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MEM

Memphis 16 at Temple 13

TEM
2014 · Week 11 · Nov 7, 2014 · Lincoln Financial Field
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Win probability · TEM
modelTEM aheadMEM aheadconfidence bandkey playTEM scoreMEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:25 · Alex Starzyk punt for 16 yds, downed at the Memph 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 70Pregame prior−7.6Home team on offense+5.6Score differential+1.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.1Garbage-time factor+1.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:58: Brandon Hayes 17 Yd pass from Paxton Lynch (Jake Elliott Kick) — MEM win probability +13.3 pts (now 62%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 1:39: Jake Elliott 27 Yd Field Goal — MEM win probability +7.1 pts (now 62%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 5:20: P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Romond Deloatch — TEM win probability +10.9 pts (now 37%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  4. FG · Q4 2:46: Austin Jones 46 Yd Field Goal — TEM win probability +19.4 pts (now 58%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Jake Elliott 31 Yd Field Goal — MEM win probability +37.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEM made the numbers' call on 8 of 11MEM made the numbers' call on 7 of 12
  1. Q1 13:21MEM 4th & 2 at MEM 32, tied
    Close callPunted · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:24TEM 4th & 8 at MEM 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.4%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.4%
    66% to make
    Punt
    42.0%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:46MEM 4th & 16 at TEM 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.9%−0.6
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.6%
    60% to make
    Punt
    52.9%−1.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:52TEM 4th & 10 at TEM 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:37MEM 4th & 6 at MEM 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.9%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.2%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:26MEM 4th & 4 at MEM 38, down 10
    Close callPunted · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.0%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:15MEM 4th & 1 at MEM 20, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%−1.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:51TEM 4th & 11 at TEM 32, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%−2.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:09MEM 4th & 4 at TEM 25, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.9%−0.6
    66% to make
    Punt
    34.6%−5.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:25TEM 4th & 4 at TEM 43, up 7
    Close callPunted · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.9%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:25TEM 4th & 25 at TEM 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.5%−2.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:31TEM 4th & 15 at MEM 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.3%−2.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    48.6%−2.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    50.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:18MEM 4th & 4 at MEM 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.4%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:36TEM 4th & 4 at TEM 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.2%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:04MEM 4th & 11 at TEM 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.3%−1.8
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    49.1%−3.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    52.2%
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:39MEM 4th & 10 at TEM 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.4%−2.5
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.9%
    88% to make
    Punt
    36.3%−14.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:42TEM 4th & 8 at TEM 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−1.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:59TEM 4th & 3 at MEM 19, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.6%−0.9
    77% to make
    Punt
    33.0%−13.5
    average punt
  19. Q4 12:07MEM 4th & 12 at MEM 18, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%−4.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.5%
    average punt
  20. Q4 9:50TEM 4th & 14 at MEM 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%−2.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    35.2%−2.0
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.2%
    average punt
  21. Q4 5:24MEM 4th & 5 at TEM 47, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 72.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.0%−1.6
    average punt
  22. Q4 2:46TEM 4th & 3 at MEM 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%−4.7
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.4%
    60% to make
    Punt
    19.2%−18.3
    average punt
  23. Q4 0:00MEM 4th & 4 at TEM 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%−15.7
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.4%
    84% to make
    Punt
    24.7%−31.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1MEM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 2:50TEM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:58MEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MEMDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3463% → 62%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
37.1%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Tevin Jones for 6 yds to the Memph 30Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+2
37.2%
Mose Frazier run for 2 yds to the Memph 32Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 2
OWN 32
0
37.4%
Brandon Hayes run for no gain to the Memph 32Similar
Q1 13:21
4TH & 2
OWN 32
0
37.7%
Spencer Smith punt for 28 yds, fair catch by John Christopher at the Temp 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 2FG
5 plays · 35 yds · 1:3638% → 39%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+33
37.9%
P.J. Walker run for 33 yds to the Memph 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
38.2%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Brandon ShippenSimilar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
38.2%
P.J. Walker run for no gain to the Memph 27Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+2
38.5%
Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds to the Memph 25Similar
Q1 11:24
4TH & 8
OPP 25
+43
38.9%
Austin Jones 43 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 3MISSED FG
15 plays · 50 yds · 5:2961% → 58%
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
38.8%
Brandon Hayes run for 3 yds to the Memph 25Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 7
OWN 25
0
38.9%
Roderick Proctor run for no gain to the Memph 25Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+13
39.5%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Mose Frazier for 13 yds to the Memph 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
39.3%
Brandon Hayes run for 3 yds to the Memph 41Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+4
39.5%
Brandon Hayes run for 4 yds to the Memph 45Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+5
39.4%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Roderick Proctor for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
50
+4
39.3%
Roderick Proctor run for 4 yds to the Temp 46Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+24
39.5%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 9 yds to the Temp 37 for a 1ST down TEMPLE Penalty, Personal Foul (Averee Robinson) to the Temp 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
39.3%
Brandon Hayes run for no gain to the Temp 22Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+1
39.6%
Brandon Hayes run for 1 yd to the Temp 21Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 9
OPP 21
-10
40.1%
MEMPHIS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Taylor Fallin) to the Temp 31Similar
Q1 6:20
3RD & 19
OPP 31
+3
40.8%
Brandon Hayes run for 3 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q1 5:46
4TH & 16
OPP 28
+45
41.8%
Jake Elliott 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5341% → 41%
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
41.2%
Jahad Thomas run for no gain to the Temp 28Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
41.3%
P.J. Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:05
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
40.9%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Jalen FitzpatrickSimilar
Q1 4:52
4TH & 10
OWN 28
+8
40.7%
Alex Starzyk punt for 42 yds , Keiwone Malone returns for 8 yds to the Memph 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0859% → 58%
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
41.3%
Jarvis Cooper run for 2 yds to the Memph 40Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+2
41.4%
Paxton Lynch run for 2 yds to the Memph 42Similar
Q1 3:50
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
41.6%
Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Keiwone MaloneSimilar
Q1 3:37
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
42.4%
Spencer Smith punt for 38 yds, downed at the Temp 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 6TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:3542% → 47%
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
42.1%
Kenneth Harper run for 4 yds to the Temp 25Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+75
46.5%
Kenneth Harper 75 Yd Run (Austin Jones Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 2:0453% → 51%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+22
46.8%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Adrian Henderson for 22 yds to the Memph 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
46.7%
Jarvis Cooper run for 4 yds to the Memph 36Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+5
46.8%
Brandon Hayes run for 5 yds to the Memph 41Similar
Q1 0:55
3RD & 1
OWN 41
-3
46.9%
Brandon Hayes run for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 38Similar
Q1 0:26
4TH & 4
OWN 38
0
49.5%
Spencer Smith punt for 43 yds, fair catch by John Christopher at the Temp 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 8INT
10 plays · 57 yds · 4:5249% → 55%
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
48.8%
Kenneth Harper run for 2 yds to the Temp 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+31
48.9%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jalen Fitzpatrick for 31 yds to the Memph 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
50.9%
Kenneth Harper run for 7 yds to the Memph 41Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+4
51.4%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Kenneth Harper for 4 yds to the Memph 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
52.0%
Kenneth Harper run for 3 yds to the Memph 34Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 7
OPP 34
-2
53.0%
P.J. Walker run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 36 P.J. Walker fumbled, recovered by Temp P.J. WalkerSimilar
Q2 11:32
3RD & 9
OPP 36
+15
52.6%
Walker, P.J. pass incomplete, PENALTY MEMPHIS roughing passer 15 yards to the MEMPHIS21, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEMPLE. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
53.6%
Jahad Thomas run for 7 yds to the Memph 14Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 3
OPP 14
-10
54.6%
Thomas, Jahad rush for 7 yards to the MEMPHIS7, PENALTY TEMPLE holding 10 yards to the MEMPHIS24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 13
OPP 24
0
54.8%
P.J. Walker pass intercepted Andrew Gaines return for no gain to the Memph 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:0046% → 43%
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
54.4%
Brandon Hayes run for 6 yds to the Memph 17Similar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 4
OWN 17
0
55.0%
Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Alan CrossSimilar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 4
OWN 17
+3
55.8%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Alan Cross for 3 yds to the Memph 20Similar
Q2 9:15
4TH & 1
OWN 20
0
56.6%
Spencer Smith punt for 47 yds, fair catch by John Christopher at the Temp 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:0954% → 54%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
54.3%
P.J. Walker run for 1 yd to the Temp 34Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 9
OWN 34
-2
54.8%
Jamie Gilmore run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 32Similar
Q2 7:58
3RD & 11
OWN 32
0
54.9%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Keith KirkwoodSimilar
Q2 7:51
4TH & 11
OWN 32
+2
54.4%
TEAM punt blocked by Tevin Jones blocked by Tevin Jones Mose Frazier return for 2 yds to the Temp 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 11FG
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:4146% → 46%
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
53.9%
Brandon Hayes run for 3 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+2
54.0%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 2 yds to the Temp 26Similar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+1
55.4%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Alan Cross for 1 yd to the Temp 25Similar
Q2 6:09
4TH & 4
OPP 25
+42
53.7%
Jake Elliott 42 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:4054% → 56%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
54.2%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jalen Fitzpatrick for 12 yds to the Temp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
56.7%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jalen Fitzpatrick for 4 yds to the Temp 41Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+2
58.2%
Kenneth Harper run for 2 yds to the Temp 43Similar
Q2 4:35
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
57.2%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Keith KirkwoodSimilar
Q2 4:25
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
55.7%
Alex Starzyk punt for 16 yds, downed at the Memph 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 13TD
3 plays · 59 yds · 0:2245% → 62%
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+42
54.8%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Mose Frazier for 42 yds to the Temp 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
51.7%
Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Alan CrossSimilar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+17
38.5%
Brandon Hayes 17 Yd pass from Paxton Lynch (Jake Elliott Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 14PUNT
11 plays · 19 yds · 3:1047% → 45%
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
46.5%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Colin Thompson for 5 yds to the Temp 22Similar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+6
46.7%
Kenneth Harper run for 6 yds to the Temp 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
46.7%
MEMPHIS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (6 Yards) to the Temp 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
47.0%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jalen Fitzpatrick for 4 yds to the Temp 38Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+13
48.9%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jalen Fitzpatrick for 13 yds to the Memph 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
50.1%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Jahad ThomasSimilar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
49.6%
P.J. Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 10
OPP 49
-15
47.8%
P.J. Walker sacked by Leonard Pegues for a loss of 15 yards to the Temp 36Similar
Q2 0:25
4TH & 25
OWN 36
0
45.0%
Alex Starzyk punt for 38 yds , Keiwone Malone returns for no gain to the Memph 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
43.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 16PUNT
12 plays · 20 yds · 3:1949% → 47%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
48.5%
Kenneth Harper run for 1 yd to the Temp 36Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+7
49.0%
Brandon Shippen run for 7 yds to the Temp 43Similar
Q3 13:45
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+2
50.4%
Kenneth Harper run for 2 yds to the Temp 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
51.5%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Brodrick Yancy for 4 yds to the Temp 49Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
51.7%
P.J. Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+11
50.3%
P.J. Walker pass complete to John Christopher for 11 yds to the Memph 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
52.2%
TEMPLE Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Memph 45Similar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 15
OPP 45
0
50.7%
P.J. Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 15
OPP 45
0
50.5%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to John ChristopherSimilar
Q3 11:42
3RD & 15
OPP 45
0
49.1%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to John ChristopherSimilar
Q3 11:31
4TH & 15
OPP 45
0
47.3%
Alex Starzyk punt for 10 yds, downed at the Memph 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1255% → 54%
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
44.8%
Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Adrian HendersonSimilar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-6
45.4%
Paxton Lynch sacked by Praise Martin-Oguike for a loss of 6 yards to the Memph 29Similar
Q3 10:50
3RD & 16
OWN 29
+12
47.4%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Mose Frazier for 12 yds to the Memph 41Similar
Q3 10:18
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
46.2%
Spencer Smith punt for 34 yds, downed at the Temp 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 3:3449% → 51%
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
49.1%
Jahad Thomas run for no gain to the Temp 25Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
49.4%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Nate Hairston for 9 yds to the Temp 34Similar
Q3 8:50
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
50.5%
Kenneth Harper run for 5 yds to the Temp 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
51.6%
P.J. Walker pass complete to John Christopher for 2 yds to the Temp 41Similar
Q3 8:25
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
52.3%
Kenneth Harper run for no gain to the Temp 41Similar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+4
50.4%
P.J. Walker run for 4 yds to the Temp 45Similar
Q3 6:36
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
51.1%
Alex Starzyk punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Keiwone Malone at the Memph 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 19FUMBLE
9 plays · 33 yds · 3:2653% → 52%
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
47.0%
Brandon Hayes run for 4 yds to the Memph 26Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 6
OWN 26
0
46.7%
Brandon Hayes run for no gain to the Memph 26Similar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+7
48.4%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Mose Frazier for 7 yds to the Memph 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
46.5%
Brandon Hayes run for 1 yd to the Memph 34Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+22
46.1%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Keiwone Malone for 22 yds to the Temp 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
42.9%
Brandon Hayes run for 1 yd to the Temp 43Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 9
OPP 43
-2
43.0%
Brandon Hayes run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 45Similar
Q3 3:15
3RD & 11
OPP 45
0
45.4%
Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Phil MayhueSimilar
Q3 3:04
4TH & 11
OPP 45
0
48.4%
Nick Jacobs punt for 34 yds , John Christopher returns for no gain to the Temp 10 John Christopher fumbled, recovered by Memph Reggis BallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 20FG
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:2559% → 62%
Q3 3:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
41.3%
MEMPHIS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Temp 15Similar
Q3 2:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
0
41.8%
Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Alan CrossSimilar
Q3 2:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
0
42.4%
Brandon Hayes run for no gain to the Temp 15Similar
Q3 2:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
+5
45.6%
Brandon Hayes run for 5 yds to the Temp 10Similar
Q3 1:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
38.5%
Jake Elliott 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 21FUMBLE
8 plays · 12 yds · 1:3342% → 39%
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
41.5%
Kenneth Harper run for 5 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
42.3%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Brandon Shippen for 3 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q3 0:10
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
42.8%
Kenneth Harper run for 2 yds to the Temp 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
42.2%
Kenneth Harper run for 2 yds to the Temp 37Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
42.6%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Nate HairstonSimilar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
41.2%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Nate HairstonSimilar
Q4 14:42
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
39.2%
Tyler Mayes punt for 37 yds , B.J. Ross returns for no gain to the Memph 26 B.J. Ross fumbled, recovered by Temp Zack BambarySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 22MISSED FG
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3150% → 42%
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-3
49.5%
Kenneth Harper run for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 29Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 13
OPP 29
+10
48.6%
P.J. Walker pass complete to John Christopher for 10 yds to the Memph 19Similar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 3
OPP 19
0
44.9%
P.J. Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:59
4TH & 3
OPP 19
+37
42.0%
Austin Jones 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:2865% → 61%
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
35.2%
Paxton Lynch run for no gain to the Memph 20Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
35.7%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Keiwone Malone for 3 yds Keiwone Malone fumbled, recovered by MemphSimilar
Q4 12:15
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
36.7%
Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Mose FrazierSimilar
Q4 12:10
4TH & 7
OWN 23
-5
38.4%
MEMPHIS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Memph 18Similar
Q4 12:07
4TH & 12
OWN 18
0
38.8%
Nick Jacobs punt for 36 yds, fair catch by John Christopher at the Temp 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 2:1043% → 34%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
42.5%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Jamie GilmoreSimilar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+2
40.0%
P.J. Walker run for 2 yds to the Temp 48Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+11
40.7%
P.J. Walker run for 11 yds to the Memph 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
43.3%
Kenneth Harper run for 2 yds to the Memph 39Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 8
OPP 39
-6
41.2%
P.J. Walker sacked by TEAM for a loss of 6 yards to the Memph 45 TEMPLE Penalty, Intentional Grounding (P.J. Walker) to the Memph 45Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 14
OPP 45
0
36.2%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Nate HairstonSimilar
Q4 9:50
4TH & 14
OPP 45
0
33.9%
Tyler Mayes punt for 34 yds, downed at the Memph 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 25PUNT
11 plays · 42 yds · 4:0668% → 74%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
31.6%
Brandon Hayes run for 2 yds to the Memph 13Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+10
32.1%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Mose Frazier for 10 yds to the Memph 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
30.9%
Brandon Hayes run for 2 yds to the Memph 25Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+6
30.3%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Mose Frazier for 6 yds to the Memph 31Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+4
29.0%
Paxton Lynch run for 4 yds to the Memph 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
27.6%
Brandon Hayes run for 13 yds to the Memph 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
24.9%
Jarvis Cooper run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 46Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 12
OWN 46
-1
27.5%
Brandon Hayes run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 45Similar
Q4 5:57
3RD & 13
OWN 45
+8
27.1%
Brandon Hayes run for 8 yds to the Temp 47Similar
Q4 5:24
4TH & 5
OPP 47
+21
26.4%
Spencer Smith punt for 25 yds , Nate L. Smith returns for 21 yds to the Temp 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 26FG
9 plays · 29 yds · 2:3437% → 58%
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
37.3%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Romond DeloatchSimilar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+12
35.7%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Romond Deloatch for 12 yds to the Memph 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
40.0%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Brandon ShippenSimilar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+9
39.6%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Colin Thompson for 9 yds to the Memph 36Similar
Q4 3:50
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+1
39.4%
Kenneth Harper run for 1 yd to the Memph 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
42.7%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Nate HairstonSimilar
Q4 3:31
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
42.6%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to John ChristopherSimilar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+7
38.7%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Kenneth Harper for 7 yds to the Memph 28Similar
Q4 2:46
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+46
58.1%
Austin Jones 46 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 27END OF GAME
16 plays · 66 yds · 2:3051% → 95%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
48.6%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Mose Frazier for 16 yds to the Memph 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
46.3%
Paxton Lynch run for 2 yds to the Memph 38Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+7
45.1%
Brandon Hayes run for 7 yds to the Memph 45Similar
Q4 1:35
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+1
42.4%
Brandon Hayes run for 1 yd to the Memph 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
42.7%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Mose Frazier for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 6
50
+7
41.6%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Brandon Hayes for 7 yds to the Temp 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+12
41.0%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Tevin Jones for 12 yds to the Temp 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
37.1%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Keiwone Malone for 11 yds to the Temp 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
36.4%
Brandon Hayes run for 9 yds to the Temp 11Similar
Q4 0:21
2ND & 1
OPP 11
-3
36.3%
Paxton Lynch run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 14Similar
Q4 0:01
3RD & 4
OPP 14
0
38.8%
Paxton Lynch run for no gain to the Temp 14Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+31
5.4%
Jake Elliott 31 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Jake Elliott 31 Yd Field Goal
-37.3
FG · Q4 2:46
Austin Jones 46 Yd Field Goal
+19.4
TD · Q2 3:58
Brandon Hayes 17 Yd pass from Paxton Lynch (Jake Elliott Kick)
-13.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com