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UTEP

UTEP 13 at Arkansas 48

ARK
2015 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2015 · Razorback Stadium
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Win probability · ARK
modelARK aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playARK scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGFGFGEnd of GameFG-0.4ARK 97.1%Jay Mattox 38 Yd Field GoalAWAY 3 - HOME 14 · Q2 12:51
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:51 · Jay Mattox 38 Yd Field Goal
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 37Pregame prior+42.8Home team on offense+3.6Score differential+1.5Blowout margin+0.4Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:17: Jared Cornelius 58 Yd pass from Brandon Allen (Cole Hedlund Kick) — ARK win probability +1.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:56: Autrey Golden 10 Yd Run (Jay Mattox Kick) — UTEP win probability +1.3 pts (now 4%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:17: Keon Hatcher 38 Yd pass from Brandon Allen (Cole Hedlund Kick) — ARK win probability +1.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 14:42: Alex Collins 7 Yd Run (Cole Hedlund Kick) — ARK win probability +1.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:57: Kody Walker 3 Yd Run (Cole Hedlund Kick) — ARK win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARK made the numbers' call on 3 of 5UTEP made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 7:58UTEP 4th & 5 at UTEP 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  2. Q2 12:51UTEP 4th & 3 at ARK 20, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.5%−0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 5:43ARK 4th & 1 at UTEP 40, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    94.8%−0.4
    34% to make
    Punt
    94.8%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:59UTEP 4th & 15 at UTEP 30, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:00ARK 4th & 5 at ARK 15, up 18
    Close callWent for it · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.7%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    95.9%
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:01UTEP 4th & 10 at UTEP 16, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:46UTEP 4th & 8 at UTEP 48, down 32
    Close callWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:38ARK 4th & 2 at UTEP 2, up 32
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:01UTEP 4th & 11 at ARK 26, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    64% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:58ARK 4th & 17 at UTEP 48, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:30ARK 4th & 10 at UTEP 10, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    88% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:06UTEP 4th & 6 at UTEP 40, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARK made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UTEP made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:35ARK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:11ARK Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:17ARK Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:56UTEP Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:17ARK Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 14:42ARK Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 12:57ARK Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARKDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:1799% → 99%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.7%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Keon Hatcher for 9 yds to the Ark 34Similar
Q1 14:32
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-8
98.7%
Alex Collins run for 2 yds to the Ark 36 ARKANSAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Frank Ragnow) to the Ark 26Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+18
98.6%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Keon Hatcher for 18 yds to the Ark 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
98.6%
Alex Collins run for 8 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+4
98.5%
Alex Collins run for 4 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+18
98.5%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Jeremy Sprinkle for 18 yds to the UTEP 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
98.5%
Drew Morgan 26 Yd pass from Brandon Allen (Cole Hedlund Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 3:312% → 2%
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.5%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete to Autrey GoldenSimilar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
98.4%
Treyvon Hughes run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 23Similar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+12
98.4%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Aaron Jones for 12 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
98.3%
Kavika Johnson run for 5 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 5
OWN 40
-3
98.3%
Treyvon Hughes run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 37Similar
Q1 8:35
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+3
98.2%
Kavika Johnson run for 3 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q1 7:58
4TH & 5
OWN 40
+38
98.2%
Alan Luna punt for 38 yds , Jared Cornelius returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 3TD
8 plays · 79 yds · 3:4098% → 98%
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
98.2%
Brandon Allen pass incomplete to Dominique ReedSimilar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
98.1%
Alex Collins run for no gain to the Ark 21Similar
Q1 7:00
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+14
98.1%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Keon Hatcher for 14 yds to the Ark 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
98.0%
Alex Collins run for 5 yds to the Ark 40Similar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+38
98.0%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Hunter Henry for 38 yds to the UTEP 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
98.0%
Kody Walker run for 2 yds to the UTEP 20Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 8
OPP 20
0
97.9%
Brandon Allen pass incomplete to Hunter HenrySimilar
Q1 4:11
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+20
98.2%
Keon Hatcher 20 Yd pass from Brandon Allen (Cole Hedlund Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4FG
13 plays · 60 yds · 6:202% → 3%
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
98.1%
ARKANSAS Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (De'Andre Coley) to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
98.1%
Aaron Jones run for 6 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q1 3:13
2ND & 4
OWN 41
-1
98.0%
Aaron Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 40Similar
Q1 2:31
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+6
98.0%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Jaquan White for 6 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
97.9%
Aaron Jones run for no gain to the UTEP 46Similar
Q1 1:09
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+9
97.8%
Aaron Jones run for 9 yds to the Ark 45Similar
Q1 0:34
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+6
97.7%
Aaron Jones run for 6 yds to the Ark 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+12
97.7%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Darrin Laufasa for 12 yds to the Ark 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
97.6%
Aaron Jones run for no gain to the Ark 27Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+7
97.5%
Kavika Johnson run for 7 yds to the Ark 20Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 3
OPP 20
0
97.5%
Aaron Jones run for no gain to the Ark 20Similar
Q2 12:51
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+38
97.1%
Jay Mattox 38 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 5TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 1:1497% → 98%
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
97.3%
Alex Collins run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ark 25Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 15
OWN 25
+17
97.2%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Jared Cornelius for 17 yds to the Ark 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+58
98.2%
Jared Cornelius 58 Yd pass from Brandon Allen (Cole Hedlund Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:142% → 4%
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
98.0%
Aaron Jones run for 12 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+36
98.0%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Aaron Jones for 36 yds to the Ark 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
97.8%
Jaquan White run for 4 yds to the Ark 23Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+13
97.6%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Hayden Plinke for 13 yds to the Ark 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
96.2%
Autrey Golden 10 Yd Run (Jay Mattox Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 7TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:2397% → 98%
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
96.8%
Alex Collins run for 26 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
96.9%
Alex Collins run for 5 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q2 7:19
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+3
96.9%
Kody Walker run for 3 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q2 6:19
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+1
96.6%
Kody Walker run for 1 yd to the UTEP 40Similar
Q2 5:43
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+2
96.4%
Kody Walker run for 2 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
97.7%
Keon Hatcher 38 Yd pass from Brandon Allen (Cole Hedlund Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 5 yds · 4:083% → 2%
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.5%
Kavika Johnson run for no gain to the UTEP 25Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.5%
Aaron Jones run for 2 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q2 3:43
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+8
97.5%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Aaron Jones for 8 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
97.3%
Aaron Jones run for no gain to the UTEP 35Similar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-2
97.4%
Autrey Golden run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 33 UTEP Penalty, Offensive Holding (Kavika Johnson) declinedSimilar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 12
OWN 33
-3
97.4%
Aaron Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 30Similar
Q2 0:59
4TH & 15
OWN 30
+13
97.6%
Alan Luna punt for 60 yds , Jared Cornelius returns for 13 yds to the Ark 43 ARKANSAS Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Damon Mitchell) to the Ark 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 9END OF HALF
6 plays · 75 yds · 0:3798% → 98%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-2
97.5%
Alex Collins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 8Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 12
OWN 8
+7
97.2%
Alex Collins run for 7 yds to the Ark 15Similar
Q2 0:02
3RD & 5
OWN 15
0
97.6%
Brandon Allen pass incomplete to Dominique ReedSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 5
OWN 15
+70
97.8%
Alex Collins run for 70 yds to the UTEP 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
97.5%
Mack Leftwich pass intercepted Henre' Toliver return for 12 yds to the UTEP 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 11TD
1 play · 7 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 14:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.2%
Alex Collins 7 Yd Run (Cole Hedlund Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12FUMBLE
5 plays · -13 yds · 1:261% → 1%
Q3 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
99.0%
Aaron Jones run for 6 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
Q3 13:51
2ND & 4
OWN 22
0
98.9%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete to Hayden PlinkeSimilar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 4
OWN 22
-6
98.9%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Aaron Jones for a loss of 6 yards to the UTEP 16Similar
Q3 13:01
4TH & 10
OWN 16
-13
99.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 13 yards to the UTEP 3 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Ark Davyon McKinneySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 13TD
1 play · 3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 12:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.7%
Kody Walker 3 Yd Run (Cole Hedlund Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14FUMBLE
7 plays · 3 yds · 2:110% → 0%
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
99.6%
UTEP Penalty, False Start (Derron Gatewood) to the UTEP 26Similar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+20
99.7%
Aaron Jones run for 20 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
99.6%
Aaron Jones run for 2 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q3 11:11
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
99.6%
Kavika Johnson pass complete to Aaron Jones for no gain to the UTEP 48Similar
Q3 10:51
3RD & 8
OWN 48
0
99.6%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete to Jaquan WhiteSimilar
Q3 10:46
4TH & 8
OWN 48
-14
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 14 yards to the UTEP 34 TEAM fumbled, recovered by ArkSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 15FG
6 plays · 32 yds · 2:08100% → 100%
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-15
99.8%
ARKANSAS Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the UTEP 49Similar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 25
OPP 49
+42
99.8%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Jeremy Sprinkle for 42 yds to the UTEP 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.8%
Brandon Allen pass incomplete to Jeremy SprinkleSimilar
Q3 9:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
99.8%
Rawleigh Williams run for 6 yds to the UTEP 1Similar
Q3 8:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
99.8%
Brandon Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 2Similar
Q3 8:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
99.8%
Cole Hedlund 19 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 16FG
13 plays · 55 yds · 5:200% → 0%
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
99.8%
Aaron Jones run for 11 yds to the UTEP 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
99.8%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 29Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+1
99.9%
Kavika Johnson run for 1 yd to the UTEP 30Similar
Q3 6:45
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+33
99.9%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Aaron Jones for 33 yds to the Ark 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
99.8%
Kavika Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 38Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 11
OPP 38
+6
99.9%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Jeremiah Laufasa for 6 yds to the Ark 32Similar
Q3 4:33
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+7
99.9%
Kavika Johnson pass complete to Autrey Golden for 7 yds to the Ark 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
99.9%
Kavika Johnson run for 5 yds to the Ark 20Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 5
OPP 20
-6
99.9%
Kavika Johnson sacked by DeMarcus Hodge for a loss of 6 yards to the Ark 26Similar
Q3 3:06
3RD & 11
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Mack Leftwich pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:01
4TH & 11
OPP 26
+44
99.9%
Jay Mattox 44 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 17FUMBLE
15 plays · 27 yds · 7:53100% → 100%
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Rawleigh Williams run for 4 yds to the Ark 29Similar
Q3 2:14
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
99.9%
Rawleigh Williams run for 8 yds to the Ark 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.9%
Rawleigh Williams run for 3 yds to the Ark 40Similar
Q3 0:57
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+4
99.9%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Hunter Henry for 4 yds to the Ark 44Similar
Q3 0:31
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+4
99.9%
Rawleigh Williams run for 4 yds to the Ark 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
99.9%
Rawleigh Williams run for 3 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+1
99.9%
Rawleigh Williams run for 1 yd to the UTEP 48Similar
Q4 13:19
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+7
99.9%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Keon Hatcher for 7 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
99.9%
Rawleigh Williams run for 1 yd to the UTEP 40Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 9
OPP 40
-10
99.9%
Williams, Rawleigh rush for no gain to the UTEP40, PENALTY ARKANSAS holding (Kirkland, Denver) 10 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 19
50
+3
99.9%
Rawleigh Williams run for 3 yds to the UTEP 47Similar
Q4 10:38
3RD & 16
OPP 47
-1
99.9%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Rawleigh Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 48Similar
Q4 9:58
4TH & 17
OPP 48
+2
99.9%
Toby Baker punt for 35 yds , Nik Needham returns for 2 yds to the UTEP 15 Nik Needham fumbled, recovered by Ark Josh WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 18FG
9 plays · 5 yds · 3:05100% → 100%
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
99.9%
Rawleigh Williams run for 4 yds to the UTEP 11Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+2
99.9%
Rawleigh Williams run for 2 yds to the UTEP 9Similar
Q4 8:26
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+6
99.9%
Rawleigh Williams run for 6 yds to the UTEP 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
99.9%
ARKANSAS Penalty, False Start (Sebastian Tretola) to the UTEP 8Similar
Q4 7:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
99.9%
Rawleigh Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 10Similar
Q4 6:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
100.0%
Austin Allen pass incomplete to Dominique ReedSimilar
Q4 6:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.9%
Austin Allen pass incomplete to Dominique ReedSimilar
Q4 6:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
99.9%
Cole Hedlund 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 3:360% → 0%
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
100.0%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Donovan Walker for 5 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 5
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for no gain to the UTEP 31Similar
Q4 4:43
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+5
100.0%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Darrin Laufasa for 5 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
100.0%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 2 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 8
OWN 38
-7
100.0%
Kavika Johnson run for a loss of 7 yards to the UTEP 31Similar
Q4 2:41
3RD & 15
OWN 31
+9
100.0%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Warren Redix for 9 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q4 2:06
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Alan Luna punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Luke Rossi at the Ark 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 20END OF GAME
3 plays · 2 yds · 1:29100% → 100%
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
100.0%
Rawleigh Williams run for 1 yd to the Ark 20Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 9
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Rawleigh Williams run for no gain to the Ark 20Similar
Q4 0:29
3RD & 9
OWN 20
+1
100.0%
Rawleigh Williams run for 1 yd to the Ark 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:42
Alex Collins 7 Yd Run (Cole Hedlund Kick)
+1.7
TD · Q2 8:56
Autrey Golden 10 Yd Run (Jay Mattox Kick)
-1.3
TD · Q2 5:17
Keon Hatcher 38 Yd pass from Brandon Allen (Cole Hedlund Kick)
+1.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com