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UCF

UCF 14 at South Carolina 31

SC
2015 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2015 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadUCF aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreUCF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGSAFETYTDTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG-1SC 78.8%Elliott Fry 52 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 3 · Q1 9:47
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:47 · Elliott Fry 52 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 13Pregame prior+27.6Home team on offense+0.4Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:04: Nick Patti run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK) — UCF win probability +7.2 pts (now 30%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:23: Bo Schneider pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 30 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK) — UCF win probability +12.5 pts (now 44%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:41: Pharoh Cooper run for 29 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK) — SC win probability +16.4 pts (now 75%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:39: Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Jacob August for 13 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK) — SC win probability +11.9 pts (now 87%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:47: Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 35 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — SC win probability +4.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 7 of 9UCF made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 9:47SC 4th & 11 at UCF 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.8%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.8%
    47% to make
    Punt
    78.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:47UCF 4th & 9 at UCF 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:20SC 4th & 6 at UCF 31, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.1%−<0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    77.8%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:20UCF 4th & 18 at UCF 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%−0.8
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00SC 4th & 2 at UCF 43, up 3
    Close callPunted · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    76.5%−0.8
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    76.7%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:42SC 4th & 10 at SC 33, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.0%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:02UCF 4th & 8 at UCF 43, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.3%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:04SC 4th & 9 at SC 37, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.1%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:04SC 4th & 9 at UCF 9, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%−1.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    50.0%−6.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00UCF 4th & 4 at UCF 31, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%−1.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:38SC 4th & 16 at SC 43, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−3.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:23UCF 4th & 11 at UCF 27, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.4%−2.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:37UCF 4th & 6 at SC 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    7.5%−0.4
    42% to make
    Punt
    6.9%−1.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:36SC 4th & 1 at UCF 20, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    95.6%−0.8
    75% to make
    Punt
    93.3%−3.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:53SC 4th & 8 at UCF 15, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.2%
    83% to make
    Punt
    95.6%−1.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:28UCF 4th & 1 at UCF 45, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.5%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:28UCF 4th & 14 at UCF 43, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 2 of 3UCF made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 11:04UCF Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:23UCF Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:41SC Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:39SC Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:47SC Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    92.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1FG
13 plays · 40 yds · 5:1380% → 79%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
79.9%
Lorenzo Nunez pass incomplete, broken up by Drico JohnsonSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
79.9%
Shon Carson run for no gain to the SCaro 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+11
79.9%
Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 11 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
79.9%
Lorenzo Nunez run for 1 yd to the SCaro 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+12
79.9%
Lorenzo Nunez run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+2
79.9%
Shon Carson run for 2 yds to the UCF 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
79.9%
Lorenzo Nunez pass incomplete to Pharoh CooperSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+15
79.9%
Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Jerell Adams for 15 yds to the UCF 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
79.9%
David Williams run for 2 yds to the UCF 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 31
-3
79.9%
Pharoh Cooper run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCF 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 34
0
79.9%
Lorenzo Nunez pass incomplete to Jerell AdamsSimilar
Q1 9:47
4TH & 11
OPP 34
+52
78.8%
Elliott Fry 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
78.9%
Bo Schneider pass incomplete to Tre'Quan Smith, broken up by Skai MooreSimilar
Q1 9:47
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+12
78.9%
Bo Schneider pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 12 yds to the UCF 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
78.8%
Bo Schneider pass incomplete to Tristan PaytonSimilar
Q1 9:47
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+1
78.9%
Taj McGowan run for 1 yd to the UCF 34Similar
Q1 9:47
3RD & 9
OWN 34
0
79.0%
Bo Schneider pass incomplete to Tre'Quan SmithSimilar
Q1 9:47
4TH & 9
OWN 34
+15
79.1%
Caleb Houston punt for 45 yds , Pharoh Cooper returns for 15 yds to the SCaro 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3MISSED FG
7 plays · 33 yds · 3:3379% → 78%
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
78.6%
Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Jacob August for 8 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 2
OWN 44
-2
78.9%
Lorenzo Nunez run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 42Similar
Q1 7:53
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+23
78.7%
Lorenzo Nunez run for 23 yds to the UCF 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
79.1%
Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 5 yds to the UCF 30Similar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+1
79.1%
Pharoh Cooper run for 1 yd to the UCF 29Similar
Q1 7:53
3RD & 4
OPP 29
-2
78.9%
Lorenzo Nunez run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 31Similar
Q1 4:20
4TH & 6
OPP 31
+49
77.8%
Elliott Fry 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
77.8%
Taj McGowan run for 2 yds to the UCF 33Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 8
OWN 33
0
77.7%
Taj McGowan run for no gain to the UCF 33Similar
Q1 4:20
3RD & 8
OWN 33
-10
78.1%
Bo Schneider sacked by Boosie Whitlow for a loss of 10 yards to the UCF 23Similar
Q1 4:20
4TH & 18
OWN 23
0
78.5%
Caleb Houston punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:2277% → 77%
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
77.1%
David Williams run for 2 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q1 2:22
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+15
77.1%
Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Jerell Adams for 15 yds to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
77.8%
Lorenzo Nunez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:04
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+8
77.2%
Lorenzo Nunez run for 8 yds to the UCF 43Similar
Q1 1:04
3RD & 2
OPP 43
0
77.4%
David Williams run for no gain to the UCF 43Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 43
0
76.6%
Sean Kelly punt for 41 yds, downed at the UCF 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 6SF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-2
77.0%
Taj McGowan run for a loss of 2 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
77.1%
Perry Orth pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:42
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
77.0%
Perry Orth pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:42
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
76.5%
Perry Orth pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:42
4TH & 10
OWN 33
0
76.2%
Sean Kelly punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
76.7%
Taj McGowan run for 3 yds to the UCF 24Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+4
76.6%
Taj McGowan run for 4 yds to the UCF 28Similar
Q2 14:02
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+13
76.6%
Bo Schneider pass complete to Jordan Franks for 13 yds to the UCF 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
75.8%
Bo Schneider pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
76.0%
Bo Schneider pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:02
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+7
76.4%
Bo Schneider pass complete to Cal Bloom for 7 yds to the UCF 48Similar
Q2 14:02
4TH & 3
OWN 48
-5
76.1%
UCF Penalty, illegal procedure (Pat Jasinski) to the UCF 43Similar
Q2 14:02
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
76.8%
Caleb Houston punt for 53 yds , Pharoh Cooper returns for no gain to the SCaro 1 Pharoh Cooper fumbled, recovered by UCF T.J. MutchersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 9TD
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q2 11:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
69.6%
Nick Patti run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0073% → 72%
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
72.8%
Shon Carson run for 2 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
72.8%
Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Shamier Jeffery for 9 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
73.3%
Lorenzo Nunez run for 1 yd to the SCaro 37Similar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
73.1%
Lorenzo Nunez pass incomplete to Pharoh Cooper, broken up by Kyle GibsonSimilar
Q2 11:04
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
72.6%
Lorenzo Nunez pass incomplete to Pharoh CooperSimilar
Q2 11:04
4TH & 9
OWN 37
+56
71.9%
Sean Kelly punt for 50 yds UCF Penalty, Offensive holding (T.J. Mutcherson) to the UCF 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 11TD
8 plays · 93 yds · 3:4229% → 44%
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+15
71.1%
JONES, C.J. rush for loss of 3 yards to the UCF4 (Larenz Bryant), PENALTY SC personal foul (Larenz Bryant) 15 yards to the UCF22, 1ST DOWN UCF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
70.8%
Bo Schneider pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 12 yds to the UCF 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
70.1%
C.J. Jones run for no gain to the UCF 34Similar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+11
70.4%
Bo Schneider pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 11 yds to the UCF 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
69.3%
C.J. Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 44Similar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+12
69.7%
Bo Schneider pass complete to Tristan Payton for 12 yds to the SCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+14
68.9%
Bo Schneider pass complete to Chris Johnson for 14 yds to the SCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
56.3%
Bo Schneider pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 30 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12FG
13 plays · 62 yds · 4:1959% → 61%
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
59.0%
David Williams run for 1 yd to the SCaro 30Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 9
OWN 30
0
58.9%
Lorenzo Nunez run for no gain to the SCaro 30Similar
Q2 5:23
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+17
57.6%
Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Jerell Adams for 17 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+29
60.6%
Lorenzo Nunez run for 29 yds to the UCF 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-6
62.2%
David Williams run for a loss of 6 yards to the UCF 30Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 16
OPP 30
+15
61.2%
Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Carlton Heard for 15 yds to the UCF 15Similar
Q2 1:58
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+5
58.1%
UCF Penalty, encroachment (Tony Guerad) to the UCF 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
59.5%
Lorenzo Nunez run for 1 yd to the UCF 9Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
59.5%
Lorenzo Nunez pass incomplete to Pharoh CooperSimilar
Q2 1:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
58.0%
Lorenzo Nunez pass incomplete to Jerell Adams, broken up by Chequan BurkettSimilar
Q2 1:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
60.6%
Elliott Fry 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 13END OF HALF
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0043% → 44%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
56.8%
C.J. Jones run for 3 yds to the UCF 28Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
56.4%
C.J. Jones run for 6 yds to the UCF 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:0043% → 42%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
57.0%
UCF Penalty, false start (Cal Bloom) to the UCF 20Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+4
57.7%
C.J. Jones run for 4 yds to the UCF 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+7
57.7%
C.J. Jones run for 7 yds to the UCF 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
56.9%
Bo Schneider pass incomplete to Tristan Payton, broken up by T.J. HollomanSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
58.2%
Caleb Houston punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Pharoh Cooper at the SCaro 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:0059% → 57%
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+18
59.3%
Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 18 yds to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
61.7%
Shon Carson run for 3 yds to the UCF 48Similar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 7
OPP 48
-9
62.2%
Lorenzo Nunez sacked by Jeremy Boykins for a loss of 9 yards to the SCaro 43Similar
Q3 13:38
3RD & 16
OWN 43
0
58.1%
Lorenzo Nunez pass incomplete to Shon CarsonSimilar
Q3 13:38
4TH & 16
OWN 43
0
57.0%
Sean Kelly punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Chris Johnson at the UCF 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0046% → 44%
Q3 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
54.5%
C.J. Jones run for 2 yds to the UCF 16Similar
Q3 11:23
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+12
54.6%
Bo Schneider pass complete to Tristan Payton for 12 yds to the UCF 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
53.4%
C.J. Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 27Similar
Q3 11:23
2ND & 11
OWN 27
0
54.5%
Bo Schneider pass incomplete to Tre'Quan Smith, broken up by Al Harris Jr.Similar
Q3 11:23
3RD & 11
OWN 27
0
55.4%
Bo Schneider pass incomplete to Tre'Quan SmithSimilar
Q3 11:23
4TH & 11
OWN 27
0
56.5%
Caleb Houston punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Pharoh Cooper at the SCaro 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17TD
4 plays · 74 yds · 1:2655% → 75%
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+23
54.9%
Lorenzo Nunez run for 23 yds to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
58.2%
Shon Carson run for 8 yds to the UCF 43Similar
Q3 9:07
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+14
58.9%
Shon Carson run for 14 yds to the UCF 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
75.3%
Pharoh Cooper run for 29 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 18INT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
70.3%
Nick Patti run for 1 yd to the UCF 26Similar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
70.4%
Nick Patti run for 6 yds to the UCF 32Similar
Q3 7:41
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
70.3%
Bo Schneider pass intercepted T.J. Holloman return for no gain to the UCF 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19TD
4 plays · 40 yds · 1:3674% → 87%
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+23
74.3%
Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Carlton Heard for 23 yds to the UCF 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
75.1%
David Williams run for 1 yd to the UCF 16Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+3
75.1%
Lorenzo Nunez run for 3 yds to the UCF 13Similar
Q3 4:39
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+13
87.0%
Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Jacob August for 13 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 20INT
4 plays · 24 yds · 0:0017% → 18%
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
83.1%
Bo Schneider pass complete to Cedric Thompson for 7 yds to the UCF 24Similar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+17
82.5%
Bo Schneider pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 17 yds to the UCF 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
81.8%
Bo Schneider pass intercepted T.J. Holloman return for 8 yds to the SCaro 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21TD
5 plays · 54 yds · 1:2588% → 94%
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
87.5%
Lorenzo Nunez run for no gain to the SCaro 46Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
87.2%
Lorenzo Nunez pass incomplete to Shamier Jeffery, broken up by Jerod BoykinsSimilar
Q3 3:12
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+19
86.3%
Lorenzo Nunez run for 19 yds to the UCF 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
94.4%
Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 35 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 22DOWNS
14 plays · 39 yds · 5:108% → 6%
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
92.0%
Cedric Thompson run for 2 yds to the UCF 27Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
92.0%
Nick Patti pass complete to Chris Johnson for 7 yds to the UCF 34Similar
Q3 1:47
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
91.5%
Nick Patti run for 3 yds to the UCF 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
91.4%
Bo Schneider pass complete to Tristan Payton for 6 yds to the UCF 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+3
92.9%
Bo Schneider pass complete to Blake Tiralosi for 3 yds to the UCF 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+2
93.0%
C.J. Jones run for 2 yds to the UCF 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
92.9%
Nick Patti pass complete to Tristan Payton for 4 yds to the SCaro 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+8
92.8%
Bo Schneider pass complete to Tristan Payton for 8 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
92.8%
Bo Schneider pass incomplete to Tre'Quan SmithSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+4
92.8%
Nick Patti pass complete to D'erren Wilson for 4 yds to the SCaro 36Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 36
0
92.9%
Bo Schneider pass incomplete to Blake TiralosiSimilar
Q4 11:37
4TH & 6
OPP 36
0
94.4%
Bo Schneider pass complete to Cedric Thompson for no gain to the SCaro 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 23FG
16 plays · 49 yds · 8:3796% → 99%
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
95.8%
David Williams run for 9 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+15
96.0%
David Williams run for 15 yds to the UCF 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
96.0%
Lorenzo Nunez run for 5 yds to the UCF 35Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+1
96.2%
David Williams run for 1 yd to the UCF 34Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+5
96.1%
David Williams run for 5 yds to the UCF 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
96.2%
Shon Carson run for 6 yds to the UCF 23Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+3
97.5%
David Williams run for 3 yds to the UCF 20Similar
Q4 7:10
3RD & 1
OPP 20
0
97.4%
David Williams run for no gain to the UCF 20Similar
Q4 5:36
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+3
98.4%
David Williams run for 3 yds to the UCF 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-4
98.6%
David Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCF 21Similar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 14
OPP 21
+3
98.6%
Lorenzo Nunez run for 3 yds to the UCF 18Similar
Q4 5:36
3RD & 11
OPP 18
-5
98.6%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Jerell Adams) to the UCF 23Similar
Q4 5:36
3RD & 16
OPP 23
+8
98.5%
Lorenzo Nunez run for 8 yds to the UCF 15Similar
Q4 2:53
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+33
99.4%
Elliott Fry 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 24DOWNS
12 plays · 18 yds · 1:252% → 1%
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.4%
Bo Schneider pass complete to Jordan Franks for 4 yds to the UCF 29Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
98.4%
Bo Schneider pass complete to Nick Patti for 7 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
98.3%
Bo Schneider pass complete to C.J. Jones for 5 yds to the UCF 41Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+4
98.3%
Bo Schneider pass complete to Nick Patti for 4 yds to the UCF 45Similar
Q4 2:53
3RD & 1
OWN 45
0
98.3%
Bo Schneider pass incomplete to Tristan PaytonSimilar
Q4 1:28
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+2
99.2%
Bo Schneider run for 2 yds to the UCF 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.3%
Bo Schneider pass complete to Blake Tiralosi for 5 yds to the SCaro 48Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 5
OPP 48
-9
99.1%
Bo Schneider sacked by Dante Sawyer for a loss of 9 yards to the UCF 43Similar
Q4 1:28
3RD & 14
OWN 43
0
99.4%
Bo Schneider pass incomplete to Blake Tiralosi, broken up by Skai MooreSimilar
Q4 1:28
4TH & 14
OWN 43
0
99.4%
Bo Schneider pass incomplete to Chris Johnson, broken up by Isaiah JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
99.6%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:41
Pharoh Cooper run for 29 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)
+16.4
TD · Q2 5:23
Bo Schneider pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 30 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)
-12.5
TD · Q3 4:39
Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Jacob August for 13 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)
+11.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com