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UL

Louisiana 34 at UL Monroe 27

ULM
2014 · Week 12 · Nov 15, 2014 · Malone Stadium
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Win probability · ULM
modelULM aheadUL aheadconfidence bandkey playULM scoreUL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:54 · Justin Manton run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+42.0+21.00−21.0−42.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 121Home team on offense−8.0Pregame prior−6.9Garbage-time factor−4.1Score differential−3.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.9
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 0:00: Justin Manton 47 yd FG GOOD — ULM win probability +6.3 pts (now 32%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 11:00: Terrance Broadway run for 12 yds for a TD, (Hunter Stover KICK) — UL win probability +12.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 6:46: Pete Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD, (Justin Manton KICK) — ULM win probability +12.4 pts (now 27%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 2:53: Gabe Fuselier 36 Yd pass from Terrance Broadway (Hunter Stover Kick) — UL win probability +12.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:53: Pete Thomas pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 5 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST down — ULM win probability +20.7 pts (now 24%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ULM made the numbers' call on 8 of 8UL made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 10:59UL 4th & 5 at ULM 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.0%
    92% to make
    Punt
    64.5%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:59ULM 4th & 7 at UL 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    34.9%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    34.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:38ULM 4th & 10 at UL 17, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−0.5
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.0%
    80% to make
    Punt
    28.2%−2.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:51UL 4th & 16 at ULM 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.7%−1.8
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    62.5%−4.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:51ULM 4th & 5 at ULM 36, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:51UL 4th & 13 at ULM 29, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%−1.0
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.1%
    58% to make
    Punt
    69.2%−2.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00ULM 4th & 1 at UL 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    30.5%−2.7
    75% to make
    Punt
    22.5%−10.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:03UL 4th & 4 at ULM 49, up 7
    Close callPunted · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.7%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:59ULM 4th & 15 at ULM 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.3%−4.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:54ULM 4th & 8 at UL 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    29.5%−1.5
    28% to make
    Punt
    30.8%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00UL 4th & 1 at ULM 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    74.0%−2.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    67.7%−8.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:38ULM 4th & 1 at ULM 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    25.9%−2.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:00ULM 4th & 4 at UL 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    12.2%−0.8
    54% to make
    Punt
    10.4%−2.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:33UL 4th & 9 at UL 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.4%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ULM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UL made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 7:03UL Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:24ULM Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:42UL Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:00UL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.9%−0.4
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:46ULM Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.3%−1.6
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:53UL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULDrive 1FG
8 plays · 70 yds · 4:0170% → 69%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
30.0%
Terrance Broadway run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+10
30.0%
Terrance Broadway run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+54
30.0%
Alonzo Harris run for 54 yds to the LaMon 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
30.0%
Alonzo Harris run for no gain to the LaMon 5Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
30.0%
Alonzo Harris run for no gain to the LaMon 5Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
30.0%
Terrance Broadway run for no gain to the LaMon 5Similar
Q1 10:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
31.4%
Hunter Stover 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 2DOWNS
6 plays · 48 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+45
31.5%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Ajalen Holley for 45 yds to the LaLaf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
31.9%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Centarius Donald for 4 yds to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 6
OPP 38
-1
31.9%
Centarius Donald run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q1 10:59
3RD & 7
OPP 39
0
31.9%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Ajalen HolleySimilar
Q1 10:59
4TH & 7
OPP 39
0
31.6%
Pete Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 3TD
5 plays · 61 yds · 2:0168% → 70%
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
31.9%
Elijah McGuire run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q1 9:04
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+23
31.8%
Terrance Broadway run for 23 yds to the LaMon 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+21
31.6%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to James Butler for 21 yds to the LaMon 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
31.6%
Elijah McGuire run for 7 yds to the LaMon 1Similar
Q1 7:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
29.7%
Elijah McGuire run for 1 yd for a TD, (Hunter Stover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 4TD
12 plays · 85 yds · 4:3931% → 35%
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-3
30.5%
Centarius Donald run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 12Similar
Q1 7:03
2ND & 13
OWN 12
+24
30.5%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Centarius Donald for 24 yds to the LaMon 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
30.8%
Centarius Donald run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 33Similar
Q1 7:03
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+10
30.6%
Thomas, Pete sideline pass incomplete to Ceaser, Rashon (Walker,Tracy), PENALTY ULL holding (Walker,Tracy) 10 yards to the ULM43, 1ST DOWN ULM, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
31.0%
Centarius Donald run for 1 yd to the LaMon 44Similar
Q1 7:03
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+38
31.0%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Kenzee Jackson for 38 yds to the LaLaf 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
31.6%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Kenzee Jackson for 7 yds to the LaLaf 11Similar
Q1 7:03
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+5
31.6%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Alec Osborne for 5 yds to the LaLaf 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
31.6%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Centarius Donald for 1 yd to the LaLaf 5Similar
Q1 7:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
31.6%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Centarius DonaldSimilar
Q1 2:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
35.3%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Kenzee Jackson for 5 yds for a TD, (Justin Manton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 5TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:4266% → 71%
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
33.7%
Elijah McGuire run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q1 2:24
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+39
33.2%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 39 yds to the LaMon 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
32.6%
Terrance Broadway run for 6 yds to the LaMon 16Similar
Q1 0:42
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+16
29.1%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Al Riles for 16 yds for a TD, (Hunter Stover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 6FG
14 plays · 66 yds · 3:0429% → 32%
Q1 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+25
29.3%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Alec Osborne for 25 yds to the LaMon 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
29.9%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Alec Osborne for 6 yds to the LaMon 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 48
-6
30.3%
Pete Thomas sacked by Christian Ringo for a loss of 6 yards to the LaMon 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+7
29.4%
Thomas, Pete pass right pass incomplete to Jackson, Kenzee, PENALTY ULL pass interference (Trim,Corey) 7 yards to the ULM49, 1ST DOWN ULM, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
30.2%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Kenzee Jackson for 6 yds to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+10
30.5%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 10 yds to the LaLaf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
31.0%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Ajalen HolleySimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+18
31.0%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Tyler Cain for 18 yds to the LaLaf 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
31.0%
Pete Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
31.0%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Kenzee JacksonSimilar
Q2 12:57
3RD & 10
OPP 17
0
30.6%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Tyler CainSimilar
Q2 12:38
4TH & 10
OPP 17
+34
32.4%
Justin Manton 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 7FG
14 plays · 53 yds · 5:4769% → 72%
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
31.5%
Terrance Broadway run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q2 12:38
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+2
31.2%
Elijah McGuire run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q2 12:38
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+7
31.4%
Terrance Broadway run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
30.6%
Terrance Broadway run for 15 yds to the LaMon 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
30.1%
Effrem Reed run for 8 yds to the LaMon 38Similar
Q2 12:38
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+7
30.1%
Terrance Broadway run for 7 yds to the LaMon 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
29.0%
Terrance Broadway run for 8 yds to the LaMon 23Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+8
28.9%
Alonzo Harris run for 8 yds to the LaMon 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+1
28.9%
Terrance Broadway run for 1 yd to the LaMon 14 UL MONROE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the LaMon 14Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 9
OPP 14
-2
28.9%
Alonzo Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 16Similar
Q2 9:16
3RD & 11
OPP 16
-5
29.5%
Terrance Broadway sacked by Hunter Kissinger for a loss of 5 yards to the LaMon 21Similar
Q2 6:51
4TH & 16
OPP 21
+38
28.1%
Hunter Stover 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
27.1%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Kenzee Jackson for 3 yds to the LaMon 20Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+5
27.0%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 5 yds to the LaMon 25Similar
Q2 6:51
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+6
27.0%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 6 yds to the LaMon 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
27.4%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Kenzee JacksonSimilar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+5
27.3%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Kenzee Jackson for 5 yds to the LaMon 36Similar
Q2 6:51
3RD & 5
OWN 36
0
27.3%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Tyler Cain, broken up by T.J. WorthySimilar
Q2 6:51
4TH & 5
OWN 36
+5
27.0%
Justin Manton punt for 48 yds , Elijah McGuire returns for 5 yds to the LaLaf 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 9MISSED FG
11 plays · 50 yds · 3:3173% → 74%
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
27.4%
Elijah McGuire run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+4
26.7%
Alonzo Harris run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
26.8%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to James Butler for 11 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+29
26.1%
Alonzo Harris run for 29 yds to the LaMon 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
25.7%
Elijah McGuire run for no gain to the LaMon 26Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-5
26.0%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaMon 31Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 15
OPP 31
-4
26.1%
Terrance Broadway sacked by Lorenzo Jackson and Gerrand Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the LaMon 35Similar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 19
OPP 35
+6
24.8%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to C.J. Bates for 6 yds to the LaMon 29Similar
Q2 0:51
4TH & 13
OPP 29
+46
25.7%
Hunter Stover 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 10FG
7 plays · 41 yds · 0:5124% → 32%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
24.1%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Alec Osborne for 9 yds to the LaMon 38Similar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+19
25.1%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Centarius Donald for 19 yds to the LaLaf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
26.1%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 7 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 3
OPP 30
0
27.3%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+6
25.3%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Alec Osborne for 6 yds to the LaMon 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+47
32.2%
Justin Manton 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 11FUMBLE
10 plays · 52 yds · 0:0030% → 31%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
29.6%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Rashon CeaserSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+49
29.6%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Ajalen Holley for 49 yds to the LaLaf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
34.0%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 4 yds to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+5
34.0%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 5 yds to the LaLaf 20Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 20
0
32.8%
Centarius Donald run for no gain to the LaLaf 20Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+5
31.5%
Centarius Donald run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
34.0%
Pete Thomas sacked by Christian Ringo for a loss of 5 yards to the LaLaf 20Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 20
-6
33.2%
Pete Thomas sacked by Justin Hamilton and Christian Ringo for a loss of 6 yards to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 21
OPP 26
-4
30.9%
Pete Thomas sacked by Jake Molbert for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 26 Pete Thomas fumbled, recovered by LaLaf Darzil Washington , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0072% → 73%
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
27.9%
Elijah McGuire run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 12
OWN 24
-1
28.5%
Terrance Broadway sacked by Michael Johnson and Gerrand Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q3 11:03
3RD & 13
OWN 23
+22
29.3%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to James Butler for 22 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
26.1%
Elijah McGuire run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 5
50
+1
25.7%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Al Riles for 1 yd to the LaMon 49Similar
Q3 11:03
3RD & 4
OPP 49
0
26.0%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete to Alonzo HarrisSimilar
Q3 11:03
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
27.2%
Daniel Cadona punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0029% → 27%
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
29.1%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Ajalen HolleySimilar
Q3 7:59
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+2
29.0%
Centarius Donald run for 2 yds to the LaMon 13Similar
Q3 7:59
3RD & 8
OWN 13
-7
27.9%
Pete Thomas sacked by Dominique Tovell and Darzil Washington for a loss of 7 yards to the LaMon 6Similar
Q3 7:59
4TH & 15
OWN 6
0
27.1%
Justin Manton punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Elijah McGuire at the LaMon 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 14INT
3 plays · -9 yds · 0:0076% → 73%
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-4
24.4%
Terrance Broadway sacked by Malcolm Edmond for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 14
50
-5
25.4%
Terrance Broadway sacked by Gerrand Johnson for a loss of 5 yards to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q3 6:28
3RD & 19
OWN 45
0
26.9%
Terrance Broadway pass intercepted Justin Backus return for no gain to the LaMon 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 15DOWNS
7 plays · 40 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
28.7%
Pete Thomas run for 7 yds to the LaMon 27Similar
Q3 4:54
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+7
29.5%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 7 yds to the LaMon 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+21
29.3%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 21 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-7
32.9%
Pete Thomas sacked by Jake Molbert for a loss of 7 yards to the LaMon 48Similar
Q3 4:54
2ND & 17
OWN 48
+7
29.9%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Tyler Cain for 7 yds to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q3 4:54
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+2
30.5%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Centarius Donald for 2 yds to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q3 4:54
4TH & 8
OPP 43
+3
28.7%
Justin Manton run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 16DOWNS
6 plays · 35 yds · 1:0977% → 77%
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
23.1%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, false start (Daniel Quave) to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q3 1:09
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+31
25.5%
Alonzo Harris run for 31 yds to the LaMon 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
22.2%
Elijah McGuire run for 4 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+3
21.0%
Alonzo Harris run for 3 yds to the LaMon 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+2
21.8%
Alonzo Harris run for 2 yds to the LaMon 25Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 25
0
23.5%
Alonzo Harris run for no gain to the LaMon 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 17FUMBLE
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0026% → 25%
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
25.9%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Tyler Cain for 4 yds to the LaMon 29Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
26.5%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Kenzee JacksonSimilar
Q4 13:38
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
25.2%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 5 yds to the LaMon 34Similar
Q4 13:38
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+4
25.1%
Justin Manton run for a loss of 11 yards to the LaMon 16 Justin Manton fumbled, forced by Jake Molbert, recovered by LaLaf Justin Hamilton , return for 4 yds to the LaMon 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 18TD
3 plays · 16 yds · 1:3281% → 93%
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
18.7%
Elijah McGuire run for 1 yd to the LaMon 15Similar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+3
18.7%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 3 yds to the LaMon 12Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+12
6.6%
Terrance Broadway run for 12 yds for a TD, (Hunter Stover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 19TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 4:1412% → 27%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
11.9%
Brayle Brown pass complete to Ajalen Holley for 11 yds to the LaMon 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
13.1%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Kenzee Jackson, broken up by Corey TrimSimilar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
12.8%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Kenzee JacksonSimilar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+17
12.3%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Centarius Donald for 17 yds to the LaLaf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
13.6%
Pete Thomas run for no gain to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+6
13.3%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Tyler Cain for 6 yds to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 4
OPP 31
0
13.9%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete to Ajalen HolleySimilar
Q4 11:00
4TH & 4
OPP 31
+27
13.0%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Kenzee Jackson for 27 yds to the LaLaf 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
14.4%
Pete Thomas run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 1Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
14.4%
Pete Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 2Similar
Q4 6:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
26.8%
Pete Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD, (Justin Manton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 20TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:5382% → 97%
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
17.7%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to James Butler for 7 yds to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+7
17.1%
Elijah McGuire run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
15.8%
Elijah McGuire run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+12
16.0%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Gabe Fuselier for 12 yds to the LaMon 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
14.9%
Alonzo Harris run for no gain to the LaMon 48Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+12
14.9%
Terrance Broadway run for 12 yds to the LaMon 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
2.9%
Gabe Fuselier 36 Yd pass from Terrance Broadway (Hunter Stover Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 21TD
4 plays · 57 yds · 0:004% → 24%
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
3.8%
Pete Thomas pass incomplete, broken up by Corey TrimSimilar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+7
3.8%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Tyler Cain for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:53
3RD & 3
50
+5
24.4%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 5 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 1 yds · 0:1491% → 94%
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
9.5%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, false start (Octravian Anderson) to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+4
9.4%
Alonzo Harris run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+2
5.6%
Terrance Broadway run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 36Similar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
5.5%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete to James ButlerSimilar
Q4 1:33
4TH & 9
OWN 36
+5
6.1%
Daniel Cadona punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaMon 21 , Trey Caldwell returns for 5 yds to the LaMon 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 23FUMBLE
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:3413% → 8%
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-9
12.9%
Pete Thomas sacked by Justin Hamilton for a loss of 9 yards to the LaMon 12Similar
Q4 1:18
2ND & 19
OWN 12
+3
12.6%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Tyler Cain for 3 yds to the LaMon 15Similar
Q4 0:44
3RD & 16
OWN 15
+2
8.0%
Pete Thomas pass complete to Kenzee Jackson for 2 yds Kenzee Jackson fumbled, recovered by LaLaf Tre'maine LightfootSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
4.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:53
Pete Thomas pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 5 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST down
+20.7
TD · Q4 6:46
Pete Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD, (Justin Manton KICK)
+12.4
TD · Q4 11:00
Terrance Broadway run for 12 yds for a TD, (Hunter Stover KICK)
-12.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com