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LSU

LSU 34 at Syracuse 24

SYR
2015 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2015 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadLSU aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreLSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:22 · Riley Dixon punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tre'Davious White at the LSU 9
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 18Pregame prior−43.3Home team on offense+0.2Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 6:02: Zack Mahoney pass complete to Brisly Estime for 40 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +10.5 pts (now 20%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:09: Leonard Fournette run for 62 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK) — LSU win probability +7.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:06: Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ben Lewis for 2 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +12.5 pts (now 23%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:14: Brandon Harris pass complete to Malachi Dupre for 11 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK) — LSU win probability +8.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:53: Zack Mahoney pass complete to Dontae Strickland for 5 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +5.3 pts (now 8%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 6 of 9LSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 12:03SYR 4th & 6 at SYR 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:19LSU 4th & 7 at LSU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:22SYR 4th & 8 at SYR 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:16SYR 4th & 15 at SYR 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:40LSU 4th & 23 at LSU 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%−1.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:03SYR 4th & 1 at LSU 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    12.3%−1.7
    32% to make
    Punt
    12.5%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:58SYR 4th & 6 at LSU 27, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.9%−<0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    11.3%−2.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:33SYR 4th & 4 at LSU 29, down 4
    Close callWent for it · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.3%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    20.6%
    58% to make
    Punt
    17.6%−3.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:44LSU 4th & 4 at SYR 4, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.7%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    70.6%−7.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:48SYR 4th & 16 at SYR 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−3.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:11SYR 4th & 8 at LSU 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    9.2%−0.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:46LSU 4th & 5 at LSU 18, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.3%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:46SYR 4th & 2 at SYR 45, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.7%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 3 of 3LSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 3:56LSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 6:02SYR Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:09LSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:06SYR Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:14LSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.1%−0.5
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:53SYR Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 2:526% → 6%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
5.6%
Devante McFarlane run for no gain to the Syrac 37Similar
Q1 14:03
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+7
5.8%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 7 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 3
OWN 44
-5
5.8%
McFarlane, Devante rush for 3 yards to the SYRACUSE47, PENALTY SYRACUSE illegal formation 5 yards to the SYRACUSE39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:55
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+2
6.2%
Zack Mahoney run for 2 yds to the Syrac 41 Zack Mahoney fumbled, forced by Lewis Neal, recovered by Syrac Jason EmerichSimilar
Q1 12:03
4TH & 6
OWN 41
+6
6.4%
Riley Dixon punt for 56 yds , Tre'Davious White returns for 6 yds to the LSU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 3:3594% → 92%
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
6.5%
Leonard Fournette run for 4 yds to the LSU 13Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+14
6.7%
Travin Dural run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 12 for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, Personal Foul (Ron Thompson) to the LSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
6.8%
Leonard Fournette run for 6 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+4
7.0%
Leonard Fournette run for 4 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
7.2%
Leonard Fournette run for 3 yds to the LSU 40Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
7.3%
Brandon Harris run for no gain to the LSU 40Similar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
7.6%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to John DiarseSimilar
Q1 8:19
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
7.8%
Jamie Keehn punt for 13 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:538% → 8%
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
8.0%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Ben LewisSimilar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+2
8.0%
Jordan Fredericks run for 2 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q1 7:30
3RD & 8
OWN 49
0
8.1%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Ben LewisSimilar
Q1 7:22
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
8.0%
Riley Dixon punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tre'Davious White at the LSU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 4TD
8 plays · 91 yds · 3:2092% → 92%
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+12
8.1%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Malachi Dupre for 12 yds to the LSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+14
8.3%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Trey Quinn for 14 yds to the LSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
8.4%
LSU Penalty, False Start (Jerald Hawkins) to the LSU 30Similar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+12
8.5%
Brandon Harris pass complete to John Diarse for 12 yds to the LSU 42Similar
Q1 5:38
2ND & 3
OWN 42
-5
8.5%
LSU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LSU 37Similar
Q1 5:08
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+48
8.9%
Leonard Fournette run for 48 yds to the Syrac 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
8.8%
Darrel Williams run for 1 yd to the Syrac 14Similar
Q1 3:56
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+14
7.7%
Leonard Fournette run for 14 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:258% → 8%
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
8.3%
Devante McFarlane run for 3 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
8.5%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Brisly EstimeSimilar
Q1 2:35
3RD & 7
OWN 30
-8
8.4%
Zack Mahoney sacked by Greg Gilmore for a loss of 8 yards to the Syrac 22Similar
Q1 2:16
4TH & 15
OWN 22
0
8.3%
Riley Dixon punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tre'Davious White at the LSU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 6PUNT
3 plays · -5 yds · 1:1592% → 91%
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-11
8.4%
Brandon Harris sacked by Antwan Cordy for a loss of 11 yards to the LSU 24Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 21
OWN 24
+6
8.8%
Leonard Fournette run for 6 yds to the LSU 30Similar
Q1 0:49
3RD & 15
OWN 30
0
9.1%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Malachi DupreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7DOWNS
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:4310% → 10%
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
9.6%
Jordan Fredericks run for 2 yds to the LSU 45Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
9.8%
Zack Mahoney pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+5
9.7%
Dontae Strickland run for 5 yds to the LSU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -13 yds · 2:2091% → 89%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
9.0%
Leonard Fournette run for 7 yds to the LSU 47Similar
Q2 13:47
2ND & 3
OWN 47
-5
9.0%
LSU Penalty, False Start (Vadal Alexander) to the LSU 42Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+5
9.1%
Nick Brossette run for 5 yds to the LSU 47Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 3
OWN 47
-10
9.3%
Fournette, Leonard rush for 23 yards to the SYRACUSE30, PENALTY LSU holding (Jeter, Colin) 10 yards to the LSU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:56
3RD & 13
OWN 37
-10
10.2%
Brandon Harris sacked by Ron Thompson for a loss of 10 yards to the LSU 27 Brandon Harris fumbled, forced by Ron Thompson, recovered by LSU Jerald Hawkins , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 11:40
4TH & 23
OWN 27
+16
10.6%
Jamie Keehn punt for 49 yds , Brisly Estime returns for 16 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9FG
9 plays · 33 yds · 4:3411% → 14%
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
10.8%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Brisly Estime for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
50
+3
11.3%
Jordan Fredericks run for 3 yds to the LSU 47Similar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+1
11.7%
Brisly Estime run for 1 yd to the LSU 46Similar
Q2 9:42
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+5
11.6%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Josh Parris for 5 yds to the LSU 41Similar
Q2 9:03
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+10
11.5%
Jordan Fredericks run for 10 yds to the LSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-2
12.7%
George Morris II run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 33Similar
Q2 7:48
2ND & 12
OPP 33
0
12.4%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Brisly EstimeSimilar
Q2 7:38
3RD & 12
OPP 33
+6
11.6%
George Morris II run for 6 yds to the LSU 27Similar
Q2 6:58
4TH & 6
OPP 27
+43
14.2%
Cole Murphy 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:0586% → 85%
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+6
13.7%
Leonard Fournette run for 6 yds to the LSU 12Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 4
OWN 12
+19
13.8%
Leonard Fournette run for 19 yds to the LSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
13.8%
Derrius Guice run for 1 yd to the LSU 32Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 9
OWN 32
-8
13.9%
Derrius Guice run for 2 yds to the LSU 34 LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the LSU 24Similar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 17
OWN 24
0
14.4%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Travin DuralSimilar
Q2 4:39
3RD & 17
OWN 24
+7
15.2%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Leonard Fournette for 7 yds to the LSU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11DOWNS
16 plays · 61 yds · 4:0315% → 19%
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
15.2%
George Morris II run for 5 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+7
15.8%
George Morris II run for 7 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
16.4%
Brisly Estime run for 8 yds to the Syrac 46Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 2
OWN 46
0
17.6%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to George Morris IISimilar
Q2 2:02
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+5
17.2%
George Morris II run for 5 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+14
18.3%
Mahoney, Zack pass incomplete to Strickland, Dontae, PENALTY LSU pass interference (Jefferson, Rickey) 14 yards to the LSU35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SYRACUSE.Similar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
19.6%
Jordan Fredericks run for 6 yds to the LSU 29Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 4
OPP 29
-2
20.1%
Jordan Fredericks run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 31Similar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+2
18.5%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ben Lewis for 2 yds to the LSU 29Similar
Q2 0:33
4TH & 4
OPP 29
+5
17.5%
Riley Dixon run for 5 yds to the LSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
20.1%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Josh Parris for 11 yds to the LSU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
20.6%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+31
19.4%
Cole Murphy 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 12FG
13 plays · 76 yds · 5:0984% → 86%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
16.5%
Brandon Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:42
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
16.8%
Leonard Fournette run for 5 yds to the LSU 25Similar
Q3 14:14
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+8
17.4%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Malachi Dupre for 8 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
16.7%
Leonard Fournette run for 4 yds to the LSU 37Similar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+2
16.6%
Leonard Fournette run for 2 yds to the LSU 39Similar
Q3 12:44
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+42
16.9%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Malachi Dupre for 42 yds to the Syrac 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
15.9%
Leonard Fournette run for 3 yds to the Syrac 16Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+7
16.0%
Leonard Fournette run for 7 yds to the Syrac 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
16.3%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Malachi DupreSimilar
Q3 10:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
16.3%
Brandon Harris run for 2 yds to the Syrac 7Similar
Q3 10:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
17.5%
Brandon Harris run for 3 yds to the Syrac 4Similar
Q3 9:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
14.1%
Trent Domingue 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13PUNT RETURN TD
6 plays · -5 yds · 1:4116% → 8%
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
15.6%
Devante McFarlane run for 1 yd to the Syrac 22Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 9
OWN 22
-10
15.6%
Mahoney, Zack pass incomplete to Ishmael, Steve, PENALTY SYRACUSE pass interference (Ishmael, Steve) 10 yards to the SYRACUSE11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 20
OWN 11
+4
15.7%
Devante McFarlane run for 4 yds to the Syrac 15Similar
Q3 8:04
3RD & 16
OWN 15
0
15.2%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Ben LewisSimilar
Q3 7:48
4TH & 16
OWN 15
+69
8.1%
Riley Dixon punt for 54 yds , Tre'Davious White returns for 69 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 14TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 1:309% → 20%
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
8.6%
Zack Mahoney run for no gain to the Syrac 33Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+15
8.5%
LSU Penalty, Personal Foul (Lewis Neal) to the Syrac 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
9.5%
George Morris II run for 12 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
20.0%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Brisly Estime for 40 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 15TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:4685% → 93%
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
15.3%
Leonard Fournette run for 9 yds to the LSU 34Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
14.8%
Leonard Fournette run for 7 yds to the LSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-3
14.2%
Leonard Fournette run for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 38Similar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 13
OWN 38
+62
6.9%
Leonard Fournette run for 62 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 2:448% → 9%
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+20
8.2%
Zack Mahoney run for 20 yds to the Syrac 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
9.0%
Ben Lewis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 38Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+14
8.5%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 14 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
9.3%
George Morris II run for 2 yds to the LSU 46Similar
Q3 1:27
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
9.4%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Dontae StricklandSimilar
Q3 1:23
3RD & 8
OPP 46
0
9.1%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Dontae StricklandSimilar
Q3 1:11
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
8.8%
Riley Dixon punt for 33 yds, downed at the LSU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1493% → 93%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-5
7.2%
Fournette, Leonard rush for 87 yards to the SYRACUSE0, PENALTY LSU illegal formation 5 yards to the LSU8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:50
1ST & 15
OWN 8
+2
7.2%
Derrius Guice run for 2 yds to the LSU 10Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 13
OWN 10
+8
7.1%
Derrius Guice run for 8 yds to the LSU 18Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 5
OWN 18
0
7.2%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Travin DuralSimilar
Q4 14:46
4TH & 5
OWN 18
0
7.5%
Jamie Keehn punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 18TD
8 plays · 56 yds · 2:1910% → 23%
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+27
9.7%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ben Lewis for 12 yds to the SYRACUSE 44 for a 1ST down LSU Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Dwayne Thomas) to the LSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
10.3%
Mahoney, Zack pass pass intercepted by Jefferson, Rickey at the LSU0, Jefferson, Rickey return 0 yards to the LSU0, PENALTY LSU pass interference (Toliver II, Kevin) 15 yards to the LSU14, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SYRACUSE.Similar
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
10.3%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+2
10.3%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the LSU 12Similar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 8
OPP 12
+8
10.0%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Josh Parris for 8 yds to the LSU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
10.2%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Jamal CustisSimilar
Q4 12:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
10.2%
Jordan Fredericks run for 2 yds to the LSU 2Similar
Q4 12:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
22.7%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ben Lewis for 2 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 19TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 2:3985% → 96%
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
14.9%
Leonard Fournette run for 3 yds to the LSU 30Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+7
14.9%
Leonard Fournette run for 7 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-6
14.0%
Leonard Fournette run for a loss of 6 yards to the LSU 31Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 16
OWN 31
+7
15.0%
Darrel Williams run for 7 yds to the LSU 38Similar
Q4 9:33
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+51
12.7%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Travin Dural for 51 yds to the SYRACUSE 11 for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Julian Whigham) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
3.9%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Malachi Dupre for 11 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 20INT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:095% → 5%
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
4.9%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ben Lewis for 5 yds to the Syrac 23Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+2
4.7%
Ben Lewis run for 2 yds to the Syrac 25Similar
Q4 7:44
3RD & 3
OWN 25
0
4.6%
Zack Mahoney pass intercepted Deion Jones return for no gain to the Syrac 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 21FG
8 plays · 6 yds · 2:2996% → 98%
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-2
3.8%
Leonard Fournette run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 28Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 12
OPP 28
+19
3.7%
Brandon Harris run for 19 yds to the Syrac 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
3.4%
LSU Penalty, False Start (Ethan Pocic) to the Syrac 14Similar
Q4 6:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
-6
3.5%
Leonard Fournette run for a loss of 6 yards to the Syrac 20Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 20
0
3.5%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to John DiarseSimilar
Q4 5:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 20
0
3.0%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to John DiarseSimilar
Q4 5:11
4TH & 0
OPP 20
+37
2.1%
Trent Domingue 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 22TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 3:073% → 8%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.6%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Josh ParrisSimilar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
2.5%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Devante McFarlaneSimilar
Q4 4:50
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+12
2.4%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ben Lewis for 12 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
2.5%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Josh ParrisSimilar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+8
2.5%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Josh Parris for 8 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
Q4 3:54
3RD & 2
OWN 45
0
2.6%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q4 3:46
4TH & 2
OWN 45
+16
2.5%
Zack Mahoney run for 16 yds to the LSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
2.7%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 5 yds to the LSU 34Similar
Q4 3:01
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+8
3.1%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 8 yds to the LSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
3.1%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Ben LewisSimilar
Q4 2:44
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
2.9%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Dontae StricklandSimilar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+5
2.8%
Mahoney, Zack pass incomplete to Ishmael, Steve, PENALTY LSU offside (Neal, Lewis) 5 yards to the LSU21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+10
3.0%
Zack Mahoney run for 10 yds to the LSU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
3.1%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Devante McFarlaneSimilar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
3.1%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Josh ParrisSimilar
Q4 1:57
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+6
2.4%
Zack Mahoney run for no gain to the LSU 11 for a 1ST down LSU Penalty, Personal Foul (Deion Jones) to the LSU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
7.8%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Dontae Strickland for 5 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 23END OF GAME
6 plays · 31 yds · 1:4096% → 96%
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
3.8%
Leonard Fournette run for 5 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
Q4 1:31
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+30
3.4%
Leonard Fournette run for 30 yds to the Syrac 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-2
3.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 15Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 15
-2
3.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:06
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ben Lewis for 2 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)
+12.5
TD · Q3 6:02
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Brisly Estime for 40 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)
+10.5
TD · Q4 9:14
Brandon Harris pass complete to Malachi Dupre for 11 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK)
-8.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com