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ULM

UL Monroe 0 at Alabama 34

ALA
2015 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2015 · Bryant-Denny Stadium
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Win probability · ALA
modelALA aheadULM aheadconfidence bandkey playALA scoreULM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:04 · Chris Qualls punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 54Pregame prior+43.0Home team on offense+6.9Score differential+1.9Garbage-time factor+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.6Blowout margin+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:24: Jake Coker pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 15 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK) — ALA win probability +0.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:01: Kenyan Drake run for 9 yds to the LaMon 49 — ALA win probability +0.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Adam Griffith kickoff for 64 yds , Trey Caldwell return for 18 yds to the LaMon 19 — ULM win probability +0.6 pts (now 3%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 8:44: Adam Griffith 40 yd FG GOOD — ALA win probability +1.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:06: Jake Coker pass complete to Michael Nysewander for 19 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK) — ALA win probability +1.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ALA made the numbers' call on 8 of 11ULM made the numbers' call on 11 of 16
  1. Q1 12:59ALA 4th & 4 at ALA 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:04ULM 4th & 15 at ALA 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:22ALA 4th & 1 at ALA 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:25ULM 4th & 4 at ULM 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:38ALA 4th & 1 at ULM 3, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.0%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    96.8%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    96.3%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:46ULM 4th & 2 at ULM 30, down 7
    Close callPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:11ALA 4th & 10 at ALA 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:33ULM 4th & 4 at ULM 26, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.1%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 12:04ULM 4th & 10 at ULM 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 11:19ULM 4th & 10 at midfield, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  11. Q2 8:19ALA 4th & 5 at midfield, up 14
    Close callPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q2 6:25ULM 4th & 3 at ULM 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.9%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q2 4:33ULM 4th & 9 at ULM 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  14. Q2 3:09ALA 4th & 3 at ALA 39, up 14
    Close callPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.5%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q2 2:06ULM 4th & 10 at ULM 18, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  16. Q2 0:47ALA 4th & 4 at ULM 41, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    96.6%−0.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    96.5%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q2 0:05ULM 4th & 10 at ALA 40, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.5%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    3.4%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    3.5%
    average punt
  18. Q3 11:15ULM 4th & 2 at midfield, down 14
    Close callPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%−0.3
    average punt
  19. Q3 8:44ALA 4th & 6 at ULM 23, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.3%
    70% to make
    Punt
    94.5%−1.8
    average punt
  20. Q3 8:09ULM 4th & 15 at ULM 20, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  21. Q3 4:22ULM 4th & 8 at ULM 17, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  22. Q3 2:14ALA 4th & 17 at ALA 49, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  23. Q4 14:40ULM 4th & 10 at ULM 24, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  24. Q4 12:21ALA 4th & 5 at ULM 18, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%
    79% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.5
    average punt
  25. Q4 4:45ULM 4th & 14 at ALA 36, down 34
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    42% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  26. Q4 2:52ALA 4th & 1 at ULM 45, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  27. Q4 0:40ULM 4th & 12 at ALA 47, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ALA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 2:38ALA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:24ALA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:06ALA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:05ALA Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ALADrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:4299% → 99%
Q1 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
98.9%
Derrick Henry run for 1 yd to the Alab 17Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+1
98.9%
Derrick Henry run for 1 yd to the Alab 18Similar
Q1 13:34
3RD & 8
OWN 18
+4
98.9%
Jake Coker pass complete to Richard Mullaney for 4 yds to the Alab 22Similar
Q1 12:59
4TH & 4
OWN 22
0
98.8%
JK Scott punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:471% → 1%
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
98.8%
Garrett Smith run for 2 yds to the Alab 38Similar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 8
OPP 38
-5
98.8%
UL MONROE Penalty, False Start (Frank Sutton Jr.) to the Alab 43Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 13
OPP 43
0
98.8%
Garrett Smith pass incomplete to Ajalen HolleySimilar
Q1 11:34
3RD & 13
OPP 43
-2
98.7%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Kaylon Watson for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 45Similar
Q1 11:04
4TH & 15
OPP 45
0
98.7%
Chris Qualls punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Cyrus Jones at the Alab 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 2:3299% → 98%
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+13
98.6%
Jake Coker pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 13 yds to the Alab 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
98.6%
Jake Coker pass incomplete to ArDarius StewartSimilar
Q1 10:09
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+6
98.6%
Jake Coker pass complete to O.J. Howard for 6 yds to the Alab 29Similar
Q1 9:46
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+6
98.5%
Jake Coker pass complete to Richard Mullaney for 6 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.5%
Jake Coker pass incomplete to Calvin RidleySimilar
Q1 9:04
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
98.5%
Kenyan Drake run for 7 yds to the Alab 42Similar
Q1 8:40
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+2
98.4%
Jake Coker pass complete to O.J. Howard for 2 yds to the Alab 44Similar
Q1 8:22
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
98.4%
JK Scott punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Rashon Ceaser at the LaMon 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:502% → 2%
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
98.4%
Garrett Smith run for 6 yds to the LaMon 24Similar
Q1 7:36
2ND & 4
OWN 24
-4
98.3%
Garrett Smith sacked by Denzel Devall for a loss of 4 yards to the LaMon 20Similar
Q1 6:56
3RD & 8
OWN 20
+4
98.2%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 4 yds to the LaMon 24Similar
Q1 6:25
4TH & 4
OWN 24
0
98.2%
Chris Qualls punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Cyrus Jones at the Alab 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 5TD
13 plays · 55 yds · 3:3198% → 98%
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
98.2%
Derrick Henry run for 3 yds to the Alab 48Similar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+11
98.1%
Jake Coker pass complete to Cam Sims for 11 yds to the LaMon 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
98.1%
Derrick Henry run for 5 yds to the LaMon 36Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 5
OPP 36
0
98.0%
Jake Coker pass incomplete to Calvin RidleySimilar
Q1 4:44
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+10
98.0%
Derrick Henry run for 10 yds to the LaMon 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
98.0%
Derrick Henry run for 9 yds to the LaMon 17Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+5
98.0%
Kenyan Drake run for 5 yds to the LaMon 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
97.9%
Kenyan Drake run for 7 yds to the LaMon 5Similar
Q1 3:34
2ND & 3
OPP 5
0
97.9%
Derrick Henry run for no gain to the LaMon 5Similar
Q1 3:10
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+2
97.8%
Derrick Henry run for 2 yds to the LaMon 3Similar
Q1 2:38
4TH & 1
OPP 3
+3
98.0%
Derrick Henry run for 3 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:312% → 2%
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
98.0%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Ajalen Holley for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 21Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+9
97.9%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Ajalen Holley for 9 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q1 1:07
3RD & 2
OWN 30
0
97.8%
Garrett Smith pass incomplete to Rashon CeaserSimilar
Q1 0:46
4TH & 2
OWN 30
+22
97.8%
Chris Qualls punt for 34 yds , Cyrus Jones returns for 22 yds to the ALABAMA 48 ALABAMA Penalty, Illegal Block (Shaun Hamilton) to the Alab 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2598% → 98%
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
97.9%
Jake Coker pass incomplete to ArDarius StewartSimilar
Q1 0:31
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
97.8%
Jake Coker pass incomplete to Chris BlackSimilar
Q1 0:23
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
97.7%
Jake Coker pass incomplete to ArDarius StewartSimilar
Q1 0:11
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
97.7%
JK Scott punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 8DOWNS
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:292% → 2%
Q1 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
97.7%
Garrett Smith run for 1 yd to the LaMon 21Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+8
97.7%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 8 yds to the LaMon 29Similar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 1
OWN 29
-3
97.6%
Garrett Smith sacked by Jarran Reed for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 26Similar
Q2 13:33
4TH & 4
OWN 26
-11
97.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 11 yards to the LaMon 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 9TD
1 play · 15 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
98.3%
Jake Coker pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 15 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:132% → 2%
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.1%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Ajalen Holley for 4 yds to the LaMon 29Similar
Q2 12:47
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-4
98.0%
Garrett Smith sacked by D.J. Pettway and Ryan Anderson for a loss of 4 yards to the LaMon 25Similar
Q2 12:16
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
98.0%
Garrett Smith pass incomplete to Tre' PerrierSimilar
Q2 12:04
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
98.0%
Chris Qualls punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 11INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
98.1%
Jake Coker pass intercepted Tre' Hunter return for 12 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:252% → 2%
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
50
0
97.9%
Garrett Smith pass incomplete to Ajalen HolleySimilar
Q2 11:37
2ND & 10
50
0
97.9%
Garrett Smith pass incomplete to Ajalen HolleySimilar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 10
50
0
97.9%
Garrett Smith pass incomplete to Rashon CeaserSimilar
Q2 11:19
4TH & 10
50
0
98.0%
Chris Qualls punt for 44 yds, downed at the Alab 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 43 yds · 2:5398% → 98%
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+7
98.0%
Derrick Henry run for 7 yds to the Alab 14Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 3
OWN 14
+6
98.0%
Derrick Henry run for 6 yds to the Alab 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
97.9%
Jake Coker pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 5 yds to the Alab 25Similar
Q2 9:49
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+7
97.9%
Kenyan Drake run for 7 yds to the Alab 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+13
97.9%
Jake Coker pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 13 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
98.0%
Jake Coker pass incomplete to ArDarius StewartSimilar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+5
97.9%
Kenyan Drake run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:34
3RD & 5
50
0
97.9%
Jake Coker pass incomplete to Cam SimsSimilar
Q2 8:19
4TH & 5
50
+1
98.0%
JK Scott punt for 38 yds , Rashon Ceaser returns for 1 yd to the LaMon 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 14PUNT
11 plays · 24 yds · 3:372% → 2%
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
97.8%
Kaylon Watson run for 1 yd to the LaMon 14Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+4
97.8%
Ajalen Holley run for 4 yds to the LaMon 18Similar
Q2 7:03
3RD & 5
OWN 18
+2
97.7%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Ajalen Holley for 2 yds to the LaMon 20Similar
Q2 6:25
4TH & 3
OWN 20
+5
97.7%
Chris Qualls pass complete to Harley Scioneaux for 5 yds to the LaMon 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
97.6%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Ajalen Holley for 6 yds to the LaMon 31Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
97.5%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Ajalen Holley for 5 yds to the LaMon 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
97.5%
Garrett Smith pass incomplete to Rashon CeaserSimilar
Q2 5:22
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
97.5%
Kaylon Watson run for 1 yd to the LaMon 37Similar
Q2 4:46
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
97.5%
Garrett Smith pass incomplete to Ajalen HolleySimilar
Q2 4:33
4TH & 9
OWN 37
+9
97.6%
Chris Qualls punt for 40 yds , Cyrus Jones returns for 9 yds to the Alab 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:1698% → 98%
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
97.6%
Jake Coker pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 5 yds to the Alab 37Similar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+2
97.6%
Derrick Henry run for 2 yds to the Alab 39Similar
Q2 3:22
3RD & 3
OWN 39
0
97.6%
Jake Coker pass incomplete to Calvin RidleySimilar
Q2 3:09
4TH & 3
OWN 39
0
97.7%
JK Scott punt for 43 yds, downed at the LaMon 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:573% → 2%
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
97.5%
Garrett Smith pass incomplete to Ajalen HolleySimilar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 10
OWN 18
-2
97.5%
Garrett Smith sacked by Da'Shawn Hand for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 16Similar
Q2 2:26
3RD & 12
OWN 16
+2
97.5%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Kaylon Watson for 2 yds to the LaMon 18Similar
Q2 2:06
4TH & 10
OWN 18
+5
97.6%
Chris Qualls punt for 34 yds , Cyrus Jones returns for 5 yds to the LaMon 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 17DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0598% → 98%
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
97.8%
Jake Coker run for 6 yds to the LaMon 41Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+1
97.8%
Jake Coker run for 1 yd to the LaMon 40Similar
Q2 1:06
3RD & 3
OPP 40
-1
97.8%
Kenyan Drake run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 41Similar
Q2 0:47
4TH & 4
OPP 41
0
97.7%
Jake Coker pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 18INT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:323% → 3%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+19
97.3%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Kaylon Watson for 4 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST down ALABAMA Penalty, Personal Foul (Reuben Foster) to the Alab 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
97.0%
Garrett Smith pass incomplete to Ajalen HolleySimilar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
97.0%
Garrett Smith pass incomplete to Ajalen HolleySimilar
Q2 0:16
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
97.1%
Garrett Smith pass incomplete to Rashon CeaserSimilar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 10
OPP 40
+16
97.2%
Garrett Smith pass intercepted Geno Matias-Smith return for 16 yds to the Alab 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 19END OF HALF
1 play · 9 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
97.8%
Kenyan Drake run for 9 yds to the LaMon 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 20PUNT
11 plays · 31 yds · 3:363% → 4%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
97.1%
UL MONROE Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the LaMon 14Similar
Q3 14:46
1ST & 15
OWN 14
0
97.1%
Garrett Smith pass incomplete to Ajalen HolleySimilar
Q3 14:35
2ND & 15
OWN 14
+10
97.1%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 10 yds to the LaMon 24Similar
Q3 14:25
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+10
97.1%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Ajalen Holley for 10 yds to the LaMon 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
96.8%
Garrett Smith run for 1 yd to the LaMon 35Similar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+7
96.7%
Smith, Garrett pass incomplete to Holley, Ajalen, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference (Foster, Reuben) 7 yards to the ULMONROE42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ULMONROE.Similar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
96.6%
Kaylon Watson run for 3 yds to the LaMon 45Similar
Q3 12:29
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+5
96.4%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Ajalen Holley for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:50
3RD & 2
50
0
96.4%
Garrett Smith run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:15
4TH & 2
50
+14
96.4%
Chris Qualls punt for 29 yds UL MONROE Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Wesley Thompson) to the Alab 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 21FG
8 plays · 41 yds · 2:1397% → 98%
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+22
97.0%
Kenyan Drake run for 7 yds to the LaMon 43 for a 1ST down UL MONROE Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Mitch Lane) to the LaMon 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
97.0%
Kenyan Drake run for 15 yds to the LaMon 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
97.1%
Kenyan Drake run for 4 yds to the LaMon 23Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 6
OPP 23
-5
97.1%
ALABAMA Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the LaMon 28Similar
Q3 9:27
2ND & 11
OPP 28
0
97.1%
Jake Coker pass incomplete to ArDarius StewartSimilar
Q3 9:02
3RD & 11
OPP 28
+10
96.9%
Jake Coker pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 10 yds to the LaMon 18Similar
Q3 8:59
4TH & 1
OPP 18
-5
96.7%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LaMon 23Similar
Q3 8:44
4TH & 6
OPP 23
+40
97.9%
Adam Griffith 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:333% → 3%
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
97.4%
UL MONROE Penalty, False Start (Frank Sutton Jr.) to the LaMon 20Similar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
97.4%
Garrett Smith pass incomplete to Tre' PerrierSimilar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
97.5%
Garrett Smith pass incomplete to Harley ScioneauxSimilar
Q3 8:23
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
97.5%
Garrett Smith pass incomplete to Kaylon WatsonSimilar
Q3 8:09
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+20
97.5%
Chris Qualls punt for 35 yds, downed at the ALABAMA 45 UL MONROE Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the LaMon 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 23TD
4 plays · 40 yds · 1:4898% → 99%
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
98.1%
Damien Harris run for 4 yds to the LaMon 36Similar
Q3 6:39
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+14
98.1%
Damien Harris run for 14 yds to the LaMon 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
98.1%
Derrick Henry run for 3 yds to the LaMon 19Similar
Q3 6:06
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+19
99.2%
Jake Coker pass complete to Michael Nysewander for 19 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:261% → 1%
Q3 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
99.0%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Jared Mapps for 2 yds to the LaMon 17Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 8
OWN 17
0
99.0%
Garrett Smith pass incomplete to Ajalen HolleySimilar
Q3 4:57
3RD & 8
OWN 17
0
99.1%
Garrett Smith run for no gain to the LaMon 17Similar
Q3 4:22
4TH & 8
OWN 17
+5
99.1%
Chris Qualls punt for 32 yds , Cyrus Jones returns for 5 yds to the LaMon 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 25PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:5399% → 99%
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-8
99.3%
Jake Coker sacked by Ben Banogu for a loss of 8 yards to the Alab 48Similar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 18
OWN 48
+5
99.3%
Jake Coker pass complete to Cam Sims for 5 yds to the LaMon 47Similar
Q3 3:06
3RD & 13
OPP 47
-4
99.3%
Jake Coker sacked by Caleb Tucker and Hunter Kissinger for a loss of 4 yards to the Alab 49Similar
Q3 2:14
4TH & 17
OWN 49
0
99.2%
JK Scott punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Junior Williams at the LaMon 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:141% → 1%
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
99.2%
Garrett Smith run for no gain to the LaMon 13Similar
Q3 1:28
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+3
99.2%
Kaylon Watson run for 3 yds to the LaMon 16Similar
Q3 0:52
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+8
99.2%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Tre' Perrier for 8 yds to the LaMon 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-2
99.3%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Ajalen Holley for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 22Similar
Q3 0:02
2ND & 12
OWN 22
+2
99.3%
Garrett Smith run for 2 yds to the LaMon 24Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 10
OWN 24
0
99.3%
Garrett Smith pass incomplete to Ajalen HolleySimilar
Q4 14:40
4TH & 10
OWN 24
+2
99.3%
Chris Qualls punt for 31 yds , Cyrus Jones returns for 2 yds to the Alab 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 27FG
8 plays · 35 yds · 1:5099% → 100%
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.4%
UL MONROE Penalty, Defensive Offside (Ben Banogu) to the LaMon 48Similar
Q4 13:51
1ST & 5
OPP 48
+4
99.4%
Jake Coker pass complete to Chris Black for 4 yds to the LaMon 44Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+2
99.4%
Damien Harris run for 2 yds to the LaMon 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+19
99.4%
Jake Coker pass complete to Chris Black for 19 yds to the LaMon 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
99.4%
Jake Coker pass complete to Cam Sims for 5 yds to the LaMon 18Similar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 5
OPP 18
0
99.4%
Jake Coker pass incomplete to Calvin RidleySimilar
Q4 12:27
3RD & 5
OPP 18
0
99.4%
Jake Coker pass incomplete to Calvin RidleySimilar
Q4 12:21
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+35
99.9%
Adam Griffith 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 28INT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:500% → 0%
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.9%
UL MONROE Penalty, False Start (Sterling Doss) to the LaMon 20Similar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+1
99.9%
Garrett Smith run for 1 yd to the LaMon 21Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 14
OWN 21
-1
99.9%
Garrett Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 29TD
2 plays · 19 yds · 0:19100% → 100%
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
99.9%
Damien Harris run for 3 yds to the LaMon 16Similar
Q4 10:05
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+16
99.9%
Jake Coker pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 16 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 30DOWNS
14 plays · 30 yds · 5:050% → 0%
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
99.9%
Ben Luckett run for a loss of 10 yards to the LaMon 15Similar
Q4 9:19
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+23
99.9%
DeVontae McNeal run for 8 yds to the LaMon 23 for a 1ST down ALABAMA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Hootie Jones) to the LaMon 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
99.9%
Brayle Brown run for 1 yd to the LaMon 39Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+3
99.9%
Ben Luckett run for 3 yds to the LaMon 42Similar
Q4 7:57
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+15
99.9%
Smith, Garrett pass incomplete, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference (Averett, Anthony) 15 yards to the ALABAMA43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ULMONROE.Similar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
99.9%
Ben Luckett run for 3 yds to the Alab 40Similar
Q4 7:04
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+5
99.9%
Ben Luckett run for 5 yds to the Alab 35Similar
Q4 5:56
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+3
100.0%
Brayle Brown pass complete to Ben Luckett for 3 yds to the Alab 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
100.0%
Brayle Brown pass incomplete to DeVontae McNealSimilar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
100.0%
Brayle Brown pass incomplete to Brian WilliamsSimilar
Q4 4:50
3RD & 10
OPP 32
-4
100.0%
Brayle Brown sacked by Da'Shawn Hand for a loss of 4 yards to the Alab 36Similar
Q4 4:45
4TH & 14
OPP 36
-9
100.0%
Brayle Brown sacked by Rashaan Evans for a loss of 9 yards to the Alab 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 31DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:33100% → 100%
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-3
100.0%
Derrick Gore run for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 43Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 13
OWN 43
+4
100.0%
Derrick Gore run for 4 yds to the Alab 47Similar
Q4 3:12
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+8
100.0%
Cooper Bateman pass complete to Daylon Charlot for 8 yds to the LaMon 45Similar
Q4 2:52
4TH & 1
OPP 45
0
100.0%
Ronnie Clark run for no gain to the LaMon 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 32PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 2:000% → 0%
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
100.0%
Ben Luckett run for 3 yds to the LaMon 48Similar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+7
100.0%
Ben Luckett run for 7 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
100.0%
Ben Luckett run for 2 yds to the Alab 43Similar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+1
100.0%
Earnest Carrington pass complete to Stoney Hawkins for 1 yd to the Alab 42Similar
Q4 1:06
3RD & 7
OPP 42
-4
100.0%
UL MONROE Penalty, False Start (Keaton Baggs) to the Alab 47Similar
Q4 0:50
3RD & 12
OPP 47
0
100.0%
Earnest Carrington pass incomplete to Brian WilliamsSimilar
Q4 0:40
4TH & 12
OPP 47
0
100.0%
Chris Qualls punt for 22 yds, downed at the Alab 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 33END OF GAME
1 play · 1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Derrick Gore run for 1 yd to the Alab 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q3 8:44
Adam Griffith 40 yd FG GOOD
+1.1
TD · Q3 6:06
Jake Coker pass complete to Michael Nysewander for 19 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)
+1.1
TD · Q2 13:24
Jake Coker pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 15 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)
+0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com