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VMI

VMI 14 at Navy 51

NAVY
2014 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2014 · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · NAVY
modelNAVY aheadVMI aheadconfidence bandkey playNAVY scoreVMI score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFUMBLESAFETYTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 15:00 · Pablo Beltran punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Dane Forlines at the VMI 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 91Pregame prior+35.8Home team on offense+26.6Score differential+21.3Blowout margin+8.2Garbage-time factor+7.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.7
This game in five plays
  1. FUMBLE · Q2 10:03: Tago Smith run for a loss of 2 yards Tago Smith fumbled, forced by Joe Nelson, recovered by VMI Damian Jones for a TD, (Dillon Christopher KICK) — VMI win probability +1.2 pts (now 4%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  2. SAFETY · Q2 5:19: TEAM run for a loss of 31 yards for a SAFETY VMI Penalty, illegal kicking (Hayden Alford) to the VMI 0 — NAVY win probability +0.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: VMI has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:01: Quinton Singleton run for 14 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK) — NAVY win probability +1.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 2:05: Al Cobb pass intercepted for a TD Parrish Gaines return for 39 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK) — NAVY win probability +1.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: VMI has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:05: Tago Smith pass complete to Noah Copeland for 16 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK) — NAVY win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NAVY made the numbers' call on 3 of 3VMI made the numbers' call on 2 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00VMI 4th & 1 at VMI 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:44VMI 4th & 3 at NAVY 46, down 7
    Close callPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:26NAVY 4th & 9 at NAVY 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:57VMI 4th & 2 at VMI 44, down 7
    Close callPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:32VMI 4th & 8 at NAVY 40, down 14
    Close callPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    2.7%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:15NAVY 4th & 5 at NAVY 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:38VMI 4th & 1 at VMI 28, down 23
    Close callPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00NAVY 4th & 4 at NAVY 31, up 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:17VMI 4th & 5 at NAVY 19, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.3%
    77% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00VMI 4th & 10 at NAVY 34, down 37
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:02VMI 4th & 3 at NAVY 32, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:14VMI 4th & 1 at NAVY 1, down 44
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    94% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NAVY made the numbers' call on 7 of 7VMI made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 11:44NAVY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:08NAVY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:01NAVY Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:05NAVY Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:05NAVY Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:48NAVY Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:52NAVY Touchdown, up 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:14VMI Touchdown, down 38 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VMIDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.7%
Derrick Ziglar run for 4 yds to the VMI 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
98.7%
Derrick Ziglar run for 5 yds to the VMI 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
98.7%
Derrick Ziglar run for no gain to the VMI 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
98.7%
Hayden Alford punt for 38 yds, fair catch by DeBrandon Sanders at the Navy 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 2TD
3 plays · 72 yds · 1:0399% → 99%
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
98.5%
Noah Copeland run for 7 yds to the Navy 35Similar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+1
98.5%
Noah Copeland run for 1 yd to the Navy 36Similar
Q1 11:44
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+64
98.5%
Noah Copeland run for 64 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.5%
Al Cobb pass complete to Doug Burton for 3 yds to the VMI 28Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+19
98.5%
Al Cobb pass complete to Taylor Stout for 19 yds to the VMI 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
98.5%
Al Cobb pass incomplete to Doug BurtonSimilar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+7
98.5%
Jabari Turner run for 7 yds to the Navy 46Similar
Q1 11:44
3RD & 3
OPP 46
0
98.5%
Al Cobb pass incomplete to Jabari TurnerSimilar
Q1 11:44
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
98.5%
Hayden Alford punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Navy 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
98.3%
Chris Swain run for 2 yds to the Navy 19Similar
Q1 9:26
2ND & 8
OWN 19
-6
98.3%
Tago Smith run for a loss of 6 yards to the Navy 13Similar
Q1 9:26
3RD & 14
OWN 13
+5
98.3%
Tago Smith run for 5 yds to the Navy 18Similar
Q1 9:26
4TH & 9
OWN 18
0
98.3%
Pablo Beltran punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:442% → 2%
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
98.1%
Deon Watts run for 3 yds to the VMI 39Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+4
98.1%
Deon Watts run for 4 yds to the VMI 43Similar
Q1 7:41
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+1
98.1%
Al Cobb pass complete to Dane Forlines for 1 yd to the VMI 44Similar
Q1 5:57
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
98.0%
Hayden Alford punt for 31 yds, fair catch by DeBrandon Sanders at the Navy 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 6TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:4198% → 98%
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.0%
Whiteside, G rush for 5 yards to the NAVY30 (Greg Sanders), PENALTY NAVY illegal motion (Colon, Brandon) 5 yards to the NAVY20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+1
98.0%
Noah Copeland run for 1 yd to the Navy 21Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+21
97.9%
Noah Copeland run for 21 yds to the Navy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
98.0%
Chris Swain run for 12 yds to the VMI 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
98.0%
DeBrandon Sanders run for 10 yds to the VMI 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
98.0%
Geoffrey Whiteside run for 5 yds to the VMI 31Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+2
98.0%
Quinton Singleton run for 2 yds to the VMI 29Similar
Q1 5:49
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+6
98.0%
DeBrandon Sanders run for 6 yds to the VMI 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
98.0%
Noah Copeland run for 4 yds to the VMI 19Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+8
98.0%
Tago Smith run for 8 yds to the VMI 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
98.0%
Chris Swain run for 6 yds to the VMI 5Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+1
98.0%
Chris Swain run for 1 yd to the VMI 4Similar
Q1 0:08
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+4
97.9%
Geoffrey Whiteside run for 4 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 3:282% → 2%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
97.7%
Al Cobb run for 1 yd to the VMI 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+14
97.7%
Al Cobb pass complete to Chad Jacob for 14 yds to the VMI 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
97.7%
Derrick Ziglar run for no gain to the VMI 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+13
97.7%
Derrick Ziglar run for 13 yds to the Navy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
97.6%
Derrick Ziglar run for 2 yds to the Navy 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
97.6%
Al Cobb pass incomplete to Samuel Patterson, broken up by Quincy AdamsSimilar
Q2 11:32
3RD & 8
OPP 40
0
97.5%
Al Cobb pass incomplete to Derrick ZiglarSimilar
Q2 11:32
4TH & 8
OPP 40
0
97.6%
Hayden Alford punt for 32 yds, downed at the Navy 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 8FUMBLE TD
3 plays · -8 yds · 1:1598% → 97%
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
97.7%
Chris Swain run for 8 yds to the Navy 16Similar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 2
OWN 16
+5
97.7%
Tago Smith run for 5 yds to the Navy 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
96.5%
Tago Smith run for a loss of 2 yards Tago Smith fumbled, forced by Joe Nelson, recovered by VMI Damian Jones for a TD, (Dillon Christopher KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:4897% → 96%
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.5%
DeBrandon Sanders run for 5 yds to the Navy 30Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
96.5%
Tago Smith run for 16 yds to the Navy 46 for a 1ST down NAVY Penalty, Offensive holding (Jamir Tillman) to the Navy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
96.5%
Geoffrey Whiteside run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 35Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
96.4%
Tago Smith pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+6
96.3%
Chris Swain run for 6 yds to the Navy 41Similar
Q2 9:15
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
96.3%
Pablo Beltran punt for 48 yds , Dane Forlines returns for no gain to the VMI 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 10SF
6 plays · -11 yds · 2:494% → 4%
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+11
96.3%
Jabari Turner run for 11 yds to the VMI 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
96.3%
Jabari Turner run for 2 yds to the VMI 24Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+3
96.3%
Al Cobb pass complete to Taylor Stout for 3 yds to the VMI 27Similar
Q2 8:08
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+4
96.4%
Al Cobb pass complete to Dane Forlines for 4 yds to the VMI 31Similar
Q2 5:19
4TH & 1
OWN 31
-31
96.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 31 yards for a SAFETY VMI Penalty, illegal kicking (Hayden Alford) to the VMI 0Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 11TD
7 plays · 58 yds · 2:1897% → 98%
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
96.5%
Tago Smith pass incomplete to Jamir TillmanSimilar
Q2 5:19
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+25
96.4%
DeBrandon Sanders run for 25 yds to the VMI 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
96.7%
Noah Copeland run for 5 yds to the VMI 28Similar
Q2 5:19
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+9
96.7%
Chris Swain run for 9 yds to the VMI 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
96.7%
Chris Swain run for 5 yds to the VMI 14Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+14
98.0%
Quinton Singleton run for 14 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 12INT TD
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:563% → 1%
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
97.3%
Al Cobb pass incomplete to Samuel Patterson, broken up by Parrish GainesSimilar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+8
97.3%
Al Cobb pass complete to Derrick Ziglar for 8 yds to the VMI 35Similar
Q2 2:05
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+39
98.6%
Al Cobb pass intercepted for a TD Parrish Gaines return for 39 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:271% → 1%
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
98.7%
Al Cobb pass incomplete to Dane ForlinesSimilar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+4
98.7%
Deon Watts run for 4 yds to the VMI 23Similar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 6
OWN 23
+5
98.7%
Al Cobb pass complete to Deon Watts for 5 yds to the VMI 28Similar
Q2 1:38
4TH & 1
OWN 28
0
98.6%
Hayden Alford punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 14TD
2 plays · 50 yds · 0:2699% → 100%
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
50
+34
99.0%
Tago Smith pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 34 yds to the VMI 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
99.7%
Tago Smith pass complete to Noah Copeland for 16 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 15END OF HALF
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
99.7%
Jabari Turner run for 2 yds to the VMI 26Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+2
99.7%
Jabari Turner run for 2 yds to the VMI 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.7%
Chris Swain run for 3 yds to the Navy 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
99.7%
Tago Smith run for 1 yd to the Navy 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+2
99.7%
Chris Swain run for 2 yds to the Navy 31Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.7%
Pablo Beltran punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Dane Forlines at the VMI 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 17MISSED FG
12 plays · 48 yds · 6:030% → 0%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
99.7%
Jabari Turner run for 3 yds to the VMI 36Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+2
99.7%
Al Cobb pass complete to Andrew Lewis for 2 yds to the VMI 38Similar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+8
99.7%
Al Cobb pass complete to Aaron Sanders for 8 yds to the VMI 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
99.7%
Al Cobb pass complete to Matthew Nicholson for 8 yds to the Navy 46Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+3
99.7%
Jabari Turner run for 3 yds to the Navy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.7%
Al Cobb pass incomplete to Jabari TurnerSimilar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
99.7%
Al Cobb pass incomplete to Aaron SandersSimilar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+19
99.7%
Al Cobb pass complete to Dane Forlines for 19 yds to the Navy 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-6
99.7%
Al Cobb sacked by Will Anthony and Paul Quessenberry for a loss of 6 yards to the Navy 30Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 16
OPP 30
+2
99.7%
Al Cobb pass complete to Jabari Turner for 2 yds to the Navy 28Similar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 14
OPP 28
+9
99.7%
Al Cobb run for 9 yds to the Navy 19Similar
Q3 7:17
4TH & 5
OPP 19
+9
99.7%
Dillon Christopher 36 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Chris Johnson return for 9 yds to the Navy 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 18TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 2:29100% → 100%
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
99.9%
Tago Smith run for 14 yds to the VMI 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
99.9%
Noah Copeland run for 4 yds to the VMI 38Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+4
99.9%
Chris Swain run for 4 yds to the VMI 34Similar
Q3 7:17
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+32
99.8%
Tago Smith pass complete to Geoffrey Whiteside for 32 yds to the VMI 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Tago Smith run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 19DOWNS
15 plays · 39 yds · 4:480% → 0%
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
99.9%
Derrick Ziglar run for 5 yds to the VMI 28Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 5
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Al Cobb pass incomplete to Aaron SandersSimilar
Q3 4:48
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+8
99.9%
Al Cobb pass complete to Dane Forlines for 8 yds to the VMI 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
99.9%
Al Cobb pass complete to Aaron Sanders for 10 yds to the VMI 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
99.9%
Al Cobb pass complete to Andrew Lewis for 7 yds to the Navy 47Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+3
99.9%
Derrick Ziglar run for 3 yds to the Navy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
99.9%
Al Cobb pass complete to Andrew Lewis for 7 yds to the Navy 37Similar
Q3 1:32
2ND & 3
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Derrick Ziglar run for no gain to the Navy 37Similar
Q3 1:32
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+3
99.9%
Al Cobb pass complete to Aaron Sanders for 3 yds to the Navy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Al Cobb pass incomplete to Chad JacobSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Al Cobb pass incomplete to Aaron SandersSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Al Cobb pass incomplete to Samuel PattersonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 34
-5
99.9%
Al Cobb sacked by Ted Colburn for a loss of 5 yards to the Navy 38 Al Cobb fumbled, recovered by VMI Deon Watts , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 20INT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
99.9%
Will Worth run for 7 yds to the Navy 45Similar
Q4 14:38
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+2
99.9%
Will Worth run for 2 yds to the Navy 47Similar
Q4 14:38
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+3
99.9%
Quinton Singleton run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:38
1ST & 10
50
+8
99.9%
Jahmaal Daniel run for 8 yds to the VMI 42Similar
Q4 14:38
2ND & 13
OPP 43
+9
99.9%
Will Worth pass intercepted Chris Copeland return for 9 yds to the VMI 46Similar
Q4 14:38
2ND & 2
OPP 42
-3
99.9%
Worth, Will rush for 4 yards to the VMI38, fumble forced by Chris Copeland, fumble by Worth, Will recovered by NAVY Daniel, Jahmaal at VMI38, PENALTY NAVY illegal motion 3 yards to the VMI45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:38
1ST & 15
OPP 45
+2
99.9%
Quinton Singleton run for 2 yds to the VMI 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 21DOWNS
5 plays · 24 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
100.0%
Al Cobb pass complete to Samuel Patterson for 15 yds to the Navy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
100.0%
Al Cobb pass complete to Jabari Turner for 4 yds to the Navy 35Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+3
99.9%
Jabari Turner run for 3 yds to the Navy 32Similar
Q4 11:02
3RD & 3
OPP 32
0
99.9%
Al Cobb pass incomplete to Jabari TurnerSimilar
Q4 11:02
4TH & 3
OPP 32
+2
99.9%
Al Cobb pass complete to Jabari Turner for 2 yds to the Navy 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 22TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 3:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
99.9%
Colin Osborne run for 10 yds to the Navy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
100.0%
Quentin Ezell run for 6 yds to the Navy 46Similar
Q4 8:52
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+47
100.0%
Dishan Romine run for 47 yds to the VMI 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
100.0%
Quentin Ezell run for 2 yds to the VMI 5Similar
Q4 8:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
100.0%
Dishan Romine run for 4 yds to the VMI 1Similar
Q4 5:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
100.0%
Will Worth run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 23TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 5:380% → 0%
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
100.0%
Taylor Stout run for 5 yds to the VMI 40Similar
Q4 5:52
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+10
100.0%
Al Cobb pass complete to Taylor Stout for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
50
+8
100.0%
Taylor Stout run for 8 yds to the Navy 42Similar
Q4 5:52
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+17
100.0%
Al Cobb pass complete to Aaron Sanders for 17 yds to the Navy 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
100.0%
Taylor Stout run for 3 yds to the Navy 22Similar
Q4 5:52
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+19
100.0%
Al Cobb pass complete to Dane Forlines for 19 yds to the Navy 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
100.0%
Al Cobb run for 2 yds to the Navy 1Similar
Q4 5:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
99.9%
Jabari Turner run for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 4Similar
Q4 0:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
100.0%
Al Cobb pass complete to Deon Watts for 3 yds to the Navy 1Similar
Q4 0:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Al Cobb pass complete to Chad Jacob for 1 yd for a TD, (Dillon Christopher KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:01
Quinton Singleton run for 14 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)
+1.4
TD · Q2 2:05
Al Cobb pass intercepted for a TD Parrish Gaines return for 39 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)
+1.3
FUMBLE · Q2 10:03
Tago Smith run for a loss of 2 yards Tago Smith fumbled, forced by Joe Nelson, recovered by VMI Damian Jones for a TD, (Dillon Christopher KICK)
-1.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com