Try the model
UND

North Dakota 10 at San José State 42

SJSU
2014 · Week 1 · Aug 28, 2014 · CEFCU Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · SJSU
modelSJSU aheadUND aheadconfidence bandkey playSJSU scoreUND score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:10 · Connor Bolduc punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Tyler Ervin at the SJSt 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 88Pregame prior+28.9Home team on offense+15.6Score differential+4.7Garbage-time factor+2.9Blowout margin+1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:25: Blake Jurich 2 Yd Run (Austin Lopez Kick) — SJSU win probability +0.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:29: Shane Smith 3 Yd pass from Blake Jurich (Austin Lopez Kick) — SJSU win probability +2.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 1:53: Reid Taubenheim 42 Yd Field Goal — UND win probability +2.0 pts (now 5%) (top driver: UND has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:38: Brandon Monroe 2 Yd Run (Austin Lopez Kick) — SJSU win probability +2.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:14: Tyler Ervin 40 Yd Punt Return (Austin Lopez Kick) — SJSU win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UND has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SJSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4UND made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 12:25UND 4th & 1 at SJSU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    5.3%−0.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    5.3%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:19UND 4th & 13 at UND 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.8%
    average punt
  3. Q2 1:53UND 4th & 9 at SJSU 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.0%
    66% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:02SJSU 4th & 9 at UND 23, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.0%
    70% to make
    Punt
    93.4%−1.6
    average punt
  5. Q3 15:00SJSU 4th & 1 at SJSU 34, up 18
    Close callPunted · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:10UND 4th & 10 at UND 30, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:19UND 4th & 1 at UND 44, down 25
    Close callPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:27SJSU 4th & 12 at midfield, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:14UND 4th & 8 at UND 3, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00UND 4th & 12 at UND 39, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:50SJSU 4th & 3 at UND 47, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SJSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UND made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:24SJSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:25SJSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:29SJSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:38SJSU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:14SJSU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:17UND Touchdown, down 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNDDrive 1DOWNS
9 plays · 21 yds · 2:354% → 5%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
96.0%
Jer Garman run for 1 yd to the NDKTA 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
96.0%
Cedric Simmons run for no gain to the NDKTA 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+12
96.0%
Joe Mollberg run for 12 yds to the SJSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
96.0%
Cedric Simmons run for no gain to the SJSt 47Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+4
95.5%
Joe Mollberg pass complete to Tyrhe Ivery for 4 yds to the SJSt 43Similar
Q1 12:25
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+5
95.5%
Joe Mollberg pass complete to Brandon Walker for 5 yds to the SJSt 38Similar
Q1 12:25
4TH & 1
OPP 38
-1
95.5%
Cedric Simmons run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 2TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 2:3895% → 95%
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
95.3%
Thomas Tucker run for no gain to the SJSt 39Similar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+5
95.3%
Blake Jurich pass complete to Hansell Wilson for 5 yds to the SJSt 44Similar
Q1 11:02
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+20
95.4%
Blake Jurich run for 20 yds to the NDKTA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
95.4%
Thomas Tucker run for 9 yds to the NDKTA 27Similar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+10
95.4%
Tyler Ervin run for 10 yds to the NDKTA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-1
95.4%
Thomas Tucker run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDKTA 18Similar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 11
OPP 18
+4
95.4%
Blake Jurich pass complete to Tyler Winston for 4 yds to the NDKTA 14Similar
Q1 8:24
3RD & 7
OPP 14
+14
95.3%
Tyler Winston 14 Yd pass from Blake Jurich (Austin Lopez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
95.2%
Joe Mollberg run for no gain to the NDKTA 12Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 10
OWN 12
-5
95.2%
NORTH DAKOTA Penalty, false start (N/A) to the NDKTA 7Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 15
OWN 7
+2
95.2%
Jer Garman run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 9Similar
Q1 8:19
3RD & 13
OWN 9
0
95.3%
Joe Mollberg pass incomplete to Brandon Walker, broken up by Christian TagoSimilar
Q1 8:19
4TH & 13
OWN 9
0
95.3%
Connor Bolduc punt for 44 yds, downed at the SJSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 4TD
11 plays · 53 yds · 4:0795% → 96%
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
95.1%
Thomas Tucker run for 4 yds to the NDKTA 49Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+9
95.1%
Blake Jurich pass complete to Hansell Wilson for 9 yds to the NDKTA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
95.1%
Blake Jurich pass complete to Tyler Winston for 10 yds to the NDKTA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
95.2%
Thomas Tucker run for 7 yds to the NDKTA 23Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+6
95.2%
Blake Jurich pass complete to Tyler Winston for 6 yds to the NDKTA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-10
95.2%
JURICH, Blake slant pass incomplete to WILSON, Hansell, PENALTY SJ holding (SCHWEITZER, Wes) 10 yards to the UND27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 20
OPP 27
0
95.1%
Blake Jurich pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 20
OPP 27
+16
95.1%
Blake Jurich pass complete to Billy Freeman for 16 yds to the NDKTA 11Similar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+8
95.1%
Brandon Monroe run for 8 yds to the NDKTA 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
95.2%
Thomas Tucker run for 1 yd to the NDKTA 2Similar
Q1 2:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
95.7%
Blake Jurich 2 Yd Run (Austin Lopez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 5INT
10 plays · 53 yds · 2:205% → 5%
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
95.3%
Joe Mollberg pass complete to Dustin Iverson for 6 yds to the NDKTA 30Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 4
OWN 30
-1
95.2%
Cedric Simmons run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDKTA 29Similar
Q1 2:20
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+20
95.3%
Joe Mollberg run for 5 yds to the NDKTA 34 for a 1ST down SAN JOSE ST Penalty, personal foul (Vince Buhagiar) to the NDKTA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
95.2%
Cedric Simmons run for no gain to the NDKTA 49Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+15
95.2%
Joe Mollberg run for 15 yds to the SJSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
94.9%
Cedric Simmons run for 12 yds to the SJSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
94.8%
Cedric Simmons run for 2 yds to the SJSt 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 22
-1
94.8%
Joe Mollberg pass complete to Zach Adler for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 23Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 23
+4
94.9%
Joe Mollberg pass intercepted Cleveland Wallace return for 4 yds to the SJSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 6TD
16 plays · 81 yds · 7:4095% → 98%
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
95.4%
Blake Jurich pass complete to Tyler Winston for 6 yds to the SJSt 25Similar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+4
95.4%
Brandon Monroe run for 4 yds to the SJSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
95.1%
Brandon Monroe run for 8 yds to the SJSt 37Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 2
OWN 37
0
95.2%
Brandon Monroe run for no gain to the SJSt 37Similar
Q2 12:11
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+3
95.1%
Thomas Tucker run for 3 yds to the SJSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
95.3%
Blake Jurich run for 1 yd to the SJSt 41Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+9
95.3%
Blake Jurich pass complete to Tyler Winston for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
50
+2
95.3%
Thomas Tucker run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 48Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+3
95.3%
Tyler Ervin run for 3 yds to the NDKTA 45Similar
Q2 12:11
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+15
95.2%
Blake Jurich pass complete to Tyler Winston for 15 yds to the NDKTA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+17
95.3%
Thomas Tucker run for 17 yds to the NDKTA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
95.3%
Blake Jurich pass complete to Shane Smith for 4 yds to the NDKTA 9Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 6
OPP 9
0
95.3%
Thomas Tucker run for no gain to the NDKTA 9Similar
Q2 12:11
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+6
95.2%
Thomas Tucker run for 6 yds to the NDKTA 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.8%
Shane Smith 3 Yd pass from Blake Jurich (Austin Lopez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 7FG
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:293% → 5%
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+51
97.1%
Joe Mollberg pass complete to Kyle Ruhe for 51 yds to the SJSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+13
96.8%
Cedric Simmons run for 13 yds to the SJSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-15
96.7%
Joe Mollberg rush up middle for 6 yards to the SJ20 (TAGO, Christian;BLAKE, Adrian), PENALTY UND clipping (Cedric Simmons) 15 yards to the SJ41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 25
OPP 41
-3
97.0%
Joe Mollberg pass complete to Brandon Walker for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 44Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 28
OPP 44
+5
97.1%
Joe Mollberg pass complete to Zach Adler for 5 yds to the SJSt 39Similar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 23
OPP 39
+14
97.2%
Cedric Simmons run for 14 yds to the SJSt 25Similar
Q2 1:53
4TH & 9
OPP 25
+42
95.2%
Reid Taubenheim 42 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 8MISSED FG
7 plays · 52 yds · 0:5196% → 96%
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+51
96.0%
Blake Jurich pass complete to Hansell Wilson for 51 yds to the NDKTA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-4
96.2%
Thomas Tucker run for a loss of 4 yards to the NDKTA 28Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 14
OPP 28
0
96.2%
Blake Jurich pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 14
OPP 28
+5
96.1%
JURICH, Blake slant pass incomplete to CRAWLEY, Tim, PENALTY UND offside 5 yards to the UND23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 9
OPP 23
0
96.1%
Blake Jurich pass incomplete to Hansell WilsonSimilar
Q2 1:02
4TH & 9
OPP 23
+40
95.9%
Austin Lopez 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 9END OF HALF
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
95.8%
Jer Garman run for 8 yds to the NDKTA 31Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 2
OWN 31
-5
95.5%
NORTH DAKOTA Penalty, false start (N/A) to the NDKTA 26Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+3
95.7%
Jer Garman run for 3 yds to the NDKTA 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0096% → 95%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
95.6%
Thomas Tucker run for 5 yds to the SJSt 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
95.6%
Thomas Tucker run for 4 yds to the SJSt 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
95.4%
Thomas Tucker run for no gain to the SJSt 34Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
95.2%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Alex Tillman at the NDKTA 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:005% → 4%
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
95.4%
Joe Mollberg pass incomplete to R.J. McGillSimilar
Q3 13:10
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
95.7%
Cedric Simmons run for 4 yds to the NDKTA 34Similar
Q3 13:10
3RD & 6
OWN 34
-4
95.5%
Joe Mollberg pass complete to Cedric Simmons for a loss of 4 yards to the NDKTA 30Similar
Q3 13:10
4TH & 10
OWN 30
0
95.8%
Connor Bolduc punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Tyler Ervin at the SJSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 12TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 4:5597% → 99%
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
97.0%
JURICH, Blake deep pass complete to FREEMAN, Billy for 37 yards to the UND28, PENALTY SJ holding (PETERSON, David) 10 yards to the SJ25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+10
96.9%
Blake Jurich pass complete to Brandon Monroe for 10 yds to the SJSt 35Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
96.9%
Blake Jurich pass complete to Tyler Winston for 7 yds to the SJSt 42Similar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+6
97.0%
Brandon Monroe run for 6 yds to the SJSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
97.1%
Blake Jurich pass complete to Tyler Winston for 7 yds to the NDKTA 45Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+4
97.1%
Blake Jurich pass complete to Tyler Ervin for 4 yds to the NDKTA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+22
97.1%
Blake Jurich pass complete to Thomas Tucker for 22 yds to the NDKTA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
97.1%
Brandon Monroe run for a loss of 5 yards to the NDKTA 24Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 15
OPP 24
+15
97.1%
JURICH, Blake deep pass incomplete to WINSTON, Tyler, PENALTY UND pass interference (Alex Tillman) 15 yards to the UND9, 1ST DOWN SJ, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
97.1%
Brandon Monroe run for 7 yds to the NDKTA 2Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.3%
Brandon Monroe 2 Yd Run (Austin Lopez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:191% → 1%
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
98.9%
Jer Garman run for 4 yds to the NDKTA 39Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+5
98.9%
Cedric Simmons run for 5 yds to the NDKTA 44Similar
Q3 5:19
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
98.8%
Joe Mollberg run for no gain to the NDKTA 44Similar
Q3 5:19
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+33
98.8%
Connor Bolduc punt for 37 yds , Tyler Ervin returns for 33 yds to the NDKTA 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
99.5%
Thomas Tucker run for 6 yds to the NDKTA 42Similar
Q3 4:27
2ND & 4
OPP 42
0
99.5%
Thomas Tucker run for no gain to the NDKTA 42Similar
Q3 4:27
3RD & 4
OPP 42
-5
99.5%
SAN JOSE ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NDKTA 47Similar
Q3 4:27
3RD & 9
OPP 47
-3
99.5%
Blake Jurich run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:27
4TH & 12
50
0
99.5%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 49 yds, downed at the NDKTA 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 15PUNT TD
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:461% → 0%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
99.4%
NORTH DAKOTA Penalty, false start (N/A) to the NDKTA 1Similar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
99.4%
Joe Mollberg run for no gain to the NDKTA 1Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
99.4%
Joe Mollberg pass incomplete to R.J. McGillSimilar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 10
OWN 1
+2
99.4%
Cedric Simmons run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 3Similar
Q3 0:14
4TH & 8
OWN 3
+40
99.9%
Tyler Ervin 40 Yd Punt Return (Austin Lopez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 16TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 0:14
1ST & 0
OPP 3
+1
99.9%
NORTH DAKOTA Penalty, Defensive offside (1 Yards) to the NDKTA 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 0:100% → 0%
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
99.9%
Adam Shaugabay run for 4 yds to the NDKTA 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+7
99.9%
Joe Mollberg pass complete to R.J. McGill for 7 yds to the NDKTA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Joe Mollberg pass incomplete to Brandon WalkerSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+1
99.9%
Joe Mollberg run for 1 yd to the NDKTA 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 42
-5
99.9%
Joe Mollberg sideline pass complete to Brandon Walker for 13 yards to the SJ45, out-of-bounds, PENALTY UND illegal formation 5 yards to the UND37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 37
+2
99.9%
Adam Shaugabay run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 39Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Connor Bolduc punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tyler Ervin at the SJSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 18TD
9 plays · 77 yds · 4:19100% → 100%
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
99.9%
Blake Jurich pass complete to Shane Smith for 5 yds to the SJSt 28Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+9
99.9%
Thomas Tucker run for 9 yds to the SJSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.9%
Thomas Tucker run for 3 yds to the SJSt 40Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+10
99.9%
Thomas Tucker run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
50
+5
99.9%
Blake Jurich pass complete to Billy Freeman for 5 yds to the NDKTA 45Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+5
99.9%
MONROE, Brandon rush up middle for 4 yards to the UND41 (Will Ratelle), PENALTY UND offside 5 yards to the UND40, 1ST DOWN SJ, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+20
99.9%
Blake Jurich pass complete to Hansell Wilson for 20 yds to the NDKTA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
99.9%
Brandon Monroe run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 18Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+18
99.9%
Tyler Winston 18 Yd pass from Blake Jurich (Michael Carrizosa Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 19FUMBLE
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-4
100.0%
Dev Ferguson run for a loss of 4 yards to the NDKTA 43Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 14
OWN 43
+11
100.0%
Joe Mollberg pass complete to R.J. McGill for 11 yds to the SJSt 46Similar
Q4 8:26
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+3
100.0%
Joe Mollberg pass complete to R.J. McGill for 3 yds to the SJSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
100.0%
Cedric Simmons run for 4 yds to the SJSt 39Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 6
OPP 39
-4
100.0%
Joe Mollberg sacked by Maurice McKnight for a loss of 4 yards to the SJSt 46 Joe Mollberg fumbled, recovered by SJSt Brad Kuh , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 20DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
100.0%
Alvin Jelks run for 2 yds to the SJSt 48Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 8
OWN 48
-1
100.0%
Alvin Jelks run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 47Similar
Q4 5:50
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+6
100.0%
Joe Gray pass complete to Chris Kearney for 6 yds to the NDKTA 47Similar
Q4 5:50
4TH & 3
OPP 47
+2
100.0%
Alvin Jelks run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 21TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 2:450% → 0%
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Joe Mollberg pass incomplete to R.J. McGillSimilar
Q4 4:02
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-5
100.0%
NORTH DAKOTA Penalty, false start (Sean Meehan) to the NDKTA 40Similar
Q4 4:02
2ND & 15
OWN 40
+1
100.0%
Jer Garman run for 1 yd to the NDKTA 41Similar
Q4 4:02
3RD & 14
OWN 41
+23
100.0%
Joe Mollberg pass complete to Jer Garman for 23 yds to the SJSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
100.0%
Joe Mollberg pass complete to Tyrhe Ivery for 9 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q4 4:02
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+10
100.0%
Jer Garman run for 10 yds to the SJSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+10
100.0%
Joe Mollberg pass complete to Dev Ferguson for 10 yds to the SJSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
100.0%
Jer Garman 7 Yd Run (Reid Taubenheim Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 22END OF HALF
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
100.0%
Joe Gray sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 22 Joe Gray fumbled, recovered by SJSt Joe Gray , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+2
100.0%
Osirius Burke run for 2 yds to the SJSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:29
Shane Smith 3 Yd pass from Blake Jurich (Austin Lopez Kick)
+2.6
TD · Q3 6:38
Brandon Monroe 2 Yd Run (Austin Lopez Kick)
+2.2
FG · Q2 1:53
Reid Taubenheim 42 Yd Field Goal
-2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com