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ULM

UL Monroe 14 at Georgia 51

UGA
2015 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2015 · Sanford Stadium
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadULM aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreULM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDSAFETYTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:54 · Collin Barber punt for 50 yds, downed at the LaMon 7
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 34Pregame prior+43.0Home team on offense+5.0Score differential+2.4Blowout margin−0.2Garbage-time factor+1.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:25: Greyson Lambert pass complete to Jeb Blazevich for 15 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK) — UGA win probability +0.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:41: Keith Marshall run for 3 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK) — UGA win probability +1.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:01: Nick Chubb run for 23 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK) — UGA win probability +1.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:02: Garrett Smith pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 29 yds for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK) — ULM win probability +1.6 pts (now 2%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:40: Greyson Lambert pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 28 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK) — UGA win probability +1.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4ULM made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 13:02UGA 4th & 8 at UGA 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:24ULM 4th & 7 at ULM 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:03ULM 4th & 12 at ULM 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:13UGA 4th & 6 at ULM 40, up 14
    Close callPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    96.2%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.3%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:07ULM 4th & 1 at ULM 19, down 14
    Close callPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:54UGA 4th & 5 at UGA 43, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:49ULM 4th & 9 at ULM 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:40ULM 4th & 5 at UGA 38, down 21
    Close callPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    2.6%−0.2
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:17UGA 4th & 9 at ULM 49, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:50ULM 4th & 11 at ULM 47, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 7 of 7ULM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:45UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:25UGA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:41UGA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:01UGA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:06UGA Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:20ULM Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 11:02ULM Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:40UGA Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:58UGA Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UGADrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:5898% → 97%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
97.6%
Nick Chubb run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 30Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+2
97.5%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 9
OWN 32
-5
97.4%
GEORGIA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Geo 27Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 14
OWN 27
+6
97.3%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Terry Godwin for 6 yds to the Geo 33Similar
Q1 13:02
4TH & 8
OWN 33
0
97.3%
Collin Barber punt for 46 yds, downed at the LaMon 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:383% → 3%
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
97.3%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 3 yds to the LaMon 24Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 7
OWN 24
-1
97.2%
DeVontae McNeal run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 23Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+1
97.1%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Ajalen Holley for 1 yd to the LaMon 24Similar
Q1 11:24
4TH & 7
OWN 24
-3
97.1%
Chris Qualls punt blocked by Lorenzo Carter UL MONROE Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the LaMon 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 3TD
2 plays · 21 yds · 0:3997% → 97%
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
97.1%
Nick Chubb run for 7 yds to the LaMon 14Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+14
97.2%
Nick Chubb run for 14 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 4INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
97.1%
Garrett Smith pass intercepted Aaron Davis return for 26 yds to the LaMon 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 5TD
1 play · 15 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
97.3%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Jeb Blazevich for 15 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 2:223% → 3%
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
97.3%
Smith, Garrett rush for 6 yards to the ULMONROE31, PENALTY ULMONROE holding 10 yards to the ULMONROE15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+1
97.2%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Kaylon Watson for 1 yd to the LaMon 16Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 19
OWN 16
0
97.2%
Kaylon Watson run for no gain to the LaMon 16Similar
Q1 9:05
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+7
97.2%
Kaylon Watson run for 7 yds to the LaMon 23Similar
Q1 8:03
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+21
97.2%
Chris Qualls punt for 42 yds , Reggie Davis returns for 21 yds to the LaMon 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:5097% → 97%
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-15
97.3%
GEORGIA Penalty, Personal Foul (Brandon Kublanow) to the Geo 41Similar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 25
OWN 41
+5
97.2%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Terry Godwin for 5 yds to the Geo 46Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 20
OWN 46
0
97.2%
Greyson Lambert pass incomplete to Jeb BlazevichSimilar
Q1 7:00
3RD & 20
OWN 46
+14
97.2%
Sony Michel run for 14 yds to the LaMon 40Similar
Q1 6:13
4TH & 6
OPP 40
+50
97.1%
Collin Barber punt for 40 yds for a touchback UL MONROE Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:063% → 3%
Q1 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
97.0%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Harley Scioneaux for 7 yds to the LaMon 17Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 3
OWN 17
+2
96.9%
Kaylon Watson run for 2 yds to the LaMon 19Similar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 1
OWN 19
0
96.9%
Garrett Smith run for no gain to the LaMon 19Similar
Q1 4:07
4TH & 1
OWN 19
0
96.9%
Chris Qualls punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Reggie Davis at the Geo 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1397% → 97%
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
97.0%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the Geo 38Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+5
97.0%
Nick Chubb run for 5 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q1 3:10
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
97.0%
Greyson Lambert pass incomplete to Jackson HarrisSimilar
Q1 2:54
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
96.8%
Collin Barber punt for 50 yds, downed at the LaMon 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 3:053% → 4%
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
96.8%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Ajalen Holley for 3 yds to the LaMon 10Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+5
96.7%
DeVontae McNeal run for 5 yds to the LaMon 15Similar
Q1 1:45
3RD & 2
OWN 15
+6
96.6%
Garrett Smith run for 6 yds to the LaMon 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
96.5%
DeVontae McNeal run for 1 yd to the LaMon 22Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+2
96.5%
Garrett Smith run for 2 yds to the LaMon 24Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 24
-2
96.5%
DeVontae McNeal run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 22Similar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 9
OWN 22
0
96.5%
Chris Qualls fumbles, recoverd by Chris Qualls, Chris Qualls punt for 33 yds, downed at the Geo 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 11TD
6 plays · 55 yds · 2:0897% → 98%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+13
96.8%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 13 yds to the LaMon 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
96.8%
Keith Marshall run for 6 yds to the LaMon 36Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+15
96.8%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Quayvon Hicks for 15 yds to the LaMon 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+11
96.7%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 11 yds to the LaMon 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
96.7%
Keith Marshall run for 7 yds to the LaMon 3Similar
Q2 12:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.0%
Keith Marshall run for 3 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 36 yds · 3:012% → 2%
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
97.8%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 5 yds to the LaMon 31Similar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+2
97.8%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 2 yds to the LaMon 33Similar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+24
97.8%
Garrett Smith run for 24 yds to the Geo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
97.7%
Kaylon Watson run for 1 yd to the Geo 42Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+7
97.7%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 7 yds to the Geo 35Similar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 2
OPP 35
-3
97.7%
Garrett Smith sacked by Jordan Jenkins for a loss of 3 yards to the Geo 38Similar
Q2 9:40
4TH & 5
OPP 38
0
97.7%
Chris Qualls punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13TD
6 plays · 96 yds · 2:3998% → 99%
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
98.1%
Sony Michel run for 2 yds to the Geo 6Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+48
98.1%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Sony Michel for 48 yds to the LaMon 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+18
98.2%
Nick Chubb run for 18 yds to the LaMon 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
98.3%
Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the LaMon 25Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+2
98.1%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the LaMon 23Similar
Q2 7:01
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+23
99.2%
Nick Chubb run for 23 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 1:281% → 1%
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.3%
Rashon Ceaser run for 2 yds to the LaMon 27Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.3%
Garrett Smith run for no gain to the LaMon 27Similar
Q2 6:15
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-14
99.3%
Garrett Smith fumbles, Garrett Smith recovers, Garrett Smith sacked by Dominick Sanders for a loss of 14 yards to the LaMon 13, UL MONROE Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Garrett Smith) to the LaMon 13Similar
Q2 5:33
3RD & 22
OWN 13
+7
99.3%
Chris Qualls punt for 39 yds , Reggie Davis returns for 7 yds to the LaMon 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15TD
7 plays · 45 yds · 3:2799% → 100%
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
99.3%
Nick Chubb run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 46Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 11
OPP 46
-6
99.3%
Brice Ramsey sacked by David Griffith for a loss of 6 yards to the Geo 48Similar
Q2 4:10
3RD & 17
OWN 48
+20
99.3%
Brice Ramsey pass complete to Terry Godwin for 20 yds to the LaMon 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
99.4%
Nick Chubb run for 5 yds to the LaMon 27Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+1
99.4%
Sony Michel run for 1 yd to the LaMon 26Similar
Q2 2:30
3RD & 4
OPP 26
-5
99.4%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (Isaiah Wynn) to the LaMon 31Similar
Q2 2:06
3RD & 9
OPP 31
+31
99.5%
Brice Ramsey pass complete to Sony Michel for 31 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 16TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 1:461% → 1%
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.5%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Ajalen Holley for 4 yds to the LaMon 29Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
99.6%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 8 yds to the LaMon 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.6%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 3 yds to the LaMon 40Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
99.6%
Garrett Smith pass incomplete to Harley ScioneauxSimilar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+26
99.6%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 26 yds to the Geo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+17
99.5%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Rj Turner for 17 yds to the Geo 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-5
99.5%
Garrett Smith sacked by Quincy Mauger and Leonard Floyd for a loss of 5 yards to the Geo 22Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 15
OPP 22
+22
99.4%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 22 yds for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
99.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 18TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 3:383% → 2%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+18
97.4%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 18 yds to the LaMon 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
99.5%
Garrett Smith run for 2 yds to the LaMon 46Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+11
99.6%
Garrett Smith fumbles, Garrett Smith recovers, Garrett Smith pass complete to Tre' Perrier for 11 yds to the Geo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
99.6%
DeVontae McNeal run for 4 yds to the Geo 39Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+9
99.6%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 9 yds to the Geo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
99.6%
Kaylon Watson run for 1 yd to the Geo 29Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+29
97.9%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 29 yds for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:4599% → 99%
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
98.6%
Greyson Lambert run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 38 Greyson Lambert fumbled, recovered by Geo Nick ChubbSimilar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+12
98.5%
Nick Chubb run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
50
+1
98.6%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the LaMon 49Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
98.6%
Greyson Lambert pass incomplete to Jeb BlazevichSimilar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 9
OPP 49
0
98.6%
Greyson Lambert pass incomplete to Nick ChubbSimilar
Q3 9:17
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
98.5%
Collin Barber punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Rashon Ceaser at the LaMon 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 20SF
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:112% → 1%
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
98.3%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Kaylon Watson for 5 yds to the LaMon 15Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 5
OWN 15
-1
98.4%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Tre' Perrier for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 14Similar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 6
OWN 14
0
98.4%
Garrett Smith pass incomplete to Rashon CeaserSimilar
Q3 8:15
4TH & 6
OWN 14
-5
98.4%
UL MONROE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the LaMon 9Similar
Q3 8:06
4TH & 11
OWN 9
0
98.6%
TEAM punt blocked by D. Walker for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 21TD
4 plays · 58 yds · 1:2699% → 100%
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+27
98.5%
Nick Chubb run for 27 yds to the LaMon 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
98.6%
Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+28
99.8%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 28 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 22PUNT
12 plays · 31 yds · 4:500% → 0%
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
99.8%
Garrett Smith pass complete to DeVontae McNeal for 5 yds to the LaMon 21Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+4
99.8%
Garrett Smith run for 4 yds to the LaMon 25Similar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+4
99.7%
Garrett Smith run for 4 yds to the LaMon 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
99.7%
Garrett Smith run for 3 yds to the LaMon 32Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
99.8%
Garrett Smith pass incomplete to Jared MappsSimilar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+16
99.8%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 16 yds to the LaMon 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
99.8%
DeVontae McNeal run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 8
50
+2
99.8%
DeVontae McNeal run for 2 yds to the LaMon 47 DeVontae McNeal fumbled, forced by Tim Kimbrough, recovered by LaMon Garrett SmithSimilar
Q3 2:05
3RD & 11
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Garrett Smith pass incomplete to Ajalen HolleySimilar
Q3 1:50
4TH & 11
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Chris Qualls punt for 46 yds, downed at the Geo 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 23TD
14 plays · 93 yds · 5:52100% → 100%
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
99.9%
Sony Michel run for 2 yds to the Geo 9Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+11
99.9%
Sony Michel run for 11 yds to the Geo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
99.9%
Sony Michel run for 11 yds to the Geo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
99.9%
Keith Marshall run for 6 yds to the Geo 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+2
99.9%
Keith Marshall run for 2 yds to the Geo 39Similar
Q4 14:30
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+6
99.9%
Keith Marshall run for 6 yds to the Geo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+20
99.9%
Keith Marshall run for 20 yds to the LaMon 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
99.9%
Keith Marshall run for 5 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+4
99.9%
Brendan Douglas run for 4 yds to the LaMon 26Similar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+2
99.9%
Brendan Douglas run for 2 yds to the LaMon 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
99.9%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (Isaiah McKenzie) to the LaMon 29Similar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 15
OPP 29
+11
99.9%
Brendan Douglas run for 11 yds to the LaMon 18Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+16
99.9%
Keith Marshall run for 16 yds to the LaMon 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Keith Marshall run for 2 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 24END OF GAME
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:510% → 0%
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
100.0%
Garrett Smith pass incomplete to Rashon CeaserSimilar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+5
100.0%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 5 yds to the LaMon 24Similar
Q4 9:54
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+3
100.0%
Garrett Smith run for 3 yds to the LaMon 27. Game ended with 9:54 left in the 4th quarter due to lightningSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:02
Garrett Smith pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 29 yds for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK)
-1.6
TD · Q2 12:41
Keith Marshall run for 3 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)
+1.2
TD · Q3 6:40
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Malcolm Mitchell for 28 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)
+1.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com