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IDHO

Idaho 24 at Georgia Southern 47

GASO
2014 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2014 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
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Win probability · GASO
modelGASO aheadIDHO aheadconfidence bandkey playGASO scoreIDHO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:12 · Kevin Ellison punt for 33 yds, downed at the Idaho 3
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+41.5+20.80−20.8−41.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 71Pregame prior+29.6Home team on offense+5.6Score differential+1.0Garbage-time factor+1.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:31: Kevin Ellison run for 14 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK) — GASO win probability +4.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:10: Elijhaa Penny run for 4 yds for a TD, (Two pt pass, Matt Linehan pass to Deon Watson GOOD) — IDHO win probability +6.3 pts (now 9%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:00: Elijhaa Penny run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Linehan failed ) — IDHO win probability +7.2 pts (now 14%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:00: Timeout GA SOUTHERN, clock 00:00 — IDHO win probability +3.4 pts (now 18%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:48: Matt Linehan pass intercepted for a TD Matt Dobson return for 26 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK) — GASO win probability +7.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GASO made the numbers' call on 4 of 5IDHO made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 10:00IDHO 4th & 2 at GASO 18, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.5%−0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    10.0%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:22IDHO 4th & 6 at GASO 24, down 4
    Close callWent for it · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    11.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    10.5%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:36IDHO 4th & 8 at GASO 38, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.4%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    11.2%−0.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    11.2%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:12GASO 4th & 15 at IDHO 36, up 10
    Close callPunted · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.5%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    87.9%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.7%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:09IDHO 4th & 9 at IDHO 4, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−0.8
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:05GASO 4th & 8 at IDHO 8, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    84.1%−3.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:26IDHO 4th & 2 at IDHO 27, down 17
    Close callPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:15GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 29, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    94.1%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:22IDHO 4th & 2 at IDHO 25, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.3%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:54GASO 4th & 13 at GASO 41, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.4%−2.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:48IDHO 4th & 17 at IDHO 18, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−0.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:14GASO 4th & 10 at IDHO 43, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    95.8%−0.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:18IDHO 4th & 8 at IDHO 43, down 16
    Close callWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GASO made the numbers' call on 4 of 5IDHO made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 6:28GASO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:25IDHO Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:37GASO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:31GASO Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:10IDHO Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    4.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    4.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:48GASO Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:12GASO Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IDHODrive 1FG
14 plays · 57 yds · 5:009% → 11%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.1%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
91.1%
Elijhaa Penny run for 8 yds to the Idaho 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+13
91.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Richard Montgomery for 13 yds to the Idaho 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
91.1%
Elijhaa Penny run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+4
91.1%
Elijhaa Penny run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+2
91.1%
Elijhaa Penny run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
91.1%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to N/A, broken up by Antwione WilliamsSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-1
91.1%
Elijhaa Penny run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 44
+18
91.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Joshua McCain for 18 yds to the GeoSo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
91.1%
Aaron Duckworth run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+3
91.1%
Aaron Duckworth run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 18Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 18
0
91.1%
Elijhaa Penny run for no gain to the GeoSo 18Similar
Q1 10:00
4TH & 2
OPP 18
+35
89.5%
Austin Rehkow 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2TD
9 plays · 86 yds · 3:2890% → 90%
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
89.5%
Matt Breida run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 17Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+6
89.5%
Kevin Ellison run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q1 9:56
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+52
89.5%
Matt Breida run for 52 yds to the Idaho 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
89.8%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Kentrellis Showers for 3 yds to the Idaho 22Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 7
OPP 22
0
89.8%
Kevin Ellison pass incomplete to Kentrellis ShowersSimilar
Q1 9:56
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+10
89.7%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Alfred Ramsby for 10 yds to the Idaho 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
89.8%
Alfred Ramsby run for 6 yds to the Idaho 6Similar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+6
89.5%
Kevin Ellison run for 6 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 3DOWNS
6 plays · 48 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+44
89.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 44 yds to the GeoSo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
88.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 5 yds to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 5
OPP 23
0
88.6%
Aaron Duckworth run for no gain to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q1 6:22
3RD & 5
OPP 23
-1
88.7%
Richard Montgomery run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q1 6:22
4TH & 6
OPP 24
0
89.0%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4TD
5 plays · 76 yds · 1:1889% → 90%
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
88.5%
Ellison, Kevin deep left pass incomplete to Walker, Zach, PENALTY IDAHO pass interference (Joe Smith) 15 yards to the GS39, 1ST DOWN GS, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
88.7%
Matt Breida run for 12 yds to the Idaho 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+19
89.0%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Zach Walker for 19 yds to the Idaho 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
89.1%
Alfred Ramsby run for 8 yds to the Idaho 22Similar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+22
90.1%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to BJ Johnson for 22 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 5TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:3211% → 14%
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
89.5%
Elijhaa Penny run for 9 yds to the Idaho 34Similar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
89.3%
Elijhaa Penny run for 5 yds to the Idaho 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+22
89.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 22 yds to the GeoSo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
89.1%
Jerrel Brown run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+2
88.9%
Jerrel Brown run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q1 2:57
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+6
89.1%
Matt Linehan run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
88.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Joshua McCain for 3 yds to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+4
88.9%
Jerrel Brown run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 19Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+4
88.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 4 yds to the GeoSo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
88.3%
Richard Montgomery run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 10Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+10
85.7%
Elijhaa Penny run for 10 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6TD
11 plays · 90 yds · 3:4087% → 89%
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
86.6%
Matt Breida run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 17Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 3
OWN 17
+4
86.6%
Devin Scott run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
86.6%
Ean Days run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+5
86.6%
Alfred Ramsby run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q2 14:17
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+3
86.6%
Alfred Ramsby run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+40
86.7%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to Kentrellis Showers for 40 yds to the Idaho 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
87.5%
Matt Breida run for 1 yd to the Idaho 26Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+19
87.5%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to Matt Breida for 19 yds to the Idaho 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-10
87.5%
Alfred Ramsby run for a loss of 3 yards to the Idaho 10 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Offensive holding (N/A) to the Idaho 17Similar
Q2 10:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 17
+17
89.3%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to Matt Breida for 17 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 7DOWNS
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
88.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Richard Montgomery for no gain to the Idaho 49Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+9
88.1%
Jerrel Brown run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 42Similar
Q2 10:36
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+2
87.8%
Elijhaa Penny run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-8
87.9%
Matt Linehan sacked by Lennie Richardson for a loss of 8 yards to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 18
OPP 48
+10
88.4%
Elijhaa Penny run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 38Similar
Q2 10:36
3RD & 8
OPP 38
0
88.0%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 10:36
4TH & 8
OPP 38
+6
88.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Richard Montgomery for 6 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 32 yds · 0:0089% → 88%
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
88.6%
Matt Breida run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+34
88.7%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to BJ Johnson for 34 yds to the Idaho 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
89.2%
Matt Breida run for 6 yds to the Idaho 25Similar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 4
OPP 25
-5
89.2%
Kevin Ellison run for a loss of 5 yards to the Idaho 30Similar
Q2 8:12
3RD & 9
OPP 30
-6
88.8%
Kevin Ellison sacked by Quinton Bradley for a loss of 6 yards to the Idaho 36Similar
Q2 8:12
4TH & 15
OPP 36
0
87.9%
Kevin Ellison punt for 33 yds, downed at the Idaho 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
88.4%
Elijhaa Penny run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 2Similar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 11
OWN 2
+2
88.5%
Elijhaa Penny run for 2 yds to the Idaho 4Similar
Q2 5:09
3RD & 9
OWN 4
0
88.9%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Joshua McCainSimilar
Q2 5:09
4TH & 9
OWN 4
+21
89.1%
Austin Rehkow punt for 47 yds , Tray Butler returns for 21 yds to the Idaho 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10MISSED FG
14 plays · 22 yds · 3:3889% → 88%
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-10
89.1%
Ellison, Kevin rush right for loss of 5 yards to the IDAHO35, PENALTY GS holding (Klugey, Raymond) 10 yards to the IDAHO40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 20
OPP 40
-5
88.8%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (N/A) to the Idaho 45Similar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 25
OPP 45
+12
88.7%
Alfred Ramsby run for 12 yds to the Idaho 33Similar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 13
OPP 33
+6
88.9%
Alfred Ramsby run for 6 yds to the Idaho 27Similar
Q2 3:43
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+8
88.6%
Kevin Ellison run for 8 yds to the Idaho 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
89.1%
Kevin Ellison run for 7 yds to the Idaho 12Similar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+7
89.1%
Matt Breida run for 7 yds to the Idaho 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
90.5%
Kevin Ellison run for a loss of 5 yards to the Idaho 10Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
89.6%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Zach Walker for 2 yds to the Idaho 8Similar
Q2 0:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
88.5%
Kevin Ellison pass incomplete to BJ Johnson, broken up by Bradley NjokuSimilar
Q2 0:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
88.0%
Alex Hanks 26 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
88.1%
Jerrel Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 2:2989% → 94%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
88.6%
Alfred Ramsby run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 39
0
89.2%
Matt Breida run for no gain to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+34
88.7%
Matt Breida run for 34 yds to the Idaho 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
89.4%
Alfred Ramsby run for 10 yds to the Idaho 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
89.4%
Alfred Ramsby run for 3 yds to the Idaho 14Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+14
94.1%
Kevin Ellison run for 14 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
93.6%
Broc Westlake run for a loss of 5 yards to the Idaho 14Similar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 15
OWN 14
+13
93.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Joshua McCain for 13 yds to the Idaho 27Similar
Q3 12:26
3RD & 2
OWN 27
0
93.4%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Richard Montgomery, broken up by Bernard DawsonSimilar
Q3 12:26
4TH & 2
OWN 27
0
93.8%
Austin Rehkow punt for 73 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 14TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 4:4695% → 98%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
94.6%
Ean Days run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
94.6%
Alfred Ramsby run for no gain to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+6
94.4%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Kentrellis Showers for 6 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q3 11:15
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+2
94.3%
Matt Breida run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+19
94.7%
Zach Walker run for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
50
0
95.0%
Kevin Ellison pass incomplete to Zach WalkerSimilar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 10
50
+5
95.0%
Devin Scott run for 5 yds to the Idaho 45Similar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+29
94.9%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to Alfred Ramsby for 29 yds to the Idaho 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+9
95.1%
Favian Upshaw run for 9 yds to the Idaho 7Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 1
OPP 7
+4
95.1%
Matt Breida run for 1 yd to the Idaho 6 for a 1ST down IDAHO Penalty, illegal helmet contact (Tony Lashley) to the Idaho 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.9%
Alfred Ramsby run for 3 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 15TD
11 plays · 83 yds · 3:122% → 9%
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
97.7%
Elijhaa Penny run for 3 yds to the Idaho 20Similar
Q3 6:22
2ND & 7
OWN 20
-1
97.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Richard Montgomery for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 19Similar
Q3 6:22
3RD & 8
OWN 19
+6
97.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 6 yds to the Idaho 25Similar
Q3 6:22
4TH & 2
OWN 25
+11
97.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Justin Podrabsky for 11 yds to the Idaho 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
97.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Richard Montgomery for 4 yds to the Idaho 40Similar
Q3 6:22
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+41
97.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Joshua McCain for 41 yds to the GeoSo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
97.3%
Jerrel Brown run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 15Similar
Q3 6:22
2ND & 6
OPP 15
0
97.3%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jerrel BrownSimilar
Q3 6:22
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+11
97.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Joshua McCain for 11 yds to the GeoSo 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
91.2%
Elijhaa Penny run for 4 yds for a TD, (Two pt pass, Matt Linehan pass to Deon Watson GOOD)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 16FUMBLE
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
95.2%
Matt Breida run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 18Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 9
OWN 18
0
95.2%
Kevin Ellison run for no gain to the GeoSo 19 Kevin Ellison fumbled, recovered by Idaho Eric TuipulotuSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 17TD
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:218% → 14%
Q3 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
92.3%
Elijhaa Penny run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 15Similar
Q3 2:21
2ND & 6
OPP 15
0
92.3%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Justin PodrabskySimilar
Q3 2:21
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+9
92.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Elijhaa Penny for 9 yds to the GeoSo 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
92.3%
Elijhaa Penny run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 3Similar
Q3 2:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
92.3%
Elijhaa Penny run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 2Similar
Q3 2:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
92.9%
Jake Manley run for no gain to the GeoSo 2 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Defensive offside (1 Yards) to the GeoSo 1Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
85.7%
Elijhaa Penny run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Linehan failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+23
87.6%
Alfred Ramsby run for 23 yds to the GeoSo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
89.1%
Matt Breida run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 46
0
89.0%
Kevin Ellison pass incomplete to Zach WalkerSimilar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 8
OWN 46
-5
88.0%
Kevin Ellison sacked by Daniel Peterson for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 13
OWN 41
0
86.6%
Ryan Nowicki punt for 43 yds, downed at the Idaho 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 19INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+26
94.2%
Matt Linehan pass intercepted for a TD Matt Dobson return for 26 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:006% → 5%
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
94.2%
Elijhaa Penny run for 1 yd to the Idaho 26Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
94.2%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Joshua McCain, broken up by Caleb WilliamsSimilar
Q4 12:48
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-8
94.4%
Matt Linehan sacked by Rashad Williams for a loss of 8 yards to the Idaho 18Similar
Q4 12:48
4TH & 17
OWN 18
+7
94.6%
Austin Rehkow punt for 42 yds , Brandan Thomas returns for 7 yds to the GeoSo 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:0097% → 96%
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
97.0%
Devin Scott run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 7
50
+6
96.9%
Kevin Ellison run for 6 yds to the Idaho 44Similar
Q4 11:14
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+1
96.8%
Alfred Ramsby run for 1 yd to the Idaho 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-13
97.0%
Matt Breida run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 41 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (BJ Johnson) to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 23
OWN 44
+3
96.8%
Matt Breida run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q4 11:14
3RD & 20
OWN 47
+10
96.7%
Matt Breida run for 10 yds to the Idaho 43Similar
Q4 11:14
4TH & 10
OPP 43
0
96.4%
Kevin Ellison punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 22DOWNS
8 plays · 23 yds · 0:004% → 5%
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
95.7%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Deon WatsonSimilar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+10
95.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 10 yds to the Idaho 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
95.3%
Matt Linehan run for 8 yds to the Idaho 38Similar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+3
95.2%
Elijhaa Penny run for 3 yds to the Idaho 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
95.2%
Matt Linehan sacked by N/A for a loss of 5 yards to the Idaho 36Similar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 15
OWN 36
-4
95.8%
Chad Chalich run for a loss of 4 yards to the Idaho 32Similar
Q4 7:18
3RD & 19
OWN 32
+11
95.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Joshua McCain for 11 yds to the Idaho 43Similar
Q4 7:18
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
95.5%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Justin Podrabsky, broken up by Antwione WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 23TD
10 plays · 43 yds · 4:1498% → 100%
Q4 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
97.9%
Alfred Ramsby run for 11 yds to the Idaho 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
97.9%
Alfred Ramsby run for 1 yd to the Idaho 31Similar
Q4 4:26
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+1
97.9%
Matt Breida run for 1 yd to the Idaho 30Similar
Q4 2:59
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+8
98.4%
Matt Breida run for 8 yds to the Idaho 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
98.5%
Ean Days run for 7 yds to the Idaho 15Similar
Q4 2:59
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+5
98.5%
Kevin Ellison run for 5 yds to the Idaho 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
98.5%
Ean Days run for 3 yds to the Idaho 7Similar
Q4 2:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
98.5%
Ean Days run for 3 yds to the Idaho 4Similar
Q4 0:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.8%
Ean Days run for 4 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · 41 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+41
99.5%
Chad Chalich pass complete to Richard Montgomery for 41 yds to the GeoSo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:48
Matt Linehan pass intercepted for a TD Matt Dobson return for 26 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)
+7.6
TD · Q3 0:00
Elijhaa Penny run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Linehan failed )
-7.2
TD · Q3 3:10
Elijhaa Penny run for 4 yds for a TD, (Two pt pass, Matt Linehan pass to Deon Watson GOOD)
-6.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com