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TROY

Troy 10 at Georgia Southern 42

GASO
2014 · Week 10 · Oct 30, 2014 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
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Win probability · GASO
modelGASO aheadTROY aheadconfidence bandkey playGASO scoreTROY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:31 · Ryan Kay punt for 37 yds , Tray Butler returns for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 31Pregame prior−34.6Home team on offense+4.4Score differential+1.4Garbage-time factor+0.7Blowout margin+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:51: Kevin Ellison run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK) — GASO win probability +3.7 pts (now 23%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 14:45: Ryan Kay 25 yd FG GOOD — TROY win probability +1.8 pts (now 76%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:16: Alfred Ramsby run for 4 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK) — GASO win probability +10.5 pts (now 47%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:47: Kevin Ellison run for 2 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK) — GASO win probability +14.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:21: Alfred Ramsby run for 9 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK) — GASO win probability +0.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GASO made the numbers' call on 2 of 3TROY made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 11:16TROY 4th & 1 at TROY 29, down 7
    Close callPunted · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:25GASO 4th & 1 at TROY 11, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    16.9%−0.4
    87% to make
    Punt
    15.8%−1.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:31TROY 4th & 5 at TROY 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.3%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:45TROY 4th & 7 at GASO 8, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.9%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.2%
    90% to make
    Punt
    69.4%−4.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:57TROY 4th & 19 at TROY 26, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.1%−5.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.3%
    average punt
  6. Q3 8:10TROY 4th & 13 at TROY 41, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−2.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 2:26GASO 4th & 5 at TROY 47, up 25
    Close callPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:48TROY 4th & 7 at TROY 13, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:19TROY 4th & 13 at TROY 22, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:47GASO 4th & 1 at TROY 36, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:25TROY 4th & 2 at GASO 42, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GASO made the numbers' call on 6 of 6TROY made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 13:26GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:51GASO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:16GASO Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:47GASO Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:21GASO Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:58GASO Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:18TROY Touchdown, down 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASODrive 1TD
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:1912% → 12%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
11.5%
Matt Breida run for 4 yds to the Troy 13Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+12
11.8%
Kevin Ellison run for 12 yds to the Troy 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
11.9%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, False Start (Jeff Ward) to the Troy 6Similar
Q1 13:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
12.4%
Kevin Ellison run for 6 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:0588% → 86%
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
12.3%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Jordan Chunn for 5 yds to the Troy 25Similar
Q1 12:53
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-5
12.6%
TROY Penalty, False Start (Dalton Bennett) to the Troy 20Similar
Q1 12:24
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
12.9%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Teddy Ruben for 7 yds to the Troy 27Similar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+2
13.2%
Jordan Chunn run for 2 yds to the Troy 29Similar
Q1 11:16
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
13.7%
Ryan Kay punt for 33 yds, downed at the GeoSo 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 3TD
15 plays · 62 yds · 7:1114% → 23%
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
14.0%
Kevin Ellison run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 4
OWN 44
0
14.4%
Kevin Ellison pass incomplete to BJ JohnsonSimilar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+10
14.4%
Montay Crockett run for 10 yds to the Troy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
15.0%
Kevin Ellison run for 9 yds to the Troy 37Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 1
OPP 37
0
15.4%
Kevin Ellison pass incomplete to Kentrellis Showers, broken up by Tray HallSimilar
Q1 9:12
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+3
15.4%
Alfred Ramsby run for 3 yds to the Troy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
15.9%
Kevin Ellison run for 9 yds to the Troy 25Similar
Q1 8:07
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+5
16.4%
Matt Breida run for 5 yds to the Troy 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
16.9%
Matt Breida run for 2 yds to the Troy 18Similar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 8
OPP 18
-2
17.4%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Matt Breida for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 20Similar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+9
18.0%
BJ Johnson run for 9 yds to the Troy 11Similar
Q1 5:25
4TH & 1
OPP 11
+3
18.2%
Alfred Ramsby run for 3 yds to the Troy 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
19.1%
Alfred Ramsby run for 2 yds to the Troy 6Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
19.6%
Matt Breida run for 5 yds to the Troy 1Similar
Q1 3:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
23.4%
Kevin Ellison run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1578% → 76%
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
21.9%
Brandon Silvers run for no gain to the Troy 20Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
23.4%
Brandon Burks run for 5 yds to the Troy 25Similar
Q1 2:42
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
23.8%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to K.D. Edenfield, broken up by Antwione WilliamsSimilar
Q1 2:31
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+37
23.8%
Ryan Kay punt for 37 yds , Tray Butler returns for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 5FUMBLE
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
25.1%
Matt Breida run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 39 Matt Breida fumbled, forced by Garrett Peek, recovered by Troy Daniel WarrenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 6FG
9 plays · 31 yds · 2:3077% → 76%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
23.2%
Brandon Burks run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+6
22.9%
Brandon Burks run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
23.5%
Brandon Burks run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 18Similar
Q1 0:55
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+1
24.2%
Brandon Silvers run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 17Similar
Q1 0:33
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+6
25.1%
Jordan Chunn run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
25.3%
Brandon Burks run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 8 Brandon Burks fumbled, forced by Justice Ejike, recovered by Troy Daniel WarrenSimilar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 7
OPP 8
0
25.4%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Jarvis BentleySimilar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 7
OPP 8
0
25.8%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to B.J. ChittySimilar
Q2 14:45
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+25
24.1%
Ryan Kay 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 7TD
14 plays · 84 yds · 7:1225% → 47%
Q2 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
24.8%
Kevin Ellison run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 1
OWN 25
-3
27.1%
Kevin Ellison run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 22Similar
Q2 12:56
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+22
27.2%
Favian Upshaw run for 22 yds to the GeoSo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
29.5%
Alfred Ramsby run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+1
30.2%
Favian Upshaw run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q2 11:07
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+10
30.1%
Favian Upshaw run for 10 yds to the Troy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+27
32.6%
Favian Upshaw run for 27 yds to the Troy 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-3
33.3%
Devin Scott run for a loss of 3 yards to the Troy 20Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 13
OPP 20
+9
34.4%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to Alfred Ramsby for 9 yds to the Troy 11Similar
Q2 8:32
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+4
34.7%
Alfred Ramsby run for 4 yds to the Troy 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
35.7%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, False Start (Cody Rediger) to the Troy 12Similar
Q2 7:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+8
36.3%
Favian Upshaw run for 8 yds to the Troy 4Similar
Q2 7:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
46.9%
Alfred Ramsby run for 4 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 3:0154% → 47%
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+11
45.8%
Khary Franklin run for 11 yds to the Troy 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
46.4%
Khary Franklin run for 6 yds to the Troy 29Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+6
46.8%
Khary Franklin run for 6 yds to the Troy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
47.7%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Chandler WorthySimilar
Q2 5:19
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-2
48.8%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Jordan Chunn for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 33Similar
Q2 4:31
3RD & 12
OWN 33
-7
51.4%
Brandon Silvers sacked by Jamal Johnson for a loss of 7 yards to the Troy 26Similar
Q2 3:57
4TH & 19
OWN 26
0
52.9%
Ryan Kay punt for 36 yds, downed at the GeoSo 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 9FUMBLE
8 plays · 43 yds · 2:4655% → 61%
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
55.2%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Myles Campbell for no gain to the GeoSo 38Similar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+5
56.4%
Matt Breida run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q2 2:26
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+13
55.9%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Montay Crockett for 13 yds to the Troy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
58.8%
Montay Crockett run for 15 yds to the Troy 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
59.7%
Kevin Ellison pass incomplete to Montay CrockettSimilar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+9
60.4%
Matt Breida run for 9 yds to the Troy 20Similar
Q2 1:13
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+5
59.0%
Kevin Ellison run for 5 yds to the Troy 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-4
61.2%
Montay Crockett run for a loss of 4 yards to the Troy 19 Montay Crockett fumbled, recovered by Troy Mitchell RolandSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:3940% → 38%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
60.3%
Brandon Silvers run for 1 yd to the Troy 20Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 20
-1
61.8%
Brandon Silvers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 11TD
11 plays · 84 yds · 3:5962% → 91%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
61.5%
Matt Breida run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 19Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+5
69.1%
Alfred Ramsby run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q3 13:42
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+2
69.0%
Matt Breida run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+21
70.1%
Matt Breida run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 32 for a 1ST down TROY Penalty, Personal Foul (Femi Odaibo) to the GeoSo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
74.7%
Kevin Ellison run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 7
50
+16
75.4%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Kentrellis Showers for 16 yds to the Troy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
75.9%
Ellison, Kevin pass incomplete to Showers, Kentrellis, PENALTY TROY pass interference (Davis, Ethan) 15 yards to the TROY19, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GASOUTHERN. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
76.1%
Alfred Ramsby run for 7 yds to the Troy 12Similar
Q3 11:07
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+10
77.4%
Alfred Ramsby run for 10 yds to the Troy 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
91.3%
Kevin Ellison run for 2 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:1111% → 8%
Q3 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
89.1%
Jordan Chunn run for 3 yds to the Troy 28Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
89.5%
Dontreal Pruitt run for 1 yd to the Troy 29Similar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+15
90.0%
Dontreal Pruitt run for 15 yds to the Troy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
90.1%
Dontreal Pruitt pass incomplete to Chandler Worthy, broken up by Darius JonesSimilar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
90.2%
Dontreal Pruitt pass incomplete to Emanuel ThompsonSimilar
Q3 8:41
3RD & 10
OWN 44
-3
90.7%
Brandon Burks run for a loss of 3 yards to the Troy 41Similar
Q3 8:10
4TH & 13
OWN 41
+48
91.8%
Ryan Kay punt for 48 yds , Tray Butler returns for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 43 yds · 5:3293% → 98%
Q3 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
93.4%
Matt Breida run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 19Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+7
94.9%
Matt Breida run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
95.1%
Kevin Ellison run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
95.6%
Matt Breida run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q3 5:39
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+8
96.0%
Myles Campbell run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q3 4:51
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+3
96.8%
Matt Breida run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
97.1%
Alfred Ramsby run for 5 yds to the Troy 47Similar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 5
OPP 47
-4
97.4%
Alfred Ramsby run for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSo 49Similar
Q3 3:08
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+4
97.6%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Derek Keaton for 4 yds to the Troy 47Similar
Q3 2:26
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
97.6%
Ryan Nowicki punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Teddy Ruben at the Troy 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:314% → 3%
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
96.4%
Dontreal Pruitt pass incomplete to John JohnsonSimilar
Q3 1:51
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+2
96.8%
Dontreal Pruitt run for 2 yds to the Troy 12Similar
Q3 1:21
3RD & 8
OWN 12
+1
97.0%
Dontreal Pruitt run for 1 yd to the Troy 13Similar
Q3 0:48
4TH & 7
OWN 13
0
97.2%
Ryan Kay punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15TD
4 plays · 50 yds · 1:1998% → 100%
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
50
0
98.3%
Kevin Ellison pass incomplete to Matt BreidaSimilar
Q3 0:28
2ND & 10
50
+11
98.4%
BJ Johnson run for 11 yds to the Troy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+30
98.5%
Kevin Ellison run for 30 yds to the Troy 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.5%
Alfred Ramsby run for 9 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:420% → 0%
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.6%
Dontreal Pruitt pass complete to Chandler Worthy for 3 yds to the Troy 28Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
99.6%
Khary Franklin run for 2 yds to the Troy 30Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-8
99.6%
Dontreal Pruitt sacked by Antwione Williams for a loss of 8 yards to the Troy 22Similar
Q4 12:19
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
99.7%
Ryan Kay punt for 33 yds , Tray Butler returns for no gain to the GeoSo 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17TD
10 plays · 55 yds · 5:58100% → 100%
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
99.7%
Matt Breida run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 49Similar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+6
99.7%
Devin Scott run for 6 yds to the Troy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
99.7%
Matt Breida run for 5 yds to the Troy 40Similar
Q4 10:02
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+3
99.8%
Alfred Ramsby run for 3 yds to the Troy 37Similar
Q4 9:21
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+1
99.8%
Alfred Ramsby run for 1 yd to the Troy 36Similar
Q4 8:47
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+2
99.8%
Alfred Ramsby run for 2 yds to the Troy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
99.8%
Favian Upshaw run for 9 yds to the Troy 25Similar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+3
99.9%
Devin Scott run for 3 yds to the Troy 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
99.9%
Devin Scott run for 3 yds to the Troy 19Similar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+19
99.9%
Favian Upshaw run for 19 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 18TD
11 plays · 74 yds · 4:180% → 0%
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+24
99.9%
Khary Franklin run for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
50
+5
99.9%
Brandon Burks run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q4 4:49
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+2
99.9%
Brandon Burks run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q4 4:11
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+1
99.9%
Brandon Burks run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 42Similar
Q4 3:25
4TH & 2
OPP 42
+12
99.9%
Jordan Chunn run for 12 yds to the GeoSo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
99.9%
Jordan Chunn run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q4 2:46
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+7
99.9%
Khary Franklin run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+10
99.9%
Dontreal Pruitt run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
99.9%
Khary Franklin run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 3Similar
Q4 1:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Khary Franklin run for 3 yds for a TD, (Ryan Kay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19END OF GAME
3 plays · 41 yds · 0:44100% → 100%
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
99.9%
Dennis Pritchard run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+31
100.0%
Dennis Pritchard run for 31 yds to the Troy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:47
Kevin Ellison run for 2 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)
+14
TD · Q2 7:16
Alfred Ramsby run for 4 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)
+10.5
TD · Q1 3:51
Kevin Ellison run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)
+3.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com