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SC

South Carolina 20 at Georgia 52

UGA
2015 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2015 · Sanford Stadium
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadSC aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:05 · Sean Kelly punt for 36 yds, downed at the Geo 22
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 122Pregame prior+11.9Home team on offense+32.1Score differential+27.7Blowout margin+14.2Garbage-time factor+10.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:17: Perry Orth 4 Yd Run (Elliott Fry Kick) — SC win probability +5.7 pts (now 18%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:17: Malcolm Mitchell 5 Yd pass from Greyson Lambert (Marshall Morgan Kick) — UGA win probability +4.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Elliott Fry 51 Yd Field Goal — SC win probability +4.5 pts (now 15%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:15: Sony Michel 11 Yd pass from Greyson Lambert (Marshall Morgan Kick) — UGA win probability +6.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:48: Sony Michel 11 Yd pass from Greyson Lambert (Marshall Morgan Kick) — UGA win probability +5.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 2 of 3SC made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 11:52SC 4th & 8 at SC 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:16UGA 4th & 8 at SC 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.6%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.7%
    86% to make
    Punt
    82.0%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:36SC 4th & 16 at UGA 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%−0.6
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.3%
    62% to make
    Punt
    16.8%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:19SC 4th & 6 at UGA 49, down 7
    Close callPunted · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q3 10:26SC 4th & 1 at SC 31, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.2%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q3 8:34SC 4th & 8 at SC 39, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 4:49SC 4th & 1 at SC 23, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.2%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:05SC 4th & 3 at SC 42, down 32
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:05UGA 4th & 3 at UGA 29, up 32
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 5:17SC 4th & 10 at SC 42, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:31UGA 4th & 8 at UGA 43, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 6 of 7SC made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 12:56UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:37UGA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:17SC Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:17UGA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 13:15UGA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:48UGA Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:13UGA Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:49SC Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.6%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 8:24UGA Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:4114% → 15%
Q1 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
86.2%
Brandon Wilds run for 2 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q1 14:13
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+13
86.1%
Pharoh Cooper run for 13 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
85.8%
Brandon Wilds run for no gain to the SCaro 40Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
85.7%
Perry Orth run for no gain to the SCaro 40Similar
Q1 12:20
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+2
85.5%
Lorenzo Nunez run for 2 yds to the SCaro 42Similar
Q1 11:52
4TH & 8
OWN 42
+7
85.4%
Sean Kelly punt for 48 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for 7 yds to the Geo 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2FG
11 plays · 71 yds · 4:1485% → 85%
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
85.3%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Jeb Blazevich for 6 yds to the Geo 23Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+25
85.2%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 25 yds to the Geo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
85.3%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Reggie Davis for 5 yds to the SCaro 47Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+9
85.3%
Nick Chubb run for 9 yds to the SCaro 38 Nick Chubb fumbled, recovered by GeoSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
85.1%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Quayvon Hicks for 12 yds to the SCaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
85.1%
Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the SCaro 22Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+8
84.9%
Isaiah McKenzie run for 8 yds to the SCaro 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
84.8%
Nick Chubb run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 16Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 12
OPP 16
+4
84.5%
Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the SCaro 12Similar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 8
OPP 12
0
84.3%
Greyson Lambert pass incomplete to Jeb BlazevichSimilar
Q1 7:16
4TH & 8
OPP 12
+30
84.5%
Marshall Morgan 30 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3FG
16 plays · 48 yds · 5:2116% → 18%
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
84.4%
Brandon Wilds run for 2 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
84.2%
Perry Orth pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 6 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q1 6:02
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+7
84.1%
Brandon Wilds run for 7 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
83.7%
Perry Orth pass complete to Jacob August for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
50
+2
83.2%
Pharoh Cooper run for 2 yds to the Geo 48Similar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+15
83.0%
Perry Orth pass complete to D.J. Neal for 15 yds to the Geo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
82.7%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Pharoh CooperSimilar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+5
82.7%
GEORGIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Geo 28Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+1
82.5%
Shon Carson run for 1 yd to the Geo 27Similar
Q1 2:30
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+6
82.2%
Perry Orth pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 6 yds to the Geo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
82.2%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Jerell AdamsSimilar
Q1 2:19
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
82.2%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Pharoh CooperSimilar
Q1 1:47
3RD & 10
OPP 21
-6
82.3%
Perry Orth sacked by Leonard Floyd for a loss of 6 yards to the Geo 27Similar
Q1 1:36
4TH & 16
OPP 27
+45
82.0%
Elliott Fry 45 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4TD
11 plays · 82 yds · 3:1882% → 85%
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
82.3%
Nick Chubb run for 7 yds to the Geo 25Similar
Q1 0:23
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+1
82.2%
Greyson Lambert run for 1 yd to the Geo 26Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+17
81.7%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Terry Godwin for 17 yds to the Geo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
82.5%
Greyson Lambert run for 9 yds to the SCaro 48Similar
Q2 14:27
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+7
82.8%
Nick Chubb run for 7 yds to the SCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
82.7%
Nick Chubb run for 15 yds to the SCaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
82.8%
Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the SCaro 22Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+20
82.7%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Jay Rome for 20 yds to the SCaro 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
85.2%
Nick Chubb 2 Yd Run (Marshall Morgan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 1:2516% → 15%
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
84.0%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Jerell AdamsSimilar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
84.1%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Deebo SamuelSimilar
Q2 12:33
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+14
84.6%
Perry Orth pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 14 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
83.3%
Shon Carson run for 4 yds to the Geo 49Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
83.0%
Perry Orth pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:28
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
83.9%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Deebo SamuelSimilar
Q2 11:19
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
84.7%
Sean Kelly punt for 37 yds, downed at the Geo 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6TD
8 plays · 88 yds · 3:2585% → 90%
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
84.7%
Sony Michel run for 2 yds to the Geo 14Similar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+20
84.6%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Jackson Harris for 20 yds to the Geo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-4
84.9%
GEORGIA Penalty, Illegal Shift (-4 Yards) to the Geo 30Similar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 14
OWN 30
+10
84.7%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Sony Michel for 10 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+15
85.5%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 15 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
86.0%
Sony Michel run for 7 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q2 7:48
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+17
86.0%
Sony Michel run for 17 yds to the SCaro 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
89.7%
Sony Michel 21 Yd Run (Marshall Morgan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7TD
10 plays · 72 yds · 5:0512% → 18%
Q2 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+17
88.5%
Lorenzo Nunez run for 17 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
88.3%
Pharoh Cooper run for 4 yds to the SCaro 49Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+11
87.9%
Pharoh Cooper run for 11 yds to the Geo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+13
87.6%
Brandon Wilds run for 13 yds to the Geo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
87.0%
David Williams run for 5 yds to the Geo 22Similar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 5
OPP 22
-1
87.0%
Shon Carson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 23Similar
Q2 3:10
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+15
87.6%
Perry Orth pass complete to Jerell Adams for 15 yds to the Geo 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
87.3%
Pharoh Cooper run for 4 yds to the Geo 4Similar
Q2 2:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
81.6%
Perry Orth 4 Yd Run (Elliott Fry Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8TD
11 plays · 78 yds · 1:3684% → 90%
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
84.0%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Jackson Harris for 15 yds to the Geo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
84.6%
Nick Chubb run for 6 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+7
85.1%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Jeb Blazevich for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
50
+19
85.3%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Reggie Davis for 19 yds to the SCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
85.9%
Nick Chubb run for 8 yds to the SCaro 23Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+14
85.1%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 14 yds to the SCaro 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
85.1%
Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the SCaro 5Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
89.5%
Malcolm Mitchell 5 Yd pass from Greyson Lambert (Marshall Morgan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+51
85.1%
Elliott Fry 51 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:2987% → 94%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
87.2%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 12 yds to the Geo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
87.5%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 8 yds to the Geo 45Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+13
87.9%
Nick Chubb run for 13 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+31
88.1%
Nick Chubb run for 31 yds to the SCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
94.2%
Sony Michel 11 Yd pass from Greyson Lambert (Marshall Morgan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:178% → 8%
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.1%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Pharoh CooperSimilar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
92.2%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Pharoh CooperSimilar
Q3 12:54
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+33
92.4%
Perry Orth pass intercepted Dominick Sanders return for 33 yds to the SCaro 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12TD
1 play · 11 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
98.1%
Sony Michel 11 Yd pass from Greyson Lambert (Marshall Morgan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 3:383% → 2%
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
97.4%
David Williams run for 4 yds to the SCaro 26Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+4
97.4%
David Williams run for 4 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q3 10:55
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+1
97.6%
Lorenzo Nunez run for 1 yd to the SCaro 31Similar
Q3 10:26
4TH & 1
OWN 31
+6
97.6%
Lorenzo Nunez run for 6 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
97.6%
Shon Carson run for 1 yd to the SCaro 38Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+1
97.7%
Shon Carson run for 1 yd to the SCaro 39Similar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
97.8%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Carlton HeardSimilar
Q3 8:34
4TH & 8
OWN 39
+15
98.0%
Sean Kelly punt for 48 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for 15 yds to the Geo 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14FUMBLE
5 plays · 59 yds · 1:3499% → 99%
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
98.5%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Quayvon Hicks for 7 yds to the Geo 35Similar
Q3 7:57
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+6
98.5%
Nick Chubb run for 6 yds to the Geo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+28
98.6%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Reggie Davis for 28 yds to the SCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+18
98.9%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 18 yds to the SCaro 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
98.9%
TEAM run for no gain to the SCaro 13 TEAM fumbled, recovered by SCaroSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:212% → 2%
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
98.3%
David Williams run for 8 yds to the SCaro 22Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+1
98.1%
David Williams run for 1 yd to the SCaro 23Similar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 1
OWN 23
0
98.2%
David Williams run for no gain to the SCaro 23Similar
Q3 4:49
4TH & 1
OWN 23
0
98.5%
Shon Carson run for no gain to the SCaro 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16TD
2 plays · 23 yds · 0:1299% → 100%
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+16
99.2%
Nick Chubb run for 16 yds to the SCaro 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.7%
Nick Chubb 7 Yd Run (Marshall Morgan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:300% → 0%
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+14
99.7%
Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Matrick Belton for 14 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.7%
Lorenzo Nunez run for 6 yds to the SCaro 41Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+1
99.6%
Shon Carson run for 1 yd to the SCaro 42Similar
Q3 2:14
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
99.7%
Lorenzo Nunez pass incomplete to Deebo SamuelSimilar
Q3 2:05
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
99.7%
Sean Kelly punt for 36 yds, downed at the Geo 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:36100% → 100%
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-4
99.7%
Sony Michel run for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 18Similar
Q3 0:58
2ND & 14
OWN 18
+2
99.7%
Sony Michel run for 2 yds to the Geo 20Similar
Q3 0:35
3RD & 12
OWN 20
+9
99.7%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Michael Chigbu for 9 yds to the Geo 29Similar
Q3 0:05
4TH & 3
OWN 29
+14
99.7%
Collin Barber punt for 39 yds , Pharoh Cooper returns for 14 yds to the SCaro 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19TD
4 plays · 54 yds · 1:110% → 1%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
99.8%
Lorenzo Nunez run for 8 yds to the Geo 46Similar
Q4 14:33
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+32
99.8%
Lorenzo Nunez run for 17 yds to the Geo 29 for a 1ST down GEORGIA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Geo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
99.8%
Lorenzo Nunez run for 7 yds to the Geo 7Similar
Q4 13:49
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+7
98.9%
Lorenzo Nunez 7 Yd Run (Elliott Fry Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 20TD
13 plays · 83 yds · 4:52100% → 100%
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+25
99.5%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 25 yds to the Geo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
99.5%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Terry Godwin for 11 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
99.6%
Nick Chubb run for 8 yds to the SCaro 39Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+6
99.6%
Nick Chubb run for 6 yds to the SCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
99.6%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the SCaro 32Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+13
99.6%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (13 Yards) to the SCaro 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & 25
OPP 34
+15
99.6%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the SCaro 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-15
99.6%
GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-15 Yards) to the SCaro 34Similar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
99.6%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the SCaro 16Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+10
99.6%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the SCaro 13 for a 1ST down SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Personal Foul (7 Yards) to the SCaro 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
99.6%
Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the SCaro 3Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Keith Marshall 3 Yd Run (Marshall Morgan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:340% → 0%
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+14
99.9%
Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Matrick Belton for 14 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-8
99.9%
Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Matrick Belton for a loss of 8 yards to the SCaro 34Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 18
OWN 34
-2
99.9%
Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Matrick Belton for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 32Similar
Q4 5:50
3RD & 20
OWN 32
+10
99.9%
Rod Talley run for 10 yds to the SCaro 42Similar
Q4 5:17
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Sean Kelly punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 3:29100% → 100%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
99.9%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Geo 28Similar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 5
OWN 28
+13
99.9%
Keith Marshall run for 13 yds to the Geo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
99.9%
Keith Marshall run for 3 yds to the Geo 44Similar
Q4 3:04
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Keith Marshall run for no gain to the Geo 44Similar
Q4 1:39
3RD & 7
OWN 44
-1
100.0%
Brendan Douglas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 43Similar
Q4 1:31
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Brice Ramsey punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Rashad Fenton at the SCaro 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 23END OF GAME
3 plays · 8 yds · 1:020% → 0%
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
99.9%
Fumble by Team, Lorenzo Nunez run for 5 yds to the SCaro 20Similar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+3
99.9%
Darius Paulk run for 3 yds to the SCaro 23Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 23
0
100.0%
Darius Paulk run for no gain to the SCaro 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 13:15
Sony Michel 11 Yd pass from Greyson Lambert (Marshall Morgan Kick)
+6.1
TD · Q2 2:17
Perry Orth 4 Yd Run (Elliott Fry Kick)
-5.7
TD · Q3 12:48
Sony Michel 11 Yd pass from Greyson Lambert (Marshall Morgan Kick)
+5.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com