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AUB

Auburn 21 at LSU 45

LSU
2015 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2015 · Tiger Stadium (LA)
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Win probability · LSU
modelLSU aheadAUB aheadconfidence bandkey playLSU scoreAUB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+7.3LSU 88.4%Trent Domingue 32 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 17 · Q2 6:54
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:54 · Trent Domingue 32 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 59Home team on offense+11.6Score differential+6.1Pregame prior+14.1Garbage-time factor+4.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.7Blowout margin−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:39: Brandon Harris pass complete to Colin Jeter for 1 yd for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK) — LSU win probability +3.6 pts (now 78%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 6:54: Trent Domingue 32 yd FG GOOD — LSU win probability +7.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:10: Leonard Fournette run for 40 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK) — LSU win probability +4.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:19: Jeremy Johnson run for 65 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +4.7 pts (now 12%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:56: Leonard Fournette run for 29 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK) — LSU win probability +7.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4AUB made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 9:12AUB 4th & 24 at AUB 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.5%
    average punt
  2. Q2 13:06LSU 4th & 2 at LSU 36, up 14
    Close callPunted · 77.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.9%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:18AUB 4th & 4 at AUB 44, down 14
    Close callPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.2%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:54LSU 4th & 10 at AUB 15, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.0%−0.8
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.8%
    83% to make
    Punt
    73.6%−5.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:28AUB 4th & 6 at AUB 32, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.9
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.0%
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:21AUB 4th & 11 at AUB 24, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:30LSU 4th & 11 at AUB 40, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    95.6%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.8%
    average punt
  8. Q4 8:46AUB 4th & 1 at AUB 39, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 3:29LSU 4th & 9 at LSU 26, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  10. Q4 1:54AUB 4th & 14 at LSU 48, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6AUB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 13:19LSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:39LSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:10LSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:19AUB Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:56LSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:14LSU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:03AUB Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:23LSU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:47AUB Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LSUDrive 1TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:2873% → 73%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+71
72.6%
Leonard Fournette run for 71 yds to the Aub 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
72.6%
Leonard Fournette run for 1 yd to the Aub 3Similar
Q1 13:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
72.6%
Leonard Fournette run for 1 yd to the Aub 2Similar
Q1 13:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
73.0%
Brandon Harris run for 2 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 10 yds · 4:0027% → 26%
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
72.8%
Ricardo Louis run for 3 yds to the Aub 28Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
72.8%
Peyton Barber run for 8 yds to the Aub 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
72.8%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Ricardo Louis for 2 yds to the Aub 38Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+5
72.8%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Kerryon Johnson for 5 yds to the Aub 43Similar
Q1 11:27
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+6
72.8%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Kerryon Johnson for 6 yds to the Aub 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
72.7%
Kerryon Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 48Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 11
OWN 48
-18
72.9%
Jeremy Johnson run for a loss of 18 yards to the Aub 30 Jeremy Johnson fumbled, recovered by Aub Jeremy JohnsonSimilar
Q1 9:52
3RD & 29
OWN 30
+5
73.3%
Jeremy Johnson run for 5 yds to the Aub 35Similar
Q1 9:12
4TH & 24
OWN 35
0
73.6%
Kevin Phillips punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 3TD
15 plays · 78 yds · 7:2274% → 78%
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
73.5%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Leonard Fournette for 9 yds to the LSU 31Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+4
73.7%
Leonard Fournette run for 4 yds to the LSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
73.6%
Darrel Williams run for 4 yds to the LSU 39Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+5
74.0%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Travin Dural for 5 yds to the LSU 44Similar
Q1 6:37
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+5
74.0%
Leonard Fournette run for 5 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
74.3%
Darrel Williams run for 5 yds to the Aub 46Similar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+6
74.5%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Derrius Guice for 6 yds to the Aub 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
74.6%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Travin Dural for 2 yds to the Aub 38Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+1
74.7%
Leonard Fournette run for 1 yd to the Aub 37Similar
Q1 3:22
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+27
74.6%
Brandon Harris run for 27 yds to the Aub 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
75.0%
Darrel Williams run for 8 yds to the Aub 2Similar
Q1 2:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
74.9%
Williams, Darrel rush for 1 yard to the AUBURN1, PENALTY AUBURN substitution infraction 1 yards to the AUBURN1, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
74.7%
Brandon Harris run for no gain to the Aub 1Similar
Q1 1:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
78.3%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Colin Jeter for 1 yd for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 4INT
9 plays · 17 yds · 1:3723% → 22%
Q1 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
77.1%
Peyton Barber run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 24Similar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
77.4%
Jeremy Johnson pass incomplete to D'haquille WilliamsSimilar
Q1 0:59
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+13
77.6%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Stanton Truitt for 13 yds to the Aub 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
77.0%
Kerryon Johnson run for 5 yds to the Aub 42Similar
Q1 0:04
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+5
76.8%
Peyton Barber run for 5 yds to the Aub 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
76.8%
AUBURN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Aub 42Similar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 15
OWN 42
0
77.6%
Jeremy Johnson pass incomplete to Chandler Cox, broken up by Jamal AdamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3579% → 79%
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
79.0%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Colin Jeter, broken up by Blake CountessSimilar
Q2 14:33
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+7
78.9%
Darrel Williams run for 7 yds to the LSU 35Similar
Q2 13:50
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+1
79.0%
Brandon Harris run for 1 yd to the LSU 36Similar
Q2 13:06
4TH & 2
OWN 36
0
79.0%
Jamie Keehn punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Marcus Davis at the Aub 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 25 yds · 1:3822% → 22%
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+19
78.0%
Stanton Truitt run for 19 yds to the Aub 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
77.6%
Peyton Barber run for 2 yds to the Aub 40Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+4
77.6%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Jason Smith for 4 yds to the Aub 44Similar
Q2 11:28
3RD & 4
OWN 44
0
77.3%
Jeremy Johnson pass incomplete to Marcus DavisSimilar
Q2 11:18
4TH & 4
OWN 44
0
78.0%
Kevin Phillips punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 7FG
11 plays · 65 yds · 4:1680% → 88%
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
80.2%
Leonard Fournette run for 9 yds to the LSU 29Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+9
80.6%
Darrel Williams run for 9 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+23
81.4%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Malachi Dupre for 8 yds to the Aub 46 for a 1ST down AUBURN Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Devaroe Lawrence) to the Aub 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
81.8%
Leonard Fournette run for 5 yds to the Aub 34Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+8
81.8%
Leonard Fournette run for 8 yds to the Aub 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
82.0%
Leonard Fournette run for 4 yds to the Aub 22Similar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+7
81.3%
Leonard Fournette run for 7 yds to the Aub 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
81.7%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Travin DuralSimilar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
81.7%
Brandon Harris run for no gain to the Aub 15Similar
Q2 6:59
3RD & 10
OPP 15
0
81.1%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Travin DuralSimilar
Q2 6:54
4TH & 10
OPP 15
+32
88.4%
Trent Domingue 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2717% → 16%
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
83.3%
Peyton Barber run for 10 yds to the Aub 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-7
83.1%
Jeremy Johnson sacked by Rickey Jefferson for a loss of 7 yards to the Aub 39Similar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 17
OWN 39
+6
84.3%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Kerryon Johnson for 6 yds to the Aub 45Similar
Q2 5:13
3RD & 11
OWN 45
0
84.3%
Jeremy Johnson pass incomplete to D'haquille WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 9TD
6 plays · 95 yds · 2:4690% → 94%
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
89.6%
Leonard Fournette run for 2 yds to the LSU 7Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+5
88.8%
Leonard Fournette run for 5 yds to the LSU 12Similar
Q2 3:25
3RD & 3
OWN 12
+33
89.0%
Brandon Harris run for 33 yds to the LSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
89.9%
Leonard Fournette run for 6 yds to the Aub 49Similar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+9
89.5%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Travin Dural for 9 yds to the Aub 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
94.0%
Leonard Fournette run for 40 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:309% → 8%
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
91.4%
Jovon Robinson run for 1 yd to the Aub 29Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+3
91.8%
Jovon Robinson run for 3 yds to the Aub 32Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 6
OWN 32
0
91.8%
Jeremy Johnson pass incomplete to Jason Smith, broken up by Jamal AdamsSimilar
Q2 0:28
4TH & 6
OWN 32
0
92.2%
Kevin Phillips punt for 51 yds , Tre'Davious White returns for no gain to the LSU 32 LSU Penalty, Illegal Block (John Battle) to the LSU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
94.7%
Darrel Williams run for 2 yds to the LSU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 12TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:347% → 12%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
92.9%
Stanton Truitt run for 5 yds to the Aub 30Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
92.8%
Roc Thomas run for 8 yds to the Aub 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-3
92.9%
Jeremy Johnson sacked by Tashawn Bower and Deion Jones for a loss of 3 yards to the Aub 35Similar
Q3 13:19
2ND & 13
OWN 35
+65
88.1%
Jeremy Johnson run for 65 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 13TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 2:1488% → 96%
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-6
88.2%
Leonard Fournette run for 9 yds to the LSU 45 LSU Penalty, Illegal Block (Vadal Alexander) to the LSU 30Similar
Q3 12:36
1ST & 16
OWN 30
+20
88.8%
Leonard Fournette run for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
50
0
89.7%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Malachi DupreSimilar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 10
50
+15
88.6%
Derrius Guice run for 15 yds to the Aub 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
89.1%
Derrius Guice run for 6 yds to the Aub 29Similar
Q3 10:56
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+29
96.2%
Leonard Fournette run for 29 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:285% → 5%
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
94.8%
Jeremy Johnson sacked by Davon Godchaux for a loss of 4 yards to the Aub 21Similar
Q3 10:11
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+3
95.0%
Ricardo Louis run for 3 yds to the Aub 24Similar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
95.3%
Jeremy Johnson pass incomplete to Roc ThomasSimilar
Q3 9:21
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+23
95.4%
Kevin Phillips punt for 52 yds , Tre'Davious White returns for 23 yds to the LSU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:4397% → 97%
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
96.7%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Tyron Johnson for no gain to the LSU 47Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+14
96.7%
Donte Jackson run for 14 yds to the Aub 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
96.9%
Darrel Williams run for 2 yds to the Aub 37Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+2
97.0%
Brandon Harris run for 2 yds to the Aub 35Similar
Q3 6:41
3RD & 6
OPP 35
0
97.1%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Malachi DupreSimilar
Q3 6:41
4TH & 6
OPP 35
-5
96.8%
LSU Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Aub 40Similar
Q3 6:30
4TH & 11
OPP 40
0
96.8%
Jamie Keehn punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Marcus Davis at the Aub 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 16FUMBLE
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:204% → 3%
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
96.2%
Kerryon Johnson run for 6 yds to the Aub 15Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+8
96.2%
Peyton Barber run for 8 yds to the Aub 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
96.2%
Peyton Barber run for 2 yds to the Aub 25Similar
Q3 5:04
2ND & 8
OWN 25
-9
96.6%
Jeremy Johnson sacked by Frank Herron for a loss of 9 yards to the Aub 5 Jeremy Johnson fumbled, forced by Frank Herron, recovered by LSU Frank Herron , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 17TD
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:4498% → 100%
Q3 4:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
97.7%
Darrel Williams run for 4 yds to the Aub 1Similar
Q3 4:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
Leonard Fournette run for 1 yd for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 18TD
7 plays · 59 yds · 2:531% → 3%
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+17
99.4%
Roc Thomas run for 17 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
99.6%
Roc Thomas run for 3 yds to the LSU 39Similar
Q3 2:48
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+20
99.6%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Roc Thomas for 20 yds to the LSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
99.6%
Roc Thomas run for 1 yd to the LSU 18Similar
Q3 1:50
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+9
99.6%
Jeremy Johnson run for 9 yds to the LSU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
97.2%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Melvin Ray for 9 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 19TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:3399% → 100%
Q3 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
98.7%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Travin Dural for 11 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
98.9%
Derrius Guice run for 2 yds to the LSU 38Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+2
98.9%
Derrius Guice run for 2 yds to the LSU 40Similar
Q4 14:15
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+14
99.0%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Colin Jeter for 14 yds to the Aub 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
99.2%
Nick Brossette run for 3 yds to the Aub 43Similar
Q4 13:11
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+10
99.2%
Brandon Harris pass complete to John Diarse for 10 yds to the Aub 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
99.2%
Nick Brossette run for 3 yds to the Aub 30Similar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+29
99.3%
Derrius Guice run for 29 yds to the Aub 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Brandon Harris run for 1 yd for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 20TD
12 plays · 70 yds · 5:200% → 1%
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
99.8%
Roc Thomas run for 2 yds to the Aub 32Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+5
99.9%
Jeremy Johnson run for 5 yds to the Aub 37Similar
Q4 9:32
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+2
99.9%
Jeremy Johnson run for 2 yds to the Aub 39Similar
Q4 8:46
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+8
99.9%
Jeremy Johnson run for 8 yds to the Aub 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
99.9%
Kerryon Johnson run for 4 yds to the LSU 49Similar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+2
99.9%
Roc Thomas run for 2 yds to the LSU 47Similar
Q4 6:55
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+16
99.9%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Roc Thomas for 16 yds to the LSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
99.9%
Roc Thomas run for 2 yds to the LSU 29Similar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+19
99.9%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to D'haquille Williams for 9 yds to the LSU 20 for a 1ST down LSU Penalty, Personal Foul (Deion Jones) to the LSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.1%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to D'haquille Williams for 10 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 2:11100% → 100%
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.6%
Nick Brossette run for 4 yds to the LSU 29Similar
Q4 5:04
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
99.7%
LSU Penalty, False Start (Josh Boutte) to the LSU 24Similar
Q4 4:34
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
99.7%
Nick Brossette run for 3 yds to the LSU 27Similar
Q4 3:46
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-1
99.7%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Nick Brossette for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 26Similar
Q4 3:29
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+27
99.8%
Jamie Keehn punt for 45 yds , Marcus Davis returns for 27 yds to the LSU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:291% → 0%
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
99.5%
Roc Thomas run for 2 yds to the LSU 42Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 8
OPP 42
-5
99.5%
AUBURN Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the LSU 47Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 13
OPP 47
-1
99.6%
Jeremy Johnson sacked by Davon Godchaux for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 48Similar
Q4 2:03
3RD & 14
OPP 48
0
99.6%
Jeremy Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:54
4TH & 14
OPP 48
0
99.6%
Kevin Phillips punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 23END OF GAME
3 plays · -5 yds · 1:14100% → 100%
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.8%
Derrius Guice run for 1 yd to the LSU 21Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-3
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 18Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 12
OWN 18
-3
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 6:54
Trent Domingue 32 yd FG GOOD
+7.3
TD · Q3 10:56
Leonard Fournette run for 29 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK)
+7.1
TD · Q3 13:19
Jeremy Johnson run for 65 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)
-4.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com