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WKU

Western Kentucky 14 at Vanderbilt 12

VAN
2015 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2015 · FirstBank Stadium
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Win probability · VAN
modelVAN aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playVAN scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 14:55 · Joseph Occhipinti punt for 40 yds, downed at the Vandy 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 87Pregame prior+21.8Home team on offense+0.6Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential+0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 1:00: Leon Allen run for 4 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +29.8 pts (now 56%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 8:38: Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 9 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +33.0 pts (now 81%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 5:04: Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 12 yds to the WKent 27 for a 1ST down — WKU win probability +12.3 pts (now 87%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:33: Johnny McCrary pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 2 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — VAN win probability +20.2 pts (now 27%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:33: N/A run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 45 — WKU win probability +13.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VAN made the numbers' call on 8 of 11WKU made the numbers' call on 5 of 10
  1. Q1 14:56VAN 4th & 12 at VAN 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.3%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:05WKU 4th & 3 at WKU 9, tied
    Close callPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:48VAN 4th & 13 at WKU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%−<0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    85.8%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:12WKU 4th & 3 at WKU 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:16WKU 4th & 28 at VAN 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.7%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    16.0%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00VAN 4th & 3 at WKU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    82.5%−0.5
    27% to make
    Punt
    82.7%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:41WKU 4th & 4 at WKU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:00VAN 4th & 3 at WKU 10, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 79.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%
    49% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.0%−0.4
    88% to make
    Punt
    75.4%−4.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:00WKU 4th & 10 at WKU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%−0.9
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:42VAN 4th & 2 at WKU 31, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.0%−0.7
    54% to make
    Punt
    75.9%−1.8
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:22WKU 4th & 9 at VAN 43, down 3
    Close callPunted · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    21.9%
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 14:55WKU 4th & 1 at WKU 43, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%−1.9
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:19VAN 4th & 1 at VAN 26, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.2%−1.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:15WKU 4th & 23 at WKU 7, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−3.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.4%
    average punt
  15. Q3 7:14VAN 4th & 1 at WKU 1, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    74.5%−2.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    67.3%−9.9
    average punt
  16. Q3 4:02WKU 4th & 4 at WKU 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%
    average punt
  17. Q3 2:49VAN 4th & 20 at midfield, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.3%−3.5
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.8%
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:34VAN 4th & 8 at WKU 8, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%−1.5
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.5%
    90% to make
    Punt
    37.4%−14.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:31VAN 4th & 14 at midfield, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.1%−2.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.0%
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:50WKU 4th & 18 at WKU 38, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.5%−2.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.8%
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:33VAN 4th & 2 at WKU 2, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    11.0%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    4.4%−6.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VAN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1WKU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q3 1:00WKU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 8:38WKU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.6%−1.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 0:33VAN Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    18.0%−12.3
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    30.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VANDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-7
88.4%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Darrius Sims for 8 yds to the Vandy 35 VANDERBILT Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Vandy 20Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 17
OWN 20
+3
88.4%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the Vandy 23Similar
Q1 14:56
3RD & 14
OWN 23
+15
88.4%
Johnny McCrary run for 15 yds to the Vandy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-6
88.4%
Johnny McCrary run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line VANDERBILT Penalty, Offensive holding (-18 Yards) to the Vandy 32Similar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 16
OWN 32
0
88.4%
Ralph Webb run for no gain to the Vandy 32Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 16
OWN 32
+4
88.4%
Darrius Sims run for 4 yds to the Vandy 36Similar
Q1 14:56
3RD & 12
OWN 36
0
88.4%
Johnny McCrary pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:56
4TH & 12
OWN 36
0
88.4%
Tommy Openshaw punt for 62 yds, downed at the WKent 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+6
87.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for 6 yds to the WKent 8Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 4
OWN 8
+1
87.3%
Leon Allen run for 1 yd to the WKent 9Similar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 3
OWN 9
0
87.4%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:05
4TH & 3
OWN 9
+6
87.4%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 45 yds , Trey Ellis returns for 6 yds to the WKent 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
87.2%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Ralph Webb for 11 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
87.2%
Ralph Webb run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 38Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 11
OPP 38
-5
87.2%
VANDERBILT Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WKent 43Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 16
OPP 43
+3
87.1%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the WKent 40Similar
Q1 9:48
3RD & 13
OPP 40
0
87.0%
Johnny McCrary pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:48
4TH & 13
OPP 40
0
86.8%
Tommy Openshaw punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
85.9%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
86.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 6 yds to the WKent 26Similar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+11
86.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 11 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
85.8%
Leon Allen run for 1 yd to the WKent 38Similar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 9
OWN 38
-6
85.8%
Brandon Doughty sacked by Tre Herndon for a loss of 6 yards to the WKent 32Similar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 15
OWN 32
+12
86.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for 12 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q1 7:12
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
85.9%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 34 yds , Tre Herndon returns for no gain to the Vandy 18 Tre Herndon fumbled, recovered by WKent Drew DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -18 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
84.1%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-9
84.1%
Brandon Doughty run for a loss of 9 yards to the Vandy 36 Brandon Doughty fumbled, recovered by WKent Brandon DoughtySimilar
Q1 4:16
3RD & 28
OPP 36
0
84.8%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:16
4TH & 28
OPP 36
0
85.1%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 6INT
12 plays · 86 yds · 3:0885% → 85%
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+12
84.5%
Ralph Webb run for 12 yds to the Vandy 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
84.6%
Ralph Webb run for 5 yds to the Vandy 22Similar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+15
84.7%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Trent Sherfield (IWORAH, Prince), PENALTY WKU pass interference (SIMMONS, D.) 15 yards to the VANDY37, 1ST DOWN VANDY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
84.8%
Ralph Webb run for 12 yds to the Vandy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
85.2%
Darrius Sims run for 3 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+2
85.3%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Darrius Sims for 2 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+2
84.3%
Dallas Rivers run for 2 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 44
+11
83.8%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to DeAndre Woods for 11 yds to the WKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
84.7%
Darrius Sims run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+6
84.6%
Ralph Webb run for 6 yds to the WKent 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+19
84.4%
Ralph Webb run for 19 yds to the WKent 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
84.7%
Johnny McCrary pass intercepted, touchback. Nick Holt return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
81.9%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
81.9%
D'Andre Ferby run for 6 yds to the WKent 26Similar
Q2 11:41
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
82.0%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:41
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
82.5%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 8MISSED FG
8 plays · 52 yds · 4:4783% → 81%
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
83.0%
Dallas Rivers run for 5 yds to the Vandy 43Similar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+5
83.5%
Dallas Rivers run for 5 yds to the Vandy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+23
83.4%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Caleb Scott for 23 yds to the WKent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+12
84.0%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Dallas Rivers for 12 yds to the WKent 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
84.0%
Johnny McCrary run for 1 yd to the WKent 16 Johnny McCrary fumbled, forced by Nick Newton,Similar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+6
84.0%
Dallas Rivers run for 6 yds to the WKent 10Similar
Q2 10:47
3RD & 3
OPP 10
0
83.6%
Dallas Rivers run for no gain to the WKent 10Similar
Q2 6:00
4TH & 3
OPP 10
+28
81.3%
Tommy Openshaw 28 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0022% → 21%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
78.3%
Leon Allen run for 3 yds to the WKent 23Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-3
78.3%
Leon Allen run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 20Similar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
79.0%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Leon Allen WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 6:00
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
79.5%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Trey Ellis at the Vandy 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 10FG
9 plays · 29 yds · 2:5881% → 82%
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
81.0%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete, broken up by Marcus WardSimilar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
80.6%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the Vandy 42Similar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+19
80.1%
Johnny McCrary run for 19 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
81.7%
Ralph Webb run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 41Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 12
OPP 41
0
81.4%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Ralph WebbSimilar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 12
OPP 41
+10
80.6%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 10 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q2 1:42
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+49
81.5%
Tommy Openshaw 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 1:2019% → 18%
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
81.0%
Brandon Doughty run for 4 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+17
80.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 17 yds to the Vandy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
78.9%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Vandy 49Similar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 15
OPP 49
0
80.1%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 15
OPP 49
0
80.4%
DOUGHTY, B. pass complete to NORRIS, N. for 20 yards to the VANDY29, PENALTY WKU illegal touching (NORRIS, N.) 0 yards to the VANDY49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 15
OPP 49
+6
81.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 6 yds to the Vandy 43Similar
Q2 0:22
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
82.1%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
80.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
79.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for 3 yds to the WKent 21Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 21
-5
79.2%
[SH], PENALTY WKU false start (RAY, Brandon) 5 yards to the WKU16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 12
OWN 16
+11
79.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 11 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+7
79.1%
Leon Allen run for 7 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
78.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 3 yds to the WKent 37Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+6
78.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 6 yds to the WKent 43Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 1
OWN 43
0
77.4%
Leon Allen run for no gain to the WKent 43Similar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 1
OWN 43
0
78.6%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 40 yds, downed at the Vandy 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
78.4%
Dallas Rivers run for 1 yd to the Vandy 18Similar
Q3 11:19
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+8
78.2%
Johnny McCrary run for 8 yds to the Vandy 26Similar
Q3 11:19
3RD & 1
OWN 26
0
77.9%
Dallas Rivers run for no gain to the Vandy 26Similar
Q3 11:19
4TH & 1
OWN 26
0
77.3%
Tommy Openshaw punt for 64 yds, downed at the WKent 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:0023% → 21%
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
77.0%
Leon Allen run for 8 yds to the WKent 18Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+2
76.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 2 yds to the WKent 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
76.8%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Tyler HigbeeSimilar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-2
77.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 18Similar
Q3 9:15
3RD & 12
OWN 18
-11
78.2%
Brandon Doughty run for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 7 Brandon Doughty fumbled, recovered by WKent Brandon Doughty WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Antwane Grant) to the WKent 7Similar
Q3 9:15
4TH & 23
OWN 7
0
79.2%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 30 yds, downed at the WKent 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 16INT
7 plays · 36 yds · 0:0080% → 78%
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
80.1%
Ralph Webb run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 38Similar
Q3 7:14
2ND & 11
OPP 38
0
79.8%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Ralph WebbSimilar
Q3 7:14
3RD & 11
OPP 38
+29
78.5%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Kris Kentera for 20 yds to the WKent 18 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (Branden Leston) to the WKent 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
80.7%
Ralph Webb run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 11Similar
Q3 7:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+10
80.7%
Johnny McCrary run for 10 yds to the WKent 1Similar
Q3 7:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
79.7%
Dallas Rivers run for no gain to the WKent 1Similar
Q3 7:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
78.4%
Johnny McCrary pass intercepted, touchback. Nick Newton return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0025% → 23%
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
75.0%
Leon Allen run for 6 yds to the WKent 26Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
74.3%
Leon Allen run for no gain to the WKent 26Similar
Q3 4:02
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
75.6%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Nicholas NorrisSimilar
Q3 4:02
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+14
77.0%
Jake Collins punt for 29 yds WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, kick catching interference (Joe Brown) to the WKent 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:0079% → 74%
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
78.5%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Trent SherfieldSimilar
Q3 2:49
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-5
78.3%
VANDERBILT Penalty, illegal shift (-5 Yards) to the WKent 45Similar
Q3 2:49
2ND & 15
OPP 45
0
77.0%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Ralph WebbSimilar
Q3 2:49
3RD & 15
OPP 45
-5
75.7%
Johnny McCrary sacked by Kalvin Robinson for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:49
4TH & 20
50
0
73.9%
Tommy Openshaw punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19TD
2 plays · 69 yds · 0:2826% → 56%
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+65
74.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 65 yds to the Vandy 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
44.2%
Leon Allen run for 4 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 20FG
11 plays · 52 yds · 3:1956% → 64%
Q3 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
56.3%
Ralph Webb run for 4 yds to the Vandy 44Similar
Q3 0:53
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+8
56.9%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Ralph Webb for 8 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
57.2%
Ralph Webb run for 7 yds to the WKent 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 41
0
57.4%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Caleb ScottSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+31
56.8%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 31 yds to the WKent 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
59.3%
Ralph Webb run for 1 yd to the WKent 9Similar
Q4 13:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
60.2%
Dallas Rivers run for 1 yd to the WKent 8Similar
Q4 13:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
57.7%
Johnny McCrary pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
63.5%
Tommy Openshaw 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 3:5043% → 81%
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
57.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 8 yds to the WKent 38Similar
Q4 12:28
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+6
54.2%
Leon Allen run for 6 yds to the WKent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
54.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 7 yds to the Vandy 49Similar
Q4 12:28
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+6
53.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 6 yds to the Vandy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
53.3%
D'Andre Ferby run for 8 yds to the Vandy 35Similar
Q4 12:28
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+5
51.5%
Leon Allen run for 5 yds to the Vandy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
51.7%
Leon Allen run for no gain to the Vandy 30Similar
Q4 12:28
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+21
51.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 21 yds to the Vandy 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
18.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 9 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 22 yds · 0:0027% → 25%
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
26.6%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to DeAndre Woods for 9 yds to the Vandy 37Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+2
28.8%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the Vandy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
27.5%
Johnny McCrary run for 6 yds to the Vandy 45Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+9
29.5%
Darrius Sims run for 9 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
31.2%
Dallas Rivers run for 1 yd to the WKent 45Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 9
OPP 45
0
30.8%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Latevius RayfordSimilar
Q4 8:31
3RD & 9
OPP 45
0
29.4%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Latevius Rayford, broken up by Prince Charles IworahSimilar
Q4 8:31
4TH & 9
OPP 45
-5
26.4%
[SH], PENALTY VANDY delay of game 5 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:31
4TH & 14
50
0
25.1%
Tommy Openshaw punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:1487% → 91%
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+12
12.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 12 yds to the WKent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+19
12.4%
Leon Allen run for 19 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
11.1%
Leon Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 45Similar
Q4 5:04
2ND & 11
OWN 45
0
11.4%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Nicholas Norris, broken up by Zach CunninghamSimilar
Q4 5:04
3RD & 11
OWN 45
-7
12.0%
Brandon Doughty sacked by Jonathan Wynn for a loss of 7 yards to the WKent 38Similar
Q4 2:50
4TH & 18
OWN 38
+10
8.7%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 49 yds , Trey Ellis returns for 10 yds to the Vandy 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 24TD
14 plays · 77 yds · 2:0511% → 27%
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
11.2%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Steven Scheu for 9 yds to the Vandy 32Similar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 1
OWN 32
0
13.1%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Steven ScheuSimilar
Q4 2:38
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+5
12.1%
Dallas Rivers run for 5 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
12.2%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Latevius Rayford for 2 yds to the Vandy 39Similar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
13.2%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Steven Scheu, broken up by Nick HoltSimilar
Q4 2:38
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+28
11.8%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Kris Kentera for 28 yds to the WKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
17.9%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Ralph Webb for 8 yds to the WKent 25Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+20
11.7%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 20 yds to the WKent 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
11.7%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Steven Scheu for 3 yds to the WKent 2Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
11.9%
Ralph Webb run for no gain to the WKent 2Similar
Q4 0:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
7.0%
Johnny McCrary pass incomplete to Latevius RayfordSimilar
Q4 0:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
27.1%
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 2 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 25Uncategorized
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
7.1%
N/A run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:38
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 9 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)
-33
TD · Q3 1:00
Leon Allen run for 4 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)
-29.8
TD · Q4 0:33
Johnny McCrary pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 2 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+20.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com