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SEMO

Southeast Missouri State 3 at Missouri 34

MIZ
2015 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2015 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · MIZ
modelMIZ aheadSEMO aheadconfidence bandkey playMIZ scoreSEMO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:28 · Alex Knight punt for 39 yds , Aarion Penton returns for 1 yd to the Misso 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 19Pregame prior+25.2Home team on offense+0.6Score differential+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Blowout margin+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:49: Maty Mauk pass complete to Nate Brown for 23 yds for a TD, (Andrew Baggett KICK) — MIZ win probability +3.3 pts (now 81%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 9:54: Andrew Baggett 39 yd FG GOOD — MIZ win probability +4.0 pts (now 87%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 9:37: Morgan Steward run for 2 yds to the Misso 43 — MIZ win probability +2.7 pts (now 88%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 10:55: Andrew Baggett 23 yd FG GOOD — MIZ win probability +3.3 pts (now 91%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  5. PUNT · Q3 0:22: Tay Bender punt blocked by Kentrell Brothers. Aarion Penton return for 41 yds for a TD, (Andrew Baggett KICK) — MIZ win probability +5.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: SEMO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIZ made the numbers' call on 8 of 8SEMO made the numbers' call on 12 of 13
  1. Q1 12:50SEMO 4th & 4 at SEMO 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.6%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:28SEMO 4th & 10 at SEMO 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:30SEMO 4th & 11 at SEMO 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:43SEMO 4th & 20 at SEMO 15, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.6%−2.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00SEMO 4th & 8 at SEMO 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%−1.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:54MIZ 4th & 11 at SEMO 21, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%−1.5
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.8%
    74% to make
    Punt
    62.2%−6.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:37MIZ 4th & 8 at MIZ 43, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.8%−1.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:19SEMO 4th & 11 at MIZ 18, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%−1.5
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.5%
    79% to make
    Punt
    13.5%−7.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:19MIZ 4th & 4 at MIZ 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:10SEMO 4th & 21 at SEMO 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.3%−1.0
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:55MIZ 4th & 5 at SEMO 5, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.3%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.4%
    92% to make
    Punt
    72.1%−8.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:55SEMO 4th & 7 at SEMO 38, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:39MIZ 4th & 4 at MIZ 11, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.4%−0.6
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.0%
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:49SEMO 4th & 12 at MIZ 47, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−1.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:50MIZ 4th & 12 at MIZ 7, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%−2.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.1%
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:22SEMO 4th & 10 at SEMO 47, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 15:00SEMO 4th & 2 at SEMO 46, down 24
    Close callPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%−0.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:46MIZ 4th & 7 at SEMO 34, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    98.7%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    98.6%−0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:41SEMO 4th & 11 at SEMO 33, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:13SEMO 4th & 5 at SEMO 30, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:54MIZ 4th & 5 at MIZ 18, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIZ made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:28MIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:49MIZ Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 5:13MIZ Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SEMODrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:1023% → 24%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.6%
DeMichael Jackson run for no gain to the SEMo 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
76.6%
Tay Bender run for 10 yds to the SEMo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
76.6%
Tay Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
76.6%
DeMichael Jackson run for 1 yd to the SEMo 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+5
76.6%
Tay Bender pass complete to Adrian Davis for 5 yds to the SEMo 41Similar
Q1 12:50
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
76.1%
Tay Bender punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Misso 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 2TD
5 plays · 64 yds · 1:1576% → 77%
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+18
76.2%
Maty Mauk run for 3 yds to the SEMo 39 for a 1ST down SE MISSOURI Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the SEMo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+20
76.3%
Russell Hansbrough run for 20 yds to the SEMo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
76.4%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete, broken up by Chad MeredithSimilar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-1
76.4%
Ish Witter run for a loss of 1 yard to the SEMo 27Similar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 11
OPP 27
+27
76.9%
Maty Mauk pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 27 yds for a TD, (Andrew Baggett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.7%
Tay Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
76.7%
DeMichael Jackson run for 5 yds to the SEMo 30Similar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
76.7%
Tay Bender pass incomplete to Adrian Davis, broken up by Kenya DennisSimilar
Q1 11:28
4TH & 5
OWN 30
-5
76.8%
SE MISSOURI Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SEMo 25Similar
Q1 11:28
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+1
76.9%
Alex Knight punt for 39 yds , Aarion Penton returns for 1 yd to the Misso 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 4INT
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
76.9%
Ish Witter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 36Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+15
76.8%
MAUK, Maty pass incomplete to BROWN, Nate, PENALTY SEMO personal foul (DONNERSON, K.) 15 yards to the SEMO49, 1ST DOWN MIZ, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
77.1%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to J'Mon MooreSimilar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+13
77.0%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Keyon Dilosa for 13 yds to the SEMo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
77.1%
Russell Hansbrough run for 3 yds to the SEMo 33Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 7
OPP 33
0
77.1%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Sean Culkin, broken up by Michael FordSimilar
Q1 10:29
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+2
77.0%
Maty Mauk pass intercepted Eriq Moore return for 2 yds to the SEMo 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
76.8%
DeMichael Jackson run for 3 yds to the SEMo 9Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 7
OWN 9
+2
76.9%
DeMichael Jackson run for 2 yds to the SEMo 11Similar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 5
OWN 11
+3
77.1%
Tremane McCullough run for a loss of 5 yards to the SEMo 5 Tremane McCullough fumbled, recovered by SEMo Tremane McCullough , return for 3 yds to the SEMo 5Similar
Q1 8:30
4TH & 11
OWN 5
0
77.1%
Alex Knight punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Aarion Penton at the Misso 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 6TD
6 plays · 54 yds · 1:5977% → 81%
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
77.4%
Ish Witter run for 3 yds to the Misso 49Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+25
77.4%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Nate Brown for 25 yds to the SEMo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-2
77.5%
Ish Witter run for a loss of 2 yards to the SEMo 28Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 12
OPP 28
+5
77.4%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Ish Witter for 5 yds to the SEMo 23Similar
Q1 4:49
3RD & 7
OPP 23
+23
80.8%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Nate Brown for 23 yds for a TD, (Andrew Baggett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
80.1%
DeMichael Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards to the SEMo 22Similar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-10
80.2%
Tay Bender sacked by Kenya Dennis for a loss of 10 yards to the SEMo 12Similar
Q1 4:43
3RD & 23
OWN 12
+3
80.3%
Tay Bender pass complete to Paul McRoberts for 3 yds to the SEMo 15Similar
Q1 4:43
4TH & 20
OWN 15
+1
80.3%
Alex Knight punt for 39 yds , Aarion Penton returns for 1 yd to the Misso 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0082% → 81%
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
81.6%
Tyler Hunt run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:37
2ND & 7
50
+4
81.5%
Tyler Hunt run for 4 yds to the SEMo 46Similar
Q1 2:37
3RD & 3
OPP 46
-12
81.3%
Maty Mauk sacked by Josh Kinzer for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 48 MISSOURI Penalty, intentional grounding (Maty Mauk) to the Misso 42Similar
Q1 2:37
3RD & 15
OWN 42
0
81.1%
Corey Fatony punt for 42 yds, fair catch by David Coley at the SEMo 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:4519% → 19%
Q1 0:45
1ST & 18
OWN 8
+21
81.3%
Tay Bender pass complete to DeMichael Jackson for 6 yds to the SEMo 14 for a 1ST down MISSOURI Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Anthony Sherrils) to the SEMo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-8
81.0%
WASHINGTON, L. rush for no gain to the SEMO16 (BROTHERS, K.;BAILEY, Sam), PENALTY SEMO holding (BAKER, Garret) 8 yards to the SEMO8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
81.1%
Tay Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+3
81.2%
Tay Bender run for 3 yds to the SEMo 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+4
81.2%
DeMichael Jackson run for 4 yds to the SEMo 36Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 36
-5
81.2%
SE MISSOURI Penalty, delay of game (Alex Knight) to the SEMo 31Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 31
+22
81.4%
Alex Knight punt for 60 yds , Aarion Penton returns for 22 yds to the Misso 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 10FG
8 plays · 48 yds · 3:1583% → 87%
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
82.5%
Drew Lock pass complete to Sean Culkin for 4 yds to the Misso 35Similar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+2
82.5%
Ish Witter run for 2 yds to the Misso 37Similar
Q2 13:09
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+22
82.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 22 yds to the SEMo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+21
83.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Nate Brown for 21 yds to the SEMo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
83.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Thomas Richard for 4 yds to the SEMo 16Similar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 6
OPP 16
0
83.2%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon MooreSimilar
Q2 13:09
3RD & 6
OPP 16
-5
82.9%
Drew Lock sacked by John Popovich for a loss of 5 yards to the SEMo 21Similar
Q2 9:54
4TH & 11
OPP 21
+39
86.9%
Andrew Baggett 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 11FUMBLE
2 plays · 20 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
85.0%
Tay Bender run for 13 yds to the Misso 41 Tay Bender fumbled, forced by Charles Harris, recovered by Misso Ian SimonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
87.7%
Morgan Steward run for 2 yds to the Misso 43Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
87.7%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Thomas Richard, broken up by David ColeySimilar
Q2 9:37
3RD & 8
OWN 43
0
87.4%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Morgan StewardSimilar
Q2 9:37
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
86.8%
Corey Fatony punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 13FG
16 plays · 76 yds · 6:2014% → 15%
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+12
86.3%
Tremane McCullough run for 12 yds to the SEMo 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
85.9%
Tay Bender run for 1 yd to the SEMo 19Similar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+6
86.0%
Tay Bender pass complete to Tremane McCullough for 6 yds to the SEMo 25Similar
Q2 8:39
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+7
85.8%
Peter Lloyd run for 7 yds to the SEMo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
85.5%
DeMichael Jackson run for 1 yd to the SEMo 33Similar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
85.6%
Tay Bender pass incomplete to Peter LloydSimilar
Q2 8:39
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+21
86.0%
Tay Bender pass complete to Paul McRoberts for 21 yds to the Misso 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
84.8%
Tay Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
85.1%
DeMichael Jackson run for no gain to the Misso 46Similar
Q2 8:39
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+19
85.5%
Tay Bender pass complete to Paul McRoberts for 19 yds to the Misso 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
84.1%
Tremane McCullough run for 8 yds to the Misso 19Similar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+2
84.1%
DeMichael Jackson run for 2 yds to the Misso 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-10
84.1%
Tay Bender sacked by TEAM for 0 yards to the Misso 17 SE MISSOURI Penalty, intentional grounding (Tay Bender) to the Misso 24Similar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 17
OPP 24
+2
84.8%
Tay Bender pass complete to Lewis Washington for 2 yds to the Misso 22Similar
Q2 8:39
3RD & 15
OPP 22
+4
85.5%
Tay Bender run for 4 yds to the Misso 18Similar
Q2 2:19
4TH & 11
OPP 18
+35
85.0%
Ryan McCrum 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
85.4%
Maty Mauk run for 1 yd to the Misso 26Similar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
85.3%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Jason Reese for 5 yds to the Misso 31Similar
Q2 2:19
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
85.0%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Jason ReeseSimilar
Q2 2:19
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
84.5%
Corey Fatony punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 15PUNT
11 plays · 11 yds · 1:0515% → 12%
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
85.2%
Tay Bender run for 8 yds to the SEMo 36Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+1
84.1%
DeMichael Jackson run for 1 yd to the SEMo 37Similar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+13
84.9%
Tay Bender run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
50
0
84.1%
Tay Bender pass complete to Darrius Darden-Box for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 10
50
0
86.6%
Tay Bender pass incomplete to Paul McRobertsSimilar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 10
50
-15
86.9%
BENDER, Tay pass incomplete to DAVIS, Adrian (CHEADLE, Logan), PENALTY SEMO pass interference (DAVIS, Adrian) 15 yards to the SEMO35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 25
OWN 35
+4
87.9%
Tay Bender run for 4 yds to the SEMo 39Similar
Q2 0:10
4TH & 21
OWN 39
0
87.9%
Alex Knight punt for 49 yds , Aarion Penton returns for no gain to the Misso 13 Aarion Penton fumbled, recovered by Misso Aarion PentonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 16FG
13 plays · 76 yds · 3:5887% → 91%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
86.6%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Keyon Dilosa for 6 yds to the Misso 25Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 4
OWN 25
-5
86.6%
MISSOURI Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Misso 20Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+12
86.6%
Ish Witter run for 12 yds to the Misso 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+12
86.7%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Sean Culkin for 12 yds to the Misso 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
87.2%
Tyler Hunt run for 11 yds to the SEMo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+25
87.2%
Maty Mauk pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 25 yds to the SEMo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
87.2%
Ish Witter run for 6 yds to the SEMo 14Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+8
87.2%
Ish Witter run for 8 yds to the SEMo 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
87.2%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Nate BrownSimilar
Q3 14:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
87.2%
Ish Witter run for 1 yd to the SEMo 5Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
88.1%
MAUK, Maty pass complete to CULKIN, Sean for 5 yards to the SEMO0, clock 11:00, PENALTY MIZ illegal touching (CULKIN, Sean) 0 yards to the SEMO5, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
91.4%
Andrew Baggett 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
89.7%
Tay Bender run for 4 yds to the SEMo 39Similar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-1
89.6%
DeMichael Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SEMo 38Similar
Q3 10:55
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
89.9%
Tay Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:55
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
90.4%
Alex Knight punt for 57 yds, downed at the Misso 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0092% → 91%
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
91.8%
Tyler Hunt run for 2 yds to the Misso 7Similar
Q3 9:39
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+5
91.8%
Ish Witter run for 5 yds to the Misso 12Similar
Q3 9:39
3RD & 3
OWN 12
-1
91.6%
Ish Witter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 11Similar
Q3 9:39
4TH & 4
OWN 11
+10
91.2%
Corey Fatony punt for 44 yds , Tyler Manne returns for 10 yds to the Misso 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0010% → 9%
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
89.9%
DeMichael Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 46Similar
Q3 7:49
2ND & 11
OPP 46
-4
90.3%
Tay Bender pass complete to DeMichael Jackson for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:49
3RD & 15
50
+3
91.2%
Tay Bender run for 3 yds to the Misso 47Similar
Q3 7:49
4TH & 12
OPP 47
0
91.2%
Alex Knight punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Misso 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
93.3%
Ish Witter run for 3 yds to the Misso 12Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+6
93.3%
Maty Mauk run for 6 yds to the Misso 18Similar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 1
OWN 18
-9
93.2%
WITTER, Ish rush for 8 yards to the MIZ26 (COLEY, David), PENALTY MIZ holding (McGOVERN, C.) 9 yards to the MIZ9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 10
OWN 9
-2
93.0%
Ish Witter run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 7Similar
Q3 5:50
4TH & 12
OWN 7
+1
92.6%
Corey Fatony punt for 54 yds , Tyler Manne returns for 1 yd to the SEMo 8 SE MISSOURI Penalty, illegal block (Bryce Warner) to the SEMo 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 21PUNT TD
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:027% → 2%
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
93.4%
DeMichael Jackson run for 2 yds to the SEMo 32Similar
Q3 3:24
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+15
93.3%
DeMichael Jackson run for 15 yds to the SEMo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
93.2%
Tay Bender pass incomplete to Peter LloydSimilar
Q3 3:24
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+4
93.2%
Tremane McCullough run for 4 yds to the Misso 49Similar
Q3 3:24
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+1
93.2%
Tay Bender pass complete to DeMichael Jackson for 1 yd to the Misso 48Similar
Q3 3:24
4TH & 5
OPP 48
-5
93.3%
SE MISSOURI Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SEMo 47Similar
Q3 0:22
4TH & 10
OWN 47
+41
98.4%
Tay Bender punt blocked by Kentrell Brothers. Aarion Penton return for 41 yds for a TD, (Andrew Baggett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 27 yds · 0:112% → 2%
Q3 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+19
98.3%
DeMichael Jackson run for 19 yds to the SEMo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
98.3%
DeMichael Jackson run for 5 yds to the SEMo 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 43
0
98.3%
Tay Bender pass complete to Tremane McCullough for no gain to the SEMo 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+3
98.3%
Tay Bender run for 3 yds to the SEMo 46Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
98.3%
Alex Knight punt for 50 yds, downed at the Misso 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 23DOWNS
12 plays · 62 yds · 4:2499% → 99%
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+6
98.7%
Morgan Steward run for 6 yds to the Misso 10Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 4
OWN 10
+1
98.7%
Morgan Steward run for 1 yd to the Misso 11Similar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 3
OWN 11
+13
98.7%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Sean Culkin for 13 yds to the Misso 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
98.7%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Keyon Dilosa for 6 yds to the Misso 30Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+21
98.7%
Maty Mauk pass complete to DeSean Blair for 21 yds to the SEMo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-3
98.8%
Maty Mauk sacked by Byron Wilson for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 48Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 13
OWN 48
+15
98.8%
MAUK, Maty pass incomplete to HALL, Emanuel, PENALTY SEMO pass interference (HOLLOWAY, J.) 15 yards to the SEMO37, 1ST DOWN MIZ, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
98.8%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete, broken up by Jamarl HollowaySimilar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
98.8%
Tyler Hunt run for no gain to the SEMo 37Similar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+3
98.8%
Maty Mauk run for 3 yds to the SEMo 34Similar
Q4 8:46
4TH & 7
OPP 34
0
99.4%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Nate BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 24PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
98.8%
Tay Bender pass incomplete to Peter Lloyd, broken up by Brandon LeeSimilar
Q4 8:41
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+2
98.8%
DeMichael Jackson run for 2 yds to the SEMo 36Similar
Q4 8:41
3RD & 8
OWN 36
-3
98.8%
Tay Bender pass complete to Paul McRoberts for a loss of 3 yards to the SEMo 33Similar
Q4 8:41
4TH & 11
OWN 33
0
98.9%
Alex Knight punt for 59 yds, downed at the Misso 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 25TD
5 plays · 92 yds · 1:5199% → 100%
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+9
99.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 9 yds to the Misso 17Similar
Q4 7:04
2ND & 1
OWN 17
0
99.4%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Emanuel HallSimilar
Q4 7:04
3RD & 1
OWN 17
+1
99.4%
Morgan Steward run for 1 yd to the Misso 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
99.4%
Morgan Steward run for 4 yds to the Misso 22Similar
Q4 5:13
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+78
99.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to Tyler Hunt for 78 yds for a TD, (Andrew Baggett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Brendan Stewart run for 5 yds to the SEMo 30Similar
Q4 5:13
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-3
99.9%
Brendan Stewart run for a loss of 3 yards to the SEMo 27Similar
Q4 5:13
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+3
99.9%
Tay Bender run for 3 yds to the SEMo 30Similar
Q4 5:13
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Alex Knight punt for 57 yds, fair catch by Aarion Penton at the Misso 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
99.9%
Chase Abbington run for 5 yds to the Misso 18Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 5
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Emanuel HallSimilar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 5
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Emanuel HallSimilar
Q4 2:54
4TH & 5
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Corey Fatony punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SEMo 39 , Tyler Manne returns for no gain to the SEMo 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 28END OF GAME
3 plays · -8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Brendan Stewart run for no gain to the SEMo 39Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-5
99.9%
Brendan Stewart run for a loss of 5 yards to the SEMo 34Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 15
OWN 34
-3
100.0%
Will Young run for a loss of 3 yards to the SEMo 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
PUNT · Q3 0:22
Tay Bender punt blocked by Kentrell Brothers. Aarion Penton return for 41 yds for a TD, (Andrew Baggett KICK)
+5
FG · Q2 9:54
Andrew Baggett 39 yd FG GOOD
+4
TD · Q1 4:49
Maty Mauk pass complete to Nate Brown for 23 yds for a TD, (Andrew Baggett KICK)
+3.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com