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SOU

Southern 6 at Georgia 48

UGA
2015 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2015 · Sanford Stadium
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadSOU aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreSOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG—UGA 99.5%Marshall Morgan 47 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 3 · Q1 9:42
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:42 · Marshall Morgan 47 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 15Pregame prior+48.4Home team on offense+0.4Score differential+0.0Blowout margin−0.2Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:25: Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 7 for a 1ST down — UGA win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:06: Lenard Tillery run for 16 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — SOU win probability +0.6 pts (now 2%) (top driver: SOU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 1:46: Marshall Morgan 25 yd FG GOOD — UGA win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:27: Nick Chubb run for 9 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK) — UGA win probability +1.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:45: Greyson Lambert pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 23 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK) — UGA win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 2 of 4SOU made the numbers' call on 8 of 12
  1. Q1 12:32SOU 4th & 22 at SOU 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:42UGA 4th & 10 at SOU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.4%
    58% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:38SOU 4th & 6 at SOU 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:34SOU 4th & 11 at UGA 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.8%
    54% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:49SOU 4th & 8 at UGA 32, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%
    51% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:04UGA 4th & 10 at UGA 32, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:55SOU 4th & 4 at midfield, down 11
    Close callPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:46UGA 4th & 3 at SOU 8, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.0%−0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    97.6%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:14SOU 4th & 11 at midfield, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:04SOU 4th & 16 at SOU 3, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:18SOU 4th & 9 at SOU 26, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:19SOU 4th & 2 at SOU 33, down 35
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:52SOU 4th & 9 at SOU 43, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:30UGA 4th & 3 at SOU 23, up 42
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:01SOU 4th & 15 at SOU 18, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:52SOU 4th & 11 at UGA 32, down 42
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    51% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5SOU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 7:56UGA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:06SOU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    1.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:27UGA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:45UGA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:44UGA Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:08UGA Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SOUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · -12 yds · 2:130% → 0%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-10
99.6%
SOUTHERN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Sthrn 18Similar
Q1 14:24
1ST & 20
OWN 18
0
99.6%
Austin Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 20
OWN 18
+2
99.6%
Austin Howard run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 20Similar
Q1 13:42
3RD & 18
OWN 20
+1
99.6%
Lenard Tillery run for 1 yd to the Sthrn 21Similar
Q1 12:54
4TH & 17
OWN 21
-5
99.6%
SOUTHERN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Sthrn 16Similar
Q1 12:32
4TH & 22
OWN 16
+4
99.6%
Greg Pittman punt for 39 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for 4 yds to the Geo 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2FG
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:24100% → 100%
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
99.6%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Reggie Davis for 4 yds to the Sthrn 47Similar
Q1 11:59
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+7
99.6%
Nick Chubb run for 7 yds to the Sthrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
99.5%
Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the Sthrn 36Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+7
99.5%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Terry Godwin for 7 yds to the Sthrn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.5%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the Sthrn 29Similar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
99.5%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the Sthrn 29Similar
Q1 9:49
3RD & 10
OPP 29
0
99.5%
Greyson Lambert pass incomplete to Reggie DavisSimilar
Q1 9:42
4TH & 10
OPP 29
+47
99.5%
Marshall Morgan 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:501% → 1%
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
99.5%
Lenard Tillery run for 4 yds to the Sthrn 17Similar
Q1 8:54
2ND & 6
OWN 17
0
99.4%
Austin Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:48
3RD & 6
OWN 17
0
99.4%
Austin Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:38
4TH & 6
OWN 17
+10
99.4%
Greg Pittman punt blocked by Malkom Parrish, downed at the Sthrn 27 Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4TD
2 plays · 27 yds · 0:2999% → 99%
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
99.4%
Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 24Similar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+24
99.4%
Nick Chubb 24 Yd pass from Greyson Lambert (Marshall Morgan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 5MISSED FG
10 plays · 44 yds · 3:521% → 1%
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.4%
Malcolm Crockett run for 7 yds to the Sthrn 32Similar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
99.4%
Austin Howard pass complete to Montrell Jones for 8 yds to the Sthrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.3%
Austin Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+7
99.3%
Malcolm Crockett run for 7 yds to the Sthrn 47Similar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+23
99.3%
Austin Howard pass complete to Montrell Jones for 23 yds to the Geo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
99.2%
Malcolm Crockett run for 1 yd to the Geo 29Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 9
OPP 29
0
99.2%
Austin Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:35
3RD & 9
OPP 29
-2
99.2%
Austin Howard pass complete to Mike Jones for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 31Similar
Q1 3:34
4TH & 11
OPP 31
+49
99.2%
Greg Pittman 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6TD
5 plays · 69 yds · 1:5099% → 99%
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+33
99.2%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 33 yds to the Sthrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
99.2%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 33Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+16
99.2%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 16 yds to the Sthrn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
99.2%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Sony Michel for 7 yds to the Sthrn 10Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+3
99.4%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 7TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 7:511% → 2%
Q1 0:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.4%
Sony Michel 7 Yd Run (Marshall Morgan Kick)Similar
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.3%
Lenard Tillery run for 4 yds to the Sthrn 29Similar
Q1 0:26
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
99.3%
Lenard Tillery run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
99.3%
Austin Howard pass complete to Willie Quinn for 4 yds to the Sthrn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.3%
GEORGIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Sthrn 40Similar
Q2 13:57
1ST & 5
OWN 40
0
99.2%
Austin Howard pass incomplete to Randall MenardSimilar
Q2 13:48
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
99.2%
Lenard Tillery run for no gain to the Sthrn 40Similar
Q2 12:59
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+12
99.2%
Lenard Tillery run for 12 yds to the Geo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
99.2%
Lenard Tillery run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 12
50
+7
99.2%
Austin Howard pass complete to Willie Quinn for 7 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q2 10:54
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+9
99.1%
Austin Howard pass complete to Willie Quinn for 9 yds to the Geo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
99.1%
Malcolm Crockett run for 2 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 8
OPP 32
0
99.0%
Austin Howard run for no gain to the Geo 32Similar
Q2 8:56
3RD & 8
OPP 32
0
99.0%
Austin Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:49
4TH & 8
OPP 32
+16
99.1%
Austin Howard pass complete to Randall Menard for 16 yds to the Geo 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
98.5%
Lenard Tillery run for 16 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:4499% → 98%
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
98.7%
Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the Geo 36Similar
Q2 7:22
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+4
98.7%
Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q2 6:42
3RD & 2
OWN 40
-8
98.6%
Greyson Lambert sacked by Daniel Brown and Aaron Tiller for a loss of 8 yards to the Geo 32Similar
Q2 6:04
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
98.4%
Collin Barber punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Sthrn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:042% → 2%
Q2 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
98.4%
Austin Howard pass incomplete to Willie QuinnSimilar
Q2 5:31
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+6
98.3%
Malcolm Crockett run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:03
3RD & 4
50
0
98.2%
Austin Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:55
4TH & 4
50
0
98.4%
Greg Pittman punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10FG
10 plays · 82 yds · 2:5398% → 99%
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+13
98.4%
Brice Ramsey pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 13 yds to the Geo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+21
98.4%
Brice Ramsey pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 21 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
98.4%
Brice Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+30
98.4%
Brice Ramsey pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 30 yds to the Sthrn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+11
98.5%
Nick Chubb run for 11 yds to the Sthrn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-2
98.5%
Nick Chubb run for a loss of 2 yards to the Sthrn 17Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 12
OPP 17
+7
98.4%
Brice Ramsey pass complete to Jeb Blazevich for 7 yds to the Sthrn 10Similar
Q2 2:08
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+2
98.4%
Brice Ramsey pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 2 yds to the Sthrn 8Similar
Q2 1:46
4TH & 3
OPP 8
+25
98.6%
Marshall Morgan 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:152% → 2%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+19
98.4%
Lenard Tillery run for 19 yds to the Geo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
98.2%
Austin Howard pass complete to Nico Talbert for 4 yds to the Geo 45Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 6
OPP 45
-5
98.1%
SOUTHERN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 11
50
0
98.3%
Austin Howard pass incomplete to Willie QuinnSimilar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 11
50
0
98.3%
Austin Howard pass incomplete to Willie QuinnSimilar
Q2 0:14
4TH & 11
50
0
98.4%
Greg Pittman punt for 41 yds, downed at the Geo 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-1
98.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 1:3398% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
98.4%
Nick Chubb run for 11 yds to the Geo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
98.4%
Nick Chubb run for 13 yds to the Sthrn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
98.4%
Nick Chubb run for 11 yds to the Sthrn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+21
98.4%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 11 yds to the Sthrn 19 for a 1ST down SOUTHERN Penalty, Face Mask (10 yards) to the Sthrn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.4%
Nick Chubb run for 9 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · -6 yds · 3:061% → 1%
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-1
99.2%
Lenard Tillery run for a loss of 1 yard to the Sthrn 8Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 11
OWN 8
-4
99.2%
SOUTHERN Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the Sthrn 4Similar
Q3 12:08
2ND & 15
OWN 4
-2
99.3%
SOUTHERN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-2 Yards) to the Sthrn 2Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 17
OWN 2
+2
99.3%
Malcolm Crockett run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 4Similar
Q3 10:36
3RD & 15
OWN 4
-1
99.3%
Lenard Tillery run for a loss of 1 yard to the Sthrn 3Similar
Q3 10:04
4TH & 16
OWN 3
+8
99.3%
Greg Pittman punt for 42 yds , Reggie Davis returns for 8 yds to the Sthrn 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15TD
4 plays · 37 yds · 0:5199% → 100%
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
99.4%
Sony Michel run for a loss of 2 yards to the Sthrn 39Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 12
OPP 39
-5
99.4%
GEORGIA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Sthrn 44Similar
Q3 9:03
2ND & 17
OPP 44
+21
99.4%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 21 yds to the Sthrn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
99.9%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 23 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 2:180% → 0%
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Lenard Tillery run for 1 yd to the Sthrn 26Similar
Q3 7:57
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
99.9%
Lenard Tillery run for 4 yds to the Sthrn 30Similar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
99.9%
SOUTHERN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Sthrn 25Similar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Deonte Shorts run for 1 yd to the Sthrn 26Similar
Q3 6:18
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+5
99.9%
Greg Pittman punt for 35 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for 5 yds to the Geo 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17TD
2 plays · 56 yds · 0:22100% → 100%
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
99.9%
Nick Chubb run for 7 yds to the Sthrn 49Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+49
99.9%
Nick Chubb run for 49 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:150% → 0%
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Deonte Shorts run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 27Similar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
99.9%
Malcolm Crockett run for 4 yds to the Sthrn 31Similar
Q3 4:08
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
99.9%
Malcolm Crockett run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 33Similar
Q3 3:19
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Greg Pittman punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Reggie Davis at the Geo 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19TD
3 plays · 74 yds · 0:59100% → 100%
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
99.9%
Sony Michel run for 6 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+10
99.9%
Brice Ramsey pass complete to Glenn Welch for 10 yds to the Geo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+58
99.9%
Sony Michel run for 58 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:470% → 0%
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
99.9%
Lenard Tillery run for 6 yds to the Sthrn 32Similar
Q3 1:07
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+10
99.9%
Lenard Tillery run for 10 yds to the Sthrn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
99.9%
Malcolm Crockett run for 1 yd to the Sthrn 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Deonte Shorts pass complete to Nico Talbert for no gain to the Sthrn 43Similar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 9
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Deonte Shorts pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:52
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Greg Pittman punt for 44 yds, downed at the Geo 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 21MISSED FG
11 plays · 64 yds · 4:13100% → 100%
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
99.9%
Brice Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+13
99.9%
Brice Ramsey pass complete to Keith Marshall for 13 yds to the Geo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+13
99.9%
Keith Marshall run for 13 yds to the Geo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+18
99.9%
Brice Ramsey pass complete to Jayson Stanley for 18 yds to the Sthrn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
99.9%
Brice Ramsey pass complete to Jayson Stanley for 5 yds to the Sthrn 38Similar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+1
99.9%
Brice Ramsey pass complete to Kenneth Towns for 1 yd to the Sthrn 37Similar
Q4 10:59
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+7
99.9%
Keith Marshall run for 7 yds to the Sthrn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
99.9%
Brice Ramsey pass complete to Kenneth Towns for 5 yds to the Sthrn 25Similar
Q4 10:13
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+2
99.9%
Keith Marshall run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 23Similar
Q4 9:38
3RD & 3
OPP 23
0
99.9%
Brice Ramsey pass incomplete to Kenneth TownsSimilar
Q4 9:30
4TH & 3
OPP 23
+40
99.9%
Patrick Beless 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 22FUMBLE
5 plays · -5 yds · 2:290% → 0%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
100.0%
SOUTHERN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Sthrn 18Similar
Q4 9:22
1ST & 15
OWN 18
+1
100.0%
Lenard Tillery run for 1 yd to the Sthrn 19Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 14
OWN 19
+2
100.0%
Lenard Tillery run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 21Similar
Q4 7:55
3RD & 12
OWN 21
-3
100.0%
Lenard Tillery run for a loss of 3 yards to the Sthrn 18Similar
Q4 7:01
4TH & 15
OWN 18
-4
100.0%
Greg Pittman punt for 37 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 41 Isaiah McKenzie fumbled, recovered by SthrnSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 23DOWNS
6 plays · 3 yds · 3:000% → 0%
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
100.0%
Lenard Tillery run for no gain to the Geo 41Similar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+10
100.0%
Jarrad Hayes pass complete to Nico Talbert for 10 yds to the Geo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-2
100.0%
John West run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 33Similar
Q4 4:41
2ND & 12
OPP 33
+1
100.0%
John West run for 1 yd to the Geo 32Similar
Q4 3:59
3RD & 11
OPP 32
0
100.0%
Jarrad Hayes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:52
4TH & 11
OPP 32
-6
100.0%
Jarrad Hayes sacked by Trenton Thompson and D'Andre Walker for a loss of 6 yards to the Geo 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 24END OF GAME
7 plays · 42 yds · 3:33100% → 100%
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
100.0%
Brendan Douglas run for 7 yds to the Geo 45Similar
Q4 2:57
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+7
100.0%
Brendan Douglas run for 7 yds to the Sthrn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
100.0%
Brendan Douglas run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 45Similar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+11
100.0%
Brendan Douglas run for 11 yds to the Sthrn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
100.0%
Brendan Douglas run for 1 yd to the Sthrn 33Similar
Q4 0:06
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+15
100.0%
Brendan Douglas run for 15 yds to the Sthrn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Sthrn 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 13:27
Nick Chubb run for 9 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)
+1
TD · Q2 8:06
Lenard Tillery run for 16 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-0.6
TD · Q3 8:45
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 23 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)
+0.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com