Try the model
APP

App State 14 at Georgia Southern 34

GASO
2014 · Week 5 · Sep 25, 2014 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · GASO
modelGASO aheadAPP aheadconfidence bandkey playGASO scoreAPP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of GameFG-0.2GASO 85.2%Alex Hanks 19 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 10 · Q1 6:41
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:41 · Alex Hanks 19 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 21Pregame prior+31.8Home team on offense+2.1Score differential+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4Time remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:28: Alfred Ramsby run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK) — GASO win probability +5.2 pts (now 91%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:42: Taylor Lamb run for 19 yds for a TD, (Zach Matics KICK) — APP win probability +5.2 pts (now 17%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:17: Kevin Ellison pass complete to BJ Johnson for 17 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK) — GASO win probability +5.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:16: Marcus Cox run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zach Matics KICK) — APP win probability +6.0 pts (now 18%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 14:56: Alex Hanks 35 yd FG GOOD — GASO win probability +4.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GASO made the numbers' call on 3 of 7APP made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 11:07APP 4th & 11 at APP 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:30GASO 4th & 1 at APP 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    86.0%−0.2
    81% to make
    Punt
    85.3%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:41GASO 4th & 2 at APP 2, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.9%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    85.1%−1.0
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:56APP 4th & 1 at APP 34, down 10
    Close callPunted · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.3%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:14GASO 4th & 2 at GASO 48, up 10
    Close callPunted · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.3%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:19APP 4th & 6 at APP 23, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:30APP 4th & 1 at APP 49, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.5%−1.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:30GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 47, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.3%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:02APP 4th & 4 at APP 12, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%−0.3
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:23APP 4th & 4 at GASO 9, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.3%
    43% to convert
    Field goal
    14.1%−0.2
    89% to make
    Punt
    8.9%−5.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:56GASO 4th & 3 at GASO 30, up 10
    Close callPunted · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.0%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:00GASO 4th & 6 at APP 31, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    87.3%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    86.3%−1.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:56GASO 4th & 5 at APP 17, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.3%
    80% to make
    Punt
    84.0%−4.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:14APP 4th & 18 at APP 35, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−1.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:05APP 4th & 10 at GASO 12, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    1.5%
    86% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−1.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GASO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4APP made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:46GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:28GASO Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:42APP Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:17GASO Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:16APP Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:26GASO Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASODrive 1TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 1:5486% → 86%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
85.7%
Matt Breida run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+9
85.6%
Kevin Ellison run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
85.5%
Matt Breida run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+4
85.4%
Kevin Ellison run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q1 12:46
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+56
85.7%
Matt Breida run for 56 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:3114% → 14%
Q1 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
85.6%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 10
OWN 11
-2
85.6%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Simms McElfresh for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 9Similar
Q1 11:50
3RD & 12
OWN 9
+1
85.6%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Marcus Cox for 1 yd to the AppSt 10Similar
Q1 11:07
4TH & 11
OWN 10
+16
85.6%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 45 yds , Tray Butler returns for 16 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 3FG
10 plays · 37 yds · 4:1886% → 85%
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+14
85.7%
Kevin Ellison run for 14 yds to the AppSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
85.7%
Zach Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 26Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 11
OPP 26
-5
85.7%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, False Start (Raymond Klugey) to the AppSt 31Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 16
OPP 31
+9
85.5%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Derek Keaton for 9 yds to the AppSt 22Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+6
85.5%
Matt Breida run for 6 yds to the AppSt 16Similar
Q1 8:30
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+9
85.3%
Alfred Ramsby run for 9 yds to the AppSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
85.6%
Alfred Ramsby run for 3 yds to the AppSt 4Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
85.5%
Kevin Ellison run for 2 yds to the AppSt 2Similar
Q1 6:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
85.3%
Kevin Ellison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
85.2%
Alex Hanks 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3415% → 15%
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
85.0%
Marcus Cox run for 3 yds to the AppSt 28Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
84.9%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Montez McGuire for 6 yds to the AppSt 34Similar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
84.7%
Marcus Cox run for no gain to the AppSt 34Similar
Q1 4:56
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
84.9%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Tray Butler at the GeoSo 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 3:1685% → 85%
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
85.2%
Favian Upshaw run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 18Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+6
85.2%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to BJ Johnson for 6 yds to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q1 3:34
3RD & 3
OWN 24
+16
85.0%
Favian Upshaw run for 16 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
85.5%
Favian Upshaw run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+4
85.5%
Matt Breida run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 2
OWN 48
0
85.0%
Alfred Ramsby run for no gain to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q1 1:14
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
84.7%
Ryan Nowicki punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Bobo Beathard at the AppSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:3615% → 15%
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
84.8%
Terrence Upshaw run for 3 yds to the AppSt 22Similar
Q1 0:25
2ND & 7
OWN 22
-5
84.8%
Taylor Lamb sacked by Jay Ellison for a loss of 5 yards to the AppSt 17Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 12
OWN 17
-5
85.1%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (Parker Collins) to the AppSt 12Similar
Q2 14:40
3RD & 17
OWN 12
+11
85.1%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Simms McElfresh for 11 yds to the AppSt 23Similar
Q2 14:19
4TH & 6
OWN 23
0
85.2%
TEAM punt blocked by Deshawntee GallonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 7TD
5 plays · 28 yds · 1:4485% → 91%
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+12
85.3%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to BJ Johnson for 12 yds to the AppSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+12
85.3%
Kevin Ellison run for 12 yds to the AppSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
85.3%
Alfred Ramsby run for 3 yds to the AppSt 1Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
85.3%
Alfred Ramsby run for no gain to the AppSt 1Similar
Q2 12:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.5%
Alfred Ramsby run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 8TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 4:2311% → 17%
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.5%
Terrence Upshaw run for no gain to the AppSt 25Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
89.6%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Malachi JonesSimilar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+15
89.7%
Lamb, Taylor pass complete to Upshaw, Terrence for no gain to the APPALCHAN25, PENALTY GASOUTHERN roughing passer 15 yards to the APPALCHAN40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN APPALCHAN. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
89.3%
Marcus Cox run for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 37Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 13
OWN 37
0
89.7%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Bobo BeathardSimilar
Q2 10:57
3RD & 13
OWN 37
+12
89.5%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Malachi Jones for 12 yds to the AppSt 49Similar
Q2 10:30
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+5
88.7%
Taylor Lamb run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-15
88.5%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Bobo Beathard) to the AppSt 39Similar
Q2 9:42
1ST & 25
OWN 39
+11
89.5%
Marcus Cox run for 11 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 14
50
+5
89.6%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Tacoi Sumler for 5 yds to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q2 8:39
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+11
89.2%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Montez McGuire for 11 yds to the GeoSo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+16
88.4%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Bobo Beathard for 16 yds to the GeoSo 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
87.9%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Simms McElfresh for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 19Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 11
OPP 19
+19
82.6%
Taylor Lamb run for 19 yds for a TD, (Zach Matics KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:4085% → 84%
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
84.7%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to BJ Johnson for 7 yds to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 3
OWN 45
-1
84.9%
Matt Breida run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+3
84.5%
Matt Breida run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q2 5:30
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
84.0%
Ryan Nowicki punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Bobo Beathard at the AppSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1316% → 15%
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
84.5%
Taylor Lamb run for no gain to the AppSt 6Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+6
84.6%
Terrence Upshaw run for 6 yds to the AppSt 12Similar
Q2 4:08
3RD & 4
OWN 12
0
85.2%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Malachi JonesSimilar
Q2 4:02
4TH & 4
OWN 12
0
85.5%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tray Butler at the AppSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 11TD
5 plays · 49 yds · 1:3685% → 91%
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+25
85.2%
Kevin Ellison run for 25 yds to the AppSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
85.7%
Kevin Ellison run for 5 yds to the AppSt 19Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+2
85.7%
Devin Scott run for 2 yds to the AppSt 17Similar
Q2 2:17
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+17
91.4%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to BJ Johnson for 17 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)Similar
Q2 2:17
3RD & 3
OWN 35
-15
90.9%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the GeoSo 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 12TD
12 plays · 74 yds · 1:4810% → 18%
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
90.3%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Malachi Jones for 11 yds to the AppSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
89.7%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Malachi Jones for 9 yds to the AppSt 46Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 1
OWN 46
-5
88.7%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (Shaq Counts) to the AppSt 41Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 6
OWN 41
-5
89.6%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (Davante Harris) to the AppSt 36Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 11
OWN 36
0
90.4%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Isaiah LewisSimilar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+11
90.7%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Simms McElfresh for 11 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
89.4%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Malachi JonesSimilar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+27
89.6%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Malachi Jones for 27 yds to the GeoSo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+25
88.3%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Simms McElfresh for 25 yds to the GeoSo 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
82.3%
Marcus Cox run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zach Matics KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
85.8%
Matt Breida run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 14DOWNS
10 plays · 67 yds · 2:2515% → 15%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
84.7%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Barrett Burns for 19 yds to the AppSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+25
83.1%
Taylor Lamb run for 10 yds to the GASOUTHERN 46 for a 1ST down GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Personal Foul (Jay Ellison) to the GeoSo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
82.4%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:13
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+9
82.4%
Marcus Cox run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 22Similar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+7
82.9%
Marcus Cox run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
83.2%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Simms McElfreshSimilar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+4
83.2%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Tacoi Sumler for 4 yds to the GeoSo 11Similar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+2
84.0%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Simms McElfresh for 2 yds to the GeoSo 9Similar
Q3 12:23
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+1
84.9%
Taylor Lamb run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:0986% → 85%
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
85.6%
Matt Breida run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 15Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 3
OWN 15
+8
85.7%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Zach Walker for 8 yds to the GeoSo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
86.1%
Kevin Ellison run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q3 10:52
2ND & 7
OWN 26
0
86.1%
Kevin Ellison pass incomplete to Zach WalkerSimilar
Q3 10:52
3RD & 7
OWN 26
-5
85.4%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the GeoSo 21Similar
Q3 10:28
3RD & 12
OWN 21
+9
85.2%
Kevin Ellison run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q3 9:56
4TH & 3
OWN 30
0
85.1%
TEAM punt blocked by Tucker Bell blocked by Tucker BellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 16INT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:5217% → 17%
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
83.5%
Taylor Lamb run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q3 9:31
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+18
83.1%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Marcus Cox for 18 yds to the GeoSo 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
83.1%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
83.1%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (Will Corbin) to the GeoSo 13Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
0
83.5%
Taylor Lamb pass intercepted Nick Wright return for no gain to the GeoSo 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17FG
17 plays · 82 yds · 8:3486% → 94%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
85.8%
Alfred Ramsby run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 3Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+3
85.7%
Kevin Ellison run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 6Similar
Q3 7:33
3RD & 5
OWN 6
+13
85.1%
Kevin Ellison run for 13 yds to the GeoSo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
86.7%
Kevin Ellison run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+3
87.2%
Kevin Ellison run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
86.9%
Matt Breida run for 12 yds to the GeoSo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
87.8%
Devin Scott run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+20
88.1%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Zach Walker for 20 yds to the AppSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
88.4%
Ean Days run for 7 yds to the AppSt 28Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 3
OPP 28
-5
88.4%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, False Start (Raymond Klugey) to the AppSt 33Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+5
88.5%
Kevin Ellison run for 5 yds to the AppSt 28Similar
Q3 2:34
3RD & 3
OPP 28
-3
87.9%
Kevin Ellison run for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 31Similar
Q3 2:00
4TH & 6
OPP 31
+9
87.1%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to Zach Walker for 9 yds to the AppSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
88.8%
Alfred Ramsby run for no gain to the AppSt 22Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+2
89.2%
Alfred Ramsby run for 2 yds to the AppSt 20Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+3
89.0%
Favian Upshaw run for 3 yds to the AppSt 17Similar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 5
OPP 17
+35
93.8%
Alex Hanks 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 1:378% → 8%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.6%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Bobo BeathardSimilar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+18
91.8%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Montez McGuire for 18 yds to the AppSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-3
90.7%
Terrence Upshaw run for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 40Similar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 13
OWN 40
0
91.9%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Montez McGuireSimilar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 13
OWN 40
-5
92.0%
Taylor Lamb sacked by Ryan George for a loss of 5 yards to the AppSt 35Similar
Q4 13:14
4TH & 18
OWN 35
0
92.3%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Nick Wright at the GeoSo 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19TD
7 plays · 79 yds · 2:4295% → 99%
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
94.6%
Kevin Ellison pass incomplete to Zach WalkerSimilar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+19
94.5%
Kevin Ellison run for 19 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
95.0%
Alfred Ramsby run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+6
95.1%
Kevin Ellison run for 6 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+41
95.1%
Matt Breida run for 41 yds to the AppSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
95.3%
Alfred Ramsby run for 2 yds to the AppSt 6Similar
Q4 10:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.0%
Kevin Ellison run for 6 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 20INT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:281% → 1%
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Marcus CoxSimilar
Q4 10:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.0%
Marcus Cox run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 24Similar
Q4 9:53
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+1
99.0%
Taylor Lamb pass intercepted Deion Stanley return for 1 yd to the AppSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 21INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:5199% → 99%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
99.0%
Kevin Ellison run for 9 yds to the AppSt 25Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 1
OPP 25
-5
99.0%
Matt Breida run for a loss of 5 yards to the AppSt 30Similar
Q4 8:39
3RD & 6
OPP 30
0
99.0%
Kevin Ellison pass intercepted Doug Middleton return for no gain to the AppSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 22DOWNS
13 plays · 75 yds · 2:281% → 1%
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+12
99.0%
Marcus Cox run for 12 yds to the AppSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Marcus Cox run for no gain to the AppSt 25Similar
Q4 7:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Bobo Beathard, broken up by Darius JonesSimilar
Q4 7:39
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+18
99.1%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Simms McElfresh for 18 yds to the AppSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+16
99.0%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Tacoi Sumler for 16 yds to the GeoSo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.0%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Tacoi SumlerSimilar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+14
99.1%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Montez McGuire for 14 yds to the GeoSo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
98.9%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Darius Jones) to the GeoSo 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
98.9%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (Simms McElfresh) to the GeoSo 17Similar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 15
OPP 17
0
99.0%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Montez McGuireSimilar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 15
OPP 17
+5
99.0%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Marcus Cox for 5 yds to the GeoSo 12Similar
Q4 6:12
3RD & 10
OPP 12
0
99.3%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Montez McGuireSimilar
Q4 6:05
4TH & 10
OPP 12
0
99.3%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Montez McGuireSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 23END OF GAME
11 plays · 74 yds · 5:5899% → 100%
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+17
99.2%
Alfred Ramsby run for 17 yds to the GeoSo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
99.3%
Kevin Ellison run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 7
OWN 32
-2
99.3%
Alfred Ramsby run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q4 4:40
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+15
99.3%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the GeoSo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
99.4%
Ean Days run for 6 yds to the AppSt 49Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+29
99.4%
Ean Days run for 29 yds to the AppSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
99.4%
Devin Scott run for 2 yds to the AppSt 18Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+3
99.5%
Alfred Ramsby run for 3 yds to the AppSt 15Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+5
99.5%
Alfred Ramsby run for 5 yds to the AppSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
99.6%
Alfred Ramsby run for 1 yd to the AppSt 9Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
99.6%
Kevin Ellison run for a loss of 5 yards to the AppSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:16
Marcus Cox run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zach Matics KICK)
-6
TD · Q2 2:17
Kevin Ellison pass complete to BJ Johnson for 17 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)
+5.7
TD · Q2 12:28
Alfred Ramsby run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)
+5.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com