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IDHO

Idaho 28 at App State 45

APP
2014 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2014 · Kidd Brewer Stadium
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Win probability · APP
modelAPP aheadIDHO aheadconfidence bandkey playAPP scoreIDHO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-0.7APP 79.6%Austin Rehkow 43 yd FG GOODAWAY 9 - HOME 7 · Q1 3:20
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:20 · Austin Rehkow 43 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 34Pregame prior+28.1Home team on offense−1.2Score differential−0.8Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:00: Elijhaa Penny 2 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — IDHO win probability +5.2 pts (now 23%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q2 1:37: Marcus Cox run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bentlee Critcher KICK) — APP win probability +5.3 pts (now 86%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:18: Taylor Lamb pass complete to Bobo Beathard for 8 yds for a TD, (Bentlee Critcher KICK) — APP win probability +8.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:51: Marcus Cox run for 10 yds for a TD, (Bentlee Critcher KICK) — APP win probability +3.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:32: Elijhaa Penny run for 7 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — IDHO win probability +3.1 pts (now 4%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
APP made the numbers' call on 3 of 3IDHO made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 11:04IDHO 4th & 1 at APP 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    18.4%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    18.4%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:20IDHO 4th & 6 at APP 26, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.5%
    64% to make
    Punt
    19.4%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:00APP 4th & 8 at IDHO 32, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.4%
    51% to make
    Punt
    77.0%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:54IDHO 4th & 3 at APP 37, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.9%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    21.4%−0.5
    40% to make
    Punt
    21.4%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:51IDHO 4th & 8 at IDHO 37, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:37APP 4th & 5 at APP 25, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.8%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:12IDHO 4th & 20 at APP 45, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%−1.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    22.4%−0.8
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    23.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:55APP 4th & 1 at IDHO 6, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.5%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    80.7%−1.9
    91% to make
    Punt
    75.7%−6.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:32IDHO 4th & 21 at APP 37, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−0.9
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.8%
    40% to make
    Punt
    7.7%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00IDHO 4th & 2 at IDHO 46, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.7%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:08IDHO 4th & 17 at APP 22, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−1.0
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    3.6%−2.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:05IDHO 4th & 10 at IDHO 49, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
APP made the numbers' call on 5 of 6IDHO made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 7:35IDHO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    20.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:18APP Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:00APP Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:00IDHO Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    23.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    23.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:37APP Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:18APP Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:51APP Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:32IDHO Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    3.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:12APP Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:51IDHO Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IDHODrive 1TD
19 plays · 75 yds · 7:2516% → 20%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
83.7%
Elijhaa Penny run for 3 yds to the Idaho 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-1
83.7%
Jerrel Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+14
83.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 14 yds to the Idaho 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
83.7%
Kristoffer Olugbode run for 1 yd to the Idaho 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
83.7%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+13
83.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 13 yds to the AppSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
83.7%
Kristoffer Olugbode run for 8 yds to the AppSt 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+1
83.7%
Elijhaa Penny run for 1 yd to the AppSt 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 36
0
83.7%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:04
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+6
82.5%
Elijhaa Penny run for 6 yds to the AppSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
82.3%
Elijhaa Penny run for 4 yds to the AppSt 26Similar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+11
82.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 11 yds to the AppSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
82.3%
Elijhaa Penny run for 5 yds to the AppSt 10Similar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+1
82.3%
Elijhaa Penny run for 1 yd to the AppSt 9Similar
Q1 11:04
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+6
82.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 6 yds to the AppSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
82.3%
Kristoffer Olugbode run for no gain to the AppSt 3Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
80.0%
Kristoffer Olugbode run for 3 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 2TD
2 plays · 59 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
82.3%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 59 yds for a TD, (Bentlee Critcher KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 3FG
14 plays · 40 yds · 3:5018% → 20%
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
81.7%
Elijhaa Penny run for 1 yd to the Idaho 35Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+10
81.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 10 yds to the Idaho 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
81.4%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Deon WatsonSimilar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-10
81.6%
Matt Linehan rush for 7 yards to the APP48, out-of-bounds, PENALTY IDAHO holding (J Podrabsky) 10 yards to the IDAHO35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 20
OWN 35
+23
81.9%
Elijhaa Penny run for 23 yds to the AppSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
81.3%
Elijhaa Penny run for 8 yds to the AppSt 34Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+4
81.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 4 yds to the AppSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
81.2%
Elijhaa Penny run for 4 yds to the AppSt 26Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 6
OPP 26
0
81.1%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to David UngererSimilar
Q1 3:30
3RD & 6
OPP 26
0
80.3%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Deon WatsonSimilar
Q1 3:20
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+43
79.6%
Austin Rehkow 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q1 3:20
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
-15
79.8%
IDAHO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the Idaho 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 4FG
9 plays · 36 yds · 3:1380% → 81%
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
80.2%
Marcus Cox run for 3 yds to the AppSt 35Similar
Q1 3:13
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+5
80.2%
Marcus Cox run for 5 yds to the AppSt 40Similar
Q1 3:13
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+4
80.6%
Taylor Lamb run for 4 yds to the AppSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+22
80.8%
Marcus Cox run for 7 yds to the APPALCHAN 49 for a 1ST down IDAHO Penalty, personal foul (Marc Millan) to the Idaho 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
81.4%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for no gain to the Idaho 34Similar
Q1 3:13
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+2
81.4%
Marcus Cox run for 2 yds to the Idaho 32Similar
Q1 3:13
3RD & 8
OPP 32
0
80.9%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 8
OPP 32
+49
80.6%
Bentlee Critcher 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 5DOWNS
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
79.2%
Jerrel Brown run for 9 yds to the AppSt 47Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+3
78.7%
Jerrel Brown run for 3 yds to the AppSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
78.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 6 yds to the AppSt 38Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+1
78.8%
Jerrel Brown run for 1 yd to the AppSt 37Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 3
OPP 37
0
78.9%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Deon WatsonSimilar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 3
OPP 37
0
79.4%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Deon Watson, broken up by Doug MiddletonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 6TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 2:1480% → 84%
Q2 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
80.4%
Marcus Cox run for 7 yds to the AppSt 44Similar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+10
80.9%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Isaiah Lewis for 10 yds to the Idaho 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+16
81.1%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Malachi Jones for 16 yds to the Idaho 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
81.5%
Marcus Cox run for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 32Similar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 12
OPP 32
0
81.4%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Shaedon Meadors, broken up by Jayshawn JordanSimilar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 12
OPP 32
+32
83.7%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Tacoi Sumler for 32 yds for a TD, (Bentlee Critcher KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
83.8%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jacob SannonSimilar
Q2 10:51
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
84.0%
Elijhaa Penny run for 2 yds to the Idaho 37Similar
Q2 10:51
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
84.0%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete, broken up by Devan StringerSimilar
Q2 10:51
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
84.5%
Austin Rehkow punt for 58 yds , Bobo Beathard returns for no gain to the AppSt 5 Bobo Beathard fumbled, recovered by Idaho Buck CowanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 8TD
3 plays · 5 yds · 1:0018% → 23%
Q2 10:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
82.1%
Elijhaa Penny run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 6Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
82.1%
Elijhaa Penny run for 4 yds to the AppSt 2Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
76.9%
Elijhaa Penny 2 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0079% → 78%
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
79.0%
Terrence Upshaw run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 18Similar
Q2 8:37
2ND & 12
OWN 18
0
78.8%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:37
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+7
78.4%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Simms McElfresh for 7 yds to the AppSt 25Similar
Q2 8:37
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
78.1%
Bentlee Critcher punt, downed at the AppSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:0024% → 21%
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-10
75.9%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to J Podrabsky (Law, John), PENALTY IDAHO holding (Niklaus VonRotz) 10 yards to the APP45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 20
OPP 45
+4
77.2%
Elijhaa Penny run for 4 yds to the AppSt 41Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 16
OPP 41
-4
77.4%
Matt Linehan sacked by Nathaniel Norwood for a loss of 4 yards to the AppSt 45Similar
Q2 7:12
3RD & 20
OPP 45
0
78.0%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:12
4TH & 20
OPP 45
0
78.8%
Austin Rehkow punt for 36 yds, downed at the AppSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 11TD
10 plays · 91 yds · 3:5579% → 86%
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+14
78.5%
Marcus Cox run for 14 yds to the AppSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
78.8%
Marcus Cox run for 3 yds to the AppSt 26Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 7
OWN 26
0
78.9%
Marcus Cox run for no gain to the AppSt 26Similar
Q2 5:32
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+12
78.2%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Simms McElfresh for 12 yds to the AppSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+37
79.4%
Marcus Cox run for 37 yds to the Idaho 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
80.7%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Isaiah Lewis for 11 yds to the Idaho 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+13
80.7%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Isaiah Lewis for 13 yds to the Idaho 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
80.9%
Marcus Cox run for no gain to the Idaho 1Similar
Q2 1:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.1%
Marcus Cox run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bentlee Critcher KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 12INT
8 plays · 11 yds · 0:0016% → 17%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
83.8%
Kristoffer Olugbode run for 8 yds to the Idaho 47Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+1
82.7%
Kristoffer Olugbode run for 1 yd to the Idaho 48Similar
Q2 1:29
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+2
82.5%
Kristoffer Olugbode run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
50
-5
82.7%
IDAHO Penalty, false start (David Ungerer) to the Idaho 45Similar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+5
84.3%
Matt Linehan run for 15 yds to the APPALCHAN 40 IDAHO Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
50
0
82.7%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete, broken up by D.J. WardSimilar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 10
50
0
83.3%
Matt Linehan pass intercepted Doug Middleton return for no gain to the AppSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 7 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
84.5%
Marcus Cox run for 7 yds to the AppSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 14TD
18 plays · 68 yds · 7:3784% → 93%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+13
83.6%
Marcus Cox run for 13 yds to the AppSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
84.5%
Taylor Lamb run for 8 yds to the Idaho 47Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+2
84.6%
Marcus Cox run for 2 yds to the Idaho 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
84.6%
Marcus Cox run for 4 yds to the Idaho 41Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 6
OPP 41
-5
84.6%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, false start (Parker Collins) to the Idaho 46Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+3
84.5%
Marcus Cox run for 3 yds to the Idaho 43Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+15
83.9%
Lamb, Taylor pass incomplete to McElfresh, S., PENALTY IDAHO pass interference (Tony Lashley) 15 yards to the IDAHO28, 1ST DOWN APP, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
84.8%
Taylor Lamb run for 2 yds to the Idaho 26Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 8
OPP 26
0
84.8%
Marcus Cox run for no gain to the Idaho 26Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+11
84.1%
Taylor Lamb run for 11 yds to the Idaho 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
84.8%
Marcus Cox run for no gain to the Idaho 15Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+3
84.8%
Marcus Cox run for 3 yds to the Idaho 12Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 7
OPP 12
+6
84.1%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Bobo Beathard for 6 yds to the Idaho 6Similar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+2
83.4%
Marcus Cox run for 2 yds to the Idaho 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-4
84.8%
Marcus Cox run for a loss of 4 yards to the Idaho 8Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
84.8%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Drew BaileySimilar
Q3 7:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
93.4%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Bobo Beathard for 8 yds for a TD, (Bentlee Critcher KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 15MISSED FG
12 plays · 33 yds · 3:3910% → 8%
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
90.3%
Elijhaa Penny run for no gain to the Idaho 30Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+7
90.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 7 yds to the Idaho 37Similar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+13
90.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Elijhaa Penny for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
50
+9
89.5%
Elijhaa Penny run for 9 yds to the AppSt 41Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+15
89.2%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Joshua McCain, PENALTY APP pass interference (Ross, Joel) 15 yards to the APP26, 1ST DOWN IDAHO, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
88.6%
Elijhaa Penny run for 1 yd to the AppSt 25Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 9
OPP 25
-10
88.9%
Broc Westlake rush for 7 yards to the APP18 (Gibbs, Latrell), PENALTY IDAHO holding (Mike Marboe) 10 yards to the APP35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 19
OPP 35
-2
89.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 37Similar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 21
OPP 37
0
90.8%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to David UngererSimilar
Q3 3:32
4TH & 21
OPP 37
+54
92.0%
Austin Rehkow 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 16INT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
94.4%
Terrence Upshaw run for 8 yds to the AppSt 45Similar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+10
94.5%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 10 yds to the Idaho 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
94.6%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, false start (Jesse Chapman) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:32
1ST & 15
50
0
94.5%
Terrence Upshaw run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:32
3RD & 23
OWN 42
0
94.0%
Taylor Lamb pass intercepted Russell Siavii return for no gain to the Idaho 38Similar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 15
50
-8
94.3%
Terrence Upshaw run for 2 yds to the APPALCHAN 48 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Parker Collins) to the AppSt 42Similar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 23
OWN 42
0
94.3%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Malachi Jones, broken up by Jayshawn JordanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 17MISSED FG
9 plays · 40 yds · 3:038% → 7%
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
91.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Justin Podrabsky for 6 yds to the Idaho 44Similar
Q3 1:11
2ND & 4
OWN 44
0
91.8%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Deon WatsonSimilar
Q3 1:11
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+2
91.9%
Kristoffer Olugbode run for 2 yds to the Idaho 46Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 46
+39
92.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Joshua McCain for 39 yds to the AppSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
90.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Joshua McCain for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 16Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 11
OPP 16
-10
91.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to J Klingenberg for 16 yards to the APP0, clock 14:00, PENALTY IDAHO holding (Dallas Sandberg) 10 yards to the APP26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 21
OPP 26
+4
91.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Elijhaa Penny for 4 yds to the AppSt 22Similar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 17
OPP 22
0
91.8%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jacob SannonSimilar
Q4 13:08
4TH & 17
OPP 22
+39
93.2%
Austin Rehkow 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 18TD
6 plays · 78 yds · 2:1795% → 99%
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+39
95.4%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Malachi Jones for 39 yds to the Idaho 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
95.9%
Marcus Cox run for 6 yds to the Idaho 33Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+9
95.9%
Taylor Lamb run for 9 yds to the Idaho 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
95.9%
Lamb, Taylor pass incomplete to Meadors, S., PENALTY IDAHO pass interference (Tom Hennessey) 15 yards to the IDAHO9, 1ST DOWN APP, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
95.9%
Marcus Cox run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 10Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.3%
Marcus Cox run for 10 yds for a TD, (Bentlee Critcher KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 19TD
9 plays · 31 yds · 3:051% → 4%
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
98.6%
Elijhaa Penny run for 2 yds to the AppSt 29Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+3
98.6%
Elijhaa Penny run for 3 yds to the AppSt 26Similar
Q4 10:37
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+5
98.7%
Elijhaa Penny run for 5 yds to the AppSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
98.6%
Elijhaa Penny run for 1 yd to the AppSt 20Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 9
OPP 20
-15
98.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Joshua McCain for 12 yards to the APP8, out-of-bounds, PENALTY IDAHO pass interference (Joshua McCain) 15 yards to the APP35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 24
OPP 35
+20
98.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to David Ungerer for 20 yds to the AppSt 15Similar
Q4 10:37
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+8
98.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to David Ungerer for 8 yds to the AppSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
95.6%
Elijhaa Penny run for 7 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 20TD
11 plays · 52 yds · 4:1998% → 100%
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
97.5%
Terrence Upshaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 47Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+16
97.5%
Terrence Upshaw run for 16 yds to the Idaho 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
97.6%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Malachi JonesSimilar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-4
97.5%
Taylor Lamb sacked by Ryan Edwards for a loss of 4 yards to the Idaho 41Similar
Q4 7:31
3RD & 14
OPP 41
+15
97.3%
Lamb, Taylor pass incomplete to Sumler, Tacoi, PENALTY IDAHO pass interference (Joe Smith) 15 yards to the IDAHO26, 1ST DOWN APP, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
97.6%
Terrence Upshaw run for 6 yds to the Idaho 20Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 4
OPP 20
-10
97.6%
Upshaw, T. rush for 4 yards to the IDAHO16, out-of-bounds (Jayshawn Jordan), PENALTY APP holding (Bailey, Drew) 10 yards to the IDAHO30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 14
OPP 30
+9
97.5%
Terrence Upshaw run for 9 yds to the Idaho 21Similar
Q4 7:31
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+19
97.5%
Terrence Upshaw run for 19 yds to the Idaho 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.7%
Terrence Upshaw run for 2 yds for a TD, (Bentlee Critcher KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 21TD
14 plays · 64 yds · 2:141% → 2%
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
99.3%
Kristoffer Olugbode run for 6 yds to the Idaho 42Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+3
99.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Kristoffer Olugbode for 3 yds to the Idaho 45Similar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+4
99.3%
Kristoffer Olugbode run for 4 yds to the Idaho 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
99.3%
Matt Linehan sacked by Jamie Collmar for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 48Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 11
OWN 48
0
99.3%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Joshua McCainSimilar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 11
OWN 48
+1
99.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Joshua McCain for 1 yd to the Idaho 49Similar
Q4 3:05
4TH & 10
OWN 49
+11
99.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 11 yds to the AppSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
99.3%
Matt Linehan run for 5 yds to the AppSt 35Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+27
99.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to David Ungerer for 27 yds to the AppSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.4%
Matt Linehan run for no gain to the AppSt 8Similar
Q4 0:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
97.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Elijhaa Penny for 8 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 22END OF GAME
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
99.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 48Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 12
OPP 48
-2
99.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:18
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Bobo Beathard for 8 yds for a TD, (Bentlee Critcher KICK)
+8.7
TD · Q2 1:37
Marcus Cox run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bentlee Critcher KICK)
+5.3
TD · Q2 9:00
Elijhaa Penny 2 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
-5.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com