pass complete to Spearman Robinson for 13 yds to the WCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
99.9%
Corey Holloway run for 2 yds to the WCaro 47Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+7
99.9%
Corey Holloway run for 7 yds to the Tenn 46Similar
Q3 3:55
3RD & 1
OPP 46
-2
99.9%
Corey Holloway run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 48Similar
Q3 3:33
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Ian Berryman punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:46100% → 100%
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
99.9%
John Kelly run for 6 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+7
99.9%
John Kelly run for 7 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
99.9%
John Kelly run for 2 yds to the Tenn 39Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+4
99.9%
John Kelly run for 4 yds to the Tenn 43Similar
Q3 1:14
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to John KellySimilar
Q3 1:04
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Trevor Daniel punt for 43 yds, downed at the WCaro 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:010% → 0%
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
99.9%
Darius Ramsey run for 3 yds to the WCaro 17Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 17
0
100.0%
Darius Ramsey run for no gain to the WCaro 17Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 17
0
100.0%
Troy Mitchell pass incomplete to Spearman RobinsonSimilar
Q4 14:44
4TH & 7
OWN 17
0
100.0%
Ian Berryman punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:51100% → 100%
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
99.9%
Joe Young run for 4 yds to the Tenn 48Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+2
99.9%
Joe Young run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:57
3RD & 4
50
-7
99.9%
Joe Young run for a loss of 7 yards to the Tenn 43Similar
Q4 12:39
4TH & 11
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Nathan Renfro punt for 38 yds, fair catch by C.J. Goodman at the WCaro 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 28TD
4 plays · 81 yds · 1:210% → 0%
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
100.0%
Wes Holcombe pass complete to Spearman Robinson for 8 yds to the WCaro 27Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+9
100.0%
Wes Holcombe pass complete to Spearman Robinson for 9 yds to the WCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Detrez Newsome run for no gain to the WCaro 36Similar
Q4 10:59
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+64
99.9%
Detrez Newsome run for 64 yds for a TD, (Logan Howard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 29DOWNS
12 plays · 30 yds · 6:25100% → 100%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
99.9%
John Kelly run for 3 yds to the Tenn 37Similar
Q4 9:47
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+2
99.9%
John Kelly run for 2 yds to the Tenn 39Similar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+6
99.9%
Joe Young run for 6 yds to the Tenn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
99.9%
Joe Young run for 2 yds to the Tenn 47Similar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+1
99.9%
Joe Young run for 1 yd to the Tenn 48Similar
Q4 6:59
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+6
99.9%
John Kelly run for 6 yds to the WCaro 46Similar
Q4 6:30
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+2
99.9%
Quinten Dormady run for 2 yds to the WCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
100.0%
John Kelly run for 4 yds to the WCaro 40Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+5
100.0%
Joe Young run for 5 yds to the WCaro 35Similar
Q4 4:20
3RD & 1
OPP 35
-3
100.0%
Joe Young run for a loss of 3 yards to the WCaro 38Similar
Q4 4:05
4TH & 4
OPP 38
+2
100.0%
John Kelly run for 2 yds to the WCaro 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 30PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 1:450% → 0%
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
100.0%
Corey Holloway run for 9 yds to the WCaro 45Similar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+3
100.0%
Corey Holloway run for 3 yds to the WCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
100.0%
Wes Holcombe pass complete to Karnorris Benson for 15 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
100.0%
Wes Holcombe pass complete to Karnorris Benson for 5 yds to the Tenn 32Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 5
OPP 32
0
100.0%
Wes Holcombe pass incomplete to Tyler SextonSimilar
Q4 2:07
3RD & 5
OPP 32
0
100.0%
Wes Holcombe pass incomplete to Tyler SextonSimilar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 5
OPP 32
0
100.0%
Ian Berryman punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 31END OF GAME
3 plays · 18 yds · 1:45100% → 100%
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
100.0%
John Kelly run for 4 yds to the Tenn 15Similar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+6
100.0%
John Kelly run for 6 yds to the Tenn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
100.0%
Joe Young run for 8 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:06
Jalen Hurd 5 Yd pass from Joshua Dobbs (Aaron Medley Kick)
+1.1
TD · Q2 4:20
Jalen Hurd run for 8 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)
+1.1
FG · Q2 5:12
Aaron Medley 31 yd FG GOOD
+0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com