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USA

South Alabama 9 at Louisiana 19

UL
2014 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2014 · Cajun Field
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Win probability · UL
modelUL aheadUSA aheadconfidence bandkey playUL scoreUSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGFGFGTDEnd of GameFG-0.1UL 70.0%Hunter Stover 23 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 3 · Q1 9:19
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:19 · Hunter Stover 23 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+24.0+12.00−12.0−24.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 14Pregame prior+18.2Home team on offense+0.6Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:15: Brandon Bridge pass complete to Jereme Jones for 12 yds for a TD, (Aleem Sunanon PAT MISSED) — USA win probability +11.2 pts (now 46%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 3:31: Hunter Stover 22 yd FG GOOD — UL win probability +4.8 pts (now 63%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 11:28: Hunter Stover 32 yd FG GOOD — UL win probability +7.4 pts (now 73%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 8:20: Elijah McGuire run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 17 — UL win probability +7.9 pts (now 72%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:01: Elijah McGuire run for 8 yds for a TD, (Hunter Stover KICK) — UL win probability +17.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UL made the numbers' call on 7 of 8USA made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 9:19UL 4th & 6 at USA 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.8%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    68.0%−0.8
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:19USA 4th & 4 at USA 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:55UL 4th & 3 at USA 46, up 3
    Close callPunted · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    68.7%−0.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    69.0%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:47USA 4th & 3 at UL 3, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.2%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    29.2%−3.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:47UL 4th & 11 at UL 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.3%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:07USA 4th & 10 at USA 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.3%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:30UL 4th & 6 at USA 10, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.0%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.2%
    88% to make
    Punt
    49.6%−6.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:56USA 4th & 10 at USA 41, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:44UL 4th & 11 at UL 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.8%−1.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00USA 4th & 7 at UL 32, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.4%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    42.8%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00USA 4th & 24 at USA 41, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%−4.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:15UL 4th & 4 at UL 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%−0.5
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:59USA 4th & 16 at midfield, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%−2.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:31UL 4th & 5 at USA 5, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.6%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.7%
    92% to make
    Punt
    40.7%−13.0
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:08USA 4th & 1 at UL 48, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 5.3 ptsPunted · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.3%−5.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:28UL 4th & 9 at USA 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.4%−2.7
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    43.6%−16.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:01USA 4th & 4 at USA 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.7%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UL made the numbers' call on 1 of 1USA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 8:15USA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    43.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 5:01UL Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULDrive 1FG
14 plays · 69 yds · 5:4170% → 70%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
70.1%
Terrance Broadway run for 15 yds to the LaLaf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
70.1%
Elijah McGuire run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+5
70.1%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 5 yds to the SAlab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
70.1%
Alonzo Harris run for 1 yd to the SAlab 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+4
70.1%
Alonzo Harris run for 4 yds to the SAlab 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+6
70.1%
Terrance Broadway run for 6 yds to the SAlab 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
70.1%
Terrance Broadway run for 7 yds to the SAlab 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 30
-25
70.1%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Terrance Broadway for a loss of 25 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE 45 UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, illegal forward pass (Terrance Broadway) to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 28
OWN 45
+45
70.1%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Devin Scott for 45 yds to the SAlab 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
70.1%
Elijah McGuire run for no gain to the SAlab 10Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
70.1%
Alonzo Harris run for 4 yds to the SAlab 6Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
70.1%
Terrance Broadway pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
70.0%
Hunter Stover 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
69.9%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to T.J. Glover for 1 yd to the SAlab 20Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+5
69.9%
Xavier Johnson run for 5 yds to the SAlab 25Similar
Q1 9:19
3RD & 4
OWN 25
0
70.0%
Brandon Bridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:19
4TH & 4
OWN 25
+4
70.2%
Brandon McKee punt for 43 yds , Elijah McGuire returns for 4 yds to the LaLaf 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
69.8%
Alonzo Harris run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+3
70.0%
Alonzo Harris run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q1 7:55
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+4
69.9%
Alonzo Harris run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
70.1%
Terrance Broadway pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
70.0%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete to Devin Scott, broken up by Qudarius FordSimilar
Q1 7:55
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+7
69.6%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Gabe Fuselier for 7 yds to the SAlab 46Similar
Q1 7:55
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
69.7%
Daniel Cadona punt for 25 yds, downed at the SAlab 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 4FG
16 plays · 76 yds · 5:2330% → 34%
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+12
69.6%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Shavarez Smith for 12 yds to the SAlab 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
69.4%
Kendall Houston run for 7 yds to the SAlab 40Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+6
68.9%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Shavarez Smith for 6 yds to the SAlab 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
68.8%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Shavarez Smith for 6 yds to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+3
68.6%
Kendall Houston run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q1 5:10
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+4
68.6%
Xavier Johnson run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
68.7%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Braedon Bowman for 9 yds to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+12
68.3%
Xavier Johnson run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+10
68.3%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Marvin Shinn for 10 yds to the LaLaf 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
68.3%
Xavier Johnson run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 8Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
68.3%
Brandon Bridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
68.6%
Bridge, Brandon right side pass incomplete to Broadnax, Cmron, PENALTY UL roughing passer (Worthy,T.J.) 4 yards to the UL4, 1ST DOWN USA, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
68.3%
Kendall Houston run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 5Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
68.3%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Shavarez Smith for 2 yds to the LaLaf 3Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
67.4%
Brandon Bridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
65.9%
Aleem Sunanon 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0068% → 67%
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+18
67.8%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 3 yds to the LaLaf 35 for a 1ST down SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, personal foul (Qudarius Ford) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
50
+2
69.0%
Elijah McGuire run for 2 yds to the SAlab 48Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 8
OPP 48
-3
69.0%
Terrance Broadway run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 11
OWN 49
0
67.7%
Terrance Broadway pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:47
4TH & 11
OWN 49
0
67.0%
Daniel Cadona punt for 43 yds, fair catch by T.J. Glover at the SAlab 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:0233% → 33%
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
66.6%
Brandon Bridge run for no gain to the SAlab 8Similar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+6
66.6%
Kendall Houston run for 6 yds to the SAlab 14Similar
Q2 12:07
3RD & 4
OWN 14
-6
66.4%
Bridge, Brandon rush scrambles middle for 11 yards to the USA25, PENALTY USA holding (Meggs, Melvin) 6 yards to the USA8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:07
3RD & 10
OWN 8
0
66.8%
Brandon Bridge pass incomplete to Shavarez SmithSimilar
Q2 12:07
4TH & 10
OWN 8
+19
67.3%
Brandon McKee punt for 40 yds , Elijah McGuire returns for 19 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 7FUMBLE
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
69.1%
Alonzo Harris run for 1 yd to the SAlab 28 Alonzo Harris fumbled, forced by Maleki Harris, recovered by SAlab Maleki HarrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 8TD
10 plays · 72 yds · 2:5935% → 46%
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
65.1%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Jereme Jones for 3 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q2 11:14
2ND & 7
OWN 31
0
65.0%
Brandon Bridge pass incomplete to Braedon BowmanSimilar
Q2 11:14
4TH & 28
OWN 10
+15
66.9%
McKee, Brandon punt 35 yards to the USA45, downed, PENALTY UL roughing the kicker (Carter,Montrel) 15 yards to the USA25, 1ST DOWN USA, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
65.5%
Kendall Houston run for 4 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
Q2 11:14
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
65.0%
Brandon Bridge run for 3 yds to the SAlab 32Similar
Q2 11:14
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-5
65.3%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 27Similar
Q2 11:14
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+58
66.1%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Shavarez Smith for 58 yds to the LaLaf 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
62.7%
Kendall Houston run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 12Similar
Q2 11:14
3RD & 7
OWN 31
-21
65.7%
Brandon Bridge sacked by Christian Ringo for a loss of 21 yards to the SAlab 10 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, intentional grounding (Brandon Bridge) to the SAlab 10Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+12
54.5%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Jereme Jones for 12 yds for a TD, (Aleem Sunanon PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 9FG
13 plays · 65 yds · 3:4558% → 61%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
57.9%
Terrance Broadway pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+24
57.7%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 24 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
60.0%
Terrance Broadway pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+26
59.7%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 11 yds to the ULLAFAYTTE 40 for a 1ST down SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, personal foul (Montell Garner) to the SAlab 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-7
61.4%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Elijah McGuire for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 34 to Al Riles for 8 yds to the SAlab 17 UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the SAlab 34Similar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 19
OPP 34
+7
60.9%
Terrance Broadway run for 7 yds to the SAlab 27Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 12
OPP 27
+13
61.1%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to James Butler for 13 yds to the SAlab 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
61.4%
Alonzo Harris run for 2 yds to the SAlab 12Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+2
61.4%
Terrance Broadway run for 2 yds to the SAlab 10Similar
Q2 4:42
3RD & 6
OPP 10
0
57.1%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete to Elijah McGuire, broken up by Roman BuchananSimilar
Q2 4:30
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+26
60.7%
Hunter Stover 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 1:3441% → 41%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
58.6%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Danny Woodson for 3 yds to the SAlab 28 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the SAlab 18Similar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 17
OWN 18
+4
58.9%
Kendall Houston run for 4 yds to the SAlab 22Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+19
59.2%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Braedon Bowman for 19 yds to the SAlab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
56.8%
Kendall Houston run for no gain to the SAlab 41Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
57.3%
Brandon Bridge pass incomplete to Shavarez SmithSimilar
Q2 2:56
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
57.4%
Brandon Bridge pass incomplete to Jereme JonesSimilar
Q2 2:56
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
59.3%
Brandon McKee punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaLaf 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:5855% → 54%
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
55.0%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete to Elijah McGuireSimilar
Q2 2:42
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-6
54.5%
Terrance Broadway sacked by Jerome McClain for a loss of 6 yards to the LaLaf 20Similar
Q2 2:42
3RD & 16
OWN 20
+5
53.3%
Elijah McGuire run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q2 1:44
4TH & 11
OWN 25
0
53.7%
Daniel Cadona punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaLaf 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 12MISSED FG
8 plays · 14 yds · 1:4247% → 45%
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
53.2%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Shavarez Smith for 9 yds to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+2
52.6%
Kendall Houston run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
52.1%
Brandon Bridge pass incomplete to Jereme JonesSimilar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
52.2%
Brandon Bridge run for no gain to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+3
52.9%
Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 7
OPP 32
+49
55.0%
Aleem Sunanon 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 6 yds · 0:0044% → 42%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
55.9%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Danny Woodson for 4 yds to the SAlab 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+3
54.6%
Kendall Houston run for 3 yds to the SAlab 42Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+13
55.0%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Shavarez Smith for 13 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
54.1%
Brandon Bridge pass incomplete to Shavarez SmithSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-15
54.1%
Johnson, Xavier rush around the right end for 2 yards to the UL43, PENALTY USA illegal block (Onkka, Ryan) 15 yards to the USA40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 25
OWN 40
0
56.1%
Brandon Bridge pass incomplete to Jereme JonesSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 25
OWN 40
+1
57.0%
Terrance Timmons run for 1 yd to the SAlab 41Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 24
OWN 41
0
58.5%
Brandon McKee punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Elijah McGuire at the LaLaf 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0056% → 54%
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
56.3%
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 21Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+3
56.3%
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 4
OWN 24
0
55.4%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete to James ButlerSimilar
Q3 12:15
4TH & 4
OWN 24
0
54.2%
Daniel Cadona punt for 40 yds, fair catch by T.J. Glover at the SAlab 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 0:0046% → 43%
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
54.2%
Xavier Johnson run for 7 yds to the SAlab 43Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+3
53.0%
Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the SAlab 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
52.9%
Brandon Bridge pass incomplete to Shavarez SmithSimilar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+10
53.2%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Shavarez Smith for 10 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
52.3%
Kendall Houston run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 4
OPP 38
-6
51.9%
Xavier Johnson run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 34 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive holding (Drew Dearman) to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+3
52.4%
Brandon Bridge run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q3 10:59
3RD & 7
OPP 41
-9
52.8%
Brandon Bridge sacked by Dominique Tovell for a loss of 9 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:59
4TH & 16
50
0
56.7%
Brandon McKee punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaLaf 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 16FG
9 plays · 68 yds · 3:5955% → 63%
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+16
54.6%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to James Butler for 16 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+22
57.6%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to James Butler for 22 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
60.3%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete to James ButlerSimilar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+14
60.2%
Terrance Broadway run for 14 yds to the SAlab 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+14
60.3%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 14 yds to the SAlab 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
60.3%
Terrance Broadway run for no gain to the SAlab 7Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
60.3%
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the SAlab 4Similar
Q3 7:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
58.5%
Terrance Broadway run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 5Similar
Q3 3:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
63.3%
Hunter Stover 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 3:2342% → 44%
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
57.9%
Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the SAlab 28Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
57.5%
Matt Floyd sacked by Christian Ringo for a loss of 5 yards to the SAlab 23Similar
Q3 3:31
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+20
59.8%
Matt Floyd pass complete to Jereme Jones for 20 yds to the SAlab 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
54.7%
Terrance Timmons run for 4 yds to the SAlab 47Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 6
OWN 47
0
54.1%
Matt Floyd pass incomplete to Shavarez SmithSimilar
Q3 3:31
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+5
54.6%
Matt Floyd run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q3 0:08
4TH & 1
OPP 48
0
55.7%
Brandon McKee punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 18FG
10 plays · 65 yds · 3:3262% → 73%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+33
62.4%
Elijah McGuire run for 33 yds to the SAlab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+14
67.1%
Elijah McGuire run for 14 yds to the SAlab 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
69.0%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete to James ButlerSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+4
68.8%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 4 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+13
67.2%
Terrance Broadway run for 13 yds to the SAlab 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
67.0%
Elijah McGuire run for 1 yd to the SAlab 15Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 9
OPP 15
0
67.0%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Elijah McGuire for no gain to the SAlab 15Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 9
OPP 15
0
65.1%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete to Elijah McGuireSimilar
Q4 11:28
4TH & 9
OPP 15
+32
72.5%
Hunter Stover 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 19FUMBLE
8 plays · 72 yds · 0:0031% → 36%
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
69.5%
Kendall Houston run for no gain to the SAlab 19Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+26
70.0%
Matt Floyd pass complete to Braedon Bowman for 26 yds to the SAlab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
65.7%
Kendall Houston run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+41
64.0%
Matt Floyd pass complete to Marvin Shinn for 41 yds to the LaLaf 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
61.7%
Kendall Houston run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 2Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
61.7%
Xavier Johnson run for no gain to the LaLaf 2Similar
Q4 11:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-4
63.8%
Kendall Houston run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 9 Kendall Houston fumbled, recovered by LaLaf Christian RingoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 20TD
7 plays · 91 yds · 3:1972% → 94%
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+8
71.7%
Elijah McGuire run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 17Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 2
OWN 17
+1
72.6%
Elijah McGuire run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 18Similar
Q4 8:20
3RD & 1
OWN 18
+3
70.8%
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+31
72.5%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 31 yds to the SAlab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
72.4%
Broadway, Terrance rush off of the right side for no gain to the USA48, PENALTY UL holding off-setting, PENALTY USA offside off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+40
76.5%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to James Butler for 40 yds to the SAlab 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
93.8%
Elijah McGuire run for 8 yds for a TD, (Hunter Stover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 21DOWNS
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
91.9%
Matt Floyd pass incomplete to Terrance TimmonsSimilar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+6
92.2%
Matt Floyd pass complete to Terrance Timmons for 6 yds to the SAlab 39Similar
Q4 5:01
3RD & 4
OWN 39
0
91.5%
Matt Floyd pass incomplete to Danny Woodson, broken up by Corey TrimSimilar
Q4 5:01
4TH & 4
OWN 39
0
92.4%
Matt Floyd pass incomplete to Terrance Timmons, broken up by Tracy WalkerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 22END OF GAME
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
93.8%
Elijah McGuire run for 8 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+2
93.9%
Elijah McGuire run for 2 yds to the SAlab 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
93.9%
Elijah McGuire run for 8 yds to the SAlab 21Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+7
93.9%
Elijah McGuire run for 7 yds to the SAlab 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
93.9%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 19Similar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 15
OPP 19
+4
93.9%
Effrem Reed run for 4 yds to the SAlab 15Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 11
OPP 15
-1
93.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:01
Elijah McGuire run for 8 yds for a TD, (Hunter Stover KICK)
+17.3
TD · Q2 8:15
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Jereme Jones for 12 yds for a TD, (Aleem Sunanon PAT MISSED)
-11.2
KEY PLAY · Q4 8:20
Elijah McGuire run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 17
+7.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com